{"id":8392,"date":"2023-11-09T10:00:19","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T09:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-11-09\/"},"modified":"2023-11-09T10:00:19","modified_gmt":"2023-11-09T09:00:19","slug":"2023-11-09","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-11-09\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-11-09"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

11:51 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Vid Dnepr har UA stor m\u00e4ngd h\u00e5rda fordon, brigader och dom har nu ett EV (dr\u00f6nar-dome) \u00f6ver omr\u00e5det samt LV skydd. Man har decimerat artilleriet h\u00e5rt och mot UA elitf\u00f6rband med m\u00f6rkerstridsmedel st\u00e5r mobilisade med personligt vapen. Vi f\u00e5r se vad RU kan skicka ned n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkningar framledes \u2013 finns dom eller finns dom inte.<\/p>\n

Accentmannen is tillbaka med ett brak \ud83d\udca5
\nN\u00e4r han summerar \u00e4r det mycket tydligt att UA g\u00e5tt fr\u00e5n att sl\u00e5 ut artilleri och bakre till att sl\u00e5 ut arm\u00e9flyget, flottan och flygvapnet.
\nDet kan ju bara betyda att man anser att artilleriet \u00e4r tillr\u00e4ckligt uppm\u00f6rat och att man kan hantera det med frontn\u00e4ra indirekta f\u00f6rm\u00e5gor.<\/p>\n

\u00c4nnu ett steg p\u00e5 v\u00e4gen till landet Rysslands brakf\u00f6rlust. Jag f\u00f6rst\u00e5r inte hur n\u00e5gon kan h\u00e4vda att Ryssland vinner n\u00e4r arm\u00e9flyget \u00e4r f\u00f6rflyttat till Rostov na Don, flottan har flytt till Novoryssivsk och d\u00e4r det \u00e5terigen b\u00f6rjar bli f\u00f6rbr\u00e5k innan genomg\u00e5ngarna vem som skall tvingas flyga in \u00f6ver Ukraina hos flygvapnet.
\nhttps:\/\/youtu.be\/XlBcPDdYbxY?si=28zFwwaYSpKzM26M<\/a><\/p>\n

Den h\u00e4r skulle v\u00e4l egentligen komma f\u00f6rst men jag \u00e4r alldeles till mig att den tvilling jag aldrig haft nu kom tillbaka.
\nAll strategisk kommunikations moder att EU st\u00e5r bakom Ukraina eller hur. Nu n\u00e4r den proryska p\u00e5verkansoperationen rullar att v\u00e4st \u00f6verger Ukraina, s\u00e5 var det tydligen inte s\u00e5 egentligen \ud83d\ude00
\nH\u00f6gg man p\u00e5 den h\u00f6gg man p\u00e5 psyops kan man v\u00e4l bara konstatera och man beh\u00f6ver kalibrera sig lite igen.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/maria_drutska\/status\/1722298182762205516?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Det gled lite under radarn men Moldavien \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 kandidatland och det \u00e4r ett land Ryssland planerat att l\u00e4gga under sig \u2013 mycket l\u00e5ngt finger av EU.
\nDessutom s\u00e5 har ju Georgien accepterats som kandidatland ocks\u00e5, \u00e4nnu pinsammare f\u00f6r Putin, hans Ruski Mir faller ihop som det korthus det \u00e4r.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nexta_tv\/status\/1722215686431531486?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Sen har UA b\u00f6rjat ta tag i det h\u00e4r med kommunikationen, s\u00e5 h\u00e4r f\u00e5r man med sig USA gissningsvis \ud83d\udc4d
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1721896863388053578?s=46&t=taSMIf15k8IuA0ZtxAEsUg<\/a><\/p>\n

Den n\u00e4st viktigaste biten information som nu v\u00e4l en g\u00e5ng f\u00f6r alla s\u00e4tter stopp f\u00f6r alla gissningar av UA f\u00f6rluster. Zelensky har g\u00e5tt ut med att ration \u00e4r 1:5 vilket ger 60 000st stupade.
\nJag gissade v\u00e4l 50 000st och det betyder ju ingenting \u00f6verhuvudtaget men USA har ber\u00e4knat UA f\u00f6rluster till 60 000st \u2013 70 000st?
\nS\u00e5rade landar ocks\u00e5 inom det interval USA trodde, 120 000st.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1722334307975352549?s=46&t=7LFjzSWa5LOHMiNp2WvVvQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Nu \u00e4r ju alltid historien s\u00e5 h\u00e4r \u2013 RU har f\u00f6rlorat mindre men UA mer, framledes n\u00e4r man tar positionen att RU f\u00f6rlorat mindre m\u00e5ste man ju d\u00e5 ocks\u00e5 acceptera att UA f\u00f6rlorat 1:5 av vad man anser rimlig RU f\u00f6rlust, och att dom d\u00e5 \u00e4r n\u00e4stan oskadade i detta krig is\u00e5fall?<\/p>\n

