Ukraine daily update March 26, 2025

Riyadh seems to have been Putin’s peace plan straight up and no direct opposition from the USA?

The USA has previously stated that they want Ukraine to give up land and for the UN to ratify it. After the meeting in Riyadh, Russia is also pushing for this, and for UA to voluntarily demilitarize the regions they want – so they want more than what they control today.

Getting the UN on board for peace in our time to make everything look legitimate and nice.

Which way has the UN been leaning in recent years, does anyone still trust the UN?

China and Russia have let the West finance all these organizations and then take over through direct bribes for a fraction of what we paid – hats off, actually.

It is probably quite important for Europe to start pursuing its own line soon because this is no longer credible. I also have the feeling that Europe and Ukraine have some changes in mind considering what is being delivered right now 🧐

Apparently, Lukashenko won the election without any protests – I had expected that and wonder if there is politics behind it?

Have you looked at what the world has delivered to Ukraine –

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War

Compared to what Ukraine has lost, and only then written off because workshops all over Europe help UA restore everything else –

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-ukrainian.html

And then what UA has captured from RU –

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

It is difficult to see that Ukraine would be lacking in material. But yes – there have been complaints about the workshops, especially Western weapons, earlier, right?

-Bulgaria has delivered a lot in secret, and the Czech Republic has gone a bit under my radar in any case. The amount of material is somewhat astronomical, one must admit.

-Ukraine produces just under 500 Bohdana wheeled howitzers/year now and they have lost a total of 400 wheeled/track howitzers throughout the war (yes, oryx, but we don’t have much more to go on).

-Ukraine manufactures its own 155mm ammunition, their BT-4 is mass-produced, and they license-produce M113 and HMMRW now, I believe?

-they have been installing new weapon stations on older BMP1, M113, BTR60 for a while so that they become the 2025 model.

-Ukraine is world-leading in drone weapons and now has its own long-range (real) missiles.

This one is suspiciously similar to the V1

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1892921597947748502

-two corvettes are completed in Turkey and they probably have around 300 riverboats or something like SB90 for amphibious combat.

-they have at least 100 helicopters 🧐

-They produce mines, cluster ammunition, thermobaric ammunition – and they now have license production for commercial weapons and ammunition.

-German IFVs are set to start license production in Ukraine, as well as CV90.

-The only thing Ukraine doesn’t produce anew is probably tanks, but they probably have thousands of T64 tank hulls left in storage (a persistent rumor that cannot be verified). Since IFVs and APCs have their own weapon stations modeled in 2025, you won’t get any prizes for guessing that the T64 chassis will have a new turret model by 2025 onwards 😀

-Ukraine also has specialized aircraft, perhaps not in sufficient numbers but at least for deterrence and close air support. F-16s have at least started flying air cover.

-they have access to their own satellites and soon our two AWACS.

-They should probably receive the European platforms and robots in sufficient quantities, right?

Nasams factory in UA

It looks to me like Ukraine is well-equipped – in 2023 and 2024, they have also significantly expanded their armed forces, so they simply did not have the amount of material for that expansion that is now catching up.

Right now, deliveries to Ukraine are hot – absolutely enormous amounts of material are heading eastward, and Russia is complaining loudly.

https://twitter.com/sprinterobserve/status/1903588173407539317?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

https://twitter.com/kvistp/status/1903673756343538029?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w

There are some other odds and ends – Italian Centauro a couple of hundred.

Our 18 Archer with accompanying Arthur.

More Polish T72s

The British could send 800 Warrior IFVs

Our 40mm LV akan is now in Ukraine, by the way, they made a stopover in the Baltics.

France has now started sending Cesar to Estonia, which one can interpret as UA having enough, right?

Sweden sends Tridon

Patria from Latvia

A suggestion came on Substack from a commentator named Peter that the refugee weapon should be activated again now that Russia has moved its Syria operations to Libya – and it should indeed.

Because what was more paralyzing for Europe in 2015-2016 when Russia had just started its proxy war in Ukraine than the major refugee crisis 🧐

Since we are now on the timeline, we know that in 2015-2016 when we had the refugee crisis, it was right after the RU war in Ukraine that started in 2014, and that made us in Europe fully occupied with other matters. That was such a godsend for Russia that the probability is 1 that they were behind it – it was part of the planning simply like the gas weapon.

The problem is when something commendable becomes a weapon instead – then we in Europe do not know how to handle it. Which Russia knows very well, and that’s why they carried out the operation.

Just like with everything else, it is also an added value for Russia and its accomplices – they earn obscene amounts of money from the operation as a one-way ticket costs thousands of dollars…

Of course, Russia had hoped that 10 million Ukrainian refugees would cause chaos in Europe, but they had the audacity to just learn the language, start working, and become taxpayers instead. And then they tried to pit Ukrainians against other groups in different countries through subversive activities all the time, but it didn’t work.

Russia has also been involved in driving refugee flows towards the USA – they have paid millions of dollars for plane tickets to Mexico from the USA to fly migrants in, for example.

Also Brexit – which completely paralyzed the UK (it’s proven now).

Ukraine was completely abandoned when we struggled to try to handle large refugee flows in a dignified manner.

NGO ships that are supposed to rescue distressed refugees have rationalized their operations and now go all the way to the Libyan coast to pick up migrants. Italy has tried to sort this out and who is behind it – because someone is paying for these ships 🧐

In Moldova and Romania, Putin has failed, but that doesn’t stop him from killing off the resistance – it has been done before and can be done again.

We will face sabotage against the railway network at least and likely also the power infrastructure, but not until autumn. The railway network should be targeted already this summer.

Then another suggestion came on Substack from Someone Unknown that the North Calotte might soon be up for grabs – not entirely impossible at all.

The observant ones know that Putin has given Trump some deal in the Arctic, I don’t have the details in front of me.

Can Putin also instigate a stock market crash?

Probably if he provides the black swan in the form of testing NATO and threatening with tactical nuclear weapons/using some tactical nuclear weapon because it might be seen as an opportunity by some unscrupulous actors within the EU to have a chance to profit from a major crash?

I don’t think Putin can wait another year because he is too cornered, so it should happen in 2025 – and Zapad 2025 is already announced, which suggests that we are not entirely off track.

In Zapad 2025, Putin should try to maximize reinforcement, and then a refugee crisis, stock market crash, power chaos, and probably something else would be good options for him.

I almost feel that the campaign against grocery stores is too well done, but maybe I see ghosts everywhere now, and it’s the opposition trying to return to class struggle?

But it has not escaped me that opposition politicians are now openly writing on Twitter that Kristersson must resign – so much for a truce in wartime…

When Covid hit, I got stuck in Kuwait for 8 months and then had to take a job in Sweden that I had +2.5 years before it started internationally again. The 8 months in Kuwait were indeed at Hilton’s resort, and foodora was open with all American restaurants, and I got to stay at home and do nothing with full pay – so my Robinson Crusoe experience was filet mignon breakfast, lunch, and dinner with lots of video games, basically. But the family got stuck in Sweden, and there was nothing to do about it – and it wore me down.

Projects can be stopped overnight in case of major disruptions in the world, and one never has more than 1-2 months’ notice.

EVERYTHING is that damned Putin’s fault – the world would have been so much better if Russia could just turn inward and start fighting internally instead.

I am really not keen on another deep freeze just because a global conflict escalates, really not keen on that 😡

Now I’m going off track significantly below and I know it, but if we are heading towards a new crash/global recession or whatever it may be – perhaps the US’s plan is to let Putin crash Europe so we end up with the short end of the stick (again) and the US gets through this time (again)?

I am quite alone in guessing that Trump will lead the US to the top here, but his popularity figures are not exactly approaching civil war, and I think some decisions breathe America-first, which will benefit them.

