{"id":7539,"date":"2023-02-21T09:46:39","date_gmt":"2023-02-21T08:46:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-02-21\/"},"modified":"2023-02-21T09:46:39","modified_gmt":"2023-02-21T08:46:39","slug":"2023-02-21","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-02-21\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-02-21"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:49 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ett r\u00e4tt ok skottf\u00e4lt och v\u00e4lbyggt v\u00e4rn, sv\u00e5rt att ta med infanteri \u00f6ver f\u00e4lt.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/GirkinGirkin\/status\/1627876006861148160?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:10 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Kom en tittarfr\u00e5ga ig\u00e5r om CV90 och Archer kommer g\u00f6ra skillnad och om UA kan hantera dom p\u00e5 b\u00e4sta s\u00e4tt.<\/p>\n

Vad vi sett hittills anv\u00e4nder dom ju aldrig vapensystemen som det var t\u00e4nkt \u2013 dom rattar dom alltid b\u00e4ttre.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 sp\u00e4nnande situation p\u00e5 marken som jag inte riktigt lyckas analysera \u2013 ta den d\u00e4r stridsvagnen fr\u00e5n Azov som k\u00f6rde fram och tillbaka framf\u00f6r ett v\u00e4rnsystem och satte spr\u00e4ng i m\u00f6rdarsniglarna.<\/p>\n

Dom exponerade sig otroligt mycket hela tiden men dom r\u00f6rde p\u00e5 sig f\u00f6r att inte kunna tr\u00e4ffas av indirekt eld t\u00e4nker jag?<\/p>\n

D\u00e5 m\u00e5ste rimligen dr\u00f6narna ha sett gruppen komma in och att dom inte hade n\u00e5gon n\u00e4rPV?<\/p>\n

Dom har koll i realtid t\u00e4nker jag?<\/p>\n

Sen hade ni han skyttegravsguden som tog ut en ryss p\u00e5 film. Det var tydligen en spetznaz eller VDV med extra allt. Killen gick fram uppr\u00e4tt till v\u00e4rnet, ensam, och sk\u00f6ts. Erik14 hade det utrett ig\u00e5r i vanlig ordning och DeadDistrict har en n\u00e4rbild d\u00e4r man ser massa attribut som bara innehas av deras (relativa) elit.<\/p>\n

Skyttegravsguden tog eld och r\u00f6relse till en helt ny niv\u00e5 \u00e4ven om det kanske var klippt.<\/p>\n

Och sen har man skakat liv i den gamla inb\u00f6rdeskrigsklassikern \u2013 laddare. Med denna eld-r\u00f6relse och laddare kan ju en f\u00f6rsvarare f\u00e5 samma effekt som en hel grupp vilket jag finner intressant.<\/p>\n

Sen var tydligen f\u00f6rsvararen fr\u00e5n en \u201dvanlig\u201d mekbrigad och inte n\u00e5t elitf\u00f6rband (erik14 igen).<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r otroligt mycket i det h\u00e4r kriget som inte f\u00f6ljer soldatens lilla gr\u00f6na men det \u00e4r uteslutande f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttringar. <\/p>\n

Archer kommer v\u00e4l tillsammans med artradar, r\u00e4tt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att det st\u00e5tt Arthur n\u00e5gonstans eller har jag dr\u00f6mt?
\nOm inte \u00e4r Archer v\u00e4l kompatibel med annan artradar levererad.<\/p>\n

Detta system kommer nog anv\u00e4ndas frontn\u00e4ra i counterbattery-fire och mot h\u00f6gv\u00e4rdiga m\u00e5l och s\u00e4kerligen g\u00f6ra stor skillnad \u2013 12st \u00e4r h\u00f6g numer\u00e4r och vid Kherson n\u00e4r 6st Cesar och n\u00e5gra panzerhaubitze kom tickade det upp direkt.
\n777 har haft lite sv\u00e5rt att f\u00f6rflytta tillr\u00e4ckligt snabbt och tagit f\u00f6rluster, vet inte hur m\u00e5nga.<\/p>\n

CV90 \u00e4r r\u00e4tt unik och f\u00f6rmodligen det d\u00f6dligaste dom kommer ha i sin arsenal i IFV parken \u2013 dom kommer bli ett ypperligt komplement f\u00f6r att ta v\u00e4rnsystem.<\/p>\n

Nu f\u00e5r vi komma ih\u00e5g att UA kommer ha \u00f6gonblicksbild i realtid n\u00e4r dom skall fram och det b\u00f6r d\u00e5 inte finnas strv i anfallsm\u00e5let.<\/p>\n

Kan finnas n\u00e4rPV och kanske markbaserad robot men dom kan man ocks\u00e5 sl\u00e5 ut med indirekt eld i realtid.<\/p>\n

Sen har CV90 40mm spr\u00e4ng och en granat f\u00f6r luftbrisad \u00f6ver m\u00e5let, spr\u00e4ng levereras s\u00e5klart tillsammans med pil men andra roliga granater vet vi ju inte.<\/p>\n

Under framryckningen trycker dom in spr\u00e4ng i m\u00e5let vilket g\u00f6r att f\u00f6rsvaret f\u00e5r h\u00e5lla huvudena nere.<\/p>\n