Sen vet vi ocks\u00e5 varf\u00f6r UA chefen SOF fick sparken \u2013 han outade n\u00e5gra hemliga operationer i en intervju. Det \u00e4r allts\u00e5 inte full slitning inom ledarskiktet som proryssarna direkt f\u00f6rs\u00f6kte f\u00e5 oss att tro \u2013 och d\u00e4r blev man lite orolig.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r tv\u00e5 historier som cirkulerar kring Zaliznys sekreterares d\u00f6d. Den som jag lutar \u00e5t \u00e4r att FSB (eller vilken letter-agency det nu \u00e4r som h\u00e5ller i det) nu f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker tvinga fram sp\u00e4nningar i Ukraina genom mord n\u00e4r allt annat misslyckades.
\nJag v\u00e4ljer att inte tro p\u00e5 att sekreteraren fick en l\u00e5da handgranater p\u00e5 sin f\u00f6delsedag och lekte med dom med sin son \u2013 den historien \u00e4r orimlig f\u00f6r alla som \u00e4r f\u00f6r\u00e4ldrar till sm\u00e5 barn och \u00e4r man assistent till \u00d6B \u00e4r man inte den typen som jonglerar handgranater med sin sex\u00e5riga son.<\/p>\n

Vidare bevis i fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r att det cirkulerar en deep fake d\u00e4r Zalizhny manar till palatskupp.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1722073084843167959?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Och att Zelensky nu tvingas dementera att det skall bli val i landet 2024 vilket Ryssland f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker g\u00f6ra till diktaturfasoner.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/kyivindependent\/status\/1721765550299468046?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Allt det h\u00e4r \u00e4r en rysk p\u00e5verkansoperation som f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker tvinga fram konflikter i administrationen. Vinner man inte p\u00e5 slagf\u00e4ltet f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker man fuska sig till en win i vanlig ordning, helt enkelt usla m\u00e4nniskor.<\/p>\n

Jag har numera en ny rutin, s\u00e5 fort det blossar upp en konflikt googlar jag f\u00f6r att se vad Ryssland har f\u00f6r intressen i omr\u00e5det.
\nHaiti och Dominican republics gr\u00e4ns har det b\u00f6rjat r\u00f6ra sig lite vid.
\nOch jo, Wagner har g\u00e5tt i tankar att etablera sig i Haiti.
\nhttps:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/politics\/national-security\/leaked-documents-russian-wagner-group-mercenaries-haiti-rcna79440<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelshurkin\/status\/1722063082518704608?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

I Sahel b\u00f6rjar det bli oroligt generellt pga. f\u00f6r mycket vapen.
\nRussia \u00e4r stors\u00e4ljaren av vapen i Subsahara och Wagner \u00e4r i Sahel.
\nhttps:\/\/adf-magazine.com\/2023\/04\/russia-emerges-as-top-weapons-supplier-to-sub-saharan-africa\/<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/adfmagazine\/status\/1722343230316986471?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/www.freiheit.org\/spain-italy-portugal-and-mediterranean-dialogue\/russian-influence-sahel-wagner-and-support-military<\/a><\/p>\n

Jag forts\u00e4tter med det h\u00e4r t\u00e4nkte jag, allt \u00e4r s\u00e5klart circumstantial men jag tror att RU anv\u00e4nder Wagner som bensin p\u00e5 alla m\u00f6jliga brasor runtom i v\u00e4rlden dels f\u00f6r allm\u00e4n destabilisering och f\u00f6r blodspengar.<\/p>\n

