{"id":6704,"date":"2022-09-01T10:07:39","date_gmt":"2022-09-01T08:07:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-09-01\/"},"modified":"2022-09-01T10:07:39","modified_gmt":"2022-09-01T08:07:39","slug":"2022-09-01","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-09-01\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-09-01"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:19<\/h2>\n

Erik14 postade en video med infanteri och T72 samt n\u00e5gra modifierade M113.
\nNu kanske jag t\u00e4nker fel men jag har f\u00f6r mig att skyttet ledde in vagnarna i eldst\u00e4llning hos oss?
\nJag undrar om det \u00e4r infanteri med pansarst\u00f6d eller det \u00e4r de tv\u00e5 avsuttna skyttegrupperna till M113, det \u00e4r fler p\u00e5 en annan film s\u00e5 en f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkt pluton eller ett kompani och vi ser detta. Gissar att det \u00e4r pansarbrigad eller mekbrigad.<\/p>\n

T72 har ocks\u00e5 lite sv\u00e5rt att st\u00e5 i skydd bakom en kulle d\u00e5 den har f\u00f6r flack profil men hela f\u00f6rbandet utnyttjar ju terr\u00e4ngen maximalt. Direkt eld med stridsvagn \u00e4r f\u00f6r\u00f6dande och sen indirekt eld p\u00e5 det s\u00e5 blir det ju inte mycket kvar. Man f\u00e5r v\u00e4l gissa att det \u00e4r s\u00e5 h\u00e4r Ukraina jobbar sig fram\u00e5t meter f\u00f6r meter \u00f6ver hela fronten nu.
\nL\u00e5gf\u00f6rlust-strid typ, balanserat till max.<\/p>\n

D\u00e4remot s\u00e5 kommer dom ta f\u00f6rluster s\u00e5 detta \u00e4r nog ett allvarligt menat offensivt f\u00f6rs\u00f6k. Vill man f\u00e5 en realitycheck s\u00e5 rekommenderar jag proryska forum som postar bilder och filmer p\u00e5 stupade ukrainare, \u00e5terigen \u00e4gnar vi en tanke \u00e5t de soldater som d\u00f6r f\u00f6r ukrainas frihet nu och kommande veckor.<\/p>\n

Oduglingarna i uniform tar ENORMA f\u00f6rluster just nu och som vi sagt ett par dagar, fickan blir allt tommare p\u00e5 patroner och luckorna alltfler vid varje revelj \u2013 ryssarna kan inte ers\u00e4tta f\u00f6rluster, materiel och ammunition. Det \u00e4r tredje dagen med h\u00f6ga f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n

T\u00e4nker man strax under 30 BTG och dom f\u00f6rlorar en per dag d\u00e5 \u00e4r det rent numer\u00e4rt slut inom en m\u00e5nad. Sen s\u00e5 \u00e4r ju en BTG ur stridbart skick tidigare \u00e4n s\u00e5 \u2013 30% brukar v\u00e4l lyftas som en gr\u00e4ns men dom h\u00e4r killarna har redan varit i strid under 6 m\u00e5nader och det var ju tidigt klagom\u00e5l vid Kherson och sen har vi haft en f\u00f6r\u00f6dande f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning r\u00e4tt l\u00e4nge nu, 2-3 veckor. Orkar Ukraina h\u00e5lla trycker uppe, och vill dom h\u00e5lla trycket uppe, kan det nog g\u00e5 r\u00e4tt fort.<\/p>\n

Jag undrar hur ryssarna t\u00e4nkt h\u00e4r, dom var mitt uppe i en offensiv vid Kherson och skulle dra ig\u00e5ng n\u00e5got vid s\u00f6dra fronten n\u00e4r Ukraina klippte till. Hur kan dom ha underskattat ukrainas slagkraft s\u00e5 totalt?
\nSen hela biten med underh\u00e5llet \u2013 vi har ju suttit i m\u00e5nader och v\u00e4ntat p\u00e5 exakt detta, klippta broar, inget underh\u00e5ll och ukrainsk offensiv.<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e4r ju \u00e5lderdomshemmet p\u00e5 band under f\u00f6rflyttning i detta nu, dom kan ju inte f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka n\u00e5gonstans och framf\u00f6rallt s\u00e5 kan dom inte ta sig till v\u00e4ster om Dnepr. Dom \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 stora m\u00e5l vid sina grupperings och omlastningsplatser och sen n\u00e4r dom skall upp p\u00e5 landsv\u00e4g.
\nDet d\u00e4r \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 m\u00e4rkligt, ryssarna hade sparat materiel fr\u00e5n \u00f6versta hyllan men har bara lyckats bemanna med avskrap, tanken var v\u00e4l 60 000 man stark och med ny materiel som skulle vara i toppskick tills nu i sommar och redo att avg\u00f6ra, s\u00e4ger r\u00e4tt mycket om deras sj\u00e4lvbilds krock med verkligheten.<\/p>\n

Och till sist ser vi T62 under framryckning s\u00e5 motanfallen \u00e4r iallafall p\u00e5 en plats utf\u00f6rda av T62, kul f\u00f6r ryss-i-vagn\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:04<\/h2>\n

