{"id":8412,"date":"2023-11-27T09:34:22","date_gmt":"2023-11-27T08:34:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-11-27\/"},"modified":"2023-11-27T09:34:22","modified_gmt":"2023-11-27T08:34:22","slug":"2023-11-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-11-27\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-11-27"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:07 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Putin skojar till det lite med kopiorna, l\u00e4ttsam st\u00e4mning \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1728770015959334977?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:47 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\ude04<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

11:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Alldeles f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga gl\u00f6mmer bort att Ukraina har varit i krig med Ryssland sedan 2014 n\u00e4r v\u00e4st om inte f\u00f6rr\u00e5dde Ukraina s\u00e5 i alla fall inte satte n\u00e5gra gr\u00e4nser alls f\u00f6r Ryssland n\u00e4r dom invaderade ett land i Europa. Sen invaderade dom ocks\u00e5 Moldavien i Transnistrien och det var ju inte f\u00f6rstasidenyhet hos media direkt. Allt detta ointresse sporrade naturligtvis Putin att fullt ut invadera Ukraina och vidare ointresse kommer motivera Putin att forts\u00e4tta sitt er\u00f6vringst\u00e5g \u2013 sv\u00e5rare \u00e4n s\u00e5 \u00e4r det inte.<\/p>\n

H\u00f6sten 2022 beh\u00f6vde Ukraina sj\u00e4lvf\u00f6rtroende och det fick dom, idag beh\u00f6ver dom inte det f\u00f6r dom vet att dom kan sl\u00e5 Ryssland.<\/p>\n

Varf\u00f6r skulle Ukraina ge upp nu efter 1.5 \u00e5r n\u00e4r dom \u00e4ntligen f\u00e5r allt dom pekar p\u00e5 och det g\u00e5r absolut ap-d\u00e5ligt f\u00f6r Ryssland i kriget?<\/p>\n

Ukrainarna sj\u00e4lva vet vad deras befolkning har utsatts f\u00f6r sedan 2014 och i hundratals \u00e5r innan det.
\nI den andra v\u00e5gsk\u00e5len \u00e4r det EU medlemskap och in i v\u00e4rmen i v\u00e4st \u2013 r\u00e4tt attraktivt.<\/p>\n

Att Ukraina kommer tvingas till f\u00f6rhandlingar p\u00e5 d\u00e5liga villkor eller sj\u00e4lvmant komma krypandes till s\u00e5dana kommer inte att h\u00e4nda \u00e4ven fast Putin \u00e4r absolut desperat nu. Det har hintats i media mer \u00e4n en g\u00e5ng fr\u00e5n Ryssland senaste m\u00e5naden att dom absolut \u00e4r redo f\u00f6r f\u00f6rhandlingar.
\n\u00c5terkommer kring det nedan.<\/p>\n

En \u00f6ppen fr\u00e5ga ang\u00e5ende att Putin \u00e4r r\u00e4dd f\u00f6r NATOs expansion \u2013 nu n\u00e4r det verkar vara allm\u00e4nt accepterat efter n\u00e5n m\u00e5nad att dom flyttat LV fr\u00e5n Kaliningrad till Ukraina, \u00e4r inte det motsatt reaktion mot att vara livr\u00e4dda f\u00f6r NATO?
\nKaliningrad ligger omgivet av NATO och dom f\u00f6rsvagar f\u00f6rsvaret d\u00e4r?
\nFr\u00e5gar \u00e5t en kompis som inte riktigt f\u00f6rst\u00e5r hur det h\u00e4nger ihop f\u00f6r han t\u00e4nker att hela narrativet att allt \u00e4r NATOs fel som expanderat s\u00e5 n\u00e4ra Ryssland is\u00e5fall \u00e4r fel.<\/p>\n

Jag t\u00e4nker att NATO \u00e4r lite som n\u00e4r ett g\u00e4ng som \u00e4ger en f\u00f6rort n\u00e5nstans f\u00e5r en n\u00e4rpolisstation och skriker polisbrutalitet. Dom \u00e4r oroliga f\u00f6r att deras kriminalitet skall lida men hela f\u00f6rorten \u00e4r heln\u00f6jda att dom \u00e4ntligen omfattas av landets lagar. Ryssland vill kunna kasta sig \u00f6ver svagare grannar n\u00e4r dom k\u00e4nner f\u00f6r det och NATO g\u00f6r detta sv\u00e5rare helt enkelt.<\/p>\n

Sen var det ju den d\u00e4r \u00f6vningen av v\u00e4st i att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka f\u00e5 Ryssland att f\u00f6rst\u00e4rka andra gr\u00e4nser. NATO g\u00f6r r\u00e4tt d\u00e5ligt ifr\u00e5n sig om dom demilitariserar Kaliningrad\u2026
\nPrecis n\u00e4r kriget b\u00f6rjade ans\u00e5g v\u00e4l n\u00e5n i tr\u00e5den att Japan skulle b\u00f6rja k\u00f6ra landstigningsb\u00e5tar ute precis vid territorialgr\u00e4nsen s\u00e5 marininfanteriet fick ta sibiriska j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gen i retur men det var det ingen som nappade p\u00e5.
\nMan kan v\u00e4l i alla fall ha lite st\u00f6rre och fler \u00f6vningar i omr\u00e5den n\u00e4ra ryska gr\u00e4nsen?<\/p>\n

