Difficult not to lead with the negotiations –
We had a strong dissonance because we heard a lot of statements from Kellogg that were reasonable before the peace meeting and Trump remained silent.
Apparently, Trump completely bypassed Kellogg and his team according to David D
One would have wanted to believe that Kellogg had authority or at least was the formal negotiator?
And what Kellogg said was reasonable.
Apparently, Zelensky was thus presented with a contract on the deal with natural resources before the meeting that he did not sign – nice that they are street smart 😲
Here is a statement that, just like Hegseth, will haunt Trump –
“Putin has really fought for this country in Eastern Ukraine so it’s only fair that he gets to keep it”
Then I want to make an important point – Trump has a majority in both chambers so he is now pursuing exactly the policy he wants to pursue – this is Trump’s political platform and it cannot be blamed on anyone else.
First, we endured 2.5 years with Biden and then Trump takes over, the USA is not the best for us 😅
The positive thing is that it will be easier for European countries to pursue their own agenda than under Biden, Trump burns the bridges right away.
Europe is 500 million strong and has an arms industry that is now operational – we are not vulnerable, weak, or afraid at all – we have just tried to follow democratic principles as far as possible.
And the EU’s statement posted with a few words from Kaja Kallas is EXTREMELY clear – we stand with Ukraine and their territorial integrity is not up for discussion, they must regain their land.
Yes – as someone (Mr. Andersson the living legend?) wrote on Bluesky, Ukraine will soon be blamed for this war…
Those of you who have read what I write know that Russia will soon want peace in our time and want to save the children, and that Ukraine is the aggressor. Trump will now push that narrative hard now that Ukraine completely drops the USA and turns to the EU.
What are the advantages of Ukraine turning to the EU now instead –
-we get a country in the EU with the world’s strongest defense force.
-we get first dibs on those “600 billion USD rare earth metals”.
-we get a bulwark against the east that holds.
We simply want Ukraine to be our friend rather than an ally of the USA, or China.
And now the die is cast.
Yes, those of you who read know that Putin is setting up two army corps for the Baltics and Finland, or if it’s just the Baltics.
The size of different units has fluctuated wildly throughout the whole war, but Zelensky is of the opinion that RU is working on and preparing a strategic reserve of 150,000 troops and we can safely assume that new equipment is not arriving at the fronts in particularly large quantities but is going to this strategic reserve.
To some extent, this buildup was slowed down by Kursk when they had to start moving units there in panic.
And I don’t know how many of these 150,000 troops are North Koreans, but I know that the NK 11th Army Corps is PLANNED to be fully deployed to the UA war and is about 60,000 strong?
It could be that RU’s numerical strength here is 60,000 – 70,000 in their two army corps and then the NK 11th AC constitutes the remaining strength + some others?
Or does Belarus’ defense forces also count here?
We can also safely assume that Russia will not use up this capability in Ukraine but try to test NATO in the Baltics or Finland – and now Trump has been VERY CLEAR that the USA will not intervene.
I have long warned about Putin’s test of NATO, thought if anything it would come earlier but maybe Kursk crashed the timetable?
But Zelensky suggests that Putin’s strategic reserve will be ready by summer 2025.
Finland is prepared and if I may guess, Putin is not completely without historical memory and Finland is out of the question because he has no plans to lose half a million in the Finnish marshes again.
But the Baltics are there with an open door – their defense forces are about 6,500 per country, the EU brigade currently has a battalion which is Swedish, and their fortification lines against Russia have just begun. When it was shown in 2023 how effective the Surovikin Line was, it is actually strange that the EU has not pushed a project to fortify the Baltic border against Russia but that’s how it is.
Poland can be engaged by projecting threats from Belarus and the Chinese SOF company that was there is worrisome in itself. What if 20,000 Chinese are there in the spring of 2025 for an anti-terror exercise right at the border with Poland?
Anyway – whether it happens or not, the EU must plan for the worst-case scenario and send brigades to the Baltics, period.
The EU must also immediately build a very deep mine line along the entire Baltic border INCLUDING on their side of the beaches.
Now comes my revenge planning 🤬 Buy JAS Gripen instead of F-35, buy European-made IFVs, support the new tank program.
Follow Ukraine’s lead for the drone program and continue with wheeled and tracked howitzers in 155mm.
Skip the Himars and buy European (does it even exist 😲)
And buy European LV.
All of Europe has been held captive to the USA and forced to buy American, but who knows if Trump will stop orders or deliveries when they are really needed?
It’s time to arm up and at least Sweden has an excellent fighter jet to sell at the best price.
And our AWACS.
Make Europe Strong – MES.
There will be a big campaign from me with green caps and MES in blue – wear it with pride, be an MES ✊
Then I think WSJ is exaggerating a bit about China, or how “peacekeeping troops” should be interpreted. Reuters is more cautious.
But…
Trump has also unlocked this because the most important weapon against China was a battery of sanctions if they didn’t behave.
Chinese peacekeeping troops in Ukraine are extremely bad for us but for the USA, it’s no problem – they would just sell LNG, oil, and weapons to us at a premium price when China’s peacekeeping troops increased to three million men.
But expect full speed ahead from the USA – they soon have nothing left to send in terms of equipment, the $300 billion USD that was available will not be convenient to send, and there will soon be problems with deliveries of contracts to Europe as well when Trump realizes that it frees up Europe to send all the old stuff to Ukraine.
