{"id":8072,"date":"2023-08-27T09:59:48","date_gmt":"2023-08-27T07:59:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-08-27\/"},"modified":"2023-08-27T09:59:48","modified_gmt":"2023-08-27T07:59:48","slug":"2023-08-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-08-27\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-08-27"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:12 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Urs\u00e4kta fr\u00e5nvaron, n\u00e5n maffia i detta str\u00e5lande f\u00f6reg\u00e5ngsland i Afrika har lyckats komma \u00e5t entrepren\u00f6ren och genom h\u00f6gsta domstolen f\u00e5tt stopp p\u00e5 deras TSHD genom en \u201darrest order\u201d. Betalar dom inte 3 miljoner USD i borgen blir det inget segla av och det sitter polis ombord nu, pengarna skall in p\u00e5 ett bankkonto. Den kostar v\u00e4l 1.5mnkr per dag n\u00e4r den st\u00e5r. Best\u00e4llaren bryr sig inte och det h\u00e4r kan g\u00e5 precis hursomhelst \u2013 inget av alternativen \u00e4r bra. Ett bankkonto h\u00e4rnere \u00e4r ju lika s\u00e4kert som att l\u00e4gga pengarna i en h\u00f6g p\u00e5 gatan och betalar dom s\u00e4tter dom ett prejudikat s\u00e5 varenda bedr\u00e4geri-entrepren\u00f6r i landet kommer f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka st\u00e4mma dom s\u00e5 fort dom hittar en advokat. Han som ligger bakom det h\u00e4r bedr\u00e4geriet har ju stor guldstj\u00e4rna p\u00e5 sin CV nu och l\u00e4r inte g\u00e5 arbetsl\u00f6s. Sk\u00e4let till st\u00e4mningen var att dom p\u00e5verkar milj\u00f6n negativt.<\/p>\n

Sen har en l\u00e4gre talang hos best\u00e4llaren kokat ihop en historia att hans chef g\u00e5tt ihop med oss och entrepren\u00f6ren f\u00f6r att sno pengar av kunden genom att felrapportera m\u00e4ngder. Hans m\u00e5l \u00e4r att f\u00e5 chefens position men min arbetsgivare blir ju collateral i hela den soppan per automatik.<\/p>\n

Till p\u00e5 k\u00f6pet s\u00e5 var jag ute med entrepren\u00f6ren f\u00f6r inm\u00e4tning av land reclamation och n\u00e5gra driftiga killar hade satt upp en skjutbana rakt mot oss. Helt pl\u00f6tsligt ven (surrade) det kulor f\u00f6rbi oss och vi kravlade d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n s\u00e5 fort vi kunde.<\/p>\n

Sen har bensinpriset fyrdubblats, valutan devalverats, statsansst\u00e4llda inte f\u00e5tt l\u00f6n p\u00e5 10 m\u00e5nader, matinflationen exploderat och skolavgifterna skenat \u2013 \u00e4r st\u00e4ndigt nya protester men det kommer inte riktigt ig\u00e5ng. Min gissning \u00e4r att det kommer bli r\u00f6rigt fram\u00f6ver f\u00f6r medborgarna \u00e4r r\u00e4tt sura.
\nMan b\u00f6rjar v\u00e4l s\u00e5 sm\u00e5tt k\u00e4nna att h\u00e4r kan vadsomhelst h\u00e4nda n\u00e4rsomhelst och det tog lite tid senaste veckorna \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

Jag ser tv\u00e5 tidigare gissningar fr\u00e5n tr\u00e5den som bekr\u00e4ftade nu \u2013 de bakre linjerna \u00e4r inte lika t\u00e4tt minerade och man bef\u00e4ster sina bakre linjer med de f\u00f6rband som k\u00f6rts slut tidigare.<\/p>\n

Det st\u00e5r sig att om inte Ryssland mobiliserar s\u00e5 har dom f\u00f6rlorat kriget och hur skall Putin kunna mobilisera med ett utbrett krigs-missn\u00f6je?<\/p>\n