Lejonen \u270a
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1728493913495794116?s=46&t=9lqf0Vyv888jj9kiw53tPA<\/a>
\nIngen \u00e4r f\u00f6dd till detta men dom har st\u00e5tt upp och gjort det om\u00f6jliga otaliga g\u00e5nger med livet som insats.<\/p>\n

Dessa soldater kommer aldrig ge upp, detta \u00e4r filmer fr\u00e5n nu i November med regn och storm, ser det ut som dom planerar att kasta in handduken?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1728787131185688771?s=46&t=9lqf0Vyv888jj9kiw53tPA<\/a><\/p>\n

Faces of Freedom kallade postaren denna, passande.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1727749566349320279?s=46&t=9lqf0Vyv888jj9kiw53tPA<\/a><\/p>\n

Avdiivka \u00e4r inte Bakhmut och varf\u00f6r det \u00e4r ryskt kaos kategori 1. Det \u00e4r en enda stor gravplats som kommer f\u00e5 liknande konsekvenser f\u00f6r arm\u00e9n som Bakhmut fick f\u00f6r wagner f\u00e5r man v\u00e4l hoppas.
\nhttps:\/\/nitter.net\/secretsqrl123\/status\/1728615103182897188?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n

Opsect\u00e4cket ligger t\u00e4tt men det verkar som UA har ett bredare och djupare brohuvud \u00e4n vad kartorna f\u00f6resl\u00e5r.
\nRyska motanfall verkar ocks\u00e5 regelm\u00e4ssigt sl\u00e5s tillbaka.
\nSyftet \u00e4r egentligen redan uppn\u00e5tt, man har \u00f6ppnat ett reellt hot i ryggen p\u00e5 s\u00f6dra fronten som antingen tvingar till retr\u00e4tt eller som man m\u00e5ste f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka sl\u00e5 \u2013 vilket kommer misslyckas med enorma f\u00f6rluster.<\/p>\n

Omr\u00e5det f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att man kommer bygga upp ett starkt brohuvud och kunna forts\u00e4tta offensiva operationer i omr\u00e5det.
\nS\u00e5 alla som s\u00e4ger att v\u00e5roffensiven misslyckats \u2013 hur passar brohuvud \u00f6ver Dnepr in i den bilden?
\nSpeciellt eftersom RU inte lyckas ta en kvadratmeter mark nuf\u00f6rtiden.<\/p>\n

Och summeringen av v\u00e5roffensiven nedan i kostnader \u00e4r trevlig l\u00e4sning
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/spartan_news1\/status\/1728469667587469723?s=46&t=9lqf0Vyv888jj9kiw53tPA<\/a><\/p>\n

Vintern \u2013 jag vill minnas fr\u00e5n historielektionerna att Ryssland anf\u00f6ll som mest i WW2 vintertid eftersom det var d\u00e5 tyskarna hade det som sv\u00e5rast?
\nS\u00e5 h\u00e4r risigt m\u00e5r ryssarna idag,
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/andysch64494719\/status\/1728877883190563316?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

Blir det en l\u00e4ngre period av detta f\u00e5r vi d\u00f6d sn\u00f6gubberyss med stor sannolikhet (detta \u00e4r v\u00e4l en ua film men visar v\u00e4dret)
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1728799579028480068?s=46&t=9lqf0Vyv888jj9kiw53tPA<\/a><\/p>\n

HMS Repulse har v\u00e4l n\u00e5got om guds missn\u00f6je kanske men jag t\u00e4nker att Putin \u00e4r verkligen sm\u00e4rtsamt ensam, inte ens v\u00e4dret vill vara polare med honom.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1729057538883395771?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f6r er som har f\u00f6ljt leveranserna senaste halv\u00e5ret s\u00e5 vet ni att det levererats n\u00e5t hundratal BV206 eller den splitterskyddade versionen. Dom tar sig fram \u00f6verallt f\u00f6r dom \u00e4r byggda f\u00f6r att ta sig fram \u00f6verallt s\u00e5 f\u00f6r prioriterade brigader blir det underh\u00e5ll.<\/p>\n

Sen har det kommit \u201dvinterpaket\u201d fr\u00e5n ett flertal l\u00e4nder s\u00e5 prioriterade brigader \u00e4r sannolikt fullt vinterutrustade.
\nVisst kommer vi f\u00e5 se territorial st\u00e5 och huttra i filmer men det betyder inte att offensiva f\u00f6rband f\u00f6rlorat sitt stridsv\u00e4rde.<\/p>\n

