Deep dive into russian losses, year on year comparison and also 2025 in detail

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Below I will review the Russian losses per year up to 2025 and also provide a detailed overview of 2025. I will also try to analyze and identify any trends that can be observed. The statistics, as usual, come from Ragnar @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social. A big thank you to Ragnar!

Let’s start with yesterday’s Russian losses in Ukraine:

  • 910 KWIA
  • 6 Tanks
  • 2 AFVs
  • 42 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 1 Air defense system
  • 590 UAVs
  • 1 Cruise missile 169 Vehicles & fuel tanks

Russian losses per year

Here I have included the most important categories and excluded some where there is, for example, no data for the entire war or where the losses are so low that a year-to-year comparison does not provide much insight.

KWIA
Regarding the losses of killed and injured personnel, 2025 with 416,550 KWIA was the second highest year, just below 2024 with 430,320.

Here is an overview with the losses for each year month by month:

Tanks
Just as expected during the year, tank losses have decreased, and 2025 is so far the year with the lowest losses with a total of 1,811 tanks. 2024 is the record year so far with 3,691.

Other armor
The same applies to other armor with a total of 3,780 for 2025. Even for this category, 2024 was the year with the highest losses at 8,951.
Exactly what is behind the decrease, considering the huge overall losses for armor (including tanks), one can speculate that they are not as easily able to deploy large numbers. It could also be a combination of changed tactics where smaller groups of soldiers now seem to attack without the support of armor. Whether this is a tactical change due to a lack of armor or a conclusion that the losses from larger armor attacks are not worth it given how many are taken out, can only be guessed.

Artillery
When it comes to artillery, I am somewhat surprised, as I had perceived that the Russians were using less artillery and that the losses were also lower. Nevertheless, 2025 is so far the year with the highest number of losses at 13,947, closely followed by 2024 with a total of 13,021. North Korea has supplied Russia with artillery, which may be a reason they still have access to many artillery pieces. I have also seen information that they have reduced the caliber, with 152mm increasingly being replaced by 122mm and even smaller. This is both cheaper and apparently 122mm is more common in North Korea. In any case, we can conclude that artillery has not yet been phased out in Russia’s war against Ukraine.

MLRS
In this case, 2025 is the second lowest year with 319 units. 2024 was the second lowest with 314 (the graph gives the impression that 2025 is lower than 2024). 2023 is the record year with 518. One can consider whether Russia is running out of pieces, or if they are using them more sparingly since they have shorter range and are easier to take out with drones. MLRS also have poor precision, and another reason for the decrease could be that FPV drones have simply replaced their use.

UAVs
Russia has significantly increased the use of, among others, Shahed drones, which is also evident in the losses. 2025 sets a record by far with 76,374 units, which is over five times as many as in 2024 when there were 14,456.

Air defense
It turns out that 2025 is the year with the second lowest losses, with only 233 pieces. 2023 is the record year with 410, while 2024 closely follows with 397.

Other vehicles / logistics
When it comes to so-called “soft” vehicles, 2025 is by far a new record year with 39,498 units. This is almost double the number in 2024, which is the second highest year with 21,270.
I guess this is because they are increasingly using simpler means of transport such as civilian trucks, buses, motorcycles, and more recently even horses. This requires significantly more transports to deliver all the necessary equipment compared to using larger military trucks. Here, I speculate that they may have difficulty obtaining a sufficient number of vehicles, but perhaps mainly that, just like with armor, they may have concluded that the losses are not worth it and therefore opt for cheaper and simpler solutions, focusing on capacity rather than quality.

Here are the losses per year and for each respective month:

Special equipment
2025 also marks the second lowest year here with only 371 units, while the record year 2024 reached 2,406.

Summary of the annual comparison

It is, of course, difficult to make exact analyses based solely on losses, but I still think that a couple of conclusions can be drawn.

