The war in Ukraine 2025-09-07

Russian losses:

  • 970 KWIA
  • 2 Tanks
  • 11 AFVs
  • 42 Artillery systems
  • 1 MLRS
  • 294 UAVs
  • 104 Vehicles & fuel tanks
  • 4 Special- equipment

SLAVA UKRAINI


Russian losses, what are the trends?

Let’s start by reviewing the different losses included in the daily reports and look at how it has been since the beginning of the war. I have chosen the date March 21, 2022 as the starting point up until today. Partly because there is no information available for loss types earlier, but also because I suspect that some of the reported data before was accumulated, making it meaningless to try to read trends.

I have also chosen to show the losses on a weekly basis, making it easier to see the changes compared to looking at each individual day where it varies greatly.

Many thanks to Ragnar who is behind all the statistics, follow him here: https://bsky.app/profile/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social

Losses of personnel (KWIA = Killed & Wounded In Action) and equipment:

The Russian losses of KWIA have decreased significantly since the turn of the year, and the trend continues since the last review. However, looking at the entire war, the losses are still high, and they are currently just at the average level. There is speculation as to why the numbers are decreasing. When it comes to the number of engagements, it remains at approximately the same level. Russia is still slowly advancing. The intensity of the war is not significantly lower to explain this. Some argue that Russia is attacking with fewer soldiers, which could be an explanation combined with a significant increase in the number of drones. It seems that they do not need as many soldiers. A more somber explanation could be that Ukraine is finding it harder to push back.

Regarding military equipment, there has also been a slight decrease recently, but overall, it is still high. As we will see further down, the type of equipment that Russia is losing in Ukraine has changed.

Losses of artillery and MLRS

The losses of artillery have also decreased slightly recently, but it has fluctuated more during the war and has not decreased as much. There was a significant decline earlier, but North Korea has likely come to the rescue. The trend is currently downward, but whether it is temporary can only be speculated, and the reasons for the decrease are uncertain. Russia continues to use artillery at approximately the same rate as before. In the worst case, Ukraine is finding it harder to neutralize them. MLRS losses have varied throughout the war, and there are few pieces being taken out, making it difficult to draw conclusions from that.

Tanks and armored vehicles

The downward trend in tanks has been ongoing for a long time, although it varies slightly, and we are now at the lowest level throughout the war. The trend seems to have leveled off, but this is because only a few tanks are being used now. It cannot decrease much further. Some days there are zero tanks in the daily loss report. It is suspected that Russia is running out of tanks. They do not have an abundance of them, but it is more likely that they have changed tactics and are conserving them. It is too costly to have them taken out by cheap drones. When it comes to other armored vehicles, the situation is similar. There has been a significant decrease for a long time, although there may be a slight increase recently.

As mentioned, I suspect a change in tactics. Perhaps we will see larger mechanized losses in the future when they believe they can make a breakthrough at a certain front.

UAVs (Drones, etc.) and air defense

Regarding UAVs, we see an almost logarithmic increasing curve where the number has risen significantly, mainly since the turn of the year. Russia has evidently managed to increase its manufacturing capacity, likely with significant help from China.

On the other hand, air defense is on a downward trend. I believe this is because Russia is struggling to manufacture at the rate they are being used. Additionally, they are also used to protect locations inside Russia that are difficult for Ukraine to reach. Here, too, there are very few losses per day, often none at all, making the statistics less reliable for detecting trends.

Logistics, other vehicles, fuel trucks, etc.

Regarding logistics and “soft” vehicles, the curve had previously been upward and slowly increasing, but that trend has now reversed and turned downward again, although the losses are still very high. There could be several reasons for this, one of which is related to the reduced use of tanks and armored vehicles. Fewer maintenance vehicles such as fuel trucks and recovery vehicles are needed. If Russia is using fewer soldiers in their attacks, this applies to them as well. It could also be that they have learned to protect themselves better, and by increasingly using lighter vehicles, they may be harder to take out, even though more of them are required. However, there are still many losses.

As for special equipment, we see the most significant decrease already in 2024. Much of this equipment may be radar stations, etc., required for air defense, and it may simply be that Russia is struggling to replace this type of more complex equipment. Or they choose to place it further from the front lines. There has been a slight increase recently, and we have seen Ukraine take out radar systems, for example, in Crimea.

KWIA and logistics, monthly overview per year

Another overview where it is easier to see how things have developed. At the top, we have the losses of soldiers, and even though they have decreased, they are still the second highest for the same period compared to other years during the war. This also shows how logistics in the form of regular “soft” vehicles has been.

