Ukraine daily update May 27, 2025

Each post, and all comments, are now available in English version at – https://johanno1.se/en/

MXT has spent some unpaid work time incorporating an AI program that translates all posts and comments directly so you can also read them in English.

Then he sat down and translated all old posts and comments one word at a time – that’s dedication 😶

And the kicker – if something is written in the English version, it will also appear on the Swedish side so Swedes and English speakers can communicate in their respective languages that are directly translated between the different sides.

Name a blog that has that, and if you hesitated that we are world leaders 🧐

The first non-Swedish speaker was on the site yesterday, a Joseph Fritzl, and I asked what he wanted as payment and got the answer a new basement door – not completely on board there.

There might be a pitfall with the setup, which is that you pay per amount of translated text so feel free to write comments but only with one word, like “Hello” or “No.”

This is actually groundbreaking and something I’ve missed on platforms like Substack – there isn’t enough daytime per day to add that extra work element. We’ve had a hysterical amount of discussions about this in internal meetings with Bluesky DM messages but damn, it turned out so well. And the translation itself is as good as it could be – other programs have delivered significantly worse results.

Please share the English site with those you think might be interested but don’t understand Swedish, and by that I don’t just mean Scania dialect that no one understands, not even themselves, but those who don’t know the Swedish language.

Yesterday, the style icon and absolute pop idol Merz came to life just as we world leaders assumed he would, as we have trusted him all along. Merz confirmed that the entire West now allows Ukraine to target any goals in Russia with the weapons they have sent – delivery of violent German death.

This means that weapons made in Ukraine can now also be used against any targets, and the slightly more boring part – Ukraine has had restrictions up until now.

The damn Russians of course found out about this before us and flew over the weekend to the war bunkers in a dozen government planes that could cover the entire leadership which is now going.

Game on, damn Russians – now it’s going to sting in the back.

A slightly more sober analysis is that Russia was prepared for this escalation and will meet it, they will try with various threats as usual and with violence where they think it works.

A very significant escalation but not as Putin wants, however, Russia has anticipated this and delayed so they have time to reach the next escalation.

Now the question is what the Russian aftermath will be here because it is very clear that Putin has had the strategy to test Europe’s limits and now he has found a limit where there wasn’t a very fun reaction when he crossed it.

We have another interesting trend and that is that RU losses are decreasing while they are capturing villages and the number of battles remains high, except for RU artillery which is still heavily used.

Daily updates on johanno1.se in the thread under today’s post – don’t miss out at your own risk.

We have seen a whole war where the West has stopped Ukraine when things start going too well, and soon we will see if the opposite applies – will the West stop Russia if things start going too well?

There’s no point in trying to analyze Trump – his strategy is to blow both hot and cold.

One theory I’ve had is that when he faces internal opposition, he adjusts a bit but it’s like a stretched rubber band and as soon as the pressure is gone, he’s back to excusing Putin because he had a tough upbringing and low affective response is what counts. The Swedish social services should have Trump fan posters as wallpapers by now, considering how he has embraced a low affective response and endless second chances.

But at least he hasn’t obstructed covering all of Russia in a cloud of drones – whether reluctantly or not, we don’t know 🤣🤣

Should Europe be worried about Russian ground warfare – yes, absolutely.

After three years, Ukraine has-

-Europe’s by far largest defense force with excellent work experience and they have completed all relevant job courses.

-Europe’s largest fleet of tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery.

-by far Europe’s largest air defense and most motivated soldiers.

-the most loyal politicians in the entire West who (reasonably) pull in the same direction.

-and they have the drone weapon of 2025, which other countries in Europe have only tasked their procurement officers to analyze until 2030 and then write a hefty report with drawn conclusions about so far.

And yet Ukraine retreats every day.

Today, Russia has something that works at the fronts – teeming with infantry, drone surveillance, FPV drone cover 30-40km deep, and they are still pouring in their FABs.

I read between the lines that they have started to recover from the shock with EW and that the weapons are functioning better now.

Russia has also saved up a lot of robots (without knowing what has been fought in the arsenals that have been droned to pieces!).

They have soldiers who accept to die under the most sensational conditions that we barely want to see in movies, and Putin has significantly strengthened his grip on power now in 2025 since his image has been protected.

In a traditional war, Russia has zero chance against Europe – we have air and ground capabilities that far exceed theirs, and we would crush them if commanded forward German-style.

However, how the robot reserves look is an interesting question – for example, Taurus has not been produced throughout the war.

So RU is forced to fight asymmetrically and their strategy is to remove as much of our capabilities from a potential conflict as they can.

Spain has approached China, has a left-wing government, and is at the maximum distance from the war – a good candidate to drag their feet. Portugal as well.

Greece has Turkey to worry about, Sweden and Denmark will face Russian invasion threats during Zapad 25, Norway will have the Arctic fleet cruising around its coast, Finland has Russian troops training up to its border, Poland has Belarus and Kaliningrad, Hungary will not participate together with Slovakia.

Remaining are the UK, France, Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands – high risk that at least one of them will play the card that the entire EU must participate or else they cannot participate.

In WW2, Poland had more tanks than Germany, not to mention France and what they had more of than Germany – basically everything.

The Benelux countries, Denmark, and Norway also had defense forces that were not insignificant, and plenty of natural terrain obstacles.

The British sent their expeditionary force and all their aircraft, so on paper, Putin’s idol wouldn’t have gotten very far, but apparently he hadn’t read the analyses and was the very definition of a risk-taker.

Putin’s great role model Hitler instead picked the countries one by one with constant promises of eternal peace mixed with threats and terror bombings, as well as superior land warfare and motivated soldiers – the countries in Europe that think Ukraine is doing just okay held out for weeks last time it happened, but they prefer not to be reminded of that.

So how will Putin try to tip the scales in his favor?

First of all – does Putin want a global escalation?

It certainly looks like it if we look at what he has desperately been trying since 2022 and that they have now flown to the war bunkers.

