Russian losses:
- 880 KWIA
- 3 Tanks
- 42 Artillery systems
- 1 MLRS
- 261 UAVs
- 102 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
SLAVA UKRAINI
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The war in Ukraine 2025-09-14
103 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-09-14”
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💥🔥👍 Here we have another bomb to add to the list!! It’s supposed to be Russia’s second largest, the information is separate, 17 or 20 million tons per year, regardless it’s a lot.
“🔥🛢️ Second largest Russian oil refinery — the Kinef Oil Refinery in the Leningrad, was targeted tonight. Kinef has a production capacity of more than 20 million tons per year and is located 800 km from the front.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lyrikdr46k2w
“According to geolocation, the fire may be at the ELOU-AT-6 facility. POV: 59.48142116992881, 32.05681249936609”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3lyrg7zhr3k2u
“⚡️Ukrainian drones strike major Russian oil refinery in Leningrad Oblast, governor says. The Kirishi refinery is one of the largest in Russia and has a processing capacity of over 17 million tons of oil per year. A fire broke out at the site during a drone attack, Governor Alexander Drozdenko said.” https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-strike-major-russian-oil-refinery-in-leningrad-oblast-governor-says/
If anyone is wondering why the celebration is a bit different:
Kirishi is the city where the refinery is located. The official name is Kirishinefteorgsintez abbreviated as KINEF. The name translated is approximately Kirishi Petroleum Organic Synthesis.
⛽️⚔️💥🔥
💥🔥👍 Then we apparently had an explosion yesterday, in the middle of the day, that I managed to miss:
“🔥🛢️Just now, Novo-Ufa Oil Refinery with the capacity of 7.5 million tons of oil per year was attacked by drones in Ufa, Russia. Novo-Ufa Oil Refinery is located more than 1350km from the frontline.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lypt2qnssk2y
“❗️The moment of the attack by a 🇺🇦Ukrainian kamikaze drone on the 🇷🇺Novo-Ufa Oil Refinery ~1,400 km from the Ukrainian border.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lyptiv7fws27
⛽️⚔️💥🔥
Johan, this is Igor Sushko’s list of all refineries, does it match yours?
”Ukraine has now conducted 17 strikes on 12 Russian oil refineries in 45 days. These refineries represent 42% of total oil refining capacity in Russia.”
August 2:
1. Novokuybyshevsk Oil Refinery
2. Ryazan Oil Refinery
August 7:
3. Afipsky Oil Refinery
August 10:
4. Saratov Oil Refinery
5. Volgograd Oil Refinery
August 15:
6. Syzran Oil Refinery
August 19:
7. Volgograd Oil Refinery (2nd strike)
August 21:
8. Novoshakhtinsk Oil Refinery
August 24 (2nd strike)
9. Syzran Oil Refinery
August 28:
10. Kuibyshev Oil Refinery
11. Afipsky Oil Refinery (2nd strike)
August 30:
12. Krasnodar Oil Refinery
13. Syzran Oil Refinery (3rd strike)
September 5:
14. Ryazan Oil refinery (2nd strike)
September 7:
15. Ilsky Oil Refinery
September 13:
16. Novo-Ufa Oil Refinery
September 14:
17. Kirishi/Kinef Oil Refinery
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3lyrfqk3za227
On the other hand, artillery has decreased. It has been around 5,400 – 5,500 for a long time (the average for this year so far is 5,523) but has dropped during September and is now around 4,900.
“Russian Drone Over Romania, Air Raid Sirens in Poland, Estonia’s New No Fly Zone Moscow scores geopolitical and hybrid warfare victories after the NATO Alliance fumbles response TL;DR: “In the short term, we expect continued…escalation by Russia, while positioning itself as the victim”
“Ukrainian drone hits chemical plant in Russia’s Perm Krai 1,800 km from border, media reports #Ukraine”
https://bsky.app/profile/amplifyukraine.eu/post/3lyrbffuovf2v
https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drone-hits-chemical-plant-in-russias-perm-krai-1-800-km-from-border-media-reports/
⚛️⚔️💥🔥
It is completely obvious that Ukraine is aiming for Russian supply while the Russians are shooting Ukrainian aunts, uncles, and children. There is also a saying about warfare that amateurs talk about strategy while professionals focus on logistics. If that is true, then we can look forward to a Russia that soon shrinks and dies in prime time.
Can Ukraine keep this up and even increase the pace should eventually make the Russian economy collapse completely.
Jake Broe presented a map in his latest video showing the oil pipelines and pump stations. It’s not just a few individual pump stations but apparently every 10th km (if I remember correctly).
Ukraine has shown that they can also strike against them. They are of course much easier to repair than refineries, but apparently there are plenty of targets in the vicinity and it is impossible for Russia to protect them all.
It’s not impossible that they can completely stop the oil deliveries via pipeline to the ports as well, not just to the refineries. If Russia is forced to switch to trains and tanker trucks for transportation, it will become a logistical nightmare.
If Russia were to face major difficulties in exporting oil (and gas), I believe that the costs could eventually become so high that China would no longer consider it worthwhile to bail them out, unless Putin thinks it’s worth giving away both one thing and another to stay afloat.
