{"id":7988,"date":"2023-07-17T06:43:19","date_gmt":"2023-07-17T04:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-07-17\/"},"modified":"2023-07-17T06:43:19","modified_gmt":"2023-07-17T04:43:19","slug":"2023-07-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-07-17\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-07-17"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:26 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Whisky-straffet f\u00f6r att jag blandade ihop Staromlynivka och Staromaiorske tog jag p\u00e5 fullaste allvar \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

Accentmannen har ju varit uppe redan men herrej\u00f6sses vilket svar p\u00e5 pizza-attacken det blev precis som Zelensky utlovade \u2013 dr\u00f6narsv\u00e4rm mot Sevastopol, storm-shadow regn \u00f6ver m\u00f6rkaste Donbass och Kertjbron.
\nhttps:\/\/youtu.be\/lqbOvNEPXqM<\/a><\/p>\n

Accentmannen \u00e4r av \u00e5sikten att UA nu f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker sl\u00e5 ut staber s\u00e5 m\u00e5nga dom klarar och med tanke p\u00e5 m\u00e4ngden h\u00f6gre bef\u00e4l som stryker med verkar det g\u00e5 r\u00e4tt bra.<\/p>\n

Eftersom det h\u00e4r sker simultant med UA offensiv s\u00e5 kommer RU inte erbjudas tillf\u00e4lle denna g\u00e5ng att f\u00e5 ordning p\u00e5 sitt brinnande underh\u00e5ll och kapade bef\u00e4lskedjor.<\/p>\n

Dom kommer tvingas m\u00f6ta UA offensiv med det dom har kvar den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen.<\/p>\n

Som vi skrev ig\u00e5r, UA strider just nu mot det b\u00e4sta Ryssland kan st\u00e4lla upp; VDV, Spetznaz, spaning och marininfanteriet \u2013 och dom vinner.<\/p>\n

Eftersom den (relativt) dugliga offensiva reserven ligger i v\u00e4rnsystem i f\u00f6rsvar s\u00e5 \u00e4r ju fr\u00e5gan vad som finns av offensiv reserv, mycket lite \u00e4r min gissning.<\/p>\n

Vi \u00e4r mycket snart vid ett v\u00e4gsk\u00e4l igen d\u00e4r RU m\u00e5ste v\u00e4lja vad dom vill f\u00f6rsvara. Dom kan ju alltid sl\u00e4ppa norra Luhansk vilket han som skrev den stora f\u00e4ltt\u00e5gsplanen trodde att dom skulle g\u00f6ra men d\u00e5 blir gr\u00e4nsen mot Ryssland 3ggr l\u00e4ngre och den \u00e4r of\u00f6rsvarad f\u00f6rstod vi efter Belgorod-r\u00e4derna och \u00e4ven ryssarna borde inse den h\u00f6grisken tycker man.<\/p>\n

Dom har ju redan flaggat f\u00f6r att sl\u00e4ppa hela Dnepfronten och om dom inte k\u00f6r ned f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar i m\u00e4ngd till s\u00f6dra fronten snart ryker den ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Enligt g\u00e5rdagens inl\u00e4gg och DavidD numer\u00e4r skulle det v\u00e4l vara 800 000 \u2013 900 000st ryssar inblandade i kriget fr\u00e5n alla vapenslag lite beroende p\u00e5 hur man tolkar f\u00f6rlustsiffrorna?<\/p>\n

L\u00e5ter mycket s\u00e5 f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker bryta ned det men vill vara tydlig med att detta \u00e4r DavidD siffror som jag f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker resonera kring. Vi hade tidigare fr\u00e5n UA att det var 360 000st och sen sammanst\u00e4llningen som kom fr\u00e5n en rapport som bla. Defmon postade som visade stridande f\u00f6rband. B\u00e4gga var betydligt l\u00e4gre \u00e4n DavidD f\u00f6rs\u00f6k till summering.<\/p>\n

