{"id":8232,"date":"2023-10-09T10:57:26","date_gmt":"2023-10-09T08:57:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-10-09-2\/"},"modified":"2023-10-09T10:57:26","modified_gmt":"2023-10-09T08:57:26","slug":"2023-10-09-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-10-09-2\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-10-09"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>11:28 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Lite rapportstiltje fr\u00e5n fronterna och massa h\u00f6ga chefer p\u00e5 bes\u00f6k h\u00e4r d\u00e4rav mindre text.<\/p>\n<p>F\u00f6rs\u00f6ker h\u00e5lla mig on topic \u00e4ven om jag \u00e4r intresserad av den st\u00f6rre eskalering som p\u00e5g\u00e5r nu med Israel \u2013 Hamas, ett par hack till upp p\u00e5 stegen med risk f\u00f6r ytterligare eskalering mot ett kallt krig eller v\u00e4rldskrig.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e4ngden filmer p\u00e5 m\u00f6rdade, v\u00e5ldtagna, torterade och sedan sk\u00e4ndade lik p\u00e5 film \u00e4r enorm och i syfte att provocera israel maximalt rimligen. Och sen n\u00e4r deras vederg\u00e4llning spelar ut tar andra det f\u00f6r int\u00e4kt att eskalera \u2013 ned\u00e5tg\u00e5ende spiral om\u00f6jlig att stoppa \u00e4r min gissning och det beh\u00f6ver man knappast vara israelk\u00e4nnare f\u00f6r att r\u00e4kna ut \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n<p>Vad mer kan Ryssland ha i bakfickan f\u00f6r att destabilisera v\u00e4rlden fram\u00f6ver p\u00e5 liknande s\u00e4tt, f\u00f6r jo Ryssland har i alla fall tr\u00e4ffat Hamas i v\u00e5ras och det h\u00e4r \u00e4r en positiv utveckling f\u00f6r dom \u2013<\/p>\n<p>-sl\u00e5 mot v\u00e5r elinfrastruktur i vinter, trodde dom skulle g\u00f6ra det f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret och tror det i \u00e5r igen.<br \/>\n-f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng inb\u00f6rdeskrig i Afrika omr\u00e5det Mali \u2013 Niger \u2013 Nigeria \u2013 CAR \u2013 Tchad och n\u00e5gra l\u00e4nder till \u00e4r en god kandidat f\u00f6r det.<br \/>\n-Azerbaijan och Armenien har jag sv\u00e5rt att se att dom \u00e4r skyldiga till alls.<br \/>\n-Moldavien \u00e4r v\u00e4l ouppn\u00e5eligt nu f\u00f6r dom tror jag.<br \/>\n-\u00f6ka p\u00e5verkansoperationerna i v\u00e4st till max, framf\u00f6rallt efter Israel \u2013 Hamas att f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng mots\u00e4ttningar arabiska diasporan \u2013 andra i olika v\u00e4stl\u00e4nder. Det \u00e4r demonstrationer \u00f6verallt just nu f\u00f6r att fira attacken mot Israel och det tas emot r\u00e4tt ljumt av v\u00e4st, speciellt de l\u00e4nder som f\u00e5tt sina medborgare m\u00f6rdade.<br \/>\n-eskalera i Syrien?<br \/>\n-ge sig p\u00e5 Georgien?<br \/>\n-nya flyktingstr\u00f6mmar?<br \/>\n-ytterligare oroligheter nere p\u00e5 Balkan?<br \/>\n-Turkiet mot Grekland (nja)?<br \/>\n-Turkiet \u00f6kar i Syrien?<\/p>\n<p>\u00c5terigen \u2013 man skall ha klart f\u00f6r sig att allt vi ser spela ut nu har en l\u00e5ng ledtid och att det finns fler steg vi inte sett \u00e4nnu i den kl\u00e4ttrande flerstegsraketen.<\/p>\n<p>FAB500 och FAB1500 har RU lyckats \u00f6ka produktionen av \u2013 ett enkelt och effektivt vapen som fungerar tyv\u00e4rr och mycket obehagligt.<\/p>\n<p>Nu n\u00e4r artilleriet \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt decimerat och ahkp utrotningshotade s\u00e5 har dom kvar flyg och m\u00e5lstyrd ammunition.<br \/>\n\u00c5terigen borde v\u00e4st redan ha lyssnat p\u00e5 Ukraina och ge dom frontn\u00e4ra LV som kan skjuta ned under anflygning \u00e4ven om det \u00e4r p\u00e5 distans. Dom g\u00f6r ohygglig skada om dom f\u00e5r tr\u00e4ff mitt i.