It’s easy for Trump to stop all of this and the consequences will follow, but when they do, it won’t be fun.
So, I think I’ve covered everything and now Trump – Putin – China have made their move, so over to the EU.
If you for a second think that Ukraine will roll over and die, you’re wrong – now they will intensify their efforts in strategic drone warfare and offensive operations because they know that the longer time goes on, the higher the risk of China getting involved.
And if we are to interpret the EU’s support in Ramstein, what has been sent and recent statements, we will stand by our brother people all the way to the finish line.
The question mark is of course Germany, but they supported the +WEIMAR statement and that signals consensus outwardly at least.
Pistorius has come out strong and Scholz remains silent – looks good 👍
I guess this joint EU statement will go down in history in a positive way.
The UK will probably seize the opportunity and rejoin the EU.
France always wants retribution for 1940 and is seen as capable and a leader, so there’s a good chance Macron will grab the flag and start running first until he stumbles and faceplants in the mud.
JEF is already fully activated in the sense that the countries have close contact and take their security task seriously, even if it was intended as an expedition force perhaps. It’s a safe bet that it’s the embryo of JEUF – Joint EU Forces.
Kaja Kallas is EXTREMELY clear in her second statement: “Quick solutions are dirty deals that will not stop the war. A concession before the start of negotiations is an appeasement that will not work. If Ukraine resists, Europe will increase its support.”
-thank the gods she managed to take office.
I would argue that we have just witnessed history being made, and that our grandchildren will read about the +WEIMAR statement in the history books in the future and know who Kaja Kallas is, and maybe also Johan No.1.
Russia will soon start an absolutely ENORMOUS influence operation against the EU and Ukraine that will surpass everything we have seen before.
But right now, with a few tears in their eyes, they have seen the countries in the EU find their lost spirit and gather under the sooty banner with bullet holes in it, reaching out to hold Ukraine’s hand.
Opportunities to feel pride have been few in recent years, but today I wear my green MES (Make Europe Strong) cap with a straight back ✊✊
If I previously thought the war would be over by 2025, we can almost guarantee it now in the editorial office.
Even if some backstabber starting with M tried to twist it into me saying it’s about 2024 as well – the key in all of this is what the West does. So far, over 3 years, as soon as it looks promising and Ukraine seems poised to strike a fatal blow, they have pulled the rug out from under them, causing Ukraine to fall back.
Do you see it now?
Do you see it from the EU’s perspective now?
I don’t, I see that we stand firm and then Ukraine gets its resounding victory.
I believe Trump has grossly misjudged this.
And now it’s done, Zelensky has aligned himself with Europe – it is done
As usual, if you liked the post, feel free to share it on your channels.
If you missed the comments section on Johanno1.se yesterday, you missed over eighty insightful comments from, among others, Nelson Mandela.
Today is also the LEGENDARY AND WORLD-LEADING FRIDAY NIGHT DRUNK.
As I have collected fun videos throughout the past week, it will be lively on Johanno1.se in the comments section, I can promise you that, so don’t miss out and sit there like a question mark when the afterparty starts at your workplace’s Monday coffee break.
It starts around 18:00 and I will reveal the best rum brand down here.
I have to emphasize that it’s February 14th, so for those of you in committed relationships who want to survive the day, it’s probably best not to spend 100% of your time in the comments section. Have a quick three-course meal, throw a flower in your partner’s direction, give them the champagne bottle, and then return for a fun evening.
And yes, I want to survive, so it can’t be an all-nighter for me, but the comments section will remain open, I have my six-hour time difference to play on 😀
And for those still hopeful – Tulsi Gabbard has shut down the Five Eyes cooperation as her first action…
Let me paint a scenario for you, and then you can think a bit for yourselves and then come back with what you think the outcome will be.
Mango Mussolini’s peace plan as we know it today (since that’s all we can reason about) is that Ukraine will get an unfavorable peace they are deeply dissatisfied with, and Putin will get a ceasefire in Ukraine, presumably where he stands today behind the front lines and well-built fortifications.
Firstly, the Ukrainian balloon will immediately implode – power struggles, disillusioned soldiers, political chaos, and so on. UA is also disappointed in the US and EU for betraying them, turning inward, and the next presidential candidate will likely win on an anti-Western agenda, for example.
And Russian psyops will be scorching hot, of course – one would almost have to look for a greater injustice to capitalize on.
Putin, on the other hand, will emerge stronger from this, and suddenly he can move a million soldiers to another location.
Now the EU, and NATO without the USA, are left there with a million Russian soldiers along the border with the Baltics, Finland, and Poland trained in 2025 drone warfare, and Belarus’ defense forces trained by Wagner since 2023 are also there, along with Chinese SOF disguised as North Koreans.
China takes over monitoring the border with Ukraine as a peacekeeping force.
At the same time, our forces must learn the hard way how to wage war in 2025.
This is ABSOLUTELY high-risk for the EU, and if a nobody like me can figure this out, the big thinkers and experts in the EU can too.
Therefore, the EU will now appease Ukraine and ensure it does not end up with an unfavorable peace – simply because we have to.
We are so close to such a nightmare scenario, and then all of Putin’s parties in European countries will demand that we bring our sons back from a meaningless war in the Baltics, governments will fall, and new governments that were elected on not participating in any war actions at all will take over.
The EU is EXACTLY as dependent on Ukraine as they are on us, and I believe the penny has finally dropped.
