Someone who opened a subscription on Substack wrote that “freedom of speech should be preserved,” which I thought was very kindly written and thought-provoking.
We are currently experimenting with johanno1.se and Substack as you can see, and also sitting essentially voluntarily and writing daily – something we want to continue because we believe we have something to convey now as we are moving rapidly towards a global conflict.
MXT has reached a milestone as he can now purchase a translation program funded by donations to the site, which he is very happy about – all his posts will now be posted in Serbian-Croatian.
As we follow statistics, we see that fewer people are reading English posts, and as mentioned, we have now taken action with a serious translation program and will see if we can bridge with it. When I post heavy Swedish problem areas, there are always some on Substack who leave in a fit of howling and arm-waving – and many choose not to engage in the discussion at all on johanno1.se – because there are victims in all of this, should one then avoid the subject so they can continue to suffer in silence?
Municipalities and Englishmen obviously think so, but I think one should address it – so they come on weekends and you can blame it on having been at Gröna Lund if you want to use that excuse. The media just highlighted organized crime and the clans, so then I got confirmation that we are not completely off track. Or it’s starting to become a discussion that is hard to avoid now, I guess, before they manage to infiltrate even the media and silence them.
A mix of posts is coming, so please stay tuned and don’t be too light on your feet (I initially wrote “lättfotade” before realizing it has another meaning as well 😶) because then you’ll miss out on things that will be talked about in the break room. If you read the posts and find them valuable, a free or paid subscription on Substack is valuable to me as it becomes a distribution list in a very changing world where one jumps between platforms every few years apparently – continuity. I’m now fiddling with Ghost just three months after I opened Substack…
On johanno1.se, the comment section is the great reward (just as intended) and those of you who have found your way there can see that MXT is pulling a heavy load, also voluntarily, but he seems to be having fun with a couple of real enthusiasts no one has forgotten 😀
A forum is always a group effort, and if you want to have a discussion, johanno1.se is the place for it if, like me, you are about to burst from everything that is happening and need to vent – and the level of comments is also very high every day. Yesterday, for example, you learned about India and Pakistan – who would have thought that when you woke up around 10, had a pick-me-up, and shuffled over to the computer?
We immediately decided that there MUST be a high ceiling on johanno1.se, and to date, we have not banned anyone, and we have not had any quarrels – even though some have made it their life’s mission to criticize Trump apparently. I think that stands out compared to other platforms where one can hardly speak up before being kicked out, no names mentioned no one forgotten 🧐
Today is Friday fun on johanno1.se, by the way, at 18:00:00:01 – I just say don’t miss out at your own risk because Bruce Willis’ grandchild will read a fantasy tale, and Wesley Snipes will try loose snus on a livestream.
What is happening in the world now is that we are on our way to a full global conflict, so what started as support for Ukraine is now turning into gathering information, analyzing, and trying to describe the world’s developments interestingly so that it reaches where we are heading at rocket speed.
I started in 2022 to analyze raw information about the UA war that I received from sources that began posting on Twitter. Step one was to calibrate correctly with the sources, and then we got started.
If one refuses to read finished analyses and relies entirely on available information that one analyzes oneself, I discovered that one is more accurate than the well-paid experts who are stuck in explanatory models and tied to the mast of their previous (incorrect) analyses. Those of you who have followed for a few years know this very well – I think the first major scoop was Lysychansk, but already in the first week of the war, I condemned Russia and then a united media still shouted about “three days.” You can look at those posts on “the other blog,” by the way, before you get kicked out.
Since 2024, I was probably one of the few who believed in the UA offensive, and in the fall of 2024, I shouted that Ukraine could retake the country – which they also planned to do, but the USA started throwing sand in the engine right away.
So you can be absolutely sure that Ukraine has offensive plans here in 2025, but Trump has managed to ruin surprisingly much in a short time, even for him…
What I underestimated for far too long was the absolute foul play of the USA, although we guessed quite right there too, it has been shown in hindsight. And then the sluggishness in Russia – that has surprised me immensely, Putin has clearly gained total control over the country, and you have to give him credit for being a great statesman even if he ends up on the wrong side of history and will not be remembered in the history books the way he intended.
When new focus areas arise, I must first find the sources and not jump on the psyops…
Therefore, today there will be another in-depth analysis in Swedish so that everyone reads it and no one has to walk around with their head hanging because they cheated their way through the English B-course – it will be about China, Trump, and the whole 360-degree turnaround which is almost dizzying for me – I had given up hope.
