{"id":8490,"date":"2023-12-12T11:42:33","date_gmt":"2023-12-12T10:42:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2023-12-12\/"},"modified":"2023-12-12T11:42:33","modified_gmt":"2023-12-12T10:42:33","slug":"2023-12-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2023-12-12\/","title":{"rendered":"2023-12-12"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:15 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Nu \u00e4r WAPO ute med en domedagsartikel igen att v\u00e4st inget har att skicka \ud83e\udd2c
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/rshereme\/status\/1734252665599574407?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg<\/a><\/p>\n

MTG vill ha fred p\u00e5 ryska villkor f\u00f6r att r\u00e4dda barnen.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1734323545537175918?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg<\/a><\/p>\n

Perpetua k\u00e4nner som oss i tr\u00e5den att det \u00e4r l\u00f6gn av den h\u00f6gre skolan att v\u00e4st har slut p\u00e5 vapen att skicka och det har tr\u00e5den v\u00e4l debunkat flertalet g\u00e5nger.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/andrewperpetua\/status\/1734363034846466071?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg<\/a><\/p>\n

Samtidigt som Zelensky i sitt tal i USA l\u00e5ter meddela att 2024 river dom berlinmuren 2.0 \u2013 l\u00e5ter det som en man som b\u00f6rjar ge upp?
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1734321893614686702?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg<\/a><\/p>\n

Nu har Meiden 3 n\u00e5tt full stormstyrka och vi skall vara r\u00e4dda f\u00f6r ukrainsk brakf\u00f6rlust och att v\u00e4st har helt slut p\u00e5 vapen att skicka nu. Precis som med Den Stora Mobiliseringen h\u00e4nger det som ett m\u00f6rkt t\u00e4cke \u00f6ver oss och m\u00e5nga oroar sig fast tiden g\u00e5r och det aldrig blir n\u00e5gon mobilisering trots tv\u00e5 f\u00f6rs\u00f6k p\u00e5 papper med dubbla st\u00e4mplar.<\/p>\n

Jag snor nedan citat fr\u00e5n Cesar i g\u00e5rdagens tr\u00e5d f\u00f6r det var mycket skarpt analyserat.
\n\u201dDet m\u00e5ste vara panik hos Ryssarna n\u00e4r deras Iskander skjuts ner till 90-100 % likadant med deras k\u00e4rnvapen kompatibla kryssningsrobotar har 90% nedskjutning, d\u00e5 har Ukraina inte mer \u00e4n en handfull Patriot\/SampT, samtidigt som n\u00e5gra f\u00e5 Storm Shadow st\u00e4ller till det p\u00e5 Krym s\u00e5 de f\u00e5r l\u00e4mna Sevestapol med sin Svarta Havsflotta, juvelen fr\u00e5n Katarina den Stora, hur ska Ryssland klara att skydda K\u00f6nigsberg, Peter och Moskva om de anfaller Balterna och Gotland?\u201d<\/p>\n

Ryssarna bl\u00e5ser enormt mycket varmluft just nu genom Meiden 3 men dom har ju trots allt ocks\u00e5 analytiker som utv\u00e4rderar hur dom klarat sig mot v\u00e4stvapen och hur ett krig med v\u00e4st skulle g\u00e5.
\nHar dom inte lyckats stoppa en enda storm shadow (eller n\u00e5n kanske?) men f\u00e5r 90% av egna robotar nedskjutna s\u00e5 b\u00f6r det ju t\u00e4ndas lite r\u00f6da varningslampor \u00e4ven i Ryssland eller hur?<\/p>\n

Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r inget man kan bygga bort p\u00e5 n\u00e5gra \u00e5r, det \u00e4r hela tekniken som \u00e4r underm\u00e5nlig b\u00e5de hos robotar och hos LV \u2013 har v\u00e4ldigt lite med utbildning av personal att g\u00f6ra.<\/p>\n

Kriget i Ukraina g\u00e5r uruselt och dom har f\u00f6rlorat 15 000st h\u00e5rda fordon sedan krigets start. Det dom hade i ladorna var f\u00f6rvisso en hel del men det som nu finns kvar \u00e4r i uruselt skick, och framf\u00f6rallt \u00e4r det mycket mindre \u00e4n vad som finns i v\u00e4st alla kategorier.<\/p>\n