<\/p>\n<p>Som bloggen skrev \u2013 GUR bekr\u00e4ftade tre attacker mot Enerhodar och vi k\u00e4nner till en d\u00e4r vi enh\u00e4lligt utropade rysk psyops efter filmerna, eller jag h\u00f6gg faktiskt p\u00e5 den eftersom korsning av Dnepr var viktigt f\u00f6r mitt ego men blev nedsablad \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<p>Sista g\u00e5ngen deltog hundratals och fr\u00e5n international legion, om ni minns den information vi fick fr\u00e5n ryssarna s\u00e5 var det \u201dforeign special forces\u201d med.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1711266284309033350?s=46&amp;t=hIS1Il4GQAIBqccomGcTHg\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1711266284309033350?s=46&amp;t=hIS1Il4GQAIBqccomGcTHg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Vi kan v\u00e4l bara konstatera att det \u00e4r mycket vi inte k\u00e4nner till. Minns ni rysk information om en misslyckad r\u00e4d mot Snake Island tidigare med \u201dforeign special forces\u201d och nedskjutna helikoptrar. Kan ju ha varit foreign legion d\u00e4r ocks\u00e5?<\/p>\n<p>Vi brukar som sagt inte diskutera UA f\u00f6rluster eller deras misslyckade anfallsf\u00f6rs\u00f6k och efter kriget kan vi gr\u00e5ta \u00e5t de astronomiska f\u00f6rluster dom tagit b\u00e5de i civila och stridande.<\/p>\n<p>Diskussionen \u00e4r alltid \u2013 \u201dUA \u00e4r n\u00e4ra att f\u00f6rlora s\u00e5 vi beh\u00f6ver inte st\u00f6dja dom\u201d alternativt \u201dnu g\u00e5r det s\u00e5 bra f\u00f6r UA s\u00e5 vi inte beh\u00f6ver st\u00f6dja dom\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Jag t\u00e4nker att en bra medelv\u00e4g \u00e4r \u2013 \u201ddet g\u00e5r bra f\u00f6r Ukraina om v\u00e4st forts\u00e4tter st\u00f6dja dom till en win\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Vid fronterna ser det \u00f6verlag positivt ut, RU brigader kring Robotyne \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt decimerade, det g\u00e5r rykten om UA offensiv \u00f6ver Dnepr, det \u00e4r inga nya brigader vid Staromaiorske s\u00e5 ocks\u00e5 svaga RU f\u00f6rband i omr\u00e5det.<br \/>\nRU backar dessutom vid Bakhmut fortfarande och RU offensiven i norra Luhansk kom av sig helt efter astronomiska f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c4r r\u00e4tt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att Shoigu f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker l\u00f6sa uppgiften att ta n\u00e5got vad som helst under Oktober nu och i att i den processen ryker det sista med offensiv f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga vilket \u00e4r absolut str\u00e5lande.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>11:29 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>Lite rapportstiltje fr\u00e5n fronterna och massa h\u00f6ga chefer p\u00e5 bes\u00f6k h\u00e4r d\u00e4rav mindre text.<\/p>\n<p>F\u00f6rs\u00f6ker h\u00e5lla mig on topic \u00e4ven om jag \u00e4r intresserad av den st\u00f6rre eskalering som p\u00e5g\u00e5r nu med ett par hack till upp p\u00e5 stegen med risk f\u00f6r ytterligare eskalering mot ett kallt krig eller v\u00e4rldskrig.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00e4ngden filmer p\u00e5 m\u00f6rdade, v\u00e5ldtagna, torterade och sedan sk\u00e4ndade lik p\u00e5 film \u00e4r enorm och i syfte att provocera maximalt rimligen. Och sen n\u00e4r deras vederg\u00e4llning spelar ut tar andra det f\u00f6r int\u00e4kt att eskalera \u2013 ned\u00e5tg\u00e5ende spiral om\u00f6jlig att stoppa \u00e4r min gissning och det beh\u00f6ver man knappast vara k\u00e4nnare f\u00f6r att r\u00e4kna ut \ud83d\ude10<\/p>\n<p>Vad mer kan Ryssland ha i bakfickan f\u00f6r att destabilisera v\u00e4rlden fram\u00f6ver p\u00e5 liknande s\u00e4tt, f\u00f6r jo Ryssland har i alla fall tr\u00e4ffat terroristerna i v\u00e5ras och det h\u00e4r \u00e4r en positiv utveckling f\u00f6r dom \u2013<\/p>\n<p>-sl\u00e5 mot v\u00e5r elinfrastruktur i vinter, trodde dom skulle g\u00f6ra det f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret och tror det i \u00e5r igen.