I have been running this daily (well, almost) text for exactly that purpose, because I understood the value of Ukraine already in 2022 and have long felt that the EU accepted unreasonably high risk probably without even analyzing it sensibly.
Think about this a bit, and then you’ll realize how close to the edge we actually are right now, but that the EU has also done everything right in the wake of Mango Mussolini’s negotiations.
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
NOTE: Those of you who do NOT want to allow automatic translation of your comments, please go to your profile page and set it.
Hover over your name at the top right, select edit profile, and you will then find the setting under the language settings heading.
Good morning!
1200 KWIA
17 Tanks
16 APVs
81 Artillery systems
4 MLRS
3 Anti-Aircraft systems
152 UAVs
156 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
1 Special equipment
Slava Ukraini!
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3li4hyym5sk24
81 Artillery systems
4 MLRS
3 Anti-Aircraft systems
156 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
1 Special equipment
Hard hits against rear systems!
Yes, indeed!
81 artillery pieces were also a new record, so it’s a real show of strength by Ukraine.
AA and special 🧐
Something is cooking…💪🏻
👍👍👍
Good three thumbs is the minimum 👍
“The USA will deploy troops to Ukraine and impose sanctions if Putin does not agree to end the war in a way that ensures Ukraine’s independence and security. US Vice President Vance also noted to the WSJ that the agreement resulting from the negotiations “shocks many.””
In principle, he says the opposite of what number 47 has been expressing in recent days.
Wait here, that’s exactly what the quantum physics professor Lynx writes, completely opposite to what Trump has said 😲
Is it time for accolades already?
Johan, great post as usual even though I miss some thoughts on how the actual war is progressing. It easily disappears among all the other statements this week when, FOR THE SAKE OF NOVELTY, the newspapers have focused their spotlight on Ukraine.
Incredibly sad that Russia can conduct the war in a “ceasefire mode” and at the same time gear up for other adventures. I didn’t quite see that coming. If Russia now feels secure with Trump, they can dig in and go on the defensive. I don’t see any benefit for Russia to continue making waves now that the battle for Trump is won. Terror bombing against civilians will probably suffice for a while. The number of killed Russians will then drop drastically, and they can start rotating and getting their peasant army in order. That wouldn’t be a good scenario for Ukraine, which hopefully has some strategy to deal with this.
The aid packages promised this week are old packages prepared for this week. NO new packages or money have been promised in response to the betrayal from the (former) most powerful democracy on earth. I hope that Europe’s largest countries quickly turn words into action and show that they mean business. The window for disadvantageous negotiations may be surprisingly small?
Now, after finishing processing the peace meeting, a few days were needed.
For signaling reasons, one should have a stock of ready-made packages that can be released instantly when needed. If not needed, the package can still be delivered and a new one prepared to have in stock.
We’ll see in what order the plan unfolds. I believe the pace is critical for Trump before the Americans see through the stab-in-the-back propaganda. Low-hanging fruits are Taiwan, Greenland, and Chinese peacekeeping troops in Europe. One of the 3, I would argue, confirms the intention. The alternative that Trump is clever and is creating smokescreens for a good solution for Europe and Ukraine. The odds are decreasing in that direction. Still hoping for the best but planning for the worst.
Europe must go all in on Ukraine now, while at the same time mining and fortifying Europe’s border. Give Ukraine the opportunity to refrain from negotiating. Let Trump and Putin be caught with their pants down. The Russians do not have the capacity to handle this at present. Deterrence and probably not war.
Europe must take care of Ukraine themselves – it is our problem.
Trump is not wrong there, even if he currently looks like Putin’s and Xi’s best buddies.
Thank you for the morning reading, Johan.
It has been a turbulent week to say the least with all the news about Mangot and Prutler.
Nice to have Zelensky and WEIMAR+ as a stable point in the existence in Europe!
Yes, this has been an exciting week and today is the 14th of February, which can also be very exciting depending on how much time you have spent on cooking and flowers.
The only thing that worries me a little is that it was only a statement from Kaja Kallas. It must quickly be followed up with real support (the usual: Gripen, soldiers along the Belarus border freeing Ukrainian military, etc).
Regarding Himars. Why is it so quiet about Archer? Shouldn’t we have factories by now that are pumping out several units per month?
Yes, we should have, they have actually managed to scale up the CV90 production.
But the ammunition production in Karlskoga is hindered by not receiving expanded permits for test firing. I don’t remember exactly what the request was, but something like until 7:00 p.m. on weekdays and one weekend per month.
Johanno1, thank you!
Will Trump dare to pee in Europe’s face? Already, Europe, except for the countries outside the EU, has the world’s largest bilateral trade with the USA. Or, the USA’s largest trading partner is the bloc of EU countries, including the UK and Norway, among others.
Will Trump replace trade with Europe with trade with Russia and China? The latter has already been subject to increased tariffs (10%), and Trump has previously described China as the USA’s biggest competitor, in terms of trade. And militarily, the U.S. Secretary of Defense also described China as the biggest threat.
Russia, on the other hand, certainly has raw materials, but as Trump himself has stated, so does the USA. And the big difference compared to Europe is that the average Russian, after buying Vodka and potatoes, does not have the economy to buy Tesla’s latest model.
It would cause great harm to the US economy if Trump abandons Europe. Does he want to? Does he dare?