Even though there are pump stations approximately every 10th km, there is also a combination variant that is both pump and distribution stations. They are much more difficult to handle. For example, Unesha is such a combination station on the Druzhba pipeline. Oil is distributed from there to Ust-Luga, Belarus, and Europe if I remember correctly.
These pump and distribution stations are significantly fewer, and if they are stopped, much more comes to a halt than if only one pump station is knocked out.
👍Then they have to start by eliminating the combination stations.
At the same time, they are probably larger facilities and therefore easier to hit.
🇺🇦The communication network in Crimea has been affected
“On the night of September 11, units from the navy struck a communication node belonging to the Russian Navy in the area of the 184th research and experimental base in Sevastopol, in the temporarily occupied Republic of Crimea.
This communication node ensured the control of Russian Navy units, reports the Ukrainian Navy.
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1A6mKuvSog/?mibextid=wwXIfr
👍👍👍
90% is approved.
“❗️During the night, 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 52 out of 58 🇷🇺Russian UAVs and 0 out of 1 ballistic missiles”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lyrnrtxfy22f
Better than Poland’s 4 pieces.
“Former U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson has no time for Russia’s repeated objections to European troops being deployed on Ukrainian soil.”
Kupyansk 11💥↗️
Lyman 16💥
Siverskyi 22💥
Pokrovsk 52💥💥💥
Novopavlivka 41💥💥↗️
👍
Not just good news.
“Ammunition exploded during railway transport near Kalynivka in Kyiv region, forcing an emergency evacuation of passengers from the Kharkiv–Przemyśl train. The blast damaged the overhead line, halting rail traffic and delaying multiple trains. No casualties have been reported.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lyrmr3ltjc2z
In the occupied Chechnya, the first raids in connection with this autumn’s conscription have already begun. Reports are coming from Martan-Chu (Urus-Martan), where personnel from the military commissariat, together with security forces, are going from door to door and patrolling the streets to arrest young men. The Russian authorities fully understand that no one would willingly want to serve in the army, and therefore they resort to such desperate measures.
https://x.com/niyso_eng/status/1967073175759622166?s=46
Interesting considering what someone says in the interviews with 1420 (see my post further down), that they don’t care about the soldiers in this war, because they are participating voluntarily this time.
Hydropower plant in the Gulf of Finland between Finland and Estonia to take advantage of the environmentally friendly opportunity to exploit the flow of water from the Neva River into the Baltic Sea.
Neva (Russian: Нева (Reka Neva Neva River), also known as Nyen and Nevan in Swedish) is a river in western Russia. It is 74 kilometers long and flows from Lake Ladoga to St. Petersburg, where it flows into the Gulf of Finland. Neva, which accounts for the single largest inflow of fresh water into the Baltic Sea, has a drainage area of 281,000 km². Despite its modest length, the river is Europe’s third most water-rich after the Volga and the Danube, with an average flow rate of 2,460 m³/s; it drains water from three of Europe’s four largest lakes: Ladoga, Onega, and Saimaa.
Fun idea! 😂
If it’s a dam one is thinking of, it would be almost three times longer than the world’s longest dam, the Hirakud Dam in India, which is 25 km. Additionally, one would need to raise the water level behind the dam by several meters to get a reasonable effect.
Of course, it would flood huge land areas on the upstream side of the dam.
I suspect that maybe that’s actually the idea, and not so much the energy aspect?
Who wouldn’t want to see St. Petersburg become the new sunken city of Atlantis? 😄
By the way, I would move the dam so that it runs right at the Russian border on both sides. It would make the dam even longer, but then you wouldn’t have to flood land on the Finnish and Estonian side.
Yes, the offset was the length of the dam. There is a land elevation so St. Petersburg may well rise above the water in the future.
Get to build in conditions from the beginning so that it’s easy to raise the dam even higher when the day comes! 😄
a first step in restoring wetlands in Russia?
Off-Topic – Intrusion into environmental data + Chat Control 2.0
With GDPR, the aim is to prevent the collection and misuse of personal data. Primarily, it’s the big players they’re after, but it also forces all companies, public authorities, municipalities, and regions to make adjustments to their websites, establish new routines, write a lot of documents, and carry out checks.
Together, they have invested millions. Then one might wonder how beneficial it is when around a million pieces of personal data still leak out through a single intrusion. Admittedly, it seems to be only pure personal data, but it’s not impossible that they have also obtained other information.
This should be an eye-opener when it comes to Chat Control 2.0.
It’s simply not possible to ensure that information doesn’t end up in the wrong hands.
Regarding Chat Control 2.0, the idea is to protect children, which in itself one cannot be against, but once the tools are in place, there is nothing to prevent them from suddenly expanding and starting to collect other data.
This has happened before and will likely be the same here.
Drug trafficking, must be okay to map out? Economic crimes? Black money?
Then we start reaching the level of “those who seem to have extreme political views and might commit terrorist acts?” and then, of course, you inadvertently get a picture of everyone’s political views and eventually end up with severely privacy-invasive records. Some countries will likely abuse it from the start, but then there is the risk that it simply leaks out.
A great risk that we are opening Pandora’s box.
Moreover, there will likely be solutions where Chat Control will not have any oversight.
On the other hand, it will be able to stop a lot of crap aimed at children who spend their time on social media platforms where Chat Control will have oversight.