Then you see, just like I do, how China has started to move since Trump took office, and they have made big moves now – starting interstate wars like India-Pakistan, for example, and conducting large unannounced exercises around Taiwan.

So if we assume that Putin will test Europe now in 2025, what does he need to do for his own analysts to give the thumbs up and not sit cascading tears over the poor odds?

-He needs to paralyze decision-making in the EU, and he has somewhat succeeded in that through Hungary and Slovakia, and Trump…

-the strong leaders need to be scared – in the UK, they are now investigating whether arson attacks on Keir Starmer’s properties can be linked to Russia, for example.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c79evj9ed9lo

Macron has been subjected to so many personal attacks that one has lost count, but he is a suitable candidate for that with his waving arms and poor accent.

-sabotage, a lot of sabotage, and when it starts to approach offensive sabotage against transport infrastructure and supply depots.

What does Putin think he can achieve – if you have followed the “peace negotiations,” maybe you can guess 🧐

Putin will carry out a limited offensive into the Baltics because it’s not worth going after Finland – he’s not completely devoid of historical knowledge, and the only ones who could be expected to be more difficult to handle than the Ukrainians are the Finns.

Svalbard is also a possible candidate.

The offensive is preceded by the usual “Russian speakers in the Baltics are persecuted” and “the Balts are Nazis.” A few murders, some bombings at cafes – preferably involving children.

The leaders and SOF are “Estonian freedom fighters,” but he probably can’t hide everything with that, so there must be an explanation for why there are Russian regular troops a few miles inside Estonia.

Putin will initially deny everything and is prepared to escalate with missiles, and then there will be threats of nuclear weapons for the slightest troop movement on our part – “Germany moved a company of bicycle infantry to Stettin, now we are considering an Oreshnik over Munich – will return very soon once we have thought it over.”

Guaranteed, they will put the nuclear troops in the Russian version of Defcon 1 – they will roll out the launch pads, unscrew the lid of the tube, but won’t stop partying on low-quality mash.

Then it will turn into that they are not freedom fighters but that Russia is helping Russians in Estonia and that everything is highly temporary – so it’s not a war at all but a rescue operation, and by definition, Russia has not invaded a NATO country at all.

Which Hungary, Slovakia, various movements in our countries, China, and all sorts of voices in the media will scream about, and then great concern that the West will escalate to war in our time.

Putin will promise eternal peace – he will withdraw immediately, and it’s all a mistake. In fact, three generals will be sent to The Hague because they have masterminded the whole operation – they are already on the plane. Please let us just retreat and correct this incomprehensible mistake.

The quick-witted ones know that Finland will join the war on Estonia’s side – Finland has made that very clear. I find it hard to believe that Finland will invade Russia, so it will probably be indirect fire maybe?

Russia will respond, and that’s why they have saved up missiles – “Finland has declared war on us,” Russia will say, and then there will be missiles against targets in Finland and vice versa for a while until the parties get tired. Either Finland shoots first, or nothing happens.

What has worked well in this war is mines and entrenched positions. Estonia should probably consider starting to acquire landmines in 2026, and there are no entrenched positions in southeastern Estonia.

Putin has two target groups to deal with in this PR operation of his –

-for us in Europe, it’s a limited operation to save the few Russian citizens from mass extermination, and Putin will withdraw everything and give us eternal peace, very soon – just give him a little time.

-to the 29 countries that participated in the parade on May 9th, Putin shows that he is the king of the hill running circles around Europe.

So what is the goal of the operation?

Global escalation and to completely freeze Europe. Because nothing will freeze Europe more than us spending months arguing about the wording of the protest note to be sent to Putin.

The politicians who seem to start showing a bit of integrity and seem to have found their inner Viking – the gangs knock on the door on a Friday night and kindly inform about the options, the summer cottage burns down, the car is vandalized by “save the wetlands” activists, intimate photos are leaked, and in general, they are threatened at a level that is frightening – pictures of the children from the schoolyard in the mailbox.

Now you might think that one easily survives such things, but politicians generally seem to be a breed that always has a bag of cocaine in their pocket and is ready to go to the nearest motel with the administrator – every single one is a walking security risk at least. They have survived because they have never been pinpointed, but that doesn’t mean that the GRU hasn’t gathered the material to bring them down if necessary.

Those who don’t let themselves be intimidated can always be robbed and murdered, have a traffic accident, or have a heart attack if necessary. Or something even simpler that will be put on hold by a police force that barely investigates murders anymore – two relatives die in the same week maybe?

Political opposition scrutinizes everything and screams for resignations – in Sweden, I don’t think the GRU needs to make any effort because the opposition has already reached that level entirely on their own.

Not to mention all the protest movements that this summer will really want to demonstrate for their causes together with right-wing extremists and Islamists – preferably in the same place at the same time, and against each other. Saving minks and restoring wetlands are always at the same demonstrations because it’s the same people.

If this doesn’t happen this summer or in the fall, I don’t think it will happen because when the Balts have laid their minefields, it’s game over because the Russians must have learned something from three years of driving into minefields in Ukraine, anything else would be unreasonable?

Very unfortunate that we in Europe have signed agreements not to use anti-personnel mines and cluster munitions when they turned out to be the most effective of the arsenal – those who have the patience could see which politicians pushed the hardest there 🧐

We know which good movements have made it – the latest proposal from Swedish Peace was a bit generous “be invaded but then turn the road signs so the Russians drive the wrong way” (note – not a joke).

Soon there will probably be demands for a ban on drone weapons if one were to guess…

And then I googled a bit of interest and you can probably guess who is behind it and which political party, “killer robots” 🤣🤣

https://www.amnesty.se/aktuellt/sverige-maste-sta-upp-mot-mordarrobotar-debattartikel-publicerad-209-2020

In 2025, this war will be decided – we have been talking about it since last autumn.

Putin has constantly tested Europe’s boundaries, and now he got a first confirmation that we are not prepared to be fooled over and over again – even total walkovers have a limit.

