{"id":9074,"date":"2024-04-27T09:58:45","date_gmt":"2024-04-27T07:58:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-04-27\/"},"modified":"2024-04-27T09:58:45","modified_gmt":"2024-04-27T07:58:45","slug":"2024-04-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2024-04-27\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-04-27"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

12:08 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

F\u00f6rst var det v\u00e4l \u00e5rsdagen, sen valet och sista datumet 9 Maj d\u00e5 vi i vintras gissade att det skulle bli livligt. Ukraina l\u00e4mnade ingen besviken vid tiden f\u00f6r valet, en exploderande rolig vecka blev det, invasion av Ryssland, blixtrande fyrverkerier vid massa raffinaderier och annat kul.<\/p>\n

Det \u00e4r oerh\u00f6rt befriande att Ukraina i natt \u00e5terigen st\u00f6rtbombade minst tre raffinaderier i Krasnodar-regionen (var det v\u00e4l) \ud83d\ude05
\nhttps:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/johanno1.bsky.social\/post\/3kr3qjcwjsj2t<\/a><\/p>\n

G\u00e5r man efter Defmons karta \u00e4r det tv\u00e5 nya raffinaderier, jag tror att Ilsky st\u00f6rtbombats tidigare, jag har den som fr\u00e5getecken p\u00e5 min lista. Med reservation f\u00f6r namnen.
\nhttps:\/\/www.scribblemaps.com\/maps\/view\/Refineries\/Refineries<\/a><\/p>\n

Sen f\u00f6rs\u00f6kte sig ryssarna p\u00e5 ett pinsamt f\u00f6rs\u00f6k till terrorbombning och Ukraina sk\u00f6t ned 21st robotar (63%)\u2013 det b\u00f6r v\u00e4l rimligen betyda att dom toppats upp med robotar till sina LV system nu igen t\u00e4nker jag?
\nD\u00e5 \u00e4r ju st\u00f6rtade robotar eller robotar som slagits ut av EW ej medr\u00e4knade. Vid n\u00e5got tillf\u00e4lle bekr\u00e4ftade Ukraina att 20st robotar f\u00e4llts med EW vapen.<\/p>\n

Har p\u00e5 senare tid sett tweets flyga f\u00f6rbi d\u00e4r det \u00e4r den \u201dburjatiska befrielser\u00f6relsen\u201d som uttalar sig eller andra befrielser\u00f6relser. Khalinousky regiment har ju g\u00e5tt och blivit befrielser\u00f6relse nu ocks\u00e5.
\nJag tror det puttrar alltmer i republikerna i den ryska federationen som bebos av minoritetsfolk.
\nRyssland f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker ju alltmer desperat och aggressivt att v\u00e4rva dessa republikers medborgare till att d\u00f6 i Ukraina. Sen \u00e4r dom v\u00e4l de f\u00f6rsta att f\u00e5 s\u00e4mre budgetar samt att Moskva v\u00e4l p\u00e5 andra s\u00e4tt f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker mj\u00f6lka ur dom p\u00e5 det dom har kan man gissa.<\/p>\n

Och i den andra v\u00e5gsk\u00e5len v\u00e4ntade v\u00e4st verkligen tills tolvslaget innan dom b\u00f6rjade leverera det som beh\u00f6vdes. Det \u00e4r med viss resignation man ser alla platser RU avancerar sm\u00e5 distanser p\u00e5 just nu \u2013 helt j\u00e4dra on\u00f6digt och dom hade inte kommit en meter om UA haft ammunition. Ni minns alla framst\u00f6tar med upp till 30-50st fordon som sl\u00e5s ut l\u00e5ngt innan dom ens kunde se anfallsm\u00e5len i siktet. S\u00e5 skulle det ha varit nu ocks\u00e5 men v\u00e4st best\u00e4mde sig f\u00f6r att inget leverera och sen pl\u00f6tsligt leverera allt. Konsekvensanalys fanns det ingen och om man g\u00e5r tillbaka till tidigare uttalanden \u2013 helt ologiskt.<\/p>\n