“After the leak from Environmental Data: Over a million Swedes’ data out on the darknet
Personal data of over a million Swedes has been published on the darknet after the intrusion into the company Environmental Data. This was reported by cybersecurity expert Karl Emil Nikka to SVT News.
The stolen data includes, among other things, personal identification numbers, addresses, and phone numbers.
– The major risk is that the attacker will now start contacting individuals and try to trick them into providing more information,” says Nikka.
On Saturday, the hacker group Datacarry, which claimed responsibility for the attack, threatened to release the data on Sunday – which they have now done.”
https://omni.se/en-miljon-svenskars-uppgifter-publicerade-pa-darknet/a/Avempj
A bit funny when I was about to post this entry. The site’s firewall kicked in and blocked it, and I had to confirm that there were no issues. I guess it’s because the Darknet was mentioned in the link to Omni.
Chat Control 2.0 will not protect children any more than it will better protect victims of terrorism. In other words, minimally at best. Thus, merely a pretext for introducing Chat Control 2.0.
Today, the police have full capabilities to monitor and apprehend terrorists before they carry out their acts. Without the introduction of Chat Control 2.0. Similarly, the police could act against pedophiles, namely by monitoring and striking BEFORE the pedophile commits their act. Today, they can only act after the pedophilic abuse has been committed. By then, the damage is already done.
It only requires a change in the criminal code where one equates acting against pedophiles with acting against terrorists. Therefore, Chat Control 2.0 is not needed to protect children from pedophiles’ abuses.
Stop Chat Control 2.0!
But the police are hardly aware of all pedophiles in advance, right? Even before they take the first steps through, for example, grooming on social media?
Convinced that Chat Control would be a good tool, even if that doesn’t convince me that we should implement it, because it can, and will, be abused for other purposes besides the risk of information going astray.
For it to work, transparency will be required in all materials, making it impossible to keep track of all usage.
For example, today we have problems with unauthorized police officers, social workers, etc. making illegal searches in registers.
The police also do not have control over all terrorists – but they know where to look. The same goes for pedophiles – they have their social forums.
AI can search and sort data efficiently – with the right programming. AI does not need Chat Control 2.0.
Chat Control 2.0 is stopped, again.
They tried for the third time.
But Sweden had voted for it with some modifications.
a HUGE intrusion into our privacy and no valid reason exists to implement this.
In addition, politicians and officials in key positions would be exempt from the law 🤣🤣
No reasons can be discussed but definitely a major intrusion of privacy.
No big risk that we open Pandora’s box – guaranteed.
According to the EU, banks should not confront you about your bank account for less than a basic amount of 40,000 SEK or thereabouts.
try to deposit cash at the bank.
All abuse always occurs as soon as a law is in place.
1420 by Daniil Orain: Interviewing Russians and asking the question: “Do you care that we have war going on for 3.5 years with a lot of deaths?” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pvCpI2ED7Kg
Most people don’t care as long as they are not affected themselves. It also doesn’t seem like there is much sympathy for the soldiers, as it is believed that everyone participating does so voluntarily.
The interview is probably in Moscow state. Have they asked in any border state?
Believes 1420 usually stays in Moscow and St. Petersburg even though a few interviews have also been conducted in rural areas.
A Russian fishing boat has anchored near an LNG pipeline. The Kastrup airport and a Danish port used for military purposes are also nearby
https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:d56aevbrhhknlxhjisuouofm/post/3lyqkb6hlxs2a
👍
I uploaded it late yesterday, should maybe have posted about it today, probably not many people are reading the blog just before twelve on Saturday night.. Well, except for me of course! 😄
There are several RU ships that have been lying over submarine cables in recent months.
One biggie is the cable between Norway – UK, which if cut this winter will likely cause power outages in the UK.
Minerat inför vintern?
Shall we bet!!!
I also posted this late yesterday, reposting for those who may have missed it:
“💥After the track explosion in the Oryol region and the death of two sappers, trains were finally routed through alternative tracks/routes. This is the first time in the history of our sabotage on Russian railways that Russian Railways (RZD) had to resort to backup tracks.
A wonderful story. Simply”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3lyqpksimns2z
Interesting. During the Soviet era, large parts of the fishing fleet were used as spy ships. The boats were usually equipped with a forest of masts and antennas. It was more the rule than the exception to pass through the Falsterbo Canal instead of rounding the Falsterbo Reef. This was to track and eavesdrop. Everyone knew about this – not least the navy. Therefore, frogmen/attack divers often lay at the bottom of the canal and chalked “F*CK OFF” on the lower part of the hull. They combined utility with pleasure, so to speak.
Unfortunately, they never got to see the expressions on the faces of the shipyard workers and crews when the boats docked. But as a diver said to me: “You can’t have everything in life.”
Wonderful! 😄👍
Reply to PD.
Cool 👍
🤣🤣🤣
https://romania.europalibera.org/a/romania-drone-militare-explozibili-munitie-/33362697.html
🧵1-9/9 https://x.com/coxoxoffoxoffic/status/1967149241983496370?s=46
1/
Romania is quietly becoming Europe’s defense powerhouse
Romania is reviving its defense industry with US and German partners, building drone and gunpowder plants in Brașov while expanding production of tanks and vehicles.