Trump is coming out strong on all fronts against Europe, trade tariffs, increased funding for NATO, and he seems to harbor a certain animosity towards Europe’s largest economy, Germany, which is struggling with its energy issues and a car production that is undergoing restructuring and facing tough competition. On top of these issues, he is flirting with our archenemy Russia and argues that support for Ukraine is a European concern.
Many are almost reaching a falsetto when talking about a complete break with the USA, which has allied itself with Russia. A Russia with an economy that is a fraction of Europe’s, a Russia that has nuclear weapons aimed at Washington.
How likely is it that Trump’s goal is to have Europe as a common enemy along with Russia?
It’s time to take a breath and consider what Trump will settle for.
We definitely need to breathe. And maintain the direction for Europe. In due time, the USA can decide who their friends are, but the rhetoric from there is currently discouraging. Trust is slowly approaching but quickly disappearing in a gallop.
A conservative American commentator claimed that Trump was worried about what would happen to RU in a peace scenario, the nightmare would be if China started to plunder RU for cheap raw materials and thereby strengthen its position in relation to the USA.
I personally believe that Trump will back down quite a bit, but we’ll see.
Thank you for an uplifting moment. We must approach the fight like real blue tits do, aggressively and in a flock 💪🏻.
Noting that all German leaders have woken up.
https://www.politico.eu/article/scholz-trump-merz-ukraine-russia-putin-united-states-germany/
Regarding Himars (brief, must also work a bit), Ukraine has a similar system based on one of the longer-range Soviet missile systems, but it has not been further developed due to the economy. And surely also Himars, why spend money on self-developed when you can get the same for free? But now…
Germany has some issues with its automotive industry, they can build rockets, they are a bit annoyed with Musk so it’s a good suggestion to start building something that can replace Himars. If nothing else, to save their job market.
Let’s hope they are equally interested after the election and don’t squirm as usual.
Yes, exactly, there is a latent great capacity. The signals in the last day from Germany are strong, terms like emergency have been used by the major parties. If they finally put action behind their words, I believe things could really take off.
GMARS! however collaboration between Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin…
https://www.rheinmetall.com/en/products/tactical-wheeled-vehicles/wheeled-armoured-vehicles/gmars
If it’s the same car/truck/chassis as the new Archer, it would be something for Sweden, should be an advantage when it comes to service, spare parts, etc…
Look, it was only a half-American after all!
Alrajt, you get a free cap Lynx, you have really embraced the MES message.
Then the whole EU is on a war footing, good 👍
👉🏻🐥🐥🐥🐥🐥🐥🐥🐷(what the h*ck!)👈🏻
You just have to think outside the box 😯.
The American administration is currently like a show with “Guests with Gestures”. The admin is standing and gesturing while the world is sitting in the panel trying to guess what is meant. Can someone pull the “ponytail” so we can get a clue?!
The pendulum swings, it always has, but now it seems to swing far out to the other side. It was somewhat expected considering how far out on the other side it was before. The reaction is directly opposite to the early action (opposite if you are now standing on the other side, in a double sense) but one had hoped for a calming effect somewhere.
I am not a negative person but rather one who tries to see the solutions and possibilities. I believe that the darkness we see will cancel each other out and then become light. We have lived in “eternal peace” for so long that we have been blinded, some call it “peace-damaged”. It may be a necessary ordeal for us to come through to the other side and be reborn and see the world with new eyes.
We KNOW exactly what Biden did throughout the whole war and he was harshly judged by the whole world when they read my posts.
Trump has only just started, three weeks on the job, but he didn’t handle the peace meeting particularly well.
However, it may very well be that he has peace in mind, accelerates, starts to realize what he has caused, and adjusts.
In that case, it would mean that the intentions are good.
But we haven’t seen that yet so we’ll wait for a change in course if it comes.
Was it after one of your posts that he had enough and quit?
Trump?
Biden
Yes, he bullied Biden so hard that he dropped out. If he hadn’t done that, he would have won. Johan No.1 is entirely responsible for all the stupid things Trump is up to. I tried to warn him last fall, but it just ended up triggering him even more to bash Biden, and look at how it turned out now!!! 😂
When it’s 06:39 here and you’ve opened the computer, the first thing you see above from the oracle MXT is that JD Vance confirms that the USA will send troops if RU does not respect Ukraine’s territorial integrity 😲
Sounds like Kellogg again and why I was positive until the other day.
Time for the chorus of praise already or does it need to come from Trump as well?
Unfortunately, I don’t think we should put much weight on what they say unless Trump says the same thing. It mostly feels like they have learned from Russia and are trying to create confusion through contradictory messages. Partly to smooth things over when they notice pushback, partly so that no one knows what really applies, and preferably to lose interest and maybe partly to see the reactions.
I saw that the Analyst and Peter the Great (the name is familiar but I can’t place it…) wanted to nuance Trump a bit yesterday and since I have the time difference, I was in quite late – I tend to go off on a tangent a bit and now understand today that the image with the marriage was fake and have to retract that, even a quantum physicist can be wrong once or twice a year 😬
That being said, I hope you dive back in because there MUST be discussion from all sides here, that’s what makes a comment section, that not everyone agrees.
Now it also seems that JD Vance has promised American troops if Russia doesn’t leave all of Ukraine so 1.2.3… the applause from me.
Furthermore, I think the tone was good all day yesterday on such a heated topic as Trump, which is really only rivaled by Swedish domestic politics – Five stars to the comment section therefore and just as it should be.