Nu har dessutom den f\u00f6re detta ryska kolonin Ukraina lyckats med n\u00e5gon dom aldrig klarat och aldrig kommer att klara \u2013 fullt digitaliserad stridsledning integrerad p\u00e5 alla niv\u00e5er. Ryssland f\u00f6rst\u00e5r naturligtvis att hela v\u00e4st klarar av detta lika bra som Ukraina, eller b\u00e4ttre.<\/p>\n

Sj\u00e4lva inledde dom det h\u00e4r kriget med f\u00f6rstav\u00e4rldskrigsorder p\u00e5 utskrivet papper och minsta motg\u00e5ng s\u00e5 kraschade det totalt f\u00f6r ingen stridsledde n\u00e5gonting och alla m\u00e5ste f\u00f6lja skriven order \u00e4ven om det l\u00e5g minor och eld\u00f6verfall p\u00e5 v\u00e4gen.<\/p>\n

Det digitala slagf\u00e4ltet mot order utskrivet p\u00e5 papper som ingen f\u00f6ljer upp \u2013 Tannenberg m\u00f6t 2023.<\/p>\n

Det Ryssland egentligen gjort h\u00e4r var en skarp mobiliseringskontroll och vapentester och allt fick svag etta i utv\u00e4rdering \u2013 jag tror att rysslands slutsats av det h\u00e4r kriget blir att dom absolut inte kan g\u00e5 i krig med v\u00e4st.<\/p>\n

Svagheterna kan helt enkelt inte byggas bort f\u00f6r dom \u00e4r strukturella och en konsekvens av grundfilosofin med hur man styr landet Ryssland. F\u00f6r att kunna kriga som v\u00e4st m\u00e5ste man bli som v\u00e4st och d\u00e5 kommer man f\u00f6rmodligen inte vilja kriga l\u00e4ngre utan v\u00e4ljer att leva ett gott liv.<\/p>\n

Tror vi Kina kommit till en annan slutsats, dom har f\u00f6rvisso en aningen mer modern f\u00f6rsvarsmakt men \u00e4r toppstyrda dom ocks\u00e5. Om man f\u00e5r gissa k\u00e4nner sig inte Kina j\u00e4ttesugna p\u00e5 en global konflikt d\u00e4r dom \u00e4r stridande part. Kina f\u00f6rst\u00e5r ocks\u00e5 att USA visat ett enda kort av hela UNO kortleken och Ryssland f\u00f6rlorade direkt.<\/p>\n

Eftersom kinas enda krig mot v\u00e4st kan bli i sydkinesiska havet s\u00e5 gjorde ju tr\u00e5den tidigare en genomg\u00e5ng av v\u00e4sts flottor och Kina kommer inte l\u00e5ngt om dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker. Vill dom g\u00e5 landv\u00e4gen \u00e4r det Indien eller Ryssland som g\u00e4ller som skall spela i samma lag.<\/p>\n

Ryssland subversiva verksamhet \u00e4r ypperlig men just nu f\u00e5r v\u00e4st faktiskt ta och sansa sig \u2013 Ryssland har f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt att dom \u00e4r f\u00f6rlorade h\u00e4r och det enda dom f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker lura in v\u00e4st till \u00e4r n\u00e5n typ av f\u00f6rhandlingsfred s\u00e5 Putin och Silovikerna kan \u00f6verleva personligen, ingenting annat.<\/p>\n

Det blir inga frysta fronter, det blir ingen f\u00f6rhandlingsfred \u2013 det blir rysk brakf\u00f6rlust och stora f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i landet Ryssland av detta episka misstag. En geopolitisk atombomb har vi v\u00e4l kallat det i tr\u00e5den redan v\u00e5ren 2022.<\/p>\n

Intressanta bitar information \u2013
\nRyssland \u00e4r nu nere p\u00e5 380st strv vid Dnepr enligt n\u00e5n av k\u00e4llorna. Skulle vara 70 000st barbarer ocks\u00e5 men helt s\u00e4ker p\u00e5 att man r\u00e4knar brigader som fulltaliga s\u00e5 f\u00f6rmodligen fel.
\nAntalet strv \u00e4r intressant f\u00f6r det var 500st f\u00f6r en m\u00e5nad eller tv\u00e5 sedan.<\/p>\n