Romania is accelerating the revival of its defense industry with American and German support, prioritizing the domestic production of drones, explosives, and gunpowder, Radio Free Europe Romania reports. romania.europalibera.org/a/romania-dron…
The move comes as the country consolidates its role as a key NATO hub on the Alliance’s eastern flank and a critical logistics lifeline for Ukraine amid the ongoing russo-Ukrainian war.
2/
Brașov to become drone and explosives hub
In spring, Romania’s Ministry of Economy announced that the Transylvanian city of Brașov would host new facilities for the production of drones, explosives, and ammunition.
The local Carfil military plant is expected to produce drones using components supplied by American defense company Periscope Aviation
3/ Mr. Ivan also confirmed that drone production is scheduled to begin this summer, with an annual target of approximately 3,500 units.
“We are beneficiaries of the European SAFE Mechanism, financed by the European Commission with up to €150 billion.
We have submitted Romania’s production capacities for the next ten years, along with proposals on how we can evolve, what we can build, and where we can be competitive,” Ivan said in an interview with Digi24.
https://www.digi24.ro/stiri/actualitate/cand-incepe-productia-de-drone-militare-la-brasov-anuntul-ministrului-economiei-3-500-de-bucati-produse-anual-spune-bogdan-ivan-3282437
4/ Rheinmetall invests €400 million in gunpowder
At the same time, Germany’s Rheinmetall defense conglomerate is building in Brașov what will be the largest military gunpowder factory in Europe, with an investment of €400 million.
Romania’s leadership has emphasized that domestic production of gunpowder is a top priority, as the country currently imports it from Serbia, where much of the supply originates in russia.
https://stirileprotv.ro/stiri/actualitate/romania-revitalizeaza-industria-militara-orasul-din-tara-in-care-va-fi-construita-cea-mai-mare-fabrica-de-pulberi-din-europa.html
5/ “This is essential for Romania’s security and independence,” said former Economy Minister Radu Oprea, underlining the need to reduce reliance on foreign sources.
Last year, Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu also declared that Romania would soon host the “most modern gunpowder plant in Europe.”
https://stirileprotv.ro/stiri/actualitate/ciolacu-pe-teritoriul-romaniei-va-fi-cea-mai-moderna-fabrica-de-pulberi-pentru-munitie.html
6/ Broader industrial revival
The new projects in #Brașov are part of a broader national strategy to revitalize #Romania’s defense industry.
German investments are also reinforcing the Mediaș plant, which is set to expand production of military vehicles.
In #SatuMare, plans are underway to launch production of Leopard tanks, further strengthening Romania’s heavy weapons capabilities.
https://stirileprotv.ro/stiri/actualitate/romania-revitalizeaza-industria-militara-orasul-din-tara-in-care-va-fi-construita-cea-mai-mare-fabrica-de-pulberi-din-europa.html
These initiatives align with NATO’s push to ramp up production capacities across Europe in response to russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine.
Romania’s geographical position and existing infrastructure make it a frontline state in both logistics and industrial support for Kyiv.
7/ Continuing tradition
Since the 1990s, Romania has cultivated increasingly close ties with major foreign defense companies.
https://www.gmfus.org/news/how-can-romania-revitalize-its-defense-industry
Israel’s Elbit Systems was the first, establishing a joint venture with Aerostar Bacău in 1997 to modernize the Romanian MiG-21 fleet to the LanceR standard. The company also operates a local branch, Elmet International SRL, which produces avionics and drone technology.
Partnerships with US companies such as @generaldynamics, @LockheedMartin and @Raytheon Technologies have resulted in:
• creating an F-16 maintenance center
• the production of Patriot system components
• an assembly and production line for Piranha V armored personnel carriers in Romania.
Meanwhile, France’s Airbus, Naval Group, and Thales have supplied military communication systems, taken over and modernized the Ghimbav aircraft components factory, and entered into partnerships with the Constanța Naval Shipyard.
In addition, Poland’s PGZ has signalled interest in competing with its Borsuk model in the upcoming tender for Romania’s new infantry fighting vehicles.
8/
Bayraktar drones stand lined up at a production facility in Brasov, which received massive investments from Airbus in 2024. Photo: Profimedia Images, Hotnews
https://hotnews.ro/serge-durand-seful-fabricii-airbus-helicopters-de-la-ghimbav-la-un-an-de-la-inaugurarea-fabricii-nu-am-primit-nicio-oferta-concreta-din-partea-romaniei-durand-spera-intr-o-licitatie-transpare-411669
9/9 Strategic significance for NATO and Ukraine
Romania is boosting its defense sector under the new 2024–2030 National Defense Industry Strategy, raising military spending above 2% of GDP and prioritizing advanced technologies such as AI, cybersecurity, and drones.
The plan focuses on:
• joint UAV production with Ukraine
• potential submarine manufacturing
• modernization of naval forces,
• fostering research and development, NATO–EU cooperation, and public–private partnerships to strengthen national security and position Romania as a competitive global defense producer.
Since russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Romania has re-examined its security posture as a direct neighbor of the war zone.
Hosting vital #NATO facilities and serving as a transit hub for military aid, #Romanian has become indispensable to both Ukraine’s defense and NATO’s deterrence strategy.
