Russian losses:
- 980 KWIA
- 1 Tank
- 2 AFVs
- 12 Artillery systems
- 2 MLRS
- 271 UAVs
- 29 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
SLAVA UKRAINI
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
The war in Ukraine 2025-10-02
68 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-10-02”
Leave a Comment
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Fransk polis bordar ryskt skepp som misstänks ha med drönarincidenter i Danmark att göra.
Skall det krävas en fransos/fransyska?
“The cheese eating surrendermonkeys” can surprise!
It’s a bit surprising that they were the ones who stepped forward. Although the Finns probably brought in some ships as well.
It could be a collaboration between Denmark/France. The Danes suspected the ship from the beginning, tracked it on radar, and the French could calmly plan for boarding. Just a theory.
Surely can be true.
I believe the Danes wanted to avoid an interlude just outside the EU meeting. If that’s the case – it was good planning.🇨🇵🇩🇰
Sources: USA deepens cooperation with Ukraine
https://omni.se/trump-ger-gront-ljus-for-informationsutbyte-med-ukraina/a/gw58M1
Has King Louise in the Dirty House finally realized that Putin has fooled him for nine months and that it’s over with “oppidoo, I want to be like youuuu”??
Deceived or just shown that he tried? Not saying that what Trump has done hasn’t been dangerous, but he can at least now point out that Putin doesn’t want peace (which may be obvious to us but not to many of his supporters)
I really hope so!
Personally, I suspect that it may be the case that people have seen Trump’s support decline and that some have started to seriously worry about the midterm elections. They have probably tried to influence Trump and explained that he must do something about it.
Support for Ukraine is strong on both sides, and suspicion of Putin is even greater. MAGA is of course very much against it, but regardless, he has the support of that voter group (take Epstein for example, at first there are some critical voices, then everyone falls in line).
Shifting the rhetoric when it comes to Ukraine is an easy way to increase popularity, then the question is how much action will follow.
I don’t think he will make a big deal out of it. but of course, it sounds like it, and considering that the only thing being done now is a limited sale funded by other countries, anything beyond that will be an improvement.
It would be tricky for him to turn around as well, he has hammered in America First so Ukraine probably won’t get much more significant support. However, he could instead focus on undermining Russia, so that is probably the biggest chance. If he gets the EU on board with sanctions against China, it could lead to China eventually feeling that it’s not worth it anymore.
Even though I don’t have such high hopes, of course, I still keep my fingers crossed tightly that he actually feels betrayed by Putin and goes “all in” to help Ukraine to victory.
A risk analysis is always like that #fckptn gladly sacrifices his own pawns! He wants to keep #krasnov in position and then he thinks it’s OK for #fcktrmp to get 10 Tomahawk types and some help, so he increases in popularity and can continue to destroy the USA for good?
Yes, do not forget that scenario in your risk analyzes!
NOTE: Have spoken with #djävulensadvokat
I was thinking of writing “Johan’s friend #devil’s advocate” but it’s probably best if I don’t 😉
So he has managed to complete law school and become a lawyer as well, The Old Man?
😂
Yes, if Krasnov’s theory is correct, it would clearly be logical. Palme followed the same logic to hide our NATO cooperation from the population, when he participated in the Vietnam demonstrations and criticized the USA as “Satan’s murderers” while he was hunting communists.
Good point!
Even if he were Putin’s lapdog, he won’t be of any use if he manages to lose power before transforming the USA into a dictatorship in chaos. I don’t think he’ll have enough control before the midterm election, he probably needs a win there to then be able to manipulate the real election..
10 Tomahawks won’t make much of a difference so Putin can probably take that.
After that, it can be prolonged even further.
Putin pretends that he now sees the seriousness in Trump’s threats and wants another meeting because now he is ready to talk peace, but then the USA must stop giving Ukraine more Tomahawks,
Of course, none of those peace talks will happen either and with some extended deadlines, another year has passed.
MAGA thinks like King Louise, he says that UA should be allowed to strike against RU and they agree.
They have no opinion of their own.
Only when someone (a few have only voted R because they always have, but they are not completely fond of T) who has realized that they have been f***ed by the great primate, there will be a civil war in MAGA and thereafter a low-intensity civil war in the US.
Perhaps a way to prepare American soldiers for war now that they have been reprimanded for being untrained and overweight?
One can always hope, but one can never be sure with Trump.
