What’s going on inside Trump’s head is a bit of a mystery to me, as he now seems to have made a significant shift regarding Ukraine and Russia.
Considering all the dismissals in the USA within the CIA, FBI, Pentagon, and all other authorities, and the fact that he controls the Supreme Court, I find it hard to believe that “someone” has twisted his arm?
Trump is pursuing the policies he intends to pursue.
So, we will try to figure out the reasons for the change in course below – as we have a fairly unanimous thread of truth that he is serving Russia’s interests, from embarrassing hotel tapes to being bought by Putin, with no names mentioned driving it daily in an endless loop.
And then we have DOGE who sent a lot of classified information to GRU…
(and of course, the question here is whether I fell for a psyops regarding DOGE, but I have considered that this was true?)
Then the USA is still holding back those 50 Abrams tanks that Australia wants to send – so in line with Biden’s non-escalation doctrine.
One of Trump’s trademarks is betraying friends and throwing them under the bus as soon as it benefits him, so I would start unraveling in what way Trump believes this benefits him/the USA – I have previously dismissed that Putin has compromising material on him or financial leverage.
Instead of shutting down Five-Eyes, the USA has now given other countries access to their most secret space information that they never had access to under Biden 😶
A month ago, the experts’ tip was that Five-Eyes would be shut down!
(first posted by MXT on johanno1.se, if you want to read everything first, the tip is to constantly hang out there)
Now the USA has also decided to withdraw from the peace mediation between Russia and Ukraine, and they have not blamed everything on Zelensky and punished him with withheld material deliveries as expected, on the contrary 🧐
Where are Trump’s rants on truth social about what a lousy horse-trader Zelensky is and that he should resign?
The other day, Ukraine was able to purchase just under 100 million USD in weapons under a contract from the USA, and rumors are that the USA has resumed material deliveries. That market was completely closed during Biden’s time.
There is also footage of Ukraine’s largest transport plane being loaded with a lot of old retired F-16s, presumably for spare parts.
Ukraine is not exactly known for not trying to garage-repair everything that rolls with duct tape and start shooting Russians with it, but maybe these are too worn-out aircraft?
The material agreement, which in its first version was a poorly disguised colonization of Ukraine, is now so watered down that the USA gets nothing at all, so presumably it is only meant to save face for Trump AND to strengthen the image outwardly between Ukraine and the USA.
Russia is not very happy about this on Twitter and is sulking with the moonshine jug…
I wonder if this change in course could have something to do with Xi Jinping choosing to show himself as a close ally of Russia?
Xi will be attending the parade on May 9th, and Chinese troops will participate in the parade, and he formally asked Ukraine not to drone the parade when he is there 🤣🤣
Xi Jinping has not attended the May 9th parade since 2015 (although he has made +10 trips to Russia in total since 2012) and Chinese troops have never participated before – this is a very clear statement from Xi.
In terms of showing who one considers to be their friends, it can hardly be more clear, and since the start of the war, Xi has stayed away from these parades like the plague.
It is the same Xi who during his latest trip to Europe only visited Hungary, Serbia, Slovakia, and I believe Macron.
I am starting to become a bit suspicious because Trump started quite quickly with his attacks on China, the timeline in the link below, and it was quite something, we have only heard about half of it 😶.
https://www.china-briefing.com/news/us-china-relations-in-the-trump-2-0-implications
And then China confirmed that they would attend the May 9th parade.
Another version is always that Trump is doing this to get what he wants, so what did he achieve with the entire Ukraine peace mediation?
Nothing at all, I suppose?
-The EU is increasing but has not taken any decisive steps, and we have always wanted to increase but Biden held us back.
-The USA did not receive any money from Ukraine
-The USA continues to send material
-The USA looked bad in the peace mediation and lost in popularity.
-He also refused to sell $50 billion worth of weapons to Ukraine for cash.
No 5D chess move, or art of the deal.
Ukraine has always praised the USA and been very positive about Trump when he took office, so he didn’t need to manipulate them at all.
What I am starting to get curious about is both what prompted the change in course and especially if we look ahead 😁
If Trump were to decide to say “shoot Russia back to the Stone Age, I don’t care,” Ukraine would listen to that and ignore Europe’s continued anxiety – but of course, we are not there at all yet.
There are many degrees to Trump’s loosening of the reins, but we can probably sense that they are not as tight as Biden’s anymore, and then it went from tighter reins than Biden had, which we have been crying rivers over.
Another thought about puzzle pieces that fit together – a few weeks ago, Zelensky started to come out very strongly against China, Chinese soldiers in Ukraine, and accusations of China delivering weapons. Evidence was presented, and China was forced to comment on it in the media, losing face and everything.
I thought it was inappropriate because it risked escalating with China, and Ukraine has previously been very cautious and has attended several meetings in China and recently signed trade agreements with them.
This was, of course, at a time when Trump was best buddies with Putin and was bullying Zelensky indiscriminately.