Right now, Trump has pushed a few things that could contribute to this, such as trade tariffs, and if Putin can play his black swan, maybe it’s unstoppable, and the downward spiral takes off?

It should have been Russia, but the USA chooses to save Russia. I don’t see China crashing either right now because the focus seems to be directed towards us from both the USA and Russia.

The above is a bit too speculative, and I’m finding my way out myself 😀

Then I realized yesterday that the grants available for restoring wetlands apply to agriculture and energy forests covering a few hundred thousand hectares as written by the Swedish Board of Agriculture – it’s almost earmarked to reduce agricultural land.

If you are interested in that or a scam with salamander ponds in Bromma – check out yesterday’s comment thread on johanno1.se

By the way, here is the photo on the front page of the consultant’s report if you want to see a beautiful salamander depicted on a very expensive report – they couldn’t even find a good lizard picture for that hourly cost 😶

If you liked the post, please feel free to share it in your channels,

If you want an entertaining comment section – johanno1.se. The comments are of high quality, I can promise you’ll learn something new every day. And you can post pictures.

For those still commenting on Substack or Bluesky, switch over to that thread instead – then your grandchildren will read your historical archive and start liking you.

On Substack – don’t forget to become paying subscribers, even those of you who already follow. It’s nice to see that some find it worth reading, appreciate all the work put into this, and took the step to subscribe 👍

johanno1.se

substack.com/@johanno1

https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social

Swedish rescuers, whom I have been in contact with, operate quietly and deliver supplies to Ukraine. You don’t see them constantly on social media because they work instead to support Ukraine.


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199 thoughts on “Ukraine daily update March 26, 2025”

  1. Good morning!
    Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-03-26

    • 1280 KIA
    • 5 Tanks
    • 15 APVs
    • 17 Artillery systems
    • 59 UAVs
    • 77 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
    • 1 Special equipment

    Glory to Ukraine!

    1. Sisyphus, who works in the Russian army rolling out new artillery, seems to have been tired yesterday… Or maybe they lack donkeys to pull it with?

    2. Sisyphus, who works in the Russian army rolling out new artillery, seems to have been tired yesterday… Or maybe they have a shortage of donkeys to pull it with?

  2. Good morning!
    Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-03-26

    • 1280 KIA
    • 5 Tanks
    • 15 APVs
    • 17 Artillery systems
    • 59 UAVs
    • 77 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
    • 1 Special equipment

    Glory to Ukraine!

  3. 👍
    When it comes to Ukraine’s vehicle fleet, one should also consider that 20-30% are probably in the workshop, but it really sounds like they should have what they need when it comes to most hardware. What is worrisome is perhaps the ammunition.
    Looking at the Strike ratio (which is not just artillery) the Russians are still superior:

    Regarding voluntary recruitment to Ukraine, it feels like such a natural way to help Ukraine without officially sending soldiers. Ensure they have the right insurances, that they can return to their old jobs, etc. It’s strange that it hasn’t happened!
    Could it be that all countries have demilitarized so much that no one wants to risk losing too many soldiers if it turns out to be a success?

    (I was busy yesterday afternoon/evening but now I have to try to catch up on reading yesterday’s thread about those salamanders!)

    1. Wouldn’t it be even better to have a clear regulation stating that in the event of war in the homeland, volunteer soldiers should be promptly returned? Just to get a few hundred with direct experience from the front lines in Ukraine would be invaluable in such a situation.

      1. Yes, that should be enough, then maybe one has to come to an agreement with Ukraine that it’s OK too. From what I understand, one writes for a certain time today.

        Yes, the experiences are probably valuable and just that should make it interesting to help those who want to go there and contribute.

      2. Yes, that should be enough, then maybe one has to come to an agreement with Ukraine that it’s OK too. From what I understand, they are writing for a certain period of time today.

        Yes, the experiences are probably valuable and just that should make it interesting to help those who want to go there and contribute.

    2. Wouldn’t it then be even better to have a clear regulation stating that in the event of war in the homeland, volunteer soldiers should be promptly returned? Just getting a few hundred with direct experience from the front lines in Ukraine would be invaluable in such a situation.

      1. Therefore, you are so funny, really like your page but don’t always have time to follow it and hang out here 😂
        Looking forward to the weekend and will try to sneak away from gardening and dog walks to hang out here a bit.

  4. 👍
    When it comes to Ukraine’s vehicle fleet, one should also consider that 20-30% are probably in the workshop, but it really sounds like they should have what they need when it comes to most hardware. What is worrisome is perhaps the ammunition.
    Looking at the Strike ratio (which, admittedly, is not just artillery), the Russians are still superior:

    Regarding voluntary recruitment to Ukraine, it feels like such a natural way to help Ukraine without officially sending soldiers. Ensure they have the right insurances, that they can return to their old jobs, etc. It’s strange that it hasn’t happened!
    Could it be that all countries have downsized so much that no one wants to risk losing too many soldiers if it turns out to be a success?

    (I was really busy yesterday afternoon/evening, but now I have to try to catch up on reading yesterday’s thread about those salamanders!)

  5. Update from 08:00 on 26.03.2025 regarding the Russian invasion
    A total of 207↗️combat actions were recorded during the past day.
    #Kharkiv 4
    #Kupyansk 5
    #Lyman 24💥
    #Siverskyi 5
    #Kramatorsk 2
    #Toretsk 26↗️💥💥
    #Pokrovsk 69↗️💥💥💥💥
    #Novopavlivka 23💥
    #Huliaypillia 1
    #Huliaipil 1
    #Orikhivsk 9↗️💥
    #Prydniprovsky 1
    #Kursk 29↗️💥💥
    In the Pokrovsk sector, the AFU🇺🇦 stopped 69 aggressor attacks in the areas of Sukha Balka, Kalynove, Oleksandropil, Zelenoye Pole, Lysivka, Tarasivka, Yelizavetivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Shevchenko, Uspenivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, Bohdanivka, and towards Novosergiyivka, Malynivka, and Kotlyarivka.

    In the Orikhivsk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 attempted to advance nine times near Kamianske and towards Lobkove and Stepove.

    The AFU🇺🇦 continues its operations in the Kursk region. Yesterday, the AFRF🇷🇺 carried out 19 air strikes, released 23 drones, and fired 247 times, seven of which were from multiple rocket launchers. The AFU🇺🇦 stopped 29 attacks.

    During the past day, the AFU🇺🇦’s air force, robotic forces, and artillery hit nine areas with a concentration of personnel, weapons, and military equipment, a command post, two artillery systems, and three other important targets.

  6. Update from 08:00 on 26.03.2025 regarding the Russian invasion
    A total of 207↗️combat actions were recorded during the past day.
    #Kharkiv 4
    #Kupyansk 5
    #Lyman 24💥
    #Siverskyi 5
    #Kramatorsk 2
    #Toretsk 26↗️💥💥
    #Pokrovsk 69↗️💥💥💥💥
    #Novopavlivka 23💥
    #Huliaypillia 1
    #Huliaipil 1
    #Orikhivsk 9↗️💥
    #Prydniprovsky 1
    #Kursk 29↗️💥💥
    In the Pokrovsk sector, the AFU🇺🇦 stopped 69 aggressor attacks in the areas of Sukha Balka, Kalynove, Oleksandropil, Zelenoye Pole, Lysivka, Tarasivka, Yelizavetivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Shevchenko, Uspenivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, Bohdanivka, and towards Novosergiyivka, Malynivka, and Kotlyarivka.

    In the Orikhivsk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 attempted to advance nine times near Kamianske and towards Lobkove and Stepove.

    The AFU🇺🇦 continues its operations in the Kursk region. Yesterday, the AFRF🇷🇺 carried out 19 air strikes, released 23 drones, and fired 247 times, seven of which were from multiple rocket launchers. The AFU🇺🇦 stopped 29 attacks.