By securing domestic production of drones, explosives, and heavy armor, Romania not only strengthens its own security but also contributes to the Alliance’s resilience against russian aggression.
Interesting and very positive to read! 👍
Good post 205 👍
Interesting, go Romania!
🚂 A diesel locomotive carrying 15 tank cars derailed in the Luzhsky district of St. Petersburg.
Will be fun to clean up, especially if the thoughts are full of gasoline.
“❗️Another photo from the 🇷🇺Leningrad region, where the diesel locomotive derailed along with the tanks. Judging by the inscription, the tanks apparently contained gasoline.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lys2abx75c2e
Russians were asked what they thought about Russian drones in #Poland. This is what denial looks like. And, of course, “it’s Russia that’s attacked.”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3lyrxov4fms2t
A consequence of the Ukrainian drones in Russia is that they have now started to shut down the mobile network and internet, which of course brings with it further problems.
It feels good that the war in Ukraine is beginning to be noticed by the average Russian.
“🛜🚫 A sharp increase in Ukrainian drone attacks on targets deep inside Russia has forced the Kremlin to temporarily suspend internet services, disrupting consumers, businesses and government services — FT.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lyrxmmpf3s25
“Explosions are reported in occupied Sievierodonetsk, Luhansk region, following the arrival of a drone. Details of the strike and its target are still unknown.”
A boring article in Bloomberg that Ukraine is also plundering from Europe and that we may get tired of all their bombing in Russia.
I have assumed that Ukraine has Europe’s blessing here, pure guesswork of how it looks in practice.
There may well be different viewpoints in different countries perhaps?
Scandinavia should not oppose us in any case.
I reiterate my standpoint that I believe Zelenskyy doesn’t care about what everyone says and does what he considers best for Ukraine. The countries that are dependent on Russian oil and gas have only themselves to blame, and if one is dissatisfied with higher oil prices, then one should make sure to help put a stop to Russia and thus also the war in Ukraine.
Zelenskyy speaks frankly in other contexts as well. He was forced to grovel to Trump (probably also at the behest of the EU, which doesn’t seem to realize even now that we can’t rely on the USA) in the hope that it would yield results.
When it became clear that it led nowhere, quite the opposite, he pursued his own course.
Ukraine is absolutely right in doing what is necessary to defeat Russia; no one else seems willing to help except through money and weapons, but not in a way that costs anything substantial.
Yes, Ukraine has made a decision.
I assumed that Europe had finally come to realize, but perhaps that was hoping for too much 😀
Trump has already shown in a couple of statements that he opposes this.
We’ll see what Europe says in the future?
Poland – an attempt to get Europe to force Ukraine to stop bombing raff?
Then Ukraine shot down half of the effort against Poland, I was wrong that they let it through.
There were a total of 50 drones.
Don’t know if Ukraine shot down the Gerans maybe and let through decoys?
Romania escorted a drone through its airspace until it turned back to its target in Ukraine.
Ukraine is the only adult in the room.
“Ukrainian T-72 tank destroyed Russian group in the Kupyansk direction, – 77th Air Assault Brigade”
Quite a large protest in the UK, a great turnout which can be considered successful in terms of them not storming Whitehall?
But excellent breeding ground for Russia, if they can get counter-groups with large protests going, it will quickly degenerate into half a civil war for Starmer.
And RU often pits all groups against each other because they can.
It’s a safe bet that there will be more for Starmer.
Well, it didn’t completely spiral out of control, although it wasn’t entirely without incidents either.
“Parts of the demonstrators participating in the massive protests in London have made attacks on and thrown objects at the police, according to the London police. Videos from the scene show how demonstrators, led by far-right activist Tommy Robinson, are trying to enter an area separating them from counter-demonstrators. …”
https://omni.se/spand-stamning-i-london-poliser-har-attackerats/a/AvegRr
So when it was the far-right extremists organizing the whole thing, Musk couldn’t resist joining and spreading his “wisdom” and apparently he wanted to see it escalate because apparently violence is the only solution?
“The British Parliament must be dissolved and a new election held. That’s what tech billionaire Elon Musk said when he spoke at the massive demonstration in London organized by the far-right figure Tommy Robinson, as reported by several media outlets.
Musk spoke via video link to the crowd, which according to Robinson himself had gathered to demonstrate for freedom of speech, and said that “violence is coming” whether one wants it or not. He accused the “left-wing” of celebrating murder, referring to some reactions following the murder of the American right-wing figure Charlie Kirk.
– You either fight back or die, that’s the truth I believe.”
https://omni.se/musk-pa-video-i-london-upplos-parlamentet/a/W0wBG2
You can find everything from that demonstration.
-lots of non-ethnic Britons participating, meaning migrated at some point.
-lots of Christian singing and prayers.
-elderly and women in the procession.
Haven’t we had two years of Palestinian protests where they want to overthrow the governments in all of Europe?
That thing with the newcomer is old anyway, right?
Saw a video when the police tried to stop the demonstration, probably it was too big?
So they are not allowed to go the way they have been permitted.
The numbers are simply too big and they walk right over the police – a big mistake by the operation chief in my opinion, if you have such a large participation, you stay away and make sure they don’t make detours. You don’t try to set up a roadblock in the middle and stop them.