<br \/>\n-f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng inb\u00f6rdeskrig i Afrika omr\u00e5det Mali \u2013 Niger \u2013 Nigeria \u2013 CAR \u2013 Tchad och n\u00e5gra l\u00e4nder till \u00e4r en god kandidat f\u00f6r det.<br \/>\n-Azerbaijan och Armenien har jag sv\u00e5rt att se att dom \u00e4r skyldiga till alls.<br \/>\n-Moldavien \u00e4r v\u00e4l ouppn\u00e5eligt nu f\u00f6r dom tror jag.<br \/>\n-\u00f6ka p\u00e5verkansoperationerna i v\u00e4st till max, framf\u00f6rallt efter Israel \u2013 Hamas att f\u00e5 ig\u00e5ng mots\u00e4ttningar arabiska diasporan \u2013 andra i olika v\u00e4stl\u00e4nder. Det \u00e4r demonstrationer \u00f6verallt just nu f\u00f6r att fira attacken mot Israel och det tas emot r\u00e4tt ljumt av v\u00e4st, speciellt de l\u00e4nder som f\u00e5tt sina medborgare m\u00f6rdade.<br \/>\n-eskalera i Syrien?<br \/>\n-ge sig p\u00e5 Georgien?<br \/>\n-nya flyktingstr\u00f6mmar?<br \/>\n-ytterligare oroligheter nere p\u00e5 Balkan?<br \/>\n-Turkiet mot Grekland (nja)?<br \/>\n-Turkiet \u00f6kar i Syrien?<\/p>\n<p>\u00c5terigen \u2013 man skall ha klart f\u00f6r sig att allt vi ser spela ut nu har en l\u00e5ng ledtid och att det finns fler steg vi inte sett \u00e4nnu i den kl\u00e4ttrande flerstegsraketen.<\/p>\n<p>FAB500 och FAB1500 har RU lyckats \u00f6ka produktionen av \u2013 ett enkelt och effektivt vapen som fungerar tyv\u00e4rr och mycket obehagligt.<\/p>\n<p>Nu n\u00e4r artilleriet \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt decimerat och ahkp utrotningshotade s\u00e5 har dom kvar flyg och m\u00e5lstyrd ammunition.<br \/>\n\u00c5terigen borde v\u00e4st redan ha lyssnat p\u00e5 Ukraina och ge dom frontn\u00e4ra LV som kan skjuta ned under anflygning \u00e4ven om det \u00e4r p\u00e5 distans. Dom g\u00f6r ohygglig skada om dom f\u00e5r tr\u00e4ff mitt i.<\/p>\n<p>Som bloggen skrev \u2013 GUR bekr\u00e4ftade tre attacker mot Enerhodar och vi k\u00e4nner till en d\u00e4r vi enh\u00e4lligt utropade rysk psyops efter filmerna, eller jag h\u00f6gg faktiskt p\u00e5 den eftersom korsning av Dnepr var viktigt f\u00f6r mitt ego men blev nedsablad \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<p>Sista g\u00e5ngen deltog hundratals och fr\u00e5n international legion, om ni minns den information vi fick fr\u00e5n ryssarna s\u00e5 var det \u201dforeign special forces\u201d med.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1711266284309033350?s=46&amp;t=hIS1Il4GQAIBqccomGcTHg\" rel=\"nofollow ugc\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/noelreports\/status\/1711266284309033350?s=46&amp;t=hIS1Il4GQAIBqccomGcTHg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Vi kan v\u00e4l bara konstatera att det \u00e4r mycket vi inte k\u00e4nner till. Minns ni rysk information om en misslyckad r\u00e4d mot Snake Island tidigare med \u201dforeign special forces\u201d och nedskjutna helikoptrar. Kan ju ha varit foreign legion d\u00e4r ocks\u00e5?<\/p>\n<p>Vi brukar som sagt inte diskutera UA f\u00f6rluster eller deras misslyckade anfallsf\u00f6rs\u00f6k och efter kriget kan vi gr\u00e5ta \u00e5t de astronomiska f\u00f6rluster dom tagit b\u00e5de i civila och stridande.