The first is that Russia seems to be increasingly struggling to maintain quality, and the war of attrition has forced them to increasingly try to cost-effectively optimize.
For 2025, we see, apart from artillery, only high or increased losses when it comes to “cheap” resources like manpower, drones, and simpler transport solutions. Even artillery could perhaps be classified as cheap if they are mostly sourced from North Korea.

The second conclusion I draw concerns the increased use of FPV drones. In the statistics above, we see nothing about FPV drones specifically, but the decreased losses over time for some of the categories are surely influenced by drones becoming more common and replacing some of the more traditional tactics. Instead of launching broad front attacks with armor, drones can be used for reconnaissance and facilitate attacks where it is optimal, especially where Ukraine has weaker defenses, while suicide drones can also act as deterrents and even replace armored vehicles. At the same time, FPV drones are cheap, and the increased usage surely also relates to cost-effectiveness.

Russian losses in the war in Ukraine during 2025

KWIA
The losses were highest at the beginning of the year with a low point in early September, followed by a weak rising trend again.

Tanks
The Russians’ tank losses follow a similar trend. Higher losses (though relatively low compared to the entire war) at the beginning of the year, and from the end of April, they dropped to under 5 per day. We may also possibly see a small increase towards the end of the year, but it could just as well be a normal fluctuation.

Other armor
Here too, there were higher losses at the beginning of the year, but then they decreased significantly since the beginning of May.

Artillery
We see a similar trend here as well. Higher losses at the beginning of the year and lower towards the end.

MLRS
The losses here are so low that it is difficult to draw any direct conclusions. Low in January, then a slight increase until the end of April, and then it is about one per day.

UAV
2025 was overall the year with the most UAV losses, and looking at the year, there is a fairly stable and clear upward trend, but of course with some variations. Unfortunately, we have not yet reached the peak.
Russia seems to love its terror attacks on civilians, where they target everything from residences, schools, hospitals, infrastructure in the hope that the people will suddenly become more favorable to a Russian takeover of the country.
At the same time, we should not be naive and think that the Russians only target civilians. They not only attack the energy infrastructure but also, of course, try to hit military targets and industrial sites for military production.

I now see these nightly UAV attacks as the biggest threat to a Ukrainian victory over Russia. Not because I believe they will succeed in breaking the Ukrainians’ will to resist, but because it may eventually become very difficult for Ukraine to continue defending itself.
Without electricity and heat, all functions of society are affected, including the defense industry and the military itself.
Just as we hope that Ukraine’s attacks on Russian oil refineries, depots, etc., will lead to an economic collapse in Russia, Russia’s attacks may make it difficult for Ukraine to conduct an effective defense. As we probably have not yet seen the peak and if the increase continues at the same rate even during 2026, it will be really tough.

Vehicles and logistics
2025 was a record year for this category of losses, with almost twice as much as in 2024. However, looking at how it developed during the year, the losses have remained relatively stable without a clear trend. Highest losses at the end of April, lower during the autumn with a tendency to increase again in December.

Special equipment
Low throughout the year but with a peak at the end of April.

Number of combat engagements
Here it is of course difficult to draw any conclusions as it is not clear how significant the battles have been, but we may see a slightly increasing trend towards the end. When it comes to losses, the reasons are not always clear, although one can imagine that higher activity at the fronts also results in higher losses. At the same time, higher or lower losses may also reflect changes in Ukraine’s capabilities or changes in tactics by the Russians, such as using more or less armor.
Therefore, it is interesting to also try to compare with the number of engagements, but still difficult as we only know the quantity and not the extent.
Even though we have some extra intense days at the beginning of the year, we do not see a clear decline in September, and we rather see an increase towards the end, but it seems to have peaked at the end of November. It does not quite follow the losses in several of the categories.