Number of combat engagements

Regarding the number of combat events, there was a peak at New Year, then it decreased before rising again, and now it has decreased slightly once more. Overall, it can be said that there is not a clear trend but rather very high activity.

Ratio of Russian equipment losses compared to Ukrainian

Throughout the war, Russia has lost more equipment than Ukraine. Now in 2025, there was a brief period in May and just a few weeks ago when it was the opposite. Currently, the ratio over the last 30 days is 1.0. Both sides are losing approximately the same amount.

Artillery and drones

Russian artillery attacks have decreased slightly recently but are at roughly the same level as throughout 2025. The significant change is the drones, which have increased significantly. Some days we see over 6,000 and if this trend continues, it will surpass that as an average. However, we can sense a decreased rate of increase; perhaps they have reached their upper limit, and it will plateau. I suspect that this is only temporary. Drones are cheap and effective, and with support from China, unfortunately, they can likely continue to increase their numbers. It is challenging to halt this as well. Drones do not require large factories that Ukraine can take out. In that case, the chances may be greater if they target ammunition production or the petrochemical industries they depend on.

Summary

Since the last time I went through the statistics, not much has happened. The trends are pointing in roughly the same direction. Russia is increasing its use of both suicide drones on the front lines and in its nightly terrorist attacks with Shaheds, etc. The decrease in armor, etc. continues as well as the loss of soldiers, yet they continue to make small advances on the front lines. When it comes to equipment, both sides are losing about the same amount.

So, things don’t look very bright for Ukraine. Previously, they have exchanged land for significant Russian losses, and even though the losses are still high, unfortunately, it seems that the situation is roughly the same for Ukraine.

What has actually happened since last time, which is very positive, is not related to any of the above. It is, of course, the fact that Ukraine has once again started to launch attacks deep into Russia and has managed to strike at oil refineries, depots, pump stations, and factories. This, of course, does not have an immediate effect (fuel shortage also complicates matters), but it is something that in the long run will destroy the already fragile Russian economy and hit hard on all fronts as shortages and rising fuel prices affect everything.

If Ukraine can continue and perhaps even increase the pace, it could be decisive in the end.


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96 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-09-07”

  1. A selection of Tim White’s reporting from the Russians’ terror attacks last night, which was one of the most intense.

    “Day 1292 of Ukraine’s fight for survival, and Sunday begins with Russia again hitting civilians across the country in another massive attack on a sleeping population. It’s gone 5am in🇺🇦, no-one’s able to sleep yet, and I’m starting another daily thread before going to bed…”

    “The scene in Kyiv this morning. Just before dawn, the skyline is filled with smoke after more terrorist strikes by Russia. Terrorism and nukes are all Putin has left. TACO Trump is the weakest US President ever, yet again failing to honour his deadline, refusing to stop Putin.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7mu4p3rc2i

    “Four districts of Kyiv are known to have serious damage. Just outside the city Borshchaivka and Brovary, while in the capital, Darnytskyi and here Sviatoshynskyi also suffered fires in residential buildings following Russia’s drone attack.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7mz6kg2c2i

    “In the last few minutes the first death of the night in Kyiv has just been announced. Emergency workers recovered the body of an elderly woman from the site of one strike in the Darnytskyi area.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7n6vn3lk2i

    “11 people are known to have been injured in Kyiv alone, but that is sure to rise. This destroyed building is in Brovary, just east of the city. full of freaks who accept this humanity. Maybe worse, people in the west who accept it, too scared to act.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7nhqtjn22i

    “1/1 Also in Kyiv region, on the border of the city limits, Borshchahivka, another apartment block was hit.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7nmhmg4k2i

    “2/2 Here’s another view from the site of the strike on Borshchahivka, a district west of Kyiv, in the wider oblast/region.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7nti423s2i

    “Not only Kyiv was hit though – a reminder that 15 people were injured in an atrocity in Zaporizhzhia last night (see Saturday’s thread) Also Odesa, Dnipro and Kryvyi Rih suffered explosions. The mayor of the latter city says 3 locations were hit as ballistics and drones rained down”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7odfmcgc2i

    “Four cruise missiles now entering the capital. Russia has already killed one old lady and injured 18 other civilians in Kyiv today.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7pmzlpnc2t

    “Odesa too has been hit in this morning’s massive drone attack. The council says “civilian infrastructure and residential buildings were damaged. Several fires broke out in the city, including in multi-storey buildings.” No reports of injuries yet.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7puhky4k2t

    “More arrivals in Odesa. This time near the port area by the look of it.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7pzemof22t

    “Russia hit “transport and urban infrastructure facilities” in the private sector Kryvyi Rih. Fortunately, with air raid warnings, no injuries were sustained, but trams/trolleybuses are not working due to the damage caused by the missile and drone attack.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7rfw5csk2i

