{"id":8068,"date":"2023-08-23T08:43:10","date_gmt":"2023-08-23T06:43:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-08-23\/"},"modified":"2023-08-23T08:43:10","modified_gmt":"2023-08-23T06:43:10","slug":"2023-08-23","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-08-23\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-08-23"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:38 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Har haft en hel del l\u00e4nspumpning men nu b\u00f6rjar det stabilisera sig, var och m\u00e4tte de sm\u00e5 hjulsp\u00e5ren och skall forska vidare i detta illd\u00e5d.<\/p>\n

N\u00e5t som d\u00e4remot har kantrat helt \u00e4r att media okitiskt \u00e5terger det ryska narrativet och forts\u00e4tter dra egna slutsatser utav det.<\/p>\n

Sen hj\u00e4lper det inte att pro-ukrainska debatt\u00f6rer f\u00e4rgas och g\u00e5r in med legitim kritik av att v\u00e4st skickat f\u00f6r lite vapen f\u00f6r det f\u00f6rst\u00e4rker bara budskapet just nu, r\u00e4tt tid r\u00e4tt plats lyckades dom inte med.<\/p>\n

Vi har i tr\u00e5den mycket l\u00e4nge drivit att v\u00e4st bara skickat precis det som beh\u00f6vs f\u00f6r att Ukraina skall kunna h\u00e5lla sig \u00f6ver ytan och att det varit f\u00f6r lite f\u00f6r sent.<\/p>\n

David D anser ocks\u00e5 att USA \u201dslowwalking\u201d sin hj\u00e4lp till Ukraina.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1693635540938039356?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n

Det fl\u00f6g f\u00f6rbi nu p\u00e5 morgonen men jag slarvade bort l\u00e4nken att Nederl\u00e4nderna lovat skicka \u201davst\u00e5ndsminr\u00f6jningsutrustning\u201d. Jag tolkade det som materiel fr\u00e5n den \u00f6versta hyllan f\u00f6r minr\u00f6jning som \u00e4r b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n minormarna.
\nAldrig bra att f\u00e5 h\u00f6gt blodtryck innan frukost men varf\u00f6r i hela h-e skickar inte v\u00e4st sin b\u00e4sta minr\u00f6jningsutrustning till Ukraina och varf\u00f6r har dom inte redan skickat den?
\nM\u00e5ste Ukraina k\u00f6ra fast i minf\u00e4lten i m\u00e5nader innan man reagerar?
\nMinr\u00f6jningsutrustning kommer garanterat inte beh\u00f6vas f\u00f6r de flesta l\u00e4nders f\u00f6rsvar, f\u00f6r att n\u00e4mna n\u00e5gra \u2013 UK, Portugal, Spanien, Belgiem och Frankrike.
\nSitter dom p\u00e5 n\u00e5gon typ av supereffektiva minr\u00f6jningsplattformar borde dom redan ha skickat dom, allt annat \u00e4r n\u00e4stan f\u00f6r dumt f\u00f6r att orka t\u00e4nka p\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Ovan \u00e4r inte samma sak som att Ukraina inte kan vinna kriget eller f\u00f6rlorar p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet men budskapen v\u00e4vs ihop av proryska debatt\u00f6rer till att allt \u00e4r f\u00f6rlorat och domedagsdoktrinen breder ut sig som en gr\u00e4sbrand.<\/p>\n

Nu kommer det lite mer information om ryska reserver, man har formerat 25 CAA som skall vara redo att skickas till UA i December.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/the_lookout_n\/status\/1693616179976323520?s=46&t=dm_SJ-vgivVhXzjmtcxoHQ<\/a>
\n40th Army corps har jag inte h\u00f6rt om f\u00f6rut.<\/p>\n

18th CAA verkar enligt britterna vara under uppbyggnad ocks\u00e5.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/the_lookout_n\/status\/1693612575382994966?s=46&t=dm_SJ-vgivVhXzjmtcxoHQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Om ni minns 3rd Army corps som skull v\u00e4nda kriget s\u00e5 var den l\u00e5ngt ifr\u00e5n fulltalig, var v\u00e4l 15 000st vill jag minnas, hade f\u00e5tt nyaste materielen och gjorde uruselt ifr\u00e5n sig.<\/p>\n

Inga av dessa f\u00f6rband \u00e4r v\u00e4l f\u00e4rdiga f\u00f6r insats i September vilket \u00e4r den m\u00e5nad soldaterna vid fronten har f\u00e5tt till sig att dom skall roteras.<\/p>\n