It remains to be seen if we will also see Merz in action – because Ukraine can drone the Kremlin, Frunzenskaya, oil export terminals, and all high-value targets in the entire country, including the Kerch Bridge.

And Europe can deliver Taurus and more Storm Shadow if they want.

Or maybe it’s just another threat aimed at Putin that they are not willing to act upon.

We will find out very soon 🧐

In any case, Ukraine is currently significantly on the back foot at the fronts – the area between Vovchansk and Kupiansk is bordered by Donetsk +50km to the south and an area that Russia should find attractive to try to conquer.

We have just gone through Northern Luhansk, but if they pair it with the area between Vovchansk – Kupiansk, it is an excellent anchor in the northern flank behind natural water barriers that Ukraine can never reasonably recapture with force. To recapture it, they must bring down Russia.

Good thread below about RU offensive northeast of Pokrovsk. RU has advanced 6-7km in the area in under a month.

According to the unit maps, UA is supposed to have a veritable forest of units in the area, so there is a high risk that it is once again about brigades with hundreds in manpower rather than full-fledged maneuver brigades.

If you liked the post – feel free to share it in your channels and most importantly, please share the English version with people you think might appreciate posts and comments they haven’t been able to read before, https://johanno1.se/en/

Continued appreciation for the site is always gratefully received, and there is a QR code for that purpose as well as a donation page with links to Swedish Rescuers, drones 2 Ukraine, and other organizations we have learned over time are legitimate and dare to donate to.

On Substack – there is still a chance to become subscribers and it is valuable to me.

johanno1.se

substack.com/@johanno1

https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social


Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!


NOTE: Those of you who do NOT want to allow automatic translation of your comments, please go to your profile page and set it.
Hover over your name at the top right, select edit profile, and you will then find the setting under the language settings heading.

130 thoughts on “Ukraine daily update May 27, 2025”

  1. Good morning!

    Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-05-27:

    • 990 KWIA
    • 2 Tanks
    • 1 APVs
    • 17 Artillery systems
    • 222 UAVs
    • 9 Cruise missiles
    • 64 Vehicles & Fuel tanks

    SLAVA UKRAINI!

  2. AFU: “A total of 170 clashes were registered in the past 24 hours. Yesterday, the enemy launched a missile attack against positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, with nine missiles and 87 air strikes, and dropped 151 guided air bombs. In addition, they carried out 4,586 attacks, including 115 from multiple rocket launch systems, and used 3,068 kamikaze drones to destroy them.”

  3. The situation in Sumy.

    Unfortunately, it seems that the Russians have taken over four villages in Sumy and have, among other things, used cluster ammunition against civilians (expecting strong protests against Russia from Swedish Peace).

    “Russian forces have entered four villages in Sumy region: Novenke, Basivka, Veselivka, and Zhuravka. Residents had been evacuated earlier, so no civilians were harmed. Fighting continues in nearby settlements.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lq3zzmefl22b

    “Ukraine now admits it has lost control of 4 villages in Sumy oblast. Regional governor Oleh Hryhorov confirms Novenke, Basivka, Veselivka + Zhuravka have been occupied. All residents had already been evacuated. However Russia also says it controls 3 other villages I’ve marked.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3lq43qbcudc25

    “Russia is doing all it can, by whatever means, to take more ground in Sumy. Ukraine says the invaders used cluster munitions against civilians in the village of Mykolaiv. One person was killed and 2 injured.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3lq45zu6bes25

  4. Westley Richard

    Now we finally have a market for the textiles we collect that cannot be sold. The cotton becomes gunpowder and the polyester becomes drones. Now we no longer need to dump it in some third world country to ease our conscience.

    As a former Alottery survivor, one almost becomes lyrical.

    https://omni.se/a/B09O99

    The investment company FAM, controlled by the Wallenberg family, has started the company Verkan to investigate the possibility of producing gunpowder in Sweden. CEO Håkan Buskhe confirms this to Dagens industri. “We are looking into the possibility of building gunpowder production for the Swedish defense and Sweden’s allies,” he writes in a text message to the newspaper. The initiative is driven by the increased demand for ammunition in the aftermath of the war in Ukraine. According to the company description, the operations will include the production of nitrocellulose and various types of gunpowder. The production is intended to take place in Sweden.

    1. Forget about making gunpowder from old textiles in the near future. Cottonseed gunpowder is made from cotton seeds. They have very short fibers and are worthless for textiles, so they are separated from the cotton whether you intend to make gunpowder from it or not (it is therefore a very cheap byproduct).Cotton seeds are very clean and contain high levels of nitrocellulose (80-85%) and very few impurities. It is easy to work with when making gunpowder.The cotton used for textiles contains a lot of other impurities that are too expensive to remove if you are going to make gunpowder; no one even manufactures cottonseed gunpowder directly from cotton today.If we then take old textiles, which often are mixed with materials other than cotton, also contain dyes, detergents, flame retardants, and Gore-Tex residues, etc., it becomes even worse.Of course, it is possible, but it would require a significantly more advanced and expensive purification process with today’s methods. So, economically speaking, it would be madness. There are probably better ways to use old textiles.Of course, research should continue on this, as it may be possible to find better and cheaper purification processes.Just as research is being conducted on using cellulose from wood.

    2. By the way, an interesting piece of news, it will be interesting to see what comes out of it.

      I wonder what kind of permission is required to manufacture gunpowder?
      I suspect that just the process itself surely takes several years..

  5. Continued pressure in Pokrovsk and Kursk. Edit: Pokrovsk already accounted for just under a third of today’s KWIA yesterday evening, while the offensive section accounts for about a little over a third of today’s attacks, an increase of 12 attacks or 20%. KWIA should therefore have increased to more than a third. Possibly disproportionately effective Ukrainian defense in Pokrovsk.

