Yes, it will be the usual Friday binge on johanno1.se – you can relax now.
Then IT runs a lot of semi-interesting polls, so I’ve been thinking about whether we should seriously vote on Sweden’s perhaps most important issue – round-the-clock opening hours at Systembolaget.
Imagine not having to realize at 9 o’clock that you’ve been stingy and the evening is ruined, but instead just jumping in the car to buy a few bottles of rum so you don’t have to sit semi-sober in front of the Friday movie with the family đ
After a violent increase in the number of traffic accidents, maybe Systembolaget will team up with Foodora for home delivery, and then we’ll reach Nirvana level – a wild party is never more than a Foodora order away, you never have to be sober.
Fanta Fuhrer is now on my watchlist as a wannabe-Hitler, so I’ll probably have reason to come back after yesterday’s final analysis.
India – Pakistan is escalating rapidly because Pakistan has closed its airspace and India’s aircraft carrier is heading towards the neighboring country. The quick-witted ones realize that JD Vance visited India a few days ago after killing the Pope, so some mischief is certainly brewing here.
Since Trump took office, the USA has single-handedly been responsible for all escalation in the world…
I honestly expected India to sit out this global conflict, but my goodness, what a global escalation it would be if these two openly start a war đ¶
On the global escalation scale, we now have –
-a full-blown global trade war initiated by Fanta Fuhrer.
-Russian escalation last fall.
-India-Pakistan on the rise.
-possible war with Iran.
-China has increased exercises against Taiwan.
A storm is brewing…
Back to Ukraine, and one really empathizes with them now after over three years of war –
What you’re seeing now is that Ukraine has completely deviated from the NATO doctrine, and my guess is that they are wiping out kilometer by kilometer, not like Russia with its artillery, but through attacks.
This is how Azov fought back in 2023, attacking in a 1:3 – 1:5 disadvantage but utilizing tanks and drones that were in their infancy, as well as artillery.
We all remember how the battalion leadership led 1-2 groups against 1-2 platoons in defense, and when they were defeated with minimal losses, the battalion leadership already knew through the drones from which direction the strike force was coming and where the counterattack would hit, and could direct the group/groups in defense.
Not the easiest to lead through drones, I believe, but it worked.
Apparently, the UK or USA has tried to lead an attacking group into a defense system with drones, and it was a bit like one group had night vision equipment at night – total superiority.
Now it’s spring 2025, and it would be strange if Ukraine hasn’t adopted the only thing that worked in 2023.
And today, the drone weapon is so effective that Russia incurs 80%-85% of the losses from it.
And UA has received infinitely more fragmentation protection.
So fast forward to today – Ukraine decides to isolate an area with a battalion in defense.
They now have JDAMs for bunkers, accurate artillery, and then they have small FPV drones that penetrate every opening.
Then they lay a wet blanket of drones 40km around the unfortunate ones.
And a wet blanket of EW and precision flying over everything.
And wear them down over a few days.
When the attack finally comes – if the RU battalion goes into defense, drones and cluster ammunition rain down.
If they try to hide in the bunkers, that won’t work either.
UA now needs a few platoons, maybe a company, to clear up the area by throwing grenades and clearing defensive positions – nothing more is needed.
They incur low losses, and when the RU strike force starts moving on the road, it’s either drones or UA has already laid anti-tank mines.
The purpose is to flush out the battalion, so sometimes they just withdraw and let RU fortify the area again, and then they launch a second, third, or fourth attack.
This worked at Bakhmut in 2023 and has worked in the entire Pokrovsk area in 2025.
And it worked up in Kursk even though RU had a bit too much FAB.
Ukraine now has an enormous offensive strategic reserve, but I don’t think we’ll see it in combat as we did in 2023 – NATO doctrine and attempting breakthroughs.
They will roll into the village when 3 RU battalions have been knocked out on three occasions, and then they shift focus to the next village, and the next. Continuously isolating and combating.
The breakthroughs in the front lines are made by engineering brigades, but this is probably how it will continue until something breaks.
The Russian spearhead is disproportionately depleted.
They have laid the foundation for this type of warfare by absolutely decimating the Russian artillery for a couple of months.
Then we have two arsenals that exploded in a nice mushroom cloud.
We will see more of this type of warfare, and Ukraine will not run out of steam because it’s not as personnel-intensive as the NATO doctrine.
And it will be very unpleasant for RU when this bustling activity starts simultaneously on all fronts.
They have done it in Pokrovsk now, where they have attacked at 3-6 locations simultaneously with smaller units and fought in a significant numerical disadvantage.
By the way, Germany recently delivered mine-clearing equipment and underwater scooters…
The amount of offensive material UA has received since last fall is absolutely enormous, and they use very little of it, so my guess has been that they have changed their tactics to eliminate the defense instead of taking terrain – something that supports this assumption is that they attack and withdraw maybe 3-4 times in the same place, as we have seen in the daily reports.
Finally, you now have the opportunity to show appreciation to MXT and his work on the website and the daily (well…) yellow posts – IT has installed a donation button on johanno1.se, if you look around a bit, you’ll see a QR code.
There is also a donation page for Ukraine on johanno1.se with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and worth donating to.
On Substack – there is still a chance to follow and subscribe if it feels more right to go that route, as some have done.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social
Glömt inte att donera, Ukrainas sak Àr vÄr! Stöd Ukraina!
Loading ...HÀr hittar du resultatet frÄn vÄra tidigare lÀsarundersökningar: EnkÀtarkiv
OBS! De av er som INTE vill tillÄta automatisk översÀttning av era kommentarer, gÄ in pÄ er profilsidan och ange det.
För musen över ert namn lÀngst upp till höger, vÀlj redigera profil, sÄ hittar ni sedan instÀllningen under rubriken sprÄkinstÀllningar.
