{"id":8898,"date":"2024-03-31T10:53:28","date_gmt":"2024-03-31T08:53:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-03-31\/"},"modified":"2024-03-31T10:53:28","modified_gmt":"2024-03-31T08:53:28","slug":"2024-03-31","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2024-03-31\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-03-31"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:12 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Vad h\u00e4nde med den hotande mobiliseringen, nu v\u00e5gar Putin bara mobilisera 150 000st. Det \u00e4r i storleksordningen en offensiv reserv ungef\u00e4r som dom k\u00f6r slut p\u00e5 tv\u00e5 m\u00e5nader. Jag vet ju vad jag tror \u2013 att Putin inte kan mobilisera f\u00f6r d\u00e5 blir det revolution \ud83d\ude00
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/jayinkyiv\/status\/1774340886249283788?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Dagens f\u00f6rlustlista f\u00f6resl\u00e5r kraftig f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning av frontn\u00e4ra bakre funktioner som artilleri, tross, LV och radar.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/golub\/status\/1774303434331574789?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Just nu har Ryssland initiativet men deras f\u00f6rluster i Mars var i flera staplar de h\u00f6gsta i hela kriget och f\u00f6rvisso har dom tagit n\u00e5gra potatisf\u00e4lt men Ukraina har \u00e5tertagit terr\u00e4ng ocks\u00e5. Vi \u00e4r absolut inte i ett l\u00e4ge d\u00e4r RU g\u00e5r fram\u00e5t och UA sviktar \u2013 det \u00e4r r\u00f6rlig f\u00f6rsvarsstrid och UA f\u00f6rbereder en offensiv reserv.
\nFABbombf\u00e4llarna \u00e4r ett gissel, det \u00e4r n\u00e4stan samma intensitet p\u00e5 flyget som under 2022 innan RU blev skr\u00e4mda och drog bort flygvapnet.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r inte sv\u00e5rt att identifiera en fortifikation och sen s\u00e4tta 3-4 FAB bomber i den och d\u00e5 \u00e4r den utslagen \u2013 f\u00f6rsvaret \u00e4r begravt under ton av jord.
\nDet \u00e4r absolut skandal att spetsflyget inte kom tidigare och det \u00e4r absolut skandal att Ukraina inte f\u00e5r sl\u00e5 ut flygbaserna precis p\u00e5 den ryska sidan gr\u00e4nsen med riktiga l\u00e5ngdistansvapen.
\nMen v\u00e4rlden \u00e4r inte r\u00e4ttvis tyv\u00e4rr.<\/p>\n

Under natten har RU skjutit minst 12st robotar mot Ukraina och proportionell vederg\u00e4llning lyser med sin fr\u00e5nvaro noterar v\u00e4l alla.
\nhttps:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3koxsjj4o2e2m<\/a><\/p>\n

Det brann eventuellt i n\u00e5t oljef\u00e4lt men jag tror inte vi kan tillskriva Ukraina det utan formell bekr\u00e4ftelse.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/lxsummer1\/status\/1774182864923324497?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Och sen var det dr\u00f6nare i Saratov men inga raffinaderier men det \u00e4r i alla fall inte brist p\u00e5 dr\u00f6nare \ud83d\ude10
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1774342770691297682?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Perpetua har en bra f\u00f6rlustratio i vanlig ordning och det \u00e4r 1:5 till RU nackdel vilket \u00e4r bra.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/andrewperpetua\/status\/1774323676726304932?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Nu f\u00e5r vi se om resten av v\u00e4st f\u00f6ljer efter Frankrike h\u00e4r, ingen gillar ju en f\u00f6rlorare men s\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt projicerar Macron handlingskraft och styrka.
\nDet finns mycket mer som kan levereras, Jordanien har massa avst\u00e4llda Challenger 1 stridsvagnar och Spanien har massa M60
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1774094125861659019?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/coneofarc\/status\/1774124223478239704?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Vi vet sedan tidigare att Italien har massa M60 ocks\u00e5 och \u00e4ven USA har ju dessa kvar. Som IKV skulle dom fungera alldeles utm\u00e4rkt.
\nFrankrike kommer skicka sina VAB ptgb renaultbilar och det finns v\u00e4l 4000st \u2013 5000st av dom men oklart hur m\u00e5nga dom kommer skicka, dom pratar om hundratals. Vi har dock sett filmer p\u00e5 andra typer av splitterskyddade fordon ocks\u00e5.<\/p>\n

