The war in Ukraine 2025-04-21

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Russian losses in Ukraine:

Considering the low losses, there was probably some kind of partial ceasefire during Easter.

  • 670 KIA
  • 2 Tanks
  • 2 APVs
  • 10 Artillery systems
  • 30 UAVs
  • 50 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
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90 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-04-21”

  1. MatsExtrude

    US Awaits Ukraine’s Response on Recognition of Crimea’s Annexation — The Wall Street Journal The publication writes that the Trump administration has handed Ukraine a document with proposals for ending the war.
    Among the options are recognition of the annexation of Crimea, refusal to join NATO, the issue of the Zaporizhzhia NPP, and others.

    1. Umlaut

      The interesting thing, regardless of what the USA has promised to give to Moscow, is what security guarantees are being set up and which ones are intended to uphold them.

      1. MatsExtrude

        Yes, that is probably where it will fail, among other things.

        I don’t think they intend to let Ukraine join NATO. My guess is that they believe that having the presence of the USA in Ukraine (for the extraction of natural resources and operation of the nuclear power plant, etc.) is sufficient to deter Russia from attacking. I don’t think that will be enough for Ukraine to feel secure.

    1. MatsExtrude

      Yes, you are absolutely right.

      In the autumn of 2022, many of us felt that it must start to become unsustainable for the Russians when suddenly there were days with over 500. However, we believed that Ukraine’s reported numbers only referred to KIA and not KIA + WIA, since they wrote “eliminated personnel” in their reports.

  3. MatsExtrude
    Significantly lower figures:
    AFU “In total, 96 combat clashes were recorded during the past day.
    According to information, yesterday, the enemy carried out 1882 shellings at the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, 33 in particular – from the reactive systems of salvage fire, and engaged 957 kamikaze drones for impact.”
    1. MatsExtrude

      It would be damn boring if Ukraine feels forced to agree to a bad peace agreement now that the decline in Russia is becoming more and more evident.

      If the USA had instead chosen to increase its support (or at least continued as before), Russia would probably have been forced to its knees by next year at the latest.

  6. MatsExtrude

    “Explosions reported in Mykolaiv, Kherson, and Cherkasy amid air raid alert. Several explosions were heard in southern Ukraine’s Mykolaiv and Kherson around 5 a.m. on April 21, local authorities reported.

    Multiple explosions were also reported in central Ukraine’s Cherkasy around 6 a.m. local time, according to public broadcaster Suspilne. Ukraine’s Air Force previously warned of the threat of Russian drone and missile attacks.”

  7. MatsExtrude

    “USA’s defense agency, the Pentagon, is in free fall under Defense Minister Pete Hegseth. That alarm comes from Hegseth’s former colleague John Ullyot, who resigned as spokesperson last week.

    In an article in Politico, Ullyot compares the situation to a “complete meltdown.” The past few weeks have been marked by leaks and lies, and several of Hegseth’s closest aides have been forced to resign, he writes.”
    https://omni.se/tidigare-pentagontopp-slar-larm-fullstandigt-kaos-under-pete-hegseth/a/KMAz67
    Original article:
    https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/20/pentagon-chaos-ullyot-hegseth-00205594

    “US Defense Minister Pete Hegseth shared detailed plans for upcoming attacks in Yemen in a private Signal chat group that included his wife, brother, and personal lawyer. Four sources told the New York Times.

    Among the information shared were the schedules for the F18 fighter jets that carried out the airstrikes in March, according to the sources.”
    https://omni.se/uppgifter-hegseth-delade-planer-pa-jemenattack-med-sin-fru-och-bror/a/kwj3q6“

  8. MatsExtrude

    “China urges other countries not to give in to American demands in the ongoing trade war, reports the BBC. This is in response to reports that the USA is trying to pressure countries to limit their trade with China in exchange for reduced American tariffs.

    In a statement, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs writes that concessions do not lead to peace and that compromises do not command respect.”
    https://omni.se/kina-uppmanar-lander-att-inte-vika-sig-for-usa-s-krav/a/25A8vv

    1. MatsExtrude

      It could be interesting when both China and the USA put pressure on the world’s countries.
      Will it end in an economic trade world war?

    2. Lynx

      The American “demands” are increasingly resembling pleas. They don’t have much to counter with, the rest of the world wants free trade and also owns a significant portion of the US budget deficit.

      Moreover, the confrontational foreign policy of the USA has destroyed trust in the USA, which is now seen as unpredictable. When trust in the USA is completely depleted, they will not be able to sustain such a gigantic budget deficit as they have now. It has worked so far because the USA is highly valued as an ally and has had a very strong currency.

