{"id":7916,"date":"2023-06-02T10:17:28","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T08:17:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-06-02\/"},"modified":"2023-06-02T10:17:28","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T08:17:28","slug":"2023-06-02","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-06-02\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-06-02"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:17 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Jag forts\u00e4tter att fascineras av \u201dr\u00e4derna\u201d in i Ryssland. \u00c4nda sedan f\u00f6rsta r\u00e4den rakt in i Belgorod har det rapporterats om en v\u00e5g av sabotage i Kursk, Berdyansk och Belgorod oblasts \u00e5tminstone och olika frihetsr\u00f6relser och rysk-ukrainska f\u00f6rband har postat filmer eller fotografier.<\/p>\n

Emellan de tv\u00e5 st\u00f6rre r\u00e4derna kom en dr\u00f6narattack rakt mot Moskva med \u201ddussintals\u201d dr\u00f6nare enligt twittergudarna.
\nDet h\u00e4r \u00e4r inte l\u00e4ngre ett perifert krig f\u00f6r Ryssland, kriget \u00e4r i landet Ryssland nu.<\/p>\n

Verkar vara en liknande r\u00e4d in i Bryansk oblasts ocks\u00e5, kanske inte lika stor men det \u00e4r i alla fall artilleribeskjutning vilket brukar betyda att RU f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker skjuta bort ett hot.<\/p>\n

Det ryska f\u00f6rsvaret klarade inte att f\u00f6rsvara en 50km bred str\u00e4cka av fronten en vecka efter f\u00f6rsta r\u00e4den.
\nDagens front mot Ryssland \u00e4r hundratals kilometer l\u00e5ngt, sen har vi Belarus och sen hela fronten l\u00e4ngs med norra Luhansk som \u00e4r \u00e4nnu l\u00e4ngre den halvb\u00e5gen.<\/p>\n

Den ryska gr\u00e4nsen \u00e4r vid\u00f6ppen \u00e4r nog en absolut sanning.<\/p>\n

UA st\u00f6dda r\u00e4der in i Ryssland kan ju ske n\u00e5n g\u00e5ng i veckan och \u201ddussintals\u201d dr\u00f6nare mot Moskva kanske l\u00e5ter mycket men UA har ju inf\u00f6rskaffat delar fr\u00e5n Kina till 100 000st dr\u00f6nare fr\u00e5n inhemsk produktion och hela v\u00e4st levererar dr\u00f6nare till UA hela tiden.<\/p>\n

Vi har allts\u00e5 bara sett b\u00f6rjan p\u00e5 dessa f\u00f6rm\u00e5gor och l\u00e4gg till det befrielsefronter inne i landet Ryssland, allts\u00e5 ryssar bofasta i Ryssland som vill skaka av sig oket.<\/p>\n

Sen minoritetsfolken som ser sin chans till frihet \u2013 decolonisation.<\/p>\n

St Petersburg har ju redan r\u00f6stat om st\u00f6rre frihet till exempel s\u00e5 inte ens etniskt ryska omr\u00e5den i n\u00e4romr\u00e5det tycker det h\u00e4r \u00e4r kul l\u00e4ngre.<\/p>\n

Vi har vetat sedan v\u00e5ren 2022 ungef\u00e4r att UA slagit p\u00e5 djupet i Ryssland men nu \u00e4r det lite av en glad folkr\u00f6relse och d\u00e5 finns det risk f\u00f6r gr\u00e4sbrand och folklig revolution.<\/p>\n

Det enda large-size m\u00e4skdunk oligark fruktar \u00e4r revolution och dom skulle nog v\u00e4lja deeskalering varje dag framf\u00f6r hotet om folkets lynchmobb.<\/p>\n

Vi skrev v\u00e4l n\u00e4r \u201dBelgorodr\u00e4den\u201d genomf\u00f6rdes att vi inte skulle underskatta r\u00f6ran UA st\u00e4ller till med och det st\u00e5r sig r\u00e4tt v\u00e4l tycker jag.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r inte mycket annat som sipprar ut just nu, f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning av bakre \u00e4r fortsatt astronomisk \u2013 dom klippte just till ett par fartyg i Berdyansk till exempel.<\/p>\n