Do as Lynx – be proud MES-es and wear your green cap with purple MES text in Arial 10 with pride ✊✊
Arial gets a hesitant approval, luckily it didn’t end up being Comic Sans after all! Just let me know if you want to start selling caps and I’ll add a shop here on the site! 😄
😳
What an idea, that’s where the billions are hiding ✊✊
Johan No.1 and MXT in different fonts and colors on swim shorts and mesh tank tops 👍
😂
A special MES whisky 💪🏻!
Hm, still waiting for the cap then 🧐.
👉🏻Strength through MES👈🏻
We Are MES 👊
Very fun with an active comment section – it motivates to actually write 😀
Furthermore – check out what the EU has on standby and you’ll see.
We can send to the Baltics so RU doesn’t come a meter.
Then see what’s in the barns.
And we know that the new production has started.
Offer for the mineral deal has now gone to Europe 👍
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3li54obfh7s2k
Perfect, I wonder if Trump’s carrot color turned into bright red when he saw that? 😂
UA still has a quite attractive carrot to offer here after all
Nice 😎!
It will be very interesting when (and if) the entire new administration in the USA says the same thing, and what they say then.
It must be assumed to become the official line then!
Well, a little bit of alcohol so far, like my target image at the shooting range 😳
The Nordic lion has risen ✊
If nothing else, that is the result of Trump’s statements and can be seen as positive 😀
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3li57pdcx3k2k
Alltså inte jag som rest mig utan de nordiska länderna
It’s not me who has risen, but the Nordic countries
Nice to see!
No, you’re not a lion, you’re a WIMP! 😉
😂😂
Strong, clear, and here I actually believe that we will see a lot of good things happen soon‼️
Pentagon is preparing for cuts ahead of the Efficiency Department Doge, led by Tesla co-founder Elon Musk, to review the Department of Defense more closely. To avoid more drastic measures, several parts within the military are said to have already compiled lists of weapon systems they have long wanted to scrap but which have previously been protected by political interests, according to WSJ.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/doge-department-of-defense-budget-cuts-prepares-0f7073fa?mod=hp_lead_pos2
It should be possible to send these to UA so that they can take care of the scrapping.
Oh yes, this sounds exciting to say the least 🧐
On February 12, Defense Minister Peter Hegseth spoke at the Ukraine Defense Contact Group. He mentioned two countries (besides Ukraine).
“In my first weeks as Secretary of Defense, under President Trump’s leadership, we’ve seen promising signs that Europe sees this threat, understands what needs to be done, and is stepping up to the task.
For example, Sweden recently announced its largest ever assistance package. We applaud them for committing $1.2 billion in ammunition and other needed materiel.
Poland is spending 5% of GDP on defense already, which is a model for the continent.
And 14 countries are co-leading Capability Coalitions. These groups are doing great work to coordinate Europe’s contributions of lethal assistance across eight key capability areas.”
Quoting a bit more…
Measured per capita, Sweden’s $1.2 billion is roughly $35 billion for the USA, in GDP even more.
I increasingly believe that the USA primarily wants Europe to take care of its own security. Then I can’t explain why the USA would lay all its negotiating cards on the table before the negotiations have even started? But if I were Putin, I wouldn’t trust Trump (which doesn’t mean that we in Europe should trust Trump).
However, the question of whether Ukraine should join NATO: if a country wants to join NATO, it must have control over its borders. Promising NATO membership could lead to Russia doing everything in its power to prevent Ukraine from having control over its borders. In that case, it might be better to find another equally strong solution and then wait for a few years until the situation improves. A no can quickly turn into a yes if, for example, Russia is preoccupied with its internal problems, a yes now could cause problems here and now.
That is more nuanced than the latest statement, absolutely 👍
One must consider that NATO is an organization where all members must approve a new member, usually through some form of vote in their parliament or similar. Obtaining membership in a peace agreement is exceptionally difficult and time-consuming, as we became aware when some countries demanded concessions to approve Sweden’s application.
A peace agreement should not include anything about NATO or the EU; those are negotiations between these organizations and the sovereign state of Ukraine.
Good point, it could be Hegseth who has been misinterpreted.
The last part is important, and if my guess about Mr. Mango’s continued fate and adventures is correct, maybe we shouldn’t delve into that part. After all, does the Kremlin read Johan No.1?
If the Kremlin reads Johan No.1, their morning meetings start by going through the posts and adjusting everything they have misunderstood because they do not realize that half of them are traps ordered by Budanov.
Very well written and balanced!
Another Johan, No.1337, posted this link in a comment under the substack post
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy-vladimir-putin-russia-pm-eu-survive-without-us/
The problem now is that Russia is putting all its efforts into its military while EU countries are fooling around with a budget of 2-3%. Russia probably spends more money than all of us combined.
We have not realized that we are at war with Russia, so despite having a much larger economy, we cannot even supply Ukraine with proper amounts of 155mm shells. We don’t care more about Ukraine even though they are currently our shield and spearhead against Russia.
However, if Europe were directly involved in a war with Russia and we were to adapt to it, I don’t think Russia would last long. The question, of course, is whether the whole of Europe would step up if, for example, Estonia were to be attacked. Or would we continue to dilly-dally and just send a few weapons as we are doing now with Ukraine? Regardless of what the rest of Europe would do, I don’t think Ukraine would have the ability to help them.