I also think it’s in the media that the demonstration has been planned for months so nothing spontaneous or surprising at all really.
But now Russia is soon right in the middle of this and will try to create street fights in the future 😀
I haven’t taken the time to delve any deeper than that, mostly I just find it strange that Musk cares to involve himself in the politics of other countries.
Yes, Russia probably cheers on both sides and hopes for maximum chaos and violence.
Well, I also find it difficult to understand Musk’s actions, or is it just that he is following TrumPutin’s instructions, to divide the EU as much as possible.
I will start with a disclaimer. I have no specific military knowledge. However, I noted what happened in Iran recently. Israeli/US aircraft seemed to be able to operate fairly unimpeded. Let’s transfer this to the risks of a Russian attack on the Baltics. The Russians would probably be able to launch an attack there and invade border areas, even quite large ones. But what would happen next? NATO would simply have to act, otherwise all credibility would be lost. I don’t even think Trump could back down.
Ground combat would probably not be the first choice. But given what happened in Iran, one could probably bomb every supply line for the Russian forces, including ports in the vicinity. It would ultimately be unsustainable for Russia.
That window that is closing in the coming years is probably not open today either. At least that’s my best guess.
That being said, it’s not to suggest that NATO shouldn’t have strengthened border readiness. Of course, they should have.
The Russian Federation cannot handle an open war with Europe, i.e. that we go all in against Russia and our brigades attack.
However, they have more leeway to use “Estonian partisans” and green men because it is clear that Europe does not want to invoke Article 5 unless necessary.
It is also clear that we do not want to risk our mechanized brigades.
What Russia has TODAY will be neutralized in a year, so they can send a lot back to Europe if it turns into a strategic indirect war – 500 in one deployment and built 2700 last month.
Then they have the robots +1000 in stock.
—
What I have gathered is that we are not following the mission description when it comes to the Baltics and trying to reason why – I now believe I have the answer that we are afraid of losing our mechanized brigades.
If it becomes open war, we will probably send them in, but then my standpoint is that it will be difficult to deploy brigades to the Baltics when Russian UAV drone groups are waiting. bloodbath.
They must be on site beforehand.
—
Instead, we have sent in our Special Operations Forces (SOF) in the Baltics, which are more suited for the war of 2025 and have full deniability, which apparently suits our leaders better than following the mission description.
It is not to provoke Russia – it is to avoid risking the mechanized task forces.
—
All our aircraft are stationed at air bases around Europe, and a gang member with manpads within 4km from the airport could easily shoot them down at takeoff.
We issued 400,000 visas to Russians in 2024, and Russia has already used the gang for sabotage for payment.
This was a BIG part of the Soviet battle plan before full-scale war during the Cold War, so it is highly likely that they would try again. They would try to kill as many pilots as they could in the twilight, mine the runways again, and blow up all deployed aircraft.
If Ukraine could knock out 50% of the strategic bomber fleet on the airfields, surely Russia could do the same with drone groups before full war?
—
There are many layers to this onion, and what Poland has shown is that Europe is not ready for strategic drones, and they have also shown that ground troops do not yet understand the war of 2025.
The brigades in their exercises move in the terrain as before the drone weapon existed, the previous war.
This is what I am extremely surprised about, Poland, which has been extremely tough since 2022 and at the forefront because they know they are next in line 😲
—
We probably won’t reach this worst-case scenario, but it will be a violent war between our SOF in the forests of eastern Baltics instead, and everyone will pretend nothing is happening 😀
I believe as you do.👍
NATO could respond harshly simply through air-based attacks. Enormous amounts of drones could of course paralyze us for a while, but they can’t reach very far while aircraft can be deployed far beyond their range. Russian air defense is probably significantly reduced even though there are surely MANPADS available if one flies too close, but that is probably not necessary.
Despite everything, some ground troops have been deployed in preparation for ZAPAD, even if it is not happening through NATO specifically.
Poland has 40,000 troops stationed at the border. The other countries, of course, do not have as many, but if a strained Russian army were to invade, they probably want to be at least three times as many. I don’t remember exactly, but I recall that Lithuania was planning to deploy 8,000 men on “exercise” along the border.
I assume that NATO has relatively good control over Russian troop movements; it’s not just soldiers that need to be transported to the exercises. They have probably seen approximately what it could involve, even though, of course, it’s impossible to know anything for certain, and equipment (like drones) could have been smuggled in for a long time.
It has been mentioned that 13,000 are from Belarus, then there are estimates ranging from 30 – 150,000, but that’s nothing official that either Russia or NATO has disclosed, just what people have guessed based on previous exercises.
If 150,000 men were to be moved with everything required, NATO would have detected it and taken action.
Also, one must not forget that if Russia were to actually attack, all their traffic in the Baltic Sea would be blockaded. The shadow fleet would be trapped, and a large part of their oil exports would be frozen. It would simply be madness for them to attempt anything.
I am not worried about ZAPAD for the Baltic states.
I don’t think anything will happen other than possibly some minor provocation with drones or similar. However, there is a risk that they may choose to enter northern Ukraine again from Belarus, but there I expect that Ukraine has good control and is prepared at a completely different level now than in 2022.
Need to remind here about Soviet plans during the Cold War in a twilight scenario.
