{"id":7848,"date":"2023-05-29T09:18:13","date_gmt":"2023-05-29T07:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-05-29\/"},"modified":"2023-05-29T09:18:13","modified_gmt":"2023-05-29T07:18:13","slug":"2023-05-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-05-29\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-05-29"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:20 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Att riva h\u00e5l i en bataljon eller reducerad brigad i f\u00f6rsvar med indirekt eld g\u00e5r r\u00e4tt snabbt med dagens arsenal.<\/p>\n

En dr\u00f6nargrupp sl\u00e5r ju ut upp till 10st fordon p\u00e5 ett nattpass s\u00e5 koncentrerar man spaningsdr\u00f6nare, olika sorters attackdr\u00f6nare och m\u00e5lstyrt artilleri s\u00e5 beh\u00f6vs det ju inte l\u00e5ng tid f\u00f6r att st\u00e4lla till med oreparerbar skada.<\/p>\n

F\u00f6r l\u00e5ng frontn\u00e4ra f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning g\u00f6r dessutom bara att RU hinner f\u00e5 fram insatsstyrkorna som skall f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka plugga de kommande h\u00e5len.<\/p>\n

Kort och mycket v\u00e5ldsam b\u00f6r den absolut vara.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Gl\u00f6mde JDAMS och Meteor, dom \u00e4r fruktansv\u00e4rda vapen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:32 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

Ja, det l\u00e4r nog bli riktigt intensivt n\u00e4r det \u00e4r dags!<\/p>\n

Sen g\u00f6r de v\u00e4l \u00e4nd\u00e5 helt r\u00e4tt med den h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngsammare f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpningen ocks\u00e5. Inte fel att f\u00e5 bort ammunition, logistik och ett och annat bef\u00e4l. Visserligen kanske ryssarna l\u00e4r sig att flytta \u00e4nnu l\u00e4ngre bak, eller att dela upp f\u00f6rr\u00e5den men det kommer oavsett att leda till l\u00e5ngsammare och d\u00e4rmed s\u00e4mre logistik.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:09 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

\u00c4nnu en dag med relativt lugn. Med risk f\u00f6r att ge de deppiga en field day s\u00e5 \u00e4r jag nog av den starka \u00e5sikten att man inte b\u00f6r v\u00e4nta f\u00f6r l\u00e4nge av den enkla anledningen att offensiva operationer har ett slutdatum i h\u00f6st, det uppt\u00e4ckte alla f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret, och tid \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 tid f\u00f6r f\u00f6rberedelser f\u00f6r ryssarna.<\/p>\n

Sen kan det s\u00e5klart vara s\u00e5 att ryssarna inte har mobiliserat s\u00e5 nu har dom absolut inget att skicka till Ukraina \u00e4nd\u00e5 och att varje dag f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning hyvlar n\u00e5gra hundra av totalen, vem vet.<\/p>\n

F\u00f6rbanden \u00e4r i alla fall utg\u00e5ngsgrupperade sedan l\u00e4nge det vet vi d\u00e5 \u00e4ven hemv\u00e4rnet som v\u00e4l \u00e4r tredjelinjen blev klara med sin uppmarsch f\u00f6r veckor sedan.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r i stort sett kn\u00e4pptyst men det h\u00e4nder saker kring Bakhmut och uppe vid norra fronten i detta nu \u2013 Belgorod \u00e4r oroligt.<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e4r det ju s\u00e5 att n\u00e4r ordern om opsec-t\u00e4cket kommer s\u00e5 \u00e4r det f\u00f6r att n\u00e5got \u00e4r i g\u00f6rningen.<\/p>\n

Gamla sanningar g\u00e4ller ju inte l\u00e4ngre uppt\u00e4ckte vi, Ukraina beh\u00f6ver inte kompani f\u00f6r att sl\u00e5 pluton, dom beh\u00f6ver tv\u00e5 pansarskyttegrupper och en stridsvagn f\u00f6r att jaga iv\u00e4g en pluton. Dom strider mycket effektivt ur numer\u00e4rt underl\u00e4ge b\u00e5de i Bakhmut och vid Belgorod.<\/p>\n

N\u00e5t annat som vi ocks\u00e5 uppt\u00e4ckt inte g\u00e4ller l\u00e4ngre \u00e4r artilleriet och den skada det orsakar.<\/p>\n

Vid WW2 kom v\u00e4l zonbrisaderna och gjorde livet surt f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsvar i v\u00e4rn.<\/p>\n

Nu har Ukraina tagit det h\u00e4r till n\u00e4sta niv\u00e5 och sm\u00e5 moln av dr\u00f6nare sl\u00e4pper vinggranater vertikalt och dom g\u00e5r efter enskild soldat.<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e4r artilleriet tr\u00e4ffs\u00e4kert med m\u00e5lstyrd ammunition.<\/p>\n

Man kan s\u00e5ledes rensa ett helt v\u00e4rnsystem metodiskt \u00f6ver tid bara man har tillr\u00e4ckligt med dr\u00f6nare och n\u00e5gra 777 eller en HIMARS.<\/p>\n

