{"id":6818,"date":"2022-10-11T09:40:44","date_gmt":"2022-10-11T07:40:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-10-11\/"},"modified":"2022-10-11T09:40:44","modified_gmt":"2022-10-11T07:40:44","slug":"2022-10-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-10-11\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-10-11"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

14:54<\/h2>\n

Nu b\u00f6r v\u00e4l ryssarnas offensiva kapacitet vara \u00e4nnu s\u00e4mre \u00e4n den var f\u00f6r n\u00e5gra veckor sedan n\u00e4r den nya chefen f\u00f6r den rullande cirkusen skall s\u00e4tta sin vattenst\u00e4mpel p\u00e5 specialoperationen och gjort precis det Hypnopaddan bett om, skickar fram\u00e5t allt. Man har g\u00e5tt h\u00e5rdare fram i ett par veckor nu och det \u00e4r v\u00e4l inte slut \u00e4nnu, eller den ryska versionen av h\u00e5rdare fram d\u00e4r man s\u00e4tter ned k\u00e4ngan h\u00e5rt i marken n\u00e5gra g\u00e5nger med h\u00f6ga kn\u00e4n innan man d\u00f6r.<\/p>\n

Filmen ig\u00e5r p\u00e5 utslagen rysk kolonn (n\u00e4r \u00e4r inte viktigt) h\u00e4nder ju \u00f6verallt varje dag, det allseende \u00f6gat ser och h\u00f6r allt, IR kapacitet f\u00e5r man f\u00f6rmoda d\u00e5 mycket utslaget st\u00e5r i skyl s\u00e5 som vilket kompani som helst skulle f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka sprida ut sig i gruppering i ett skogsparti.
\n\u00c5terkommer alldeles f\u00f6r ofta till det raljerande att en 777 batteri kan sl\u00e5 ut en BTG p\u00e5 n\u00e5n f\u00f6rmiddag om dom hoppar \u00f6ver morgonkaffet. Det verkar som dom sl\u00e5r ut gr\u00f6vre kalibrar i en f\u00f6rsvarsst\u00e4llning med indirekt eld och sedan kan man jobba i lugn och ro mot ryss i grop tills dom \u00e4r mogna f\u00f6r en rysk organiserad retr\u00e4tt och blir utslagna p\u00e5 v\u00e4g i det st\u00e4ndiga gatloppet.<\/p>\n

Det vi f\u00e5r nog passa oss f\u00f6r \u00e4r att g\u00f6ra en tysk f\u00f6r det kommer in materiel varje dag hela tiden och nu har man ju mobiliserat upp personal.
\nOffensiv kapacitet sjunker v\u00e4l dagligen pga. att nytt manskap ej har tr\u00e4ning\/erfarenhet men det finns ju en defensiv kapacitet kvar som st\u00e5r mellan Ukraina och att befria sitt land. Gissningsvis \u00e4r den p\u00e5 upp\u00e5tg\u00e5ende nu.<\/p>\n

L\u00e5gpunkten \u00e4r s\u00e5ledes nu om man f\u00e5r gissa och Ukraina har ju gjort mesta m\u00f6jliga uppe i norr och vid Kherson. Det som s\u00e5klart blir en \u201dpl\u00f6tsligt h\u00e4nder det\u201d \u00e4r ju vid den S\u00f6dra fronten och schackdraget. Det finns alla logiska sk\u00e4l till att det skall h\u00e4nda nu under h\u00f6sten men det \u00e4r m\u00e5nga faktorer som spelar in bara stridsledningen vet.
\nH\u00f6gst p\u00e5 risklistan \u00e4r fortfarande att Ukraina tappar momentum men det har vi inte sett \u00e4nnu.<\/p>\n