    Update as of 08.00 27.05.2025 on the Russian invasion

    In total, 170↘️ combat engagements were recorded over the past day. ⏱️180, 204, 202, 141, 144, 164, 177, 167, 145, 165, 168, 163, 166, 155, 161, 196, 193, 196, 171, 200, 269, 253, 216, 199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99

    #Kharkiv 5⏱️6, 5, 5, 8, 6, 3, 3, 6, 3, 5, 6, 3, 4, 7, 3, 3, 6, 4, 11, 18, 4, 5, 5, 6, 8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1

    #Kupyansk 5⏱️2, 5, 5, 6, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 4, 1, 2, 5, 2, 3, 3, 4, 6, 3, 5, 7, 6, 6, 5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4

    #Lyman 16💥↘️⏱️21, 23, 16, 12, 17, 30, 23, 22, 24, 17, 16, 24, 29, 20, 25, 8, 17, 27, 24, 21, 31, 22, 16, 27, 27, 36, 21, 18, 20, 22, 19, 15, 20, 14, 25, 12, 14, 17, 20

    #Siverskyi 3⏱️6, 3, 0, 3, 2, 1, 4, 6, 10, 4, 3, 5, 3, 6, 8, 4, 8, 5, 6, -, 0, 3, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 3, 5, 8, 12, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2

    #Kramatorsk 5↘️⏱️10, 4, 4, 4, 3, 6, 6, 9, 8, 8, 8, 4, 4, 9, 10, 6, 10, 5, 4, 10, 6, 8, 6, 6, 13, 10, 16, 13, 8, 13, 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 6, 8

    #Toretsk 12💥⏱️10, 16, 21, 9, 16, 14, 13, 11, 14, 19, 8, 18, 6, 9, 6, 12, 15, 9, 13, 8, 6, 16, 7, 8, 4, 10, 6, 14, 9, 29, 16, 17, 13, 23, 10, 18, 26, 11

    #Pokrovsk 65💥💥💥

    According to preliminary data in the 22-report at 53↗️ of 141↗️ combats, AFU🇺🇦 killed 150↗️ occupants and wounded another 146↗️, for a total of 296↗️ KWIA in this sector. AFU🇺🇦 also destroyed two vehicles, six motorcycles, 20 UAVs, two satellite terminals, eight fortifications for personnel protection and a UAV control antenna, and damaged an enemy vehicle and a motorcycle.

    #Novopavlivka 24💥⏱️24, 14, 30, 14, 19, 33, 22, 24, 23, 18, 23, 26, 30, 24, 13, 19, 31 , 28, 32, 23, 24, 52, 66, 23, 15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9

    #Huliaipil 0⏱️0, 0, 0, 1. 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 13, 0 , 0, 1, 1, 2, 7, 5, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0

    #Orikhivsk 4⏱️5, 4, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 2, 7, 2, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6, 2, 6, 3, 7, 4, 14, 3, 3, 5, 4, 5, 0, 5, 1, 4, 4, 9, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1

    #Prydniprovsky 1⏱️3, 0, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 3, 6, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1 , 1, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0

    #Kursk 23💥↘️

    The Ukrainian Defence Forces continue to hold back the enemy in the Kursk sector. Yesterday, the enemy carried out 16 air strikes, dropping 29 guided aerial bombs, and fired 228 times, eight of them from multiple launch rocket systems.

    Over the past day, the aviation, missile forces and artillery of the Defence Forces 🇺🇦 struck six areas where enemy 🇷🇺 personnel were concentrated.

      1. What could be the reason? Is it so?
        The 22-report provided insight into the situation in Pokrovsk:
        Attacks: 53KWIA: 296kwia/attack: 5.6 kwia/attack
        Let’s say we are up to 50% losses. Then the group size is about 12 men. Which is a size that has been speculated about in the thread.
        The total today has the same ratio, exactly: Number of attacks: 170KWIA: 990kwia/attack: 5.8 kwia/attack
        Overall, in Pokrovsk, there is a relatively high manpower loss (50%) if one starts from the group and not the platoon in attack size.
        50% losses are well in line with meat weight, or should it be higher?

        1. Interesting numbers as mentioned. It could very well be the explanation, that attacks nowadays are carried out at a group level and it reduces the overall intensity. But then one wonders why these micro-attacks are shifting the fronts. A platoon in defense supported by drones and other resources should be able to fend off these pinpricks.

          Is it a protracted defensive struggle we are witnessing with the aim of pulling Moscow apart to then cut off and annihilate? Or is Ukraine equally depleted and no longer able to stop the Russians?

          Moscow cannot achieve any strategic breakthroughs and then hold terrain with these micro-attacks unless Ukraine allows them or simply cannot stop them anymore.

    1. How should one interpret/decipher the following?
      24 in front of explosion I assume is the number of bombings. But then?

      #Novopavlivka 24💥⏱️24, 14, 30, 14, 19, 33, 22, 24, 23, 18, 23, 26, 30, 24, 13, 19, 31 , 28, 32, 23, 24, 52, 66, 23, 15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9

      #Huliaipil 0⏱️0, 0, 0, 1. 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 13, 0 , 0, 1, 1, 2, 7, 5, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0

      1. These are the numbers from previous days. So it was 24 yesterday as well, 14 the day before yesterday, and so on. This makes it easy to relate to whether the numbers are high or low and whether there is an upward or downward trend.

    1. Mr. Kahl said honestly: Ukraine is not just a country fighting for own self-preservation. We are the shield of Europe. And as long as we are containing this invasion, other countries have time to prepare.
       
      Russia’s plans have not changed. They want to have full control over Ukraine, have influence over former Soviet Union countries. But it is no longer just a possibility but a matter of time as to who will be next. Poland, the Baltic countries, and Northern Europe are at risk. Our analysts no longer have doubts about whether Russia will be bold enough to attack other countries or not. The question is different: when and from where?
       
      According to our expectations, which are shared by our European colleagues, after the end of hostilities, it will take from two to four years for Russia to regenerate its combat capability. If the sanctions are lifted, the military modernization process [in Russia] will gain momentum.
       