Just like with Ukraine, the media is completely wrong about the USA and Trump as usual, but one can’t really blame them (yet) because I had also delivered my final analysis about Trump’s Ukraine war fiasco, and some thoughts on how he intended to conduct his domestic policy going forward.
The analysis about Ukraine came first, after direct attacks on Ukraine, and then after 2.5 months, I felt we had a solid foundation to also dare to discuss his domestic policy, which is a slight deviation from what I think I really want to cover.
But things move fast in hockey, very fast – and one must be pragmatic 😀
And… domestically in the USA, the psyops are at 110 degrees, so there is a risk of going wrong if one is not careful. I’m still pondering whether this thing about DOGE leaking to the GRU actually holds true because it was part of the analysis.
Everyone should be judged for their actions, and we did that correctly until a few weeks ago because then Trump had absolutely humiliated Ukraine and double-dealt with Putin so that the whole peace negotiation was rigged – it was painful to see. Especially for those of us who had hoped that he would reconcile with the Bidens and the USA’s damned “de-escalation strategy” and stop hindering Ukraine from winning the war.
“It can’t get any worse” was immediately proven wrong.
But the first thing Trump did when he took office was to confront China – if you read that post, the whole timeline was there, and it was ten times more than we had discussed before, I discovered to my great surprise – he had really been active, and the media apparently had been sleeping on the job. China responded immediately by stating that they would be present on May 9th, and now today Xi Jinping arrived for the first time since 2015 and stabbed the very small Putin in his oversized platform shoes, forcing him to stand on his toes to reach up.
China is also participating in the parade with troops, and the message is VERY clear – “we have chosen Russia’s side 100% in the upcoming global conflict” – this CANNOT BE MISUNDERSTOOD.
We know today that the USA has tried to curry favor with Russia so that they would join forces against China – that was Biden’s whole game plan, even though he laid down a lot of smoke to try to hide it. We must conclude that years of betrayal towards Ukraine were worth nothing, which was not exactly unexpected…
In addition to this, Trump tried, what he thought, was a violent blow against China in the form of a trade war for big men, which turned into a monumental fiasco because he swung at everyone at once – and it was the USA that almost went down on its knees when the bond market really shook.
What Trump did was to continue driving the USA’s formal line of trying to confront China, and in Panama, he would forcibly move China, and also in Greenland – and isolate them economically.
The plan was ambitious, but it backfired when he was loading the dueling pistol.
Because China has advanced its positions – in Panama and Greenland, among other places.
But since Trump has a knack for irritating absolutely everyone, there was an international outcry, and the USA’s bond market almost collapsed due to his actions.
Something has happened in recent weeks because the USA has made a complete 360-degree turn on the Ukraine issue, and early signs indicate that they fully support Ukraine.
The Kerch Bridge is a big deal – Biden absolutely banned it, but Ukraine has now fought against it, and that can only mean that Trump has given the green light for Ukraine to receive deliveries and make weapon purchases during this period.
The White House blames everything on Hegseth, unexpected 🤣🤣
JD Vance, whom I have a very low opinion of as a person, is also trying to backtrack as best he can.
The USA has also done something that Biden never did – given Ukraine permission to buy important equipment on contract from manufacturers in the USA. Biden just said a flat no to that.
So why, and most importantly – isn’t Trump still in Putin’s pocket or being controlled with an embarrassing hotel film according to a unanimous media?
An event that is a likely puzzle piece was when Trump in the Vatican asked the arm-waving garlic-scented Frenchman to calm down and then sat down with Zelensky himself – this was likely the first time Zelensky reached Trump as a person, and he probably took advantage of the opportunity as only a cunning Ukrainian can 😀
My respect for Zelensky is starting to become embarrassingly great now, a bit like when you had rock posters on the wall as a teenager (you couldn’t put up Samantha Fox posters in Okej magazine…), for this giant is single-handedly changing the world every day, and no other leader has managed to reach Trump (yet). Now, like all great leaders, he will lose the election as soon as the war is over and be rejected by his own, but no one can take this away from him. He could have retired rich in Italy and written his book already, but he’s accelerating at 110 km/h and starting to look more than a bit worn out.
Back to the subject after a bit of idol worship –
One group we must not forget is also the MIC who want to sell weapons, but they have been screaming for months now.