It is quite clear that Trump is not at all friends with China, and that has been US policy for a long time – they intend to strike at China before they become too strong.
-Has Trump realized that Ukraine against China is good for the USA?
-Has Trump (and the USA) realized that he will not get Russia on board against China (some indication of that now on May 9th…)?
-Has Trump realized that he started driving Ukraine towards China instead through his attempts to become our time’s McDonald’s Gandhi (Ukraine has already been to China several times under Biden and even now under Trump, you may remember my discussion in the summer of 2024 about Zelensky turning to China instead when it was darkest)?
-Has Zelensky promised Trump to be his ally against China in light of Trump’s current change in course?
-Was this something they discussed in the Vatican when Trump told Macron to go to hell and removed his chair to have a one-on-one with Zelensky without French arm-waving and bad English with a hysterical accent?
-Has Zelensky managed to sell to Trump that he is a better ally than Russia?
If so, and if Trump wants violence against China – when will Xi Jinping be completely exposed and humiliated in front of a live camera without the US having to do anything at all 😍😍😍
And above all, then Ukraine will become an ally that will weaken the Russia-China axis, right?
Now I have made a whole battery of assumptions on extremely loose grounds and extrapolated way too far, but it would be incredibly fun if drone swarms appear on May 9th because Ukraine absolutely has the capability for it – indisputably.
Budanov, Zelensky, and others also constantly hint that they will drone the parade.
So far, Trump has not been directly helpful to Zelensky and has intended to mediate peace, which he has now backed out of a week before May 9th.
Putin has invited Xi Jinping, and it’s a bit like when we in Sweden invite the US president (when we liked him before) – something very big for the country.
For Putin, this is the parade where he wants to show strength, and he will showcase a lot of new equipment through Moscow – important for international image projection and even more important for the citizen-slaves.
Showing weakness behind some armored glass dome is probably not going to happen, and this is the event when everyone is there – the twelve-pointed elbows push forward in line.
Then, to see on live camera Putin surprisingly agilely trying to crawl under a crouching Xi who has started to cry cascades as drone clouds pour in over the parade would be an exemplary PR disaster that would likely lead to China telling Russia to go to hell, right?
It would also significantly destabilize Putin’s position in Russia.
That would be EXACTLY what GUR wants to achieve, and has wanted to do throughout the whole war, but the US and Europe have stopped them – Biden had his red lines with Sullivan, and Europe hesitated, and hesitates.
All else being equal, the only thing that would have changed in that case is Trump, and what it would be is that Trump feels he can get to China that way and that the Russia-China bond is too strong for him to feel comfortable with it?
The likelihood is probably that it won’t happen, but oh, how one hopes for a fireworks display on May 9th 😍
Imagine the Friday night buzz in the thread on johanno1.se – that will be covered in recurring reports by Aktuellt and Rapport for several years 😍😍
I also maintain that the only thing that would stop Operation Baltikum is if Ukraine kicks off some serious warfare here, so it would be appreciated if they did that starting with the parade and then continued with this offensive they have meticulously prepared for – the only thing that has held them back is Trump’s peace mediation, but if he now withdraws, we might see a Ukraine that no longer needs to fight with one hand tied behind its back.
They must have all those blast-proof vehicles they received, right, and the mine-clearing equipment and the ability for amphibious combat and airborne landings.
Let’s not forget that India chose the USA in both words and actions and clearly distanced itself from China by imposing trade tariffs on them. India is their sixth largest export destination, the USA was the first before Trump’s antics 🤣
I guessed that Pakistan got them in exchange from the USA because it came directly.
Vietnam was also quick to choose the USA and they are (were) China’s third largest after the USA and the EU, so now they are number two.
Now the peace talks with Iran have completely collapsed, and if you have read these posts, you know that we have long guessed that the USA has already decided to strike Iran, and we are rarely wrong, possibly a few times in three years.
The USA has prepared for a major blow against Iran, and China imports 13% of its oil from Iran, and oil exports from the Gulf states will drop to zero for a while, and Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Oman are among China’s largest oil suppliers – the big oil gulp in China.
If the USA were to pivot away from Russia and choose Ukraine, relations with the EU would probably thaw lightning fast as well – it’s probably only Macron who would be so typically Frenchly annoyed at having to give back the crown.
Five Eyes has presumably gone on an absolutely enormous charm offensive here – hard to interpret it any other way?
And Trump has cracked open the door to the arms industry for Ukraine, the same door that Biden locked with double padlocks and gave Sullivan a paintball gun to guard it with.
Other major export destinations for China are South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan – all of which should be US-controlled even if Trump has managed to make the whole world more than a little upset so far.
Then we have ASEAN, all of which are smaller countries, and the only one mentioned above is Vietnam, but that bloc is thus China’s largest trading partner.
I don’t think everything looks rosy for China at all, and just like everyone else, they cannot predict how this will play out other than preparing for the worst, making their best moves, evaluating, and continuing.
