BELPOL is perhaps a bit biased in the case, but they consider Zapad25 as a springboard.
https://odessa-journal.com/belpol-russia-is-preparing-to-attack-the-baltic-countries
Just as we feel that Belarus is an intrusion in our defense and if the opportunity arose and we could win over Belarus, it would be a great geostrategic victory –
-in the same way, Russia feels about the Baltics – they would gladly incorporate that area back into Russia and have a land route to Kaliningrad and the moat back.
And then all of Ukraine of course, because then one has direct contact with Slovakia, Hungary, and Serbia, reaching right into the soft parts of the EU.
Russia has a new security agreement with Belarus, which has also promised to deploy tactical nuclear weapons to the country – which has not happened yet, the platforms are there but not the warheads. Then Lukashenko won the election because he is the most popular, so the country is still fully controlled by Russia.
At least this writer has read the thread 🧐
Putin’s last chance to achieve something more than potato fields in Ukraine is now in 2025 and a bit into 2026, but the weather is not so favorable then, more below.
If he succeeds, the upside is enormous, and if he fails, it’s not much worse than today for Russia.
If things go as they usually do, one could perhaps angle it in a way that it is NATO declaring war on Russia for domestic opinion and that they therefore want peace and end the war to save the children.
Having been defeated by Ukraine in a fair war would be harder to sell to the cheering crowds.
I also saw that the EU has now agreed on its defense fund and that all countries can draw from it to strengthen their national defense – this is what we have been asking for all along, and now it finally came after they read these posts. The countries at the outer defense handle the outer defense, but the EU pays so they don’t overarm themselves.
Russia’s window for expansion to open a conflict with Europe has an end date, probably in 2026 when the Baltics will seriously start rebuilding the border, costing around 1600 billion SEK.
Ukraine’s strategic drone warfare is quite stunning – for Russia to try to sit still and wait this out probably won’t work. They already lost that war in January 2024 if you read the posts, but the West has always prevented Ukraine from doing too well.
Now the last red cards have been played, and Ukraine can target any objectives in Russia.
A Poseidon P8 circled around the Kerch Bridge all day yesterday.
Instead of trying to see this rationally, the question one should rather ask is – is Russia known for going all-in and escalating the level of violence if they don’t get the desired effect?
Furthermore, Belarus’ land border with Ukraine is long, and in the summer, one can drive southward from the entire length of it in terrain, with no major border rivers or other natural obstacles in dry weather – I also don’t think Ukraine can fully man it if they are under heavy pressure on the eastern front.
It’s also difficult to ignore that Ukraine is retreating and that Russia is now starting to gear up for its summer offensive.
More should come because Lukashenko is out in all media he can find, promising not to start a war, Zapad 25 is months away, and at the parade on May 9th, the only general Putin hugged was a North Korean twelve-star.
According to UA, at the northern front, RU now has an offensive reserve of 50,000, including VDV, who have now begun to attack into Sumy and Kursk oblasts, and there is movement in Kharkiv Oblast.
They were needed at the Kursk incursion before and should have been needed for guard duty along the northern front, so the question is who is handling that now, have more from North Korea’s 11th AC arrived at the northern front?
Belarus’ defense forces were considered subpar in 2022, that’s generally accepted, but today in 2025, they have had three years to improve, and since the summer of 2023, they had 3,000 – 11,000 Wagner personnel training their ground troops. Wagner was widely regarded as among the better fighting RU units, right?
And they probably still have those Wagners.
At Kursk, Belarusian SOF and Wagner participated in the operation that required Trump to negotiate away the advantage for Ukraine, so well did it go for Putin.
North Korea’s 11th AC is said to be 60,000 strong if I understand this correctly, there are different estimates but they are probably their shock troops. In total, around 12,000 came before, but the entire corps staff was in Kursk + all the brigade commanders, and then they topped it off with 1,500 SOF.
https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/resrep23358.3.pdf
The reason I keep mentioning NK is that, as I said, the only general Putin showed joy in seeing was a North Korean general, and I think we know Putin by now – there will definitely be more from NK, otherwise he wouldn’t have even given them a glance.
Belarus’ defense forces are said to have 50,000 professional soldiers and “1.5 million reservists,” which one might interpret as potential personnel reserves?
It seems that RU has managed to gather offensive capacity inside Ukraine, and the 60,000 that I wrote would become redundant from Kursk were apparently 50,000 and are now creating a buffer zone at the northern front.
And then the last reserve – RU has over 400,000 in various letter agencies and Rosgvardia, probably more as they have likely increased it quietly throughout the war. This is the outer defense and should not be taken lightly, but if a war could be decided, they are probably reachable.
I think this question is relevant – what is the best guess on how we would act if Ukraine continues to retreat?
Because if Putin tops the team with Belarus, North Koreans, and the letter agencies’ own units, he likely has the numerical advantage he needs, and now they have apparently found a way to fight that works – artillery, drones, reconnaissance drones, and FAB.
I have previously thought that the Dnieper is the red line that Europe has drawn, but what would be the likelihood of us sending troops to defend that line in Ukraine, all else being equal?
Now we have just accepted the largest terror bombing of Ukraine in the war, plus Putin turned his back on peace negotiations, and the response was that we no longer prevent Ukraine from targeting any objectives.
So for three years, that’s what we’ve been doing – preventing Ukraine from targeting any objectives 😐
In the discussions Zelensky had with the troika – he has hardly received guarantees about troops in Ukraine or air protection?