Putin har sj\u00e4lv hintat att Ryssland \u00e4r f\u00e4rdiga f\u00f6r f\u00f6rhandling och flera kanaler har skickat samma budskap. Han tror att han kan g\u00e5 \u00f6ver huvudet p\u00e5 Ukraina och g\u00f6ra n\u00e5n f\u00f6rdelaktig deal med v\u00e4st och Bilds artikel om att Scholz och Biden kokar ihop n\u00e5got passar in v\u00e4l i detta.<\/p>\n

7 Oktober blev det terorrattack, demonstrationer med tusentals deltagare med f\u00f6rtryckta plakat dagen efter (snabbt jobbat\u2026) och mer konfliktfyllt i alla fall i mina sociala medier. Just nu \u00e4r det alla T\u2026ps kampanjfilmer som fyller min feed.<\/p>\n

Sen kom en deepfake film med Zalizny som uppmanade till revolution och n\u00e5got till jag gl\u00f6mt bort som var signifikant.<\/p>\n

Vet ni vad som ocks\u00e5 h\u00e4nde \u2013 Ryssland aktiverade massa sovande agenter i Ukraina f\u00f6r att skapa grogrund f\u00f6r st\u00f6rre interna konflikter.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1729054302562394354?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f6r er som fortfarande inte tror att det finns kopplingar s\u00e5 \u00e4r det v\u00e4l ganska intressant att allt detta lyckats sammanfalla i tid inom n\u00e5n m\u00e5nad?<\/p>\n

Skall man g\u00e5 efter Oryx f\u00f6rluster h\u00e5ller Ukraina tillbaka 80% eller s\u00e5 av fordon levererade fr\u00e5n v\u00e4st.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukikaski\/status\/1728918425056014340?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

Ukraina har visat sig kunna vederg\u00e4lla proportionerligt men det som ocks\u00e5 st\u00e4ndigt p\u00e5g\u00e5r som ett l\u00e5gintensivt krig \u00e4r alla befrielsed\u00e5d mot krigsviktig industri.
\nDen d\u00e4r traktorfabriken som g\u00f6r stridsvagnsmotorer, titta p\u00e5 filmen nedan slutsatsen kan ju bara bli att det \u00e4r slut med produktion av motorer efter det eldklotet?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1728907017350435056?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

Vi diskuterade 50 000st krigsrelaterade amputationer tidigare, har nu f\u00e5tt f\u00f6r mig att siffran var mellan 20 000st \u2013 50 000st. Skyh\u00f6gt men det \u00e4r en
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1729035462826947066?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw<\/a><\/p>\n

Ryssland \u00e4r svagt och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker visa sig starkt men det lyckas inte f\u00f6r alla har l\u00e4st Tsun Tzu. Vi f\u00e5r se vad Ukraina kan \u00e5stadkomma med v\u00e4dret, mina pengar \u00e4r p\u00e5 att dom kan utnyttja det till sin f\u00f6rdel och att det \u00e4r ryssarna som tagits p\u00e5 s\u00e4ngen totalt av detta, vi f\u00e5r se men det \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt att inte vara positiv av alla goda nyheter.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:05 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d Blir intressant att se om det faktiskt \u00e4r s\u00e5 ryssarna nu befinner sig i ett sluttande plan. Tror att det som h\u00e4nder fram\u00f6ver i Avdiivka kommer att visa hur mycket mer de har kvar att ge.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:16 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Tror jag ocks\u00e5 \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:49 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Anfall mot Krunky av f\u00f6rband som borde ligga l\u00e4ngre s\u00f6derut, intressant f\u00f6r dels ambition att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka sl\u00e5 brohuvudet men samtidigt tillf\u00f6rs inga f\u00f6rband.<\/p>\n

ett st\u00f6rre anfall s\u00e5 dom tv\u00e5 regementerna har v\u00e4lt decimerats h\u00e5rt f\u00e5r man hoppas.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/astraiaintel\/status\/1729058224501088498?s=46&t=n2XU_vqM9G81WDIoEWHHBQ<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:08 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d Det \u00e4r verkligen ett svaghetstecken fr\u00e5n Rysslands sida n\u00e4r de inte klarar av att trycka tillbaka Ukraina.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

09:13 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Breaking, nu \u00e4r det krig p\u00e5 riktigt och inte en oligark g\u00e5r s\u00e4ker.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/twitter.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1729409734757806104?s=46&t=YTZiCHWWfj2GL0iLjUxpfA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:07 \u2013 Johan No.1 Putin skojar till det lite med kopiorna, l\u00e4ttsam st\u00e4mning \ud83d\ude00 https:\/\/twitter.com\/anno1540\/status\/1728770015959334977?s=46&t=3H6eqvNcLXwE4-XX6gxSyw 10:47 \u2013 MatsExtrude \ud83d\ude04 11:21 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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