Artillery attacks
These figures are also interesting to look at and compare with the losses. Partly following the number of engagements above and also the losses, with the most intense period at the end of April. We see a decrease in September, but then the trend continues downward. 2025 was a record year for artillery, but looking in detail at 2025, the trend is clearly decreasing steadily now. We had an average that was around 6200 at its highest, now we are down to around 3,500.
The trend is so clear that I believe it will continue to decline, and I suspect that it is actually because Russia and North Korea have now depleted their stocks and therefore cannot maintain deliveries. Even though FPV drones have taken over some of the artillery’s role, I do not think the Russians would voluntarily reduce their usage.
NOTE, Ragnar’s chart cannot display a full year, so it is divided into the first and second half of the year.

Suicide drones / FPV
Regarding FPV drones, we had a long upward trend going from an average of 2,000/day at the beginning of the year to around 6,400 in September, but after that, we have not seen an increase but rather a slight decline, now varying around approximately 5,000/day. Hopefully, we have seen the peak of their capabilities when it comes to FPV. If so, that is very positive. Perhaps they can no longer afford to pay China enough.
NOTE, Ragnar’s chart cannot display a full year, so it is divided into the first and second half of the year.

Summary for 2025

2025 was overall a record year in terms of soft vehicles and artillery, but looking in detail at soft vehicles, we do not see an increase, and regarding artillery, the losses decreased over the year along with the number of artillery attacks.
Armor has also continued to decline, and it is also positive to see that FPV drones have actually decreased. 2025 was the second-highest year in terms of personnel losses, but here too we see a decrease.
I interpret this positively and believe that Russia has reached its peak and is now actually on the decline. The costs are likely starting to be felt seriously, perhaps in combination with a certain general war fatigue.

The cloud on the horizon is the Russian attacks with UAVs, Shaheds, and cruise missiles. It risks paralyzing Ukraine. At the same time, Ukraine has strong support and also strikes back deep, destroying refineries, depots, pipelines, substations, and industry. Russia is almost entirely dependent on its oil and gas for income, and if Ukraine can continue with its attacks and perhaps even intensify them, I still believe they have the upper hand.
Ukraine also does not have the same problem of being dependent on a single export income. The economy as a whole is of course severely strained, and they are instead dependent on external economic support. Recently, the EU has approved support for two years, and even though it will not be enough, many countries also provide direct support. Therefore, I think 2026 still looks very promising. We may not see a Russian collapse this year, but if it does not happen, it will probably be in 2027.

SLAVA UKRAINI

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54 thoughts on “Deep dive into russian losses, year on year comparison and also 2025 in detail”

  1. 205

    Drones are crucial in many, if not all, segments!?

    Affecting the efficiency of tanks and armored vehicles. Perhaps even more easily taken out than faster light vehicles? Thus, it completely changes warfare from troops to more numerous, but with fewer and more flexible soldiers, groups. As you suggest, drones partially replace artillery and MLRS. Air defense: perhaps smaller groups make it more cumbersome to combat through air, thus also reducing the need for air defense? Anyway, it doesn’t get knocked out when using drones instead of aircraft. What might be missing is EW, against drones…

    special?

    1. MXT

      Yes, it may well be that the drones have caused a change in tactics so that the reduction of other things is not due to a shortage but a conscious choice to focus more on drones. 

      Electronic warfare against drones has probably become somewhat redundant as fiber seems to be used to an increasing extent. A good method would be needed to stop them, but it is probably not that simple. Especially now when the frontlines are completely saturated with fiber threads and it becomes impossible to identify which ones are active.

      We may see more drones searching for and taking out other drones.

      The positive thing is that the trend of an increasing number of FPV drones seems to have decreased.

  2. 205

    Only 98 attacks. It was probably not until 2024 last time under 100. Not the same as last Christmas but then we had Kursk.

