Ukraine daily update June 20, 2025 Happy Midsummer

Happy Midsummer to all keyboard generals, exciting the other day when we could trace a spike in the curve for hard vehicles to a failed attack.

Midsummer came this year again even though the country is on the verge of collapse – the tone is more than legally high right now and I am following with great interest the quarrel about the opposition not being allowed to use our tax money as party funds – there is zero self-awareness. But then there won’t be more in the wallet for us taxpayers anyway, I understand that too, it’s reprioritized for other fun things as everyone lacks disease awareness – seven parties who consider themselves to be a gift from God to us and have the most fun possible for the money.

I myself have taken on the greatest responsibility in a long time – alone at home with the little boy for three weeks while the rest of the family is out traveling, it has gone very well but you have to prioritize your time a bit.

We turned off the heat in April when we were away and it has probably been quite cool because there is a bit of a smell in the bed linens – fun… Normally the sun should warm up indoors during the day and then the temperature is high enough so it doesn’t get damp, but apparently that was not the case. Is it one of those ozone machines that is needed now?

There will be some general ranting below – sorry 😶

Iran is exciting – we can reasonably assume that Russia is watching with horror the dismantling of Iran, and also understands that the goal is regime change.

Half of MAGA has gone completely bananas and is now in full opposition to Trump on the Iran issue; Tulsi, Carlsson, General Flynn, Bannon, Alex Jones, Rogan, and many more.

Yes, Trump has tried to negotiate but it would be fun to know what led to his rather violent tweets because now he wants to see mullah blood.

If you have read the posts, you know that the decision was made and now the USA has started moving its stratotankers to Europe and Asia, I lost the link but it has been possible to follow on flightradar.

And the soldiers get steak and lobster

American soldiers are being given lobster and steak for dinner – whats that supposed to mean?? pic.twitter.com/1s55tDJxSd

— AlphaFo𝕏 (@Alphafox78) June 17, 2025

It is quite clear that the USA is going to war and Iran was already one of the Bushes eager to strike when the time came.

Iran is also the root of much evil in the MENA region where they have supported Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Syrian conflict – they are the enablers.

It is likely that Israel intends to bring down the country and that they intend to do it now even more likely.

The Iranian opposition is active on social media and is urging for violence against the mullahs.

What does this mean for Russia – it is probably important and significant for them.

In general, Trump is starting to get tired of constantly failing and was at the G7 mostly trying to talk Putin back into the organization. He now looks tired and worn out and I am starting to wonder if it’s the “new boss” syndrome we’re seeing?

1. Now I’m damn well going to sort everything out (months 1-2).

2. Damn, this was difficult, why doesn’t everyone do as I say immediately (months 3-4)

3. You can go to hell, now I’m giving up on this (exit or passivity).

He won’t stop, but maybe he won’t be as relentless about everything in the future and instead have fun trying to get back at D and make quick profits on the stock market?

Unfortunately, today our domestic politics in Sweden is only about new groups starting to redistribute to themselves instead, and previous groups that are now in opposition scream about threats to democracy.

Our taxes will continue to be party funds and no one is pursuing the right policies for the citizens.

In the USA, it is a threat to democracy to try to address “illegal immigrants,” who are individuals illegally in the country, and in Sweden, it is a threat to democracy that many organizations are no longer showered with yours and my tax money, which is not part of the core mission.

What have we done to deserve our fellow countrymen in the West is really the big question, and the countries that stick to a more old-school approach are doing much better.

But don’t forget that Russia is lurking in the shadows and constantly reinforcing all of this manifold.

Then my constant hobbyhorse – Africa is on a significant rise, I am following Angola and now investments are starting to take off there. If a Western country wants to become a Nordic Dubai, it should be at the forefront of having good trade relations with African countries.

I have my suspicions that it suits Trump well to have domestic chaos and then be fully occupied with Iran if Russia escalates, but his war rhetoric against Iran doesn’t quite fit in here.