    “It was possibly the biggest ever single attack in world history. The “missile map” shows the density. Awaiting official figures from the air force, but monitors say there were probably over 900 drones Russia also fired around about 19 missiles (8 ballistic, 9 cruise).”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3ly7tgzny722i

  2. ⚡️ 751 ENEMY TARGETS DESTROYED/SUPPRESSED

    On the night of September 7 (starting at 5 p.m. on September 6), the enemy launched a combined strike on Ukrainian territory using strike UAVs and ground-based missiles. In total, during the strike, the Air Force’s radio-technical troops detected and tracked 818 air attack vehicles:

    – 805 Shahed-type strike UAVs and various types of dummy drones from the directions of Kursk, Bryansk, Millerovo, Orel, Shatalovo, Primorsko-Akhtarsk – Russian Federation, Gvardeyskoye, Chauda – TOT Crimea;
    – 9 Iskander-K cruise missiles from the Kursk region – Russian Federation;
    – 4 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles from Crimea.

    The air attack was repelled by aviation, anti-aircraft missile forces, electronic warfare and unmanned systems units, and mobile fire groups of the Ukrainian Defense Forces.

    💥 According to preliminary data, as of 08:30, air defense forces shot down/suppressed 751 air targets:

    – 747 enemy Shahed-type UAVs and various types of drone simulators;
    – 4 Iskander-K cruise missiles.

    Nine missiles and 56 strike UAVs were recorded hitting 37 locations, with debris falling at eight locations.

    ❗️The attack continues, with several enemy UAVs still in the airspace. Follow safety rules and stay in shelters!

      1. 91% a very good ratio. 747/818=0.913.

        But the 9% that hit are deadly. 71 deadly drones/missiles in one night. Not something any other European city has experienced since World War II.

        1. They probably have an incredibly well-maintained air defense. It has been built up at the same time as the development and use of drones, so the countermeasures have been adapted accordingly.

          If Ry were to decide to go all-in against any other country on its eastern border, the situation would be almost the opposite during the first few days, with great devastation as a result.

  3. The Survey

    Most votes received:
    “The meeting is just a first introductory meeting of many, no significant result from just this meeting (39%, 69 Votes)”

    Closely followed by:
    “The entire peace process halts and the war continues as Ukraine refuses to accept conditions that involve giving up parts of its territory (35%, 63 Votes)”

    I would argue that both alternatives fit quite well with what happened.
    The meeting didn’t really produce any major results (other than Europe showing its support for Ukraine by participating). There have been some follow-up meetings, but not with all parties involved so it doesn’t feel like that part is quite accurate (at least not yet).

    What we voted for next most also aligns, Ukraine has been clear that they are not willing to give up land but perhaps mainly that they demand security guarantees that can be trusted. The peace process has essentially stalled. Perhaps mainly because it has not been possible to arrange a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin, which Trump seems to consider crucial. It sounds more and more like Trump is starting to give up.
    He has, in fact, threatened again with sanctions on a broader front and not just against India.

    Regardless, we have together managed quite well to predict the outcome as 74% voted for the two alternatives that best fit what actually happened.

     

  4. N Slobozhansky-Kursk 7
    S Slobozhansky 7
    Kupyansk 6
    Lyman 12💥↘️
    Siverskyi 14💥
    Kramatorsk 10💥↗️
    Toretsk 13💥
    Pokrovsk 52💥💥💥
    Novopavlivka 26💥💥↘️
    Huliaypillia 0
    Orikhivsk 1
    Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 0

    In total, 170 combat engagements were recorded over the past day.

    In the North Slobozhansky and Kursk directions, Ukrainian defenders repelled seven Russian attacks. Over the past day, the enemy carried out nine air strikes, dropping a total of 23 guided bombs, and carried out 245 artillery strikes, including four from multiple launch rocket systems.

    In the South Slobozhanskyi direction, our troops stopped seven enemy attacks in the areas of Vovchansk, Ambarne, Kamianka, and in the direction of Novovasylivka.

    Yesterday, there were six attacks by the invaders in the Kupiansk direction. Our defenders repelled enemy assaults in the Kupiansk area and in the direction of Novoplatonivka and Nova Kruhlyakivka.

    In the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 12 times, trying to break through our defenses near the settlements of Hrekivka, Ridkodub, Karpivka, Kolodyazi, Torske, and in the direction of Shandryholove and Derylove.

    In the Siverskyi direction, the Defense Forces repelled 14 enemy attacks near Serebryanka, Hryhorivka, Pereizne, and in the direction of Dronivka.