  6. Jacobus CXII

    Of course, I tested what suggestions the search engine DuckDuckGo came up with for that search…
    1. Shopping for “killer robots” – a number of suggestions for different robotic lawnmowers. (I wonder how that other blogger managed that infiltration).
    2. Killer slugs – from now on ???

  7. Sounds like the pace has increased when it comes to the defense industry!

    “As Europe is set to begin arming itself and reducing its dependence on US weapons, a new problem has emerged: a shortage of personnel. Pavel Cechal, head of the Czech missile manufacturer PBS Group, told Reuters that the company could easily have a production high enough to double its 800-person workforce. But the problem is finding people to hire.”
    https://omni.se/kamp-om-personal-i-europas-vapenfabriker-skulle-anstalla-direkt/a/25zQX4

  8. One might have to realize that there is a difference between civilian Palestinians and HAMAS.

    “The Israeli far-right group Tzav 9 blocked the road for trucks carrying aid to Gaza during the morning. This is reported by Israeli media.

    Trucks in the port of the city of Ashdod, north of Gaza, had just been loaded with supplies from the UN agency Unrwa when the group blocked their path to drive towards the Gaza Strip.

    The group wants to block the aid until all Israeli hostages held by the terrorist-labeled Hamas are released.”
    https://omni.se/extremister-blockerar-bistand-aterlamna-gisslan/a/dRey7j

    1. “Israeli Ambassador Ziv Nevo Kulman was summoned to the Ministry for Foreign Affairs on Tuesday morning.

      – We won’t go into the specifics of what was said, but our message was very clear,” says Minister for Foreign Affairs Maria Malmer Stenergard (M) to SVT News.

      In a press release, the Ministry for Foreign Affairs states that the summoning was done to emphasize the demand that humanitarian aid reaches the Palestinians immediately.

      ”Blocking food and other aid to civilians is indefensible,” writes the Ministry for Foreign Affairs.”
      https://omni.se/regeringen-det-satt-som-kriget-nu-bedrivs-pa-ar-oacceptabelt/a/al9mOO

  9. Johan!

    I agree. Voluntarily renouncing personal mines (on one’s own land) and cluster weapons was an immensely poor decision.

    Hooray for all the immensely good people in the peace movement. They can surely stand at the forefront of an invasion and explain to the invading soldiers that war is wrong. That should solve the issue. Maybe.

  10. Now she has had too much vodka! 😂

    “The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs is once again lashing out at Sweden following reports that the country’s embassy in Stockholm was subjected to a paint attack over the weekend, writes Expressen.

    Maria Zakharova, spokesperson for the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, claims on Telegram that the attack is the fifteenth against the embassy within the course of a year. She further writes that this “lawlessness” seems to occur with tacit approval from Swedish authorities, and that the Russian embassy operates under “war-like conditions.”
    https://omni.se/ryska-ud-anklagar-sverige-for-krigsliknande-forhallanden/a/GyRpXB

  11. Sweden had developed cluster weapons where the bomb becomes inactive after a certain time when the detonators do not work because the battery runs out.

    There is a small/low/no risk that it will explode long after, for example, adults or children who happen to come into contact with it, it was intended to eliminate military personnel.

    Of course, being a good Swede, we skipped that and signed the mine/cluster agreement.

    1. Then one can draw the conclusion that the weapon was too effective according to those working for the enemy.
      The rest was just smoke and mirrors.

    2. It’s a bit strange that the USA has had such problems, if I remember correctly, their goal was that a maximum of 3% should be unexploded ordnance that later risks exploding, but they had difficulty getting below 5.

      I wonder if it’s mostly a question of not wanting to spend too much, doesn’t feel like it should be so incredibly difficult to solve from a construction perspective.

  12. “When it comes to ending the war in Ukraine, President Trump’s statements have become completely meaningless, writes CNN’s Stephen Collinson in an analysis. Only concrete actions from the US side will increase the chances of a peace agreement, he believes.
    The American president can impose new sanctions against Russia, which would mean that he simultaneously acknowledges that he could not handle Putin. Alternatively, Trump can argue that neither side wants peace and that it is time for the US to withdraw completely – something that both Ukraine and the country’s European allies fear, Collinson writes.”

  13. Then it is clear that the initiative is a go!

    “Ministers from EU member states have given the green light to the enormous refurbishment fund worth 150 billion euros, around 1,600 billion kronor, Reuters writes. The fund means that member states will be able to borrow money from Brussels for refurbishment.

    The goal is to strengthen the EU’s own defense resources, a need that has increased following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022.”

  14. The right to quote is three sentences, one is enough from cournucopia:

    “We can expect peacekeepers and other useful idiots or paid influencers as well as the Putin-friendly fifth column within media and social media here in the West and Sweden to use Zapad 25 to try to inflate fear and terror so that we will bow to the fascist dictatorship in the Kremlin, but there is nothing to worry about.”

    Johan argues that Z25 is indeed the starting point for a war. It would have been interesting to see a comment from no1 regarding this. Is he a Putinist at heart or is Wilderäng wrong?

    1. Wilderäng has a tendency to express himself a bit confidently at times. Ukraine has said that the exercise will involve about 13,000 soldiers and that foreign guests are invited, and Wilderäng then concludes that Zapad will not escalate into an attack as I read it (so not Ukraine saying it).

      I am also among those who do not believe it will happen, far too much risk for Moscow which is very exhausted and most likely would lose access to the Baltic Sea.

      But the fact that different countries are invited as guests and the number is 13,000 men is not the same as Moscow never attempting to test NATO, on the contrary, it may be even more interesting to show all rogue states that here we do as we please and no one stops us.

      I believe they are refraining, but for other reasons. Too much risk.

    2. LW takes (just like Lynx writes) a hard line, guessing that he is tired of the peace doves and wants to avoid hearing their whining.

      Doesn’t feel right to call Johan a Putinist. (He’s more of a Trumpist! 😄)

      Then I think LW is more right than Johan in this case, probably nothing will happen in any NATO country. Russia and Putin prioritize Ukraine, they don’t have the muscles to challenge the West. 

