{"id":9549,"date":"2024-10-23T09:42:21","date_gmt":"2024-10-23T07:42:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/2024-10-23\/"},"modified":"2024-10-23T09:42:21","modified_gmt":"2024-10-23T07:42:21","slug":"2024-10-23","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/johanno1.se\/sv\/2024-10-23\/","title":{"rendered":"2024-10-23"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

10:21 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

\u7c73\u7c89\u4e07\u5c81 \ud83d\ude4f
\nMassa m\u00f6ten och halva teamet \u00e4r p\u00e5 semester s\u00e5 skjuter in ett snabbinl\u00e4gg och mitt v\u00e4rldsledande inl\u00e4gg jag flaggade f\u00f6r ig\u00e5r kommer imorgon.<\/p>\n

Fronterna:
\nKursk \u00e4r f\u00f6rv\u00e5nansv\u00e4rt tyst med mindre UA motanfall f\u00f6r att, som jag gissar, \u00e5terta dominerande terr\u00e4ng. RU skall ju ha 50 000st \u2013 70 000st i omr\u00e5det och ration \u00e4r 1:5 mot Ukraina s\u00e5 f\u00f6rmodad RU offensiv fram\u00f6ver. 1 Februari \u00e4r nytt datum f\u00f6r en buffertzon l\u00e4ngs med hela norra fronten \u2013 inte bara trycka ut UA ur Kursk- Det betyder som vi tidigare diskuterat nya anfallsvektorer ned i Ukraina.
\nOm inte Ukraina f\u00f6rekommer Ryssland med anfallsvektorer in i Ryssland vilket jag v\u00e4ntat p\u00e5 sedan 6 Augusti f\u00f6r det ingick i stridsplanen. Har v\u00e4l varit viss stridsspaning senaste veckan vilket \u00e4r bra.<\/p>\n

RU meddelar att dom n\u00e5tt bebyggelsen i Kurakhove och en bit norr om Chasiv Yar \u2013 ryska k\u00e4llor som sagt.<\/p>\n

RU g\u00e5r vidare in i Kruhliakivka vilket betyder att dom sv\u00e4ngt s\u00f6derut efter att dom n\u00e5dde Oskil i norra Luhansk. Dom \u00e4r nu \u201dbakom\u201d f\u00f6rberett f\u00f6rsvar.<\/p>\n

RU \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 1km fr\u00e5n Bohoiavlenka vilket \u00e4r n\u00e4sta f\u00f6rsvarslinje efter Vuhledar och vi l\u00e4r r\u00e4tt snart se om UA har kapacitet att bemanna den.<\/p>\n

Kurakhivka och Selydove \u00e4r i olika stadier av att omfattas men dom sl\u00e4pper man bara n\u00e4r det blir oh\u00e5llbart \u2013 f\u00f6rdr\u00f6jningsstrid och inget att oroas \u00f6ver.<\/p>\n

RU verkar ocks\u00e5 trycka p\u00e5 in i bebyggelsen i Toretsk och f\u00f6r mig \u00e4r det m\u00e4rkligt hur st\u00f6rre orter kan h\u00e5lla emot s\u00e5 d\u00e5ligt som dom g\u00f6r j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med 2023.<\/p>\n

72nd mech egen f\u00f6rklaring kring Vuhledar var att dom 2023 hade artilleri, dr\u00f6nare och minor samt CAS och att i \u00e5r var dom l\u00e5g bemanning och ingen svarade i telefonen n\u00e4r dom bad om indirekt eld.
\nSen fanns inte FAB bomberna 2023 utan RU fick f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka l\u00e4gga en matta av dumt artilleri \u00f6ver UA positionerna. I \u00e5r identifierar dom en eldst\u00e4llning och Xminuter senare sitter det en FAB i den, rinse and repeat.<\/p>\n