Vid fokuspunkterna har man s\u00e5klart det och d\u00e5 blir inte indriekt eld nedh\u00e5llande eller att man tr\u00f6ttar ut f\u00f6rsvaret, man decimerar f\u00f6rsvaret s\u00e5 pass att meken kan g\u00e5 in och rensa upp utan att ta egna f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n

Ryssarna l\u00e4gger ju allt p\u00e5 h\u00f6g s\u00e5 deras n\u00e4rPV ligger i en vacker h\u00f6g som gjord f\u00f6r dr\u00f6nardroppad vinggranat. F\u00f6rs\u00f6ker dom f\u00e5r upp en PV robot \u00e4r dr\u00f6narna d\u00e4r direkt ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Mycket innovativt, mycket effektivt och mycket d\u00f6dligt.<\/p>\n

Precis allt \u00e4r bedr\u00e4geri i Ryssland, allt, och s\u00e5 \u00e4ven drakt\u00e4nderna som Surtrutn d\u00f6pt till \u201dmj\u00f6lktetror\u201d.
\nL\u00e4nken nedan \u00e4r drakt\u00e4nder byggda p\u00e5 riktigt som dom inte lyckats demolera s\u00e5 dom fick st\u00e5 kvar. Ryssarna \u00e4r verkligen helt hoppl\u00f6sa.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/noclador\/status\/1662944099022897153?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n

ISW som vi alltid gillar anser att UA kan g\u00e5 p\u00e5 offensiv i Bakhmut n\u00e4rhelst dom \u00f6nskar.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1662974979464474627?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n

RU har l\u00e4rt sig kamouflage den h\u00e5rda v\u00e4gen, den h\u00e4r vagnen b\u00f6rjar i alla fall se ut som den har en tendens att kunna bli kamouflerad.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ralee85\/status\/1662987010737356802?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n

ISW anser ocks\u00e5 precis som undertecknad att det \u00e4r full fart kring Bakhmut.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1662987880665600000?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1662987885090357248?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Och i Belgorod sl\u00e5s ryskt artilleri ut om nu n\u00e5gon trodde att \u201dbelgorod-r\u00e4den\u201d var \u00f6ver, det \u00e4r den allts\u00e5 inte och det sm\u00e4ller konstant d\u00e4r.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/golub\/status\/1663036723801075712?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:40 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+1<\/p>\n

Ja det \u00e4r dags nu!
\nBara tv\u00e5 dagar kvar om det ska bli en v\u00e5roffensiv. <\/p>\n

Synd p\u00e5 regnet, hoppas att det inte \u00e4r avg\u00f6rande. Kanske tom. \u00e4r en f\u00f6rdel? <\/p>\n

\u00c4ven om man har det lite sv\u00e5rt att ta sig fram kanske det \u00e4r l\u00e4ttare att f\u00e5 ryssar, som ligger och ofrivilligt tr\u00e4nar grodsim i skyttegravarna, att bli extra motiverade att l\u00e4mna dem s\u00e5 fort det g\u00e5r om det \u00e4r riktigt bl\u00f6tt?<\/p>\n

Den ryska kamouflerade stridsvagnen.. Undrar om tjocka sl\u00e4kten skickat alla juldekorationer, i form av fejkad plastgran, de kunnat hitta? Kommer att brinna obehagligt bra n\u00e4r den v\u00e4l blir tr\u00e4ffad.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:09 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

S\u00e5 h\u00e4r d\u00e5ligt gr\u00e5nsskydd har Ryssland.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/chriso_wiki\/status\/1663134103170850816?s=46&t=quTdinkQfmUnnYGEBn3jWQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:09 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Dom har k\u00f6rt en afghan p\u00e5 det ocks\u00e5 \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:37 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

F\u00f6rmodligen varit uppe men tagande av v\u00e4rn i bakhmut. Enormt starka ljudintryck <\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1663133979518672898?s=46&t=svrO2JeX-_q_uFhddvPeIw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:44 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Klischivka f\u00e5r man nog k\u00f6ra \u00f6ver med mek vid f\u00f6rsta anblick men dom verkar f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka hota med en inringning genom att komma in i skylet SV om Klischivka och sen den skog som ligger N d\u00e4rom.<\/p>\n

Kan dom projicera en inringning l\u00e4gger v\u00e4l f\u00f6rsvaret benen p\u00e5 ryggen som twittrarna gissat, smart.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:08 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Accentmannen var v\u00e4l inne p\u00e5 omringning ocks\u00e5 om jag inte minns fel?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Det var han kanske och inte twittergudarna.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

21:31 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

N\u00e5n som beh\u00f6ver en mer formell bekr\u00e4ftelse \u00e4n s\u00e5 h\u00e4r om att bollen \u00e4r i rullning? <\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1663263126521888769?s=46&t=Bkw6fWp5Q-O7jcGTf8FuHA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

23:11 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\u00c4h, b\u00f6rjar bli luttrad nu. Kan vara en fint bara f\u00f6r att stressa ryssarna..\ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:20 \u2013 Johan No.1 Att riva h\u00e5l i en bataljon eller reducerad brigad i f\u00f6rsvar med indirekt eld g\u00e5r r\u00e4tt 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