Dagliga f\u00f6rlusterna skenar igen och vi har sagt det tidigare \u2013 det \u00e4r f\u00e5r ryska anfall s\u00e5 mycket sl\u00e5s ut av UA antingen i frontn\u00e4ra f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning eller i olika offensiva operationer.<\/p>\n

F\u00f6r lugnt har det inte varit alls sedan UA \u00f6kade intensiteten 10 April, det r\u00f6r p\u00e5 sig lite \u00f6verallt \u00e4ven i Bakhmut men vi f\u00e5r v\u00e4l h\u00e5lla oss tills n\u00e5got som v\u00e4lter internet rapporteras.<\/p>\n

Personligen tycker jag vi ser str\u00e5lande framg\u00e5ngar dagligen och att ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6r att v\u00e4nta p\u00e5 den \u201dstora offensiven\u201d (vilket v\u00e4l \u00e4r definierat av att se de v\u00e4stutrustade brigaderna i strid) s\u00e5 \u00e4r det enklare att gl\u00e4djas \u00e5t allt d\u00e5ligt som h\u00e4nder f\u00f6r den ryska diktaturen just nu.<\/p>\n

Har ni l\u00e4st hur mycket materiel som nu doneras \u2013 F-16 koalitionen, mer stridsvagnar, mer Patriot och annat LV, berg av ammunition och man forts\u00e4tter dammsuga efter allt sovjetpansar.
\nG\u00e5r ni in p\u00e5 Oryx och ser vad som skickats \u00e4r det ofattbara m\u00e4ngder materiel.<\/p>\n

V\u00e5roffensiven \u00e4r fullt resurssatt och nu skrapar man ihop materiel f\u00f6r n\u00e4sta v\u00e4nda om det beh\u00f6vs, vilket det inte kommer g\u00f6ra.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r inte ammunitionsbrist, dom f\u00e5r fortsatt stora m\u00e4ngder v\u00e4stvapen av h\u00f6g kvalitet, dr\u00f6narvapnet levereras, F-16 \u00e4r p\u00e5 ing\u00e5ng och s\u00e5 vidare.<\/p>\n

Vi har tidigare r\u00e4knat p\u00e5 det h\u00e4r och idag har UA mer och b\u00e4ttre stridsvagnar \u00e4n vid krigets start.
\nDetsamma g\u00e4ller f\u00f6r IFV.<\/p>\n

Vi ser alltfler soldater med personligt vapen fr\u00e5n v\u00e4st s\u00e5 helt klart har s\u00e5nt levererats och jag tyckte sveriges bidrag med 15 000st pansarskott var wow, blir m\u00e5nga grillade BTG av det.<\/p>\n

Allt \u00e4r som det skall vara \u2013 Putin har existentiell \u00e5ngest, stridsledningen sitter och googlar asyl och soldaterna i sina gropar hoppar h\u00f6gst vid minsta ljud.<\/p>\n

Har haft lite mycket ett tag med dredgern men om det inte varit spikat s\u00e5 godk\u00e4nns alla f\u00f6rslag p\u00e5 b\u00e5tplats och allt annat som jag missat \u2013 det levande oraklet Dengamle har bevisligen allt under kontroll och har framledes mandat att fatta alla s\u00e5dana beslut \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

F\u00f6r att \u00e5terkoppla till n\u00e5got vi sagt tidigare \u2013 Ukraina m\u00e5ste g\u00e5 ur det h\u00e4r kriget med en bibeh\u00e5llen f\u00f6rsvarsmakt, vinner dom men gick mot noll \u00e4r risken f\u00f6r en rond tv\u00e5 skyh\u00f6g. N\u00e4r ryss i grop segat sig hem \u00f6ver gr\u00e4nsen med h\u00e4ngande huvud beh\u00f6ver dom en ofattbar m\u00e4ngd brigader och vapensystem f\u00f6r att s\u00e4kra hela sin landgr\u00e4ns.
\nMan skyndar l\u00e5ngsamt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:48 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Det finns ett f\u00f6re och det finns ett efter.<\/p>\n

V\u00e4ljer ryssland att anv\u00e4nda taktiska k\u00e4rnvapen har dom g\u00e5tt \u00f6ver en mycket r\u00f6d linje som ingen annan v\u00e5gat sedan WW2.<\/p>\n