      1. Putinist was a bit too much to test the high ceiling and see if I would be the first to be banned 😄

        Great responses from everyone, thank you for that. Interesting that the two experts in my eyes draw completely different conclusions.

        Late response, but I have been indulging in Tuesday’s binge.

    3. Wilderäng is always wrong.

      Russia claims in every exercise that there are 13,000 soldiers because then no international observers are needed according to the rules. Then the exercise is 150,000 – 200,000 anyway, depending a little on whose numbers you choose to believe.

      He thus drew the wrong conclusion because he forgot about history and extrapolated on it – all wrong.

      There will be a bit of a wrong reaction from me when I triumphantly mock Lynx and MXT when Europe is attacked and they were also completely wrong, but you’ll have to overlook that 😀

      The joker is always the USA and Trump, and if Trump were to completely change course in the coming months, everything would be shuffled around, but I’m not hopeful.

      Other things might also happen – if Ukraine now manages to fight exactly what they want and succeed in bringing down Russia or freeing Putin, that would also contribute to something positive.

        1. Cost benefit analysis.

          The West and Europe are already in the war according to Russia – they have had the audacity to arm Ukraine so that Russia couldn’t run over them.

          Inside Ukraine over the northern border there are Ukrainians which in itself is very difficult. Then the likelihood is sky-high that Europe will escalate if RU escalates with an attack down from Belarus.

          Lower hanging fruit with an undefended eastern Baltics and asymmetric warfare.

      1. Nah, Moscow has different numbers of participants and it doesn’t seem to matter if observers attend. In 2017, there were fewer than 13,000 participants, but observers still attended the exercise, including Sweden.

        Instead, Zapad 2021 had 200,000 participants according to Russian figures.

        The information about 13,000 this year and a lot of invited observers comes from the Ukrainian intelligence service, so I find it credible.

    4. Westley Richard

      We probably should not overlook that Russia would probably like to see Belarus actively engage in the war. Z25 will of course increase tension in the area and we probably should not ignore the possibility that the FSB is staging something.

    1. Do you remember this “Russia will stand in the UN and whine and at least ask to keep Moscow”.

      Not quite maybe but we are getting closer.

  15. Crude Oil made a little jump upwards, but then fell back again and is hovering around 61. That’s fine, although I would prefer to see it drop significantly.

    1. Do you see the MXT – first tribute choir above ✊✊

      MXT has completely sat down and adapted the tools available – higher education.

  16. Lammis watching ruzzian empire go BOOM

    WSJ has published an interesting article about Gotland and how NATO (including the USA) is working to take advantage of its strategic location.

      1. Lynx and I guarantee at least four years of peace, but that doesn’t mean one should stop preparing, and the best guarantee to avoid the Russians is to help Ukraine kick them out decisively!

  17. haha Johan…you can laugh now in hindsight. A bit raw humor (my bad humor)!
    “The first non-Swedish speaker was on the page yesterday, a Joseph Fritzl, and I asked what he wanted as a prize and got the answer a new basement door – not completely on board there.”

    The police probably blew up his basement door! 😀
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fritzl_case

    Not a charming nickname…though

  18. The funniest thing of the week is probably when Macron gets a slap from his wife and then discovers that the airplane door was open and everything happened in front of rolling cameras 😀

    It shows, if nothing else, that those who are now making the most important decisions of our time are surrounded by the same problems/influences as the rest of us all the time.

      1. Yes, that’s one way to interpret it 😀

        A pretty good way to stir up conflict within the family is to plant infidelity, for example, or honey traps.

        (so I haven’t fallen into honey traps either).

        After all, these individuals are supposed to deliver top performance on issues concerning entire nations’ citizens, and in the worst case scenario, it could mean high-intensity war for us.

        If you can keep them occupied with quarrels, divorces, defending against infidelity rumors, and a lot more, then that’s perfect.

        And Russia is constantly amusing itself with this exact thing.

        When it comes to Macron, he is a very peculiar bird with a wife who is well over 70, but it’s difficult to know what triggered the conflict.

        1. Everyone has everyday worries, and those in power are of course also pressured and blackmailed from all possible directions. 

          Drawing the conclusion that Macron fell into a honey trap, or that his wife has heard rumors of infidelity planted by the Russians may be a stretch but not impossible…

          Perhaps it’s as simple as Macron being a troublemaker and going too far.

          But it was a bit funny regardless when he suddenly lights up like the sun when he sees the camera.

  19. ERIK14 posted this, he maintains that China has not thrown Russia under the bus. I tend to agree with that. They are rather holding the Russians in their arms.

    “China is responsible for 80% of cases of circumvention of sanctions against Russia, – Süddeutsche Zeitung, NDR and WDR. EU has achieved “some success” in limiting the export of sanctioned goods to Russia through third countries. The sanctions against the “shadow fleet” received the best rating.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/savchenkoua.bsky.social/post/3lq5dhtctvk2t

  20. When it came to the right to abortion, it suddenly became very important that the states were allowed to decide for themselves.
    In this issue, Trump wants to be the one who decides instead, as usual through blackmail. He is not exactly consistent.

    “Donald Trump threatens to withdraw ‘large-scale federal funding’ to California, the president writes on Truth Social. The reason is that the state allows trans women to compete against women in sports.

    ‘This is not fair and completely demeaning to women and girls,’ writes Trump.”
    https://omni.se/trump-threatens-california-stop-trans-athletes-or-lose-support/a/Xj1P2E

      1. In this case, I do not feel competent to intervene.
        As a man, I will never encounter the problem.

        Furthermore, I am poorly informed about hormone treatments and levels, etc.
        We allow doped individuals to come back after suspension even though they sometimes have had several years to train themselves with banned substances. Isn’t there a loud outcry about that?

        I think it should be up to the female part of the population to decide.
        Or those who actually compete. Rarely do we see any major protests from them, even though there have been isolated cases of those who think they should have been the ones to win.