Allt \u00e4r alltid en skillnad \u2013 2023 dr\u00e4nerade UA de ryska f\u00f6rbanden inf\u00f6r sin v\u00e5roffensiv som sen inte gick som t\u00e4nkt f\u00f6rvisso och 2022 genomf\u00f6rde man en f\u00f6rdr\u00f6jningsstrid som resulterade i att RU f\u00f6rluster blev helt oh\u00e5llbara och dom drog sig tillbaka fr\u00e5n 50% av er\u00f6vrat territorium.
\n2024 backar UA fr\u00e5n taktiskt viktiga omr\u00e5den f\u00f6rvisso en bit i taget men dom backar. Att sl\u00e4ppa omr\u00e5det \u00f6ster om floden Oskil skulle g\u00f6ra stridsm\u00e5let att \u00e5terta till 1991 \u00e5rs gr\u00e4nser f\u00f6rmodligen om\u00f6jligt s\u00e5 det omr\u00e5det h\u00e5ller dom om det g\u00e5r.<\/p>\n

RU har ocks\u00e5 h\u00e5rda fordon, ammunition och barbarer f\u00f6r att uppr\u00e4tth\u00e5lla det h\u00e4r trycket \u00f6ver tid. Vi ser hela tiden filmer med kontraktssoldater fr\u00e5n Asien och Afrika, nu nordkoreanerna och sen RU egen rekrytering.
\nVi skrattar \u00e5t 12 000st nordkoreaner men i numer\u00e4r \u00e4r det lika som de 4st brigader RU har i reserv som vi hyllar. F\u00f6rm\u00e5gem\u00e4ssigt utg\u00e5r vi ifr\u00e5n att UA brigaderna \u00e4r betydligt skarpare vilket dom f\u00f6rmodligen \u00e4r men det \u00e4r ocks\u00e5 NK special forces i den d\u00e4r mixen, hur m\u00e5nga vet vi inte, som har som specialitet att som en f\u00f6rbrukningsvara infiltrera och sl\u00e5 upp ett h\u00e5l f\u00f6r man\u00f6verbrigaderna medelst kniv och bombb\u00e4lte.<\/p>\n

Rykten om RU offensiv kapacitet vid s\u00f6dra fronten och Pokrovsk parat med nordkoreansk murbr\u00e4cka f\u00f6resl\u00e5r att det kan bli mer av samma.<\/p>\n

Jag ser det h\u00e4r som en skenande risk vilket ni v\u00e4l f\u00f6rst\u00e5tt vid det h\u00e4r laget men v\u00e4st g\u00f6r inte det \u00e4ven om Loyd Austin gjorde ett spontanbes\u00f6k till Ukraina.
\nAtt ge pengar till krigsmaterielproduktion eller utlova nya vapenpaket med l\u00e5ng leveranstid l\u00f6ser inte situationen vid fronterna idag 2024 och det \u00e4r snart jullov.<\/p>\n

Hur valet i USA g\u00e5r \u00e4r ingen id\u00e9 att sia om men EU m\u00e5ste f\u00f6rbereda sig p\u00e5 att Trump vinner och att det \u00e4r fullt m\u00f6jligt att han sl\u00e5r till bromsen p\u00e5 materiel fr\u00e5n USA \u2013 man f\u00f6rbereder sig alltid p\u00e5 det v\u00e4rsta som Finland eller hur?<\/p>\n

Som ett brev p\u00e5 posten kom nu GOP kampanjen f\u00f6r \u201dWe Love Christians\u201d (helt otroligt \ud83d\ude02) och jag har sett ett nytt grepp fr\u00e5n Trump \u2013 han infiltrerar n\u00e5gra Trump-fans p\u00e5 Harris rallys och betar henne att s\u00e4ga n\u00e5got. F\u00f6rst sn\u00e4ste hon av \u201dJesus is God\u201d och nu tappade hon masken n\u00e4r n\u00e5gra b\u00f6rjade skrika \u201dTrump\u201d. Sen blir det direkt en viral video av det hela och s\u00e5 kommer Trumps motkampanj direkt som ju redan \u00e4r f\u00f6rberedd. <\/p>\n

