{"id":7847,"date":"2023-05-28T10:37:48","date_gmt":"2023-05-28T08:37:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-05-28\/"},"modified":"2023-05-28T10:37:48","modified_gmt":"2023-05-28T08:37:48","slug":"2023-05-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-05-28\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-05-28"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Det \u00e4r mycket r\u00f6rigt i Belgorod Oblast kan man konstatera.<\/p>\n

Gregg skrev att 245th Regiment retirerat 10km.<\/p>\n

233Pead skrev ig\u00e5r n\u00e4r jag inte kunde hitta 245th;
\n\u201dDet jag hittar om 245th RU regiment, \u00e4r 245th Guards Motor Rifle Regiment som enligt DeepStateMAP finns SV om Belgorad, och \u00e4nnu mer till SV n\u00e4rmare Ukraina finns en by som heter Shchetinovka. Kan det vara det sommenas?\u201d<\/p>\n

Vi har m\u00e5nga uppgifter om explosioner och eldstrider i Belgorod Oblast i n\u00e4rtid, allts\u00e5 efter att \u201dbelgorod-r\u00e4den\u201d avslutades.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1662430142092787713?s=46&t=7PmJEqCPqRPW1DCxETKu3A<\/a><\/p>\n

Slutsatsen kan bara bli att dom gjorde det vi t\u00e4nkte \u2013 nya r\u00e4der s\u00e5 mycket dom orkar?<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r inte klart f\u00f6r mig om det ocks\u00e5 \u00e4r n\u00e5gon typ av resning i Belgorod Oblast eller om allt \u00e4r infiltrerande f\u00f6rband.<\/p>\n

245th regiment l\u00e5g f\u00f6r \u00f6vrigt vid norra Luhansk innan dom flyttades dit.<\/p>\n

Nu \u00e4r jag nyfiken p\u00e5 vart den d\u00e4r \u201d4km l\u00e5nga kolonnen med pansar 2mil fr\u00e5n Kreml\u201d som Mandaghelaveckan postade \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g? Mot Kreml eller mot Belgorod Oblast, eller som Dengamle f\u00f6reslog, n\u00e5gra fordon med 500m lucka?<\/p>\n

Sen b\u00f6rjar det v\u00e4xa sig allt starkare att intensiteten kommer \u00f6ka ett par sn\u00e4pp till h\u00e4r.
\nVolnovakha \u00e4r utsatt f\u00f6r mycket kraftig f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning och soldater har setts retirera fr\u00e5n staden, n\u00e5t trettiotal till antalet. Bra f\u00f6r Erik14 att han f\u00e5r beh\u00e5lla sin femhundring is\u00e5fall \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

Vid Bakhmut har det v\u00e4l spelat ut precis som vi t\u00e4nkte \u2013 man hamrar p\u00e5 mot VDV (eller dom kanske drogs ut?) vid Opytne-s\u00f6dra Zaitsevelinjen samtidigt som man tagit mer terr\u00e4ng N om Bakhmut.<\/p>\n

Kischlivka tog det lite l\u00e4ngre tid att inte \u00e4n vad jag t\u00e4nkte, den har tydligen inte fallit \u00e4nnu.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1662574465891418112?s=46&t=lj7NohXeH_nJTHxtFagcOg<\/a><\/p>\n

Det vi absolut b\u00f6r se nu \u00e4r n\u00e4sta fas, har man lyckats r\u00f6ra till det s\u00e5 h\u00e4r mycket uppe i Belgorod och vid Bakhmut finns det starka sk\u00e4l att \u00f6ppna n\u00e5got nytt och en flod n\u00e4ra dig st\u00e5r v\u00e4l p\u00e5 tur antingen strax innan eller samtidigt som offensiva operationer vid s\u00f6dra fronten om dom f\u00f6ljer den stora f\u00e4ltt\u00e5gsplanen. Det \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 vid s\u00f6dra fronten dom m\u00e5ste f\u00e5 till fulla genombrott f\u00f6r att n\u00e5 Azov. <\/p>\n

