The war in Ukraine 2025-09-13

By /

Russian losses in Ukraine:

  • 950 KIA
  • 4 Tanks
  • 1 AFVs
  • 39 Artillery systems
  • 1 MLRS
  • 358 UAVs
  • 109 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
War in Ukraine - Russian losses

SLAVA UKRAINI

facebookShare on Facebook
TwitterPost on X


Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!

74 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-09-13”

  4. MXT

    I guess Turkey can make a nice profit here, partly getting rid of worthless air defense systems and partly being able to charge more than they paid for them since Russia seems to be getting desperate. It’s probably Putin who needs more close defense for his palaces.

    “❗️🇷🇺Russia has approached 🇹🇷Turkey with a proposal to buy back the S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems that were delivered to Ankara in 2019.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lyp3gndwpk2w

    1. 205

      Yes, the most remarkable thing is still that Turkey, a NATO country, bought Russian. And it wasn’t long ago that France built Mistral-class naval vessels for Russia. 🙄 🧏🧑‍🦯‍➡️

  5. MXT

    “Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has arrived in Odesa, joined by British philanthropist Lord Ashcroft, People’s Deputy Oleksiy Honcharenko reported.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lyp2svjkgk2r

    “Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex, visited a site of a Russian attack in Kyiv. City military chief Tymur Tkachenko thanked Harry for his compassion and support for children and the wounded.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lyp2p5zkbc2r

  7. MXT

    Russian propaganda at work again: in Filiia, Dnipropetrovsk region, Russians shelled with MLRS and FPVs, then sent a swimmer to plant a flag on one house. Minutes later, Ukrainian troops cleared the area, tore it down and raised the Ukrainian flag. To our knowledge, Filiia remains AFU controlled.

      1. MXT

        He unfortunately survived.

        Putin will personally award him the medal Baddaren of the blue degree for his efforts for Mother Russia. 

  8. MXT

    “Ukraine’s EW systems have become more effective against Russian Kinzhal missiles, making hits less frequent, Suspilne reports citing General Staff sources. Russia has already lost at least $1.5B countering EW, forced to equip bombs and Shaheds with costly CRPA antennas worth $10–17K each.”

  9. MXT

    Denmark has chosen the Franco-Italian SAMP/T long-range air defense system over the US Patriot, signing a $9.1B deal for 8 units – the country’s largest single defense investment, FT reports. The first system is expected to be operational already in 2025.

        1. Umlaut

          They have probably planned to take down the Gripen when we discover that the Scanians have started eating open sandwiches and drinking strong beer for lunch. Plus, they probably have a Ukrainian weapon factory in Denmark soon, they have probably managed to make some clever modifications to SAM systems?

  14. MXT

    🚨 +18 🚛 En spridd kolumn av ett dussin mobiker, flera lastbilar med ammunition och självcyklar. Hoppas att 2 km framsteg var värt det. Enligt planen! 👍 😳

  15. 205

    Recommends that KWIA has a slowly rising curve, approaching a thousand. It seems like, as you have pointed out, there is an increased intensity in the conflicts. Which probably is related to Zapad.

  17. MXT

    ⚡️Russian offensive in Sumy Oblast ‘completely thwarted,’ Zelensky says. “As of today, we can state that the Russian offensive operation on Sumy has been completely thwarted by our forces,” President Zelensky said on Sept. 12, citing front-line reports from Commander-in-chief Syrskyi.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3lyokv2o2g223
    https://kyivindependent.com/russian-offensive-in-sumy-oblast-completely-thwarted-zelensky-says/

  19. MXT

    Yes, that’s what we’ve been saying for quite some time now, nice that some people there in Germany seem to start understanding it.
    Send Taurus the day before yesterday!

    “The head of the German parliament’s defense committee, Thomas Röwekamp, ​​​​said that the best way to combat drones during war is to destroy their production facilities and launchers on Russian territory, and NATO partners should provide Ukraine with the necessary capabilities for this.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3lyogwuekls2g

  21. MXT

    “A earthquake has taken place off the east coast of Russia, according to the US Geological Survey USGS. The earthquake had a magnitude of 7.4 and its epicenter was 112 kilometers east of the city of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky on the Russian Kamchatka Peninsula. …”

  22. MXT

    Russia and Belarus carrying out “provocative actions” against the West during the large military exercise Zapad cannot be ruled out. That’s according to Joakim Paasikivi, former lieutenant colonel and now a geopolitical advisor, speaking to Expressen. It could, for example, happen in the form of airspace violations or incidents at sea, he says, but that the Western countries are “reasonably prepared for it”. 40,000 soldiers from NATO countries have been deployed in eastern Poland, the newspaper writes. …

  23. 205

     