Om Ryssland har tillr\u00e4ckligt med vapen, varf\u00f6r vill man att alla l\u00e4nder som f\u00e5tt vapenplattformar senaste \u00e5ren skall ge tillbaka dom?
\nHett tips att USA ringt och meddelat att dom ser allt och det blir mycket lite i retur till Ryssland.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/flash_news_ua\/status\/1722362052889501977?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Putin valkampanj \u00e4r i full swing just nu, alla drar sitt str\u00e5 till stacken.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/gerashchenko_en\/status\/1722301185581887920?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/gerashchenko_en\/status\/1722386914475454928?s=46&t=3BYxs2cgthl6uLW1g6H6wQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Jag har aldrig djupdykt i det h\u00e4r men min take nu p\u00e5 G\u2026a \u00e4r att H\u2026as \u00e4r en kriminell gruppering som snott alla bist\u00e5ndsmedel och andra medel f\u00f6r att dels berika sig sj\u00e4lva och bygga upp sin f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga till strid.
\nDom har i intervjuer sagt att skydd f\u00f6r civila \u00e4r FN problem och dom har f\u00f6rv\u00e4grat civila att evakuera f\u00f6r att maximera civila f\u00f6rluster \u2013 inte direkt den chef och ledare man k\u00e4nner f\u00f6rtroende f\u00f6r.<\/p>\n

Ledarskiktet \u00e4r om inte biljon\u00e4rer i alla fall multimiljon\u00e4rer med hotellkedjor och andra verksamheter.
\nSamtidigt som de civila i omr\u00e5det \u00e4r kidnappade som m\u00e4nskliga sk\u00f6ldar.
\nAllfler civila r\u00f6ster h\u00f6js nu och ber\u00e4ttar sanningen, twitter \u00f6versk\u00f6ljs av filmer.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/marionawfal\/status\/1722034948486447402?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

V\u00e4st borde har insett detta f\u00f6r l\u00e4nge sedan men har spelat med sedan 2007 \u00e4r det v\u00e4l, taskigt mot de civila i G\u2026a f\u00e5r man v\u00e4l s\u00e4ga som levat under kriminellas styre.<\/p>\n

S\u00e5 h\u00e4r s\u00e5g det ut n\u00e4r journalister fick se H\u2026as hj\u00e4mkameror fr\u00e5n 7 October, det var nog sv\u00e5rt att inte blunda.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/mossadil\/status\/1721932908963758419?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Jag vet att det \u00e4r alldeles f\u00f6r tidigt men det har uppenbarligen inte fungerat de f\u00f6rs\u00f6k som gjorts med sj\u00e4lvstyre och v\u00e4rldssamfundet b\u00f6r ta sig en rej\u00e4l funderare p\u00e5 vad som beh\u00f6ver g\u00f6ras efter att I..el utpl\u00e5nat H..as. Ockupation av I..el \u2013 en mycket d\u00e5lig id\u00e9!
\nFN kan v\u00e4l ha en demarkationszon som i s\u00e5 m\u00e5nga andra konflikter och sen f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka bygga upp omr\u00e5det igen till ett sj\u00e4lvstyre, eget land eller vadsomhelst men med en FN buffert emellan och d\u00e4r FN h\u00e5ller i handen s\u00e5 inte n\u00e4sta kriminella klan bara tar \u00f6ver i tomrummet?<\/p>\n

Sen har vi ett mordf\u00f6rs\u00f6k p\u00e5 Abbas och han gick nyligen ut och kritiserade H..as s\u00e5 viss koppling \u00e4ven om den \u00e4r anekdotisk.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1721923819655381392?s=46&t=taSMIf15k8IuA0ZtxAEsUg<\/a><\/p>\n

Oroa sig beh\u00f6ver man inte f\u00f6r att MENA skulle dra bort CRG fr\u00e5n kinas n\u00e4romr\u00e5de, finns 3CRG kvar \ud83d\ude00
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/osinttechnical\/status\/1722099061400957396?s=46&t=sdasz4O6ZZeH9RMe6vUK7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Allt jag ser \u00e4r \u00f6kande intensitet kring Dnepr d\u00e4r punkt efter punkt p\u00e5 listan bockas av \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:28 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Tack f\u00f6r l\u00e4gesrapporten!<\/p>\n

Dnepr och Avdiivka blir ett bra lackmuspapper f\u00f6r att se vad ryssarna har f\u00f6r resurser kvar. Klarar de av att f\u00e5 in reserver till Dnepr och klarar de av att h\u00e5lla \u00e5ngan uppe vid Avdiivka? Utan att beh\u00f6va f\u00f6rsvaga p\u00e5 andra platser?
\nJag tror inte det men det blir sp\u00e4nnande att se de n\u00e4rmaste 1-2 veckorna.<\/p>\n