    Over the past day, the AFU🇺🇦’s air force, robotic forces, and artillery targeted nine areas with concentrations of personnel, weapons, and military equipment, a command post, two artillery systems, and three other key targets.

  7. AFU “In total, during the past day, 207 fighting were recorded.”
    Yesterday, the opponent caused 116 air strikes at the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, dropping 184 KAB. In addition, carried out more than 5,500 shells, including 159 – from jet systems of salvage fire, and engaged 2233 kamikaze drones for impact.”
  8. AFU “In total, during the past day, 207 fighting were recorded.”
    Yesterday, the opponent caused 116 air strikes at the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, dropping 184 KAB. In addition, carried out more than 5,500 shells, including 159 – from jet systems of salvage fire, and engaged 2233 kamikaze drones for impact.”
  9. We all knew that here a long, long time ago.

    “CIA Director says Ukrainian people and army are underestimated. CIA Director John Ratcliffe warns that Ukrainian forces are prepared to fight with “bare hands” to defend their sovereignty.”

    1. That it even needs to be said. I’m thinking further about the crap circus and I wonder… I’m becoming more and more fond of the hypothesis that Trump and the maga types only see what they want to see. It could very well be that Trump is now starting to realize that Moscow doesn’t want to stop fighting and that Ukraine will never stop as long as Moscow occupies Ukrainian territory.

      The latest Russian move is conditioned by the lifting of sanctions, among other things swift. Swift is European, and it would really be a long shot if Europe, this close to an open conflict with Moscow, suddenly decided to let Moscow finance its rearmament through the European banking system.

      1. It will be interesting to see how Trump handles the fact that the peace process is not progressing. There is a risk of increased pressure on Ukraine and Europe to give Russia what they want. But here, I don’t think he can accomplish much more. Ukraine and Europe are starting to be much more prepared for the US withdrawing from the defense of Europe. The production of military equipment in Ukraine and Europe has already surpassed Russia, and the advantage will be increasingly noticeable. Europe will never agree to ease sanctions until Russia makes significant concessions. We have no intention of throwing away three years of hard and expensive work. There will be no peace until we are sure that Ukraine and Europe are protected from Russian invasions.

        1. Starting to land there as well. And I don’t think that the USA will actively help Moscow by trying to undermine Europe and Ukraine if we become too strong for Moscow.

          However, I believe that the USA will warmly hand over to Europe to handle the consequences of a Russian retreat and a Russian defeat. Blaming ourselves seems to be the tune of the day.

          But that’s today, tomorrow some new chat will have leaked and the situation will have changed 😬.

        2. Starting to land there as well. And I don’t think the USA will actively help Moscow by trying to undermine Europe and Ukraine if we become too strong for Moscow.

          However, I believe that the USA will warmly hand over to Europe to handle the consequences of a Russian retreat and a Russian defeat. Blaming ourselves seems to be the tune of the day.

          But that’s today, tomorrow some new chat will have leaked and the situation will have changed 😬.

      2. It will be interesting to see how Trump handles the fact that the peace process is not progressing. There is a risk of more pressure on Ukraine and Europe to give Russia what they want. But here, I don’t think he can accomplish much more. Ukraine and Europe are starting to be much more prepared for the US to withdraw from the defense of Europe. The production of military equipment in Ukraine and Europe has already surpassed Russia, and the advantage will be increasingly noticeable. Europe will never agree to sanctions relief unless Russia makes significant concessions. We have no intention of throwing away three years of hard and expensive work. There will be no peace until we are sure that Ukraine and Europe are protected from Russian invasions.

    2. That it even needs to be said. I am pondering further on the crap circus, and I wonder if… I am becoming increasingly fond of the hypothesis that Trump and the maga types only see what they want to see. It may very well be that Trump is now starting to realize that Moscow does not want to stop fighting and that Ukraine will never stop as long as Moscow occupies Ukrainian territory.

      The latest Russian move is conditional on lifted sanctions, among others Swift. Swift is European, and it would really be a long shot if Europe, this close to an open conflict with Moscow, suddenly decided to let Moscow finance its rearmament through the European banking system.

  10. We all knew that here a long, long time ago.

    “CIA Director says Ukrainian people and army are underestimated. CIA Director John Ratcliffe warns that Ukrainian forces are prepared to fight with “bare hands” to defend their sovereignty.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/euromaidanpress.bsky.social/post/3llb7zqsvmj2v
    https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/03/26/cia-director-says-ukrainian-people-and-army-are-underestimated-as-they-ready-to-fight-with-their-bare-hands/

  11. “At night, the 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 56/117 🇷🇺Russian UAVs, another 48 UAVs were lost in location due to EW action”

  12. “At night, the 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 56/117 🇷🇺Russian UAVs, another 48 UAVs were lost in location due to EW action”

  13. One might see what one wants to see. But I don’t think the USA will succeed with this strange pro-Russian setup in the so-called peace negotiations. When will we see the first cracks in this American setup?

    1. We will probably see it in a group chat shortly. But on a more serious note, I agree with that assessment. I think it may be about an American misjudgment of both Moscow’s, Europe’s, and Ukraine’s will and ability. None of the parties show signs of giving in to the USA on these issues. Instead, European support is strengthened.

      1. There was a statement from Bloomberg News in the USA today stating that “both parties want to continue the war.” I think both parties probably consider themselves to have momentum right now.

      2. There was a statement from Bloomberg News in the US today stating that “both parties want to continue the war.” I think both parties probably believe they have momentum right now.

    2. We will probably see it in a group chat shortly. But on a more serious note, I agree with that assessment. I think it could be about an American misjudgment of both Moscow’s, Europe’s, and Ukraine’s will and ability. None of the parties show signs of giving in to the USA on these issues. Instead, European support is strengthened.

  14. One might see what one wants to see. But I don’t think the USA will succeed with this strange pro-Russian setup in the so-called peace negotiations. When will we see the first cracks in this American setup?

  15. Have you read about the F-47? On Wikipedia, it says about its characteristics that it would “cost less” than the F-22, be acquired in larger numbers, be “more adaptable to future threats,” and “will take significantly less manpower and infrastructure to deploy.”    One wonders a bit who they see as the main competitor? 🙂
    Then the fact that it is Boeing that is going to build it and will be ready within this decade is … amusing. Maybe they should first learn how to build a regular jumbo jet? As it is now, they are being crushed by Airbus (an important point for those who believe that the USA is always better than Europe and that European collaborations are just disguised subsidy systems).
    Boeing’s share of deliveries versus Airbus plummeted last year to only 30% – its lowest since the 2019-2020 period when Max deliveries were suspended.https://www.cirium.com/thoughtcloud/shaking-out-the-airbus-and-boeing-2024-delivery-numbers/

    1. F47 is probably just vaporware at this point so all of this remains to be seen. But as usual, they will sell to their allies. It will probably be El Salvador, Hungary, and…and…hmm?

    2. F47 is probably just vaporware for now so all of this remains to be seen. But as usual, they will sell to their allies. It will probably be El Salvador, Hungary, and…and…hmm?

    3. Peter Den Större

      Boeing, which fails to deliver the new Air Force One, is driving Trump crazy. Because it’s almost like desecrating the flag. And placing the order with Airbus certainly feels tricky to combine with Make America Great Again.

    4. Westley Richard

      Boeing-Saab T-7 Red Hawk is the USA’s new training aircraft, Saab may have made them think twice about what is important, that the aircraft is optimal in terms of stealth or if it should be in the air as much as possible.

    5. Westley Richard

      Boeing-Saab T-7 Red Hawk is the USA’s new training aircraft, Saab may have made them think twice about what is important, that the aircraft is optimal in terms of stealth or if it should be in the air as much as possible.