250 000st Rosgvardia och FSB som ockupationsstyrka i er\u00f6vrade omr\u00e5den. Dom har ju partisaner och SOF att h\u00e5lla reda p\u00e5, tortyrcentraler skall bemannas och sen beh\u00f6ver dom agera sp\u00e4rrf\u00f6rband \u00e5t arm\u00e9n. M\u00e4ngden \u00f6vergrepp f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att ockupationsmakten b\u00f6r vara talrik. Ta bara ett mobilt krematorium till exempel, beh\u00f6vs s\u00e4kert 20st f\u00f6r att bemanna ett s\u00e5nt effektivt.<\/p>\n

Arm\u00e9n
\n \u2013 100 000st i norra Luhansk
\n\u2013 80 000st kring Bakhmut
\n\u2013 under 100 000st vid s\u00f6dra fronten<\/p>\n

Rebeller
\n\u2013 50 000st i m\u00f6rkaste donbass och n\u00e5gra arm\u00e9f\u00f6rband.<\/p>\n

Alla truppslag \u2013 50 000st vid Krim.<\/p>\n

200 000 \u2013 300 000st i trossen, vid alla flygf\u00e4lt, dep\u00e5er, och s\u00e5 vidare mellan Melitopol \u00f6ver till Rostov na Don och upp l\u00e4ngs med norra gr\u00e4nsen?<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r r\u00e4tt f\u00e5 i spetsen och det finns v\u00e4l en stor ockupationsstyrka och allt underh\u00e5ll gissar jag?
\nL\u00e4ser man om Gulfkriget s\u00e5 var ju den anfallande spetsen betydligt mindre \u00e4n allt \u201druntomkring\u201d.<\/p>\n

Gjorde misstaget att tr\u00e5la slava ig\u00e5r och alla filmer vi ser h\u00e4r p\u00e5 utslagna RU stridsvagnar \u00e4r d\u00e5 utslagna UA stridsvagnar hos slava \u2013 det finns tv\u00e5 sanningar.<\/p>\n

Han hade ocks\u00e5 hoppat p\u00e5 USA segande med F-16 och Bruce Wallace tillr\u00e4ttavisning av UA och sen en bild d\u00e4r Zelensky st\u00e5r sj\u00e4lv vid NATOm\u00f6tet och alla andra bro-huggas.<\/p>\n

Att v\u00e4st aldrig l\u00e4r sig \u00e4r m\u00e4rkligt men d\u00e5 det \u00e4r hela EU, USA, Canada, Australien och NZ g\u00e5r det ju inte att styra men proryska laget \u00e4r blixtsnabba p\u00e5 att utnyttja allt till sin f\u00f6rdel.<\/p>\n

Att l\u00e4mna Zelensky sj\u00e4lv p\u00e5 m\u00f6tet var v\u00e4l kanske inte det snyggaste man kunde g\u00f6ra om det var fotografer n\u00e4rvarande.
\nBet\u00e4nk att det \u00e4r detta BRIICS f\u00e5r till sig, en annan verklighet, och deras statschefer \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 beroende av vad medborgarna tycker men inte p\u00e5 samma s\u00e4tt som i v\u00e4st. D\u00e4r \u00e4r det mer ingenting och sen revolution ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6r som hos oss ett val var fj\u00e4rde \u00e5r.<\/p>\n

Kan deras media visa medborgarna ett splittrat v\u00e4st har dom l\u00e4ttare att f\u00e5 folket med sig i sin str\u00e4van att vara motpol till det fria v\u00e4st.<\/p>\n

Har sagt det n\u00e5gra g\u00e5nger att sist jag sl\u00e4pptes in (och fick vara kvar) i en lika kul tr\u00e5d var sillar och minkar p\u00e5 Skalman \u2013 det kr\u00e4vs n\u00e5n typ av f\u00f6renande \u00e4mne och sen att det \u00e4r tillr\u00e4ckligt intressant f\u00f6r att personer skall vilja bidra p\u00e5 detta s\u00e4tt i m\u00e4ngd och under l\u00e5ng tid. Numer\u00e4ren g\u00f6r att det blir bredd p\u00e5 diskussionen och den kommer komprimerad s\u00e5 man l\u00e4r sig v\u00e4ldigt mycket.<\/p>\n