I have high regard for Ukraine and its capabilities, but the idea that the EU would not survive without Ukraine seems like an exaggeration. I am convinced that Europe can face the threat from Russia if we just realize the seriousness of the situation and adapt to war. The sad part is that we don’t seem prepared to do it for Ukraine’s sake.
It’s actually easy to change if the will is there. Flashed by yesterday, a German reaction to number 47’s phoning with the Moscow state; they considered that it might be high time to break the budget ceiling due to an emergency.
I actually guess that a shock went through several European countries yesterday. And if we just want to, we can, our industrial capacity is light-years ahead of the Moscow realm.
I also believe it all depends on the will.
Yes, although it should have been expected, it was probably a shock for many.
Time to finally step up after three years!
Moscow is a place he would like to visit…
“The US Vice President said he was ready to come to Moscow for talks on Ukraine. He also expressed confidence that the US would be able to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine.”
Make the Muscovite Empire bigger than Italy again 🤡.
😂
Is it even possible to try to predict how Trump will act? Does he even know himself how a statement will end as early as in the beginning of it? He has long been talking about how important it is for Europe to increase its defense spending. It is not an unreasonable demand in a world where allies collectively should defend themselves against dictators who claim the right to take what they want. However, it becomes strange in light of his latest whim, to negotiate an agreement that the USA, Russia, and China should all halve their defense spending. With such a goal, Europe is reasonably a role model. In Trump’s world, however, everyone apparently should rearm their military forces in the opposite direction from where they currently are. Whether it’s up or down apparently matters less. The only reasonable interpretation is that Trump’s plans are largely guided by random processes that are not rational from a geopolitical, military, security, or economic perspective. The only fixed point in his actions seems to actually be his vanity and self-overestimation, and perhaps that’s where the tools for the world’s survival are found? The most important component in future negotiations may be a thorough analysis of Trump’s ego? The most relevant expertise may then be found in our Swedish preschools. A Swedish kindergarten teacher knows exactly how to handle five-year-olds who rampage around and in one moment are Superman catching villains, in the next are the smartest in the world who have invented a perpetual motion machine, and shortly after are the toughest gangster scaring the pants off all the weaklings. A Swedish kindergarten teacher can with great precision adapt communication to the maturity of the target group and achieve the desired result: “You, Pelle, who are so strong, smart, and tough, can you help little Edvin clean up? “You, Donald, who is…”
😂😂😂 Trump’s nemesis, a kindergarten teacher, sorry, preschool educator! We’ll have to try to find a volunteer who can step forward and take care of him.
I interpret it as they will be able to halve the costs of maintaining nuclear weapons if they halve the number of nuclear weapons, not their total defense costs.
My interpretation does not align with the media, perhaps because I do not rely on clicks.
Independent intellectual, isn’t that right?
One doesn’t have to have a certain opinion for the salary or the clique.
Some Ukrainian metal for those of you who want to gear up and get in the mood for Friday beers!
Well, if you don’t like metal, you should probably refrain from listening, otherwise there’s a risk you’ll just get grumpy from all the “noise”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9vLupooVhsc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtKaXc_AEF8&list=PL8QTHPd5tXj9K9nZc0e5XVc_hM-OG45pE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cI-W9RJ2KVQ&list=PL8QTHPd5tXj9K9nZc0e5XVc_hM-OG45pE&index=8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vHNB_HPR5qA&list=PL8QTHPd5tXj9K9nZc0e5XVc_hM-OG45pE&index=16
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a98LI-arNS4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYaE_PVh-g4
Hard rock ✊✊
I have just discovered a completely new sensational group from Denmark called Aqua and their song Barbie Girl – I fell off my chair!
Searched for it on Spotify. Me too (fell off my chair)! ☺
/ Jan W aka the oil magnate
“Norway-owned airline, “Norwegian” just ran this as an ad on Facebook!! 😂 😂
“When California becomes Danish, we will open a domestic flight route to Los Angeles ;)”
Nordic solidarity in trolling #MAGA 😆”
🤣🤣
Today’s Trump interpretation. Can’t promise it will be a regular feature, but now there’s a need, I think. Was almost appointed as an amateur Trumpologist the other day.
Trump and company are playing Europe, that’s for sure. I think Trump is severely underestimated and the Swedish media narrative, which is completely wrong, is accepted by “everyone.” The alleged narcissistic, childish, senile, etc. traits of Trump are simply a narrative, for those who find it fitting to push it. – Trump’s ego is bigger than Mt Rushmore, his determination is like that of a Robot 15, and his path is like that of a Robot 15. And Trump is as agile as a rhinoceros, meaning two tons, 70 km/h, no eyes, no ears. And he doesn’t have the patience for diplomacy, far too impatient to chat with representatives of weak countries (like all the others) to appear polite. Either they understand what they’re told or the boat will be rocked hard.
So, if Europe doesn’t take the lead, Trump has indicated how (little) he/the US intends to act and how radical it (little) could be. Trump/Hogseth suggests that Europe should take responsibility. Poland, 5% of GDP on defense, is good (Hogseth 12/2). A strong NATO is good, but the US won’t pay more than its share. No compliance in Europe? Then it will have to be a smaller suit or none at all. If Europe doesn’t take responsibility for supporting Ukraine, then it will be a Trump deal, plain and simple. – And look….what happens? Suddenly Europe steps up on the issue (it seems). I actually think Trump accepts reduced US influence in Europe in exchange for lower military costs.