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 3↘️
    Kupyansk 0↘️
    Lyman 15💥↗️
    Slovyansk 2
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 15💥
    Pokrovsk 23💥↘️
    Oleksandrivskij 12💥
    Huliaypillia 14💥
    Orikhivsk 2
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 2

    Sum sectors 88↘️
    Unlocalized 10↘️
    Total 98↘️

     

  4. 205

    Apparently, it is not enough for Dagens Nyheter that the CIA has dismissed a completely legitimate drone attack on Putin’s residence (which even Trump, through the republication of an opinion article in NYP on Truth Social, confirmed as legitimate). Dagens Nyheter jumps on it and tries to grasp at the smallest straw, once again making itself a megaphone for the Kremlin.

    1. MXT

      Sigh, yes, it’s appalling.

      Furthermore, it’s absurd that they should submit a file as some kind of evidence.

      It has zero value since they can put together a file with any content they want. It wouldn’t even help if they sent the hardware where the file was stored, it can still be modified and fake file dates, etc.

       

  8. MXT

    📊 The Russian economy is entering stagnation. In November, the country’s GDP grew by only 0.1%, – TsPD This is the worst indicator since the beginning of 2023 and an actual signal that the economy is entering stagnation.

    In particular, Russia’s industrial production went into negative figures for the first time in 9 months (-0.7%). The TsPD emphasized that this is not about seasonal fluctuations, since industry was the basis of “war growth”, which formally maintained economic indicators in 2023-2024.”

  9. MXT

    📊 The National Bank of Ukraine updated its macroeconomic forecast in its latest inflation report. The NBU expects Ukraine’s GDP to grow by 2% in 2026. Inflation will gradually decrease to 6.6%, and the discount rate may drop from 15.5% to 13%.

    At the same time, the hryvnia exchange rate will remain relatively stable thanks to international assistance. For more details on all forecasts, risks, and opportunities for businesses – read in the article”
    https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3mbgqplihjk2u

  11. MXT

    Russian propagandists are now looking for someone to blame after the “authorities” that Putin installed to control Ukraine’s Donetsk have now looted everything to the point that the population can barely survive.

    Russian propagandists are now attacking gangster Denis Pushlin who was even awarded “Hero of Russia” status for his “fine work”.

  13. jahojariaho

    This is the main reason why living on a lie always makes you a looser!
    As Johan wrote above: “Russia seems to be increasingly struggling to maintain quality”
    Thats why #fckptn will loose the war!

    My view!
    Without the truth you cant take any good decisions! Its impossible! Without good decisions based on true facts, you loose!
    Fits well on #fcktrmp also!

    1. jahojariaho

      This is the main reason why living on a lie always makes you a loser!
      As Johan wrote above: “Russia seems to have an increasingly difficult time maintaining quality”
      This is why #fckptn will lose the war!

      My opinion!
      Without the truth, you can’t make good decisions! It’s impossible! Without good decisions based on true facts, you lose!
      Fits well with #fcktrmp too!

  14. MXT

    “Ryska medier rapporterar att drönare slog mot kemiska/industriella anläggningen Kazanorgsintez i Kazan, vilket utlöste en stor brand efter explosioner på platsen. Lokala bilder visar lågor och rök som stiger över fabriksområdet.”

  17. MXT

    “Out of his Russian regiment of 4,000 people, between 100 and 150 are still alive. The rest have either been taken home in zinc coffins, or are lying and decaying somewhere outside Bachmut, Soledar, Tjasyv Jar.”

  20. MXT

    BREAKING: Zelenskyy appoints Ukraine’s spy chief Budanov as new head of presidential office. Follows dismissal of Andriy Yermak amid NABU searches at his residence as part of investigation into embezzlement at Energoatom.

    1. Jan W

      Commented by Mykyta Trachuk, a Ukrainian political scientist who regularly writes for Bulletin. I don’t know who they are. Unfortunately behind a paywall.

      From the introduction: “But what appears to be a promotion could in fact be a political trap for the popular general.”