Has China perhaps chosen Russia as its strategic partner?
Certainly, they have made some moves, evaluated, and then chosen to show the world that Russia is their strategic partner. A bit like when two celebrities choose to publicly show themselves together for the first time.
If so, there are strong reasons for Europe to choose the Ukraine/USA side in this conflict and quickly dump China – in fact, with the signals May 9th is about to give, the EU should do it immediately.
Has Trump, by aggressively approaching Russia, panicked China into making a reckless move and start getting closer to Russia even more clearly to beat them to it without thinking through the consequences?
Has Trump been playing 5D chess with China?
(I know at least a couple in the thread on johanno1.se who will have a whole array of arguments to say that this is not the case, but they may have to go as far as admitting that it was the unplanned consequence of Trump’s antics if so 😀)
Anyway – if there is continuity in Trump’s change of course, it is very good and very exciting – we simply have to wait and see because if we have learned anything from Trump, it is that everything changes lightning fast and 90% is noise, but Five Eyes is significant, and there is a tangible thaw with Zelensky.
Regarding Trump’s Ukraine strategy, I have already locked in my analysis, and a change of course from Trump would be sensational for me.
Regarding his other antics, I have guessed that the USA will take the first hit to trigger larger declines in other countries and then shift the risk onto them, and they will suffer the whole downturn. And that China is the endgame to collapse – we are not there yet, but we’ll see 🧐.
I also believe that he would like to see a Europe that struggles with Russia and internally so that we don’t become too strong, but it could also be possible that the US has realized that in order to beat China, Europe is needed, and the first round didn’t go well at all?
I think we are within the window of the Russian sabotage wave, so today’s exercise will be to post potential sabotage in the thread on johanno1.se.
-Yesterday, T23 wrote that about ten mobile towers were vandalized during the Easter weekend in Sweden.
-And then we recently had the suspected shots near our airbase.
https://www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/skottljud-utanfor-forsvarsmaktens-viktiga-flygbas-allvarligt
-Then the blackout at Heathrow was recently caused by a burning substation, and in London on Monday, there was also a substation that caught fire.
-Starting to calm down with the undersea cables now, but a total of 11 have been cut.
“In total, the Baltic Sea has registered at least six suspected sabotage incidents since 2022, with 11 known undersea cables taken out since 2023”.
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-sabotage-undersea-cables-baltic-sea-europe-war
-The Dutch are getting tired of all the Russian cyber attacks.
https://therecord.media/dutch-mivd-report-russian-cyber-sabotage
-Two Russian hacker groups claim they were behind the blackout. Now, you all notice that they didn’t provide any evidence, which is customary to take credit for something like this – highly exaggerated, therefore.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2048169/pro-russian-hacking-group-power-outage-spain-portugal
-France is getting annoyed with APT28, which is a GRU hacker group that Anonymous France just exposed the names of everyone in 🤣🤣
-Many British retail chains are trying to defend themselves against cyber attacks now.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62x4zxe418o
So, it’s lively as usual, and this is probably something that is being cooperated on in the EU, I guess, and it’s not just a one-way communication.
Anonymous France just exposed the GRU hacker group just when France officially complained loudly, so there is some connection between them.
It’s good if hacker collectives are on the right side.
And then General SVR has started talking about COVID just when Tulsi Gabbard does, and COVID is a rare topic nowadays 🧐
Now, you finally have the opportunity to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well…) yellow posts – IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit, you’ll see a QR code.
There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations that we have learned over time are legitimate and worth donating to.
On Substack – there is still a chance to follow and subscribe if it feels more right to go that way, which some have done.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
NOTE: Those of you who do NOT want to allow automatic translation of your comments, please go to your profile page and set it.
Hover over your name at the top right, select edit profile, and you will then find the setting under the language settings heading.
One way to avoid the Russian hackers would probably be to cut their cables. The Russians’ free access to the internet does not seem to have made them more liberal or cosmopolitan. Unfortunately, it is probably not possible to bring a container ship with dragging anchors onto land to cut cables, so the marking in that way becomes less clear.
We are well within our rights according to international law to support Ukraine in the war and target infrastructure that facilitates Russian warfare? So nothing that needs to be done in secret.
A good strategy to brick up the door to Russia 👍👍
In the southern sector of Huliaipil for the first time in several weeks. Total number of attacks over 200, significant increase in Pokrovsk. Does the total match the subtotals? Trying a new format, starting to get boring with the history. Suggestions?
