As is well known, I am related to General Patton through a champagne-loving secretary, so I understand a bit about his mindset, and he will be green with envy during 2025 over Ukraine’s violent offensives.
How is the war going now when everyone is feeling down?
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I can tell you how it’s going –
-Trump will not have much power over what the EU does in the future.
-The EU has decided to engage in the fight, that is clear.
-RU has made so little progress in recent months that it is embarrassing if we look at the losses.
-UA is droning Russia, especially targeting fuel, ammunition, and the production of key components.
-RU’s response is poor with missile attacks, and their modus operandi is to retaliate tenfold.
-The West is delivering a LOT of equipment now, heavy packages, and many countries have committed to training Ukrainian brigades.
-Ukraine is actively destabilizing Russia from within.
-Ukraine has been given permission to continue invading Russia AND targeting previously forbidden infrastructure – oil exports. The geographical limitations imposed by Biden have been partially or completely removed, or perhaps Ukraine has stopped caring?
In 2024, it was a time to worry as the West wavered, primarily with the traitors Biden, Sullivan, and Scholz, while other Western leaders remained silent.
Now, country after country has been drawn into the conflict and has indirect confrontation with RU – Finland, the Baltics, Sweden, and France at least.
The UK is still keeping a low profile and playing a little dirty to make it look big, while Scholz is doing his best to tarnish Germany’s reputation.
Scholz has embarrassed Germany, Biden has embarrassed the USA, and Kier Starmer is embarrassing the UK.
The Nordic countries stand strong except for Norway, which should do more. Denmark is an absolute lion, coming in a close second after Finland (because they are fighting on the front lines), followed by Sweden.
Finland has seized Russian property within the country, closed the border, declared that if a Russian battalion crosses the border, they will retaliate against Moscow, and boarded a Russian ship. Russia is conducting war-preparatory sabotage.
Is this as close to open conflict as it can get without actually being in open conflict?
The Baltics are almost following suit, but they are a bit more cautious.
France currently has Macron leading the charge, but that may have an expiration date, although he already took on Putin in January 2024.
Time is on Ukraine’s side, and everything is always relative – RU is starting to have trouble deploying mechanized brigades because they have no heavy vehicles left, and their artillery is shattered. They rely on infantry attacks, transporting the artillery with whatever vehicles are available, down to electric scooters.
Meanwhile, Ukraine is increasingly receiving top-of-the-line equipment they have wanted – newly produced, approved by EU countries because it’s good for business.
When they should have sent the latest previously and newly produced equipment to themselves…
Remember the discussion that the West would NEVER send the latest equipment to Ukraine to avoid giving RU access to the technology? Well, I see it with the German LYNX 😲
All explanatory models are always wrong from the negative perspective.
But yes – Ukraine must be able to hold the front lines, but the feared front collapse did not happen in 2024 when the West, as revenge for Kursk, stopped delivering equipment, again…
Up in Kursk, Ukraine has among its most valuable units and various special operations forces fighting to hold back the tide.
Probably fewer than 20,000, so numerically outnumbered by the Russians’ 60,000.
But what is RU losing daily up there, surely around a thousand in KWIA, if not every day, then a few. So, the 60,000 they have there will last for two months, and then they are at zero.
Ukraine conducts mobile defense operations in Kursk
I don’t know how the mobilization is going, but I can tell you that if the artillery starts smelling the morning air and UA recruits widely in the EU, there are many hundreds of thousands who don’t want to miss the chance to take down a Russian before the war ends.
It’s the guaranteed ticket to either death or serious disability that is deterrent.
The same goes for the Russian team, and there is no change in sight, so Putin will find it increasingly difficult to recruit. He can’t mobilize a million because that’s a bigger threat to him than Ukraine.
The USA is sly, look at how much they are taking over LNG and oil exports to the EU, so you understand they waited until they could start delivering before taking a hard stance against Russia. The USA is like the bank, not your friend.
Their massive $860 billion support package has largely stayed within the country, a bit of accounting trickery.