Hur kan FSB (som l\u00e4ser tr\u00e5den enligt PerraG55) vara s\u00e4kra p\u00e5 att de som l\u00e5ter sig mobiliseras inte g\u00f6r det i syfte att bli bev\u00e4pnade och beg\u00e5 revolution?<\/p>\n

Om den ryska inrikes-f\u00f6rtryckar- regimen inte klarade av att stoppa Wagner eller Belgorodr\u00e4derna, hur skall dom kunna stoppa en halvmiljon soldater som just l\u00e4rt sig skjuta att inte beg\u00e5 revolution?<\/p>\n

Sen \u00e5ter till \u00e4mnet att Ukraina g\u00e5tt all-in h\u00e4r, v\u00e5rs h\u00f6ghet Erik14 postade nedan att deras Navy Seals rensar v\u00e4rn vid Robotyne. Har man satt in bland de mest skyddsv\u00e4rda resurserna man har att rensa v\u00e4rn d\u00e5 har man g\u00e5tt all in. Anser det ocks\u00e5 vara fakta nu.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/Osinttechnical\/status\/1695330237398356168?t=PeWLaDlG7AI0MJ4TDeMMKQ&s=19<\/a><\/p>\n

N\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller fortifikationerna s\u00e5 har vi ju fortifikationskartan d\u00e4r varje punkt \u00e4r en satellitbild \u2013 UA har naturligtvis b\u00e4ttre under\u00e4ttelser \u00e4n s\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Sen vet vi att dom kan se minf\u00e4lten p\u00e5 kv\u00e4llen n\u00e4r minorna \u00e4r varmare \u00e4n marken s\u00e5 dom VET hur stora minf\u00e4lten \u00e4r och s\u00e4ger dom att dom tagit sig igenom det v\u00e4rsta s\u00e5 \u00e4r det rimligen s\u00e5?<\/p>\n

Har dom nu kommit in i v\u00e4rnsystemen s\u00e5 \u00e4r det den t\u00e4ta linjen vid Solodka Balka p\u00e5 fortifikationskartorna som g\u00e4ller rimligen?<\/p>\n

Precis som man gissat \u2013 dom bryter igenom p\u00e5 en punkt och rullar upp \u00e5t V och \u00d6 med sina elitf\u00f6rband och i f\u00f6rsvar \u00e4r det tr\u00f6tta f\u00f6rband och en inte oansenlig m\u00e4ngd sammansatta f\u00f6rband.<\/p>\n

Ocheretuvate verkar vara ett till runtomkringf\u00f6rsvar \u2013 en f\u00e5lla med mycket framtida d\u00f6d i som UA har en geografisk inringning kring d\u00e4r dom vet att det \u00e4r massa f\u00f6rr\u00e5d och trupp.<\/p>\n

Ryssland har egentligen bara skapat f\u00e4llor \u00e5t sig sj\u00e4lva h\u00e4r \u2013 f\u00f6rbanden \u00e4r i defensivt f\u00f6rsvar och UA vet var dom \u00e4r och kan sl\u00e5 ut dom med indirekt eld innan dom k\u00f6r fram skyttet.<\/p>\n

Nu \u00e4r det ocks\u00e5 r\u00e4tt m\u00e5nga indikationer p\u00e5 att de ryska eldr\u00f6ren tystnat vid den s\u00f6dra fronten (eller i alla fall inte ger det eldunderst\u00f6d som kr\u00e4vs men det l\u00e4t bra).<\/p>\n

Om ni har f\u00f6ljt rapporteringen s\u00e5 har chefen s\u00f6dra fronten tvingats nedprioritera Staromlynivka omr\u00e5det och dra f\u00f6rband d\u00e4rifr\u00e5n f\u00f6r att st\u00e4rka upp kring Robotyne.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r mycket talande f\u00f6r hur pass pressade dom \u00e4r att dom m\u00e5ste f\u00f6rsvaga ett omr\u00e5de f\u00f6r att kunna h\u00e5lla ett annat.
\nVi h\u00f6r ingenting om l\u00e5nga kolonner genom Mariupol, f\u00f6r det finns inga reserver.<\/p>\n