<\/p>\n<p>Diskussionen \u00e4r alltid \u2013 \u201dUA \u00e4r n\u00e4ra att f\u00f6rlora s\u00e5 vi beh\u00f6ver inte st\u00f6dja dom\u201d alternativt \u201dnu g\u00e5r det s\u00e5 bra f\u00f6r UA s\u00e5 vi inte beh\u00f6ver st\u00f6dja dom\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Jag t\u00e4nker att en bra medelv\u00e4g \u00e4r \u2013 \u201ddet g\u00e5r bra f\u00f6r Ukraina om v\u00e4st forts\u00e4tter st\u00f6dja dom till en win\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Vid fronterna ser det \u00f6verlag positivt ut, RU brigader kring Robotyne \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt decimerade, det g\u00e5r rykten om UA offensiv \u00f6ver Dnepr, det \u00e4r inga nya brigader vid Staromaiorske s\u00e5 ocks\u00e5 svaga RU f\u00f6rband i omr\u00e5det.<br \/>\nRU backar dessutom vid Bakhmut fortfarande och RU offensiven i norra Luhansk kom av sig helt efter astronomiska f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c4r r\u00e4tt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att Shoigu f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker l\u00f6sa uppgiften att ta n\u00e5got vad som helst under Oktober nu och i att i den processen ryker det sista med offensiv f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga vilket \u00e4r absolut str\u00e5lande.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-0\">\n<h2>14:05 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n<p>12:50 \u00e4r v\u00e4l intressant f\u00f6r det g\u00e4ller hela s\u00f6dra fronten och vi \u00e4r mitt i perioden d\u00e4r Shoigu skall \u00e5terta allt.<\/p>\n<p>Retr\u00e4tt brukar f\u00f6reg\u00e5s av att dom skjuter upp all ammunition och d\u00e4r \u00e4r vi v\u00e4l inte men intressant att dom k\u00e4nner att dom inte kan forts\u00e4tta anfalla. Kanske ligger sanning i att UA f\u00f6rbereder sig f\u00f6r en st\u00f6rre offensiv operation?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-1\">\n<h3>16:52 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n<p>Tack!<\/p>\n<p>Finns risk att du kan f\u00e5 r\u00e4tt i b\u00e5de en eller flera av dina scenarier f\u00f6r rysk destabilisering, men jag hoppas verkligen vi slipper det.<\/p>\n<p>R\u00e4knar kallt med att Shoigu kommer att se till att f\u00e5 ryska arm\u00e9n rej\u00e4lt reducerad. De \u00e4r ju som s\u00e4mst n\u00e4r de f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker vara offensiva..<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>17:00 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>Ja vi f\u00e5r hoppas att Shoigu levererar \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-2\">\n<h4>18:36 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n<p>F\u00f6r \u00f6vrigt kul att det ofta \u00e4r du och Erik14 som kommenterar n\u00e4r inl\u00e4ggen kommer sent \ud83d\ude00<br \/>\nDet ger lite merv\u00e4rde att se att ni l\u00e4ser.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"import-comment import-comment-level-3\">\n<h5>06:47 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n<p>Det \u00e4r ett merv\u00e4rde att f\u00e5 l\u00e4sa det du skriver!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>11:28 \u2013 Johan No.1 Lite rapportstiltje fr\u00e5n fronterna och massa h\u00f6ga chefer p\u00e5 bes\u00f6k h\u00e4r d\u00e4rav mindre text. F\u00f6rs\u00f6ker h\u00e5lla [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[33,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arkiv01","category-ukraina"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2023-10-09 -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-10-09-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2023-10-09 -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"11:28 \u2013 Johan No.1 Lite rapportstiltje fr\u00e5n fronterna och massa h\u00f6ga chefer p\u00e5 bes\u00f6k h\u00e4r d\u00e4rav mindre text. 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