{"id":7076,"date":"2022-11-30T09:06:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-30T08:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2022-11-30-2\/"},"modified":"2022-11-30T09:06:00","modified_gmt":"2022-11-30T08:06:00","slug":"2022-11-30-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-11-30-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2022-11-30"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:46<\/h2>\n

Det b\u00f6rjar forma sig tre omfattningar, en kring Toretsk, en kring Bakhmut och en kring Avdiivka.<\/p>\n

Tittar man p\u00e5 hotet p\u00e5 strategisk niv\u00e5 \u00e4r det mycket l\u00e5gt men vi minns v\u00e4l Popasna och hur allt sl\u00e4ppte n\u00e4r den f\u00f6ll s\u00e5 det finns alltid en risk att Ukraina h\u00e4ngt upp mycket p\u00e5 en ort och n\u00e4r den faller blir det ett vakuum men hur ryssarna skulle utnyttja det \u00e4r nog den stora fr\u00e5gan, infanteri \u00e4r l\u00e5ngsamt.
\nMan h\u00e5ller kanske tillbaka en del pansar\/motorized BTG f\u00f6r ett genombrott som vid Popasna?<\/p>\n

Ukrainas man\u00f6verbrigader \u00e4r i stort sett alla vid aktiva fronter. Nu f\u00f6rbereder sig Ukraina f\u00f6r fortsatt offensiv vid s\u00f6dra fronten och Luhansk men det finns ingen STOR operativ reserv att s\u00e4tta emot om det brister n\u00e5gonstans, d\u00e5 f\u00e5r man dra bort f\u00f6rband fr\u00e5n planerade offensiver gissningsvis.<\/p>\n

Det b\u00f6r rimligen finnas en andra f\u00f6rsvarslinje?
\nhuvudf\u00f6rsvarslinjen \u00e4r v\u00e4l Kramatorks\/Slovyansk och ned mot Toretsk men dom b\u00f6r rimligen ha en N \u2013 SV linje ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Kan det vara ryskt oblastkrigande fortfarande?
\nLuhansk \u00e4r ju snudd p\u00e5 i rysk hand och till Donetsk oblastgr\u00e4ns \u00e4r det l\u00e5ngt kvar men dom anfaller i n\u00e5got som ser ut att vara i syfte att ta Donetsk oblast?
\nTittar man p\u00e5 Deepstatemap s\u00e5 \u00e4r alla anfallspilar i Donetsk oblast.<\/p>\n

Hade dom satsat allt p\u00e5 att g\u00e5 upp mot Dnipro ist\u00e4llet hade det funnits n\u00e5n typ av logik i det hela, att st\u00e4nga \u00f6verg\u00e5ngarna \u00f6ver Dnepr. Det finns en otroligt attraktiv f\u00f6rsvarsterr\u00e4ng N\u00d6 om staden Dnipro och bort mot Pavlograd.<\/p>\n

Man \u00e4r alltid orolig att det finns n\u00e5n genial plan man inte listat ut men jag kan inte se att det finns en annan plan \u00e4n att ta Donetsk oblast h\u00e4r i utbyte mot enorma m\u00e4ngder nymobiliserade d\u00f6da.<\/p>\n

Strategin \u00e4r rimligen ocks\u00e5 att vila de b\u00e4ttre f\u00f6rbanden och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka n\u00f6ta ned Ukrainska man\u00f6verbrigader genom att kasta nymobiliserade p\u00e5 dom.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:52<\/h3>\n

fritt ur minnet fr\u00e5n n\u00e5n tr\u00e5d \u2013 NATO \u00e4r en f\u00f6rsvarsallians som inte p\u00e5 n\u00e5got s\u00e4tt hotar Ryssland. Enda anledningen att dom inte tycker om NATO \u00e4r f\u00f6r att dom inte kan \u00f6verfalla l\u00e4nder i sin n\u00e4rhet som Georgien, Afghanistan och Ukraina.. Tjetjenien ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n

G\u00e5r att j\u00e4mf\u00f6ra med n\u00e4r man s\u00e4tter upp en polisstation i en s\u00e4mre f\u00f6rort, alla blir j\u00e4tteglada f\u00f6rutom de yrkeskriminella som ser det som ett hot.<\/p>\n

Nu kanske ryssland d\u00f6mar andra efter sig sj\u00e4lva men jag tror inte att vi inom \u00f6versk\u00e5dlig framtid hade sett NATO anfalla landet Ryssland?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:10<\/h2>\n

M\u00f6jlig bensin p\u00e5 brasan i Belarus, milit\u00e4ren \u00e4r nog inte j\u00e4ttesugna p\u00e5 att skickas till ukraina.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/SamRamani2\/status\/1597671543659642881?s=20&t=2a6-Hr1nQbET89PXc219_A<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:04<\/h3>\n

Kan det vara detta man vill anv\u00e4nda de 2000st sj\u00e4lvmordsdr\u00f6narna till?
\nDom kanske inte har den r\u00e4ckvidden?<\/p>\n

Ukraina m\u00e5ste rimligen f\u00e5 svara proportionellt s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge Ryssland forts\u00e4tter. Om Ryssland g\u00e5r ut och deklarerar att man inte l\u00e4ngre kommer skjuta robotar in i Ukraina n\u00e5gonsin finns det v\u00e4l sk\u00e4l att stoppa?<\/p>\n

Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r en s\u00e5n d\u00e4r bit information som man gissar \u00e4r startskottet f\u00f6r en ny strategi fr\u00e5n ukraina som kommer st\u00e4lla till ofantligt med oreda n\u00e4rmaste 1-2 m\u00e5naderna.<\/p>\n

Sj\u00e4lv funderar jag p\u00e5 om inte Ryssland \u00e4r mer s\u00e5rbart f\u00f6r attacker mot elf\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningen \u00e4n EU och Ukraina, det kommer vara m\u00f6rkt l\u00e4ngre.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:48<\/h2>\n

Lite sm\u00e5kul, ukrainska soldater f\u00e5r l\u00e4ra sig det viktigaste av allt \u2013 Haka \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/tpyxanews\/status\/1597997230866452480?s=46&t=w2VcL7OT4T8C2mZ1xEFJsA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:46 Det b\u00f6rjar forma sig tre omfattningar, en kring Toretsk, en kring Bakhmut och en kring Avdiivka. Tittar man p\u00e5 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraina","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"\n2022-11-30 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2022-11-30-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022-11-30 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"10:46 Det b\u00f6rjar forma sig tre omfattningar, en kring Toretsk, en kring Bakhmut och en kring Avdiivka. 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