Ett taktiskt k\u00e4rnvapen stoppar ingenting. Ett stort antal st\u00e4der i Ukraina \u00e4r redan f\u00f6rst\u00f6rda som efter k\u00e4rnvapen.
\nOm dom inte klarar att skjuta robotar p\u00e5 UA f\u00f6rband hur skall dom d\u00e5 lyckas tr\u00e4ffa dom med k\u00e4rnvapen?<\/p>\n

Jo, ett par brigader kommer bli utpl\u00e5nade men det s\u00e4nker inte UA f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga och svaret kommer bli f\u00f6r\u00f6dande av den enkla ankledningen att det m\u00e5ste bli f\u00f6r\u00f6dande.<\/p>\n

Sen tillh\u00f6r jag dom som tror att den kedjan redan \u00e4r bruten, jag tror inte Putin kommer f\u00e5 iv\u00e4g n\u00e5gra \u00e4ven om han best\u00e4mmer sig f\u00f6r det.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:49 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

+1 Kanske den d\u00e4r memen med Ukrainska soldater som av misstag tagit \u00f6ver Kreml, n\u00e4r de skulle tagit Krim, kommer att besannas till slut om ryssarna inte v\u00e4ljer att omgruppera p\u00e5 allvar.<\/p>\n

Undrar ju om de faktiskt kastat in en st\u00f6rre del av sin f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga i Ukraina \u00e4n man trott. De borde ha beh\u00e5llit gr\u00e4nsf\u00f6rsvar mm. f\u00f6r att vara beredd om det skulle h\u00e4nda n\u00e5got ut\u00f6ver SMO:n men det verkar v\u00e4ldigt klent med det..<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:53 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Det \u00e4r v\u00e4l just det, dom har inget gr\u00e4nsf\u00f6rsvar s\u00e5 var \u00e4r allt gr\u00e4nsf\u00f6rsvar, FSB?
\nVar \u00e4r inrikestrupperna som har som jobb att hantera denna typ av situationer?
\nOch om man vill f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka med arm\u00e9n, det skulle finnas 150 000st kvar i Ryssland.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
13:09 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n

Kan f\u00f6rst\u00e5s vara s\u00e5 att de tjafsar om vem som ska g\u00f6ra vad fortfarande.
\nOavsett vad det kan beror p\u00e5 \u00e4r det ju direkt pinsamt!! \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n

Vilket uppvaknande det m\u00e5ste vara f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga vars ryska sj\u00e4lvbild helt har raserat n\u00e4r de inser hur j\u00e4kla uselt det st\u00e5r till med ryska f\u00f6rsvaret.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:15 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Det d\u00e4r \u00e4r tydligen ett elitf\u00f6rband, helt ok\u00e4nt f\u00f6r mig att dom satt upp det men tydligen tog man Spetznaz och br\u00f6t ut och toppade upp dom.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Special_Operations_Forces_(Russia)<\/a><\/p>\n

D\u00e5 betyder det att ryssarna \u00e4r oroade och sen betyder det att det kommer d\u00f6 mer elitf\u00f6rband, man beh\u00f6ver pl\u00f6ja igenom 2500st av dom och sen \u00e4r dom nere p\u00e5 noll.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

20:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Liberation.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1664699577092526093?s=46&t=QJidc2GU38QBF9jcCmnt_Q<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:45 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Tydligen transporterar RU absoluta skroth\u00f6gar till Ukraina nu om man skall tro twittergudarna.<\/p>\n

Tv\u00e5an \u00e4r lite l\u00e4tt rostig\u2026<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1664915181313437704?s=46&t=f_uN0m5_4IM5d6B4cqriGg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:50 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

H\u00e4r ska vara film p\u00e5 n\u00e4r dom slog ut SU-34 p\u00e5 ett flygf\u00e4lt i Kursk.<\/p>\n

Natt och man ser ingenting all f\u00f6rutom lite r\u00f6k s\u00e5 kanske inte gott bevisl\u00e4ge.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/euromaidanpr\/status\/1664913057858875392?s=46&t=f_uN0m5_4IM5d6B4cqriGg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:17 \u2013 Johan No.1 Jag forts\u00e4tter att fascineras av \u201dr\u00e4derna\u201d in i Ryssland. \u00c4nda sedan f\u00f6rsta r\u00e4den rakt in i 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