Jag har aldrig f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt att EU redan f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt r\u00f6sta igenom Ryssland som \u201dstate sponsor of terrorism\u201d och det inte gick igenom \u2013 intressant.
\nhttps:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2022\/11\/25\/russia-labelled-as-sponsors-of-terrorism-how-did-europe-vote<\/a><\/p>\n

Jag har varit lite fr\u00e5nvarande fr\u00e5n Qanon uppenbarligen f\u00f6r i Juni 2022 d\u00f6k det upp nya poster. Det h\u00e4r gillar jag inte f\u00f6r det finns r\u00e4tt stor risk att dom kommer driva detta inf\u00f6r presidentvalet 2024.
\nhttps:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2022\/jun\/27\/qanon-head-posts-message-board-8kun<\/a><\/p>\n

Elon har ocks\u00e5 b\u00f6rjat hinta om Qanon nyligen, \u201djust in time for the election\u201d.
\nhttps:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/elon-musk-qanon-2024-election\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Sen b\u00f6rjar Qanon content trenda p\u00e5 twitter.
\nhttps:\/\/www.adl.org\/resources\/blog\/qanon-resurgent-twitter<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f6r den som \u00e4r lite konspiratoriskt lagd skulle man kunna misst\u00e4nka att det finns en plan bakom det hela.<\/p>\n

Houtirebellerna har m\u00f6jligen slagit ut ett norskflaggat fraktfartyg i r\u00f6da havet.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/sentdefender\/status\/1734355750510539000?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg<\/a><\/p>\n

Sn\u00f6leoparderna, vilken insats.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ukrainiansquad\/status\/1733886701288742928?s=46&t=Nq3AuCvQEGb_UkNSfOJisw<\/a><\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r flest krig p\u00e5 30 \u00e5r just nu
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1734166130686665113?s=46&t=fxffcua3UeZkmWsGvT-FAQ<\/a><\/p>\n

Macron vill st\u00f6tta mer.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1733859556835340520?s=46&t=ceRftawDE85Q_r6zXCUUlg<\/a><\/p>\n

Vet inte om jag redan tog upp denna men m\u00f6jligen f\u00f6rbereder RU offensiva operationer vid norra fronten och ni minns diskussionen om floderna d\u00e4ruppe eller hur s\u00e5 ingen risk att dom n\u00e5r framg\u00e5ng.
\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/blackrussiantv\/status\/1733513312887873637?s=46&t=sh9VAJ95j9SPJkhpo3MTAg<\/a><\/p>\n

Avslutar med denna fr\u00e5n Erik14, minns ni diskussionen f\u00f6rra \u00e5ret n\u00e4r HIMARS kom om stuka-effekten och sniper-effekten. Ryss i grop ser granaten i granngropen och v\u00e4ntar sedan p\u00e5 sin tur, samma med prickskytten.
\nDom h\u00e4r dr\u00f6narna \u00e4r n\u00e4stan \u00e4nnu b\u00e4ttre, tiotusentals och f\u00f6rmodligen full panik s\u00e5 fort man h\u00f6r surrandet \u2013 lysande helt enkelt och stukaeffekten \u00e4r uppn\u00e5dd.
\nStressp\u00e5slaget p\u00e5 ryska soldater vid fronterna torde vara oerh\u00f6rt h\u00f6gt, dom riskerar att bli utbr\u00e4nda i arbetslivet.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/EuromaidanPress\/status\/1733977437707399471?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

15:03 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Tack! \ud83d\udc4d<\/p>\n

Inte om\u00f6jligt att dr\u00f6narsurrandet kommer att vara PTSD-utl\u00f6sande f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga soldater fr\u00e5n b\u00e5da sidor, flera \u00e5r efter kriget.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:15 \u2013 Johan No.1 Nu \u00e4r WAPO ute med en domedagsartikel igen att v\u00e4st inget har att skicka \ud83e\udd2c https:\/\/twitter.com\/rshereme\/status\/1734252665599574407?s=46&t=92aweUnA5jUi1sqFCWwzeg […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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