{"id":6844,"date":"2022-10-26T10:20:37","date_gmt":"2022-10-26T08:20:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-10-26-2\/"},"modified":"2022-10-26T10:20:37","modified_gmt":"2022-10-26T08:20:37","slug":"2022-10-26-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-10-26-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-10-26"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

11:00 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Skall se om man kan undvika att skriva Ryssland och ryssarna framledes f\u00f6r att inte generalisera. Utg\u00e5r ifr\u00e5n att padd-analogier \u00e4r fortsatt till\u00e5tet, vore tr\u00e5kigt att beh\u00f6va sl\u00e4ppa den perfekta beskrivningen av Putin.<\/p>\n

Om man skall f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka att inte g\u00f6ra det h\u00e4r till politik \u2013 vad i hela helskotta h\u00e5ller v\u00e5r nytillsatta regering p\u00e5 med, innan valet var v\u00e4l Magda feg och ynklig och nu kvalhemligade man rapporten samma dag den kom och la locket p\u00e5?<\/p>\n

Jo jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5r att det p\u00e5g\u00e5r diskussioner under ytan h\u00e4r och att vi inte f\u00f6rst\u00e5r n\u00e5gonting, vi sm\u00e5barnsf\u00f6r\u00e4ldrar ha ju ingen koll och vad resultatet \u00e4n blir har man gjort r\u00e4tt och vi har ingen koll, \u00e4ven om man bara l\u00e4gger locket p\u00e5 och kvalhemligar allt \u2013 d\u00e5 har man gjort r\u00e4tt. <\/p>\n

Jag t\u00e4nker att s\u00e5 d\u00e4r enormt hemligt kan det ju inte vara vad man skickar, hela EU skyltar med allt dom skickar hela tiden? Det \u00e4r ju den eviga diskussionen i tr\u00e5den att vi inte f\u00e5r avsl\u00f6ja v\u00e5r f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga, de enda som kan v\u00e5r f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga lika bra som f\u00f6rsvaret \u00e4r v\u00e4l rysk under\u00e4ttelsetj\u00e4nst, det ing\u00e5r i deras jobbbeskrivning. Skickar vi n\u00e5got vet dom \u00e4nd\u00e5 efter en m\u00e5nad vad vi skickat n\u00e4r batcheferna rapporterar in att dom blivit manglade av n\u00e5got nytt.<\/p>\n

Jo man b\u00f6r v\u00e4nta tills dom sett strid n\u00e5n vecka men att sedan g\u00e5 ut och s\u00e4ga, vi skickade n\u00e5gra kompanier CV90 \u2013 h\u00f6gt signalv\u00e4rde till \u00f6vriga v\u00e4st att b\u00f6rja \u00f6ppna f\u00f6rr\u00e5den och skicka offensiva vapensystem.<\/p>\n

Politiskt k\u00e4nsligt?
\n\u00c4r det politiskt k\u00e4nsligt \u00e4r det f\u00f6r att man inte vill st\u00f6ta sig med Ryssland fortfarande \u2013 efter snart ett \u00e5rs utrotningskrig och tortyrm\u00f6rdade barn \u2013 Polen, Tjeckien, Slovakien, Baltikum, Finland och Norge resonerar inte s\u00e5.
\nDet resonemanget (om det \u00e4r aktivt) st\u00e4ller jag inte upp p\u00e5 \u2013 d\u00e5 f\u00f6rhandlar man bort all lojalitet man b\u00f6r ha med Ukraina, den tacksamhetsskuld vi b\u00f6r k\u00e4nna med Ukraina och sj\u00e4lvbevarelsedriften \u2013 om Ukraina f\u00f6rlorar f\u00f6rs\u00e4mras v\u00e5rt l\u00e4ge markant, vi n\u00e4rmar oss d\u00e5 ett tredje v\u00e4rldskrig.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r ingen i tr\u00e5den som tror att vi skall skicka h\u00e4lften av v\u00e5r materiel \u00e4ven d\u00e5 vi skriver det men vi alla f\u00f6rst\u00e5r ocks\u00e5 att n\u00e5got\/n\u00e5gra kompanier CV90, ett par Archer och n\u00e5t annat kul inte p\u00e5 n\u00e5got s\u00e4tt s\u00e4nker v\u00e5rt lands f\u00f6rsvarsf\u00f6rm\u00e5ga. Det kraschar inte heller underh\u00e5llskedjorna i Ukraina och Ukraina kommer g\u00f6ra underverk med dessa vapensystem precis som dom gjort med HIMARS, Warrior, franska renault Ptgb, Cesar, radarsystem och hela dr\u00f6narparken \u2013 verkar dom ha sv\u00e5rt att l\u00e4ra sig att ratta ett nytt system?<\/p>\n