Nu \u00e4r ju bron \u00f6ver Inhulets vid Darivka klippt s\u00e5 det som finns innanf\u00f6r Inhulets \u00e4r det dom har att spela med.
\nFr\u00e5gan \u00e4r vad de 6-7 BTG som finns nere vid Khakovka finns p\u00e5 f\u00f6r sida om Dnepr?
\nJust nu \u00e4r det ju 2 BTG som f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker f\u00f6rdr\u00f6ja ukrainsk utvidgning av brohuvudet och dom l\u00e4r ju vara slut r\u00e4tt snart och det kan v\u00e4l tryckas in 5 BTG till som m\u00e5ste upp och banda p\u00e5 landsv\u00e4g f\u00f6r att komma till stridsomr\u00e5det.
\n-ukrainskt flyg \u00e4r OTROLIGT aktivt nu med ryskt LV och ryskt flyg i stort sett borta, sv\u00e5rt att banda p\u00e5 landsv\u00e4g.
\nSen skall dom forma sig i ufa och d\u00e5 \u00e4r det ju dags f\u00f6r HIMARS.
\nRyskt lag kommer br\u00e4nna igenom sin brandk\u00e5rsstyrka p\u00e5 n\u00e5n vecka om det forts\u00e4tter s\u00e5 h\u00e4r.<\/p>\n

Om Ukraina dedikerar +2 brigader mot Khakovka l\u00e4r det ju r\u00e4cka t\u00e4nker jag?<\/p>\n

Uppe mot Krivoj Rog h\u00e5llet finns det v\u00e4l +5 BTG och det artilleri som beskjutit Krivoj Rog och just nu \u00e4r dom v\u00e4l antingen inringade eller i strid med den ukrainska framfarten d\u00e4rborta.<\/p>\n

Mer \u00e4n s\u00e5 \u00e4r det inte innanf\u00f6r Inhulets att sopa bort.<\/p>\n

Vid Kherson \u00e4r det v\u00e4l en 10BTG och av b\u00e4ttre f\u00f6rband s\u00e5 den staden k\u00f6r man ju inte \u00f6ver p\u00e5 en dag.
\nKanske inte heller det som \u00e4r avsikten utan man n\u00e5r Khakovka och en t\u00e4t omringning kring Kherson som inte kan f\u00e5 in underh\u00e5ll eller f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar, kan nog bli f\u00f6rhandlad kapitulation r\u00e4tt omg\u00e5ende eller hopp i Dnepr if\u00f6rd f\u00e4rgglad badanka.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:08<\/h3>\n

Jo precis dom kommer g\u00e5 p\u00e5 lugnt och sansat och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka hush\u00e5lla med f\u00f6rluster och l\u00e5ta flyg, armeflyg och alla olika sorters eldr\u00f6r g\u00f6ra jobbet. Det \u00e4r alltid sv\u00e5rt att t\u00e4cka upp alla vinklar n\u00e4r man skriver men vi har nog diskuterat i tr\u00e5den att st\u00f6rre delen av kriget kommer bli att dom b\u00f6kar sig fram\u00e5t snarare \u00e4n en full mekaniserad strid. Det verkade dock som den stackars DPR soldaten hade utsatts f\u00f6r mekbats anfall med CAS och artilleriunderst\u00f6d \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n

Dock f\u00f6r att komma n\u00e5gonvart alls beh\u00f6vs det en offensiv ocks\u00e5, terr\u00e4ngen m\u00e5ste ju tas, men andra sidan hamras nog s\u00e5 h\u00e5rt det g\u00e5r med alla l\u00e5ngdistansvapen inklusiver direkt eld fr\u00e5n stridsvagnskanon.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:20<\/h2>\n

Jag har f\u00e5tt intrycket av att Ukraina tryckt tillbaka ryssarna p\u00e5 fler platser \u00e4n Kherson och s\u00f6dra fronten, uppe vi Kharkiv, Izyum, dom har pushat tillbaka vid Siversk och Soledar. \u00c4ven runt Donetsk.
\nK\u00e4nns som vi sitter lite i radioskugga just nu och det beror s\u00e5klart p\u00e5 v\u00e4djanden om Opsec.
\nD\u00e5 kan man ta till det sista knepet och kolla proryska sidor och l\u00e4sa Girkin f\u00f6r s\u00e5nt som \u00e4r d\u00e5ligt f\u00f6r ryssland som dom skriver \u00e4r nog sant, typ.
\n\u00c4r n\u00e5got mycket st\u00f6rre i g\u00f6rningen \u00e4n bara en positioneringsrunda vid Kherson om man f\u00e5r gissa sen kanske det inte n\u00e5r hela v\u00e4gen men ett allvarligt menat f\u00f6rs\u00f6k verkar det iallafall vara?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:47<\/h3>\n

Skrev lite otydligt \u2013 tror inte bara det \u00e4r en positioneringsrunda vid Kherson, tror det \u00e4r offensiva operationer l\u00e4ngs med hela den aktiva frontlinjen fr\u00e5n Kharkov till Kherson.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:19 Erik14 postade en video med infanteri och T72 samt n\u00e5gra modifierade M113. Nu kanske jag t\u00e4nker fel men jag […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraina","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-09-01 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-09-01\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-09-01 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"10:19 Erik14 postade en video med infanteri och T72 samt n\u00e5gra modifierade M113. 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