A total of 216↗️ combat actions were recorded during the past day. ⏱️199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99
#Kharkiv 6 ⏱️8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1
#Kupyansk 6 ⏱️5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4
#Lyman 27💥💥
⏱️27, 36, 21, 18, 20, 22, 19, 15, 20, 14, 25, 12, 14, 17, 20
#Siverskyi 1 ⏱️4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 3, 5, 8, 12, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2
#Kramatorsk 8
⏱️6, 6, 13, 10, 16, 13, 8, 13, 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 6, 8
#Toretsk 8↗️
⏱️4, 10, 6, 14, 9, 29, 16, 17, 13, 23, 10, 18, 26, 11
#Pokrovsk 83↗️💥💥💥💥
⏱️64, 85, 75, 59, 64, 68, 44, 65, 56, 53, 61, 39, 54, 64
#Novopavlivka 23↗️💥
⏱️15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9
#Huliaipil 6↗️
⏱️0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
#Orikhivsk 5
⏱️4, 5, 0, 5, 1, 4, 4, 9, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1
#Prydniprovsky 0 ⏱️1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1 , 1, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0
#Kursk 20↘️💥
⏱️33, 21, 25, 15, 23, 15, 30, 27, 26, 22, 21, 16, 20, 23, 21
Diffen less than yesterday. 193 in the sectors. History: latest 7/10 values, rolling average over the last 7/10 days?
However, unusually high total when it comes to battles.
👍
Thank you, many collisions today.
Thank you for the 205 👍👍👍
Good morning!
The Russian losses in Ukraine:
1170 KIA
4 Tanks
0 APVs (!)
48 Artillery systems
1 Anti-Aircraft system
126 UAVs
1 Cruise missile
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3loankg4aes2a
121 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
1 Special equipment
#GlorytoUkraine
215 attacks that are very high and not a single APV.
Nah, that’s a bit strange. Sometimes I wonder if the losses are dragging on for several days.
Or maybe the Russians are running meat waves with small groups.
Yes, that could explain it. Already early on, I believe tatargami reported, they abandoned the Soviet doctrine (with massive artillery and armored advances)? in favor of smaller units (platoons?) of less qualified soldiers who made tentacle advances to identify defensive positions, after which more experienced soldiers were deployed (with full artillery support). Perhaps they have further reduced and now operate even smaller groups. This could explain the high number of attacks and at the same time “moderate” (i.e. normal considering the past half year/year) personnel losses. Yes, it’s probably just dividing 1170 by 216 to get a group size of 5-6 people, which corresponds to a group (1/4 to 1/3 of a platoon?).
Yes, exactly
🤣 You’re quite sly to take the opportunity to diss Biden and praise Trump (for what you mistake for 5D chess) at 7 on Saturday morning when you know it’s one of the few times I usually take it easy. Everything Trump has done during the first 100 days has been a complete disaster. You try to make it seem planned, but you yourself write that he has realized this and that. That’s exactly it. It’s called damage control and now he’s trying to navigate correctly so that you and everyone else believe it was the intention all along. Biden never demanded a mineral deal to support Ukraine. Biden didn’t send people to Russia to kiss Putin’s ass and make the world perceive that Russia was welcome back in the fold. Trump embarrasses himself, and eventually realizes he’s been had (and you actually have to give him that, that he actually understands it even though of course he blames everything on fake news) realizing he has to change to survive.
Don’t confuse confused decisions back and forth with 5D chess.
Yes, damage control is a good explanatory model. He is slowly starting to realize that he cannot fight the whole world at once, and then he chooses China. Another variant that is compatible with data, as many have pointed out, is that he has no strategy but rather goes with what seems to make him look good for the day. Anyway, since he has gotten rid of many experienced individuals in the administration, there is less “momentum” in the strategy so we can probably expect it to swing as wildly back and forth as the priest’s little crow. Personally, I believe that China will be the only constant and he will tinker with everything else to counter China.
You are probably right about that, that China is his thorn in the side and that it may be the only thing he will not give up on.
China is the only country today that can compete with the USA and they are well on their way to surpassing them in many areas.
Of course, Trump cannot tolerate that. Either he must crush China or he will try to become China’s new leader (after becoming the new pope).
I think it’s a good summary, there is a constant and that is China. Then he makes a series of more or less disastrous decisions that emanate from his pet peeves. Since several people in his surroundings seem to be complete lunatics when it comes to international relations, it takes time before he realizes that something is even wrong.
One can only hope that he has realized that the strategy of being the elephant in the china shop may not be the best way.
His basic attitude is probably that he is omnipotent, the porcelain shop can blame itself, it’s actually a bit fun to try to destroy it.
Then he discovers that the porcelain shop is actually built of high-quality reinforced concrete and that he is in pain, really in pain.
Concrete and Uranium meet Trump! 😂
Thank you for the compliment 😎
Agree, well written MXT ✊🏻✊🏻✊🏻!