Ukraina vill ha pansar och stridsfordon fr\u00e5n \u00f6versta hyllan, det \u00e4r nummer 1,2,3,4,5 p\u00e5 deras \u00f6nskelista nu. S\u00e5 l\u00e4nge det \u00e4r krig i Ukraina kommer ryska landslaget i akrobatisk gymnastik eskalera, det \u00e4r det enda dom kan. Dom kommer ge sig p\u00e5 EU mjuka delar om dom inte redan b\u00f6rjat med det. Det kommer anges som tekniska fel f\u00f6r det finns inga bevis och man vill inte skr\u00e4mmas men n\u00e4r man summerar m\u00e5nadsvis kommer det bli en gigantisk puckel denna vinter.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:17 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Det b\u00f6rjar v\u00e4l st\u00e5 klart att ryska laget i akrobatisk gymnastik har f\u00f6r avsikt att beh\u00e5lla staden Kherson men att dom \u00e4r beredda att \u00f6verge omr\u00e5det \u00f6ster om Inhulets om det kommer till det, vi har v\u00e4l diskuterat det ett par dagar. Nu kan ju kanske Ukraina tok-\u00f6ka precisionsangrepp med l\u00e5ngdistansvapen tills det blir helt oh\u00e5llbart i staden Kherson, och dom har tillr\u00e4ckligt med vapenplattformar f\u00f6r att g\u00f6ra det, men s\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt har det inte gett det resultat man t\u00e4nkt sig \u00f6ster om Inhulets. En regelr\u00e4tt stormning av staden k\u00e4nns inte l\u00e4mpligt om den inte kommer samtidigt som en panikartad retr\u00e4tt bara f\u00f6r att jaga ryssarna framf\u00f6r sig hoppandes med f\u00e4rgglada badankor som hela tiden glider ned s\u00e5 dom snubblar i gyttjan och man allt man h\u00f6r \u00e4r ett v\u00e4sande \u201dnjeeet\u201d fr\u00e5n botten av p\u00f6len.<\/p>\n

Jag undrar om det kan vara den m\u00e5lstyrda ammunitionen som \u00e4r flaskhalsen h\u00e4r, det g\u00e5r \u00e5t enorma m\u00e4ngder ammunition och det har inte levererats i alltf\u00f6r stor m\u00e4ngd?<\/p>\n

Sen undrar jag om ryssarna f\u00e5tt ordning p\u00e5 sitt underh\u00e5ll till viss del f\u00f6r deras urusla artilleribeskjutning verkar vara p\u00e5 \u00f6kande?<\/p>\n

Dom har ocks\u00e5 bef\u00e4st Dneprs \u00f6stra strand d\u00e4r det inte finns befintliga \u00f6verg\u00e5ngar s\u00e5 rimligen \u00e4r man orolig f\u00f6r bubblaren \u00f6verg\u00e5ng \u00f6ver Dnepr. Dom b\u00f6r ha bef\u00e4st \u00f6stra stranden d\u00e4r det beh\u00f6vs s\u00e5 en snabb \u00f6verg\u00e5ng av Ukraina kan vi nog stryka \u2013 om dom inte har l\u00e4mnat luckor av ren inkompetens som Ukraina kan utnyttja f\u00f6r att skicka \u00f6ver infanteri som bef\u00e4ster ett samh\u00e4lle och skapar sig en BTG grillare. Det var ju s\u00e5 dom gjorde vid Davyidiv Brid till exempel.<\/p>\n

Om vi inte ser ett anfall ned mot Azov i n\u00e4rtid (f\u00f6r att Ukraina inte har resurser), d\u00e5 kommer dom rensa klart omr\u00e5det \u00f6ster om Inhulets, kapsla in staden Kherson-ryssarna och sen banda upp (tungtransport) brigader till S\u00f6dra fronten f\u00f6r offensiv d\u00e4rnere.<\/p>\n

Tokmak \u2013 Melitopol \u00e4r ej l\u00e4mplig som angreppspunkt (denna f\u00e5r jag nog \u00e4ta upp f\u00f6r proryska forum varnar f\u00f6r just det nu\u2026) men ryska f\u00f6rband m\u00e5ste ju dras n\u00e5gonstans ifr\u00e5n som f\u00f6rst\u00e4rker upp d\u00e4r.. Mariupol \u2013 \u00f6ster om Mariupol och m\u00f6rkaste Donbass kan nog vara svagt\/svagare nu. R\u00f6tt lag fokuserar p\u00e5 att m\u00f6ta hotet fr\u00e5n Dnepr och att palla upp kulissen vid Vasylivka, Tokmak, Melitopol. Dom h\u00e5ller \u00e4ven p\u00e5 med sina h\u00f6ga kn\u00e4n mot Bakhmut \u2013 Siversk linjen samt sitt snudd p\u00e5 odugliga f\u00f6rsvar i norra Luhansk. <\/p>\n