Yes, the entire West is now selling weapons to Zelensky, but it’s good for our arms industry, and has long lead times.
This is not easy to navigate at all between political posturing around Trump, what Ukraine says for influence purposes, and everyone else’s positions, not least Russia.
The easiest way is probably to see in action and it’s hard to escape the fact that Putin is not the least bit interested in a ceasefire and that Ukraine is retreating on the battlefield.
It’s also hard to ignore the steps towards increased conflict that we see from Russia, where only troop movements remain now.
The Russian offensive on the northern front also ties up Ukrainian troops in the area, and I’m beginning to suspect that RU has quite ambitious plans for this summer, not ruling out attempts to cross the Dnieper.
Despite everything, Ukraine has a limitation – the number of soldiers, and the front they now need to defend is more than legally long now that the border with Belarus is included.
If RU can fill in with North Koreans on the northern front and Belarusian units along the land border, as well as their own offensive capacity on all other fronts, it could be quite exciting.
As they say, it’s five minutes to midnight – the fact that Russia doesn’t want peace, that they will have a major military exercise, and that parts of the leadership are now in bunkers are all signs that at least it won’t be calmer in the future.
Support for Putin’s imperial ambitions has been somewhat wavering, but in 2024 China began to show interest when they realized that the West was not going to intervene and settle the war, and as soon as Trump took office, China significantly increased the tension.
The fact that 29 countries including China participated in Putin’s May 9 parade was alarming, but the most important thing for the West was that Ukraine did not ruin Putin’s image with drone strikes.
All these endless demands for restraint on Ukraine and the low-key response to Russia, as well as countless other opportunities, are what have led us here – nothing else.
I could easily come up with five occasions off the top of my head when this could have been over and China would have crawled back into its shell.
Finland also believes that Russia is escalating significantly in the Baltic Sea but with the aim of protecting its oil tankers.
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/53307
I think one should be extremely cautious with those who claim that Russia is about to lose. We see no signs of that at all, and after all, we should try to analyze this based on what we see in action.
This link was also interesting, 20 Belarusian brigades or battalions have Ukraine as their destination.
Anyway, as this develops with everything on red alert, the likelihood of the war ending this year in one way or another is quite high – gearing up for a showdown 😀
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NOTE: Those of you who do NOT want to allow automatic translation of your comments, please go to your profile page and set it.
Hover over your name at the top right, select edit profile, and you will then find the setting under the language settings heading.
That Ukraine did not disrupt the parade in Moscow does not necessarily mean that one cannot disrupt Zapad25. Even though Russia has now invited international observers from friendly countries (read visitors of the aforementioned parade), it is a fact, as mentioned in the article you link to, that Zapad has been used for purely operational purposes since the Soviet era and most recently in 2021. Fully legitimate target in all other respects. Can the West intervene and stop it?
Wasn’t it a military parade that Putin canceled just over a year ago for fear that Ukraine would be interested in it?
Putin was probably in a bunker for the entire first year of the war, right?
Yes, they should really combat Zapad – after all, Belarus is involved in the war in practice.
I usually intentionally misspell my words sometimes.
Good morning!
Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-05-28
SLAVA UKRAINI
Goes down but the battles go up?
Jo, there is something going on, but what?
Ukrainian Air Defence shot down:
▪️71/88 Russian UAVs, including 34 drones shot down by air defence and 37 UAVs suppressed by EW/lost in location;
▪️0/5 Iskander-M/KN-23 missiles;
▪️0/1 KH-59/69 missile.
Have UA shot down missiles before? Quite a significant amount. Is there a shortage of Patriots?
I believe it saves on Patriot and then it doesn’t have coverage over the entire country, so it may be that the Russians are starting to learn where they can attack to avoid getting shot down.
They have adjusted the robots so they are harder to shoot down.
Priority areas – in some areas they are not shot down.
Thank you, interesting! I hope it’s smaller groups and not worse ratio!One question, did you skip the images today?Or is it me who accidentally messed something up? Had to make some changes in how images were allowed to be included in order for them to be included in the translation, just wondering if I caused any issues?
No, then images work fine, as far as I know. I had images in progress, but planned poorly. I usually have the links ready before the post, and started struggling with those when I saw that it wouldn’t be ready within the editing time that is otherwise sufficient, at least with the consideration that I usually have.
On the wishlist, however, is the ability to upload images from one’s device. For example, I don’t know if it is considered that PNG is always safe? JPG? Images that cannot contain viruses, etc… But as I said, it all works satisfactorily as it is!
I could have canceled, but then it was johanno1’s post that caught my attention.
Great, at least it wasn’t me who caused any trouble!
Since it doesn’t seem to be any abuse for now when it comes to editing posts afterwards (like completely changing the content when the comment has been published), I’ll extend a bit more.
When it comes to images, they are pretty safe in themselves today, but there is always a risk with allowing uploads. I’m thinking about looking into if I can find a solution where uploaded images are placed in a completely separate isolated environment or putting this site on a completely separate server.
That way, nothing else risks being affected. It may take some time before I have it in place.
I have also noticed that HTML gets quite messed up when choosing to edit. Especially line breaks.
I don’t use it myself (as an admin, I have access to a different editing link).
It worked fine when I tested it initially, but it seems like something has happened, not sure if it could be due to WordPress making some changes.
I’ll see if it can be resolved.
