The war in Ukraine 2025-07-06

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Russian losses

  • 1180 KIA
  • 2 Tanks
  • 3 AFVs
  • 39 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 1 Anti-aircraft system
  • 1 Aircraft
  • 216 UAVs
  • 104 Vehicles & Fuel tanks

SLAVA UKRAINI

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90 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-07-06”

  1. MXT
    AFU: “In total, 200 combat clashes were recorded during the past day.
    Yesterday, the enemy launched one missile and 65 aviation strikes at the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, using two missiles and 117 controlled bombs. In addition, carried out 6074 shells, of which 119 were from jet fire systems, and deployed 3,724 kamikaze drones to impress.”
  8. 205

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 23💥↗️

    S Slobozhansky 7↘️

    Kupyansk 8

    Lyman 37💥💥↗️
    Siverskyi 7↗️
    Kramatorsk 6↗️
    Toretsk 6↘️

    Pokrovsk 59💥💥💥↘️
    Extrapolated KWIA (22: 135 kwia/51 attacks=2.6↘️) 2.6*59=153

    Novopavlivka 18💥

    South Command (35 KWIA):

    Huliaypillia 8↗️
    Orikhivsk 5
    Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 1

  9. MXT

    “The massive strike on Kyiv was no coincidence — it came right after Putin’s call with Trump, says Fox News commentator Dan Hoffman. Putin wants to show he and his allies are stronger than the U.S. Trump must call his bluff. America must do everything to support Ukraine, be the arsenal of democracy.”

    1. johan No.1

      Well worth mentioning that it is indeed young people to the left of center that are meant?

      There they have long been marinated in the idea that democracy must be set aside for the sake of the climate, the environment, and Palestine.

      Gradually, the right of center also wakes up and then it’s full speed ahead.

      Just as Russia intends.

      1. MXT

        It might have been worth mentioning if it had been true.

        Now they don’t bring up right and left so much in the article, but this rather indicates that it is those on the right who do not want democracy:

        “Among people who see themselves as politically to the right of centre and feel economically disadvantaged, their support of democracy sinks to just one in three.”

        Well, isn’t it those on the right who normally prefer an authoritarian regime and “strong” leaders?

        1. Lasse W

          It is a left-wing view. It is a widespread opinion in our media establishment that everything right-wing/conservative would be authoritarian and antidemocratic. There is a small far-right that can fit in here, like NMR but it is small.

            1. Lasse W

              Yes, that’s about right. Whether a person is warm or cold has nothing to do with politics. Even though the left-liberals want to make it so.

        2. Bal

          Nah, communism and for that matter socialism like in the GDR or why not the National Socialist German Workers’ Party were not exactly strong supporters of democracy.

          PS I take back what I said about communism since, as far as I know, there hasn’t been any communist country.

    1. DJ

      I know… can’t the USA and China conduct proxy wars in Russia? And let Europe thrive in peace and quiet? Europe can contribute by selling weapons to the USA. What is needed is for “Western Russia” to get into a civil war with “Eastern Russia” over the Ural Mountains. Maybe DenGamle can instigate something like that? Like stealing some big vodka factory on the west side and blaming it on the east side.

    2. Lynx

      There is something strange about this news, I think. Why, if it’s true, would they tell this to the EU? What do they achieve? It’s completely contrary to their official stance and will only convince the USA that they must invest even more in the Pacific, while the statement reasonably alienates China from the EU.

    3. johan No.1

      Yes, you were lightning fast with MXT 😎

      One of the few occasions when China actually says something but the focus is clearly on the USA?

      Furthermore, UA has chosen a side regarding China and constantly leaks everything China does in UA – most recently newly manufactured equipment/components.

  18. 205

    Described as a “multi-purpose strike underwater drone,” the “Marichka” is engineered to destroy a wide range of targets, from landing ships and missile carriers to bridge supports and coastal bunkers.

    And with a claimed range of up to 1,000 kilometers, it can loiter beneath the surface for hours, patiently awaiting the perfect moment to strike.
    https://united24media.com/latest-news/the-crimean-bridge-was-just-struck-underwater-ukraine-has-a-drone-for-that-8844

    1. MXT

      Those who remain also need to work harder, and it’s probably 10-20% that are not used because they need maintenance, and maybe even sacrificed to obtain spare parts.

    2. johan No.1

      The Russian Air Force and helicopters also have a few other things to consider than we do in the West – their engines have limited lifespan.