Om det fungerar eller inte vet jag inte men Harris ger Trump ammunition helt i on\u00f6dan tv\u00e5 veckor innan valet och vi \u00e4r \u00e5terigen tillbaka till att det \u00e4r krig och man m\u00e5ste vara streetsmart punkt.
\nG\u00f6r alltid som Finland \u00e4r ju det som g\u00e4ller.<\/p>\n

Detsamma g\u00e4ller tyv\u00e4rr f\u00f6r v\u00e4st i stort \u2013 nu har avf\u00e4lllningen Guterrez gett krigsbrottslingen Putin legitimitet och sitter \u00e4nd\u00e5 tryggt i sin kontorsstol.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/visegrad24\/status\/1848650377106715111?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Samma Guterrez som avb\u00f6jde att komma till Ukraina initiativet peace summit. FN har valt sida.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/banderafella\/status\/1848756986751684832?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Och tro inget annat \u2013 det h\u00e4r BRICS m\u00f6tet \u00e4r STORT f\u00f6r Putin, hur ofta ser ni honom s\u00e5 h\u00e4r sm\u00e5barnslycklig?
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/marionawfal\/status\/1848688016979530211?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Nu \u00e4r vi \u00f6ver den sv\u00e5ra kl\u00e4ttringen d\u00e4r BRIICS inte v\u00e5gade tro att han kunde lyckas och h\u00f6ll sig undan, fr\u00e5n att ha varit polarna som svek vill alla nu synas med Putin.
\nVarf\u00f6r d\u00e5?
\nJo f\u00f6r att fr\u00e5n deras position ser det ut att g\u00e5 bra \u2013 Putin g\u00e5r fram\u00e5t i Ukraina, han har dom p\u00e5 defensiven.<\/p>\n

V\u00e4st v\u00e5gar inte lyfta ett finger s\u00e5 det ser ocks\u00e5 ut som att Putin har ett bra grepp om v\u00e4st.<\/p>\n

Och n\u00e4sta steg i eskaleringsstegen gick ocks\u00e5 bra \u2013 nordkoreanerna.<\/p>\n

Bara Kinas st\u00f6rre engagemang kvar men s\u00e5 h\u00e4r l\u00e5ngt pekar ju allt p\u00e5 att det skulle g\u00e5 bra eller hur?<\/p>\n

Ett steg som garanterat kommer (f\u00f6r det har redan b\u00f6rjat) \u00e4r att alla l\u00e4nder i Afrika med Kina eller Ryssland i slutar leverera r\u00e5varor till v\u00e4st.
\nOmr\u00e5det kring Mali \u2013 CAR \u2013 Niger som Ryssland nu kontrollerar har redan slutat med det \u2013 dom l\u00e4nderna gick ut med det f\u00f6r ett tag sedan att dom bara levererar till Kina eller BRIICS, minns inte vilket.
\nDet h\u00e4r kommer forts\u00e4tta och de nyckelkomponenter och r\u00e5varor Kina kontrollerar i Asien kommer ocks\u00e5 sluta komma vid n\u00e5gon punkt.
\nRedan 2022 lyftes detta och snart 2025 har inte tillr\u00e4ckligt gjorts. Vi f\u00e5r inom n\u00e5t \u00e5r se om v\u00e4st f\u00f6rberett sig f\u00f6r detta eller inte.
\nHade jag varit v\u00e4st hade jag valt mina v\u00e4nner i Afrika MYCKET noga just nu och sett till s\u00e5 att dom \u00e4r stabila. Kan rekommendera Angola d\u00e5 dom har allt som beh\u00f6vs av r\u00e5varor och dom h\u00e5ller ryssen borta.<\/p>\n