Thank you, thank you! ✊️👍
Well, I’m quite skeptical that DJT has any greater ability to play anything other than tic-tac-toe. In principle, most decisions made by the current administration are based on how they affect public opinion/viewer ratings. Foreign policy is solely domestic policy, and signing an agreement with Ukraine is a victory in Trump’s world. The vagueness of the content matters less in the MAGA world. Ukraine gets a little breathing room, but the pressure on Russia did not significantly increase to end the conflict. Unfortunately, we will continue to see ongoing conflict with small territorial losses for Ukraine; the will and ability to continue the war have remained constant for almost two years. Biden’s and Zelensky’s mistake was to believe they could drive out Russian troops in the summer of 2022. Biden was a bit too afraid to give Ukraine a free hand and, for example, enter Kursk, Belgrade already then, and strike Russian targets inside Russia in 2022. Russia is currently running a war economy, which can be sustained for a long time with large deficits and high regulation of essential commodities such as food and heat. Combined with a strong police force against the opposition, this situation can continue for many years before the will to fight collapses. For Ukraine, the quantity of war material is probably not decisive, as delaying and defensive warfare require fewer resources. The question, however, is how many soldiers Ukraine has left to mobilize further. I am most concerned about Ukraine’s willingness to continue fighting. We have a business with a factory in western Ukraine that has been in operation throughout the war. War fatigue is starting to set in, and that’s far from the front line.
Yes, absolutely – this strategy from Europe and the USA to never let things go too well for Ukraine is absolutely high-risk.
My guess is that if this is not resolved by 2025, there may be problems, but Ukraine CAN increase the level 200 times if they are allowed to.
Was Biden good for Ukraine 🧐
Tentatively, he did no harm but he should have done more. The USA has heaps of material that they should have sent a long time ago. At the same time, one understands the challenge as he had a decision to consider and Putin was and is playing hardball with nuclear weapons.
Trump will be very interested in supporting Ukraine if they get paid and if the EU pays for weapons. The USA under Trump has a foreign policy that is completely governed by three pillars, if you have a trade surplus you should be punished with tariffs, if you finance our national debt you get lower tariffs, you get bases on your land and in some cases can count on nuclear support if you pay, and if you have a trade deficit and are an ally you still have to pay tariffs because we are the center of the world’s economy and you others are colonies, for example Australia. It will end in disaster this fall when all companies start running out of goods in stock and have to raise prices and lay off people as they incur losses.
Damage control said Bull. 🎯
Ralph Goff gives Johan a run for his money on Biden. Not really news though.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lob5uodgqc2a
“❗️It is reported that UAVs attacked temporarily occupied Crimea during the night.
Krasnodar and Rostov were also under attack”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3loaqql5dlk2d
“Russia was under a massive drone attack overnight.
Ministry of Defense claimed its forces destroyed 170 Ukrainian drones across six regions.
The moment when a drone struck a residential building in Novorossiysk, Krasnodar Krai, damaging three apartment buildings and injuring four people.”
“After enduring over a year in Russian captivity and losing both legs, Vyacheslav walked out of the Superhumans rehab center not in defeat, but with a ring in hand. He proposed to Hanna—the woman who never stopped believing in his return, in their love, in a future together.”
https://bsky.app/profile/meanwhileua.bsky.social/post/3loap5a4qry23
😡😡
“❗️At night, 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 77/183 🇷🇺Russian UAVs, another 73 UAVs were lost in location due to EW action”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3loaombqlwk2d
Sounds like what was decided at the congress in the summer of 2022.
“❗️The 🇺🇸US State Department has approved an aid package that includes training and maintenance of F-16s for 🇺🇦Ukraine worth $310 million.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lo7ns6abs22d
Is everything unlocking now?
”but it could also be possible that the penny has dropped with the USA that in order to beat China, Europe is needed”
Europe is also the USA’s largest trading partner. It’s not something that can be magically erased, not even during a whole presidential term. Then Trump would have to devote all his energy to splitting Europe and making bilateral deals with the components, but no such attempts have been seen. Rather, has Trump’s noise acted as a unifying force in Europe?
👍
Japp 👍🏻.
The opposite effect of thumbs up 👍
MAGA: we must drain the swamp and stop the deep state from controlling our lives!
“The Trump administration has urged the Supreme Court of the United States to allow Elon Musk’s efficiency agency Doge to access sensitive personal data of Americans. Politico reports”
https://omni.se/a/Ppx9gR
Besides, the idiot hasn’t delivered 🤣
https://www.di.se/nyheter/musk-effekten-mindre-an-1-procent/
This is Trump:
https://youtu.be/mbF0EKVduNc?si=JVBtDBkYv_B4MyRm
Even Putin is impressed by how Trump has taken corruption to a whole new level.
Everything is ok, but it may be on the verge of going to hell.
“The U.S. economy took a hit during the first quarter, preliminarily declining by 0.3 percent compared to the previous quarter. Now there is growing concern that Trump’s tariff policy could lead to a recession, but he continues to claim that the policy will improve the economy, he tells NBC. – Everything is okay, he says, pointing out that the decline in the quarter is a “transition period.” At the same time, Trump admits that the risk of a recession exists.”
https://omni.se/a/73O034
They borrow (from memory) 150 billion per day. The fact that their interest-bearing government securities are seen as long-term secure investments is therefore crucial for the world to continue lending money.