    Yesterday, there were 10 combat clashes in the Kramatorsk direction. The invader attempted to advance towards the settlements of Bondarne, Virolyubivka, Stupochky, and Bila Hora.

    In the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out 13 attacks in the areas of Shcherbinivka, Katerynivka, Rusyn Yar, Poltavka, and in the direction of Pleshchiivka.

    In the Pokrovsk direction, our defenders stopped 52 assaults by the aggressor in the areas of the settlements of Shakhov, Novoekonomichne, Myrolyubivka, Promin, Sukhyi Yar, Lysivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne, and towards Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Pokrovsk, Zvirovo, Molodetsk, Novopavlivka, and Filiya.

    In the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy carried out 26 attacks yesterday in the areas of the settlements of Zelenyi Hai, Tolstoy, Maliivka, Shevchenko, Komyshuvakha, and in the direction of Filiya, Oleksandrohrad, Novoselivka, and Sosnivka.

    In the Huliaipole direction, the enemy did not conduct any offensive actions over the past day.

    In the Orikhiv direction, it made one attempt to break through the defenses of our defenders in the direction of Stepnogorsk.

    Enemy troops did not conduct offensive operations in the Prydniprovsk direction.

    In the Volyn and Polissya directions, no signs of the formation of enemy offensive groups were detected.

  5. Russia preparing ‘decisive breakthrough‘ near Pokrovsk, Ukrainian military says. Russian troops near Pokrovsk are attempting to secure new positions and expand the boundaries of the “gray zone,” according to Ukraine’s 7th Rapid Response Corps of the Airborne Assault Forces.

    https://kyivindependent.com/russia-preparing-decisive-breakthrough-near-pokrovsk-ukrainian-military-says/

    Ukrainian military officials said Russia recently deployed experienced marine units to the Pokrovsk area. In recent weeks, Russian forces have shifted tactics, sending small groups to infiltrate deep into the city while avoiding direct clashes with Ukrainian forces.

    The corps said Russia’s main objective in Pokrovsk is to approach Ukrainian drone and mortar positions, disperse defense forces, and entrench new positions while expanding the gray zone.

    On the flanks, Russian troops have increased assaults using armored and motorized vehicles in an effort to sever supply routes and encircle the Pokrovsk area.

     
  6. 🧵1/10

    On 4 September, the biggest news comes from the russian Federation.

    Here, the Russian war effort has reached a breaking point, forcing the state to adopt measures once thought unthinkable to keep its military machine running.

    With millions of casualties mounting and the labor force collapsing, russian teenagers are now rapidly being pulled into the war economy to fill the gaps.

    (A screenshot from the RFU News – Reporting from Ukraine YouTube video.)

    🧵2/10 In recent weeks, reports have begun to emerge about significant shifts within tussia’s defense sector.

    What makes the reports especially alarming is that one of the first confirmed cases of underage labor has emerged at the Alabuga complex, where teenagers are now being used to assemble drones. Some are recruited from technical schools, while others are brought in with minimal training. Most live in guarded dormitories and work under surveillance, with punishments for errors and accounts of forced overtime

    (A screenshot from the RFU News – Reporting from Ukraine YouTube video.)

    🧵https://x.com/anno1540/status/1964190133093044394?s=46

    Source:
    https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/09/05/frontline-report-russian-drone-factories-now-staffed-by-teenagers-as-adult-workforce-collapses/

  7. “Kyiv attack record high: ”A serious escalation”

    Ukraine’s Prime Minister now confirms that the building housing the country’s government offices has been damaged in a Russian attack during Sunday morning, reports BBC. Several people have died in what the country’s air force describes as the largest air raid since the beginning of the war.

    ”For the first time ever, the government building has been damaged by an attack. Among other things, the roof and the upper floors,” says Prime Minister Julia Svyrydenko, adding that the building will be restored.

    It is not yet known whether it was a direct attack, or if the building was damaged indirectly. If the building was a target, it should be seen as an escalation in the war, as Russia has previously avoided attacks on government quarters in Kyiv.

    Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha calls it ”a serious escalation”, in a post on X.

    The building is the workplace of Ukraine’s government and includes, among other things, the ministers’ offices. “
    https://omni.se/nattens-dronarattack-den-storsta-under-hela-kriget/a/lw6V59

  8. “Currently, Ukraine produces 60 percent of the weapons used by the army, says President Zelensky in his daily video briefing according to AFP.

    – These are powerful weapons with many advanced features, he adds.

    In July, Zelensky set a goal of 50 percent of Ukrainian-made weapons on the front lines within six months, which has already been exceeded.