Yes, the issue with line breaks is puzzling. It doesn’t take when posting for the first time. It seems to get compressed away. But if I insert them via editing, it works. However, the other day, during an edit, I lost accepted line breaks. I don’t think it was the first edit but a later one. It’s also easy to accidentally hit the format button, so that may have caused the issue.
I have found the problem. WordPress normally saves comments as raw text.
When saving for the first time, the HTML tags needed to mark paragraphs and line breaks are not saved. Instead, it is saved as raw text where such things are stored differently. When comments are displayed on the page, WordPress does its magic and adds those tags.
However, when editing and the text ends up in the editor, it is still “raw”.
The editor is not as smart, so it completely ignores it and pulls everything together into one text blob, thus making the breaks disappear.
I have now added a function that interprets the raw text and converts it to HTML with p tags before it ends up in the editor for editing.
So now it should work a bit better.
Ideally, I would like it to be saved as HTML code from the beginning, but I haven’t managed to make it understand that yet! 😄
Ok, sounds like a deep dive into the code! Looking forward to testing it. 👍
An increase in Kharkiv, Lyman, and Kramatorsk, as well as in Toretsk, which is the northernmost sector in the triad of Toretsk-Pokrovsk-Novopavlivka recently highly prioritized by Russia. A high number of attacks and a KWIA/attack ratio of (216/1050) 4.86, lower than yesterday. With the same assumed group size of 12 men, the loss rate is around 40% instead of 50%. Unless even smaller groups have been sent in yet?
Update as of 08.00 28.05.2025 on the Russian invasion
In total, 216 combat engagements were recorded over the past day. ⏱️170, 180, 204, 202, 141, 144, 164, 177, 167, 145, 165, 168, 163, 166, 155, 161, 196, 193, 196, 171, 200, 269, 253, 216, 199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99
#Kharkiv 9↗️⏱️5, 6, 5, 5, 8, 6, 3, 3, 6, 3, 5, 6, 3, 4, 7, 3, 3, 6, 4, 11, 18, 4, 5, 5, 6, 8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1
#Kupyansk 2⏱️5, 2, 5, 5, 6, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 4, 1, 2, 5, 2, 3, 3, 4, 6, 3, 5, 7, 6, 6, 5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4
#Lyman 32💥💥↗️⏱️16, 21, 23, 16, 12, 17, 30, 23, 22, 24, 17, 16, 24, 29, 20, 25, 8, 17, 27, 24, 21, 31, 22, 16, 27, 27, 36, 21, 18, 20, 22, 19, 15, 20, 14, 25, 12, 14, 17, 20
#Siverskyi 0⏱️3, 6, 3, 0, 3, 2, 1, 4, 6, 10, 4, 3, 5, 3, 6, 8, 4, 8, 5, 6, -, 0, 3, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 3, 5, 8, 12, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2
#Kramatorsk 11💥↗️⏱️5, 10, 4, 4, 4, 3, 6, 6, 9, 8, 8, 8, 4, 4, 9, 10, 6, 10, 5, 4, 10, 6, 8, 6, 6, 13, 10, 16, 13, 8, 13, 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 6, 8
#Toretsk 19💥↗️⏱️12, 10, 16, 21, 9, 16, 14, 13, 11, 14, 19, 8, 18, 6, 9, 6, 12, 15, 9, 13, 8, 6, 16, 7, 8, 4, 10, 6, 14, 9, 29, 16, 17, 13, 23, 10, 18, 26, 11
#Pokrovsk 65💥💥💥⏱️65, 63, 65, 61, 44, 54, 44, 72, 65, 54, 52, 75, 74, 54, 60, 70, 60, 65, 71, 61, 77, 78, 115, 78, 113, 83, 64, 85, 75, 59, 64, 68, 44, 65, 56, 53, 61, 39, 54, 64 According to preliminary data in the 22-report at 53↗️ of 166↗️ combats, AFU🇺🇦 killed 61↘️ occupants and wounded another 73↘️, for a total of 134↘️ KWIA in this sector. AFU🇺🇦 destroyed seven vehicles, one motorcycle, and three UAVs.
#Novopavlivka 25💥⏱️24, 24, 14, 30, 14, 19, 33, 22, 24, 23, 18, 23, 26, 30, 24, 13, 19, 31 , 28, 32, 23, 24, 52, 66, 23, 15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9
#Huliaipil 0⏱️0, 0, 0, 0, 1. 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 13, 0 , 0, 1, 1, 2, 7, 5, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
#Orikhivsk 11⏱️4, 5, 4, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 2, 7, 2, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6, 2, 6, 3, 7, 4, 14, 3, 3, 5, 4, 5, 0, 5, 1, 4, 4, 9, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1
#Prydniprovsky 0⏱️1, 3, 0, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 3, 6, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1 , 1, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0
#Kursk 32💥💥↗️⏱️23, 26, 39, 43, 21, 5, 13, 10, 18, 14, 13, 14, 9, 12, 9, 8, 25, 19, 19, 19, 11, 18 23, 23, 20, 33, 21, 25, 15, 23, 15, 30, 27, 26, 22, 21, 16, 20, 23, 21 Ukrainian defense forces continue to hold back the invaders in the Kursk sector. Thus, yesterday the enemy carried out 11 air strikes, dropping 21 guided aerial bombs, and fired 273 times, 14 of which were from multiple launch rocket systems.