Trump’s policies caused interest rates on government securities to rise (even more expensive loans) while the dollar fell. Currently, there is a pause but the uncertainty naturally remains as long as Trump is president. And yes, a recession cannot be ruled out. Investors apparently continue to move money from the US to safer markets.
I think we need to get the customs in order, otherwise the gently sloping plane will probably turn into a steep mogul slope.
The world’s trust has already been shaken, and if it gets worse, things will probably escalate quickly. The only thing holding back is probably that the USA is the engine of many countries’ economies.
Sounds like he almost wants to start a recession, I think.
Remember a documentary from a couple of years ago with Ukrainians studying in the UK where they were learning how to operate the AS-90. Unfortunately, I didn’t save the link.
“🇬🇧🇺🇦 UK has transferred all of its AS-90 howitzers to Ukraine, ending their use in the British army, – Army Technology.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3loatkoup222r
“🦅💥⚓️ Novorossiysk, attack on the port”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3loaufkgwb22r
“According to Russian sources, Ukrainian drones, including unmanned naval drones, carried out a large-scale attack on Crimea, Rostov Oblast, and Krasnodar Krai. Drone attacks were also reported in Bryansk, Belgorod, and Kursk oblasts.”
“Back on annexed Crimea, this was posted earlier from the port of Kerch.
The hated Crimea Bridge remains closed after 3.5 hours.”
https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3loa5rte7w22w“
“Crimean residents report attack on Crimean Bridge, bridge itself blocked
Ukrainian channels publish videos allegedly filmed in annexed Crimea. The authenticity of the footage has not been confirmed by ASTRA journalists.”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3loa34vebh22o
“Kerch bridge is on fire…your defence is terrified…”
https://bsky.app/profile/puckfutin.fellas.army/post/3lo7wgrxonc2w
“❗️Russian military bloggers write that a 🇷🇺Russian Su-30 fighter of the Naval Aviation was shot down yesterday by a 🇺🇦Ukrainian naval drone with a P-73 missile”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3loavasdnis2d
What a feather in the cap 🥳!
🤩🤩🤩
Trump has understood that education is a waste and woke, and is trying to get rid of as much as he can.
An excellent way to significantly increase competitiveness against China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and of course Europe.
That’s how he will defeat China!
Beat them at their own game (2D plastic chess)!
The USA will outcompete everyone else in terms of cheap mass production of plagiarism!
Make America Great Again!👍👍👍
“Donald Trump proposes cuts of $163 billion in federal spending, reports the New York Times. It would be the largest budget cut in modern times and eliminate many programs in climate, education, and welfare, the newspaper writes. His cuts were presented as he unveiled his first budget proposal on Friday. The budget portrays several agencies as woke, radical, and redundant. Several cuts were proposed for the justice system, including the FBI. But above all, in schools and education.”
https://omni.se/a/qPgLno
The slightly more cynically inclined has of course figured out that the reason he wants the US population to remain low-educated is because that’s where he has his core voters and they are the easiest to deceive.
But that’s not me, of course.
Not me either 👍🏻.
It’s mostly about him being upset that they don’t want to do as the great leader says.
If you want to be a bit cynical, you can draw parallels to various dictatorships, of course.
For example, Stalin was not particularly pleased that there were people more intelligent than himself. The same goes for Pol Pot, if you could read and write, you were a threat, out in the rice fields and then you died.
Not to mention all the religious dictatorships that thrive as long as people don’t think beyond what they hear in Friday prayers.
Budget discipline 👍
😂 When will Xi jump off?
“Fico and Vucic, who had planned to attend the Moscow parade, have both suddenly fallen ill, per Russian media citing local sources. Vucic reportedly became seriously ill during a U.S. visit and was flown back to Belgrade.
Oh, how convenient…”
Political paranoia or drone paranoia? Just activating the sirens in central Moscow is enough to quickly clear out Red Square.
😳 oops
If Xi doesn’t come, it’s a humiliation for the higher school from ua
Asså, he will get stuck in customs.
…I’ll find my way out myself 😳.
Very joyful with the Kertjbron, the weekend is saved ✊✊💥💥💥
Or is this not true 😳
That means Trump has changed course significantly because the Kerch Bridge has been a red card from Biden.
If you can’t get Putin to seek peace with lamps, you have to use violence.
Yes, with a bit of luck hopefully 🤩
Isn’t it time to kick out the package from Sweden https://www.expressen.se/nyheter/sverige/hon-ar-putins-svenska-poster-girl-forbannad/
Jo hot mot rikets säkerhet eller terrorlagarna
Threats to national security or the anti-terrorism laws
Or perhaps for lies in connection with the application for a residence permit. Quote from an article in Expressen:
“Ala Stasevitjs denials stand in contrast to the information in her own application for a residence permit. The story of political persecution in Belarus, which was once her reason for seeking protection in Sweden, she continues to dismiss as ‘incorrect information’.