      1. MacMelmac

        If there were two companies negotiating with one party presenting their demands and then threatening if they don’t get them through, the other would have stood up and left the room to never have contact with them again until they came to their senses.

        That’s how we should treat the USA, listen, leave, let them come crawling. If there’s one thing you learn in negotiations, it’s that the one who breaks the awkward silence is usually the one who needs the deal, meaning they are more willing to give in.

        So, keep your cool and remember “two ears and one mouth”.

        1. Lynx

          Yes exactly, I think that is the likely outcome here. The strength of the USA was their collaborations and the high level of trust that was created. Without this, it’s just a shitshow with brutal budget deficits.

  9. 205

    Operational information as of 08.00 on 21.04.2025 on the Russian invasion
     
    In total, 96↘️ (127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99) combat engagements were recorded over the past day.
     
    #Kharkiv 1 (2, 7, 1)
    #Kupyansk 1↘️ (7, 11, 4)
    #Lyman 12💥 (14, 17, 20)
    #Siverskyi 3 (2, 2, 2)
    #Kramatorsk 5 (7, 6, 8)
    #Toretsk 10↘️💥 (18, 26, 11)
    #Pokrovsk 39💥💥 (39, 54, 64)
    #Novopavlivka 5↘️ (12, 9, 9)
    #Huliaipil 0 (0, 0, 0)
    #Orikhivsk 4 (3, 3, 1)
    #Prydniprovsky 0 (0, 0)
    #Kursk 16💥 (20, 23, 21)
     
    In the Kharkiv sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 tried once to break through the defensive lines of AFU🇺🇦 near the village of Krasne Pershe.
     
    In the Kupyansk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 attacked near Holubivka yesterday.
     
    In the Lyman sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 attacked 12 times. They tried to penetrate AFU🇺🇦s defense near Nadiya, Myrne, Hrekivka, Katerynivka, Nove and Yampolivka.

     
    In the Siverskyi sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 made three attempts to advance in the area of Bilohorivka and Ivano-Daryivka.
     
    In the Kramatorsk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 attacked five times in the area of Chasovyi Yar and in the direction of Stupochky and Bila Hora.

     
    In the Toretsk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 made 10 attacks near Druzhba, Toretsk and Leonidivka.

     
    In the Pokrovsk sector, AFU🇺🇦 stopped 39 attacks by the AFRF🇷🇺 in the areas of Sukha Balka, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Lysivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Uspenivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka and Rozlyv.

     
    In the Novopavlivka sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 conducted five attacks in the area of Kostiantynopol, Skudne and towards Odradne over the past day.
     
    In the Orikhivsk sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 advanced four times on the positions of AFU🇺🇦 in the areas of Mala Tokmachka, Mali Shcherbaky and Stepove.
     
    No combat engagements took place in the Huliaypillia and Prydniprovia sectors yesterday.
     
    In the Volyn and Polissya sectors, no signs of AFRF🇷🇺 offensive groups were detected.
     
    In the Kursk region, the AFRF🇷🇺 made 184 artillery attacks yesterday, 17 of which were from multiple rocket launchers. SFU🇺🇦 stopped 16 invaders’ assault actions.

     
    According to the updated information, yesterday the AFRF🇷🇺 fired 1882 times with artillery at the positions of Ukrainian units 🇺🇦 and populated areas, including 33 times from multiple launch rocket systems, and used 957 kamikaze drones to attack.
     
    Soldiers of the AFU🇺🇦 are inflicting significant losses in manpower and equipment on the occupation forces and are actively undermining the AFRF🇷🇺’s offensive potential in the rear.
     
    Over the past day, the missile troops and artillery of the Defense Forces🇺🇦 hit the area of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment, as well as the AFRF🇷🇺’s artillery.

        1. Captain

          I believe what we are seeing now is that RU has realized that they cannot be so offensive and continue to sustain the huge losses day after day. They want to be able to recover, strengthen their current positions, and focus more on fieldwork/mining.

  10. MatsExtrude

    Machine-translated:
    “The gas was turned off in the homes of military families in the Altai region, reports State Duma deputy Maria Prusakova. In the military town of Aleysk, there are regular problems with housing and municipal services. Local authorities say that the Ministry of Defense should be responsible for housing, but they deny it.”
    Warning, Twitter link!
    https://x.com/SibirPost/status/1914192662686585006

    1. MatsExtrude

      Adding some more automatically translated posts from Russia.