  16. Have you read about the F-47? On Wikipedia, it says about its features that it would “cost less” than the F-22, be acquired in larger numbers, be “more adaptable to future threats,” and “will take significantly less manpower and infrastructure to deploy.”    One wonders a bit who they see as the main competitor? 🙂
    And the fact that it’s Boeing that will build it and it will be ready within this decade is … amusing. Maybe they should first learn to build a regular jumbo jet? As it is now, they are being crushed by Airbus (an important point for those who believe that the USA is always better than Europe and that European collaborations are just disguised subsidy systems).
    Boeing’s share of deliveries versus Airbus plummeted last year to only 30% – its lowest since the 2019-2020 period when Max deliveries were suspended. – https://www.cirium.com/thoughtcloud/shaking-out-the-airbus-and-boeing-2024-delivery-numbers/

  17. “Ryssland flyttar nordkoreansk militär utrustning till fronten via ockuperade Krim. Ett tåg lastat med 7-8 självgående kanoner av modell “Koksan” tillverkade i DPRK och militära lastbilar observerades i norra Krim. Ytterligare ett tecken på Moskvas beroende av Pyongyang för eldkraft nu när dess egna förråd börjar sina.”

    1. Considering the radar that was recently shot down in Crimea, there should be further attacks to follow up on it. The bronze fate is sealed, but we have waited long and may have to wait a little longer.

    2. Considering the radar that was recently shot down in Crimea, there should be further attacks to follow up on it. The fate of the bridge is sealed, but we have waited a long time and may have to wait a little longer.

    3. I wonder why Ukraine doesn’t destroy the railway bridge to Crimea? They have all the weapons needed to bring it down. Feels like there are red lines involved from allies, like the USA.

      1. I believe that right now it would be bad PR for Ukraine. Trump and Putin would spin it as if Ukraine is warmongering. The fact that Russia is doing worse things unfortunately doesn’t come up on the agenda, where the media and politicians have a lesson to learn.

      2. I believe that right now it would be bad PR for Ukraine. Trump and Putin would spin it as if Ukraine is warmongering. The fact that Russia is doing worse things does not come up on the agenda, unfortunately, where the media and politicians have a lesson to learn.

    4. I wonder why Ukraine doesn’t destroy the railway bridge to Crimea? They have all the weapons needed to bring it down. Feels like there are red lines involved from allies, e.g. the USA.

  18. “Ryssland flyttar nordkoreansk militär utrustning till fronten via ockuperade Krim. Ett tåg lastat med 7-8 självgående kanoner av modellen “Koksan” från DPRK och militära lastbilar observerades i norra Krim. Ytterligare ett tecken på Moskvas beroende av Pyongyang för eldkraft nu när dess egna förråd börjar sina.”

  19. Westley Richard

    Over 300 companies in Sweden have Russian owners with close ties to the Russian state and criminal activities. This is evident from a new report from the Swedish Defence Research Agency, FOI, and Acta Publica, as reported by DI. In total, there are over 2,000 individuals in companies that together generate around 24 billion Swedish kronor. Veronica Netz at the research company Acta Publica also believes that there may be more companies hidden behind these numbers.

    https://omni.se/a/XjLoQg

    Time for someone to take action on this.

  20. Westley Richard

    Over 300 companies in Sweden have Russian owners with close connections to the Russian state and criminal activities. This is stated in a new report from the Swedish Defence Research Agency, FOI, and Acta Publica, as reported by DI. In total, there are over 2,000 individuals in companies that together generate around 24 billion SEK. Veronica Netz from the research company Acta Publica also believes that there may be more companies hiding behind these numbers.

    https://omni.se/a/XjLoQg

    Time for someone to take action on this.

  21. A thought regarding what you are writing about Kristersson. So that you don’t misunderstand me, I want to be clear that I fundamentally have zero trust in him, BUT, regarding the Ukraine issue, NATO, and perhaps security policy in general, he seems to have landed on the right side, so I also have zero interest in him resigning in the current situation we find ourselves in. The last thing we need right now is probably two years of new speaker rounds and failed government reshuffles.

    Connected to this, I am pondering the Landerholm affair. A better case for tarnishing Kristersson’s reputation is hardly available, unless he himself has done something similar?

    It makes you wonder how everything has actually happened. Does someone have leverage over Landerholm? Or is he playing for more than one team? It seems a bit too strategically careless what he has been up to. To be clear, albeit somewhat conspiratorial: to forget the documents in a place where someone reasonably could have known who would find them, and to forget the phone at the embassy of Putin-loyal Hungary, seems suspicious, doesn’t it?

    1. Westley Richard

      Are you saying that he would have intentionally left behind papers and his phone?
      Unfortunately, it’s likely that some people get a bit old and forgetful. The issue is if no one noticed this and made sure he got a personal assistant or if he is relieved of his duties.

      1. People usually talk about hating randomness. Then the most likely (sloppiness) is also the most reasonable explanation. Just mean that given the situation where Russia wouldn’t mind creating political chaos in Sweden and maybe succeeding in deposing a prime minister who has clearly taken a stand against them, it’s almost unreasonably bad that his “best friend” (who has somehow been appointed as his opponent feels justified in attacking) has acted as he has. And as you say, if it’s a character trait, it’s incredible that he doesn’t have an assistant who keeps an eye on him and everything he carries with him…
        So in the reality we now live in with Russian influence everywhere, one tends to always be suspicious, simply put.

        1. Westley Richard

          I don’t know if it was carelessness or if he has developed a poorer short-term memory. A not entirely uncommon condition as one gets older and which usually worsens under stress.

      2. People usually talk about hating randomness. Then the most likely (sloppiness) is also the most reasonable explanation. Just mean that given the situation where Russia wouldn’t mind creating political chaos in Sweden and maybe succeeding in deposing a prime minister who has clearly taken a stand against them, it’s almost unreasonably bad that his “best friend” (who has somehow been appointed as his opponent feels justified in attacking) has acted as he has. And as you say, if it’s a character trait, it’s incredible that he doesn’t have an assistant keeping an eye on him and everything he carries with him… So in the reality we now live in with Russian influence everywhere, one simply becomes suspicious all the time.

      1. I would almost say that rather makes him a likely target?
        Like all relatives with a suitable profile for all youth association chairpersons are very easy targets to focus on?

        1. Peter Den Större

          Relatives in the form of a colleague or family member are conceivable, but hardly a blood brother of the mud and straw kind. Landerholm had an improbable workload during this period and simply couldn’t handle the pressure.

          1. Yes, but wasn’t Landerholm the deputy chairman when Kristersson was the chairman of the Young Conservatives?

            (So maybe even a suitable person to approach in his own right, not just connected to the UK… He has had a lot of jobs where he could have been an asset to a foreign power since then. But excuse me, now I feel like the conspiracy theory went a bit too far.)

          2. Yes, but wasn’t Landerholm the vice chairman when Kristersson was the chairman of the Young Conservatives?

            (So maybe even a suitable person to approach in his own right, not just connected to the UK… He has had a lot of jobs where he could have been a valuable asset for a foreign power since then. But excuse me, now I feel like the conspiracy theory went a bit too far.)

        2. Peter Den Större

          Relatives in the form of a colleague or family member are conceivable, but hardly a blood brother of the mud and straw type. Landerholm had an improbable workload during this period and simply couldn’t handle the pressure.

    2. I have become hooked on U Andersson calling the government fascists every day in various colorful terms and saying that they must resign.

      Landetholm may have had both the phone and the documents stolen in a Russian operation aimed at this?

      Two times seems a bit too careless even for a moderate 😀

      And there’s an election in less than two years as well

      1. U Andersson almost always does that, though, it was probably a “must-have” when she took the job. Unfortunately, there is also a lot of playing to the gallery, they tend to be more civilized towards each other in the corridors (but maybe not always in the ladies’ room if you are to believe some). Election fever seems like a pretty credible explanation.