    The president and other Ukrainian officials have long emphasized the importance of increasing domestic weapons production for long-term security.”
    https://omni.se/zelenskyj-60-procent-av-vara-vapen-byggs-har/a/pP3WPo

  9. “The Swedish Defence Materiel Administration FMV is tasked by the government to review the vulnerabilities related to computer chips or semiconductor components used by the Armed Forces, reports Ekot.

    – It could be submarines or fighter jets or any other part of the Armed Forces where there is a heavy reliance on semiconductors. Then you need to know where the semiconductors come from and what it would mean if we do not have a high supply security for them, says Minister of Defence Pål Jonson (M) to the radio.

    The purpose of the investigation is to deepen the understanding of the vulnerabilities, so that the delivery security can be strengthened.”
    https://omni.se/nytt-uppdrag-forsvarets-halvledare-ska-ses-over/a/QMGyOx

  10. Off-Topic, Sweden – weather

    Do we have any readers from the affected areas?
    Best to stay at home and hang out here instead!

    “Rain chaos in Västernorrland – several roads washed away

    An VMA, important message to the public, has been issued in Västernorrland after heavy rainfall. Residents in the municipalities of Kramfors, Sollefteå, Örnsköldsvik, and Härnösand are advised not to venture out on the roads.

    There is no forecast for how long the warning will apply, says the emergency services’ alarm and management operator Mikael Åsholm to TT.

    – We cannot prohibit people from going out on the roads, but one should be cautious. If it can be avoided, it should be done.

    Even the Swedish Transport Administration warns about the road conditions. E4 north of Sundsvall is described as very difficult to pass, as gravel and water have washed up on the road. …”
    https://omni.se/varning-i-vasternorrland-ta-inte-bilen-efter-skyfallen/a/W0wjVj

    1. Hmm, who benefits the most, I wonder?, it is speculated that it is the Houthis, but cutting internet cables is a very broad target, it doesn’t really benefit the Houthis directly.

  11. Why settle for color when you can drone the RU embassy?
    Spread some false narrative among the gangsters in Stockholm so they can blow up a bit in the neighborhood.

    1. The leader of the opposition party has been seen together with the staff at the embassy. Additionally, participated in the embassy’s summer lunch reception.

  12. In this moment, a tanker is passing through the strait without any issues, with destination Ust Luga.

    She is sailing high as she is empty.

    Torpedo the crap out of her or force her to port for inspection!

  13. Interesting statistics. Regarding the cause of personnel losses, increased use of drones (by AFRF) and decreased capability of AFU to combat Russian troops do not need to exclude each other but can be the same thing. Advancement in small groups can occur under the protection of drones. “Drone corridor”? Therefore, increased use of drones provides increased protection for troops that become harder to combat.

    Another reason may be given in the article I link to above that Russian troops advance in small groups to infiltrate as deeply as possible without primarily seeking combat. This is somewhat contradicted by the fact that combat contacts in the statistics have not decreased to the same extent. Unless combating small groups in depth also results in a high number of combat contacts, albeit involving fewer personnel. (For example, in 2022, one combat contact/attack involved 20-30 men while in 2025 it corresponds to 5-10 men.)

    1. It may absolutely be as you write,

      The drones themselves reduce losses for the Russians because they act as protection. It may also mean that they do not need to attack with as large forces. In addition, the drones make it possible to find safer ways into the depth.

  14. https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/09/04/mistaken-identity/

    🧵1/7
    https://x.com/anno1540/status/1964614014748565757?s=46

    A fearless Ukrainian trooper posed as russian, got close—and then opened fire

    Identities can be unclear along the porous front line in Ukraine. That’s an opportunity for cold-blooded ambushes.

    The Ukrainian army’s 425th Assault Regiment is about to deploy ex-Australian M-1 Abrams tanks, making it only the second Ukrainian unit to do so. But even after the 69-ton M-1s arrive, the regiment’s most important assets may be the creativity, courage and sheer aggression of its infantry

    (425th Assault Regiment troopers apply identification tape. 425th Assault Regiment photo.)

    2/7
    Consider the 425th Assault Regiment trooper who recently posed as russian, fell in with two russian soldiers—and then gunned them down from a few feet away.
    x.com/425Skala/statu…

    One of the regiment’s drones observed the cold-blooded ambush from overhead.

    russian and Ukrainian infantry often wear similar uniforms—and identify themselves with colored armbands. Further complicating the identity crisis, russian sabotage groups have been known to dress in captured or copied Ukrainian uniforms when they infiltrate Ukrainian lines.

    In any event, the victims mistook that 425th Assault Regiment Trooper for an ally. The Ukrainian trooper may have encouraged this misconception by speaking the right language.