She leaves unanswered our questions about how what she stated when she arrived in Sweden aligns with her frequent trips to her home country, and her prominent role in a movement and organization with connections to the Kremlin.”
But such a reason might be a policy change.
😳
And now the RU embassy is starting to find it troublesome, throw out the package immediately. If they want to run their parade, they can do it in Red Square. I don’t want to see any such pack waving Russian flags in Sweden. https://www.expressen.se/nyheter/sverige/ryska-ambassaden-till-attack-mot-johan-forssell/
They bombed Crimea yesterday, at least.
Seems like MXT is operating above as UA put something in the Kerch Strait Bridge?
There are different opinions on Twitter.
The Kerch Strait Bridge has thus been completely closed since they blew up the truck on it.
This has been confirmed by Ukraine themselves.
Does this look like a complete change of course then?
It would be appreciated if we could get this damn Grom 2 in the Kremlin sometime
Trump has thrown an infinite amount of sand into the machinery since January 20th and now it’s May.
We know that Ukraine could level the Kremlin, the Parade, the Kerch Bridge, and Frunzenskaya to the ground several times over, but they are not allowed to – they have been denied the opportunity to fight in a way that would win the war for them. At the same time, the opponent has been allowed to do so – completely incomprehensible to me.
If Putin chooses to escalate with nuclear weapons, so be it, but we must move forward.
I don’t think Putin will start a nuclear war. Dead man walking the day he does that, and he knows it.
And who hasn’t noticed his immense death anxiety. Who doesn’t remember the 20-meter table during the pandemic.
Sooner or later, that card has to be shown. The situation only becomes more unstable and critical the longer this is delayed.
I must make it this year, otherwise my schedule will fall apart and that’s not possible 😬
Yes, frustrating that they have been tied up when they could have done more.
Nuclear weapons are good to threaten with, but what does Putin do when he realizes that it no longer works.
Back off, and die hanging upside down at the nearest gas station.
Use nuclear weapons, and die from radiation.
None of these he has planned, he was supposed to win, and he was supposed to have Trump on his side. I can imagine he sleeps a little worse at night now than a couple of weeks ago.
I believe that after the Golgotha walk in 2024 and Trump’s lousy peace-brokering in 2025, Ukraine needs hope – the Kerch Bridge, the May 9th parade, and the Kremlin would resonate in the depths of the people.
It’s low-hanging fruit to ignite the spark again.
I have another theory coming on Tuesday that will blow your socks off 😀
You have read that China has taken Pakistan’s side in the conflict 😳
China and Pakistan have a longstanding relationship. So not surprised.
What, I thought it was the USA that was close to Pakistan?
And India leaning more towards Russia?
China and India are not the best of friends, we knew that.
China’s financial support has been crucial in modernizing Pakistan’s infrastructure, with the latest agreements focusing on railway upgrades and the development of Gwadar port.
Gwadar, a deep-sea port on the Arabian Sea, is a crucial component of CPEC, serving as a key gateway for trade between China and the Middle East.
The two countries have committed to maximizing the port’s commercial potential and positioning it as a strategic hub for connectivity opportunities.
Pakistan’s energy sector is also a major focus of China’s investments.
Chinese companies have been invited to participate in offshore oil and gas exploration, diversifying Pakistan’s energy sources and reducing its dependence on imports.
This aligns with China’s broader goal of securing energy supply while expanding its economic influence in South Asia.
Furthermore, Beijing has pledged support for Pakistan’s railway infrastructure, aiming to modernize the network and improve connectivity across the country.
Goes fast now when it comes to letting go of yesterday and trying to decipher tomorrow
Sjödrönare also at Kerch?
Zelensky cannot guarantee the safety May 9th he has just announced 😳
Elegant of him. How does Xi do?
Exakt 🧐
Fico has dropped out according to the post from MXT above.
To land a few drones without explosives in the square would be elegant.
Plus some sharp ones towards military targets within earshot from the square.
It is absolutely possible to delay the parade without collateral if handled nicely.
Pick up some Wunderwaffe at the square without harming any spectators. (Although I probably wouldn’t dare to make such a decision.)
But Budanov would if he could 🤩
Hellfire R-9X, you know.
So they had to fetch manure with a dung fork and wheelbarrow.
I am starting to sense a breath of fresh air around Ukraine, nothing but good news at the moment.
Idel good news today 🤩🤩
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3lobixppkik2y
Tomorrow there will be an alternative post, and it’s unclear if I will manage to set aside a lot of unpaid working hours for a post on Monday, but definitely on Tuesday with wild speculations.
Russia seems as taken by surprise as the rest of us about the change in direction, and China should be equally confused 🤣🤣
Ukraine is damn street smart.