Om ni minns n\u00e4r Mariupol inringades tidigt i kriget s\u00e5 var det uppgifter om 200st stridsvagnar som rullade genom Berdyansk och det \u00e4r den typen av f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar som beh\u00f6vs f\u00f6r att kunna g\u00f6ra skillnad h\u00e4r \u2013 men dom finns inte.<\/p>\n

Sen till det d\u00e4r som PerraG skrev, har v\u00e4l ocks\u00e5 gissats i tr\u00e5den och det f\u00e5r v\u00e4l anses vara stor styrka f\u00f6r bloggen och LW dygnetrunt arbete att b\u00e5de Ukraina och Ryssland l\u00e4ser bloggen \ud83d\ude00\ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

Man f\u00e5r hoppas att FSB skrattar g\u00e5tt \u00e5r allt h\u00e4cklande av Putin, sj\u00e4lv tycker jag dom d\u00e4r n\u00e4r han hasar runt i bunkern i Altai och suger p\u00e5 kaviarskeden \u00e4r roliga.<\/p>\n

Du kan nog ha en karri\u00e4r som expertr\u00e5dgivare i rysslandsfr\u00e5gor framf\u00f6r dig PerraG55?<\/p>\n

N\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller l\u00e4ckan fr\u00e5n Der Spiegel att det var Ukraina som spr\u00e4ngde Nordstream s\u00e5 \u00e4r det ett rykte som b\u00e4st, f\u00f6rmodligen planterad information.
\nTog mig en funderare p\u00e5 motiv f\u00f6r det \u00e4r alltid det som klipper skurken i beckfilmerna.<\/p>\n

\u00c4r det n\u00e5gon som tror att Ukraina hade avfyrat gasvapnet n\u00e4r b\u00e4sta bed\u00f6mningen d\u00e5 var att v\u00e4st skulle dra sig ur?
\nSamma Ukraina som lydigt inte skjuter v\u00e4stvapen in \u00f6ver ryska gr\u00e4nsen och g\u00f6r allt f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 v\u00e4sts sympatier och vill g\u00e5 med i EU?<\/p>\n

Eller skulle det kunna ha varit gr\u00e4nsl\u00f6sa Ryssland som orsakar naturkatastrofer, \u00e4gnar sig \u00e5t sj\u00f6r\u00f6veri, hotar med k\u00e4rnvapen, utf\u00f6r etnisk rensning och kastrerar och amputerar krigsf\u00e5ngar?
\nVi forts\u00e4tter skylla p\u00e5 Ryssland tycker jag.<\/p>\n

Nu tycker jag vi kan b\u00f6rja prata om dr\u00f6narsv\u00e4rmar, 42st i en insats ned mot Krim.<\/p>\n

Perpetua visar i vanlig ordning p\u00e5 h\u00f6gre RU f\u00f6rluster \u00e4n UA f\u00f6rluster.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/andrewperpetua\/status\/1695242366297239600?s=46&t=7iDiuyBq6FGr_GaUk9K75w<\/a><\/p>\n

ISW anser att f\u00f6rbanden som nu f\u00f6rsvarar vid s\u00f6dra fronten \u00e4r i d\u00e5ligt skick och har stridit f\u00f6r l\u00e4nge.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/thestudyofwar\/status\/1695270760326029490?s=46&t=7iDiuyBq6FGr_GaUk9K75w<\/a><\/p>\n