Over the past day, the aviation, missile forces, and artillery of the Defense Forces 🇺🇦 hit nine areas of concentration of personnel, weapons, and military equipment and two other important enemy 🇷🇺 targets.
#Lyman 32💥💥↗️
AFRF🇷🇺 tried to penetrate AFU🇺🇦s defences in the areas of Serebryansky Lis, Nadiya, Novomykhailivka, Ridkodub, Kopanok, Katerynivka, Yampolivka, Zelena Dolyna and in the directions of Hrekivka, Hryhorivka, Karpivka and Novyi Myr.
Combats since 18 April 2025:
Total: 860 combats
Avdrage: 21 combats
Territorial gains since 18 April 2025:
Approximately 50 km2:
Yes, it’s nice that we don’t have ugly editing on the page 😳
Came a little wrong was for MXT
Maybe we will see sanctions against Russia from the USA?
“President Zelenskyy described his recent conversation with US President Donald Trump at the Vatican as positive, especially regarding the possibility of new US sanctions against Russia.”
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3lq7o577vli2h
https://united24media.com/latest-news/zelenskyy-says-vatican-meeting-confirmed-us-commitment-to-strong-sanctions-on-russia-8691
Zelenskyy seems to believe that the chance is high for that:
“We are expecting sanctions from the United States.” He noted that the EU has adopted its 17th sanctions package and discussions on a stronger 18th are ongoing with Ursula von der Leyen and António Costa. Ukraine is also engaging with U.S. senators to strengthen pressure on Russia.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lq7ny24dxs2k
Mycket stryka Trump medhårs nu
Very much stroking Trump’s hair now
Zelenskyy visits Merz in Berlin today. Keeping fingers crossed that he can bring Taurus home with him!
Isn’t the peace negotiations over?
Putin is ramping up
Andreas Braw is critical of the efficiency of the Swedish Armed Forces.
“If one wants to achieve sluggishness, inefficiency, and delays, then the Swedish Armed Forces’ processes for material procurement must be the perfect system.”
https://bsky.app/profile/andreasbraw.bsky.social/post/3lq7nnfpdsc2b
https://militardebatt.com/2025/05/27/varfor-drojer-grejerna/
They might be working for Putin 🧐
Bureaucrats seem to work for someone further down the scale, 👹
Drone factory in Russia has been droned 💥:
“Early in the morning of May 28, 🇺🇦Ukrainian strike drones attacked the 🇷🇺Russian Kronstadt drone factory in the Moscow region city of Dubna.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lq7nwjne522e
More about the drone attack on Moscow with another video.
“Drones launched a massive overnight attack on Moscow Oblast and attempted to strike Moscow itself, according to Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The assault reportedly targeted the Elma technology park in Zelenograd and the Kronstadt drone manufacturing plant in Dubna”
https://bsky.app/profile/euromaidanpress.bsky.social/post/3lq7ngnnxo62l
More pictures:
“More from Russia”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lq7n73r3bk24
I am dissatisfied with the pictures where there is only a little fire in the corner. Would rather see Ry drone factories Taurusas, or why not Tomahawkas!!
Scholz made sure to sit on his hands and not even order any Taurus so production could increase if I remember correctly.
Well, I agree, it’s a bit wimpy! 😂
Scholz seemed to do what he could to sabotage the Taurus deliveries.
Germany has sent enormous amounts, but when it comes to Taurus, they seem reluctant to give them away.
They must be afraid that Ukraine will place a couple right in the Kremlin.
Or maybe they are afraid that it will turn out that Taurus is completely worthless? 🤔
Yes, Scholz refused to buy more Taurus.
The company went out and said they could build very many very fast.
What’s interesting about it is that no one else bought either so there is a risk that Scholz also stopped everyone else from buying.
Sweden has bought for integration in Gripen.
We are joint buyers or whatever it’s called when the system was developed well so Germany can’t really say much without adhering to the contracts?
You can be sure that Ukraine has tried to buy Taurus.
AI controlled mothership!
Reminds me of Ebba Grön’s old song Mental Ice Age.
She is the mother computer
Everyone’s mother
The central point of the new era
“Ukraine has used AI “mothership” drones against Russia for the FIRST time, – Forbes ▪️This is a reusable GOGOL-M carrier drone that delivers two FPVs to a target at a distance of up to 300 km; ▪️After release of drones, the carrier returns, and FPVs carry out attacks guided by AI”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lq7nvyvtg224
Doesn’t sound like it serves a major function, but if it gets more drones, it might be interesting?
Drive to a target and release 50 AI drones.
Be more positive, you can release a cloud of small efficient drones over, for example, the Kremlin that have a lot of bang and little fuel. If they are to fly all the way from the UA, they will become large due to fuel consumption.
Like the artillery grenade BONUS from Bofors, with two target-seeking top-attacking submunitions. The main ship has a longer range but up to ~40 km is not as agile and powerful as a BONUS.
This is modern cluster bombs?
I wonder if we will ever see the Gripen in Ukraine when it gets to do what it is built for?
“Ukrainian F-16 bombing the Russian fascists.”
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3lq7ns5jxf22n
😭
Trump doesn’t give up on Canada!
“Canada will be included in Donald Trump’s plans to build a huge air defense, the so-called “golden dome”, if the country agrees to become the 51st American state.