Om det skulle vara s\u00e5 att RU k\u00f6per sig tid med sin offer-strategi f\u00f6r att ovan CAA skall hinna bef\u00e4sta huvudf\u00f6rsvarslinjen beh\u00f6ver dom b\u00f6rjar r\u00f6ra p\u00e5 sig, vilket dom inte kan.<\/p>\n

Finns ju r\u00e4tt lite anv\u00e4ndning f\u00f6r dom i December n\u00e4r dom m\u00e5ste b\u00f6rja om fr\u00e5n b\u00f6rjan och invadera Ukraina p\u00e5 nytt.<\/p>\n

Jag st\u00e5r fast vid att det inte verkar finnas strategiska reserver att skicka till Ukraina i dagsl\u00e4get \u00e4ven om dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker formera f\u00f6rband f\u00f6r sen h\u00f6st eller senare..<\/p>\n

Det h\u00e4r med de att ryssarna tr\u00e4ffar h\u00f6gv\u00e4rdiga m\u00e5l med robotar \u2013 Slava eller andra proryska sidor skriver alltid om f\u00f6rr\u00e5d som sl\u00e5s ut men det blir aldrig den typen av explosioner i Ukraina \u2013 det hade vi sett filmer p\u00e5.
\nHur g\u00e5r det d\u00e5 till \u2013 en person i Ukraina \u00e4r v\u00e4rvad av FSB att hitta m\u00e5l och f\u00e5r betalt per m\u00e5l. Det \u00e4r farligt arbete att exponera sig s\u00e5 s\u00e4kerligen f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker fler \u00e4n en s\u00e5dan resurs med reptricket att s\u00e4lja in helt meningsl\u00f6sa m\u00e5l f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 betalt. Sen \u00e4r alla i hela kedjan n\u00f6jda f\u00f6r dom kan uppvisa resultat.
\nV\u00e4ldigt ryskt\u2026<\/p>\n

Vad h\u00e4nder utan f\u00f6r det proryska narrativet som just nu alla verkar ta som en absolut sanning.<\/p>\n

Det var Spetznaz som gick och dog i Robotyne, det \u00e4r bland det mest skyddsv\u00e4rda ryssarna har, och hade kvar, och dom offrades i f\u00f6rstalinjen l\u00e5ngt fr\u00e5n huvudf\u00f6rsvarslinjen. N\u00e5gon som tror dom har offensiva reserver kvar?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/rybar_force\/status\/1693615806741922144?s=46&t=gftIEDxSXRk1xs115CAR9w<\/a><\/p>\n

Jo det \u00e4r lite trist att RU forts\u00e4tter bygga fortifikationer men dom skall bemannas ocks\u00e5 och man bygger inte dom p\u00e5 en dag.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/flash_news_ua\/status\/1693712607851515935?s=46&t=gftIEDxSXRk1xs115CAR9w<\/a><\/p>\n

Ryssarna forts\u00e4tter f\u00f6rlora 1:4 \u2013 1:5, UA har g\u00e5tt ut med det, f\u00f6rlusterna st\u00f6der det, alla filmer vi ser st\u00f6der det och Andrew Perpetuas st\u00e4ndiga summeringar st\u00f6der det.<\/p>\n

RU har l\u00e5ngt ifr\u00e5n 1:5 \u00f6vertag i n\u00e5gonting, dom var 1:1 i strv, UA har numer\u00e4rt \u00f6vertag i soldater och dom b\u00f6rjade n\u00e4rma sig i n\u00e5n till f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga s\u00e5 rent matematiskt g\u00e5r RU mot en brakf\u00f6rlust utan mobilisering.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/andrewperpetua\/status\/1694187639102988412?s=46&t=EtkAMYqR5WIITzxpbehEcQ<\/a><\/p>\n

ISW (som vi alltid respekterat) anser att andralinjen (och huvudf\u00f6rsvarslinjen) \u00e4r svagare.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1694182827305123888?s=46&t=EtkAMYqR5WIITzxpbehEcQ<\/a><\/p>\n

ISW tror precis som oss i tr\u00e5den att man drar ut slutk\u00f6rda f\u00f6rband och bef\u00e4ster huvudf\u00f6rsvarslinjen med. Vi har mycket anekdotiskt kring det och att det \u00e4r linjen med traumapatienterna.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1694182829343580647?s=46&t=EtkAMYqR5WIITzxpbehEcQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Ser f\u00f6r mig ut som att den s\u00f6dra fronten buktar in\u00e5t bet\u00e4nkligt och enligt tidigare g\u00e4ller att om inte Ryssland genomf\u00f6r en st\u00f6rre mobilisering mycket snart (redan ig\u00e5r) s\u00e5 \u00e4r dom r\u00f6kta.<\/p>\n