Or the fact that the EU never imported as much LNG from Russia as in 2024 😲
Regarding the fires in Malibu, Los Angeles, it was the classic untouched forest where brush was not cleared or firebreaks prepared, coupled with a new council member who prioritized other things over firefighting.
But there are also five (5) ongoing fires, and to me, it looks like arson, which it also seems to be to some extent.
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1877649693548691790
I spent a few years during COVID in a technical unit at the municipality, and out of 400 employees, maybe 40 worked on the core mission, while the rest tried to come up with things to justify their salaries. There was an absolutely massive administration, and at that time, the mantra was bike lanes and parks, everything else the managers thought managed itself without a budget. The core mission was bridge construction, and they were neglected because the budget was anorexic – all went to bike lanes, and then the staff sat in administrative meetings for half of their working time.
The technical staff were seen as a necessary evil and kept quite short. So those in the office who were “nourishing” (lacking a better word) were completely sidelined by all the “draining” ones.
When I started as a civil engineer at a consulting firm in the UK in the early 2000s, it was the civil engineers who made decisions, and everyone else was support functions. Then, some new type of management crept in where other non-technical personnel started making decisions, and the civil engineers had to comply. A tremendous amount of common sense was lost across the board.
Now, refineries are exploding again – UA is droning on 💥💥💥
This is (at least) the 53rd attack on a refinery resulting in a large fireball, and now the strategic bombing carpet over Russia is a bit like Germany in 1944, and I no longer report, but a refinery has news value.
In fact, Ukraine is droning the Russian Federation right now, targeting high-value objectives every day – headquarters, ammunition depots, production facilities, barracks, military equipment depots, production of key components, fuel depots, and especially the oil industry and rail transports.
Russia is being dismantled bit by bit and the economy is deteriorating.
https://twitter.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1878100757175484847?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
Fuel may become scarce in the future because UA has absolutely made a bonfire of the Russian fuel infrastructure.
https://twitter.com/pstyle0ne1/status/1876886847197962410?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
By the way, the Greenland debacle was a GRU operation already from Trump’s earlier presidency – it just continues. That was something no one could have guessed (but we did yesterday…) 😲
https://twitter.com/deangloster/status/1878133170488709174?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
And China is not sitting idle,
The debacle with the Taiwanese company that produced for and exported directly to Russia without intermediaries was Chinese companies pretending to be the Taiwanese company – it’s impressive that it was exposed so quickly.
And China is now building landing tonnage for the invasion of Taiwan, a final preparation for it all 😲
NK Bandhaubits now in combat in Ukraine – it happened quickly, and if the Russians lose control, it will be much faster than I thought. There’s a risk of Chinese tanks coming soon if the West doesn’t set boundaries.
Dugin leaks Russia’s plan to destabilize the EU – that’s actually what we’re seeing, no guesswork at all. EU_IS_UNDER_ATTACK!!!
Should it be so difficult to follow Finland’s example and accept the current situation.
Here’s another one about my big depression in 2024 – the situation was extremely precarious, and Tatarigami describes it.
But everything is pointing in the right direction –
-RU gas revenues are decreasing significantly
-RU FAB usage has decreased significantly
-60% drop
-UA drone port
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1875501712724914531?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
-UA drone Smolensk
-Trembita – a cheap mass-produced robot. RU can’t handle this due to high corruption.
https://x.com/bricktop_nafo/status/1875042286691561567?s=46&t=Vah3JXV31B9lXwZOK5gF7w
All indicators are green and pointing slightly upwards, then you hear the same uplifting music that I do, calming, and see a light blue dawn.
The Golgotha walk is over, but it will take a few months before the world’s experts understand it.
Then of course, the West may once again, for the third or fourth time, make a U-turn and stop delivering, but we have to go by what we see, right? And it’s time for a decisive blow against Russia.
Elections in Belarus soon – do you think the mustache is already in place?
As usual, if you liked the post, feel free to share it on your channels.
Glömt inte att donera, Ukrainas sak är vår! Stöd Ukraina!
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