“It will cost 61 billion dollars if they remain a separate, but unequal, nation, but it will cost ZERO DOLLARS if they become our cherished 51st state,” writes the American president on Truth Social.”
https://omni.se/trump-till-kanada-gyllene-kupolen-ar-gratis-om-ni-gar-med-i-usa/a/vg2ve5
🤣🤣
For Canada, it seems more like a golden shower if you remember it from Frank Zappa’s song Bobby Brown.
🤡💪🏻
Sounds promising!
“We’re using Patriot missiles carefully, just like before,” Zelensky said. “We’re tackling the toughest threats—ballistic and cruise missiles. We have the rockets, and partners are helping. We’re getting close to decisions on licensing other air defense systems, but I can’t share details yet.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lq7ozi5wgs2k
👍
Yes, zero complaints now about too little material.
I might be right 🧐
GPS disturbances seem to have increased recently.
“I believe the Kaliningrad and St Petersburg (and more?) spoof-jammers have increased their reach significantly. The area around the Baltic Sea presently affected by electronic warfare directed at GNSS/GPS-receivers is enormous, larger than before. Bbl with a timelapse. Nb, this is reach at 10-30k ft.”
https://bsky.app/profile/auonsson.bsky.social/post/3lq6m27eqs22o
Why then 🧐
According to Merz, there have been no restrictions at all on how Ukraine uses Western weapons since the turn of the year, when the very last ones disappeared. So nothing that seems to have happened now.
So what I find most interesting right now is why Ukraine is retreating in the potato fields, while materials and ammunition are being replenished steadily, most recently with more F16s, and we also know that it is now around the time when the Swedish Global Eye is put into use.
If I were to speculate further, it is the USA that Ukraine is waiting for. Trump is squeezed between European leaders and his own Congress demanding tougher action against Moscow. I believe that we are heading towards the USA abandoning “peace talks” and handing the war over to the parties. No lifting of sanctions and continued operational support to Ukraine, including arms sales, that is, the status quo but with arms sales.
Then Trump can focus on essentials like high tariffs on goods that the US industry needs to remain competitive and pardoning corrupt officials. BRICs looms as a goal, and the USA will dominate BRICs entirely with its unique combination of high tariffs and deep corruption.
Speaking of which, Greenland has now spoken. In recent days, the largest concession so far for the extraction of rare earth metals went to a European initiative in which, among others, France is involved. Art of the deal, as they say 😂.
Regarding Moscow, Ukraine’s analyses and Western analyses seem to be in agreement – Moscow is heavily marked by the war and they do not have the resources needed by a long shot to defeat Ukraine. The majority of the equipment they produce is refurbishment of older types, but these stocks will run out by 2025-2026.
The various intelligence services usually believe that Moscow needs about 4 years without war to build up its army, with the caveat that it could happen faster if the sanctions are lifted.
My own guess is that if Moscow has managed to build up a functioning army corps with all the trimmings, we would have seen it in Ukraine already, as there is no reason for Moscow to lose hundreds of thousands of soldiers for potato fields if they can decide the war and deliver the death blow in Ukraine.
What Moscow is doing now is starting to build the army that will do the job in a few years, I believe, when Ukraine has calmed down. But of course, we cannot be sure. I don’t think NATO is floating on any cloud of happiness either; most signs indicate that they are preparing for tougher times.
” If they had built up a corps, we would see it” vs “they are starting to build”
Shouldn’t they use what they are starting to build with directly in Ukraine then? Why build a top-notch army while losing about 1000 soldiers per day? I don’t get it.
I guess Moscow still hopes that through the USA they can achieve their “peace” where they get 4 additional regions in Ukraine plus demands for Ukrainian disarmament. Which would make it possible to shift focus to other conflicts since Ukraine would then be almost defenseless.
But it certainly doesn’t look like that anymore, so your consideration is definitely appropriate.
It may be that they cannot add much extra per day or month to make any noticeable difference.
However, if they gather soldiers and materials for several months, they can gather a larger force and then maybe they can succeed in making a real breakthrough instead of just taking one field a day.
Since they are actually taking a little ground every day, they probably do not feel stressed right now and can therefore save reserves. If it had been Ukraine forcing Russia to retreat, it would of course have been foolish not to deploy all resources.
Both Ukraine and Russia are building strategic reserves to the extent they can.
I believe it was Ukraine that first announced the strategic reserve, probably one AC and two divisions?
The Baltics warn about it every day.
New equipment – a matter of definition. RU produces around 400 T90M per year and modifies hundreds of T72, T80, and T62.
Then they prepare them from the depot and send them to UA.
T90M is partly old T90 and partly new.
So we can probably assume they have 500 per year that have not yet arrived at the fronts.
👍 Looking forward to when the USA dominates BRICS! They probably won’t settle for anything other than calling it UBRICS because the USA must come first! 😂
If they are really building something up, it is probably to be able to launch a heavier offensive against Ukraine to try to achieve a decisive outcome.
We might see something similar to October 2023 when they started moving and their losses were sky-high.
Merz is probably a bit slippery too 😀
When he proudly went out and said – now we remove all restrictions, the immediate response was the one we posed, “have you had restrictions up until now 🧐”.
Which Merz then went out and said “we have not had any restrictions at all since the turn of the year”.
I don’t have this exactly in mind now but the refinery attacks have gone down to zero while drone warfare is escalating deeply.
Ukraine is also not targeting export ports, the Kremlin, the Kerch Bridge, Putin’s Dacha, the May 9 parade, Frunzenskaya, the power supply, or the oil fields.
All those targets are valuable in different ways AND Putin has now increased the pressure to the maximum.