      2. U Andersson almost always does that, though, it was probably a “must-have” when she took the job. Unfortunately, there is also a lot of playing to the galleries, they tend to be more civilized towards each other in the corridors (but maybe not always in the ladies’ room if you believe some). Election fever seems like a fairly credible explanation.

    3. I have gotten hooked on U Andersson calling the government fascists every day in various colorful terms and that they must resign.

      Landetholm may have had both the phone and documents stolen in a Russian operation aimed at this?

      Two times is a bit too sloppy even for a moderate 😀

      Moreover, there is an election in less than two years

  22. A thought regarding what you write about Kristersson. So that you don’t misunderstand me, I want to be clear that I fundamentally have zero trust in him, BUT, in the Ukraine issue, NATO, and perhaps security policy in general, he seems to have landed on the right side, so I also have zero interest in him resigning in the current situation we find ourselves in. The last thing we need right now is probably two years of new speaker rounds and failed government reshuffles.

    Connected to this, I am pondering the Landerholm affair. A better case for tarnishing Kristersson’s reputation is hardly available, unless he himself has done something similar?

    It makes you wonder how everything has actually happened. Does someone have leverage on Landerholm? Or is he playing for multiple teams? It seems a bit too strategically careless what he has been up to. To be clear, albeit somewhat conspiratorial: forgetting the documents in a place where someone reasonably could have known who would find them, and forgetting the phone at the embassy of Putin-loyal Hungary, seems suspicious, doesn’t it?

  23. Peter Den Större

    If the main line is that the USA will not allow a crashed Russian Federation out of fear of Chinese expansion westward, then Trump’s game becomes more understandable, but not more palatable.

    The question is whether all alternatives must assume that we in the West stand and watch – well-groomed and with textbooks under our arms.

    Instead, let me dream of a joint action against Mordor where the West and China share the spoils, and the yellow ones get all they can swallow beyond the Urals.

    1. Westley Richard

      There are a lot of speculations about whether the USA is trying a reverse Kissinger.
      The problem as I see it is that China and Russia had major contradictions during this period, which is not as obvious nowadays since they have a large trade exchange and often act together to break US global dominance.
      China’s and Russia’s leaders also take a more long-term view of their relationship and cannot rely on an American president who has a short time left in power and can be replaced by someone who sees the situation completely differently. Long-term thinking is much more important in international relations than when it comes to gaining and maintaining power in a democracy. Voters are more forgiving than other states are when contemplating their survival.

    2. Westley Richard

      There are a lot of speculations about whether the USA is trying a reverse Kissinger.
      The problem as I see it is that China and Russia had major contradictions during this period, which is not as obvious nowadays since they have a large trade exchange and often act together to break US global dominance.
      China’s and Russia’s leaders also take a more long-term view of their relationship and cannot rely on an American president who has a short time left in power and can be replaced by someone who sees the situation completely differently. Long-term thinking is much more important in international relations than when it comes to gaining and maintaining power in a democracy. Voters are more forgiving than other states are when considering their survival.

    3. I still don’t understand. China already has Moscow in a tight grip, if you know what I mean, and Moscow obviously understands that the thaw from the American side could turn into frost again (when the stomach loses power) and corresponds to a very hardening resistance from Europe against Moscow. Europe, in every way, has the tools needed to resist and threaten Moscow.

      A geostrategic analysis can then, with some certainty, conclude that Moscow is best off continuing its relationship with China.

      Not least, China benefits from this because a USA that lets go of Europe poses a greater threat to China. I also don’t believe that a collapsing Russia would allow China to step in and take over just like that. Rather, China would likely move into the easternmost former Chinese regions and help maintain order but stop there.

      The collapse of the Russian Federation would probably be more of a European problem, one that the USA would warmly leave to us to handle.

    4. I still don’t understand. China already has Moscow in a tight grip, if you know what I mean, and Moscow obviously understands that the thaw from the American side can turn into frost again (when the stomach loses power) and corresponds to a very hardening resistance from Europe against Moscow. Europe, in every way, has the tools needed to resist and threaten Moscow.

      A geostrategic analysis can then, with some certainty, conclude that Moscow is better off continuing its relationship with China.

      Not least, China benefits from this because a USA that lets go of Europe poses a greater threat to China. I also don’t believe that a collapsing Russia would allow China to step in and take over just like that. Rather, China would enter the easternmost former Chinese regions and help maintain order but stop there.

      The collapse of the Russian Federation would probably be more of a European problem, one that the USA warmly hands over to us to handle.

    5. I have also been thinking along the lines that Uza is trying to save Ry, in order to avoid China gaining too much influence. They simply want Russia on their side. Ukraine disrupts Trump’s worldview, and he must put an end to the war before Russia becomes too weak, or, God forbid, falls apart. It would be like offering Xi a bunch of sub-republics in the east for free.
      America first, that’s what matters, what used to be the USA’s motto, freedom, justice, human rights have no significance in the decisions that Trump’s regime makes, they are rather an obstacle.
      Europe was considered by Trump to be an obstacle to Uza’s success, and the regime, the triumvirate of Trump, Vance, and Musk, together with the Ryzzians, have tried to divide us as much as possible. Rather a pile of semi-rich countries, without influence, than a union with economic power to make demands.
      However, a small change is starting to become apparent. No new demands, or threatening statements from Trump regarding Ukraine have come after the latest talks. Could it be that they have started to realize that Putin is just lying, and that it was not actually Ukraine that started the war, and that they are the victims? That would mean that Trump’s biggest idol is wrong, and that cannot be.
      More likely, however, Trump has started to realize that their plan backfired. Their behavior only strengthens Europe’s determination, and diminishes the credibility of the USA, and the USA will shrink to a regional power when Europe realizes that they are no longer trustworthy. Furthermore, there is a risk that the void left by the USA in Europe will be filled by China, which would be a nightmare for Trump.

    6. I have also been thinking along the lines that Uza is trying to save Ry, in order to avoid China gaining too much influence. They simply want Russia on their side. Ukraine disrupts Trump’s worldview, and Trump must put an end to the war before Ry becomes too weak, or, God forbid, falls apart. It would be like offering Xi a bunch of sub-republics in the east for free.
      America first, that’s what matters, what has previously been Usa’s motto, freedom, justice, human rights have no significance in the decisions the Trump regime makes, they are rather an obstacle.
      Europe was considered by Trump to be an obstacle to Uza’s success, and the regime, the triumvirate Trump, Vance, and Musk, together with the Ryzzians, have tried to divide us as much as possible. Better a pile of semi-rich countries, without influence, than a union with economic power to make demands.
      However, a small change is starting to become apparent. No new demands, or threatening statements from Trump, regarding Ukraine have come after the latest talks. Could it be that they have started to realize that Putler is just lying, and that it was not actually Ukraine that started the war, and that they are the victim? That would then mean that Trump’s biggest idol is wrong, and that cannot be.
      More likely, however, Trump has started to realize that their plan backfired. Their behavior only strengthens Europe’s determination, and diminishes Usa’s credibility, and the USA will shrink to a regional power, when Europe realizes that they are no longer trustworthy. Furthermore, there is a risk that the void left by the USA in Europe will be filled by China, which would be a nightmare for Trump.

  24. Peter Den Större

    If the main line is that the USA will not allow a crashed RU out of fear of Chinese expansion to the west, then Trump’s game becomes more understandable, but not more palatable.

    The question is whether all alternatives must start from the assumption that we in the West stand and watch – well-groomed and with textbooks under our arms.

    Instead, let me dream of a joint action against Mordor where the West and China share the spoils, and the yellow ones get all they can swallow beyond the Urals.