We have previously said that he is basically just following the US line against China and Iran, but in the case of Russia, it is clear that he is appeasing Putin, and this has spilled over into the Ukraine conflict, which is bad for Europe so we oppose it. Biden and Sullivan weren’t good either but made it look a bit nicer.

Those 20,000 drone robots that Ukraine was supposed to get, for example, were sent to the MENA region instead.

Anyway, the Palestinian movement in the West has now become pro-Iran (to some extent) and does not like at all that the Iranian diaspora is demonstrating here to support Israel’s actions against Iran.

It becomes clear which groups Russia controls and our security services are surely taking notes.

The frog is always boiled slowly, but we are not in a summer of spontaneous chaos everywhere, it is Russia and China that have increased the pressure cooker a few notches according to their planning, and it is the USA that is meeting the challenge in the case of Iran. If you have read the posts, you knew this.

Those of us who have followed the Ukraine conflict know that Iran is a party to the war and a legitimate target, and they have caused havoc for Palestinians, Lebanese, Israelis, and Syrians for many years.

Not to mention their own citizens – women are tortured to death for showing their hair in that country 😐

The Iranian regime needs to be clipped, and Trump joining forces with Israel is one of the first positive things we’ve seen from McDonald’s Gandhi.

He will go down in history as one of the greater war presidents, but mostly because we are there in time now.

Ukraine continues to regress at the fronts, and Macron and Starmer have completely fallen silent, but Merz must have an enormously strong mandate because he is taking every unpopular position he can right now – against Russia, for Ukraine, for Israel, against Iran, and more.

If he survives the summer, may God the strong (the German 😶) be with him.

We have long described various situations – one of them is that our politicians in the West have mismanaged things for a long time and given Russia a golden opportunity to sow discord.

As the discussion is going on right now in the USA and in our domestic politics, one becomes a little frightened.

Yes – we in Europe and the USA have mismanaged things severely for a long time. The reason Iran is as it is is because the USA did not want an independent democracy there and struck the country long before the revolution.

Then Israel’s influence began to be a breeding ground for the Islamists and voila – today’s situation.

Same with Africa – our companies and governments have long wanted dictators to deal with because it’s easier, and democratically elected presidents who wanted to do the best for their countries ended up like Lumumba.

As some kind of independent intellectual, of which there are very few as almost everyone has an ideological or work situation that makes them support one side regardless of right or wrong, one must also look at both the current situation and in hindsight.

It’s a bit of a classic to either point to a historical event that fits – preferably cutting at the right time to benefit one’s own agenda, or just look at the current situation without any hindsight at all.

Do you hear Johan No.1 complaining that Iran retaliates against Israel at all?

No, you don’t because it’s now part of the war that started in MENA, and those who are now screaming about injustice either against Iran or Israel do so with an agenda – the laws of war apply.

What I believe characterizes independent debaters is that everyone is mad at them because from time to time they go against their core issues too 😀

No one can keep track of all injustices in the world and always end up right, but Sweden as a country is quite unique in its strong support for Islamism actually – we were the country with the most ISIS travelers in terms of citizens, and we are probably the country that has done the least about the returnees.

Even when the MENA countries themselves have grown tired and kicked out the Muslim Brotherhood, it’s quite strange that we continue to support them.

Although one considers oneself independent, one always has some roots somewhere and will always look after “one’s own house” first.

But if one “looks after one’s own house” and then doesn’t harm others – isn’t that okay, no one else looks out for my/our best interests?

Breaking it down on a micro level, if everyone goes to their jobs and behaves, and then there is a small tax for those who crash, then aren’t we pretty close to perfect?

Macro level – if we in Europe support Ukraine to a resounding victory, if Belarusian citizens regain their freedom, and if Russia is divided into a dozen new countries that Ukraine will have close contacts with and then we in Europe move towards what is sensible.

Then we have probably come a long way towards a better world.

First of all, we don’t need to silently accept Russian destabilization – doing nothing at all is just cowardly, not tolerant or brave.

But it needs to be proportionate.

Secondly, one cannot save all people or countries from themselves.

And thirdly, after all, one must still look after one’s own house first.