Trump was probably more easily wounded by the bond market shaking and his long personal meeting with Zelensky, but that’s probably not all…
You all know how China exploited Trump’s “tariff war,” and it’s hard to blame them for scoring an open goal – they totally torpedoed the fashion houses, stopped exporting to the USA, didn’t take US phone calls, cut off many strategic products to the USA, and probably more that we don’t know about yet.
Everyone dismisses that China has stopped exporting critical minerals and metals to the ENTIRE WEST, but they have – and it’s a strategic move also aimed at us in Europe.
China was and is ready to fight, not just with the USA but with the entire West.
If we rewind the tape, everyone should be judged for their actions – including China. But now China has shown its fangs, so there is no longer any discussion about what they plan to do.
But it didn’t stop there – China recently conducted a massive exercise against Taiwan and invaded and occupied an island in the South China Sea that belongs to Vietnam.
We also know that they have allowed Chinese volunteers to fight in Ukraine and now they are also providing light weapons to Russia – Ukraine has reported this.
And China has approved the whole North Korea situation, recently declaring themselves strategic partners with Russia in the Ukraine war (11th AC is probably on the way unfortunately…) and China had a Special Operations Forces company on exercise in Belarus in the summer of 2024.
The world’s media has declared JD Vance as el diablo after first the Pope died and then there was war between India – Pakistan a week after he visited India – everything was JD Vance’s fault.
The media damn well better start sharpening up because now it’s serious, and they should at least try to deliver sensible analyses if they’re paid to do so 😡
(even if Ron isn’t media).
The USA likely has zero interest in the interstate war between Pakistan and India that is currently ongoing.
Pakistan is friendly to the USA, and the USA visited India instead and tried to sell them the crown jewel of their equipment – the F35, but India chose Rafale instead. You can surely read a lot into that, but one interpretation could be to try to get India to reconsider?
India attacked Pakistan with a poor excuse, and there is now full-scale interstate war escalating where Pakistan is still responding.
My guess is that China is behind this with Russia – but that China is the driving force because they have an interest in destabilizing India.
China does not want manufacturing to move to India, and after India clearly chose the side of the USA in the upcoming conflict when they saw their chance to become the new production hub like China, war broke out immediately.
This is a bit like Russia’s conflicts in Africa – the most fragile state formations that only need a little push to be overthrown into ethnic cleansing and severed hands.
We don’t know exactly how things unfolded, but I’m putting my money on China.
I also believe that this has made Trump realize that China is now ready to start its journey towards global conflict – it’s serious, and the playtime must end.
China has prepared well – a manufacturing industry that is HUGE and can easily shift to the arms industry. They apparently build a royal navy every other year – a significant naval buildup is underway.
They have a monopoly on critical raw materials for the arms industry where Europe imports 100%. A product that is 99.9% complete is not finished, and China controls far too many of those different 0.1% for Europe.
The USA is slightly better off than us as they never believed in “eternal peace.”
So what will happen in the future?
First, Europe needs to decide what WE should do, whose side do we want to be on, AND how should we handle the Ukraine war. So far, we have done far too little too late.
Regardless, I believe there will be war, everyone except the media is starting to understand this now, so Europe MUST CHOOSE A SIDE, and then we must understand that we need to send our daughters and sons to war.
China is the enemy, and the USA is our ally, even if Trump is difficult to like as a person.
If we miss the opportunity to support Ukraine and secure our eastern border by the fall of Belarus, we have only ourselves to blame – then we have a new Cold War. Russia and China are planning to pacify Europe with Russia’s subversive activities and the invasion of the Baltics.
The invasion of the Baltics is guaranteed unless Ukraine delivers some deadly blows before that, rip off the band-aid.
Iran must be dealt with, or else Israel will likely fall in the upcoming war, the West will have to choose between Iran and Israel.
Europe should promptly establish ties with suitable countries in Africa and offer them fair trade contracts.
Defend Svalbard.
This world war will primarily be fought in Asia if Europe does everything right in the coming years or so – I believe we can demand that of our elected officials because we pay them very well.
China is probably only months away from starting to send heavy weapons to the Russian side in Ukraine – we are right on the brink of it now.
China wants a Europe preoccupied with the Ukraine war and invaded by Russia in a corner so WE ARE PACIFIED.
Then China wanted a prolonged war for the West so that our weapons stockpiles decreased, and China has only sent North Korean materials so far.
Because China now intends to begin its global escalation with the hope of defeating the USA – that’s their endgame.