    • N Slobozhansky-Kursk 3

    • S Slobozhansky 23💥💥↗️

    • Kupyansk 8

    • Lyman 17💥

    • Siverskyi 20💥

    • Kramatorsk 7

    • Toretsk 15💥

    • Pokrovsk 49💥💥💥↘️

    • Novopavlivka 16💥↘️

    • Huliaypillia 0
    • Orikhivsk 2
    • Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 2

     

  25. 205

    Would like to highlight a post by N Eklund in yesterday’s thread:

    N Eklund
    2025-09-12 at 21:21:36

    The question is whether Europe can achieve the same air superiority over Iran as Israel did? Or at least that we have the capability to do what Ukraine should have done a long time ago, bomb RU’s economy to pieces.

     

    I think this is a part that hasn’t been talked about much when discussing what the war in 2025 looks like.

     

    Regarding the drones in Poland, I believe as usual that it’s wrong to think that there is ONE reason, usually in analyses people want to find “the reason”. In reality, you weigh pros and cons on two different scales and see which way it tips and by how much.

    One major reason (that I haven’t seen anyone mention, but haven’t read everything) I believe is that RU wants to make Europe hesitate when it comes to sending weapons to Ukraine. Who can blame Poland in this situation if they want to strengthen their air defense and not send to Ukraine? Didn’t a boat with weapons promised to Ukraine arrive in Israel as a result of October 7th? This is something that could indicate that RU only wants to make Europe nervous, not angry.

    Speaking of reasons (in plural), I saw a teaser yesterday that Snapsavora threatened retaliation against Denmark for supplying fuel/fuel systems(?) to Ukraine for missiles.

    https://x.com/tallbarfin/status/1963301360578810162?s=46

    “Kremlin:

    “If Ukraine produces cruise missile propellant on Danish soil, it will be increasingly difficult not to see Denmark as a country directly involved in the Ukrainian conflict”

    Danes, don’t flinch, they threaten us Eastern Europeans like this constantly.”

     

    Note that this was a few days before the drone attack on Poland.

    Also provides some perspective on Denmark’s announcement of the procurement of air defense systems just a few days after the drone attack on Poland.

    https://x.com/heroiam_slava/status/1966608725042454663?s=46

    🇩🇰 The Danish government has chosen the Franco-Italian long-range air defense system SAMP-T over the most popular American alternative Patriot, and has signed a contract for 8 air defense systems worth $9.1 billion — the largest single investment in the country’s defense.

    Also see post in yesterday’s thread.

    https://johanno1.se/sv/ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-12-september-2025/#comment-48800

     

    1. MXT

      👍

      I previously wrote exactly that, that it may have been what they intended. It was in connection with news that LV would be sent to Poland. 

      Make sure that as many countries as possible start worrying about their own defense so they send less. Ideally, the population should also become scared so they not only demand that, but also want to see reduced support to avoid provoking Russia and thereby avoid being attacked.

    3. johan No.1

      This started a long time ago and I remember that in 2023 we warned that all countries’ EODs are looking at their own terms of reference first?

      That all weapon producers have a long queue.

      Hungary and Slovakia were early with large weapon purchases, where did they get the money from.

  26. MXT

    Off-Topic, Israel – Palestine

    “Israel’s former army chief Herzi Halevi says that over 200,000 Palestinians have been injured or killed in the war in Gaza, reports The Guardian. – This is not a mild war. We took off the gloves from the first minute. Unfortunately not earlier, said Halevi during the meeting first highlighted by Ynet. During a meeting with an agricultural cooperative in southern Israel, Halevi said that 10 percent of the 2.2 million people living in Gaza have been killed. The figure corresponds well with statistics from Gaza’s health department – something that Israel has dismissed as Hamas propaganda. According to the department, 64,718 have been killed and 163,859 injured, many of whom are believed to have died.”

    https://omni.se/a/Gyp2bB

  28. Umlaut

    They have probably planned to take down the Gripen when we discover that the Scanians have started eating open sandwiches and drinking beer for lunch.

  30. MXT

    Of course, it would be good, but I don’t understand why Trump himself can’t start with the USA.

    Could it be that he feels confident that not all NATO countries will agree to it, so he can blame that?

    He did not demand that everyone must buy oil from the USA, which one could almost have thought.

    OPEC is set to increase its production in October, I guess they (and also the USA) will have to increase more than they had planned if this goes through.

    On the other hand, there are probably not many importers left. I guess Turkey is the largest importer and they probably won’t want to stop if it means significantly higher prices for them.