Furthermore, my assessment is that Trump doesn’t care about Putin or what Putin thinks. He doesn’t care about what anyone else thinks either, because he plays power politics. He doesn’t care if someone would claim he’s weak, as he knows everyone will answer if he calls. If someone doesn’t get it, there will be a power demonstration, likely economic, but still uncomfortable for the recipient. He has now tested, and proven, that we/Europe obediently react (confirmations come every day) if he just bluntly blurts out something outrageous. So, it’s likely to work again…
Amateur Trumpologist 🤣🤣
I think the reasoning could hold – we will then see in the coming month perhaps. Yes, Swedish media has a bit of a red flag when it comes to Trump, to say the least.
Because it is absolutely true that the EU has risen up, and if Trump doesn’t stop the EU, maybe that was the purpose?
So, the last word has not been spoken 👍
Do you think Zelensky can play the USA and EU against each other and get what he wants?
Zelensky (with advisors) seems to have grasped the situation. It looks like the (in my opinion) silly flattery has clearly diminished. My interpretation is that UA has assessed that showing balls of steel impresses Trump more than silly flattery. That Trump likes winners, likes those who invest in their own interest and take responsibility. Bawling like a five-year-old is the worst thing one can do, in my opinion.
So, UA has probably realized that they need to toughen up. I believe the result will be that they play harder, comparing to the mineral talk and that Zelensky apparently turned down a proposal from the US to exchange minerals for support and instead offered the EU(?) a deal.
So, the answer is yes.
Your analysis is several levels above what we normally encounter in the media.
Interesting reading.
He is after all called The Analyst 😲
It would be a great relief if it turns out that Trump is a great strategist who has as a long-term goal to protect the free democratic world, but with some tough and unconventional methods. Personally, I don’t bet on a man who incites a mob with thugs to demolish the parliament when he loses an election, possessing any great ability to think ahead or placing any value on democracy.
I believe we will have the answer key in a month.
The grump is a tough guy…
However, democracy, freedom of speech, and Western values are important to the grump, Vance, Hegseth, and others, at an ultra-liberal level. – Did the grump incite towards the Capitol or is that the media version? Swedish and European media are not reliable, so what was the whole point?
Addition. Trump’s behavior will of course occasionally backfire, but it’s like in business. If Trump/the US succeeds/earns more than they lose, then it’s the right tactic.
The Russian offensive has run out of gas, but you knew that if you read a certain post
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3li5lkdvyq22l
USA is already backing out on 2014 borders and NATO
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3li5m4uj6yk2l
Vance has done it again today. He accuses Sweden and Europe of being a collection of undemocratic countries. Germany is criticized for how they handle AFD, Romania for thwarting a Tictoc cup which Vance deemed unacceptable. Sweden has issues with freedom of speech, etc…
So, Vance accuses Europe of not being democratic while he is actively dismantling U.S. democracy FOR REAL…?!? Why even engage in this kind of nonsense talk? Just plain stupid or trying to deflect attention from all the mistakes with Ukraine?
https://omni.se/a/731PrB
I believe the opinions on what is happening are as numerous as the number of people swimming in any given public pool on a Friday afternoon, but one thing I find inevitable – let countries’ domestic issues be left alone.
Now, hardly any newsroom in the world can refrain from at least a little when it comes to Trump, and our politicians were campaigning in the USA for Harris, for example.
But anyway, I don’t think it’s great fun when Vance keeps poking around in things that are ours and no one else’s.
He thinks that we have to endure Elon Musk’s praising of AFP because the USA has had to endure Greta…
The level is so low that the media should actually completely stop reporting on what the crazies are saying.
I saw JD Vance’s speech on SVT and I think he may have succeeded in the feat of uniting Europe… At first, people might have been baffled, but then the anger is likely to grow that he had the audacity to deliver that speech.
Then one can ask oneself what his message was? I think it was this: If Europe does not allow the Putin parties to come forward, the USA will cease its assistance. Did you also read that between (and on!) the lines?
Kenneth Gregg’s summary is noted, which is good (regardless of what one thinks of that man).
-our energy infrastructure is working despite all the bombings
-our frontlines are holding and we have initiated offensives, slowly but surely
-we are receiving new weapons and ammunition to the fronts, most recently we have reinforced the Tore front with heavy weapons
-our economy is stable
-the army is being restructured for the better
-our own weapons industry has doubled, and we are developing new weapons unlike Ryzzen
-if the USA were to withdraw, it is NOT a catastrophe. Europe fills in some gaps and our own weapons industry fills in some gaps. Remember that 60% of US aid was weapons that were already outdated, these can basically be replaced by the weapons and ammunition factories of the Nordic countries.
-Ryzzland’s maintenance lines are failing due to a shortage of vehicles and the decay of their railways
-Ryzzland’s economic reserves will be completely depleted in 3 months, according to many economic experts.
-Ryzzland’s mobilization is less than what is being eliminated at the fronts.
This is what I have also seen and been quite positive about the situation overall until the peace meeting dampened it a bit.
Ukraine is in control now 👍
February 14th is Valentine’s Day, but above all, it’s the groundbreaking and bridge-building event – FRIDAY DRINKING.
There are no rules except for leaving old grievances behind and holding onto the chair when opening the hysterical movies.
I have promised a review of the best brand of rum down here, and it is – BRUGAL, apparently, say those who drive me to work.
As soon as I manage, I will try to buy a bottle during Saturday’s shopping, but there is always a bit of negotiation about whether it will be a bottle of wine or a one-liter jug of spirits, and I rarely come out on top there.