Dom har utrymme f\u00f6r 8st, ukrainsk pansarskyttegrupp \u00e4r 6st tror jag? Uppt\u00e4ckte ocks\u00e5 att CV90 \u00e4ndrat i bakutrymmet till 7st p\u00e5 senare tid.<\/p>\n

Man har tv\u00e5 anfallsm\u00f6jligheter \u2013 <\/p>\n

-k\u00f6r upp mot v\u00e4rnsystemet, stanna precis innan, urlasta och sen f\u00e5r skyttet forts\u00e4tta fram\u00e5t med underst\u00f6d av fordonet.<\/p>\n

-k\u00f6ra \u00f6ver f\u00f6rsvaret i vagnsstrid d\u00e4r dom luckar upp och strider fr\u00e5n fordonet. Kan inte svara p\u00e5 hur vanligt det \u00e4r, v\u00e4rnsystem ligger v\u00e4l ofta i dominerande terr\u00e4ng s\u00e5 \u201dk\u00f6r man \u00f6ver\u201d exponerar man v\u00e4l vagnen f\u00f6r n\u00e4sta f\u00f6rsvarslinje? Det l\u00e4rdes dock ut till oss.<\/p>\n

Nu levererar vi ocks\u00e5 n\u00e4rPV s\u00e5 det b\u00f6r d\u00e5 urlasta en skyttegrupp med ksp, grg eller liknande omladdningsbart vapen och ett par pansarskott.<\/p>\n

Bara det h\u00e4r r\u00e4cker ju f\u00f6r att sl\u00e5 tillbaka insatsstyrkans motanfall och sen finns det v\u00e4stliga stridsvagnar med 1:3 eller n\u00e5t, 1 pluton per kompani om man vill sprida ut.<\/p>\n

N\u00e4r Bradley, Marder och CV90 kommer kan dom strida p\u00e5 ett helt annat s\u00e4tt \u00e4n vad dom gjort hittills.<\/p>\n

F\u00f6rmodligen anv\u00e4nds dom med v\u00e4stpansar f\u00f6r att skapa genombrotten och d\u00e5 g\u00f6r dom ALL skillnad, dom vinner kriget.<\/p>\n

Summerar ni ihop allt, strv, ifv och artilleri \u00e4r det s\u00e4kerligen 3-4 brigader dom kan sprida ut det p\u00e5 s\u00e5 dom kan f\u00e5 till genombrott p\u00e5 upp till tre fronter simultant.<\/p>\n

Sen var det m\u00e5nga som var inne p\u00e5 glidbomber som svar \u2013 tittar man historiskt hur det gick sist det begav sig i h\u00f6stas blir det nog v\u00e4ldigt mycket svampmoln fram\u00f6ver, som n\u00e5gon skrev \u2013 1 glidbomb \u00e4r 1 ammof\u00f6rr\u00e5d.<\/p>\n

Enligt ig\u00e5r s\u00e5 b\u00f6rjar tiden rinna ut f\u00f6r farbar mark, nere i s\u00f6der \u00e4r vi v\u00e4l n\u00e4ra\/d\u00e4r och i norr \u00e4r det veckor kvar \u2013 det finns ett distinkt slutdatum f\u00f6r rysk offensiv.<\/p>\n

Bakhmut verkar hetta upp, det flyger f\u00f6rbi bitar om att dom s\u00e4tter in stridsvagn och ifv nu, exakt var \u00e4r inte klart.
\nEnligt analysen om Bakhmut f\u00f6r n\u00e5gon vecka sedan \u00e4r det skarpt l\u00e4ge om Berkhivka intas \u2013 nu \u00e4r det inte helt sant f\u00f6r man m\u00e5ste ta dominerande terr\u00e4ng runtomkring f\u00f6r att skapa ett hot. Att sitta i en gryta och f\u00e5 sten i huvudet \u00e4r inte hotfullt.<\/p>\n

Yahidne \u00e4r i dalen och Berkhivka \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 i en dal. Noel ans\u00e5g att ryssarna n\u00e5tt dominerande terr\u00e4ng\/kulle i omr\u00e5det men inte klart var n\u00e5gonstns och Deepstatemap har lite m\u00e4rklig dragning.<\/p>\n

Jag tror att dominerande terr\u00e4ng V om \u201ddalen\u201d, V om Berkivka \u00e4r i fast UA grepp.
\nAllts\u00e5 V om Dubovo-Vasylivka och sen runt Khromove men det h\u00e5ller UA fortfarande.<\/p>\n

Tills det h\u00e4nt ser det mest obehagligt p\u00e5 en karta ut men UA h\u00e5ller idag dominerande terr\u00e4ng.<\/p>\n

Sen b\u00f6r det komma ett UA motanfall fr\u00e5n Pryvillia t\u00e4nker jag som sm\u00e4ller in i m\u00f6rdarsniglarnas flank \u2013 det har inte spelat ut \u00e4nnu. <\/p>\n