Detsamma g\u00e4ller med s\u00f6dra fronten, kommer det inga reserver genom Mariupol snart \u00e4r det f\u00f6r sent.<\/p>\n

Tv\u00e5 d\u00f6da ryssar som h\u00e4ngde i ett tr\u00e4d, tidigare har vi sett n\u00e5n i bunker \u2013 mycket m\u00f6rker i den ryska arm\u00e9n.
\nR\u00e4knade NYT och WAPO med dessa d\u00f6da n\u00e4r dom summerade upp antalet d\u00f6da eller missade dom tortyrm\u00f6rdade ryska soldater i eget v\u00e4rn?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1693698563895591023?s=46&t=gftIEDxSXRk1xs115CAR9w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:58 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Tack \u00e5terigen f\u00f6r ett bra inl\u00e4gg! <\/p>\n

Ryska propagandan verkar g\u00e5 f\u00f6r h\u00f6gvarv, kanske en del skribenter inte klarar av att v\u00e4rja sig mot det och tar till sig skiten. S\u00e5g att kungahuset fick st\u00e4nga ner kommentarerna f\u00f6r att det var fullt med inl\u00e4gg fr\u00e5n rysstroll.
\nhttps:\/\/omni.se\/trollinlagg-efter-bild-pa-zelenskyj-och-kungen\/a\/JQ4Xx7<\/a><\/p>\n

V\u00e4st skickar f\u00f6r sent och f\u00f6r lite och verkar inte riktigt vilja att Ukraina ska vinna, samtidigt klagas det f\u00f6r att de inte har n\u00e5gra framg\u00e5ngar.. <\/p>\n

Ukraina g\u00e5r f\u00f6r sjutton fram\u00e5t varenda dag! <\/p>\n

Tur \u00e4r ju det annars skulle det vara risk f\u00f6r att man hamnade i depression. Det \u00e4r tragiskt nog att se alla civila som drabbas av ryssarnas terrorattacker samtidigt som man vet att det \u00e4ven d\u00f6r Ukrainska soldater vid fronten.<\/p>\n

Slava Ukraina!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

17:22 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Nu n\u00e4r vi b\u00f6rjat f\u00e5 ordning p\u00e5 slagsidan av den halvsjunkna gotlandsf\u00e4rjan s\u00e5 man kunde g\u00e5 ombord tog det inte l\u00e5ng tid att uppt\u00e4cka att spritkylen var uppbruten, allt var kvar utom ett par flaskor Raki, den som \u00e4r 50%, och 25st flaskor Spiritus vodka som vi t\u00e4nkte anv\u00e4nda som l\u00e4karsprit d\u00e5 den \u00e4r 96% men det \u00e4r en polsk vodka f\u00f6r de riktigt t\u00e5liga.<\/p>\n

Fanns gott om champagne, \u00f6l fr\u00e5n \u00f6versta hyllan och snordyr konjak s\u00e5 jag funderar p\u00e5 om man genom valet av alkohol kan komma fram\u00e5t i utredningen av detta illd\u00e5d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

18:19 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Hmm. Man anar vart\u00e5t det lutar men vi m\u00e5ste g\u00e5 till botten med den h\u00e4r utredningen, vi f\u00e5r inte sjunka s\u00e5 djupt att vi d\u00f6mer n\u00e5gon p\u00e5 f\u00f6rhand. <\/p>\n

F\u00f6rredten kolla fingeravtryck p\u00e5 snapsglasen, misst\u00e4nker att den misst\u00e4nkte inte kunnat h\u00e5lla sig fr\u00e5n att ta sig en j\u00e4kel.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:46 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Prigozin is down \ud83d\ude00\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

(Femma?)<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1694405124943237391?s=46&t=3S1xKrZR9ZJPcRqLOPg_OQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:47 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Fan typ tia\u2026<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:49 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Nytt bloggrekord \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

19:53 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Den h\u00e4r d\u00e5?<\/p>\n

Stor Purge 2.0 p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1694406541753929903?s=46&t=3S1xKrZR9ZJPcRqLOPg_OQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:38 \u2013 Johan No.1 Har haft en hel del l\u00e4nspumpning men nu b\u00f6rjar det stabilisera sig, var och m\u00e4tte de 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