Den h\u00e4r s\u00e4ger samma sak som oss i tr\u00e5den om rysk psyops, b\u00e5da \u00e4r ju \u00e5sikter s\u00e5klart men jag tycker det \u00e4r tydligt.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/kremlintrolls\/status\/1695366396727677405?s=46&t=8xR4jcQ4BKgJZgo_rc9CYQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Den h\u00e4r \u00e4r sv\u00e5rtolkad, inte har v\u00e4l UA lyckats komma fram\u00e5t till i n\u00e4rheten av Volnovakha \u00e4nnu?
\nS\u00e5 l\u00e4nge f\u00e5r det bli felskrivning p\u00e5 denna.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1695375463495971269?s=46&t=8xR4jcQ4BKgJZgo_rc9CYQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Nedan film \u00e4r varning p\u00e5, mycket dr\u00f6nardroppad vinggranat. Po\u00e4ngen jag vill g\u00f6ra \u00e4r att dom nu anv\u00e4nder dr\u00f6narna att jaga enskilda personer och dom har inget skydd. Vi har ju sett dessa l\u00e4nge men det \u00e4r nere p\u00e5 den niv\u00e5n och stressfaktorn m\u00e5ste vara enorm.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/golub\/status\/1695667229864387033?s=46&t=aWX0O5qW220KRkP3s7dHfA<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f6r mig ser det ut som Ukraina sakta men s\u00e4kert h\u00e5ller p\u00e5 att bryta igenom vid s\u00f6dra fronten och det som popul\u00e4rt fick namnet \u201dAzovst\u00f6ten\u201d ben\u00e4mndes ocks\u00e5 \u201dschackdraget\u201d f\u00f6r d\u00e5 \u00e4r kriget o\u00e5terkalleligen f\u00f6rlorat f\u00f6r Ryssland.
\nVi \u00e4r p\u00e5 god v\u00e4g mot det.<\/p>\n

Sen kan s\u00e5klart ryssarna v\u00e4lja att sl\u00e4ppa norra Luhansk men nu n\u00e4r gr\u00e4nsen \u00e4r of\u00f6rsvarad och Erik14 har postat att frihetsk\u00e4mparna \u00e4r inne i Kursk och h\u00e4rjar igen s\u00e5 \u00e4r det nog inte en popul\u00e4r nedprioritering.
\nUkraina skulle d\u00e5 f\u00e5 tre g\u00e5nger gr\u00e4nsen att r\u00f6ja runt i och dom kan ocks\u00e5 n\u00e5 alla NS f\u00f6rs\u00f6rjningsv\u00e4gar p\u00e5 den ryska sidan.<\/p>\n

Sen kan dom alltid sl\u00e4ppa Bakhmut men d\u00e5 kommer UA g\u00e5 rakt p\u00e5 staden Luhansk och sen dundra ned i m\u00f6rkaste Donbass norrifr\u00e5n.<\/p>\n

K\u00e4nns som chefen s\u00f6dra fronten inte f\u00e5r n\u00e5gra svar l\u00e4ngre p\u00e5 sina whatsapp rop p\u00e5 hj\u00e4lp \ud83d\ude00
\nHar vi s\u00e5 kommit till en punkt igen d\u00e4r ryssarna m\u00e5ste prioritera vad dom skall beh\u00e5lla?<\/p>\n

Verkar ocks\u00e5 som Taurus \u00e4r p\u00e5 ing\u00e5ng nu?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:46 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Ta hand om dig!
\n(S\u00e4g till om vi beh\u00f6ver s\u00e4tta ihop en r\u00e4ddningsstyrka och h\u00e4mta hem dig, skriv n\u00e5got om hur mycket du \u00e4lskar Bolognesechips s\u00e5 vet vi att det \u00e4r dags).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

16:48 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Dengamles Grillad Tomat r\u00e4ddade du ju upp galant, jag skall komma upp med ett kodord f\u00f6r n\u00e4r det blir kris.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:12 \u2013 Johan No.1 Urs\u00e4kta fr\u00e5nvaron, n\u00e5n maffia i detta str\u00e5lande f\u00f6reg\u00e5ngsland i Afrika har lyckats komma \u00e5t entrepren\u00f6ren och […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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