R\u00e4tt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att mellan Volnovakha \u2013 Horlivka \u00e4r det som svagast d\u00e5 den kritiska massan fortfarande \u00e4r till Ukrainas f\u00f6rdel.<\/p>\n

L\u00e5gpunkten \u00e4r passerad och om ryska landslaget i akrobatisk gymnastik \u00f6verger omr\u00e5det \u00f6ster om Inhulets frig\u00f6r dom 25 BTG elitf\u00f6rband (i varierande skick\u2026) att omf\u00f6rdela p\u00e5 andra fronter.
\nEtt problem med att Ukraina inte f\u00e5r materiel i den utstr\u00e4ckning dom beh\u00f6ver \u00e4r att efter varje omr\u00e5de dom tar s\u00e5 \u00f6kar densiteten p\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvaret i kvarvarande omr\u00e5den.
\nEn uppsida med det \u00e4r att det blir roligare att vara HIMARSbes\u00e4ttning n\u00e4r man kan sl\u00e5 ut hela kompanier med ett tungstensregn.<\/p>\n

N\u00e5got som talar f\u00f6r att Ukraina inte f\u00e5r tillr\u00e4ckligt med materiel \u00e4r att dom tilldelar 1-2 stridsvagnskompanier f\u00f6r st\u00f6rre offensiva operationer n\u00e4r dom skulle ha satt in hela pansarbrigader. Man m\u00e5ste hush\u00e5lla med pansaret nu \u2013 riskerar ett par kompanier i murbr\u00e4cka, ut\u00f6ver det blir det v\u00e4l infanterist\u00f6d med pluton strv?<\/p>\n

Sen till n\u00e5got kul, enligt r\u00f6tt lag s\u00e5 har USA gett Ukraina medel och r\u00e4tt till licenstillverkning av HIMARS ammunition, apokalypsen n\u00e4rmar sig med stormsteg.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

S\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ter det p\u00e5 proryska forum \u2013<\/p>\n

\u201dPresident of Iran Ibrahim Raisi said that the construction of a multipolar world cannot be stopped.<\/p>\n

According to him, there are already many centers of power outside the Western world.<\/p>\n

Tehran takes the development of relations with Moscow seriously and considers the Shanghai Cooperation Organization one of its centers of power\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ju l\u00e4ngre tid kriget h\u00e5ller p\u00e5 desto starkare bli dessa krafter. Det \u00e4r en samling skurkstater men dom skulle otroligt g\u00e4rna g\u00f6ra ett f\u00f6rs\u00f6k att ta \u00f6ver och att det inte g\u00e5tt p\u00e5 300 \u2013 400 \u00e5r \u00e4r dom inte speciellt oroliga f\u00f6r, vilket dom borde vara. <\/p>\n

Problemet f\u00f6r oss \u00e4r att det blir miljoner d\u00f6da och en f\u00f6r\u00f6dd v\u00e4rld igen. Undvikes b\u00e4st om Ukraina sl\u00e4nger ut den rullande cirkusen inom en rimlig tid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:00 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Jag kan tycka att det \u00e4r ok f\u00f6r regeringen att l\u00e4sa rapporten och fundera n\u00e5gon eller n\u00e5gra dagar innan de tar beslut.
\nSen kan det vara bra att h\u00e5lla tyst tills det man t\u00e4nker skicka \u00e4r p\u00e5 plats i Ukraina (f\u00f6r att minska risken att n\u00e5got h\u00e4nder p\u00e5 v\u00e4gen).
\nAtt sen l\u00e5ta bli att meddela vad man gjort p\u00e5 grund av rikets s\u00e4kerhet k\u00e4nns omotiverat. Det kommer att komma fram i vilket fall. M\u00f6jligen att man kan undvika att n\u00e4mna antalet om vi t.ex. skickar Archer.
\nEnda anledningen till att h\u00e5lla tyst som jag ser det \u00e4r om det vi kommit fram till att vi kan skicka, inte \u00e4r n\u00e5got v\u00e4rt att skryta med (eftersom det skulle ha ett negativt symbolv\u00e4rde).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

22:37 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Tog inte en vecka
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/tpyxanews\/status\/1585258882984988672?s=46&t=9MnMRkEUDgn7Z4qf2zQokg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:03 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Signalpolitiken forts\u00e4tter
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thedeaddistrict\/status\/1585508014995513344?s=46&t=y_p4SDUKhgEfx8M2UorOww<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

11:00 \u2013 Johan No.1 Skall se om man kan undvika att skriva Ryssland och ryssarna framledes f\u00f6r att inte generalisera. 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