One of the few things that has been constant has been his inability to pressure Russia, but it seems like that might be changing. It could be as MXT writes that he wants to increase his popularity, and he knows that both Europe and Zelensky are appreciated by many Americans, so he must try to show some toughness towards Russia.
Then we have the China problem, and there he has probably given up on the idea of getting Russia on his side against China, it is both easier and better to let Ukraine give Russia a few slaps so that Europe stays on the USA’s side.
Now we just have to see how it actually goes with Taiwan, the USA had stopped arms sales there, and Taiwan buys a lot of Russian oil, so support for them may decrease somewhat because of that.
I have not had the opportunity to follow the losses every day, but were not these very low losses in terms of material?
Yes, you are absolutely right. Tanks and armor have been low for quite a while but now we have started to see days with lower numbers even for artillery and “soft vehicles” and today was probably one of those days where the combination of the two is the lowest in a long time.
Another theory is that the decreased numbers (both in this report and in the casualty report) are due to a fuel shortage.
They may have difficulty getting both equipment and ammunition to the fronts.
Admittedly, it may mostly be a question of diesel, and there have not been reports of shortages at the same level as for gasoline, but that doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. There are other actors (the military, the transport sector, farmers, etc.) who depend on diesel and they don’t refuel at regular gas stations and hardly post videos of endless queues.
Russia has also talked about stopping the export of diesel.
Regardless of the shortage, lots of vehicles are being scrapped, so shortage is likely to be where you were headed? #logic
That’s it!
As someone pointed out elsewhere, many are civilian vehicles now. They use gasoline. So, the chance that the fuel shortage will also affect Russia’s military capability is quite high.
Continued low number of shells (even though it was even lower yesterday, but it was extremely low then) considering that Ukraine is now also taking out fewer artillery pieces, it may be a sign that Russia is finally running out of them (or running out of ammunition).
Also a continued lower number of drones than before.
Of course, it could also be a sign that the Russians’ offensive has slowed down, but it is difficult to determine.
Combat clashes are slightly lower than they were during March/April and have slowly decreased since then, but not at the same rate as shells and drones.
Think “old school” that thinks linearly (yes ryZzar does it and also #fckptn)
Money is running out so you go ALL in on what is cheapest = drones?
In other words, exaggerate with drones and do not think in terms of the whole (system) in the war! = very weak point!
Running soldiers and drone warfare is here at #fckptn
You certainly have a point there. Aiming for the cheapest option but missing to measure how well you reach the goals. The cheapest option is often not the most cost-effective.
I fall into that trap myself now and then. “I can code this together myself” I think and spend two days on it, when I could have bought a ready-made add-on for 499 SEK. 😄
As someone pointed out elsewhere, a lot of them are civilian vehicles now. They use gasoline. So, the chance of a fuel shortage affecting Russia’s military capability is quite high.
The attack statistics in the last 24 hours (day 1317 since the three-day operation). Out of 152 reported combat actions in the past 24 hours, 142 were distributed along the reported front sections as follows.
👍 It has been a bit downward in the last two weeks (but generally remains slightly above average over a longer period of time). It will be interesting to see if it continues to slowly taper off.
It is mainly the north, Luhansk, and south that have been hit the hardest. Not the same pressure either in Donetsk (Toretsk-Pokrovsk-Novopavlivka), but still high and highest. Simply prioritizing everything there to not release the pressure. Are they afraid of something?
The trend is not clearly supported in a monthly summary of the number of attacks in the front sections Kramatorsk-Toretsk-Pokrovsk-Novopavlivka and the percentage of the total front sections that these sectors represent. But from August to September, such a trend is seen, where both the total decreases and the Donetsk sectors are prioritized higher.
Interesting that the total and the fronts don’t quite match.
That it doesn’t add up from day to day could be explained by the fact that maybe it’s collected and reported with a little different delay, but one would think the trends should be the same.
September has varied quite a bit as well, so even though it has dropped in the last two weeks, the first two were more at the current level.
I suspect it will swing back up again, we are pretty much right at the average level seen from the beginning of 2025.
One step forward if it happens. It would be even better if they also provided long-range robots.
“The U.S. will provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range missile strikes on Russia’s energy infrastructure, The Wall Street Journal reported. According to the publication, the data will concern Russia’s critical energy infrastructure – oil refineries, power plants, pipelines and other facilities”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3m26zu7york2g
Now I don’t remember exactly when the Shaheds appeared for the first time, but it was probably in the fall of 2022? Anyway, Europe should have already started considering how to face the threat and what a drone wall would look like.