Att kapa Krimbron om 16 dagar \u00e4r f\u00f6r tidigt rimligen, man vill v\u00e4l f\u00f6rst ha en retr\u00e4tt ned dit f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 bort f\u00f6rbanden fr\u00e5n att retirera in i Donbass och sen antingen framtvinga spontanretr\u00e4tt \u00f6ver Krimbron eller kapa bron och tvinga fram kapitulation \u2013 Krim \u00e4r notoriskt sv\u00e5rt att f\u00f6rsvara och d\u00e5 hade man inte tungstensregn och dr\u00f6narsv\u00e4rmar i tidigare krig.
\nKapar man bron nu kommer v\u00e4l f\u00f6rbanden bakom s\u00f6dra fronten f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka retirera mot \u00d6 Mariupol ist\u00e4llet?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/miguel_l71\/status\/1662427573861724161?s=46&t=7PmJEqCPqRPW1DCxETKu3A<\/a><\/p>\n

Eller s\u00e5 n\u00e5r man Azov om en vecka, hisnande tanke\u2026<\/p>\n

Maj \u00e4r den i s\u00e4rklass h\u00f6gsta m\u00e5naden f\u00f6r utslaget ryskt artilleri, skyh\u00f6gt \u00f6ver tv\u00e5an.
\nSamma g\u00e4ller f\u00f6r special equipment.<\/p>\n

MLRS \u00e4r l\u00e4gre men det kan nog bero p\u00e5 att RU anv\u00e4nder dom mindre, MXT i sin genialitet gissar p\u00e5 att det \u00e4r f\u00f6r att dom omgrupperar fortare.<\/p>\n

LV \u00e4r tredje h\u00f6gsta m\u00e5naden.<\/p>\n

Pansar \u00e4r s\u00e5 l\u00e5gt s\u00e5 det st\u00f6der tesen att RU \u00e4r snorkorta p\u00e5 h\u00e5rda fordon \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

Nog \u00e4r det en astronomisk f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning som p\u00e5g\u00e5r alltid \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

DASTE var snabb med en tweet ig\u00e5r fr\u00e5n Poromenko att \u201dnow the motherkissers want peace\u201d (fritt citerat).<\/p>\n

Vi vet att det p\u00e5g\u00e5r fredstrevare hela tiden och vi vet att UA inte sviktar f\u00f6r n\u00e5n g\u00e5ng i veckan g\u00e5r dom ut med \u201d1991 \u00e5rs gr\u00e4nser \u00e4r ej f\u00f6rhandlingsbart\u201d.<\/p>\n

Vi h\u00f6rde senast ig\u00e5r n\u00e5n rysk f\u00f6retr\u00e4dare g\u00e5 ut med att Ukraina m\u00e5ste respektera \u201dnew territorial realities\u201d.<\/p>\n

UA har idag inga som helst sk\u00e4l att f\u00f6rhandla, dom kommer ta tillbaka sitt land med v\u00e5ld om det kr\u00e4vs \u2013 mycket snart dessutom.<\/p>\n

Ryssland \u00e5 sin sida har m\u00f6jlighet till f\u00f6rhandling bara s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge som dom har n\u00e5got att f\u00f6rhandla om -n\u00e5gra m\u00e5nader till allts\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Vi vet att Scholz skall prata med Putin igen vid n\u00e5got tillf\u00e4lle. Ingen skugga \u00f6ver den v\u00e4lkl\u00e4dda levande guden Scholz (p\u00e5 allvar!) f\u00f6r han \u00e4r v\u00e4l den sista Putin har m\u00f6jlighet att egentligen prata med och han f\u00e5r v\u00e4l s\u00e5 sm\u00e5ningom ta emot det mycket motvilliga \u2013 \u201dvi l\u00e4mnar tillbaka hela Ukraina om Ukraina lovar att inte invadera oss, deal?\u201d.
\nGermany\u2019s Scholz Says Plans To Speak to Putin \u2019In Due Course\u2019 (rferl.org)<\/p>\n

F\u00f6r min del s\u00e5 anser jag att Belgorod-r\u00e4den \u00e4r ett nytt f\u00f6rhandlingschip f\u00f6r UA som kanske b\u00f6rjat l\u00e5sa upp positionerna lite s\u00e5 sm\u00e5tt.<\/p>\n

Det d\u00e4r \u00e4r en boll ryska eliten absolut inte vill se i rullning f\u00f6r d\u00e5 \u00e4r deras liv i fara p\u00e5 allvar, dom \u00e4r r\u00e4dda f\u00f6r en sak \u2013 revolution.<\/p>\n