        I don’t think we men should get involved in this issue at all.
        Yet it seems to be 99% men who get worked up about it… Odd.

        I also don’t think we should interfere in matters of abortion, except in cases where one happens to be a father. Then at least one should be heard and have a 49% vote.

    1. Westley Richard

      It gets a bit wrong when politicians interfere with the rules of sports, they should neither prohibit nor force the sports movement when it comes to chromosomes, hormones, or aids for the disabled. Let them decide which rules should apply to their specific discipline.

  21. Great! 👍
    Soon Trump will probably come and be dissatisfied and threaten the IOC with 50% tariffs if they don’t let Russia participate. He probably wanted to invite them back to the sports events.

    “Neither Russia nor Belarus will be allowed to participate in the Winter Olympics 2026, reports Reuters referring to a decision by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

    The countries have not been allowed to participate in the Olympics since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. All teams from the countries have been stopped but individual athletes have been allowed to compete under a neutral flag.”
    https://omni.se/ryssland-och-belarus-stoppas-aven-fran-os-2026/a/kwV2eA

    1. Westley Richard

      I was a bit worried about the African woman who took over as the boss, good thing the Russians didn’t manage to bribe her enough.

  22. This one is from yesterday:
    “The Social Democrats are fined three million kronor in sanctions and a warning for their criticized lottery operations.
    The Gaming Inspectorate considers the fine to be proportionate to the seriousness of the violations,” the authority writes in its decision.”
    https://omni.se/s-tvingas-bota-tre-miljoner-for-lotteriskandalen/a/25zWOq

    I wonder if this has dug a deep hole in the Social Democrats’ treasury? Because then this came 😄
    (Although apparently it was said before the verdict was announced).

    “S-leader Magdalena Andersson tells DN that the labor movement is under attack, and highlights the proposal to weaken the possibilities for parties’ lottery operations as an example of this.
    She says that the party wants to offset the loss of income with more contributions from supporters and increased state support for the parties.”
    https://omni.se/andersson-vill-oka-statliga-stodet-till-partierna/a/KM4wA7

    As you make your bed, so you must lie in it!

    1. That they have chosen the hill for the lottery business to die on is interesting because it has been extremely unethical with gang criminals targeting demented pensioners who are members of the Social Democrats and stealing their last money.

      Even the Social Democrats’ last line of defense like Anders Lindberg and Göran Greider are furious about this.

      Should we start a lottery MXT?

  23. Russia is building power lines to connect the occupied Ukrainian nuclear power plant Zaporizhzhia to its own power grid. This is shown in a new report from Greenpeace, which the New York Times has access to.

    Satellite images show that Russia has built over eight miles of power lines between the occupied cities of Mariupol and Berdyansk along the coast of the Sea of Azov.

    This would be the first time a warring country takes control of another country’s nuclear power plant and uses it for its own energy needs.

      1. Well, of course, at the same time I don’t know if Ukraine would benefit much from destroying it. Better if they go after the refineries. Miss the time when it was such that went away every other day.
        I wonder if they have tried whether the Russians manage to protect them.

        Or if Trump has said stop to keep the oil price down.

        1. I don’t think Trump wants to lower the oil price, that’s bad for the shale oil producers in the USA, and for Russia.
          But the oil price won’t rise if they bomb the refineries, or am I wrong? It should be lowered if there is a shortage of refinery capacity and there is no outlet for the crude oil within the country.
          Maybe Trump has stopped the refinery bombings to keep the price of crude oil up.

  24. Lynx – aren’t the 13,000 from Lukashenko?

    The Balts are concerned and say that the exercises are always much larger than announced.

    If you google the statement, it has been circulating since January this year and 13,000 is the magical threshold for international observers.

    Looking at the Zapad list, in 2013 they don’t seem to know exactly how big it was, and I can understand that it’s difficult to assess when you are shut out.

    In 2017 there were fewer, but in 2021 every soldier who could walk and a “final exercise” before Ukraine, presumably?

    Every time they say 13,000.

    What we know is the following –

    Belarus + RU are supposed to hold exercises in Belarus.

    The Western Military District/St. Petersburg Military District – or whatever the hell they are called will be included.

    The Baltic Fleet + Northern Fleet are supposed to participate.

    Here is Euromaidan from April talking about +100,000 participating.

    Leaning back and saying “it’s just thirteen thousand because they say so” doesn’t that feel a bit risky?

    1. If this was stated in the link, I saw

      Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly warned that Moscow may use the exercise as a pretext to mass troops in Belarus for an attack on a European Union country.

  25. Ukraine’s 22-point peace plan has been submitted to the USA.

    “The US has received Ukraine’s 22-point proposal to end the war, and now awaits Russia’s response, says US Presidential Ukraine Envoy Keith Kellogg.”

  26. Now that Ukraine is backing down and RU is about to carry out its summer offensive – what is the best guess on how we would act if Ukraine collapses?

    I have previously thought that the Dnieper is the line that Europe has drawn, but how likely would it be for us to deploy troops in Ukraine all else being equal?

    Now we have just accepted the war’s largest terror bombing of Ukraine + that Putin turned his back on the peace negotiations and the response was that we no longer prevent Ukraine from fighting whatever targets they want.

    So for three years we have done that.

    Troops in Ukraine have been considered to maintain peace, but if it is still war?

    Lukashenko is now in all the media he can find, promising not to start a war and the only officer Putin hugged at the parade on May 9th was a North Korean twelve-pointer.

    Then I wonder who has taken over the guard duty at the northern front if RU has managed to release everyone who was around Kursk?

     

    1. Around two and a half years ago, I suggested that we should deploy troops to monitor the border with Belarus and Russia’s northern border so that Ukraine could reallocate its resources. We should still have done that.

      Since it has not happened yet, I also don’t believe that we will do anything even if Russia succeeds with its summer offensive.

      If Ukraine is unable to hold out on its own, there is a high risk that they will be forced into a humiliating peace agreement, knowing that it will not last in the long run.