Now, after 3 years, they have woken up, then it will probably take another 3 years before it’s in place.
Imagine if they had given Ukraine everything they needed and also sent in troops for support back in 2022. Then we could have prepared calmly. Now we are unprepared if the Russians decide to actually do something serious.
But, I shouldn’t be negative, it’s good that it’s finally being taken seriously!
“Saab and other European defense companies view the EU initiative to establish a drone wall along the region’s eastern flank positively. This is to counter the rapidly growing security threat from Russia, CNBC reports.
Saab’s IR chief Mattias Rådström writes in an email that they “gladly” discuss how the projects can be financed and operated.
“It is clear that the drone threat is rapidly increasing in both civilian and military contexts, and that a joint European effort can effectively address the threat,” he writes.
British BAE also states that the company is “ready” to support the initiatives and demands from NATO’s allies and partners.”
https://omni.se/saab-om-dronarvagg-i-europa-tydligt-att-hotet-okar/a/jQo4re
On a side note, Lepp thinks it’s a problem that we are several countries and not one. Personally, I think the opposite, several countries collaborating is rather a strength.
“Building a European drone wall, as proposed at the EU level, is not entirely simple. This is according to anti-drone consultant and former lieutenant colonel Ulf Lepp speaking to Ekot.
The inspiration comes from Ukraine, but the conditions are quite different.
– What makes it easier in Ukraine is that it is one country, what makes it difficult in Europe is that it is many countries, says Ulf Lepp.
For Sweden, this would practically mean that a very large number of sensors capable of detecting drones would be placed along the border. According to Lepp, this work could start in just a few months – but would require the state to allocate funds.”
https://omni.se/expert-svart-att-bygga-dronarmur-i-europa/a/8qegJ1
Johan No.1, just want to point out that I belong to electricity area 3 and nothing else!
Does a drone wall in the east help when the package drives in ships from the west?
A Dronedome is needed!
True.
Maybe a combo with a maritime wall!?
Speaking of Combat Boat 90. Today Dagens Industri writes that the Docksta shipyard, now owned by SAAB, is planning to double its capacity. Unfortunately, the article is locked.
Correction. It should be New Technology.
“Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (M) says that there have been ”significant progress” regarding the use of frozen Russian assets in Ukraine, reports TT.
– It hasn’t sounded this positive in a long time, he says at the EU summit in Denmark.
The issue concerns whether Ukraine should be able to take interest-free loans from the frozen assets. Belgium has questioned how this should be resolved legally, but the Prime Minister does not see the objections as any insurmountable obstacles, writes TT.
Ulf Kristersson is set to meet with Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyj later in the afternoon.”
https://omni.se/kristersson-om-frysta-ryska-tillgangar-framsteg/a/lwBGae
“Russia has modified its robots so that they more effectively evade Ukraine’s Patriot air defense, according to Ukrainian and Western sources cited by the Financial Times.
Two of the robots mentioned are Iskander-M and Kinzhal, which according to the sources initially follow a normal trajectory before deviating and diving in order to ‘confuse’ air defense missiles. One of the sources describes this as something that ‘reshapes the playing field’.
According to the Financial Times, Ukraine’s air defense managed to stop 37 percent of the Russian robots in August, which was an improvement over the summer, but in September the percentage dropped to just six percent.”
https://omni.se/ryssland-ritar-om-spelplanen-undviker-luftvarnen/a/kw27J6
🧵https://x.com/anno1540/status/1973437969861390714?s=46
https://kyivindependent.com/in-every-woman-there-is-a-soldier-yaryna-chornohuz-the-brave-poet-fighting-russia/
1/
In every woman, there is a soldier’ – Yaryna Chornohuz, the brave poet fighting Russia…..
( worth reading /Lewi )
( Editor’s Note: This story was originally published in The Kyiv Independent’s first-ever print edition, titled “The Power Within.” You can order a copy in our e-store. https://store.kyivindependent.com/collections/magazine)
If there were four women named Yaryna Chornohuz, they would all be 30 years old, all born in Kyiv, yet each would follow a different path.
One of them would be a combat medic on the front line, risking her life to liberate Ukraine from Russian aggression.
Another would write poetry, weaving the beauty of the Ukrainian language into captivating verses
(Yaryna Chornoguz, writer and military servicemember, during an interview in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Nov. 14, 2024. (Viacheslav Ratynskyi / The Kyiv Independent)
2/
Another would write poetry, weaving the beauty of the Ukrainian language into captivating verses.