      “But the president’s office is a completely different type of operation. Above all, it is an administrative and bureaucratic machine where success is not measured in flashy results but in the ability to “digest” crises and not take on unnecessary responsibility.”

      https://bulletin.nu/zelenskyjs-chockutnamning-underrattelsetjanstschefen-budanov-ska-leda-presidentkansliet

  23. 205

    1/
    The Russian army has set a record for “200 casualties” and more: an analysis of enemy losses for the month and for the entire 2025 year

    In December 2025, the losses of the Russian occupation forces showed a sharp increase in the infantry component, which is quite predictable in the current conditions.

    But it’s worth considering, taking into account the indicators of this month and the general trends – to sum up the results.

    I would like to note that by the end of 2025, there was a complete transition of the Russian occupation forces to the use of the infantry component as the main element of all offensive and assault operations.

    The share of armored vehicles and even light transport vehicles has become so insignificant that there are real prerequisites to see not only a hypertrophied number of infantry in 2026, but even cavalry charges.

    Therefore, the losses of the Russian occupation forces in December and throughout 2025 looked like this.

    2/
    Personnel losses:

    In December, the army of the aggressor country lost 35,050 people killed, wounded, and captured, which is the best result of the liquidation of Russian manpower in the past six months .

    That is, in December, the Russian occupiers set an absolute record for deaths – over 22 thousand people

    Let me remind you that the indicator of irreversible losses in the DOM has been at the average statistical level of 65% for the third month in a row, which is an extremely anomalous imbalance for almost all wars and conflicts of modern times and even for the 20th century.

    I have repeatedly explained that such an increase in the number of dead in proportion to the wounded is due to the fact that the ROV minimized the use of armored vehicles in the combat zone and almost all offensive, assault operations are carried out by the infantry component or on light vehicles.

    The defeat of LTZ minimizes the probability of survival of the crew and the landing force, and also maximizes the receipt of severe injuries and wounds incompatible with life, which leads to such anomalous indicators of irretrievable losses.

    In December, the Russian occupiers captured 482 km² of Ukrainian territory . The most unsuccessful defensive section of the front in December was the Siversk direction, where the area of ​​captured territories in a month was 200 km², including the occupation of the city of Siversk itself.

    The proportion of losses of the occupation forces to the captured territories was 72 bodies per 1 km² .

    For the entire year of 2025, the ROV captured 4,329 km² with losses of 418,010 during the year , and the proportion of losses to captured territories was 96 bodies/1 km², which is worse than the indicator in 2023 and 2024. But the trend of increasing the total number of ROV personnel losses, as well as the anomalous proportion of irretrievable losses, inspire some optimism for 2026 .

     

    3/
    Tank losses:

    In December, the Russian occupiers lost 101 tanks .

    This is neither a record nor a record, but an average figure for half a year, due to both the depletion of the armored component of the ROV and the desire of the occupiers’ command to accelerate offensive processes in a number of directions.

    In total , during the 2025th ROV lost 1,814 tanks , and starting from February, losses began to decline sharply due to the extremely strict economy of MBTs on the battlefield and their extremely rare use starting from May.

    Russia, which until 2022 held one of the leading places in the world in terms of the number of tanks in working order and those in storage, was considered one of the leading tank powers on the planet, in 2025 turned into a country that switched to a strict MBT economy, unable to cope with compensating for monthly losses both by restoring equipment from storage and by producing it from scratch.

    The year 2025 has become critical and irreversible for Russian tanks .

    “Border guards stopped another enemy assault on the Toretsk direction

    💪 Soldiers of the RUBPAK “Phoenix” destroyed several units of heavy armored vehicles, eliminated a tank and a motor column of the enemy”
    👇👇

    4/
    Losses of armored vehicles:

    In December 2025, Russian troops lost 171 armored combat vehicles . In total , last year, 3,792 armored personnel carriers were lost .

    A sharp decline in the use of armored personnel carriers was noted in April 2025 and became a clear marker of the most severe crisis of the ROV in terms of compensating for monthly losses of armored vehicles through the restoration of equipment from storage and the production of new ones.