Somewhere there, one probably has a sensible line, but the USA has never followed that line at all, and Europe has been somewhat colonizing for hundreds of years, and now we are completely acquiescent when new world-threatening dictatorships emerge.

I’m not dumber than to understand that war is also good business and that there are those who have worked in the shadows to prolong the UA war.

And as a career politician, one is acutely allergic to sticking out one’s neck and supporting the unknown, so it became an attractive option to do nothing and sell weapons so it looked like something had been done.

Ukraine did not want this – they have tried to win as quickly as possible, and since a resounding victory is good for us, we wholeheartedly support them to their win.

Do a country’s citizens have a collective responsibility – that’s probably where it crashes with realpolitik, because not all citizens who deserve to walk away unscathed can survive without bruises.

Then we are back to my world-leading policy – for a policy for the majority society (the taxpaying group regardless of ethnicity), have other commitments proportionate, and fulfill the core mission. Some will always feel disadvantaged, but in a country like Sweden, everyone can become well-paid full-time working citizens and no one needs to become criminal.

And in the real world, decisions have consequences that one then owns when over 18 years old.

What Europe and the USA are beginning to understand now is that Russia, and then China, have actively worked to destabilize us since the late 90s. Our politicians have noticed it because doing right becomes like doing wrong in the subsequent domestic political storm.

We have gone through all kinds of movements – environmental, peace, and others who are always ready to go crazy on the streets for some new issue.

Then there are more subtle things because something Russia likes to do is to ensure that the West makes costly misinvestments.

An example is the Baltic states that are still testing mines and bunker models after three years.

Russia has various letter agencies whose state-prioritized function is to influence us in a direction favorable to them.

Disband the defense, ban various weapons, shut down electricity production, shut down agriculture, and if everything is worse than well-functioning, it’s okay.

I talked to a farmer the other day where I live about restoring wetlands, and he just scoffed – “we drained that once upon a time, madness.”

Another misallocation was when Hungary and Slovakia started placing orders for new equipment from Europe’s arms manufacturers to make the queue for new purchases as long as possible. The weapon producers are happy, and our governments are also happy.

Was it better during the Cold War, was it better during the interwar period, was it better before World War I?

How many democracies are there?

Right now, in Europe, we have slowly started to form something sensible, but it can quickly turn into overdoing everything, especially Germany has had a bit of a knack for sliding into something that hasn’t been great for Europe.

Then we have many obstacles – a political opposition that will vote down sensible proposals, bought parliamentarians who will be activated during critical votes to defeat proposals, and then the most dangerous –

Since probably the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia has been working to establish our gangs and criminal clans as our time’s Russian spies.

The gangs are the muscles they use for threats, and if you remember the gangs’ “honey traps” for the prison guards, that was quite clever – some suspicion that they got some help with the concept as it was apparently widespread.

In Russia, all letter agencies are working to destabilize the West – it’s good business because you make money from it, and it’s also good for your career, so they compete to be the worst, GRU, FSB, SVR, and more.

Finland has to some extent managed to block this as they have had two national traumas related to Russia in 1918 and 1939, and have lived in the shadow of Russia since then.

But in Sweden, we currently have 16,000 gang criminals with tens of thousands of hangers-on who are the muscles used for threats – does anyone think the bombings are just for fun or to silence police officers, judges, politicians, and officials?

Sometimes Russia pays to get their issues resolved.

The gangs receive weapons and drugs from Russia, as well as probably a lot of tips and help with infrastructure.

If you think a municipal politician or a member of parliament is immune to these, you are completely wrong.

The criminal clans are worse as they are like chameleons who have already integrated their unpunished members into the entire civil society.

They are also under the influence of a foreign power and are a greater threat than gang criminals as they can bring about changes.

For example, in the police force, you have seen how they first cleared out the old, mean police officers because they didn’t measure up to the standards of the 2020s.

Then they tried to recruit police trainees who reflect society at large, and the criminal clans have exploited this as much as they can to get their candidates in.