The third would be a mother to a beautiful girl, and the fourth would be a civic activist tirelessly rallying for a better Ukraine.
But there is only one Yaryna Chornohuz — and she is all of them and much more.
As a combat medic in the 140th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the Ukrainian Marine Corps, Chornohuz, who goes by her callsign “Yara,” has endured numerous fierce battles, helping to save the lives of her fellow soldiers and civilians caught in front-line zones.
3/
Beyond the battlefield, Chornohuz is a celebrated author.
– With her words, she gives voice to the pain and hopes for her country’s future. She also breaks stereotypes about women in the army, standing strong shoulder to shoulder with her male brothers in arms for nearly four years.
“In every woman, there is a soldier, destined to face the darkness alone,” Chornohuz writes in one of her poems
“Her fight“
“The front devours my heart and my comrades.
It consumes all my words.”
It started with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s speech.
“That day, our commander was watching it, and when Putin finally finished his pathos-laden address, the commander said: ‘Something is about to happen now’,” Chornohuz recalls the morning of Feb. 24, 2022
4/
At that time, her unit was stationed near Siverskodonetsk, in Luhansk Oblast.
“Immediately, from across the river, they (Russian troops) started shelling us with Grad rocket launchers. We hadn’t heard any Grads since 2017.“
5/
It was after joining the military in 2020, that Chornohuz started to believe that Russia would eventually invade.
To prepare for the worst, she decided to undergo challenging military training as part of the Marine Corps
6/
But the intensity of the fighting that began when Russia
kyivindependent.com/tag/russia/
launched its full-scale invasion
kyivindependent.com/tag/war/
was unlike anything they could have imagined, even for experienced soldiers, she says.
“We were never prepared to face an enemy force four times larger than ours. We were always trained with the expectation that we’d be fighting with roughly equal forces,” she says
7/
Their first “big battle” with Russian troops
kyivindependent.com/tag/russian-tr…
Chornohuz took part in was in early March 2022 as Russian forces attempted to seize the village of Zachativka in Donetsk Oblast.
8/
There, Chornohuz faced one of the “most difficult” experiences as a combat medic as she tried to save the life of a 10-year-old boy hiding from Russian attacks in a basement.
– She recalls the boy “becoming pale and almost dying” before her eyes.
“He had shrapnel in his chest,” Chornohuz recalls.
“His skin around the wound began to close up fast, and it took us a while to figure out where the wound had come from,“
– she says, adding a short but crucial line,
“He survived.“
(Yaryna Chornoguz, military servicemember and a poet, in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Nov. 14, 2024. (Viacheslav Ratynskyi / The Kyiv Independent)
9/
Chornohuz took part in several extremely high-risk operations. She was among those defending the Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway — a critical supply route for Ukrainian forces.
10/
“Losses, injuries, and especially the deaths of those you’ve served and fought alongside for a long time — these are things no one can ever truly be prepared for.”
She also crossed the Siverskyi Donets River to help liberate the Serebrianskyi Forest, a strategic area heavily fought over by Russian troops, and was part of one of the first units to enter the newly liberated town of Yampil in Donetsk Oblast.
The risky Ukrainian operation near Krynky, a village on the occupied eastern bank of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast, was also on her list.
As a combat medic, Chornohuz didn’t cross the river herself; instead, she treated those returning from highly dangerous missions.
Continue reading:
https://x.com/anno1540/status/1973442135715188775?s=46
Or:
https://kyivindependent.com/in-every-woman-there-is-a-soldier-yaryna-chornohuz-the-brave-poet-fighting-russia/
Very interesting reading.
We have reached a point where we no longer discuss the Ukrainian suffering often but it is still ongoing.
Good post 205.
I think you are misreading the situation about the US policy shift.
It’s not that Trump has suddenly become religious in his old age, but rather that the US has adjusted itself.
We’ll see what comes out of the G7, but Trump/USA has been trying to get the EU on board for tougher measures against China for a while.
The US’s force posture (actually, not like us in the Baltics) towards Venezuela is also directed at China.
Eight Chinese people were arrested in Norway for drone trespassing and China owns three marine cables between us and Finland/Estonia 😶
Is it too early to put Asians in labor camps in the forest, should we continue with this for a while longer?
MXT,
Who let you into SE3 was the first question, thought we still had some control?
Jokes aside (or was it a joke 🧐), I want to refer back to yesterday and the possibility of the USA using the new sanctions to take on China.
Do you think that will happen?
