Ukraine daily update February 12, 2026

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This post has been in the works for a while but I got stuck when the USA started shaking the whole apple tree.

Ukraine is, to me, a light in the darkness – they are currently the only country that has dealt with existing structures and taken the fight.

We know that the USA is trying to manipulate everything to its advantage again, and that Ukraine has been collateral in it just like the Kurds were when the USA wanted Syria. The highest risk there is that we will see a revived ISIS, and several steps indicate that, as the USA first created them and then revived them when they died out – cynical but good for the USA because in the MENA region, they can also sell security at five times the market price.

With a passive Europe, and now as Epstein (which I will come back to in another post) begins to unfold, you understand that our leaders are not as free birds as we would like to believe – something I have been discussing for four years, although my perspective was not through Epstein but rather Russia.

If Ukraine can break Russia’s back, we can get rid of a centuries-old hydra, and Europe can finally unite in a scattered coalition where we must vote on all tough measures, maybe we can start doing good in the world – that has been my hope, and I began to feel hopeful when Europe went against the USA and was going to support Ukraine “until they have regained all their land,” but we have learned by now that words cost nothing.

In 2026, the USA started pushing all the buttons, and we do not know the outcome yet – right now there is a no-fly zone over El Paso, for example, so they are everywhere at once, the planners in the Pentagon must be popping omeprazole like crazy.

We have also seen a classic Russian-American trade-off with coercion,

First, Starlink was shut down.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/feb/09/russia-scrambles-starlink-access-deactivated-elon-musk-space-x

And then RU citizens leave Iran.

China is bringing in more naval resources, so they are not part of the deal.

It has not escaped anyone that Russia is currently targeting all civil infrastructure they can reach in Ukraine, and Ukraine is doing the same to Russia.

Previously, Russia spared it because why destroy something you need when you have won the war was the logic.

So what does that tell us?

That now burning everything they can is it not unlikely that we are now seeing the typical Russian sore loser mentality we have seen so often before?

They know the war is soon over so they are trying to destroy as much as they can.

We also have an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive that has been devastating in two front sections and stabilizing in Pokrovsk.

At the fronts, I now use Project Owl instead of Deepstatemap as they are more accurate in times of UA counterattacks.

They differ now, but previously when this was up for discussion last autumn, both maps were the same, and it was only UA statements that it was not accurate, which were not fully supported by videos. Maps and videos corroborated each other

But now that UA has deployed its offensive strategic reserve and things are going very well, there are few reasons not to trust Project Owl.

Where it starts to get tricky, we assume that Ukraine will clean up with its strategic reserve, so we no longer need to comment on it even though we have several such areas.

RU is set to significantly increase its drone forces, but that just means that right now they are taking a beating and have understood how good this capability is and want to improve their own.

https://news.err.ee/1609937099/estonian-foreign-intelligence-russia-building-a-massive-drone-army

UA drone forces are starting to get organized and are making mincemeat of the Russian bastards.

Since drone forces cause the most losses for RU, maneuver brigades should have some rest except those at the front.

Yes, the new defense minister said that 200,000 had deserted and that they needed 2 million more, but the biggest problem is that the organization has formed around avoiding being at the front, but that does not apply to the highly motivated offensive strategic reserve.

This has to do with the fact that they could not rotate the units before and that they reinstated 80% of the wounded in service (according to UA themselves), so a first place was guaranteed disability or death.

RU has exactly the same problem, more than Ukraine, but they have had a larger elite and easier to replenish because they have also recruited worldwide.

Indeed, now the pipes are freezing in all cities in Ukraine and when they expand, they burst – flooding as soon as the temperature rises above zero.

Unfortunately, it looks like it will be cold in Ukraine for a while.

Yes, more is happening at the fronts, but RU continues with the shooting, UA holds back the shooting and uses drone weapons.

During UA counterattacks, they manage to keep losses down in a drone-saturated combat environment, and that was the major obstacle they needed to overcome.

Europe also seems to be providing Ukraine with the monetary support they need, even if the betrayal by the Belgians ruined some of it.

Terror bombing harms Russia as much as Ukraine, or even more because RU does not have the same ability to rebuild.

Yes, the frozen oligarch money would have been good if Ukraine had received it – then Putin would have had a hard time protecting himself against the oligarchs perhaps, but now it did not happen, which was the purpose of the counteroperation.

An increasingly desperate Russia will do more and more sabotage in Europe, threaten individuals, and in other ways make life difficult for us – Russia has never lost quietly, calmly, and dignified.

I still think it is cynical that Ukraine has had to bear exactly the whole burden with us on top, who also initially slowed down, but then the world is never fair, and when the big profit comes, everything is forgotten.