Det har varit enormt mycket signalpolitik p\u00e5 senare tid \u2013 Abrams, Tyska robotar, M-16, Storm shadow och s\u00e5 vidare.<\/p>\n

Ukraina \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 \u00f6ppna med sin v\u00e5roffensiv och hur v\u00e5ldsam den kommer blir och r\u00e4den in i Belgorod var genialisk.<\/p>\n

Allt detta syftar naturligtvis till att tvinga ryssarna att f\u00f6rhandla innan man tvingas genomf\u00f6ra denna offensiv till mycket stora f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n

Med det sagt \u2013 Ukraina bluffar inte och kommer g\u00f6ra det som kr\u00e4vs, det kan vi nog vara r\u00e4tt s\u00e4kra p\u00e5.<\/p>\n

S\u00e5 b\u00e4sta utfall h\u00e4r vore om Ryssland f\u00f6rst\u00e5r vad som \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g och g\u00f6r det enda r\u00e4tta och erk\u00e4nner sig besegrade \u2013 bubblarlistan och man f\u00e5r inte sp\u00e5 utfall p\u00e5 denna men finns chans till ett s\u00e5dant scenario absolut.<\/p>\n

Idag st\u00f6der ingen Ryssland, inte ens BRIICS och RU ekonomi bl\u00f6der n\u00e5got otroligt, dom har ju snart bara rupier.<\/p>\n

Nu verkar inte ryssarna ha f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt dom inte s\u00e5 lite \u00f6vertydliga hintarna h\u00e4r och det blir \u201dstoroffensiv\u201d av det hela.
\nEnligt den stora f\u00e4ltt\u00e5gsplanen kommer den bli mycket v\u00e5ldsam vid s\u00f6dra fronten d\u00e4r man m\u00e5ste bryta igenom f\u00f6rsvaret och n\u00e5 Azov och det \u00e4r v\u00e4l den fasen som nu inleds rimligen?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:09 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Trodde nog som du att man skulle pressa p\u00e5 h\u00e5rdare vid flankerna och att Klishchiivka skulle falla snabbt. Beror nog p\u00e5 att man inte vill st\u00e4tta in reserver utan k\u00f6r med ordinarie manskap och ser till att ta det lugnt och metodiskt f\u00f6r att undvika on\u00f6diga f\u00f6rluster. Finns egentligen ingen anledning att stressa innan offensiven startar. Ryssen sitter d\u00e4r de sitter.<\/p>\n

Blir intressant att se om det blir fler n\u00e5lstick in i Bilhorod\/Belgorod och Bryansk mm. och om de kanske t.o.m. kommer att h\u00f6ga insatserna. Tror de har mycket p\u00e5 att tj\u00e4na p\u00e5 att ruska om ryssen den v\u00e4gen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:14 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Ny destination f\u00f6r den 4km l\u00e5nga milit\u00e4rkonvojen -belarus?<\/p>\n

GPS st\u00f6rningar ocks\u00e5 pga. Belarus?<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/glasnostgone\/status\/1662758975475949569?s=46&t=lj7NohXeH_nJTHxtFagcOg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:14 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

L\u00f6sa gissningar s\u00e5klart \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:22 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

En till kraftig pollenvarning \ud83d\ude2d<\/p>\n

H\u00e4r har ni sk\u00e4let till att Putin skall dingla i en stolpe och UA f\u00e5r g\u00f6ra allt dom vill och kan tills dom vunnit.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/kremlintrolls\/status\/1662759512233717760?s=46&t=OOfhyy-C66bWI6ssXucVbw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:28 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Det tror jag ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:30 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Jag spinner vidare p\u00e5 extremt l\u00f6sa rykten utan substans (\u00e4n s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge).<\/p>\n

Antingen \u00f6ppnar RU en avledning eller en makt\u00f6vertagande i Belarus eller s\u00e5 f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker dom f\u00f6rekomma Ukraina som kommer k\u00f6ra en Belgorod-r\u00e4d i Belarus p\u00e5 steroider?<\/p>\n