    As in the case of MBTs, 2025 has become critical for the use of ABMs in the combat zone by the Russian occupiers. We see a strict economy of armored vehicles, an inability to cope with the compensation of monthly losses both by restoring equipment from storage and by producing it from scratch.

    5/
    Artillery losses:

    December gave a fairly good indicator of losses of ROV barrel artillery – 904 units .

    After a steady decline, the sharp increase was due to the fact that at the end of the year the occupiers tried to speed up the process of capturing Ukrainian territories as much as possible, and therefore began to use artillery more intensively, exposing it to retaliatory strikes. The result is obvious.

    In total, losses of cannon artillery in 2025 amounted to 14,017 units .

    Russia inherited many times more gun artillery from the USSR than tanks, and the critical shortage in this category was to occur later than it did with MBTs and ABMs. We will notice a critical shortage of gun artillery in the ROV already this year, in 2026, and in 2025 it actually created the inevitable conditions for a future crisis.

    6/
    MLRS losses:

    Losses of multiple launch rocket systems in the ROV in December amounted to 32 units .

    This is the highest rate of MLRS losses in the army of the aggressor country since March 2025, which is also due to the Russian command’s attempt to accelerate offensive processes in a number of directions by the end of the year.

    Throughout 2025, the ROV lost 322 MLRS .

    The crisis in this category of DOV weapons arose at the turn of 2022 and 2023, and intensified during 2023. Today, Russia, which boasted of the Grad, Uragan, and Smerch MLRS inherited from the USSR, is rushing with outstretched hand through the corridors of the Yongson residence in Pyongyang – in an attempt to beg for a few dozen more North Korean MLRS.

    The year 2025 clearly showed the deep and irreversible crisis of the Russian Federation in terms of its own MLRS and total dependence on supplies of this category of weapons from the DPRK .

    7/
    Air defense losses:

    During December, the ROV lost 11 air defense systems , and for the entire year of 2025 – 231 .

    Today, the shortage of air defense assets, although not critical in terms of quantity, has become a crisis in terms of providing air defense for most of the territory of the Russian Federation .

    For its part, the temporarily occupied Crimean peninsula has taken over the baton from Chornobayvka. It has become a favorite hunting ground for Russian air defense for the Ukrainian Defense Ministry’s and the Security Service of Ukraine’s Armed Forces

    8/

    Vehicle losses:

    In December, the DOV set a “silver” record for the loss of motor vehicles – 3,725 units !

    This happened as a result of attempts by the occupying command to accelerate the offensive process in a number of directions for the sake of beautiful statistics and reports at the end of the year.

    In total, in 2025, the ROV lost over 42,225 units of motor transport ! An absolutely record year for losses in this category is due to the fact that the ROV switched to assaults and offensives not on MBTs and ABMs, but on “Zhiguli”, “Niva”, “Loaves”, motorcycles… And we see the result of this performance in the first category of losses – personnel, 65% of fatalities.

    9/
    Losses of special equipment:

    In December, Russian troops lost the same average number of special equipment units – 22. In total, for the entire year of 2025 – 360 units .

    A very boring indicator that few people are interested in, although it primarily concerns the capabilities of the Russian engineering troops. And taking into account the fact that 2025 has become critical in this matter in the Russian Defense Ministry, we can say that the engineering troops of the Russian army have degraded as never before .

    What is worth noting here is not even the degree of irreparable losses, but rather the factor of degradation in the final fourth year of the war, and it is a fact that it is simply irreversible.

    10/10
    Conclusions:

    In almost every category, the Russian occupation forces are experiencing the most severe crisis , which manifested itself in all its glory in 2025 and worsened the situation of the once “second” army in the world.

    For now, life is languishing in Russian artillery and human resources. Once again, the Russian quasi-empire is betting on something it doesn’t have much of, but something it has more of compared to the countries it risks attacking. Something it has never felt sorry for in any historical period of time and something it has not tried to value and save, like tanks or armored personnel carriers. People.