      It should be quite worn out what they have now reasonably and much of what is on the airbases does not fly.

      Since the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not idiots and have good intelligence gathering, they presumably combat operational flights and helicopters?

      I believe that +30% of the fleet is down for maintenance.

    3. Westley Richard

      I believe that the Russian numbers are greatly exaggerated. We do not see any major attacks with Russian planes. Compare that to Israel’s attack on Iran when they had almost constantly 100 planes in the air.
      If the Russians have all these planes, why aren’t they being utilized? Russia has had no problem sacrificing the majority of its tanks and artillery.
      Are there any examples of hundreds of planes making a joint attack?

      1. Lynx

        It may, however, be due to the fact that the Russian Air Force is used differently; they do not have their own doctrine on air superiority as is customary in the West but are rather seen more as support for ground troops. So it is probably not likely that they would be able to carry out such an operation as Israel is capable of.

        This is also Ukraine’s problem; we must assume that they are working to solve it, but in order to use Western aircraft effectively (and not just as tactical support), their entire air force probably needs to be reformed.

  20. MXT

    “Moscow’s new tactic: sidestepping Ukraine’s fortress belt in Donetsk Oblast. ISW says Russia aims to force withdrawals by pushing west of Pokrovsk toward Dobropillya — not through deep penetrations, but slow, costly encirclement.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/euromaidanpress.bsky.social/post/3ltbwclj3wa2p
    https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/07/06/isw-russia-may-trade-deep-breakthrough-attempts-for-slow-envelopment-around-fortress-belt-in-donetsk-oblast/

  22. MXT

    “Factory-installed corrosion” 😂

    “A new Russian-made car – the Lada Granta VIS for approximately $18,900. What’s included:
    ▪️ Factory-installed corrosion,
    ▪️No air conditioning,
    ▪️Speaker slots sealed with foam covers instead of actual speakers.”

  25. johan No.1

    I can inform you that where we are, there is apparently an airbase nearby.

    Seen a lot of air force uniforms and military vehicles, as well as transport, fighter jets, and helicopters flying over us.

    They don’t seem to be as sensitive here as in Sweden when it comes to loud bangs.

    Since we have been making visits here since 2019, it is clear that Portugal has significantly increased activity at least at this airbase, whatever it may be protecting on the Atlantic coast.

  26. johan No.1

    Yesterday it was written that 8-10 robots were heading towards the Kerch Bridge, but nothing happened?

    That information about SOF against missile silos in deepest Russia also disappeared quickly.

     

  27. Peter Den Större

    I am contemplating. MXT’s post where China says they will not allow Russia to lose the war must be the hottest news in a long time. China is afraid that after a Russian defeat, the USA will focus entirely on China. So the Chinese will supply Russia with just enough weapons to keep the war going, while the West supplies Ukraine with just enough weapons to avoid losing. Status Quo. Bleeding populations. A cynicism beyond comprehension. Here, Western Europe and Ukraine must of course persuade Donald Trump to do things in the right order – first secure Ukraine’s victory, then deal with China.

    2. Westley Richard

      The current situation has benefited China.

      The USA, Europe, and Russia are consuming resources in the war while China has been able to increase its exports to Russia and at the same time buy oil at a discount and expand its military capabilities.

      There may certainly be tactical advantages in letting Russia bleed for a while before putting a stop to it, but that ship has long sailed.

       

       

    3. Lynx

      I believe, as I said, that there is something strange about the article. It might be an interpretation of China’s intentions, but I can’t believe that China would express such a stance explicitly to Europe.

      What would they gain from it? The USA is already reducing its commitment, while Europe is increasing its significantly.

  28. Westley Richard

    After a year in power, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has the lowest approval rating so far: -43. This according to a survey by The Sunday Times and the think tank More in Common.

    https://omni.se/a/4Bay5V

    Starmer will have to wave to Trump as he passes by on his way down in popularity.

    1. johan No.1

      Starmer has completely embarrassed himself.

      He started favoring special interests because he thought the general public still had good times, which he now understands was not the case.

      Then he tried to silence the general public by introducing thought crimes and other fun stuff.

      And he hasn’t realized that Russia is conducting subversive activities against him that could bring him down.

      One of the worse leaders right now actually.

      1. 205

        Mrs. Thatcher. Just then punk arrived, shaved their hair and rushed to the record store to get the sEX PistOls’ newly released album with God Save the Queen. But she still managed to put her mark on the Cold War and together with Ronald Reagan they made the Soviet machine raise the white flag.