  25. I am seriously disturbed by the media’s reporting.

    Not just how much defeatism of
    -supplied material (which Johann:o1 exemplifies above) – oh, the US is abandoning them, now they are done within days
    -own production (same)
    -how skillfully and coldly they continue to undermine the resources of energy and logistics of the Moscow state, see for example
    https://x.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1904633538252824630?t=AtSKkn1aB6Aurz7VmLLjhg&s=19

    It’s as if the media doesn’t WANT to see UA’s competence. Is it the vilified view of helpless VICTIMS as the *finest* of all (they become even finer if they lose), is it the lingering image of RU as the totally OP BigBad (such are boring even in pop culture), is it incompetence/lack of ambition, meaning one can only handle rewrites of what the major English-language news agencies deliver, nothing more (spiced with a bit of opinion+clickbait) – or WHAT?

      1. People who are foolish enough to get their worldview exclusively from Public Service and the occasional Swedish daily newspaper will have a completely insane picture.
        Many of those digging on SocMedia probably get the same, so maybe I shouldn’t put too much weight on that, but you see more debaters swing and advocate for a “peaceful solution” (yesiree).
        I rely more on “ordinary people” like the coffee room at work.

      2. People who are foolish enough to get their worldview exclusively from Public Service and the occasional Swedish daily newspaper get a completely insane picture.
        Many of those digging on SocMedia probably get it as well, so maybe I shouldn’t put too much stock in that, but you see more debaters swing and advocate for a “peaceful solution” (you know what I mean).
        I rely more on “normal people” like the coffee room at work.

  26. I am seriously disturbed by the media’s reporting.

    Not only the amount of defeatism of
    -supplied material (as Johann:o1 exemplifies above) – oh, the US is abandoning them, now they are done within days
    -own production (same)
    -how skillfully and coldly they continue to undermine the resources of energy and logistics of the Moscow state see e.g.
    https://x.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1904633538252824630?t=AtSKkn1aB6Aurz7VmLLjhg&s=19

    It’s as if the media doesn’t WANT to see UA’s competence. Is it the vilified view of helpless VICTIMS as the *finest* of all (they become even finer if they lose), is it the lingering image of RU as the totally OP BigBad (such are boring even in pop culture), is it incompetence/lack of ambition, i.e. one can only manage rewrites of what the major English-language news agencies deliver, nothing more (spiced with a little opinion+clickbait) – or WHAT?

  27. No, that is worrying. Saw a segment about Ukraine and their difficulties in recruiting. Not a word about Russia being forced to import North Koreans.

  28. No, that is worrying. Saw a segment about Ukraine and their difficulties in recruiting. Not a word about Russia being forced to import North Koreans.

  29. The war in Ukraine has become a media event on par with the World Cup in skiing, where the opportunities to extract headlines and drama are endless. “What did Therese Johaug say to Charlotte Kalla in the waxing cabin?” That’s the level we’re talking about. It’s all about spinning narratives that generate clicks. Yes, it’s an amoral position. Add to that the fact that media editorial offices have been thinned out and replaced by international giants like Reuters, whose material is reproduced without being questioned. It’s fortunate that there are alternative media outlets like Cornu and this Johan no. 1 that can provide more qualified insights.

    1. Peter Den Större

      And Quarter, EpochTimes, and a few more.

      If it is established that MSM has a measurable left-leaning bias, the media influence we sense from Mordor becomes fully understandable in public service, DN, and others. Not because their journalists are either stupid or malicious, but because media and news are always shaped by their surrounding culture. It was not at SvD’s editorial office that one found idol images of Che Guevara.

      Regardless of where the news is originally planted (Reuters?) and the biased reporting is passed on, it is deeply problematic for the war effort. Sooner or later, someone will ask in the tax debate why Ukrainian ambulances are more important than Swedish nurses’ salaries.

      One should also not overlook the infantile agitation against the USA, Trump, and Musk, which for some clouds their vision and makes it difficult to distinguish friend from foe.

      1. The hatred towards Trump in the mainstream media is evident. I notice headlines in Expressen about Trump allegedly saying that “they should be kicked out” regarding illegal immigrants. And that “countries that buy the wrong oil should be punished” regarding oil from Venezuela. The headlines say it all.

    2. Peter Den Större

      And Quarter, EpochTimes, and a few more.

      If it is established that the mainstream media has a measurable left-leaning bias, the media influence we sense from Mordor becomes fully understandable in public service, Dagens Nyheter, and others. Not because their journalists are either stupid or malicious, but because media and news are always shaped by their surrounding culture. It was not at Svenska Dagbladet’s editorial office that one found idol images of Che Guevara.

      Regardless of where the news is originally planted (Reuters?) and the biased reporting is carried forward, it is deeply problematic for the war effort. Sooner or later, someone will ask in the tax debate why Ukrainian ambulances are more important than Swedish nurses’ salaries.

      One should also not overlook the infantile frenzy against the USA, Trump, and Musk, which for some clouds their vision and makes it difficult to distinguish friend from foe.

    3. We are three years into this and then it’s a bigger problem.

      Yes – you always interpret information based on your worldview and RU always comes with an alternative explanation that sounds exciting.

      1. Sure, here is the translation of the text from Swedish to English:

        Sure, ordinary people may be tired of war, lose interest, not want to hear about UNPLEASANT things like war, right…
        People ARE idiots (we wouldn’t have the political parties we have today otherwise, no one mentioned, no one forgotten).
        But the media… is it ONLY the fault of unaware media consumers that some celebrity’s scandalous divorce and another celebrity’s sex scandal get column inches that could have been devoted to Ukraine (or Sudan, etc.)? (Have zero knowledge of/zero interest in both celebrities.)
        It used to be the finest thing a journalist could be to be *agenda-setting* about 10-15 years ago, CAN they really not find agendas outside their own navels (even if both party politics and Gaza may be located there)?

      2. Sure, here is the translation of the text from Swedish to English:

        Sure, ordinary people may be tired of war, lose interest, not want to hear about UNPLEASANT things like war, right…
        People ARE idiots (we wouldn’t have the political parties we have today otherwise, no names mentioned, no one forgotten).
        But the media… is it ONLY the fault of unaware media consumers that a celebrity’s scandalous divorce and another celebrity’s sex scandal get column inches that could have been devoted to Ukraine (or Sudan, etc.)? (I have zero knowledge of/zero interest in both celebrities.)
        It used to be the highest achievement for a journalist to be *agenda-setting* about 10-15 years ago, CAN they really not find agendas outside their own navels (even though both party politics and Gaza may be located there)?

    4. We are three years into this and then it’s a bigger problem.

      Yes – one always interprets information according to their worldview and RU always comes up with an alternative explanation that sounds exciting.

  30. The war in Ukraine has become a media event on par with the World Cup in skiing, where the possibilities to extract headlines and drama are endless. “What did Therese Johaug say to Charlotte Kalla in the waxing cabin?” That’s the level we’re at. It’s about spinning narratives that generate clicks. Yes, it’s an amoral position. Add to that the fact that media editorial offices have been thinned out and replaced by international giants like Reuters, whose material is reproduced without being questioned. It’s fortunate that there are alternative media outlets like Cornu and this Johan no.1 who can provide more qualified input.

      1. Exactly, that’s how I’ve perceived it too. Moscow has set conditions that the USA cannot meet (such as SWIFT). But we’ll see, it’s a circus so (almost) anything is possible.

        1. I believe there will be a resounding No from Europe (except for BarbaTok in Hungary). This will result in RU accusing Europe of wanting to keep the war going with the stupid cousin from the country, the USA, agreeing.

        2. I believe there will be a resounding No from Europe (except for BarbaTok in Hungary). It will result in Russia accusing Europe of wanting to keep the war going with the stupid cousin from the country, the USA, agreeing.