Well – that may be due to Trump and that he needs to be spoon-fed one spoonful at a time to reach the same level as everyone else.
But ACTION absolutely does not support Merz’s statement and he knows that too.
Nja, Merz only commented on Western weapons and their use, and that was in the same interview if I read correctly.
Who is the most irritating? 😄
“If we have money, we will respond to Russia’s missile attacks, and this will bring us closer to peace,” — Zelensky 🇺🇸 Putin is more irritating to the White House than I am, — Zelensky”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lq7ri6xhhk2z
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x97jpea
😂
🤣🤣🤣
Russia should listen carefully to Donald Trump’s condemnations of the weekend’s large-scale drone attacks. That’s according to US State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce at a press briefing, as reported by Moscow Times.
“He has been very clear with his opinions on what has happened. I think Russia should take this seriously.
More and more sources with insight into the White House are telling the media about Trump’s rapidly growing frustration over Putin’s refusal to scale back the attacks and broker peace.”
https://omni.se/usa-s-ud-varnar-putin-ta-trumps-ord-pa-allvar/a/Rz0JgW
Great! No longer just rants on social media 👍🏻.
Oops 😳
We saw a first change
Putin increased the pressure
Trump was yielding
More violence from Putin
And now this – does even Trump have a limit?
Russia is facing increasing economic and military challenges in the war. This is shown in situation reports from Ukraine’s intelligence service and the think tank ISW.
Before the war, Russia had the equivalent of over 1,400 billion SEK in its state investment fund – today it is around 360 billion. Reserves of gold and foreign currency have also decreased.
Putin, just like the local gang leader, has a war chest that he uses to expand his territory. 1000 billion may sound like a lot, but the value of what he has conquered far exceeds the cost. It’s not just potato fields and ruined cities, it’s also minerals, oil, gas, nuclear power plants, and more.
If Russia gets to keep this, it will help build up a new war chest that is likely to be larger than the 1400 billion it amounted to.
Whether it’s the Foxtrot network or Russia, they will not be rewarded for their actions. Gang shootings decreasing or a ceasefire is not enough.
Then the question is whether Kima supports or not
EU, as we know, supports them through oil purchases still.
Good for Germany but when will Taurus come????
“German government plans to provide the Ukrainian arms industry with millions of euros to independently develop and mass-produce cruise missiles with a range of up to 2,500 (!) kilometers, – Bild”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lq7teiuznk2b
Sounds German-good 👍
They are starting to get nervous that Ukraine will come up with something during the exercises! 😄
“Belarus to scale down Zapad military drills to ‘reduce tensions,’ Minsk claims.”
https://bsky.app/profile/amplifyukraine.eu/post/3lq7y5ng7w52b
Or the Trump effect?
Has Trump turned?
Well, he probably has a hard time engaging. Even though he likes to be seen in the “arena.” The USA is far from Ukraine. But who knows, maybe he will soon focus on becoming friends with liberal Europe. He hasn’t really impressed the European market so far.
Passing illustration!
“Hungary and Slovakia have blocked the adoption by the EU countries of the declaration on strengthening democracy in Europe, prepared by Poland. This was announced by the Hungarian Minister for EU. The Polish document does not require transparency in the financing of non-governmental organizations.”
https://bsky.app/profile/theukrainianreview.bsky.social/post/3lq7wyiongs2e
To remove the right to vote only applied to one issue, right?
A bit petty if you ask me, real despots laugh at such things
The eagle has landed
Thank you for all the praise 🙏
Ah, now I finally understood that you meant yourself!
Johan No.1 has let the light of his face shine upon us with his mere presence!
🙇♂️🙆♂️🙇♂️🙆♂️🙇♂️🙆♂️
Thank you thank you thank you 🙏
🧐
Regarding nothing – this is what the drawings of the Russians’ newly projected nuclear weapons storage in the Ural Mountains look like – transferred to 3D simulations.
https://danwatch.dk/alvorlig-sikkerhedsbrist-russiske-atomanlaeg-blotlagt/
Those 10 government planes that left Moscow over the weekend flew to Samara and Kazan.
It’s in the same geographical area as their newly projected nuclear weapon storage.
which I actually read as “nuclear defense” because it’s a bit early here.
– MXT we need to start with 3D simulations 🧐
Aha! Interesting! What a…coincidence…!
Okay!
This is a 3D simulation of Johan No.1’s dream of once becoming emperor of the whole world and the moment when the first gold coin is minted in his honor.
The fire in the simulation is a variation of “Memento mori” to remind him that everything can end in fire and ashes if one does not remain humble but, like Nero, completely loses track.
hahahaha 🤣🤣🤣✊✊
Wow – impressive how excellent the automatic translation works, even for the comments! This has so much potential!
Sure it has, MXT has really thought it through 😀
Saw that you pushed in some channel for the English side – nice.
Everyone can talk to everyone, we can close down the English classes in school now.
Oui!
Dobro 🧐.
I guess this is not what you mean?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dobro
So, is there any other site that does the same thing?
Thank you!
There are some initial hiccups, sometimes individual translations fail but I am adjusting everything as I go.
Hopefully it will all work perfectly soon.
Now it’s up to Johan to attract the English audience, he has to print flyers and hand them out to everyone he meets!
I’m in the Caribbean 😐
Are there plenty of English-speaking tourists there? 😄
Incredible job! Just need to find the perfect translation for “fredagsfylla”, then it will all fall into place by itself!