    Most russians speak russian, of course—but then, so do many Ukrainians

  15. Regarding the cables in the Red Sea…
    Considering that the cut cables affect the internet in large parts of Asia, one starts to wonder…

    An “internet vacuum” would fit well with an attack or preparation for an attack against Taiwan…

    The first question is always “who benefits from it?” and here it is clear (at least in my opinion) that China is the one who benefits the most from this.

    But I could be wrong.

    1. 17 pieces on one board is A LOT.

      You damaged 11 pieces during a year in the Baltic Sea.

      Keep an eye on what happens next is my advice.

      That is part of a chain of events, exactly what we will see very soon.

  16. https://x.com/ragnars/status/1963548032701481256?s=46

    Robotics War is already happening NOW – in 🇺🇦 skies.

    After 3.5 years, Russia’s invasion has become a full-scale technological conflict, moving with rapid speed. Up to 70–80% of casualties now come from unmanned systems. Each new capability buys only 2–3 months before countermeasures appear.

    Ukrainian skies, roads, and waters are the first theater of robot-vs-robot combat. Ukraine made AI-guided interceptors hunt Shaheds nightly – sometimes with a 70% success rate. The fastest mil-tech cycle on earth runs in Ukrainian garages and factories: build → deploy → combat feedback in 24 hours → iterate. Some teams deliver straight to the trenches to tune in real time.

    Russia is scaling too. In July 2025 it launched 6,100+ Shaheds—14× July 2024 and 16% more than June—including 728 in a single day. New variants fly higher, use thermal sensors and faster processors, and even display swarm-like behavior. A jet-powered Shahed now reaches ~700 km/h, outrunning many interceptors. They appear to react when hunted — swerving and dodging, as if they “know” they’re being pursued. This is exactly what the first robot-on-robot war looks like — two autonomous systems trying to outsmart each other in real time.

    It’s not only about tech – the biggest threat from Russia is the Rubicon drone unit, which is scaling very fast. Their drone forces were behind in cutting the Ukrainian army logistics in Kursk – and now they are trying to repeat it everywhere.

    On the ground, FPV drones with optical tethering can strike 30 km behind the line, while “sleeping drones” wait for hours before ambush. UGVs are fielded at scale for logistics, CASEVAC, mining, and strikes.  Ukraine appears to be ahead in this field & on August 1st UGV-focused only units were established.

    In July 2025, the 3rd Assault Brigade executed a fully autonomous operation in Kharkiv Oblast that compelled a Russian surrender—without Ukrainian soldiers directly in the assault.

    At sea, Ukraine’s long-range surface drones have pushed the Black Sea Fleet back and now mount air-to-air weapons. On Dec 31, 2024, a Magura V5 destroyed a Russian Mi-8—the first time a USV downed a manned aircraft. Some sea drones now act as launch pads and comms relays to extend smaller drones’ range.

    These aren’t anecdotes; they mark a new era where autonomy sits at the center of battlefield advantage. Ukraine’s top drone units resemble high-performance startups—own recruiting, training, financing, and culture—powered not just by prime contractors but by thousands of volunteers and civil society.

    One advanced brigade includes over 70 data architects analyzing live intelligence 24/7. These units build rapid learning loops, adapting to battlefield changes faster than traditional military units. This is how Ukraine has contained a military superpower.

    It’s also why NATO and partners must support and learn from Ukraine now: robotic warfare has arrived, and Ukraine is writing the first chapter with its blood and resilience.

    1. And for this, we must first understand how this affects us in a military conflict!

      Will Sweden be able to withstand an attack of 600 martyrs advancing 20 miles into the country?? Or even further?

      How do we protect civilians against thermographics, IR, and an enemy we can barely see?

      Can we develop “Viet Cong tunnels” for Swedish conditions? Because that’s where we’re heading very soon. And we do NOT have time to wait for “someone else” because there is no one else, and if there is, they have too long a lead time!

      Can we develop handheld signature suppressors? We must quickly develop a “combat competence” for us civilians.

       

      1. Sweden still has a largely usable infrastructure left from before the dismantling of the defense, including the civilian infrastructure. Even if some of this has been sold off, it is well expropriable?

  17. I unfortunately do not get the feeling that China and Russia were worried that Europe finally stood up.

    They are too far gone in their preparations.

    The hope was of course that, but I do not see it in how China and Russia are acting.

    1. ***
      Europe is *probably* very late to the game, regardless of whether there is high speed in building up a defense. However, what is in Europe’s favor *is* that we have several decades of strong economy behind us, which to some extent should be able to compensate for the tardiness. But in terms of real military power, Europe is *perhaps* not where we *should* be to independently make China and Russia think twice. It is *well* a matter of time, though, if current efforts continue at this pace?