      2. Exactly, that’s how I’ve perceived it too. Moscow has set conditions that the USA cannot meet (such as SWIFT). But we’ll see, it’s a shitshow, so (almost) anything is possible.

  31. I can’t leave the shit circus’s (yes, I’m half Norwegian) group chat in Signal.

    According to various sources, highly confidential information of this kind should be handled in secure information systems according to all regulations.

    This means, in plain language, special places that are secure from eavesdropping and without connection to networks/internet, special computers and systems with both hardware and software protection that can only be used by specific personnel. Anyone entering the room must undergo security checks and leave all electronics outside.

    So, it is very difficult to extract information from such a system and bring it into a regular chat in Signal.

    Therefore, my guess is that the entire or parts of the planning simply have never been in the correct systems but have taken place outside. In Signal.

    If we continue with this hypothesis, one can ask why? Now it’s the shit circus that is acting, but more sinister explanations than negligence cannot be ignored either, such as intending to share the information with someone unauthorized and then choosing to conduct the planning/parts of it outside the robust and protected systems.

    Depending on who/whom is involved, the full range of consequences exists, from breaching confidentiality to espionage and even treason, depending on who/whom the hypothetical recipients are.

    Yes, I have lunch and some boring tasks waiting. What could be better than procrastinating through a juicy intrigue?

    1. Westley Richard

      Waltz has been banned from traveling and is not allowed to go to Greenland with Vance’s wife, if that is any punishment? I do not know her.

        1. Westley Richard

          JDV seems to be a romantic type who takes his wife to a military base in northern Greenland with a bunch of soldiers with frost in their beards.

          1. Exactly, see it as a romantic gesture: which woman wouldn’t rather have the opportunity to look at real men as a change from looking at a kohl-abusing giant baby?

          2. Exactly, see it as a romantic gesture: which woman wouldn’t rather have the opportunity to look at real men as a change from looking at a kohl-abusing giant baby?

        2. Westley Richard

          JDV seems to be a romantic type who takes his wife to a military base in northern Greenland with a bunch of soldiers with frost in their beards.

    2. Westley Richard

      Waltz has been banned from traveling and is not allowed to go to Greenland with Vance’s wife, if that is some kind of punishment? I don’t know her.

    3. Peter Den Större

      The only alternative explanation I have seen is that the security leak was deliberately carried out to be read by us in Europe. Some of the text contained quite a few punches in the face – harsh words about us and our inability to grow up. Words that could not have been used either politically or diplomatically. I guess we’ll see when the dust settles.

      1. Yes, I have also read that, but I find it far-fetched. Maga’s view on Europe has already been almost overly clear when everyone involved has had the chance to express themselves.

        My speculation is that someone with access to Waltz’s phone has leaked to show what is going on, i.e., that confidential information has been handled in private chats.

      2. Yes, I have also read that, but I find it far-fetched. Magas opinion about Europe has already been made almost overly clear when everyone involved has had the chance to express themselves.

        My speculation is that someone with access to Waltz’s phone has leaked to show what is going on, i.e., that confidential information has been handled in private chats.

      3. Westley Richard

        If someone consciously wanted to leak that they disliked Europe, they could have done so in a chat that did not contain highly classified information. The leak about the revelation of the attack is a major domestic political problem for Trump, the gossip is just embarrassing.

      4. Westley Richard

        If someone deliberately wanted to leak that they disliked Europe, they could have done it in a chat that didn’t contain highly classified information. The leak about the revelation of the attack is a major domestic political problem for Trump, the gossip is just embarrassing.

    4. Peter Den Större

      The only alternative explanation I have seen is that the security leak was deliberately carried out to be read by us in Europe. Some of the text contained quite a few punches – harsh words about us and our inability to grow up. Words that could not have been used either politically or diplomatically. I guess we’ll see when the dust settles.

    5. Isn’t the essential thing about this “leak” whether it provides any NEW information? I haven’t seen anything new and don’t see the point in spending time reading. – The whole discussion seems, again, to revolve around someone or some people being fooled, clumsy, stupid, having a certain color on body parts, etc. Opinions about or feelings towards individuals are – and remain – irrelevant.

      Smoke screens? Why do so many commentators get stuck on the surface? – I keep nagging over and over again about not taking anything literally and both UA and US are led by media professionals. Of course, the most intelligent and cunning can make a mistake, but… My starting point is that everything we see is manipulated, trolling, or a game, until the opposite is proven. Again, if we try to see the big picture, the details become less important and we don’t get stuck on trivial matters.

      So, why the Signal leak occurred is of less interest, if that circumstance does not, in itself, provide any new relevant information. – What are they (the Trump administration) really doing? What is the purpose of what is being said or revealed? Where are they heading? Have they changed their goal?

  32. I can’t leave the shit circus’s (yes, I’m half Norwegian) group chat in Signal.

    Various sources indicate that highly confidential information of this kind, according to all regulations, should be handled in secure information systems.

    This means, in plain language, special places that are secure from eavesdropping and without connection to networks/internet, special computers and systems with both hardware and software protection that can only be used by specific personnel. Anyone entering the room must undergo security checks and leave all electronics outside.

    So, it is very difficult to extract information from such a system and bring it into a regular chat in Signal.

    Therefore, my guess is that the entire or parts of the planning simply have never been in the correct systems but have taken place outside. In Signal.

    If we continue with this hypothesis, one can ask why? Now it’s the shit circus that is acting, but more sinister explanations than negligence cannot be ignored either, such as intending to share the information with someone unauthorized and then choosing to conduct the planning/parts of it outside the robust and protected systems.

    Depending on who/whom is involved, the full range of consequences exists, from breaches of confidentiality to espionage and even treason, depending on who/whom the hypothetical recipients are.

    Yes, I have lunch and some boring tasks waiting. What could be better than procrastinating through a juicy intrigue?

  33. Tomorrow, a grand theory will be presented where I have tried to fit a couple of puzzle pieces together, and it’s not Stockholm’s biggest salamander scam out in Bromma this time, but Trump and Putin, where I try to look past all the smoke that has been laid and understand WHY they do what they do.

    I don’t believe for a second that Trump’s plan is to completely crash the USA so he is forced to emigrate to Russia once removed from office, and I absolutely believe that Putin is capable of much worse deeds than what we have already seen.

    The most important thing I usually nag about is – EVERYTHING IS ALWAYS RELATIVE.

    The world’s experts and media see slightly different symptoms and immediately jump on it as if it’s the whole playbook, but when in world history has the USA done that?

    I have learned from the Italian boss now that what he says last in a conversation, and preferably in passing, is the message he actually wanted to deliver or get a response to.

    So put on your thinking caps because tomorrow will be an interesting day, I can promise you.

  34. Tomorrow, a grand theory will be presented where I’ve tried to fit in a couple of puzzle pieces, and it’s not Stockholm’s biggest salamander scam out in Bromma this time but Trump and Putin, where I try to look past all the smoke that has been laid and understand WHY they do what they do.

    I don’t believe for a second that Trump’s plan is to completely crash the USA so he is forced to emigrate to Russia once removed from office, and I absolutely believe that Putin is capable of far worse deeds than what we have already seen.

    The most important thing I usually nag about is – EVERYTHING IS ALWAYS RELATIVE.

    The world’s experts and media see slightly different symptoms and immediately jump on it as if it’s the whole playbook, but when in world history has the USA done that?

    I’ve learned from the Italian boss now that what he says last in a conversation, and preferably in passing, is the message he really wanted to deliver or get a response to.

    So put on your thinking caps because tomorrow will be an interesting day, I can promise you.

  35. Ok, now I have read the ENTIRE chat that Atlantico has released – it seems like a leak has reasonably been sold in.

    Those first chat logs seemed too naive, but if you read everything, there is a quite large amount of information that has been released.