Intressanta iakttagelser om att ryssarna har fingrarna i syltburken oavsett var det dyker upp oroligheter. Bra spaning. Det \u00e4r lite vad man b\u00f6rjar misst\u00e4nka men inte t\u00e4nkt p\u00e5 att kolla djupare p\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r om FN klarar av att h\u00e5lla ordning i Ga**, fast det \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt se n\u00e5gon annan vettig l\u00f6sning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:45 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Det skall bli mycket intressant att se hur RU nu agerar kring Dnepr, japp.<\/p>\n

Ja, det \u00e4r ju sj\u00e4lv \u201dhur g\u00e5r man vidare\u201d som \u00e4r intressant med G\u2026a t\u00e4nker jag, H..as \u00e4r nog utrensade r\u00e4tt snart.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:47 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Orihiv ligger ju i det omr\u00e5det d\u00e4r man kan r\u00f6ra sig i skyl och d\u00e4r det finns mycket skydd, ett bra brohuvud.<\/p>\n

Khakovka \u00e4r bara orten och sen \u00e4r det \u00f6ppna f\u00e4lt s\u00e5 att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka bryta sig ut ur ett brohuvud d\u00e4ruppe om RU \u00e4r i f\u00f6rsvar \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt.<\/p>\n

Just nu sitter jag och misst\u00e4nker att UA kommer g\u00e5 \u00f6ver floden p\u00e5 fler platser f\u00f6r att \u00f6ka trycket och sen beh\u00f6ver dom ju tillg\u00e5ng till broar f\u00f6r att etablera sig p\u00e5 allvar.<\/p>\n

Tiden \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 en faktor h\u00e4r, hinner RU f\u00e5 ned ett par CAA som helt sonika k\u00f6r \u00f6ver f\u00f6rsvaret \u00e4r mycket lite uppn\u00e5tt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
12:59 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h5>\n

Faktiskt f\u00f6rv\u00e5nad att det har g\u00e5tt relativt snabbt f\u00f6r Is*** . Trodde det skulle bli betydligt h\u00e5rdare strider \u00e4n det man sett hittills. Kanske kan vara s\u00e5 att de inte har s\u00e5 stort st\u00f6d bland befolkningen p\u00e5 plats i Ga** som man kan tro n\u00e4r man ser alla demonstrationer runt om i v\u00e4rlden. L\u00e4tt att st\u00e5 och heja p\u00e5 n\u00e4r man sj\u00e4lv \u00e4r i s\u00e4kerhet och en helt annan sak n\u00e4r man \u00e4r p\u00e5 plats.<\/p>\n

Bara att hoppas att det snart \u00e4r \u00f6ver och att det g\u00e5r att f\u00e5 till en fungerande l\u00f6sning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
13:14 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h6>\n

Hah, det \u00e4r lite som med Iran och v\u00e4stliga demonstrationer f\u00f6r t\u00e4ckt huvud och sen de iranska kvinnorna sj\u00e4lva s\u00e4ger att vi d\u00f6r f\u00f6r att f\u00e5 visa v\u00e5rt h\u00e5r.<\/p>\n

De civila i G\u2026a verkar vara mer \u00e4n lovligt tr\u00f6tta p\u00e5 H\u2026as kriminella styre men skulle du skicka en familj fr\u00e5n G\u2026a att argumentera f\u00f6r hur verkligheten \u00e4r i en demonstration i Europa hade dom ju blivit lynchade direkt.<\/p>\n

V\u00e4rlden just nu \u00e4r mycket m\u00e4rklig.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:53 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Kan ju vara tr\u00e4ning men BMP-1 pver dnepr \u00e4r alltid kul<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1722865419365630250?s=46&t=X5Wa4enBRNh_gTQcAFzGdg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Varf\u00f6r har sverige \u00e5terinf\u00f6rt gr\u00f6nskontroller?<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/justitiedep\/status\/1722587051789349122?s=46&t=X5Wa4enBRNh_gTQcAFzGdg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

09:32 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Toppar med mycket h\u00f6g FSB officer d\u00f6dad.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/killedinukraine\/status\/1722887351356039500?s=46&t=X5Wa4enBRNh_gTQcAFzGdg<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

11:51 \u2013 Johan No.1 Vid Dnepr har UA stor m\u00e4ngd h\u00e5rda fordon, brigader och dom har nu ett EV (dr\u00f6nar-dome) 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