Finns ocks\u00e5 en annan uppsida \u2013 att sitta och h\u00e5lla ordning p\u00e5 dredging internationals h\u00e4rjande h\u00e4rnere \u00e4r oerh\u00f6rt tr\u00e5kigt samt att det tar kanske tv\u00e5 timmar per dag s\u00e5 man h\u00e5ller sig aktiverad genom att f\u00f6lja UA kriget och den h\u00e4r tr\u00e5den. Annars hade man f\u00f6rmodligen hoppat i de hajrika vattnen av tristess. Tr\u00e5den \u00e4r som ett eukalyptus-balsam \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

Alltid lika kul att g\u00e5 igenom nattpasset p\u00e5 morgonen och sen f\u00f6lja tr\u00e5den under dagen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:16 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Haha, om \u00e4nd\u00e5 \u2013 mitt bidrag till kriget slutade med Prigozins frispel som, om du fr\u00e5gar mig, styrdes inte s\u00e5 lite av Dengamle p\u00e5 plats har jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt s\u00e5 h\u00e4r i efterhand. Jag fick ju bara vara med p\u00e5 zoomm\u00f6ten s\u00e5 det var ett par lager p\u00e5 den l\u00f6ken helt klart. Dock h\u00e4ngde hela operationen p\u00e5 att vi lyckades lura i alla att jag vart satt i frysen av Budanov men \u201dGlappk\u00e4ft\u201d var lite l\u00e5gt tyckte jag och utanf\u00f6r manus.<\/p>\n

Det som d\u00e4remot \u00c4R mystiskt \u00e4r att Dengamle h\u00e5ller sig undan \u00e5terigen precis n\u00e4r n\u00e5got stort h\u00e4nder. Om ni minns \u201dApfritt\u201d som han brukade komma dragandes med n\u00e4r det var dags f\u00f6r min st\u00e4dade fredagpub s\u00e5 k\u00f6rde han en omskrivning av det i fredags p\u00e5 whatsapp \u2013 \u201dbrofritt\u201d och den d\u00e4r \u00f6lsejdelemojin. <\/p>\n

Det var lite f\u00f6r tidigt att l\u00e4gga ihop bitarna och jag t\u00e4nkte att han hade ett senior-moment (igen) men nu f\u00f6rst\u00e5r man ju att han lyckades \u00f6vertala Budanov att sl\u00e4ppa p\u00e5 patrullbr\u00e4nnarna till sist. Budanov har varit r\u00e4tt grinig med att anv\u00e4nda dom.<\/p>\n

Fick dessutom en v\u00e4ldigt skakig och m\u00f6rk whatsappfilm fr\u00e5n Budanov d\u00e4r det ser ut som han sitter bakom en person som h\u00e5ller i n\u00e5got fyrkantigt vinr\u00f6tt med tv\u00e5 sm\u00e5 hjul och en korg p\u00e5 och framf\u00f6r dom i bild r\u00f6r sig tre mindre flytetyg i h\u00f6g fart. Jag tror man h\u00f6rde ordet \u201dSvensksund\u201d ocks\u00e5 och ett par \u201dblyat\u201d. Nu har han tyv\u00e4rr den d\u00e4r funktionen att alla meddelanden automatiskt f\u00f6rsvinner och jag gl\u00f6mde spara ned filmen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:20 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Fick precis en whatsapp av en orolig kompis i Altai som bad mig \u00f6vers\u00e4tta \u6254\u5230\u516c\u5171\u6c7d\u8f66\u4e0b\u9762 \u00e5t honom (kastad under bussen betyder det).<\/p>\n

Han hade kaviarskeden i munnen s\u00e5 det var ett r\u00e4tt sv\u00e5rtytt ljudmeddelande.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1680908984604131328?s=46&t=34b-LB_hcC4RNYM-J477nA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:28 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83e\udd23\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:30 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h4>\n

\ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23\ud83e\udd23<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:31 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:26 \u2013 Johan No.1 Whisky-straffet f\u00f6r att jag blandade ihop Staromlynivka och Staromaiorske tog jag p\u00e5 fullaste allvar \ud83d\udc4d Accentmannen 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