They have even better infrastructure for it today with tunnels and criminal clans throughout Europe.
Off-Topic, Kirk-Trump
Before anyone even knew anything about the murderer, Trump immediately blamed the “horrible radical left and its rhetoric” while promising to punish like.. everyone..
So instead of calling for calm, he immediately pointed fingers at the left as the guilty party and agitated his supporters, which worked quite well. Several schools closed, among other things. There are videos with Nazis parading around with Kirk signs, etc.
Then, when it turns out that the attacker has nothing to do with the left at all, quite the opposite, he continues to blame the left anyway, because it’s their fault that the nation can’t heal.
Him saying “We have won a lot” says a lot about him, and I seriously start to worry about where the USA is heading.
“After the murder of Charlie Kirk, President Donald Trump wants the USA to heal, he says in an interview with NBC News. But at the same time, he believes that a “radical left” element is hindering that.
The murder of Kirk has fueled the already polarized political debate in the USA. In a video from the Oval Office in the White House, Trump said that his administration wants to track down “each and every one” who has contributed “to this cruelty”.
– We’ll see what happens. The left doesn’t like what has happened. We have won a lot, says Trump to NBC.”
https://omni.se/trump-vill-att-nationen-laker-men-vanstern-hindrar/a/mPAwPq
“Charlie Kirk has gained millions more followers on social media after his death, reports CNN.
On Instagram, Kirk’s following has grown by 3.5 million. On Tiktok and Facebook, 1.5 million and 2.3 million new followers have started following him. …”
https://omni.se/kirks-foljarskara-har-vuxit-med-miljoner/a/4BMJE6
Who was the murderer and what was his political affiliation?
Tyler Robinson, white, 22 years old from Utah
(In Utah, 52-53% vote for Republicans and 13-14% for Democrats).
His family is politically active and are registered Republicans.
He himself is not registered with any party.
Rumors say that he has become more politically active lately and he is also said to have criticized Kirk at a family dinner.
The bullets that have been found are said to have had mixed messages like
“Hey fascist! Catch!”, “If you read this, you are GAY Lmao.”
Other engravings and symbols are linked to video games and it has also been connected to the Groyper movement, which is far-right (and it is said to have been on a collision course with Kirk).
But it feels quite speculative.
Rumors also say that he would have lived with a transgender person (and that could have been the motive that led him to commit the murder, that he did not share Kirk’s views).
There is really no evidence that it would be a politically motivated murder from the right or the left.
If it turns out that he was against Kirk because of his views on homosexuals and transgender people, or that he perceived him as a fascist, of course, those on the right who are homophobic and prefer fascism will interpret it as if he was left-wing. 😄
Realize that I expressed myself a bit foolishly in the first post, I didn’t mean that he, on the contrary, leans to the right but rather that it doesn’t seem to be associated with any political affiliation even though it seems politically motivated.
“A year of political violence in the USA reached its climax when the conservative commentator Charlie Kirk was murdered, writes CNN’s Stephen Collinson in an analysis. Now he is worried that the political landscape will change completely.
American politics is usually conducted close to the voters. At campaign meetings and college tours. But he argues that the balance between political freedom and security now risks tipping over.
‘It would mean that politics – already stained by the quagmire of social media where it is increasingly conducted – risks becoming even more radicalized,’ he continues.
New York Times’ Peter Baker reacts to President Donald Trump, in a time of deep political polarization, not speaking of unity.
‘While other presidents have usually tried to dampen the mood in times of national crisis, Trump instead fuels it,’ writes Baker and argues that Trump behaves like a president for red Americans, not all.”
https://omni.se/analys-ett-nytt-politiskt-landskap-tar-plats-i-usa/a/W0w1MG
Reacted to Trump’s statement that the hate rhetoric from the democratic side causes things like this to happen.
There he speaks just like a Russian, blaming others for what he himself does all the time.
Are there reasons to believe that he acted alone?
Or was it some kind of group acting in some constellation, students?
Was he influenced – his internet history should come out in a while.
Nothing so far indicates that he would have had help.
“When the FBI released the first images of Charlie Kirk’s suspected murderer, Tyler Robinson’s friends joked in a chat about how similar he looked to the perpetrator. This is reported by the New York Times, which has seen the messages. The day after, he was arrested for the murder.
In the Discord chat, Robinson’s friend tags him and writes “wya? (where are you, ed. note)” followed by a skull emoji. Within a minute, Robinson replies, saying that his “lookalike” is trying to “frame” him. Another friend in the chat jokingly responds: “Tyler killed Charlie!!!”
Another group member jokes about turning in Robinson to collect the one million kronor reward promised by the FBI, to which Robinson himself replies: “Only if I get a share.”
Tyler Robinson later confessed to a family member that he had committed the murder and turned himself in to the police last Friday. It is still unclear what his motive was.”
https://omni.se/vannernas-skamt-i-chatten-efter-mordet-tyler-dodade-charlie/a/o3XQWj
“Sources: The transgender issue a main track in the motif
Tyler’s Robinson’s view on the transgender issue may have driven him to shoot the conservative commentator Charlie Kirk, rather than his position on a traditional right-left scale, according to several sources for Axios.
According to information provided to the news site, Robinson is said to have lived together with a transgender person, which American authorities believe could be the key to establishing a motive for the act.