Jag k\u00e4nner att nu kan vi egentligen sl\u00e5 i gongongen att Belgorodr\u00e4derna \u00e4r \u00f6ver f\u00f6r den h\u00e4r g\u00e5ngen. Antingen var det valp\u00e5verkan eller s\u00e5 \u00e5kte dom p\u00e5 kvartssamtal igen, det kommer v\u00e4l fram s\u00e5 sm\u00e5ningom.<\/p>\n

Jag misst\u00e4nker att tyska staten m\u00e5ste ge sitt tillst\u00e5nd till Taurustillverkaren f\u00f6r att s\u00e4lja roboten p\u00e5 den internationella marknaden \u2013 n\u00e5gon som kan detta f\u00e5r v\u00e4l bekr\u00e4fta?<\/p>\n

Nu har tillverkaren tv\u00e5 g\u00e5nger g\u00e5tt ut f\u00f6rst med att dom kan nytillverka stor m\u00e4ngd fort och nu senast med att dom kommer l\u00e4gga ned all tillverkning f\u00f6r dom f\u00e5r inga ordrar. Det senaste uttalandet \u00e4r en sanning med modifikation f\u00f6r ingen har k\u00f6pt dom sedan 2020 eller d\u00e4rikring men det signalerar att dom verkligen vill s\u00e4lja produkten.
\nEftersom hela v\u00e4rlden vill ha produkten och det bevisligen finns medel s\u00e5 \u00e4r det f\u00f6r mig inte orimligt att tyska staten bromsar h\u00e4r \u2013 det kommer v\u00e4l fram s\u00e5 sm\u00e5ningom.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/neythomas\/status\/1774002256192446815?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Med risk f\u00f6r att jag hugger p\u00e5 fel k\u00e4lla men denna anser att USA gjort klart att om en enda filipinsk person i uniform d\u00f6r till f\u00f6ljd av kinas trakasserier d\u00e5 blir det krig med dom.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/sprinterfactory\/status\/1773994622919843890?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r ju intressant att dom samtidigt g\u00f6r allt f\u00f6r att deeskalera i Ukraina genom att ej till\u00e5ta allt m\u00f6jligt?
\nHar inte Kina k\u00e4rnvapen och g\u00e4ller deeskaliseringsdoktrinen bara Ukraina is\u00e5fall?<\/p>\n

Prorysk k\u00e4lla (f\u00f6rmodligen) men den ligger i linje med rykten som v\u00e4grar d\u00f6 ut att Frankrike haft trupp i Ukraina sedan krigsstart.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/vicktop55\/status\/1774058065765048605?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r enklare att neka n\u00e4r allt \u00e4r dolt \u00e4n om man \u00f6ppet stationerar trupp i landet och i tv\u00e5 \u00e5r har v\u00e4st nekat. Vi har ju kallat det f\u00f6r \u201dhela v\u00e4sts SOF\u201d i tr\u00e5den.<\/p>\n

Macron verkar i alla fall ha parlamentsst\u00f6d f\u00f6r att skicka trupp till Ukraina som \u00f6ppet st\u00f6d \u2013 det \u00e4r intressant.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1774102618710716529?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

H\u00e4r kommer mer besked om lyckade hackerattacker, dom g\u00f6r stor skada.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1774151676611416133?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

H\u00e4r har ni UA 17th Tank brigade, lite mer kl\u00f6s i dom \u00e4n i ryssarnas brigader med omodifierade T62.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/partizan_avn\/status\/1773843478591791435?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:18 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h3>\n

Putin har ocks\u00e5 \u00f6kat mobiliseringsbar \u00e5lder fr\u00e5n 27 till 30 \u00e5r \u2013 varf\u00f6r d\u00e5 om det finns en stor bas att mobilisera ifr\u00e5n?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

12:24 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

\ud83d\udc4d 150 000 f\u00e5r v\u00e4l n\u00e4stan s\u00e4gas vara en tumme n\u00e4r de f\u00f6rsta uppskattningarna p\u00e5 mellan 240 \u2013 760 000 kom ut (baserat p\u00e5 de enheter de pratade om att de skulle s\u00e4tta upp).<\/p>\n

Hoppas verkligen att Frankrike kan f\u00e5 med sig resten av Europa s\u00e5 det b\u00f6rjar r\u00f6ra p\u00e5 sig!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

14:18 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h4>\n

Jo jag hoppades ju p\u00e5 760 000st s\u00e5 det skulle bli revolution \ud83d\ude00<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:12 \u2013 Johan No.1 Vad h\u00e4nde med den hotande mobiliseringen, nu v\u00e5gar Putin bara mobilisera 150 000st. 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