T\u00e4nk om de 84 robotarna eller vad det nu var hade tr\u00e4ffat h\u00f6gv\u00e4rdiga m\u00e5l \u2013 stabsplatser, ammunitionsf\u00f6rr\u00e5d, br\u00e4nsledep\u00e5er, samlingsplatser, artilleri osv. Allt det som Ukraina varje dag sl\u00e5r ut. Ryssarna skjuter ju mot det dom kan \u2013 baracker f\u00f6r man\u00f6verbrigaderna som v\u00e4l \u00e4r tomma och s\u00e5nt som inte g\u00e5r att flytta \u2013 civila m\u00e5l. <\/p>\n

Deras version av HIMARS fungerar ju inte f\u00f6r dom inte har den informationsinh\u00e4mtning som Ukraina har.
\nSen fungerade inte deras skott \u00f6ver st\u00e4ven heller, hit men inte l\u00e4ngre, f\u00f6r dom har redan spelat det kortet redan vid Mariupol. <\/p>\n

Dock s\u00e5 tycker jag nog att efter NS1\/NS2 och dessa meningsl\u00f6sa terrorbombningar att v\u00e4st kan skjuta till det d\u00e4r sista som Ukraina beh\u00f6ver f\u00f6r att vinna kriget, listan cirkulerades ju redan i v\u00e5ras och det var en stor diskussion om MBT och IFV som dog ut. Varf\u00f6r det skulle vara politiskt k\u00e4nsligt nu f\u00e5r n\u00e5gon n\u00e4stan f\u00f6rklara f\u00f6r mig och dom ukrainska barnen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:06<\/h2>\n

Jag tror att ryssarna nu m\u00e5ste v\u00e4nda sig till subversiv verksamhet i stor skala n\u00e4r allt annat g\u00e5r s\u00e5d\u00e4r ryskt otroligt d\u00e5ligt.<\/p>\n

Vi har redan sett en gammal trotj\u00e4nare, T, g\u00e5 ut och kr\u00e4va fred f\u00f6r att r\u00e4dda barnen och sen lite otippade kandidater.
\nJust nu \u00e4r alla som b\u00f6rjar skrika fred i Ukraina (och har varit tysta fram tills nu) nog att anse som del i ryssarnas subversiva p\u00e5verkan, medvetet eller att dom lystrar till proryska kanaler.<\/p>\n

Sen har vi dom som b\u00f6rjar vispa upp r\u00e4dsla f\u00f6r k\u00e4rnvapen, finns v\u00e4l n\u00e5n \u00f6vervintrad fredsivrare d\u00e4r kanske men annars samma d\u00e4r \u2013 p\u00e5verkan medvetet eller omedvetet. Senast i raden \u00e4r ju Alexander S av alla som vill att vi inte skall f\u00f6rringa Putins k\u00e4rnvapenhot, it is real. Nu tror jag inte att Alexander \u00e4r avl\u00f6nad Putinist p\u00e5 n\u00e5got s\u00e4tt men har man en stor plattform kan man v\u00e4l kanske t\u00e4nka sig f\u00f6r innan man spelar rysk psyops rakt i h\u00e4nderna t\u00e4nker jag.<\/p>\n

Till det kommer all vanlig p\u00e5verkan \u2013 gasvapnet, el-\u00e5ngest, \u201dvi mot dom\u201d (h\u00f6ger-v\u00e4nster, pigmenterad \u2013 ej pigmenterad osv. (den tog vi fr\u00e5n BD) ) <\/p>\n

Det blir lite lurigare f\u00f6r nu kan man ocks\u00e5 anv\u00e4nda \u201dPutinist\u201d till allt, jag har en genuin klimat\u00e5ngest f\u00f6r mitt inneklimat och det beror inte p\u00e5 att jag gillar Putin utan det kommer av att MP st\u00e4ngde k\u00e4rnkraftsreaktorerna, eller drev det h\u00e5rt, och min elr\u00e4kning nu \u00e4r obscent h\u00f6g.<\/p>\n