D\u00e5 fanns det inget att skicka men n\u00e4r man best\u00e4mt sig att skicka finns det hur mycket som helst. Var ju ocks\u00e5 n\u00e5gra i tr\u00e5den som best\u00e4mt h\u00e4vdade att v\u00e4st inte hade vare sig ammunition eller fordon \u2013 skulle vara kul att h\u00f6ra fr\u00e5n dom igen vad dom grundade sina l\u00f6gner p\u00e5. <\/p>\n

Jag tycker gripandet av vice-f\u00f6rsvarsministern \u00e4r intressant, lite som att Billstr\u00f6m och Stenegard gripits en morgon och man anger snatteri som sk\u00e4l \u2013 det puttrar ocks\u00e5 i de finare salongerna kanske?
\nDet kr\u00e4vs ju ingen psykiatriexamen f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rst\u00e5 att det finns en bra korrelation mellan att \u00f6ka trycket och en lyxmarinerad pinhata. Det som \u00f6kat trycket absolut mest under hela kriget \u00e4r nog de utslagna raffinaderierna. <\/p>\n

Ryssland har \u00e4nnu idag inte n\u00e4mnt det med ett ord och \u00e4nd\u00e5 skriker sig v\u00e4st bl\u00e5a \u00f6ver att Ukraina m\u00e5ste sluta \u2013 det g\u00f6r mycket ont i den ryska sj\u00e4len att se alla raffinaderier g\u00e5 upp i r\u00f6k.
\nJag tycker s\u00e5 sm\u00e5tt vi b\u00f6rjar n\u00e4rma oss kokpunkten och en v\u00e5ldsam orkan-f\u00f6rbek\u00e4mpning parat med en snygg offensiv b\u00f6r kunna g\u00f6ra underverk f\u00f6r den ryska viljan att forts\u00e4tta f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka er\u00f6vra Ukraina.<\/p>\n

Sen tror jag vi snart g\u00e5tt hela varvet \u2013 r\u00f6rlig krigf\u00f6ring blev statiskt krig och enda s\u00e4ttet att bryta det statiska \u00e4r med h\u00e5rda fordon \u2013 lite som de f\u00f6rsta stridsvagnarna under WW1 men denna g\u00e5ng blir det snabbt splitterskydd. Det g\u00e4ller att leverera skyttet i v\u00e4rnsystemet fort och oskadat och sen kan fordonet f\u00e5 sl\u00e5s ut. Beh\u00f6vs allts\u00e5 inte snordyra stridsvagnar utan alla sorter splitterskydd g\u00e5r bra.<\/p>\n

Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r n\u00e5got vi diskuterat l\u00e4nge, Ryssland nyproducerar n\u00e4stan ingenting utan dom modifierar vagnar. T80 och T72 \u00e4r bara modifiering och man kan misst\u00e4nka att det mesta av T90 ocks\u00e5 \u00e4r modifiering. S\u00e5 de 400st schyssta vagnar dom producerade under 2023 s\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvann det +300st gamla vagnar fr\u00e5n dep\u00e5erna.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1781270062348792060?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

H\u00e4r har ni antalet self propelled guns i ryska f\u00f6rr\u00e5d. Dom fr\u00e4schaste har ju tagits f\u00f6rst s\u00e5 rimligen \u00e4r de \u00e4ldre tillverknings\u00e5ren kvar i dep\u00e5erna.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/highmarsed\/status\/1780966128178663678?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Ryssarnas LNG2 exporthamn i Arktis exporterar ingenting l\u00e4ngre
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/blangerrick\/status\/1779994781541662829?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