        1. Westley Richard

          I was worse than that in my youth, watched live. 

          I wonder if I am included in EXPO’s opinion register?

           

  29. johan No.1

    I believe we have reached the point where RU must turn inwards for this to end. RU has clearly managed to find a pace that has given them high-intensity warfare since the fall of 2023, and they both handle it and can build up further capability.

    Until the fall of 2023, this could have been decided through slick operations by Ukraine, but every time it started to look promising, they were stopped. Even in 2024, only the closest mourners showed up in Moscow on May 9th, otherwise they would have committed suicide.

    Operation Badanka was destroyed, the first invasion on the northern front was destroyed, they were not allowed to take out the air force, and they were not allowed to take out the army bases lined up like pearls on the Russian side of the border. Those who still doubt this can go to hell because it has been proven countless times anecdotally, partly through actions, but later also through statements from those responsible, which fully support this.

    The major offensive in 2023 was also destroyed when the USA leaked all the plans to Putin in real time, and the only time Ukraine kept quiet was during the Kursk Offensive, which went so well that Putin needed Trump’s help to negotiate the problem away – there were also many who doubted that was the case, even though Putin refused to negotiate as long as Ukraine was in Kursk, Trump’s negotiators were on their way to Moscow, and Ukraine left the area two days before the US plane landed.

    They couldn’t touch the oil for too long either, or it would lead to a nuclear war.

    Now in 2025, Putin is strengthened with 30 countries, all of whom wanted to come to Moscow on May 9th, and Trump has been holding back Ukraine since November 5, 2024, for the most part.

    For a long time, no one liked a loser, but that’s not the case right now, largely thanks to Trump and Europe’s incomparable inactivity.

    For example, Ukraine could have taken out Putin on May 9th without harming anyone else. Or droned away 10 T90Ms when they were in waiting position – but they weren’t allowed to, I think everyone understands that.

    I don’t see how Ukraine today could actually retake its country by force, and China will keep pace with us in re-equipping RU over time.

    The area east of Oskil is a matter of time before it falls, and then UA must cross Oskil again to drive out the beyond-the-wall nuisance.

    It’s only a matter of time before the northern front is guarded by tapeworms and apparently laoesers (?) and then more than 60,000 will be released from that area.

    Full asymmetric warfare, which both the USA and Europe abhor, is the only way forward, period.

    We hope that Russia will fall economically, but do you think China will agree to that, or will they support them?

    Just as we have supported UA?

    Just as we want RU to turn inwards, RU is working overtime to make Ukraine do the same, and there is no one stopping them in the name of de-escalation – high risk to accept for three years.

    There is no doubt anymore which side Trump is playing on – Ukraine has agreed to everything, including not bombing sensitive targets in Russia and leaving Kursk, but the USA is easing sanctions on Russia and stopping support to Ukraine.

    And then Putin has broken every promise he made since the fall of 2024.

    But everything is forgiven because Victory Perfume simply smells too good – it smells like a winner.

    But what I still haven’t figured out is WHY Trump is siding with Putin as he is. He doesn’t like a loser and would sacrifice his grandmother for an expensive watch, so why has he stood by Putin’s side when no one else liked a loser?

    There is always the risk that there are more dimensions to this, and it’s definitely not good for Europe.

    Then we had the huge consequences for Putin from Europe if he didn’t respect the ceasefire from March 12 – when will they come, asking for a friend.

    Macron and Starmer have gone completely silent, but for Starmer, it’s total chaos domestically, he has handled this terribly – the man is completely incompetent and thinks he’s in good times where he can go on and favor special interests. He has now, the hard way, discovered that there is subversive activity simmering and that you can’t do just anything against the majority society (the taxpaying group regardless of ethnicity).

    Jeremy Corbyn has openly challenged him, and you’d be hard-pressed to find a bigger Putin asset.

    Merz is holding the line by himself right now and has just come out strong, promising Taurus if RU doesn’t stop bombing entirely in Ukraine. Since Putin would never be able to do that practically, Merz’s stance will be visible immediately. Taurus would be weeks away according to his statement.

    So there is no alternative – either Russia falls, or this will continue to escalate bit by bit, and eventually everyone will be involved in one way or another.

    I didn’t save the link, but China needs an attack by RU in Europe to be able to go after Taiwan. My money is on RU being able to carry it out this year with ground troops since the border will be mined from 2026, but the question is what China’s timeline is.