  18. I have long been pondering Transnistria – constantly getting “two battalions there and 5000 in the militia” as an answer, but it seems like everyone has forgotten about the weapons depot?

    RU trained militias in Slovenia and probably can smuggle personnel into Transnistria without major problems, I guess.

    A difficult attack vector for Ukraine to handle if they are simultaneously attacked from Belarus, for example, and RU keeps the pressure up at the fronts.

    Something mischievous is brewing and Transnistria should not be excluded at all.

  19. “Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky states in a post on X that additional help with air defense is needed to put an end to ‘these heinous attacks’. The statement comes after last night’s record-breaking attack, which caused a fire in the country’s government building.

    ‘The world can force the Kremlin’s criminals to stop the murders – all that is needed is political will. I thank everyone who is helping,’ he writes.

    It is currently unknown how the fire in the government office building’s roof and top floors is linked to the attack. But according to Kyiv’s mayor, Vitali Klitschko, a downed drone may have hit the building, reports the BBC.

    Several European leaders have expressed their support for Ukraine during the day. Among others, Ulf Kristersson, Mark Rutte, Ursula von der Leyen, Emmanuel Macron, and Keir Starmer have expressed their concern over the latest escalation.

    ‘For the first time, the heart of Ukraine’s civilian government has been damaged. These cowardly attacks show that Putin believes he can act with impunity. He is not serious about peace,’ says Starmer.”
    https://omni.se/zelenskyj-far-stod-av-eu-ledare-efter-vidrig-attack/a/KMonn7

  20. WTF! 🤮
    “The Russian tennis star Daniil Medvedev has a new coach in the form of Thomas Johansson. The Swede will share coaching duties with the Australian Rohan Goetzke, according to Tennis World USA.

    Medvedev is a former world number one but has slipped down to 13th place after a tough season. He was knocked out of the US Open in the first round after a scandalous match that resulted in a fine of 400,000 kronor for him.”
    https://omni.se/formsvag-ryss-tar-hjalp-av-svensk-grand-slam-vinnare/a/1MK5MQ

  21. https://x.com/generalstaffua/status/1964646349577814228?s=46

    ⚡️Important targets of the Russian aggressor have been hit

    ⚡️As part of efforts to reduce the enemy’s offensive capabilities and complicate the supply of fuel and ammunition to the occupiers’ military units, on the night of September 7, units of the missile forces, artillery, and unmanned systems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in cooperation with other components of the Defense Forces, struck the 8-N linear production dispatch station (LPDS) near the village of Naitopovichi in the Bryansk region of the Russian Federation.

    The LVDS “8-N” is part of the “Staloy Kon” main oil pipeline complex, which has a pumping capacity of 10.5 million tons. The facility is of strategic importance for ensuring the transportation of petroleum products for the Russian occupation army. Numerous hits were recorded, followed by a fire in the area of the pumping station and tank farm.

    ⚡️In addition, units of the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out a fire strike on the facilities of the Ilsky Oil Refinery in the Krasnodar Territory of the Russian Federation. This oil refinery processes 6.42 million tons of oil annually and is involved in supplying the Russian armed forces. Explosions and a fire were recorded in the area of the facility. The results of the attack are being clarified.

    ⚡️In addition, successful strikes on the locations of occupying personnel and warehouses supplying Russian military units in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation have been confirmed.

    The results of the fire damage are being clarified.

    The defense forces are taking measures to undermine the offensive potential of the Russian invaders and force the Russian Federation to stop its armed aggression against Ukraine.

    To be continued!
    Glory to Ukraine!🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

    1. Full asymmetric warfare right now 👍

      Trump doesn’t like it so we in Europe have given our blessing reasonably.

      How to bring down a country – just wait until the operation to turn off the lights starts again in autumn 😍

  22. The long-term strategy, where Ukraine focuses on domestic arms manufacturing, decentralized defense, and making Russian aggression operationally irrelevant, it’s almost like watching a “Steel Porcupine” model emerge: steadfast, resilient, and effective.
    #slavaukrainii

  23. Did you see that Poland has closed the border to Ukraine again?

    It’s only for three hours, but it’s the only way into Ukraine by road.

  24. Defense strategy: wait for the order

    MARS 1809:
    THE RUSSIANS ON THE ISLAND OF OBBOLA, East coast of northern Sweden.

