The war in Ukraine 2025-10-18

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  • 1150 KWIA
  • 1 Tank
  • 2 AFVs
  • 41 Artillery systems
  • 2 MLRS
  • 1 Aircraft
  • 498 UAVs
  • 131 Vehicles & fuel tanks
  • 2 Special equipment

SLAVA UKRAINI

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64 thoughts on “The war in Ukraine 2025-10-18”

  2. 205

    Super low total, mainly driven by a decreasing figure in Donetsk which “only” had a strong pressure* with a total of 63 attacks (more “normal” 111 yesterday). Does not sync at all with the high figure KWIA in today’s morning report from AFU. Out of 128 (178 yesterday), 114 (165) skirmishes were distributed along the front as below. So, we have a dark figure of just over 10% (128-114)/128) attacks that were not at any of the fronts. Can these explain the high KWIA? Or is it about the following in the morning report:

    During the past day, the air force, missile forces, and artillery within the defense forces have struck seven areas where the enemy’s personnel, weapons, and military technology were concentrated.

    North:
    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 2
    S Slobozhansky 18💥↗️
    Luhansk:
    Kupyansk 7↘️
    Lyman 13💥
    Slovyansk 7↗️
    Donetsk:
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 12💥↘️
    Pokrovsk 37💥💥↘️
    Oleksandrivskij 14💥↘️
    South:
    Huliaypillia 0↘️
    Orikhivsk 3
    Prydniprovskij 1

    *Pressure: the total number of reported skirmishes in the front sections included in the area (North, Luhansk, Donetsk, South): 0-8 low, 9-24 noticeable, 25-44 significant, 45-84 strong, 85- very strong.

    1. Norrsken

      Possible that Ukraine has succeeded in striking against forces already before advancing towards the pockets in the Pokrovsk area.
      The Russians have been desperate in their attempts to reach them, perhaps prepared for a larger effort that turned into local manure spreading before they even had their morning drink.
      One can hope, but haven’t heard anything other than what you quoted above.

    1. 205

      No, with an already announced meeting summit between Trump and Putin, it was not a disaster compared to what one could expect (especially regarding Tomahawk missiles).

    1. 205

      Are we as globalized as during the pandemic and the financial crash before that? Since the first Trump administration, the USA has brought back quite a bit, and this trend continued under Biden. So they are somewhat less dependent today. Maybe the USA is in the best position?

      Otherwise, I agree with Proximity below. Even though China may be less of a colossus on clay feet today since their reforms in the 90s and early 2000s.

    1. johan No.1

      I believe like 205 and you that China is in the worst position.

      Trap them economically could be a cheap backdoor if we are a little cunning

  6. Proxima

    Taiwan does claim mainland China. I didn’t know that. But it’s actually stated on Wikipedia if you google “Taiwan”. I wonder if the Taiwanese will attack this year or wait until next year. Personally, I think they will wait until the financial crisis.

  7. 205

    One who speaks deferentially but increases his preparations will advance. One who speaks belligerently and advances hastily will retreat. One who seeks peace without setting any prior condition is executing a stratagem.
    — Sun Tsu

      1. Proxima

        Thank you for the words of wisdom, 205. Lao Tzu is said to have said this: “He who controls others may be powerful, but he who has mastered himself is mightier still.” Perhaps something to take to heart.

        1. 205

          Lao Tzu must have met King Solomon on his journey:

          “He who is slow to anger is better than a warrior, and he who controls his own spirit is better than one who takes a city.”

          Proverbs 16:32

    2. N Eklund

      “The one who speaks belligerently and advances quickly will retreat” 

       

      Agreed with the Russians until Ukraine’s friends decided to stop the Ukrainian successes…

  9. Proxima

    What I was actually thinking about was the pandemic in China. When people were locked in and shouted insults against the regime from their balconies. There you could clearly see how the regime started to tremble. Xi had to back down or it could have ended very badly.
    I otherwise like China (not the regime) and would prefer the country to become democratic. Then Taiwan would probably have joined voluntarily.

  10. Proxima

    Off topic.
    When I arrived in China for the first time at Christmas in 1970, the whole crew gathered in the lounge. There, we had to listen to a Chinese political officer reading aloud from Mao’s “Little Red Book” in Norwegian. It took an hour, then we were each assigned a copy of the book, also in Norwegian. We also received a Mao badge that we could attach to our jacket lapel or hat.
    On New Year’s Eve, there was a lot of alcohol in the glasses, and a crew member placed the Mao badge on our ship’s dog’s collar. Yes, we had a dog on board.
    In the morning, it was discovered by the Chinese guard who raised the alarm, and now a diplomatic mess began that the foreign minister himself would hardly be able to resolve. We were not allowed to depart from Shanghai until the guilty party came forward and confessed. He had probably ended up in jail, then the shipping company had probably bailed him out for a hefty sum. The captain on board called me up, I was only 17, and told me to confess that it was me. “Don’t forget to look sad and remorseful. Nothing will happen to you.” I did as he said. The Chinese considered it youthful foolishness and took me aside, explaining that “Dogs and Chinese people” are very sensitive, especially here in Shanghai. In the finest parks, the English had put up signs saying “Dogs and Chinese not allowed”. The Chinese were satisfied with this, and we were allowed to depart to the next port.
    I just want to write that the Chinese treated me very fairly, and I have never forgotten this.

  11. Fram i Natten

    Who shot down the plane in today’s betting tips?
    The North Koreans, the Russians, Ukrainian soldiers, or a Swedish Gripen E?

    Voting is now open.

    🛩️ 💥 🔥

  20. Fram i Natten

    🇧🇷🇸🇪 Opening of second production line for #Gripen rear #fuselage at Saab’s #Brazilian factory.

    Production capacity doubled to 16 per year to support a rising global demand for Gripen fighters.

    Bloomberg Linea interview Peter Dölling, head of Saab Brazil https://www.bloomberglinea.com/latinoamerica/brasil/brasil-se-posiciona-como-centro-estrategico-en-defensa-aerea-presidente-de-saab-en-el-pais/

    https://bsky.app/profile/gripennews.bsky.social/post/3m3ijdrnca22h

  25. Fram i Natten

    According to statements from the Russian Ministry of Defense, between 9:00 PM and 11:00 PM Moscow time, 20 airplane-type drones were intercepted and destroyed by air defense systems.

    According to official data, Russian air defense

    https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m3ipz2kj622n

    operated in the following regions:

    ✈️ Kursk region – 7 drones;

    ✈️ Rostov region – 4;

    ✈️ Bryansk region – 4;

    ✈️ Belgorod region – 2;

    ✈️ Volgograd region – 2;

    ✈️ Tula region – 1.

    In total — 20 drones shot down in six Russian regions
    #russianLosses
    #UkraineNews
    #UkrainianSanctions

    https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m3ipz3l35s2n

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