50% av de iranska robotarna som sk\u00f6ts mot I\u2026el st\u00f6rtade med tekniska fel.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/sentdefender\/status\/1779619673409032361?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Den 10 April gick faktiskt Loyd Austin ocks\u00e5 ut och sa att UA (helst) inte skulle attackera raffinaderier.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/maks_nafo_fella\/status\/1777770699265818717?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Och Kamala Harris talade direkt med Zelensky i February och bad dom sluta bomba raffinaderier
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/realcynicalfox\/status\/1779914898580836625?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Titta p\u00e5 det h\u00e4r spindeln\u00e4tet av ryska sidor f\u00f6r p\u00e5verkan \u2013 dom \u00e4r bra p\u00e5 detta.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/maestroholubo\/status\/1777281185913180316?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Varning f\u00f6r ok\u00e4nd k\u00e4lla men denna menar p\u00e5 att ett till fartyg hade tappat kontrollen i NY n\u00e4ra en bro
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/johnkonrad\/status\/1776786983097966862?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

RU har gjort \u201dtusentals\u201d f\u00f6rs\u00f6k att sabotera europas j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gsn\u00e4t.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/freddyjonssonh\/status\/1776313704499339465?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Ett obekr\u00e4ftat rykte som b\u00e4st bland alla andra obekr\u00e4ftade rykten men att UA skulle f\u00e5 g\u00e5 med i NATO mot att dom avstod f\u00f6rlorad terr\u00e4ng. Har s\u00e5 varit fallet s\u00e5 har v\u00e4st verkligen f\u00f6rs\u00f6kt g\u00e5 Putin till m\u00f6tes\u2026
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/1neiln63\/status\/1776323552712552918?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Chasiv Yar blir \u00e5rets flugf\u00e4lla
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1775984879651504250?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Det finns ocks\u00e5 en aktiv rebell och befrielsr\u00f6relse i Iran, det \u00e4r intressant.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1775694757903138975?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a>
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1775655195524948053?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

H\u00e4r s\u00e4ger Budanov att Kertjbron \u00e4r toast
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1775433036626112768?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Med nattens attack p\u00e5 raffinaderier har Ukraina f\u00f6r mig visat att dom nu g\u00f6r det som \u00e4r b\u00e4st f\u00f6r att vinna kriget och det b\u00f6r skr\u00e4mma Putin n\u00e5got oerh\u00f6rt f\u00f6r han har inte l\u00e4ngre ett koppel p\u00e5 Ukraina fr\u00e5n v\u00e4st.<\/p>\n

Just raffinaderierna har varit det v\u00e4st kollektivt (utom Macron) har protesterat h\u00f6gst emot samtidigt som Ryssland inte n\u00e4mnt dom med ett ord, men Ukraina k\u00f6r sitt eget race nu.<\/p>\n

Raffinaderif\u00f6rm\u00e5gan \u00e4r ju r\u00e4tt centralt f\u00f6r Rysslands ekonomi, ja dom kan exportera olja men raffinerade produkter ger mer i int\u00e4kt och dom har spenderat enorma summor p\u00e5 att bygga upp denna f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga som Ukraina nu raserar ett destilleringstorn i taget.<\/p>\n

Gl\u00e4djande och -positivt \u2013 positivt helt enkelt att destillationstornen brinner igen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

13:51 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Tack!<\/p>\n

Att sl\u00e5 ut raffinaderier \u00e4r helt r\u00e4tt och kan vara det som avg\u00f6r kriget. Blir eoforisk varje dag jag f\u00e5r se att de lyckats.<\/p>\n

Mekstrider \u00e4r jag lite mer tveksam till i f\u00f6rsta v\u00e5gen innan man kommit igenom de f\u00f6rsta f\u00f6rsvarlinjerna. Kan f\u00f6rst\u00e5s fungera runt Avdijivka d\u00e4r ryssarna avancerat och inte hunnit gr\u00e4va ner sig.<\/p>\n

Jag tror att det \u00e4r artilleri i enorma m\u00e4ngder som g\u00e4ller, precis det som varit ryssarnas framg\u00e5ngsfaktor.<\/p>\n

Trist att beh\u00f6va pulverisera allt men med alla FPV dr\u00f6nare tror jag det \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt att lyckas p\u00e5 annats s\u00e4tt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

07:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Stor ATACMS attack mot Krim<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1784364363018584531?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

12:08 \u2013 Johan No.1 F\u00f6rst var det v\u00e4l \u00e5rsdagen, sen valet och sista datumet 9 Maj d\u00e5 vi i vintras 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