Had to check what it turned out to be, but it refused to translate.
Maybe it’s for the best, there probably isn’t a fair translation of the concept of Friday intoxication! 😂
✊✊😀
Email Merz now, take the opportunity to borrow some money from the giant fund for Friday’s binge, I think we’re almost home if everyone does it ✊🏻✊🏻!
Någon miljon till finsprit måste han ju kunna bidra med!
Some million for spirits he must be able to contribute with!
Merz, sounds good, but come on, release Taurus!
Can’t just allow long range, must also deliver it!
“Chancellor Merz in reference to military assistance for Ukraine: “I will not disclose any details, but what I can tell is that Germany will extend its commitment in this field. Additionally, I inform something new”:
– Germany will sign a memorandum which will include the financing of a Ukrainian long-range weapon program. This also includes joint-production. It will be a new cornerstone for military-industrial cooperation between Germany and Ukraine.
– The financing will also come from interests of frozen Russian assets, which amount to around $50 billion. Additionally, the German budget will be used. It is necessary to ensure maximum efficiency. – Germany will finance a substantial portion of the Starlink coverage”
https://bsky.app/profile/tendar.bsky.social/post/3lqac52l6wk2u
This is an absolutely extreme escalation as far as Putin is concerned?
Ukraine can now target whatever goals they want – zero restrictions.
And the West will fully finance the production.
“maximum in efficiency” 🤣🤣✊
Hm – Ukraine is going to start importing LNG from the USA. The first deliveries are already planned for June, with up to 3 million cubic meters/day….? https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lqad2rsvak2k
Have we heard anything about Trump Tower in Kiev or Playa Del Trump down by the Black Sea yet?
Nä men se på f*n!
It’s beer o’clock!
Gold Stars MacMelmac – many
🍻
No glass 😭
I would like to take this opportunity once again to thank those of you who donate, inspire us to continue improving and adding more content!
🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏
🙏🙏🙏
So not MXT but those who donate.
But also MXT
Thank you, thank you! 👍
Darth Putin is spot on as usual! 😄
“Will stop invading Ukraine when I get written assurance that NATO will not help Ukraine when I invade Ukraine again.”
Forgot to thank you 205 but the first thing you do when you’re super tired in the car on your way to work, after scolding the driver for being late, is to check your mail and MXT loss list 😀👍
Just a daily routine ✊✊
One thing about MXT – sometimes I can’t see the images in the 205 posts on the computer, is it because my Sicilian employer has caught on to which other images I usually look at and is blocking images, or is there something wrong with the website?
Thank you 🙏 Looking forward to it. More fun to post here than anywhere else. Happy Valborg (or whatever it was?)!
I agree with the chorus of praise!
There have been some issues with the images when it comes to translation, so I have been tinkering a bit with the image handling.
205 didn’t manage to get them in today.
Could you keep an eye on it in the future and let me know if the issues persist?
“The tone continues to harden between Donald Trump and the Kremlin, reports CNN. Putin’s top adviser Yuri Ushakov tells the state TV channel Rossija-1 that Trump “talks a lot,” and from the Russian side, they carefully follow all statements. – But in many ways, we have concluded that Trump is not sufficiently informed about what is really happening in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict,” he continues, trying to portray the Ukrainians as terrorists.”
Being cautiously positive is probably best
“Meanwhile, as the USA negotiates nuclear agreements with Iran, Israel continues to threaten attacks on Iranian enrichment facilities, which would undermine the efforts. Sources with insight have told the New York Times. The situation is said to have led to at least one tense phone call between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, and Israeli and American officials have held a series of meetings in recent days.”
Iran has at least declared that they will continue their program for reactors or whatever they call it that will result in nuclear weapons and that they are ready to fight.
And the Houthis have increased as well.
Hamas seems to be weak now.
Some understanding for why Israel is pressing – it’s pointless that the ayatollahs stand in the media and scream about God’s punishment and raining death over Israel and actually can do it too.
“Valves, pumps, and insulation from the Danish companies Danfoss, Grundfos, and Rockwool were extensively used in the modernization of two of Russia’s most secretive nuclear weapon bases. This is revealed in the investigation by Der Spiegel and Danwatch. The parts were likely manufactured by the companies’ Russian subsidiaries and are included in drawings dating back to 2009. Danfoss and Grundfos sold all their operations in Russia in 2022, but Rockwool still has four factories remaining.”
It’s good, drink Ukrainian instead!
“Since Donald Trump made a comeback in the White House, Swedes’ consumption of American wine has decreased significantly, reports P4 Stockholm. Compared to the first quarter of last year, the volume sales of American wines have decreased by 15 percent, according to Systembolaget.”
https://omni.se/a/VzJl5p
I asked the other day one of the staff at my Systembolag if they had noticed any boycott of American goods. And they had. People are asking for alternatives. There are. There are plenty of good Pinot Noir from the new world. 🙂
Stolen from X (@Heroim_Slava):
🇩🇪🇺🇦 Rheinmetall showed how it manufactures shells for Ukraine.
The plant, with a staff of 2,800 employees, produces a wide range of ammunition, from 155-mm artillery shells and 120-mm tank shells to the 35-mm Gepard ammunition, which is crucial for the Ukrainian air defense, for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The shells are intended both for the Ukrainian army and for replenishing the arsenals of NATO countries.