      “The wind leaves 10 thousand residents in Tuva without electricity”
      https://x.com/SibirPost/status/1914191423081005497

      “The bridge built after the flooding in Transbaikalia started to collapse”
      https://x.com/SibirPost/status/1914160127940194464

      “A retaining wall collapsed on the Ipprodromskaya highway in Novosibirsk. There were no cars nearby. Traffic on the highway is partially restricted”
      https://x.com/SibirPost/status/1914140406071124366

  11. MatsExtrude

    “Kyiv is under pressure to respond by the end of the week to a set of confidential, Trump-backed proposals aimed at ending the war with Russia – including the possibility of forgoing NATO membership and potential US recognition of Crimea as Russian territory.”

  12. MatsExtrude

    Ukraine managed to shoot down 42 drones, 47 did not reach their targets.
    [edited, as I initially misinterpreted the information]

  14. MatsExtrude

    Is it true that it has only cost the USA ~630 million USD since 2023?

    Assuming they will demand compensation from Israel. Maybe take over the diamond processing industry? Sounds like something Trump would love.

    Or is it just Ukraine that has to pay for the aid they receive? 🤔

    OT: “In the last 48 hours, the Houthis claim to have shot down 2 🇺🇸US Air Force MQ-9 Reaper drones over western 🇾🇪Yemen. This would reportedly be the 6th MQ-9 downed since March and the 21st downed by the Houthis since October 7, 2023.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lncmy6jnis2f

  15. MatsExtrude

    “Sherrill Asks Military Official: If The War In Ukraine Ended Today, Would Russia Still Be A Threat?
    During a House Armed Services Committee hearing held before the congressional recess, Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ) questioned Military officials about the threat Russia poses to the U.S.”

  17. MatsExtrude

    There has been a lot of joking about Canada joining the EU. It may not be as far-fetched as one might think. 44% of Canadians are positive. It is not clear if it was a majority (many may have indicated that they have no opinion).

    “Unlikely but not impossible. That’s what researchers tell Politico about the possibility of Canada joining the EU as the US turns its back on the country under Donald Trump.

    Recently, a poll was published showing that 44 percent of Canadians are in favor of EU membership.
    – In many ways, Canada is closer to European values, institutions, and political ideas than many of the current candidate countries.”

    1. Lynx

      It’s not possible because the EU is only open to European countries (some part of the country must belong to Europe), but an economic cooperation like the EEA would be nice 👍🏻.

      1. MatsExtrude

        We could easily solve it by donating a few hundred square meters of land in Europe to Canada?
        I can donate a square meter of my land to them! 😄

        2. Lynx

          EES is what I find interesting, if not the Canadians feel that they simply must have some strange rules about cow garages and plastic caps that cannot be removed.

  18. johan No.1

    Japan went directly to the USA to negotiate tariffs but realized that no one knew what would be negotiated and there was no interest so they left. We have also seen the Japanese government speak plainly about the tariffs.

    Two reasonable – Trump is completely crazy or everything is just a step towards something else. What the other could be is quite broad, will probably be a post about it.

    Greenland had logic behind it and Panama as well.

      1. MacMelmac

        I don’t think he’s crazy, “just” a full-fledged narcissist. Their behavior can easily be mistaken for crazy or psychopathic.
        It also explains his way of appointing people who benefit him until they no longer do, then he throws them away.

        I have worked with a narcissist, I recognize so much of the behavior and expressions.

  19. johan No.1

    UA is under heavy pressure from the USA to agree to something bad, and the EU has not yet managed to stand up.

    Kier Starmer seems to have too many domestic political problems, so then it’s Macron left before Merz takes office.

    How did the meeting with Rubio go?

  20. johan No.1

    Has the pope died?

    JD Vance tweeted that he had met the pope, and then the next tweet was about expressing condolences.

    It was probably too much for the pope, but the USA complained about disrespect towards Vance, so he had to get out of bed.

    Contributing to the death of a pope is quite an achievement.

  21. MatsExtrude

    “For the first time in the past few years, Russians want to hold the “Immortal Regiment” march in Washington. They claim it will be dedicated to the 80th anniversary since the end of the “Great Patriotic War”. The march is planned for May 3.”

  23. johan No.1

    It was only a matter of time, but now JDVance has really embarrassed himself.

    He got to meet the Pope’s top cardinal, and half of the administration screamed about a lack of respect from the Vatican.

    Then he got to meet the Pope and made a big deal out of it.

    Then the Pope died.