It’s easier to say, “I’ll take two Presidente (beers…)” and then go and take two jumbo bottles of one liter and look away when you return to the shopping cart.
Have you seen this – I usually post things that one has thought could happen but never seen. A man films his son being swallowed by a whale and then spat out 😲
That guy has a story to tell, to say the least…
https://x.com/AMAZlNGNATURE/status/1889904778408280420
I posted about sniping the other day, so no repost, but afterwards, I felt like I should have called it “creep-shooting” instead of sniping, as creep-shooting is an established term 😭
Maybe not super fun, especially not for those with a phobia of wasps, but it’s the higher school of removing a nest 😲
https://x.com/interesting_aIl/status/1889208271950508060
Goats are always just fun, and fighting kids are so funny that I have to hold on to myself 🤣
https://x.com/enezator/status/1888690585273524245?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
https://x.com/ThomsonSherin/status/1889354336335249496?t=5Tqw3Ga5-7HG3gY4cGHiBg&s=19
Great!
https://bsky.app/profile/vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu/post/3li5igfkvck2a
Lovely – since one could see this coming from miles away.
Why didn’t one buy stocks in the war industry 😐
I don’t think it’s too late unless Russia collapses tomorrow and the American election is redone…
Bought SAAB shares 2.5 years ago… They have increased nicely!
Very smart
You probably have a buying opportunity with the Russian crash loss. Then investors will probably dump defense stocks while Europe continues to arm because the USA is off the map.
Smart, thank you, I will start exploring and saving a bit in the savings account 👍
If you didn’t find the movies above funny enough because, for example, you have a fear of wasps and couldn’t sneak in a bottle of fine caviar today, there will be many more movies, many more –
So here’s my life –
https://x.com/enezator/status/1888637737684656173?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
New way to fish for sharks but probably all cages are shaking now
https://x.com/rainmaker1973/status/1888594255658053890?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
This one will be hard to grasp but you are among the first to see the night sky as it looks from Mars
https://x.com/mastronomers/status/1888279124042535142?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
And how it SOUNDS on Mars, there you go 😲
https://x.com/mastronomers/status/1888393377042874511?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
So this is some Tyrolean-German competition in imitating deer mating calls to attract them so they can be shot.
What the older male hunters maybe should have thought about when they get a bit into this is how the whole process actually looks and can be misinterpreted as.
https://x.com/nexta_tv/status/1888506223693037764?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
And dogs with shoes are always funny 🤣
https://x.com/gunsnrosesgirl3/status/1888513639373480131?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
So this was our Christmas too, just with slightly less professional adults
https://x.com/tacticalporn/status/1888346998346072433?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Penguins are rarely not funny
https://x.com/amazlngnature/status/1888320477371764763?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Ah, that penguin at the end, strongly reminds me of the North Koreans in Kursk! 😂
It is a North Korean 😳
110 comments, with Friday intoxication bursting at 3000 before nine ✊
There is something wrong that prevents access to the site from certain computers/browsers/mobile devices?! I only got a “403 Forbidden” message from the tablet yesterday.
Otherwise, it would probably have been 3000 actually.
Here it is definitely something other than Trump, but do you dare to guess that more than I thought prioritize continued marriage over fun movies on a website?
It’s worth considering that according to this, no one from Europe emigrated to the southern states of the USA, so where did they come from?
https://x.com/fasc1nate/status/1888415026039357909
Or camping on ice, oh my
https://x.com/Enezator/status/1888316875311902993
Mysterious why no hurricane has crossed the equator, pure Bermuda Triangle vibes here 🧐
https://x.com/fasc1nate/status/1888384826270535722
Best dog ever 💥
https://x.com/Yoda4ever/status/1887915228995928138
A wildly funny hip-hop parrot
https://x.com/michellemaxwell/status/1888035263542133179?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Yes, you’re starting to get old – Sony Discman is in a museum
https://x.com/The_Real_ITDUDE/status/1888349875869507906
A hysterically violent funny frog attack
https://x.com/amazlngnature/status/1888234945543328081?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
USA is just Europe’s backyard. 😄
A small windy and muddy backyard
We have reached the end for me and I will shut down the computer, take my homemade Valentine’s card in Word that I printed at work, and head home. Environmentally friendly paper in black and white 👍
But before that, there will be more hysterically funny frogs
https://x.com/amazlngnature/status/1888188771100742074?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
And never forget the words of wisdom
https://x.com/ginacarano/status/1886998293806477711?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
This one is also really funny 😂
https://x.com/InternetH0F/status/1886112422299058236
It has been a few rewarding days in the comment section, which makes it fun to write, and there are many insightful comments.
I also see that even around the roaring-infected Trump, it is possible to maintain a good tone, which is exactly as intended.
And of course, it’s actually discussed a lot more than just Trump here, which seems to have taken over all other forums completely like some kind of early diagnosis 😂
So please post your thoughts, analyses, and reflections on the war because it is absolutely read, and I will steal half of it for the next post and call it mine 👍
And feel free to argue for or against Trump, everything is fine.
Ah, the latest link reminds me of both the time when I was in a hurry to the toilet at Amsterdam airport and when I got caught between Berlusconi’s bodyguards and a crazy lady at one of Rome’s airports.
“HEROES UKRAINE” Music Video Bowie x Ukraine”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5SOkb7M2Ho
🌟💪🏻