Zelensky, Budanov, others – what heroes.

The shooting… as one has been attacked by people claiming that UA soldiers are not among the best in the world at all, and today they are the only forces that can fight in a drone-saturated battlefield and have a loss ratio far above 1:3.

Try sending any European brigade into such an environment, and you will see a dead brigade, and right now Ukraine is training the foreign legion to learn that warfare.

Many incompetent small-time dictators have come and gone these four years – one can only hope that they realize themselves how wrong they were, but that is probably hoping for too much.

I get the impression that Ukraine is inflicting heavy losses on the Russian bastards at the fronts.

And they carry out their own counterattacks where needed, which always go well, and the loss rate is historically very good, so since it is their offensive strategic reserve, we can guess that it looks Azov-good.

North Vietnam won the war by taking 40 times the American losses, for example, and when this war started, RU had a staggering advantage, and Ukraine had barely any drone weapons to speak of – it was the shooting that decided.

After the activation of the strategic offensive reserve, I have completely stopped watching RU advances because they are one counterattack away from disappearing.

In Kupiansk, they talk about 1:27 in KIA but it has been like that before too, in KWIA it’s 1:5 or something like that. But it is rare in history that the attacking party, where there are two qualified opponents, achieves this ratio.

Ukraine could come out on top in this, provided Europe doesn’t let itself be talked down, but right now we have crawled back into the foxhole again.

Do you remember those who said there would be frozen fronts and then negotiated ceasefires – he M-something on the other blog who always knew it would end like this, and all those who knew there would be a ceasefire according to the Korean model.

There are clearly circles that have discussed this scenario and the USA has strived for it by all available means.

Now it’s quiet again, but my impression is that we are still heading towards a ceasefire, which would be devastating, but Ukraine does not want it.

The ball is in Europe’s court.

There was a bit of cut-and-paste in this post as too much has happened since I started writing it – hope it still works.

Just a reminder about paid subscriptions on Substack and the Swish payment on the website since MXT is now in urgent need after its loss in Bitcoin.

Regarding the loss in Bitcoin, it seems that economic warfare is in full swing and will also be discussed in a post, currently South Korea is dumping crypto, gold, and silver apparently, and Japan was a bit shaky before – we can assume that China being a wonder of economic stability is not true, but I need to delve into this a bit.

The global escalation is in full swing, and at some point, someone will launch a missile under acute stress and no currently living head of state can control the situation anymore.

A Ukrainian grand victory would probably cool things down a few degrees, but it seems that Europe doesn’t want that right now unless I missed something, our leaders have fallen silent.

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77 thoughts on “Ukraine daily update February 12, 2026”

  1. MXT

    Russian losses in Ukraine

    Many artillery pieces and the second highest number of UAVs so far in the war.

    • 770 KIA
    • 1 Tank
    • 5 AFVs
    • 65 Artillery systems
    • 3 MLRS
    • 1 Air defense system
    • 1442 UAVs
    • 172 Vehicles and Fuel tanks

    SLAVA UKRAINI

  4. Proxima

    Good post. There wasn’t too much copy and paste. What is Europe doing? Tell me. Even all the endless meetings are conspicuous by their absence. Rutte can continue full-time tinkering with his Saab 9-3. Persuade Ben Hodges to become NATO chief. Now action and strong measures are required. The only language types like Putin and Trump understand. Stop pampering Europe!

  5. 205

    No front section with more than one noticeable pressure. Otherwise, at least one front section has had significant pressure.

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 9💥↗️
    Kupyansk 1
    Lyman 10💥↗️
    Slovyansk 12💥↗️
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 9💥
    Pokrovsk 22💥↘️
    Oleksandrivskij 5↗️
    Huliaipole 15💥
    Orikhivsk 1
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 1

    Sum sectors 85
    Unlocalized 39
    Total 124

    💥 noticeable pressure, 9-23 attacks per front section (apfs)
    💥💥 significant pressure, 24-43 apfs
    💥💥💥 very significant pressure, 44-73 apfs
    💥💥💥💥 extreme pressure, 74-124 apfs

  9. MXT

    Sweden will present a new support package to Ukraine today, says Minister of Defense Pål Jonson (M) ahead of a NATO meeting in Brussels, according to Reuters.

    Earlier, Ukrainian Defense Minister Mychajlo Fedorov stated that the package will include air defense, radar systems, and long-range attack drones.

  10. MXT

    Russia has attempted to “completely block” the encrypted messaging service Whatsapp in the country. The move aims to get the population to use a competing state-owned service. This is reported by Whatsapp, according to several international media outlets.

    “Trying to isolate over 100 million users from private and secure communication is a step backwards and can only lead to worse security for the people in Russia,” Whatsapp writes on X.