    One reason China has a timeframe to consider is Trump and the midterm election – if he does poorly, he will lose the absolute power he has right now. I checked the weather and think early summer and then autumn would be favorable weather-wise for China to cross the water to Taiwan.

    That is also completely according to Pearson’s book, on which I base 100% of my analyses.

    Not much diversionary maneuver if two RU divisions get stuck in the minefields in eastern Estonia and are himarsed away, right?

    I still suspect that there are several steps in Trump’s plan and that one of them is to try to shift the risk to Europe. If he can combine a Russian attack with persuading capital from the USA (he probably has some contact with the super-rich, right?) to rush away from Europe, it could be a big blow for us. With ensuing recession, and then they come back and buy up our companies and infrastructure for pennies instead of billions.

    A repeat of 2008, perhaps?

    That’s what the money-rich funds and institutions are extremely keen on and would wholeheartedly go for if the opportunity arises.

    The longer we do nothing in Europe, the greater the consequences we will face.

    It is completely incomprehensible to me that we have not yet fortified the Baltic borders.

    Finland has fortified its border and has a total of one million that can be mobilized and fortified in a short time because they don’t take chances. The Baltic states have 40,000 to 50,000 each, and the border hell is not fortified, period.

    Europe is completely free to rise up here, but right now we are following a long tradition of waving around meaningless signed documents promising eternal peace while the other side is on the floor laughing at our naivety.

    To date, Ukrainian children have borne the consequences of this, but there will be more, and you can only play with cowardice for so long before the bill comes due.

    We can only hope that Armenia and Azerbaijan can set the ball rolling because the USA and Europe have nothing to say there, it’s Turkey and on the sidelines, China, that are driving it.

    1. 205

      Embarrassing for the Baltics. How come this? I perceived the Baltic states as being at the forefront throughout the Russian large-scale invasion of Ukraine, on par with Poland, and with several heads of state taking the lead in European security policy. Kaja Kallas to mention perhaps the foremost of them. And the Balts were also, like Poland, early in providing military support to Ukraine shortly after the large-scale attack in February 2022.

    2. MXT

      Unfortunately, things look quite bleak on several levels. I had hoped that Europe would have stepped up and been able to replace the USA and preferably increased even more, but Trump not only manages to stop most things to Ukraine, his tariffs and other statements probably take up a lot of time and energy and cost money that could have been used in a better way.

      Russia manages to stay afloat and also make everyone believe that they can continue indefinitely and moreover scare Europe about further attacks.
      Everyone is trying to build up instead of giving everything to Ukraine. Successful Psyops from the Russians.
      It’s like they’ve already taken the losses in advance and given up on Ukraine, waiting to see what Russia will come up with next. Just the way they want it.

      Personally, I don’t believe at all that they will do anything before it’s decided in Ukraine and that the only right thing is to make sure to increase the support, not to hoard themselves.

      Despite everything, Russia is losing influence and cannot help its allies. Unfortunately, cooperation with Iran can now continue as usual, but one might wonder if Iran feels a bit cheated now and perhaps demands more compensation for helping. 

      The Russians continue to gain ground and have escalated attacks on the civilian population, but I don’t think the Ukrainians will give up.

      Ukraine survived the winter despite looking just as bleak already last autumn (does anyone remember someone saying that 2024 was crucial, because Ukraine wouldn’t be able to handle another winter..).

      However, I am also doubtful that there will be any major counteroffensive in the near future, at the same time Ukraine has surprised us many times and I believe they will do it again.

      Ukraine is also developing its defense industry and I suspect that we will soon see more attacks on refineries and depots. It is probably the Russian economy that needs to be broken, and I don’t think China is particularly eager to contribute if they can’t get paid.

      It’s just a matter of continuing to support Ukraine and things will probably work out eventually.

      By the way, I saw that OPEC had decided to increase production even further.
      Let’s see what it can do to the oil price.

  31. MXT

    “On russian Telegram: 2nd front continues to degrade Russians have been denied access to Kyrgyz citizenship.
    From January 24, not a single application will be considered, even under the “by birth” or “by ancestors” schemes, and it is now impossible to obtain a passport for any amount of money, said expert Mikhail Zhukhovitsky.
    In short, Kyrgyzstan is undergoing a process of linguistic and cultural “de-Russification” with a focus on promoting the Kyrgyz language and culture.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3ltc3rjc3e32v

    1. johan No.1

      Ukraine has throughout the war had contact with all these countries and also many within Russia.