The other thing happening now is that the gangs target good police officers so that they eventually give up, and in the vacancy that arises, the police officer belonging to the criminal clan applies – and since no one else wants the job, he gets it, and it’s good for diversity.

Voila – a big problem.

An even bigger problem is that the threats and infiltration are such that the gangs and criminal clans now have such a good economy that they can start buying off the “facilitators.”

They are everywhere and impossible to reach – officials, municipal politicians, members of parliament, managers, police officers, lawyers, and so on, who are paid so well that they carry out the gangs’ and clans’ agendas.

Today, the gangs and clans control up to 90% of small businesses (perhaps immigrant-owned) to the extent that they are allowed to launder their money through them. There has been no shortage of warnings, but civil society has not acted. They have simply threatened the owners until they have accepted the setup – such as the bombings.

Then the means are legitimate, and a facilitator’s spouse receives numerous assignments for their company to give lectures for 2 million SEK per occasion, paid by a company where laundered money eventually ends up.

The tax authorities are satisfied because they receive their taxes, and the police or authorities have no way to tackle this.

And the facilitators carry out the gangs’ and criminal clans’ agendas.

How big is the problem?

Sometimes we get glimpses like when France cracked Encrochat and the police could see all the communication of the gangs and clans – every gang and clan with a bit of self-respect had a personal banker who laundered their money, gave them mortgages, and in other ways managed their finances. It was so widespread that the police realized they had greatly underestimated the problem.

Then everything dies down, and we move on.

Russia is such a big problem, and if Europe misses this opportunity that comes around every hundred years or so, then we have made a big mistake.

Currently, Ukraine is leading this, and Merz seems to have succeeded in cleaning up the ranks so Germany is behind, and we in Scandinavia have managed to unite, but that’s all for now.

And that’s not enough so far; we can thank the gods that the Ukrainian spirit is what it is because it has given us in Europe the time to start unraveling this mess we are swimming in.

We have had an eventful summer as predicted, and Iran is also decided.

What remains then is Russian escalation and whether China will make a move?

The Russian offensive is in full swing in Ukraine, and UA is actually retreating on all fronts now at the end of June.

Ukraine has been restrained in attacking sensitive Russian infrastructure for too long, and Trump has influenced Ukraine out of Kursk and a few other things – there is far too little talk about that even though we on the side guessed right again as usual.

The big question that must be answered is – do China, Russia, and Iran intend to escalate or de-escalate?

The second question is what impact Trump’s fluctuating positions have on the decisions.

1. Has Iran backed down or not?

2. What has China said on the matter?

3. Is Russia starting to slow down?

First question – Iran has responded to Israel and now risks getting the USA involved in the war. If Iran does not back down, is this part of the overarching strategy to involve the USA in the MENA region?

China has come out quite strongly regarding Iran and continues to speak out strongly against Taiwan.

Russia has started its summer offensive in Ukraine and has an extremely subversive operation in the West right now – influence and sabotage.

Arguably, we have crossed the line where this global conflict has become a self-playing piano and will not slow down – country after country will be drawn in?

The only thing that could possibly de-escalate is if Russia completely collapses because China probably needs Russia. But if this tough stance continues, it will escalate.

My money is probably on a Russian escalation not being far off between today and autumn.

However, Trump’s war rhetoric against Iran and Merz’s violent statements are significant steps in the right direction.

I don’t think Ukraine is listening to Trump anymore because if they were, they wouldn’t have fought the bomber aircraft, so for the first time during the whole war, Ukraine is not held back by the USA. Germany seems to be wholeheartedly stepping in to support Ukraine in a way we in Europe have not done before.

The only way for Russia is presumably to increase the level of violence a few notches; it’s the only thing they can do, and either it works or it fails. That’s how they have always done it.

Interesting and the prelude to our contemporary global conflict, or Russia collapses, and the balloon deflates.

If the USA attacks Iran, Russia would presumably be extremely dissatisfied – unless it is part of an overarching plan to involve the USA in the MENA region. But I find it hard to believe they would play along if the regime fell in this way – better to involve the USA by projecting a threat in that case?

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