      Only after that, the West may send peacekeeping troops to prevent a repetition in the future. If allowed by the peace agreement.

      No, the hope probably lies in Ukraine being able to resist, and then managing to turn the tide when Russia reaches its peak. Or that Ukraine has gathered enough to actually strike first, where and when the Russians least expect it. 

      Alternatively, they may continue to slowly retreat until Russia’s economy can no longer sustain it, but that could take a couple more years at worst.

      1. That’s not what I believe either, and then we have three scenarios that could unfold:

        – Ukraine backs down as of today

        – RU opens a front from Belarus

        – RU opens a front against the Baltics

        The follow-up question then becomes whether anything would trigger a strong response from the West?

        Since RU probably won’t have time to take Ukraine one potato field at a time before the country collapses, they need to increase the pressure.

        An attack from Belarus – will it provoke a response from the West or will it improve the situation?

        Presumably, Ukraine must have re-mined that border by now, right?

        An attack into the Baltics – will it provoke a response from the West or will it improve the situation?

        Belarus + the Baltics + Ukraine with the help of Belarus and North Korea’s 11th AC – will it provoke a response from the West.

        Somewhere in the undergrowth, China stands ready to provide support from now on.

        1. Only Belarus, I don’t think, will provide any specific response from the West either. They are probably seen as Russia. We already have sanctions against them, but there might be a bit more of that.

          The Baltics will definitely respond, even if it may be with some delay. Almost to the point where one hopes for it, if we have finally been involved, we might as well send troops even to Ukraine, because then the Russians should be fought wherever they are.

          I have no idea what China is doing. I think they are dissatisfied that the Ukrainian war has dragged on, Putin probably promised that it would only last a few weeks.
          It is not impossible that they actually choose to say stop as well if Russia attacks a NATO country.

        2. There is a risk that Ukraine, if the West does not step up, may have to settle for a “Deterrence Victory” like Finland after the Continuation War.
          However, I fear that the conditions for Ukraine would be even worse than for Finland.

          Ukraine would lose a large part of its territory.
          Ukraine would be independent on paper, but Russia would control through proxies. Like Belarus.
          Ukraine would be forced to pay war reparations.
          All support for reconstruction from the West would be stopped, or taken over by Russia.
          All Western companies would be confiscated.
          Factories for the production of war materials would be moved eastward from the upcoming front.
          Western and NATO-friendly politicians “disappear.”
          Massive Russification campaign, schools must teach alternative facts.
          The rule of law is dismantled and replaced by the rule of the mafia.
          Civilians are kept in check with violence and threats of violence.

          Yes, it would simply be hell, as always where the Russians have passed.

    1. Now maybe I’m wrong but isn’t he like super popular among GOP voters but the group doesn’t care at all and everyone else hates him?

       

      1. That’s probably about right. The 6% who don’t know are probably those who don’t care.

        Those who like him a little more than they hate him are otherwise middle-aged white men who also have some college education.

          1. Westley Richard

            A little anecdote about Bert.
            Sometimes, I and Bert had lunch at the same place in Skara. The restaurant was located in a nice old building in what seemed like a park with old grand houses, a beautiful setting with lawns, big oak trees, raked paths, and a parking lot about 50 meters from the restaurant, and a gravel path leading to a grand entrance.
            Right outside the door, there was a Saab that had driven right over the lawn to get as close to the door as possible. Of course, it was Bert’s car, and it wasn’t just once, it was always like that. At that time, Bert was the king in Skara, and he did as he pleased.

    2. Westley Richard

      It’s not going as well for Sweden’s biggest Trump critic. Dadgostar has lost over 20% of her supporters. 😀 🥳 Now the Left Party members will attend a course so that they can handle racism within the party. It hasn’t really been clear whether this means they will stop their antisemitism or if they will learn to wrap it up so they can sneak with their racism.🤔 We’ll see if it increases her popularity. [Link to article] – Confidence in Nooshi Dadgostar is lower than in a long time. A main explanation is the critical reporting with accusations of antisemitic statements in the Left Party, says Per Söderpalm, responsible for opinions at Verian.

        1. Westley Richard

          I don’t know if you can call it a “crackdown.” “Reskilling” is part of their normal state, but nowadays it’s probably a course center in Flen and not Gulag, but the content is probably the same.

      1. Then a V-muppet went berserk in Brussels at Måwe, to later lie straight to everyone’s face when everything is on film.
        Yes, that’s right, then they try to invalidate the whole thing because the person who took Måwe’s version as the real one is not a communist.

        So listen to Kvartal’s latest weekly panel about this, Stefan Stern is really good while one of the other guests keeps dribbling away.

        If V doesn’t kick out idiots, even after the media has pointed out their behavior, that party will split. I don’t mind.

    3. Ian and Bert had a sensible election manifesto, I saw when I googled now.

      Times really change – they were a big threat back in the day.

  27. Yes, goodness, now it seems possible to buy oneself out of prison as well.

    “American Paul Walczak, who was sentenced to 1.5 years in prison and multimillion fines for tax offenses, has been pardoned by Donald Trump after his mother participated in a fundraising dinner at Mar-a-Lago. This is reported by the New York Times. In his pardon application, Walczak emphasized that his mother Elizabeth Fago had donated millions to Trump’s and other Republicans’ campaigns, and her attempts to sabotage Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign by publishing his daughter Ashley’s diary about addiction.”
    https://omni.se/a/xm2G3G

    1. I wonder if he’s trying to get into the Guinness Book of Records as the most corrupt president in world history… Easier than getting the Nobel Peace Prize.

  28. Westley Richard

    Rafal Trzaskowski wants American nuclear weapons in Poland, his opponent Karol Nawrocki wants Russian troops in Warsaw.

    How difficult is the choice?

     

  29. Well done IT 👍
    It will be interesting with comments from people in other countries.
    You and Johan have thought completely right with automatic translation.

Leave a Comment

Scroll to Top