What will happen, which is obvious, is that the USA and China will pound on each other in Asia, which will be devastated, where China cannot reach the USA and the USA cannot reach China. And then they will get tired, and if we look at previous conflicts, this will take about five years.
But we will get here – we will have our time’s global conflict, and it is quite close now.
Europe and the USA made a mistake by not allowing Ukraine to win the war earlier because it would have stamped out our time’s global conflict. Those who have read the posts know this from before.
On several occasions, it was very close, but Europe and the USA had consensus for far too long on not provoking Russia.
The idiots thought they had time – which we have said they do not, the longer the time, the higher the risk has been our mantra.
If Europe manages to solve the Ukraine issue reasonably well, we will not have a war on our doorstep per se and can instead focus on the arms industry and assisting the USA in the upcoming war, as well as protecting Africa.
But we must ensure to resolve the Ukraine war fairly soon.
Biden did everything wrong, and Trump also started completely wrong, but if he changes his mind now at the last minute, it might be enough.
Do you know what Trump just did – a trade deal with the UK 😶
For the UK, it has been a disaster to never get this, they have lived a dwindling existence under Biden and Trump 1.
Do you remember an attempt I made to describe how Trump/USA took an initial hit to get the shakes going but then moved the risk abroad so others took the hit – preferably China?
When Trump was at his worst, I also dusted off the old truth that the USA does not want a too strong Europe – the Cold War was an excellent control for the USA over Europe, and Biden has treated us in this way, so the red thread in the strategy has been there.
It seems that the EU also decided to be the adults in the room and offer Trump 50 billion USD with counterpurchases to make the trade deficit disappear, and then everything was fine for Trump, it seems like everything will be a win, even pesetas 🤣🤣
Now with the war in India – Pakistan, the upcoming war with Iran, and oil stoppages in MENA for Iran (or someone else…) sinking a large tanker in the Strait of Hormuz – do you think the USD will become a safe-haven currency again for the world?
When Russia attacks into the EU – do you think the USD will become a safe-haven currency again in the world?
As you know, I believe that and that there are a few steps that have not played out yet, even though all the comments were unanimous in saying that I was completely wrong 😀
Regardless of all this – Trump has now stretched out a slightly wilted, unpleasant-smelling leaf on an otherwise burnt olive branch and with a broad Trump grin, says that we should take it, and at the same time give him a site for the next Trump Tower.
And we absolutely should do that because China and Russia are OUR ENEMIES, and the USA is our ally in the global war that is now inevitable.
With the sharp teeth that China has just shown, Europe must immediately back away from China and start putting political pressure on them fully aware that it will end in interstate war.
So today we will get our first sharp calibration regarding Trump – is he out there saying that ceasefires must be respected and no one should drone the parade, or does Ukraine have a party trick that will enhance the experience for the participants 🧐
Putin has threatened with Oreshnik against Kiev, and if I know Ukraine correctly, they are well prepared for it. They might bomb silos with drones perhaps.
Ukraine has been ravaged, and its population desecrated – they have nothing to lose.
Over the years, we have described the atrocities in detail, and one almost winner was the journalist whose body was returned tortured and without a brain, eyes, and throat or something similar…
Ukraine intends to bring down the country of Russia – they have increased the pace of liberated (executed) war criminals, they drone Moscow daily, they drone all targets they can reach, and if they can, they will drone the parade.
They will try to execute Putin if they can because Putin has tried to kill Zelensky 10 times already, and poisoned Budanov.
All that has slowed down Ukraine is primarily the USA but also Europe – Scholz was a brake for a long time and Macron before he changed course in January 2024.
If Trump has lifted Biden’s ban list and Europe is serious, THEY SHOULD let Ukraine fight in the way they see fit.
And a bonus could be that if Russia collapses, China will retract its claws even though I think it’s too late now – the ball is already in motion.
The irony of “I will disarm and give you peace in our time, I am Gandhi,” to Trump becoming one of the major war presidents is not lost on anyone, I hope – Trump will go down in history as the US president when the third world war started – for better or for worse, so far mostly for the worse.
I also believe that China is making a big mistake but we are not there yet.
Now you finally have the chance to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and then the daily (well…) yellow posts – IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit you will see a QR code and a paypal.
There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 ukraine and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.
On Substack – there is still a chance to follow and become subscribers if it feels more right to go that route which some have done.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social
Glömt inte att donera, Ukrainas sak är vår! Stöd Ukraina!
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