    This is not the first time Russia has threatened internet platforms with bans if they do not comply with Russian laws, including those requiring data from Russian users to be stored within the country.

  11. MXT

    Off-Topic, USA

    Some Republicans dare to resist and vote based on what they believe in, immediately Trump threatens to ruin their chances of being re-elected.

    “The American House of Representatives has voted against Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada last night. The vote is seen as unusual as six Republicans went against the president. The vote ended 219-211, which means a majority voted for a resolution to ward off the tariffs.

    After the vote, Donald Trump got angry on Truth social.

    “Republicans, in the House of Representatives or the Senate, who vote against tariffs will face serious consequences when it’s time for elections, including primary elections,” he wrote.

    The resolution must be approved by the Senate for the tariffs on Canada to be abolished. But the president can also veto it if a sufficiently large majority does not vote for the proposal.”
    https://omni.se/republikaner-gick-emot-trump-rostade-nej-till-kanada-tullar/a/16OjLq

  13. MXT

    Off-Topic, USA

    Soon he probably wants the steam engines back too!

    “Donald Trump asks the USA’s huge defense complex to buy electricity produced by coal power plants, several media outlets report.

    – We will buy a lot of coal through the Pentagon. It will be cheaper and actually much more efficient than what we have been using for many, many years, he says at a press conference attended by several coal miners.

    Through the decision, Trump wants to strengthen the country’s coal sector. Coal power has been phased out for many years in favor of other energy sources because coal power has such a large negative impact on the climate.

    Trump is a big advocate of fossil fuels and regularly claims that climate change is a hoax, despite the overwhelming scientific consensus saying the opposite.”

    https://omni.se/trump-ber-pentagon-att-kopa-el-fran-kolkraft/a/OkrEmO

    1. Proxima

      Remember a documentary program about the coal miners and their families in Appalachia. Most of the mines were closed down but the people wanted to stay and hoped that Trump would restart the mines. This was when Trump was in power last time. The people were completely worn down by coal dust and alcohol. Many were seriously ill and there was widespread poverty. Their hope was Trump. Healthcare only existed for those who had money. As is customary in the USA.

    2. maggan

      To let the market dictate is usually the United States’ specialty, and it normally works best.

      If coal power is the cheapest and most efficient, the market will solve this without assistance.

      1. MXT

        I don’t really have faith in the market’s ability to regulate itself.

        The driving force of the market is fundamentally only to make money. Sure, you can score points by being caring, but you can earn a hell of a lot by not caring about people’s health and the environment.

        Like in the USA where they operated gold mines, collected all toxic waste material from the extraction in artificial ponds. When the mine is emptied, they sell the mess to a company that is then shut down. Then the ponds start leaking and the crap seeps out, poisoning nature and people. The company managing the mining operation has no brand that is used when people buy the gold jewelry so people can’t choose to avoid them because they don’t even know they are behind it. The damage is already done before anyone notices.

        The market is best at adjusting itself within the existing framework, but it also needs frameworks to adhere to in order to function (for everyone). 

        That it works in the Western world is because we actually have regulations.

        There are countless examples where companies don’t care despite warning signs that something is wrong, and if it weren’t investigated and pressure put on them, they would continue anyway.

        PFAS production is a good example. Eventually, it is realized that the chemical substance used has harmful effects and it is banned. Immediately, the company looks at a substance with an identical chemical structure. It works just as well in production but is of course equally harmful. Authorities have to start over with research and only when they can prove that it has equally harmful effects can it be banned.

        So it starts again with the next substance. The company knows exactly what they are doing, but they are not the ones visible in the market. It shows that the companies don’t care, but also that regulations don’t always help. Luckily, PFAS is not more harmful than it actually is.

        Without any form of research, scrutiny, and regulation happening outside of the companies, we would have it the same way everywhere, as it still happens in many places in the world, where companies do exactly as they please.

      1. maggan

        Once again, why do you think coal needs to be kept under the arms? Hardly because it’s the cheapest option, in that case Trump could just lean back and enjoy all the coal mining.

    4. CB500four

      He wants to bring the USA back to the 50s with violence.

      One can feel nostalgic about the time when they were a teenager and everything was “good,” but this is ridiculous.

  15. MXT

    💥👍👊

    “❗️Just now, 🇺🇦Ukrainian kamikaze drones attacked the 🇷🇺Lukoil-Ukhtanefpereработка oil refinery in the city of Ukhta, Komi Republic. The distance from the Ukrainian border is more than 2000 km.” Link

    4. MXT

      “⚠️ In the morning, SOU attacked the Ukhta Refinery, using the AN-196 “Lut” UAV. The AVT (atmospheric-vacuum oil distillation) unit was damaged. 63.5691116,53.7229528 The unit was reconstructed in 2012 as part of the modernization of heavy Yaregsk oil processing.