Enligt Defmon har dom roterat in 9st VDV regementen av vilka 6st \u00e4r i strid i omr\u00e5det \u2013 det \u00e4r f\u00f6rst\u00e5eligt att dom n\u00e5r framg\u00e5ngar.<\/p>\n

Dock s\u00e5 har 9st VDV regementen ett b\u00e4stf\u00f6re datum och g\u00e5r dom \u201dall-in\u201d som blivit lite deras signum g\u00e5r det nog r\u00e4tt fort.<\/p>\n

Man vet ju aldrig numer\u00e4ren f\u00f6r Wagner men dom har h\u00e5llit p\u00e5 l\u00e4nge, har ammunitionsbrist och br\u00e5k med arm\u00e9n.<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e4r det v\u00e4l n\u00e5gra motorized-brigader som underst\u00f6d d\u00e4r v\u00e4l stridsvagnarna kommer ifr\u00e5n?<\/p>\n

F\u00f6r mig k\u00e4nns det som offensiva operationer vid Bakhmut har ett slutdatum, dels f\u00f6r stridande f\u00f6rband men sen v\u00e4dret.<\/p>\n

Om det beh\u00f6vs sl\u00e4pper man v\u00e4l staden och h\u00e5ller dominerande terr\u00e4ng V om den, inte l\u00e5ngt d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n har vi ju kanalen som s\u00e5 fort isen sl\u00e4pper blir ett naturligt hinder.<\/p>\n

Men det betyder ocks\u00e5 att UA skall ta tillbaka omr\u00e5det senare i v\u00e5r. Dom har precis roterat in nya f\u00f6rband s\u00e5 det signalerar vilja att h\u00e5lla staden men Zelensky b\u00f6rjar kratta manegen f\u00f6r en retr\u00e4tt. \u00c4r v\u00e4l upp till stridsledningen Bakhmut och hur det utvecklar sig. <\/p>\n

Mina pengar \u00e4r p\u00e5 att man \u00e5tminstone f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker sig p\u00e5 ett motanfall N om Bakhmut om det beh\u00f6vs och bara om det misslyckas blir en retr\u00e4tt aktuell.<\/p>\n

I alla fall nederl\u00e4nderna har samma tankar som mig. Nu \u00e4r dock vintern \u00f6ver s\u00e5 detta \u00e5r blev det ingen attack mot v\u00e5ra mjuka m\u00e5l som gjorde skillnad.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/NOELreports\/status\/1627932433889779712?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:11 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

S\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt ett mycket bra tal av Putin, bara varmluft \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:48 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

S\u00e5g Stefpalms video fr\u00e5n killen med den manliga dialekten och det slog mig precis att s\u00e5 fort det blir plusgrader \u00e4r vattenhindret i Bakhmut ett naturligt hinder igen och dom har \u00e4nnu inte fallit tillbaka bakom\/bortom den.
\nDet vattenhindret tar ryssarna sig inte \u00f6ver pronto.<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e4r tydligen f\u00e4lten n\u00e5gra dagar borta ifr\u00e5n att bli en sj\u00f6 av gyttja. UA skall allts\u00e5 h\u00e5lla ut i n\u00e5gra dagar till innan v\u00e4dret \u00e5terigen hj\u00e4lper dom som det gjort i hela kriget.<\/p>\n

Samma som i Vuhledar att man \u00e5tertog terr\u00e4ngen fram till vattenhindret.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:55 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Stabilt!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:11 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Jag svarar med ett f\u00f6rsiktigt tack p\u00e5 den lite orolig f\u00f6r \u00e5t vilket h\u00e5ll det kommer sp\u00e5ra ur efter den inte s\u00e5 smickrande (f\u00f6r mig) diskussionen ovan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
15:34 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n

Ingen skugga ska falla p\u00e5 dig i den diskussionen!
\nDet enda du kan beskyllas f\u00f6r \u00e4r att du r\u00e5kade posta innan du var klar (h\u00e4nder ju den ERIK14 titt som t\u00e4tt).<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r v\u00e4l snarare vi andra som ska sk\u00e4mmas f\u00f6r att vi uppvisar en osedvanligt l\u00e5g niv\u00e5 p\u00e5 v\u00e5r humor?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Det r\u00e4cker ju med att se den h\u00e4r bilden f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 att dom aldrig kommer vinna och att dom kommer f\u00f6rlora.
\nMan kan ju n\u00e4stan inte klumpa ihop sig mer \u00e4n vad dom gjort h\u00e4r.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/Militarylandnet\/status\/1628070603742752775?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:32 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Som n\u00e5gon skrev, det ser n\u00e4stan arrangerat ut f\u00f6r s\u00e5 d\u00e4r amat\u00f6rm\u00e4ssigt kan de ju inte bete sig. <\/p>\n

Det har g\u00e5tt ett \u00e5r och de verkar inte ha l\u00e4rt sig n\u00e5t alls.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:49 \u2013 Johan No.1 Ett r\u00e4tt ok skottf\u00e4lt och v\u00e4lbyggt v\u00e4rn, sv\u00e5rt att ta med infanteri \u00f6ver f\u00e4lt. https:\/\/twitter.com\/GirkinGirkin\/status\/1627876006861148160?s=20 11:10 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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