N\u00e5got ut\u00f6ver det vanliga f\u00f6refaller det iallafall vara?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:35 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Summerar man upp all information,
\n-shoigu torpederad n\u00e4r han var p\u00e5 road trip fr\u00e5n Minsk.
\n-Lukashenko har druckit l\u00e4sk hos Putin (igen).
\n-en 4km l\u00e5ng konvoj av milit\u00e4rfordon 2mil utanf\u00f6r Moskva.
\n-uppgifter om ryska f\u00f6rband p\u00e5 v\u00e4g mot Belarus.
\n-fortsatt r\u00f6rigt i Belgorod.
\n-uppgifter om \u201dr\u00e4der\u201d (eller iallafall \u201dn\u00e5got\u201d) i Bryansk och Kursk oblasts.<\/p>\n

Att det skulle spilla \u00f6ver till Belarus d\u00e4r dom redan haft ett f\u00f6rs\u00f6k till folklig resning, nu n\u00e4r alla ryska f\u00f6rband l\u00e4mnade \u00e4r v\u00e4l rimligt?<\/p>\n

Att stridsmustachen och hans belarus-brigad skulle vilja infiltrera in i Belarus \u00e4r v\u00e4l ocks\u00e5 mycket troligt?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:36 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\ude2d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:39 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/glasnostgone\/status\/1662758975475949569?s=46&t=OOfhyy-C66bWI6ssXucVbw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:59 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

De vackraste ord ni f\u00e5r h\u00f6ra i helgen \u2013<\/p>\n

Wanted criminal Girkin hints at a coup d\u2019\u00e9tat and civil war in Russia by the end of summer.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1662818729887973378?s=46&t=OOfhyy-C66bWI6ssXucVbw<\/a><\/p>\n

(Jag lyssnar MXT)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:15 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d \u00d6versatt version:
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/wartranslated\/status\/1662429293719298049?t=SSLTnYGRkz3ynHlcX0ruDg&s=19<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:38 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Vi f\u00e5r ju inte sp\u00e5 utslag n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller bubblare men det struntar Girkin i..\ud83d\ude06<\/p>\n

Lustigt annars n\u00e4r han anklagar Prigozjin f\u00f6r att bryta mot lagen genom kritiken mot arm\u00e9n, samtidigt som han sj\u00e4lv gn\u00e4ller lika mycket..
\nSen att han menar att Prigozjin har gjort myterie \u00e4r en kraftig anklagelse.. <\/p>\n

Trodde ett tag att det kanske mest var spel f\u00f6r gallerierna men det \u00e4r nog fasen n\u00e5got djupare \u00e4n s\u00e5 p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:10 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

Nu blir jag desillusionerad!<\/p>\n

Trodde du bara levererade oomkullrunkeliga, kliniskt knivskarpa slutsatser utifr\u00e5n djuplodande genomt\u00e4nka analyser baserade p\u00e5 oveders\u00e4gliga fakta!
\nS\u00e5 gissar du bara!\ud83d\ude31<\/p>\n

Men du kan f\u00f6rst\u00e5s ha r\u00e4tt \u00e4nd\u00e5!\ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:27 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Godmorgon och tack f\u00f6r nattpasset.<\/p>\n

H\u00e4r kommer g\u00e5rdagens f\u00f6rluster f\u00f6r det ryska laget, inga direka highlights f\u00f6rutom fuel trucks.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/golub\/status\/1663050724924698630?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:57 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Inte s\u00e5 tokigt \u00e4nd\u00e5 men trist att se l\u00e4gre siffror f\u00f6r artilleri f\u00f6r andra dagen i rad.
\nUAV:er \u00e4r ett rej\u00e4lt rekord, tidigare rekordet l\u00e5g p\u00e5 46.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:32 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

37st robotar inatt tydligen.<\/p>\n

Man minns n\u00e4r dom fick iv\u00e4g 100st.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/glasnostgone\/status\/1663069386435878913?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1 Det \u00e4r mycket r\u00f6rigt i Belgorod Oblast kan man konstatera. Gregg skrev att 245th Regiment retirerat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ukraina","category-arkiv01"],"yoast_head":"\n2023-05-28 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-05-28\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023-05-28 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"11:33 \u2013 Johan No.1 Det \u00e4r mycket r\u00f6rigt i Belgorod Oblast kan man konstatera. 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