Axios describes the transgender person as a ‘roommate’, but unconfirmed testimonies from people living near Tyler Robinson’s residence have said that the two acted as a couple recently.
Charlie Kirk was a vocal critic of the American LGBTQ movement. He was against gender-affirming care for transgender individuals and has said that it should be okay to publicly burn the pride flag, reports The Independent.”
https://omni.se/uppgifter-transfragan-ett-huvudspar-i-motivbilden/a/QMG0JQ
The governor (who is a Republican and who was almost teary-eyed when he heard that it was someone from Utah, he had hoped it would be someone from outside and preferably from another country) unsurprisingly suggests that he leans to the left.
“Investigators are examining a note written by Charlie Kirk’s suspected killer, 22-year-old Tyler Robinson. That’s according to Utah Governor Spencer Cox speaking to CNN, without going into any details about what is written on the note. – It is something that is still being investigated and verified and will be included in the indictment documents. Authorities have not yet provided a clear explanation of what is believed to have been Robinson’s motive. Sources tell Axios that the 22-year-old’s views on the transgender issue are a possibility, while engravings on unfired bullets point to both antifascism and an internet-based right-wing movement. On Sunday, the governor said that Robinson’s political leanings were towards the left. This is based on conversations with family members and friends, according to Cox. Kirk was one of the most influential conservative figures in the USA.”
https://omni.se/a/dRy2dw
Russia wants Ukraine to stop bombing refineries and Trump has tried but Ukraine is not listening.
They have now sent drones towards Poland and will start huge disturbances on the streets in the UK, and they have already done so in France.
When everyone is out on the streets, a match is needed for it to explode, and Russia provides that.
In Germany, they are trying to create conflict with the local election.
Anyway, I will keep an eye out if our leaders start to falter 😀
The easiest thing would be to ask Ukraine to stop bombing refineries, right…
Apparently, 45% have been fought off now 💥💥💥💥
Did they stop somewhere around here last time?
This time they probably start over and do another round on all the tracks. Those who have not been completely damaged have probably started to get going again. ✊️
It may look like it, but we certainly do not lack disappointments in this war
I agree, so it’s not impossible that you’re right but I hope we will be positively surprised this time.
Then it’s a matter of them being able to keep up the production as well but they should have reached that point today.
They have robots and drones – guaranteed 😀
Easier to dictate the terms if you provide significant support like Ukraine depends on (as under Biden). Now Ukraine must go more on its own path when they can’t rely on Trump, and above all, Trump has not been able to deliver any successes in his negotiations/talks with RU. And Europe must support Ukraine in any case because what is the alternative?
But at some point, it becomes easier to solve the domestic problem by wiping out Russia than by trying to appease them!
“⚡️ Spectacular explosion of a 🇷🇺Russian ammunition depot in the Donetsk region.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lysclqtb6k2e
“💥 GUR and SSO carried out an operation to blow up the railway line in the direction of Orel – Kursk. Russian Railways employees discovered unknown mines on the railway section and called in Rosgvardia sappers. The demining ended in failure – two sappers died, and another was left without legs.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lys6jjynak2l
2026? That’s why we haven’t seen much about Flamingo yet? It was said that they had already started producing one per day and that they would reach 7 per day already in October.
“🇺🇦🚀🦅🦩 Serial production of Sapsan and Flamingo is expected in early 2026, — former Deputy Chief of the General Staff Romanenko.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lysahk2uqk2e
Quite silly with this statement when they have also used it sharply
Maybe it could be that they are building them one by one and haven’t started any more automated production line, and that’s what they mean by mass production.
We might as well say a prayer every evening that Ukraine continues to bomb refineries until they run out of fuel and that they expand to turn off the lights in Russia when it starts to get cold.
Can’t see right now how Europe will be able to stop them, but we have been creative before.
🙏 for 💥🔥
DeppStateMap, a bit of a mix:
“Ukrainian Defense Forces pushed back the enemy near Novokonstantinovka and Kostyantynivka. The enemy occupied Temyrivka and advanced in Kupyansk and near Novoivanivka.”
Ukrainians trying a more composed approach to eating surströmming.
https://youtu.be/sW08RreLQiI?si=gV82ymT84_Jj7K9f
A Russian fishing boat ran aground in the Öresund Strait.
According to information from Aftonbladet, the vessel was denied entry into a Swedish port.
Now it is passing by Helsingborg – escorted by the Coast Guard.
David. D at X
“the following russian units are in danger of being cut off and destroyed right now in whole or majority…. they are extended, surrounded, or in a bad area for the mission
30th regiment sumy
810th brigade sumy
132 brigade Bunny ears
110 brigade BE
114 brigade BE
9th brigade BE
1 brigade BE
33rd rgt BE
155 bde BE
177th BE
40th BE
5th brigade BE
57 brigade south
36brigade south
27th brigade kup
1427th regiment tetkino
217 rgt tet
56th rgt tet
and 2 more unknown numbers its going to be a bloodbath this month”
https://x.com/secretsqrl123/status/1967301359515971629
Good morning!
910 KWIA
2 AFVs
35 Artillery systems
1 MLRS
323 UAVs
84 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
1 Special
Glory to Ukraine
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3lyty5yyg622t