    “❗️I am ready to impose serious sanctions against the Russian Federation when all NATO countries do the same and stop buying Russian oil, – Trump.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lypocviioc27

    2. MXT

      “If all NATO countries comply with Donald Trump’s demands for a stop in the purchase of Russian oil, it will lead to higher oil prices. This is stated by experts that TT has spoken to, after the president presented conditions for new American sanctions against Russia. Handelsbanken’s raw material analyst Christian Kopfer says that low oil prices are an important issue for Trump, but he outlines a scenario where prices first rise and then fall. This could happen after countries within the so-called OPEC cooperation release their reserves, and the US speeds up drilling. – So, if you think a bit conspiratorially, one could imagine that Trump wants such a situation because it benefits American oil producers and thus the USA in the long run. Trump also wants NATO countries to impose tariffs on Chinese goods ranging from 50 to 100 percent.”

      https://omni.se/a/kwlGwQ

    1. johan No.1

      NO one wants to invoke Article 5 here, not Europe, not the USA, and certainly not Russia.

      That is my interpretation of the situation.

      which gives Russia a lot of room to wreak havoc but they cannot start invading territory so maybe we have a balance there?

      Europe cannot have its fellow brigades slaughtered in an FPV rain either so it is some kind of terror balance

  32. MXT

    “New details of the SBU drone attack on the port of Primorsk: two tankers of the Russian Federation’s “shadow fleet” were hit

    According to Reuters, two Russian tankers, Kusto and Cai Yun, were damaged. The ships belong to the Russia’s “shadow fleet” and sail under the flag of the Seychelles.

    After the SBU drone strike, Russia’s largest oil export port in the Baltic Sea suspended operations. Experts note that Primorsk’s turnover reaches $100 million per day. Therefore, even a short-term shutdown of the port causes enormous economic damage to Russia.”

  33. johan No.1

    Russian losses are decreasing, but the intensity in both the indirect package with FPV and FAB is increasing, as well as RU attacks – is that correct from the numbers above?

    1. MXT

      Yes, it’s heading that way, even though I think it looks like it has stabilized recently. The sharp increase in FPV has leveled off and even had a slight dip. KWIA has not continued to decline and artillery has remained fairly stable for a while.

  34. johan No.1

    North Luhansk, UA brigades have been updated and they seem to be conducting a lower-priority delaying action in the area?

    It’s a bit overshadowed since everyone is focusing on the Donetsk area, but it doesn’t look good at all up there.

    In the Kreminna forests, they are now releasing them bit by bit.

  35. MacMelmac

    Can’t the EU take the frozen Russian assets and offer some to, for example, Hungary? Preferably publicly so that the Hungarian population (and RU) can hear Orban’s wavering on whether he will accept it or not.

    Whichever way he chooses, he will be in a dilemma.

  36. Jan W

    Ships in the shadow fleet have thus been bombed in the Gulf of Finland. Shouldn’t the ship owners take notice if it continues? Doubtful that they have insurance coverage. Questionable if it’s even possible for them to insure the ships.

    Or do the ships have no value at all other than as missions in the shadow fleet. They must have scrap value at least. If the ship goes down in the Gulf of Finland, it will probably be difficult to get the scrap value out.

    At best, one can stop the exports because no one wants to rent out ships anymore. Alternatively, demand extremely high rent.

    Keep bombing the fleet when it’s in a Russian port!

    1. johan No.1

      It’s a lovely escalation from Ukraine that evidently has Europe’s blessing now 😀

      Don’t know what the triggering factor was, could it have been Trump?

      Or that they got wind of RU’s further sabotage plans?

    2. Jan W

      Here is what MS Copilot says about the matter: “It is entirely possible that more shipowners will decline freight from Russian ports….”

      Let’s hope so. It would be a real blow to Russia.

      Attacks will also complicate crew recruitment.

  37. MXT

    “Err.. what’s going on in eastern Poland?

    Lublin is close to the Ukraine border.

    I doubt closing a main airport on a Saturday afternoon was scheduled.

    Drone alert?”

     

    “There was an air alert in the neighbouring Ukraine region of Volyn, and Lutsk city.

    There are online rumours of Russian drones straying in to Poland and Romania, but I cannot confirm that. I suspect Poland’s actions are preventive rather than reactive.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3lyq4ms4los2a

    1. T23

      Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed that a military operation has been initiated:

       

      “Due to the threat from Russian drones operating over Ukraine near the Polish border, Polish and allied air forces have initiated preventive operations in our airspace. Ground-based air defense systems have reached the highest level of readiness,” he said in a statement.

  39. MXT

    “❗️🇷🇴Romanian media: The Air Force intercepted a Russian drone over Romanian territory. Two F-16 jets went in pursuit of it.

    Due to the drone attack, an alert message was issued for the population in northern Tulcea County, Romania.”