    In 2025, we saw a widespread and undisguised technical and technological crisis of the Russian Federation . But the main challenge for us in 2026 is the human potential of Russia, which continues to be the main threat to Ukraine .

    The material was published as part of a joint project between OBOZ.UA and the group “Information Resistance” .

     

  24. 205

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 6↗️
    Kupyansk 2
    Lyman 9💥↘️
    Slovyansk 5↗️
    Kramatorsk 1
    Kostjantynivka 14💥
    Pokrovsk 26💥💥
    Oleksandrivskij 10💥
    Huliaypillia 20💥↗️

    Orikhivsk 3
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 4

    Sum sectors 100↗️
    Unlocalized 16↗️
    Total 116↗️

     

  25. 205

    Due to the fact that Trump, through the CIA, has actually supported Ukraine despite the official stance, one could at least nominate him for the Nobel Peace Prize, right?

    1. Flurrevuppen

      Hehe, yes, maybe… he is still hard to read…

      One can also note a tough tone towards two rice-allied countries, Iran and Venezuela. And apparently Cuba is quite dependent on oil from Venezuela… so a third rice-allied country is also being pressured.

      https://open.substack.com/pub/phillipspobrien/p/the-us-is-attempting-regime-change

      So… words and actions don’t really match up… 

      One could possibly interpret the actions towards Venezuela/Cuba as an expression of the renewed Monroe Doctrine and a possible three-way division between the USA, the rice, and the Chinese… but I don’t think Iran quite fits into that. Neither does the mediation around Nagorno-Karabakh suggest that the USA is letting things slide freely in its sphere of interest.

      And a division into spheres of interest probably also requires some kind of long-term trust between the parties… and that would probably then require a more clear transition away from free elections in the USA for Xi and the rice to be able to trust the USA’s new stance over time?

      1. 205

        It’s very true in many ways, I think.

        And if I interpret you correctly and extrapolate, the clearest common denominator is to remove Russia’s influence: ➖🇷🇺Syria 2024, ➖🇷🇺Iran 2025, ➖🇷🇺Azerbaijan-Armenia 2025, ➖🇷🇺Venezuela 2026, and indirectly Cuba.

        And as you say, most of these do not suggest the Monroe Doctrine.

        Disarming Russia wherever it may be, Middle East, South America, Asia, Raff in Russia (which the CIA has helped with according to NYT), should still be considered peacebuilding.

         

  26. 205

    Ukraine allies meet in Kiev

    Ukraine is set to host a meeting with several allies in Kiev on Saturday.

    Around 15 countries will participate in the talks along with representatives from the EU and NATO, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. A US delegation will participate via video link. The initiative comes after Zelensky, in his New Year’s speech, said that the peace plan mediated by the US was “90 percent” complete.

    At the same time, he raised a warning finger that important territorial issues remain unresolved.

    Next week, leaders of “the willing coalition,” a group of countries supporting Ukraine, are expected to gather in France. Sweden is one of the countries.

    TT
  28. johan No.1

    Venezuela…

    China, Russia, and the USA have divided the world among themselves.

    The beginning…

    May Europe be capable of resisting this time.

    1. 205

      So Syria, Iran, and Armenia are in the USA’s sphere of interest? See the Flurrevuppen above. REGARDLESS, Europe should of course not let its guard down. On the contrary, perhaps the situation allows for advancing Europe’s positions?

    2. CB500four

      It’s probably exciting, if there are no heavy casualties or military aid from China and Russia, we can probably be quite sure that this is something they have agreed on, to divide the world into spheres of interest.

      As Flurrevuppen and 205 have written above, the USA has been involved in many places that might belong to Russia’s sphere of interest, and Trump and Putin are still buddies.

      The attack on Venezuela and the kidnapping of their president + wife, is probably mostly about money, partly about Trump’s strategy, he wants the oil, so he can control the flow and prices. And he wants to get rid of China from his part of the world.