Barrels for Leopard tanks and Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled guns, which are one of the important elements of Ukrainian defense, are also being manufactured here at an accelerated pace.
Rheinmetall’s largest manufacturing facility, located in Unterluß, is the center of European defense production.
👍 Large breadth of production!
When the Germans start the wheels, things will happen 👍🏻.
”Moscow is waking up to reality, to the war”
@Heroim_Slava on X spaces (recorded):
https://x.com/heroiam_slava/status/1927768718957777391?s=46
Good, let them stand there and wait!
Putin failed from day one when he failed to take Kiev (also Odesa, Kharkiv, …) plan WAS to bring back Janukovich Medvexhuck,. This is significant.
Russian imperial cannot exist without Kiev, big dream of Putin, why Ukraine already won the the war, when Putin lost Kiev in first week. Putin did not acheive anything. Except that he lost 1 million Russians. A total disgrace for Putin.
Long interesting thread from Power Up Ukraine!
https://bsky.app/profile/powerupukraine.bsky.social/post/3lqalfsdbd22r
I will probably keep going like this until the war is over without Trump lifting a finger.
“I will let you know in two weeks whether Putin is he is tapping us along or not. And if so, we will respond a little differently.” – Trump.
A month ago, he also said it would be two weeks.”
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1927769041311003060?t=wV-d4GRG-dG6fbsa_ysoqA&s=19
Krasnov really loves Putin 🤮🤬
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-latest-putin-russia-trump-zelenskyy-peace-talks-12541713?postid=9653957#liveblog-body
Yes, everything indicates that but that was what one feared several years ago.
He dissed Zelenskyy and Ukraine from the start of the war while thinking that Putin was a genius.
🧐
There is something called “Potatogate” unfolding in Russia and Belarus (refusing to write Belarus) – apparently Lukashenko miscalculated when he sold a lot of potatoes to Russia (which has been in short supply); but now there is a shortage in Belarus too, which is why they have to lift the import ban against Europe to buy – the idea was probably to make a profit in rubles, not to pay Western currency for importing – POTATOES! Will try to find a thread with a good summary once I stop laughing.
😂👍🏻!
Not easy being Lukashenko 🤣🤣🤣
https://johanno1.se/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/GZC_Wg1WcAAMDEA.jpg
Hoppsan – from the joint German-Ukrainian press conference according to Tendar (known to be reliable): “- Delivery of the first long-range weapons should arrive at the battlefields in the coming weeks already. Weapon systems have already been introduced to the Ukrainian military, so no additional training is needed.”
https://x.com/Tendar/status/1927761376224694513
Suddenly it happens 🤩🥳!
Or right???!
👍👍👍
The first batch of long-range weapons funded by Germany and produced in Ukraine could be ready within weeks, according to the German MoD.
The systems are domestically made, already in service with the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and require no additional training. Mass production begins in 2025.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lqaqpmkhsk2k
Aha! Sounds good too, but I really wanted to believe it was Taurus!
Death to the slime gnomes 🔥 ⛽️
Release the Griffins 🦅 💫 🚀
👍✊️
Donate for peaceful nights in Ukraine:
https://u24.gov.ua/sky-sentinel?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=fundraising&utm_campaign=sky-sentinel
☝️👍
Of course, it’s robots we’re talking about that will be arriving within weeks, right?
Onsdagsfyllan is here. Time to bring out the good stuff. 🥃
Very good initiative FIM 👍
Port Louis in the glass 🥃
😍😍
I will treat you when we meet at the victory party. 🥃 🥃
🍻
We have not yet decided to send a Gripen E to Ukraine 🇺🇦 🛩️
👀💁🏾♂️The Russian soldier got lost…
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lqask6ojbk22
Donald Trump’s tariff pauses have led to the term “taco” (“Trump always chickens out”) gaining traction in the market. When CNBC asks him about his thoughts on the acronym, Trump denies ever having backed down in the trade war.
Good info for those of you who don’t settle for just chips for Friday drinks.
My phone suggests “Friday drinks” when I start typing “Fri….. 🤣”
🤣😂
🤣
❗️🇩🇪Germany has signed a €2.2B contract with Diehl Defence to supply 🇺🇦Ukraine with IRIS-T air defense systems and missiles.
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lqavnterv222
Merz sprints immediately
Yes.
It will be fun to see if those bunker-blasting copies of Gungnir can penetrate down to the slime.
Who the heck emptied the bottle 🥳
🤣
🤣🤣🤣✊✊
Great!
Simpan threatens retaliation against Berlin! 😱😂
https://bsky.app/profile/reshetz.bsky.social/post/3lqay4i2gzs2j
Mu(S)lim Brotherhood on the left side and Hell(SD) Angels on the right.
“Sweden’s Minister for Foreign Affairs Maria Malmer Stenergard (M) strongly reacts to the state French report on the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood mentioning Sweden and the Social Democrats. In a statement on X, she writes that it is “extremely worrying” that Sweden is being singled out. The report states that Sweden is home to an active branch of the Islamist movement. It has good relations with political parties and “in particular” with the Social Democrats.”
https://omni.se/a/Jbe13b
Johan Westerholm published a book about this in 2020 so it’s nothing new.
Politicians and media have consciously turned a blind eye to the problem. The mosque construction in Skärholmen is linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and instead of stopping the construction, the decision-making process has been handed over to some official to keep their back clear.
Tacos for everyone?
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-court-blocks-trumps-liberation-day-tariffs-2025-05-28/