      We sincerely hope that the plan is to defeat Russia from the east 😍😍

  32. johan No.1

    If you take a big step back, the USA and Europe are already fully exposed to the asymmetric warfare we deny Ukraine to roll out over Russia. Since the frog is being slowly boiled, we see everything as isolated events, but there are state actors behind a lot of it, one can guess (or we really don’t need to guess if we’ve studied the Cold War).

    By 2015, it was already established that Russia was fueling everything they could.

    Who knows, maybe 2008 was an early attempt that didn’t go as well as planned 😀

    The only thing missing right now is a Soros-style attack (so not Soros organizations this time, but like he did when he broke the Bank of England and devalued our currency) on our economies really, and what would seem more chilling to our willingness to donate weapons and money to Ukraine than if we go bankrupt and become penniless?

    And a black swan to kickstart everything, a little test of Europe’s defense willingness for example?

    Russia likes asymmetric warfare as it is much cheaper both economically and in terms of human lives than open wars, so it is highly likely that they have planned something, right?

    Considering the level of sabotage in Europe right now, they don’t seem to be de-escalating anyway, those 20-30 mobile towers in southern Sweden, for example?

    1. MXT

      Well, as you usually write, we are already at war with Russia but only unofficially. One would wish that we would at least dare to strike back that way, but we don’t even do that.

  35. MXT

    Poland is now responding with its own measures after Germany has extended its border controls towards the eastern neighboring country for two months, several media outlets report. During the night towards Sunday, Poland is also implementing stricter border controls at the border with Germany.

    Earlier this week, Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that the measures are a response to Germany’s decision to force asylum seekers to return to Poland, according to the Washington Post.

    “We still advocate for free movement in Europe, but it requires a common willingness from all countries,” he says.”

  36. Westley Richard

    Minister of Defense Pål Jonson (M) is open to Ukrainian weapon factories in Sweden, he tells DN.

    “The government wants to deepen the defense industrial cooperation with Ukraine and has also encouraged Swedish defense companies to establish themselves in Ukraine,” writes Jonson.

    Interesting setup that has a lot of advantages, Swedish expertise can be added without the staff having to move abroad, the Russians cannot bomb the facility, Sweden has better control over how the allocated funds are used, Sweden benefits from services generated.

  37. MXT

    Piddubne seems to match according to DeepStateMap but I’m not sure if I can find Sobolivka. There is a village west of Kuiansk and it can’t be that one.

    “The Russian military claims to have taken two new villages in eastern Ukraine, reports AFP. The village of Piddubne in the Donetsk region and Sobolivka in Kharkiv are now occupied by Russian forces.

    For over a year, Russia has been advancing slowly along the front lines in the southern and eastern parts of Ukraine. The news agency writes that the Russian forces increased the pace of their advances in June for the third consecutive month.”
    https://omni.se/ryssland-vi-har-tagit-tva-nya-ukrainska-byar/a/B0aAb0

  38. MXT

    As Darth Putin usually writes, we in the West allow it to happen by doing nothing, and then it’s just a matter of continuing. Here is an obvious war crime, but the Russians know that it doesn’t matter because there will be no consequences anyway, so they can openly boast about it and post videos.

    “Russians are openly publishing footage of deliberately targeting Ukrainian rescuers with drones, — State Emergency Service of Ukraine. Terrorists.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3ltchyrowxc2x

  41. MXT

    “The Russian railway is in its deepest crisis since the financial crisis of 2008, reports Novaya Gazeta.

    The record-low freight volumes are a good indicator that the country’s economy is on its knees, according to Russia expert Maria Perrotta Berlin at the Institute of Eastern Economics.”

  44. DJ

    New video with Anders Puck Nielsen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO1TnWptv3o

    • The Russian summer offensive has not changed anything dramatically.
    • However, half of the summer is still left.
    • The air war: Both sides are scaling up the size of the air battles and the war intensifies here.
    • Ukraine is struggling with air defense.
    • Reality is not as simple as the Russians terror bomb and the Ukrainians strike at the logistics. Russia also targets production, infrastructure, and military targets.
    • Unclear why Trump has stopped deliveries to Ukraine.
    • If an American president had wanted to help Putin, this is how it would have looked. The uncertainty contributes to passivizing the help of other countries.

     

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