    1, 2, 3… this is going to blow up right in Trump’s face 😁✊✊💥

    1. Umlaut

      Moskoviet takes three steps forward, and then Trump arrives and manages to strike a fabulous deal where Moskoviet takes a step back and Trump praises himself as Mother Teresa, Gandhi, and Jesus perfected in one body (also explaining the size of his body suit).

  28. MatsExtrude

    “Storbritannien ökar produktionen av sprängämnen för att minska beroendet av amerikanska vapen
    Försvarsindustrin kommer att öka tillverkningen av suveräna ammunition på grund av oro över Trumps pålitlighet och den växande globala efterfrågan”

  29. MatsExtrude

    “Monitoring channels write that the plane over Lviv region is, presumably, a Saab 340 AEW&C AWACS aircraft. Waiting for confirmation 👀❗️”

  30. MatsExtrude

    “On April 19, 2025, the Air Force conducted a successful strike on an enemy UAV launch site near the settlement of Tetkino, Kursk region. The facility was used for launching reconnaissance, strike, and FPV drones. As a result of the strike, up to 20 UAV operators were eliminated.”

  32. MatsExtrude

    “The territorial integrity of Ukraine is NOT discussed by our partners. It is enshrined in the Constitution,” – Advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Leshchenko responded to rumors that the US is planning to transfer Crimea to Russia.

  33. MatsExtrude

    Everything is of course just fake news created by malicious people! 😂

    “US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth flatly denies sharing attack plans against Yemen in a Signal chat group with his wife, brother, and lawyer.

    ‘This is what the media does. They use anonymous sources who are disgruntled former employees and then try to smear people and destroy their reputations,’ Hegseth told reporters outside the White House, according to AFP.”
    https://omni.se/hegseth-nekar-till-chatt-medierna-smutskastar/a/PpG4eR

  34. MatsExtrude

    “April 21 (Reuters) – Declining economic growth and lower demand for large purchases such as cars, electronics, and household appliances contributed to a decrease in imports from China to Russia during the first quarter of this year, according to Chinese customs data, while Beijing is facing serious trade headaches from U.S. tariffs.”

  35. MatsExtrude

    “Russian goods seizures cause havoc on China-Europe rail link: ‘big impact’
    Freight companies ‘dare not’ use the railway after Russia tightened sanctions and impounded huge volumes of Europe-bound cargo.

    Last week, China’s leaders made promises to support the China-Europe Railway Express – an overland freight link that has become a symbol of Beijing’s ambitious drive to recreate the ancient Silk Road.

    But the reality is that traffic along the intercontinental rail link has been declining for months, as a wave of Russian goods seizures causes logistics companies to lose confidence in the project, industry insiders said.”

  37. MatsExtrude

    “The White House has started looking for a new Secretary of Defense, according to an anonymous official speaking to the radio channel NPR.”

  38. MatsExtrude

    “Kristi Noem, head of the US Department of Homeland Security, had her bag stolen during a restaurant visit in Washington DC on Sunday evening. CNN reports.”

  39. MatsExtrude

    “USA is likely to participate in peace talks with Ukraine, Great Britain, and France in London this Wednesday, according to informed sources for Bloomberg.”

  40. MatsExtrude

    The best thing for everyone would probably be if Trump could keep quiet. 😄

    “Wall Street’s stock exchanges are falling sharply after President Donald Trump’s new attacks on the Federal Reserve, and at 5:45 p.m., it looks like this:

    • S&P 500: -2.9%
    • Nasdaq: -3.2%
    • Dow Jones: -2.7%”
    https://omni.se/a/0VAQAB

  42. johan No.1

    Now, by the way, the USA is involved in mediating peace in Europe – Zelensky will meet the UK, USA, France…

    Zelensky’s voice is starting to sound a bit panicked again – three damn years of this indecision 🤬

     

  44. Westley Richard

    Tesla is in a “code red” situation ahead of Tuesday’s quarterly report – now founder Elon Musk must leave his controversial job for the Trump administration and focus on the electric car manufacturer full-time. This is written by former Tesla bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives in a market letter, according to Bloomberg. According to Ives, one cannot overstate how much Musk’s actions affect Tesla’s brand.

    Those who do not believe that Musk has damaged the brand should talk to car buyers in the US, Europe, and Asia. “You will have changed your mind after those conversations,” he writes.

    Hasn’t Trump gotten a little tired of Musk stealing the show?

    1. johan No.1

      Yes, Elon has single-handedly managed to completely crash Tesla as a brand, and China is gaping and watching.

      On a personal level, he is also starting to feel hated and he doesn’t actually understand why, and now he is desperately trying to regain his street cred.

      I think he will have mental problems because of this, as Trump will kick him out soon.

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