      After the upgrade, its annual capacity is up to 2 million tons of raw material per year (previously – about 1 million tons). AVT performs primary oil processing to obtain:

      🟠 fuel oil
      🟠 diesel fuel
      🟠 vacuum gas oil
      🟠 raw material for bitumen production.

      Damage to such a unit directly affects the production of heavy oil products and road bitumens, as well as subsequent stages of deeper processing.”

  22. MXT

    🇺🇦 General Staff: Over the past two years, the effectiveness of air defense has been maintained at about 74%. We are trying to increase this percentage through innovations. Currently, a set of organizational measures is underway:

    ▪️The number and quality of interceptor drones are being increased

    ▪️A redistribution of functions between the anti-aircraft missile forces and a new branch of the military, which will be responsible for covering important facilities, is planned

    ▪️There is active interaction with partners to solve the problem of the shortage of missiles and fighter aircraft.

  24. MXT

    “Today, Japan is opening visa centers in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Now, you can get a visa for free and in just 4 days. A vacation in the Land of the Rising Sun, including tickets, will cost just 100 thousand rubles. This is twice cheaper than in Sochi.

    Russian tourism to Japan has doubled in the past year – despite the rhetoric they offer to appease Ukraine. These fuckers never learn – do they?”

  25. MXT

    “A car exploded in the Mozhaisky district of Moscow on Ryabinova Street, in the parking lot of the Main Scientific Research Computing Center of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation.

    The explosion occurred at the Federal State Unitary Enterprise “Main Scientific Research Computing Center” of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation.”

  26. MXT

    “Russian advances halted, for now The Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 984, for 11 February 2026, is 54 pages long and a full report that includes the NATO Alliance. Here is today’s summary.”

  28. MXT

    Russia struck Kyiv with ballistic missiles overnight, hitting a private house and damaging infrastructure. A 45-year-old man hospitalized in serious condition, woman injured. Nearly 2,600 buildings lost heating. Attack comes ahead of Munich Security Conference.

  40. MXT

    “🇫🇷🇳🇴🇺🇦 France and Norway will provide Ukraine with French-made guided aerial bombs, – Militarnyi This is probably AASM Hammer. The Norwegians will allocate about €365 million to implement this support. France is additionally guaranteeing a loan of about €260 million.”

    1. CB500four

      It was quite interesting to see how Bondi flipped out when she was questioned by Congress. She had apparently attended Trump’s school of argumentation.

      Never answer a question, and if you do, respond with a personal insult.

  43. MXT

    OT

    “Donald Trump reverses a decision by the American environmental protection agency EPA stating that greenhouse gas emissions threaten the health of Americans. With this, he pulls the legal rug out from under the US efforts against global warming, writes AFP. It is described as the president’s biggest blow to climate work so far.

    – Fossil fuels have saved millions of lives and lifted people out of poverty, says Trump at a press conference, claiming that the decision “had no basis in fact or law.”

    The research findings in the EPA’s so-called “endangerment finding” from 2009 have formed the basis for the federal authorities’ climate work.”
    https://omni.se/trump-river-upp-grunden-till-klimatarbetet/a/m0rz9v

  44. MXT

    OT

    “Almost the entire cost of Donald Trump’s tariffs, 90 percent, has been borne by American companies and consumers. This is shown by new research from the New York Fed, as reported by FT.

    The study contradicts Trump’s claim that foreign companies would foot the bill.

    “The results show that the majority of the tariff burden continues to fall on American companies and consumers,” the researchers write in a blog post.

    The report comes at the same time as Trump’s tariff policy is being criticized from several quarters. The Supreme Court is expected to soon make a decision in a case questioning the president’s ability to impose the tariffs.”

  45. MXT

    OT

    Not so bad if they ended up where they should. Anyone heard if Musk donated them or if Trump took the opportunity to do him a favor (if the state covered the cost).

    “The USA has secretly smuggled in around 6,000 Starlink terminals into Iran to provide internet access to activists and dissidents, sources tell the Wall Street Journal.

    This happened after the regime in January shut down the internet in the country to hide its brutal response to the growing protests in the country.

    President Donald Trump was aware of the smuggling, according to the sources. The White House declined to comment.

    When the protests were at their worst, Trump wrote that “help is on the way,” which according to analysts prompted more Iranians to take to the streets in anticipation of support in the form of US military attacks against the regime – which never materialized.”
    https://omni.se/starlink-insmugglat-i-iran/a/8pQOPd

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