    1. Interesting, that’s what I’ve been speculating about. I will try to find time to read the whole thing. By “leak” I meant a deliberate leak just to be overly clear. I find it hard to believe that Waltz would add a journalist to the chat without noticing it.

      It’s also interesting that in the excerpt I’ve read, only Ratcliff seems to understand what he is saying when questioned. He is careful to point out that his communication on Signal did not contain any secret information. But the others deny that there was any secret information at all, Gabbard saying that no secret material was shared (which is a bit more cunning, material and information have partially different meanings).

    2. Interesting, that’s what I’ve been speculating about. I will try to find time to read it all. By “leak” I meant a deliberate leak just to be overly clear. I find it hard to believe that Waltz would add a journalist to the chat without noticing it.

      It’s also interesting that in the excerpt I’ve read, it seems like only Ratcliff understands what he is saying when questioned. He is careful to point out that his communication on Signal did not contain any secret information. But the others deny that there was any secret information at all, Gabbard stating that no secret material was shared (which is a bit more cunning, material and information have partially different meanings).

  36. Ok, now I have read the ENTIRE chat that Atlantico released – it seems like a leak has reasonably been sold in.

    Those initial chat logs seemed too naive, but if you read everything, there is a quite large amount of information that has been released.

  37. Maybe I am not alone in these thoughts about whether Putin will test Article 5 this autumn – or a little later:

    What Johan highlights is a minor “violation” rather than a full-scale invasion. What if EU forces near the Russian border just back off – like UA usually does when it gets too tough? Should Russian forces that have crossed the border just sit on their hands and crack open the bottles? EU can surely deny RU air superiority and use indirect fire against the intruders. Then they pick up the phone and ask UA – the strongest military power in free Europe – for “expert help.” Zelensky has (coincidentally?) recently changed the law so that UA’s military has the right to fight within friends’ territories. UA sends some sharp drone units to help, making life difficult for the poor souls who dared to cross the border.

    Could it be that UA and EU have already planned for such a scenario?

    1. An interesting angle. Europe has several cards to play against Moscow as it is, but closer cooperation with the Ukrainian armed forces (strategic, operational art, corps headquarters) and tactical coordination (drone units, cruise missiles) is probably in line with what I believe several European countries envision. And if Moscow crosses the line, Europe does not need to consider whether direct cooperation leads to “escalation.”

    2. An interesting angle. Europe has several cards to play against Moscow as it is, but closer cooperation with the Ukrainian armed forces (strategic, operational art, corps headquarters) and tactical coordination (drone units, cruise missiles) is probably in line with what I believe several European countries envision. And if Moscow crosses the line, Europe does not need to consider whether direct cooperation leads to “escalation.”

    3. Well thought out Magpies. Now I think it’s starting to shape up. What’s happening, why is it happening, and the big question, what will happen next?

      There’s been a bit too much Trump talk for my taste these past few days (emotional junk or side track without any real relevance to actual events in reality).

  38. Maybe I am not alone in these thoughts about whether Putin will test Article 5 this fall – or a little later:

    What Johan highlights is a minor “violation” rather than a full-scale invasion.
    What happens if EU forces near the Russian border just retreat – like UA usually does when it gets too tough?
    Should Russian forces that have crossed the border just sit on their hands and crack open the bottles?
    EU can certainly deny RU air superiority and use indirect fire against the intruders. Then they pick up the phone and ask UA – the strongest military power in free Europe – for “expert help.” Zelensky has (coincidentally?) recently changed the law so that UA’s military has the right to fight within friends’ territories. UA sends some sharp drone units to help, starting to make life difficult for the poor souls who dared to cross the border.

    Could it be that UA and EU have already planned for such a scenario?

  39. In a difficult situation for Russia, escalation could be a way for the country to get a fresh start in the game of fate. Better a new world war than being humiliated by Ukraine. If we are to lose, then everyone else should lose too. That’s how the pathology looks. No overreaction from the West in response to provocations, but much can still be done.

  40. In a difficult situation for Russia, escalation could be a way for the country to get a new momentum in the game of fate. Better a new world war than being humiliated by Ukraine. If we are to lose, then everyone else should lose too. That’s how the pathology looks. No overreaction from the West in response to provocations, but much can still be done.

  41. AFU🇺🇦 managed to hit and destroy the command and observation post for the battalion in the 9th Motorized Rifle Regiment in the 18th Motorized Rifle Division in the Viktorivka – Uspenivka area on Russian Federation territory.

     

    Among the killed personnel was the commander of the 1st battalion in the 9th Motorized Rifle Regiment.

  42. AFRF🇷🇺 had, as of the 22nd report from GeneralStaffUA🇺🇦, carried out 87 attacks and offensive operations against the #Pokrovsk sector during the day. A firefight is ongoing. (The note for the entire previous day was 61 attacks.). According to preliminary estimates, AFU🇺🇦 has neutralized 293 occupiers in this sector today, 177 of them irreversibly. AFU🇺🇦 has also destroyed a tank, ten vehicles, eight motorcycles, six checkpoints for unmanned aerial vehicles, two portable electronic warfare stations, five satellite terminals, and a grenade launcher.

  43. The big question mark is China. I keep nagging about this, because it is an important factor.
    Regarding Russia’s Zapad 2025 plans, there are discussions about whether RU has the capacity for such an undertaking.

    What we know:
    RU can gather x number of thousands of men, and it is likely that they have set aside equipment and material for them. In addition to this, there is logistics and maintenance. So, the actual number of personnel will be significantly larger.
    We also know that China, both overtly and subtly, supports Russia.
    Indications point to some kind of Russian action during the summer – fall, probably in connection with Zapad 2025.
    China has stated that they can contribute a so-called peacekeeping force of 10K men in Ukraine.

    Discussion:
    Just the fact that China is willing to send 10,000 men to Ukraine is a red flag.
    Has China ever been interested in sending soldiers for peacekeeping missions? There are plenty of trouble spots they could have engaged in, but apparently they have been uninterested from a Chinese perspective. The fact that they are now interested in sending a peacekeeping force is undoubtedly strange. Remember that China does not do anything unless it is in China’s interest. So, WHAT is China interested in?

    Then we have Russia. With so many indications that they are preparing for some kind of attack on the EU/NATO, some questions arise.
    RU would not do such a thing if they did not know they had the personnel and equipment for it – to face a qualified opponent.
    So who is the “back-up”? The most likely answer is China, both directly and indirectly through North Korea.

    If China sends a “peacekeeping force” to Ukraine, WHO controls WHAT equipment this force brings with them? It is entirely possible for China to have 1000 drone pilots and 100,000 drones with them. China has also developed autonomous, hunting drone swarms.
    We do not really know what China’s intention is with a “peacekeeping” force in Ukraine. But the fact THAT they have an interest in sending a force there is ominous.

    Knowledgeable people here have pointed to Svalbard/the Arctic Ocean/the Nordic region as potential conflict areas.
    What do we know about Chinese presence in these areas?
    Would any country have the ability to timely prevent a potential Chinese troop transport to that area?

    Naturally, there is a great focus on Russia, what they do and say. We must also focus equally on China. Unfortunately, China flies a little under the radar because they do not make much noise.
    RU and PRC (China) seem to be working towards the same goal – to divide the Western world.

    Assumptions:
    We can probably assume with good reason that China’s presence (if/when it happens) in Ukraine will serve entirely different purposes than the official peace mission. One such purpose could, among other things, be to free up Russian troops for other missions.
    We can also assume that RU will carry out one or more actions in Europe during the summer/fall, with support from China (directly and indirectly).
    We can also likely assume that drones will be used to a greater extent against civilians and civil infrastructure than we have seen so far in Ukraine.

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