UA har FPV med 40km r\u00e4ckvidd
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/pstyle0ne1\/status\/1848791813836177767?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Nu f\u00e5r Turkiet inte vidarexportera vapen till RU, USA satte stopp \u2013 nu \ud83d\ude32
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/glasnostgone\/status\/1848781665352523842?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Och PING @NATO f\u00f6r nu kommer NK piloter ocks\u00e5. S\u00e4ger mig att RU har flyg men pilotbrist.
\nhttps:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1848731851084472379?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n

Intressant teori fr\u00e5n DrDrovels ig\u00e5r om att FN har en niv\u00e5 \u00f6ver s\u00e4kerhetsr\u00e5det vars uppgift \u00e4r att h\u00e5lla balansen med de stora elefanterna, min v\u00e4rld \u00e4r inte densamma idag, var l\u00e4sv\u00e4rt \ud83d\ude32<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

10:49 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Vi har v\u00e4l sagt d\u00e5 och d\u00e5 tidigare att det h\u00e4r kommer att g\u00e5 v\u00e4gen f\u00f6r Ukraina s\u00e5 l\u00e4nge inte Kina ger fullt st\u00f6d. <\/p>\n

V\u00e4sts f\u00f6rm\u00e5ga att m\u00f6ta det mesta som Ryssland tar sig till med verbala f\u00f6rd\u00f6manden ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6r kraftfulla insatser riskerar ju faktiskt att leda till att Kina inser att de inte har n\u00e5got att f\u00f6rlora p\u00e5 att b\u00f6rja skicka vapen och utrustning.
\nSen kanske de iofs. hellre k\u00f6r ett eget race och f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker ta Taiwan om USA forts\u00e4tter upptr\u00e4da fegt.<\/p>\n

Sanktioner mot Kina riskerar att sl\u00e5 h\u00e5rdare mot v\u00e4st \u00e4n mot Kina. Liksom i Ryssland kan Kina k\u00f6ra \u00f6ver befolkningen om det skulle bli s\u00e5 att befolkningen surnar till p\u00e5 grund av s\u00e4mre ekonomi.
\nH\u00e4r i v\u00e4st kommer det att bli ramaskri n\u00e4r folk inte l\u00e4ngre kan k\u00f6pa billigt skr\u00e4p fr\u00e5n Kina, eller n\u00e4r vi inte l\u00e4ngre kan importera de r\u00e5varor och produkter som v\u00e5r industri beh\u00f6ver.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

21:10 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Artilleriet 1:2<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/front_ukrainian\/status\/1848983074450571515?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

21:57 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Usa inte redo f\u00f6r ua i nato<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1849048310004302321?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

22:33 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Sp\u00e4nnande<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/p_kallioniemi\/status\/1849143641459044722?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:22 \u2013 Johan No.1<\/h2>\n

Sju l\u00e4nder vill inte ha med UA i Nato,<\/p>\n

Usa och tyskland bla.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/x.com\/noelreports\/status\/1849330446393348294?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

08:35 \u2013 MatsExtrude<\/h3>\n

Ja, man kunde ju misst\u00e4nka att den punkten i segerplanen kunde bli sv\u00e5r att f\u00e5 igenom eftersom man under hela kriget sagt att man g\u00e4rna ser Ukraina i NATO\u2026 i framtiden. <\/p>\n

F\u00e5r se hur snabbt Ukraina kan f\u00e5 fram k\u00e4rnvapen\u2026 <\/p>\n

(Fint att se att det inte bara \u00e4r jag som i bland missar att l\u00e4sa nattpasset! \ud83d\ude09 )<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

10:21 \u2013 Johan No.1 \u7c73\u7c89\u4e07\u5c81 \ud83d\ude4f Massa m\u00f6ten och halva teamet \u00e4r p\u00e5 semester s\u00e5 skjuter in ett snabbinl\u00e4gg och 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