Alla gamla k\u00e4nda pro-ryssar kommer driva dessa fr\u00e5gor s\u00e5 h\u00e5rt dom kan och sen kommer nu dom sista outa sig f\u00f6r att dom m\u00e5ste, och sen vill man f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng br\u00e5k grupp mot grupp \u2013 kallt inneklimat mot varmt inneklimat som st\u00e5r p\u00e5 Sergels torg och vevar mot varandra med plakaten.<\/p>\n

Det finns n\u00e4mligen ingen normalt fungerande m\u00e4nniska som kan tycka att Ryssland skall f\u00e5 en andra chans h\u00e4r s\u00e5 att risken f\u00f6r denna typ av krig kvarst\u00e5r. Realpolitik i all \u00e4ra men just nu \u00e4r det r\u00e4tt riskfritt att inte st\u00f6dja Ryssland s\u00e5 d\u00e5 kan man inte skylla p\u00e5 realpolitik heller.<\/p>\n

Sen tror jag det kommer bli h\u00e5rda attentat mot EU elf\u00f6rs\u00f6rjning framledes, det maskeras som tekniska fel men kommer i s\u00e5dan m\u00e4ngd att det st\u00e5r ut j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med tidigare \u00e5r n\u00e4r man har statistiken. Man g\u00f6r v\u00e4l ett f\u00f6rs\u00f6k med arga medborgare\/ungdomar s\u00e4kert f\u00f6r att st\u00e4lla grupper mot varandra.
\nDet g\u00e5r inte att skydda sig mot detta utan det \u00e4r mer av samma mot Ryssland som g\u00e4ller tills dom antingen t\u00e4nker om eller inte kan f\u00f6ra sin subversiva verksamhet.<\/p>\n

I Ukraina \u00e4r det hur m\u00e5nga pro-ryska personer som helst som bist\u00e5r Ryssland och man kan ju gissa att det \u00e4r p\u00e5 liknande s\u00e4tt i \u00f6vriga europa, dock inte i s\u00e5 stor skala. En tekniker p\u00e5 valfritt k\u00e4rnkraftsverk som gl\u00f6mmer en skiftnyckel i X s\u00e5 reaktorn f\u00e5r st\u00e4ngas ned i sex m\u00e5nader \u2013 mer beh\u00f6vs v\u00e4l inte f\u00f6r att dubbla elpriset i Sverige i Januari. Man kan om\u00f6jligt skydda allt s\u00e5 det kommer att komma attentat p\u00e5 v\u00e5r energinfrastruktur. <\/p>\n

B\u00e4sta s\u00e4ttet att f\u00e5 upp innetemperaturen s\u00e5 barnen inte beh\u00f6ver sitta med overallen och titta p\u00e5 TV \u00e4r s\u00e5ledes att sl\u00e5 ryssarna i grunden i Ukraina s\u00e5 dom helt tappar lusten att f\u00f6ra sin subversiva verksamhet.<\/p>\n

Med facit i Ukraina s\u00e5 \u00e4r jag ocks\u00e5 r\u00e4tt \u00f6vertygad om att n\u00e4r historien s\u00e5 sm\u00e5ningon skall skrivas s\u00e5 var de ryska subversiva tentaklerna betydligt fler och l\u00e4ngre \u00e4n vad man tror idag runtom i det fria v\u00e4st.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:10<\/h3>\n

Orban f\u00e5r man ju inte gl\u00f6mma, han har hittat ut ur sin grotta och skjuter r\u00e4tt brett just nu i alla fr\u00e5gor som gynnar Ryssland. Han har ju personligen lyckats verkligen sabba ryktet f\u00f6r Ungern f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga \u00e5r fram\u00f6ver h\u00e4r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

14:54 Nu b\u00f6r v\u00e4l ryssarnas offensiva kapacitet vara \u00e4nnu s\u00e4mre \u00e4n den var f\u00f6r n\u00e5gra veckor sedan n\u00e4r den nya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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