  41. Kaitsetahe

    Had a discussion chat GPT a few months ago.
    Where we concluded that Sweden (and we can probably assume the same applies to both Finland and the Baltics) would not be able to handle swarms of drones.
    The risk we discussed was also whether swarms could be fired from parts of the so-called “shadow fleet” in the Baltic Sea and yes, it was a real scenario.
    The big question still remains about China. What are they planning to do? How do they plan to do anything??
    China has invested and continues to invest heavily in AI-driven military concepts and also has a major focus on various types of more or less autonomous units (aka robots) – both wheeled and variants on legs.
    We also do not know WHERE these units are located and even less about their extent. It is (at least theoretically) possible that a number of units may have been moved both into the Zapad 25 exercise area, as well as in surrounding countries – including through diplomatic channels.
    Yes, I could be wrong.

    And, “unlikely” scenarios have been succeeding each other in recent years so… “unlikely” may no longer be so unlikely…

    What we know:
    China’s AI units have been showcased several years ago.
    How they have since evolved is a question.
    We also know that China supplies Russia to a large extent with weapons and technology, partly through proxies (North Korea) or through other means. We know that Chinese SF (special forces) have been present in Belarus before, but we do NOT know where they are NOW.
    We know that China and Russia are (at least officially) on good terms with each other.
    We know that China has an explicit goal of “world domination” – Made In China 2030/2050.
    We know that Russia has imperial ambitions.
    We know that a divided Europe benefits both of these ambitions.
    We also know that Russian and Chinese logic and doctrine differ greatly from Western logic and doctrine.
    This is what we know

    Now comes a tough question.
    Everyone believes that an attack on NATO/NATO country would be military suicide for an attacker.
    But… is it really???
    If 400-600 drones per day + other types of robots/missiles crash into various cities and especially military NATO installations… will NATO even be ABLE to handle a response???
    Shouldn’t it be France or the UK with nuclear weapons then… but… do they have the “balls enough” for it???
    If drones fall on different air bases… can NATO get aircraft up fast enough to even do anything???
    I haven’t seen anyone pose this question… and Western doctrines so far seem a bit… rigid…
    and… I could be wrong.

    1. CB500four

      Ukraine, and perhaps Israel, are the only countries in the world that can currently successfully defend themselves against drone attacks, like Shahed. This is because they are either at war, or in Israel’s case, surrounded by hostile states or terrorist organizations.

      The advantage for those defending themselves against drones like Shahed is that Shahed is slow, so if they are somewhat alert, bases further inside the countries are relatively safe, and after the first attack, the defense is naturally more prepared.

      Here, the best defense is also the offense. One should strike at the places where they are launched from, but since they are small, unfortunately, that is almost impossible, so autonomous defense drones, and/or electronic defense, must be in place.

      My nightmare scenario is still civilian cargo ships loaded with small autonomous drones released in swarms of thousands over our cities around the Baltic Sea, no one can protect themselves against that.

      I believe NATO can defend itself, the bases are spread over such a large area, so the only way they could take out all the bases is if they are already deployed throughout the countries in advance, like trucks with double roofs that release a couple of hundred drones near a base at a given signal.

      NATO will not be able to directly eliminate drone warfare, but what they can do is hit hard against their conventional military power. We know that Russia’s air defense is quite weak, and it has been shown that Russia is not as strong as it appears, so we should be able to take the war to their territory fairly quickly, and hitting the top of the pyramid may be the most effective.

      Nuclear weapons may unfortunately have to be used, we can only hope that Russia is not so inclined to commit suicide, but the war cannot end until Russia is defeated, so we must be prepared to do what is necessary.

      Drones are a scourge. If Russia gets hold of drone manufacturing materials, they can continue to terrorize Ukraine and the world almost indefinitely, so effective and mass-produced countermeasures must be developed, probably anti-drone drones.

       

      1. DJ

        One must become good at knocking out drones as much upstream as possible. Train bridges near China so that parts cannot be delivered. Substations near industries. Perhaps even all airplanes, including civilian ones? And all control towers. So workers from Africa cannot be flown in. Etc. Find ways to kill drone pilots as well.

  42. MXT

    “💥After the track explosion in the Oryol region and the death of two sappers, trains were finally routed through alternative tracks/routes. This is the first time in the history of our sabotage on Russian railways that Russian Railways (RZD) had to resort to backup tracks.

    A wonderful story. Simply”

  43. MXT

    “A rysk sprillans ny fiskebåt blockerar nästan Öresunds sund.

    De verkar ha förlorat framdriften för 4 timmar sedan, drev norrut mot de mycket smala kanalerna (~300m) men verkar ha ankrat.

    Svenska kustbevakningen och polisen har varit på plats.

    AIS-varningar gäller.”

Leave a Comment

Scroll to Top