    On March 21, 1809, a Russian army of 2,700 men, under the command of Lieutenant General Barclay de Tolly, crossed the ice of the Kvarken to attack Umea. When the Russians set up camp at Obbola on the night of March 22, they were discovered by a Swedish ski patrol from Degernäs, who reported the exhausted and frozen Russians to their commanders. Many soldiers froze to death during this march and were left behind on the ice. It is said that they chopped up a frozen ship near the shore to light fires to warm themselves. However, the Swedish command refrained from a surprise attack despite the good prospects of success. On the same day, the Russians marched on to Umea, which surrendered without resistance.

    Wait for it…

    A few days later, the Russians received orders to return to Finland.

    The battle over Kvarken came to have no significance for this war. Barclay de Tolly later became Russian Minister of War under Tsar Alexander. Perhaps it was his experiences from the battle over Kvarken that led to the Russians defeating Napoleon in 1812. De Tolly advised the Tsar to avoid any decisive battle and instead let the Russian winter defeat the French.

      1. Not so anxious 😰. The information set up locally locally on site. Take down all paintings, burn all history books? Sounds like something crucial historically happened here in terms of how the Napoleonic war ended. But not teach us. Not see not hear… 🙈 

  25. Do you want to post some longer posts 205 so contact MXT to see if they can be a post in between?

    He can usually be bribed with a bottle of liquor.

    I always read them with interest 😀

  26. Operational information as of 08:00 on 08.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion.

    A total of 156 combat clashes were recorded over the past day.

    Yesterday, the enemy launched three missile and 75 air strikes on the positions of Ukrainian units and populated areas, using 16 missiles and 143 guided bombs. In addition, it carried out 4,703 shellings, 184 of which were from multiple launch rocket systems, and used 4,679 kamikaze drones to strike targets.

    The aggressor carried out air strikes, in particular on the areas of the settlements of Novopavlivka, Shcherbaky, Magdalynivka, Lukyanivske in the Zaporizhzhia region, and Antonivka in the Kherson region.

    Yesterday, the aviation, missile forces, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck one artillery unit and three areas where enemy personnel were concentrated.

    In the North Slobozhansky and Kursk directions, Ukrainian defenders repelled nine Russian attacks. The enemy carried out 15 air strikes, dropped a total of 38 guided aerial bombs, and carried out 216 artillery strikes, including six from multiple launch rocket systems.

    Over the past day, 14 combat engagements took place in the South Slobozhanskyi direction in the areas of Vovchansk, Ambarne, and Kamianka.

    Five attacks by the occupiers were recorded in the Kupiansk direction. The defense forces repelled the enemy’s assault in the Kupiansk area and in the direction of Pishchane.

    In the Liman direction, the enemy attacked 17 times, trying to advance near the settlements of Karpivka, Hrekivka, Serednie, and in the direction of Drobysheve, Shandryholove, and Derylove.

    In the Siverskyi direction, the aggressor attacked near Serebryanka, Hryhorivka, and in the direction of Yampil and Siversk. In total, there were 12 combat engagements over the past day.

    In the Kramatorsk direction, the Defense Forces repelled four enemy attacks in the areas of Markove, Orikhovo-Vasylivka, and in the direction of Stupochky and Minkivka.

    In the Toretsk direction, the enemy carried out eight attacks in the areas of Poltavka, Shcherbinivka, and in the direction of Pleshchiivka.

    In the Pokrovsk direction, our defenders stopped 43 attacks by the aggressor in the areas of the settlements of Shakhov, Vilne, Kotlyne, Novopidhorodne, Novoekonomichne, Rodynske, Myrolyubivka, Pokrovsk, Zvirove, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Dachne, Novoukrainka, and in the direction of Novopavlivka.

    In the Novopavlivka direction, the Defense Forces repelled 22 enemy assaults in the areas of Komyshuvakha, Zelenyi Hai, Obratne, Olgivske, Oleksandrohrad, and in the direction of Ivanivka, Sosnivka, and Filiya.

    In the Huliaipole direction, the enemy did not conduct any offensive actions during the past day.

    In the Orikhiv direction, the aggressor attacked the positions of our defenders four times in the Plavni area and in the direction of Mala Tokmachka, Stepnogorsk, and Novodanilivka.

    Over the past day, the enemy did not conduct any offensive operations in the Prydniprovsk direction.

    In the Volyn and Polissya directions, there were no signs of the enemy forming offensive groups.

    Our soldiers are inflicting significant losses on the occupying forces in terms of manpower and equipment, as well as actively undermining the enemy’s offensive potential in the rear.

    Over the past day, the losses of the Russian occupation forces amounted to 910 people. The Ukrainian Defense Forces also destroyed five tanks, four armored combat vehicles, 29 artillery systems, 461 tactical-level unmanned aerial vehicles, five missiles, and 81 enemy vehicles.

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