      So, what might be the next step?… How will they ensure that the next president is friendly to the USA? Will they kill the others, or will they occupy the country like Iraq? Many are of course happy that Maduro is gone, but the longer the USA is there and interferes in politics, the more the population will turn away. No people want to feel that they are ruled by another country, especially a country ruled by a despot who wants to seize the natural resources that could give the people a better future.

      And what is the next country for the USA, I think Panama is in a bad position, and maybe Colombia at the same time, but Colombia does not have any major oil discoveries or other natural resources that Trump is interested in, as far as I know. Panama has the canal, and if Trump gets it, it may very well happen that China is banned from there.

      Greenland could also be a target for Trump, but I still think he is sticking to South and Central America for now.

      China is said to have spoken with Maduro just a few days ago, I wonder what was discussed? What might China’s next move be? Could it be that China takes Taiwan, and Trump just says, here you go, it’s your part of the world? The risk is imminent.

      What about Ukraine? Depending on how the conflict in Venezuela develops, USA’s already meager aid may decrease, and then Putin and Trump may have agreed that if Russia takes over Venezuela and Cuba, the USA takes over Ukraine.

      In the worst case, Trump may have also promised the Baltics to Putin, that wouldn’t surprise me at all. The Baltics have no natural resources that Trump wants.

      This could develop into anything, Europe must be united against these kleptomaniacs.

       

  29. 205

    According to international law, Ukraine has been subjected to crimes. What is the obligation of other countries to help?

    Belarus support for Russia’s invasion: “This violates principles of states’ sovereignty and non-interference, even though Belarus claims they are defending themselves against threats from Ukraine.”

    Venezuela’s support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine:

    1. Basmat, Dmytro (31 August 2024). “Venezuela extradites 2 Colombians to Russia for fighting in Ukraine”. The Kyiv Independent. Archived from the originalon February 13, 2025.
    2. Kurmanaev, Anatoly; Posada, Simón; Matsnev, Oleg (August 30, 2024). “They Traveled Home After Defending Ukraine, and Ended Up in a Russian Prison”. The New York Times. Archived from the original on August 30, 2024.

    So, one could argue that it is not an obligation but a right under international law to arrest Maduro and his wife.

    1. CB500four

      Well, it wasn’t really wrong to remove Maduro, but now it’s up to the USA whether Venezuela becomes a better country or a country destroyed by internal strife, where the people are held as slaves and all the income from their vast natural resources disappears into the pockets of American oligarchs.

    1. Flurrevuppen

      Hm… yes… but everything is so difficult to read..

      If one starts from the hypothesis of division into spheres of interest, the three parties probably want to keep such an agreement secret… and a condemnation is just words… it costs nothing… then there is information about “sanctions” against the USA being excluded from the exclusively Russian payment system Mir. These “sanctions” have rightly been criticized. But they are actually just words and no real action against the USA.

      So… everything is difficult to read in my opinion.

      Maybe something will become clearer depending on how the situation in Iran unfolds.

    2. 205

      The USA’s sphere of interest can be seen as linked to Israel’s, and then US attacks on Syria and Iran can be seen as safeguarding their own interests. In both cases at the expense of Russia’s influence. Both Syria and Iran are interesting. In connection with neither of the attacks (except Russia), did anyone mount their high horse and claim sovereignty and that the USA violated international laws. Or painted, like Johan, doomsday scenarios about division. Both countries are also interesting from a military perspective and to compare with Venezuela, where Russian military buildup has been ongoing for a long time. In Syria, the Russian navy base disappeared. Iran lost its ability to export Shaheds to kill Ukrainians. Similarly, the USA’s elimination of the pro-Russian leadership in Venezuela prevents Russia from building bases for its military, ultimately giving them the opportunity to continue the genocide in Ukraine. But on the backs of the high horses, tears are shed. Johan cries. 😭

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