Putin has thus built a Reichstag replica and will perform a reenactment – this year’s May 9th is a biggie for him 🤩🤩
He has therefore coldly calculated that Trump would stop Ukraine and now stands there very embarrassed a little over a week before and one head of state after another calls in sick 🤣🤣🤣🤣
China has asked Ukraine not to drone the parade and Zelensky’s response.
“We do not agree to a ceasefire and we cannot guarantee anyone’s safety at the parade – at your own risk and bring earplugs.”
And then he sends 500 drones over Crimea.
What a weekend! 🤩🤩🤩
😎
It never ends – Putin will now only attend on zoom May 9th
Best weekend since they invented sliced bread 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Should Xi stand alone in the square while Putin crouches in a bunker, 😂
Senseless. I think the parade will be canceled.
Haha, yes that would be a sight, or maybe it’s planned. Xi is the great leader now, the country that Putler presided over no longer exists. Like when Yeltsin took over after Gorby.
Would a person who doesn’t even dare to show themselves in the square dare to start a nuclear war?
Nice parade. Who will the troops now salute when the Führer is not present?
Difficult to understand why Russia has not cooperated better with Trump. What are they thinking?
Here on the blog, we have fairly unanimously worried that a ceasefire would only play into Russia’s hands. They would have time to regroup for renewed attacks against both Ukraine and perhaps even the rest of Europe.
However, Russia does not seem to think so. They seem to think the opposite – that a ceasefire would play into Ukraine’s hands.
Is the situation in Russia even worse than we thought? Desperate for a quick resolution? Or have they been completely convinced that they can outsmart Trump?
I’m just thinking out loud here, but it’s very difficult to see any form of rationality in Russia’s actions in relation to the discussions (or whatever you want to call it) with Trump and his cronies.
Considering the panic of the Russian team, they are completely caught off guard here – they have learned the hard way that Trump is unpredictable.
Now India has also fallen ill 🤣🤣
It would have been nice to have one or a couple of Hellfire R-9X on the podium, then they would have had to pick up the poop with a pitchfork and wheelbarrow after the parade.
One would think that the Russians, with the resources they have, should have had hundreds of agents analyzing everything Trump has done for at least nine years. Don’t they trust their own analyses? There are some theories that Russia would not be able to handle the transition from a wartime economy to a normal economy. Is there any move that Russia and China could make to keep the USA and Europe so busy with something that they would be forced to stop supporting the UA?
Jo man kan ju tycka det och jag har levererat min slutanalys om Trump i UA frågan så pass säker var jag på min sak…
One could think that, and I have delivered my final analysis on Trump in the UA issue, so confident I was in my case…
Saturday partying at G 🥳
Absolut. You can check the cabinets if you find something strong. It feels good now.
Found a GT 🥳😎
Gold stars to FIM and Lasse W
I myself have secured a few beers and had a bottom improvement left in the rum bottle after tasting it on Thursday 👍
🦅🐝 Madyar: Unmanned technologies dominate. This summer, the kill zone will stretch for 15-20 km in both directions. This will make it impossible for personnel and equipment to move. The whole thing will be closed off by drones.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lobx2r2dsc2u
Estonian M142 HIMARS lastas Ukraina An-124-100 Ruslanile kohaletoimetamiseks. 6 süsteemi üle kantud koostöös DASA DE&C, SAMD, DSCA ja LMCO-ga.
🇮🇱 IDF will send out call-up orders to thousands of reserve soldiers tonight, – Channel 13
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lobwhtnqx22u
Iran, Syria 🙊
Iran is in the pipeline but Syria has emerged as a dark horse.
Waaaaaahahahahaha – now Xi Jinping has also gotten sick 🤣🤣🤣
I’m having one of my best Saturdays in a long time, what an absolutely fantastic day 🤩🤩🤩
Do you realize that the moment “someone” removed the padlock from the gate holding back Ukraine, Putin and Xi Jinping ran away screaming in tears 🤣🤣🤣🤣
This is absolutely insane – one can hardly believe this is true. 😳
Putin has now shown his throat internally in Russia – this could be really fun if Ukraine follows up with violent drone clouds and offensive
Putin has probably promised the siloviks that Trump was on his side
We have been waiting for this May 9th for three years now and each time known that Ukraine could do this.
Now Putin thought he had Trump’s guarantees so he got a little carried away and invited everyone to show his strength.
Now he looks like a weak bottom crawler and his own people see it.
Putin is completely terrified – lots of air defense systems being rushed to Moscow – more targets, Budanov thinks.
Here you see for the first time the result of a Ukraine that does not have red cards and fights with one hand tied behind its back.
One starts to wonder what else they have in store 🧐
Trump had promised Putin a ceasefire until before May 9th and Putin had envisioned a real grand parade and also something like the war was won – what a party crasher UA is.
Har för övrigt smällt i Iran precis
Lukashebko is also not coming to the parade – flagged for late arrival
Kazakhstan will not either
Do you think GUR has poisoned Fico and Vuco?