Here is something we didn’t see yesterday:
“The member states are also “giving serious consideration” to imposing trade restrictions and other sanctions on countries that help finance Moscow’s war by purchasing Russian oil.”
—
The whole U.S. shift in the Ukraine war is about giving the EU a little so that they will join us against China, I think?
Now I’m reading from bottom to top but have you seen this?
https://x.com/CREACleanAir/status/1973206607946191316
“Report: Taiwan’s average monthly imports of Russian naphtha spiked nearly 6x between 2022 and H1 2025 to USD 1.3 bn, making Taiwan the world’s top importer”
It was up and it’s not the first time Taiwan gets caught doing this.
Quite bold when everyone is trying to help them.
I never understood why the USA went so hard on us and its best allies – yes, we have 2008, the Cold War, and all that, but to push away its friends at the dawn of our time’s global conflict was a bit strange.
It’s perfectly fine to discuss larger conspiracies for a while because after all, it was 9 months of Trump following the previous 3 years of Biden’s deceit, so we had enough time not to misunderstand the situation.
Now it seems we have entered a familiar zone – the USA supports Europe and wants our support against China.
China will feel the heat for its audacity to want to lower the dollar with a swift-killer.
Our time’s global conflict – if we get to that – will be fought in Asia where the USA is leading the way and we are contributing as much as we can.
—
Exactly why the USA made a U-turn, well, we might as well continue to argue about that, but one guess is that they realized they needed the EU’s help in the upcoming global conflict?
From here on, the USA will be much softer towards us, but they will also demand that we do our part in the Ukraine war and then help them against China.
Mm, Usa wants us to feel insecure, they can swing back, there are no guarantees. We must be on our toes, and do our part so they stay on our side.
Well, maybe not a bad strategy considering how we stand there today in 2025, gaping as the drones buzz above us?
Good – now the world is somewhat sensible again and maybe one can start to recognize oneself in that image one had?
I seriously started to believe that the USA had cooked up something to bring the EU into a cold war again but the change in course with Russia and Ukraine is in a different direction.
Instead of saving Russia and trying to plunder the EU during a cold war, they have chosen to try to pin China for our century’s smash-and-grab?
China deserves a smackdown because they are not our friend and have been trying to undermine the West for a very long time.
Assuming the trumpet doesn’t turn with the rest of the dysfunctional orchestra in tow.
Excuse the cynicism, I’ll believe it when I see concrete results.
The model that is still not falsified, in my opinion, is that the USA is after China and first tried to get Russia on board with that adventure but when it didn’t work out, Russia can go and fly as far as Trump is concerned.
Yes – if you strip away everything about Trump, it seems like that 😀
Then it seems like the USA is doing okay economically.
Additional – when they detonate the economic bomb against China, they need Europe to buy their government debt.
Can you confirm that it matches the raffen, before that it was the 21st.
It seems like the “Dobrophilia” area is now cleared of barbarians?
We don’t know UA losses but RU has taken a beating, several brigades have been wiped out.
Took a long time, has been chaos, and has required elite forces.
Amazing! I hope there are opportunities to leverage the success for something even greater.
The choice is simple – do we want Russia and China to determine the world or do we not want that?
There isn’t much of a middle ground here, either we strike them down or they advance their positions.
Freudian Slip Productions was right about the Russians already 13 years ago!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uh8btOy8r4
👍
I think a lot about this – the only reason our procrastination has not resulted in consequences is because Ukraine has absorbed all the consequences.
It’s not fair, it’s not just, and it was a huge risk to bet everything on Ukraine being able to hold out.
If Ukraine hadn’t held out but fallen, Europe, if Russia had stayed in Ukraine to catch its breath, probably after a few mandates returned to trade and diplomacy.
Any warnings of a Russian attack on, for example, the Baltics would then have been silenced and ignored, except in the Baltics.
Did you see this?
https://www.ft.com/content/7d08731c-189e-4835-8cfa-048fe68611bd
We should send Truls Mördegård and what do I know Just the sauna gang to China to charm? Wasn’t it China that got upset with Lithuania for not buying Chinese telecom/mobile phones?
Could be something – locking a horde of Chinese people in a sauna?
Well, they have probably had a shrinking sales recently, as the Chinese have copied what they needed to be able to manufacture equally good products cheaper, and with the necessary backdoors to keep track of their own and others’ population.
It is probably also a response to the restrictions on Huawei in the Western world.
It was probably quite a few surplus Ericsson employees from Lund who helped Huawei build up its expertise.