Yesterday two news came, Ukraine has control over the landing but a bit of a mixed bag –
“As of the evening of May 29, the operational situation remains difficult but under control. Active combat continues in specific border areas, particularly near the settlements of Khotin and Yunakivka communities. The enemy is operating in small groups, attempting to infiltrate border villages and establish footholds,” the statement says.
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Approximately 10km into UA territory and especially in an area that should be teeming with UA forces.
So how does it look on the elevation maps?
UA has had the heights on their side right up to the border, and this area should have been opportune to defend. I thought that’s exactly what they were doing – holding dominant terrain at the border?
What’s happening?
It’s hard to see anything else happening than UA being weak in the area and RU moving forward, but they really shouldn’t be at all.
Assuming they’re not pooling capabilities for a massive offensive right now, and the prisoner exchange is ongoing, and Trump has just initiated another round of peace talks, so it’s hard to believe that.
Good news –
Since March, Ukraine has started the “Donbass line.”
This should be seen as a worst-case scenario, and we’re not there yet.
As I have gone through which areas UA will have difficulty holding, I have thus guessed correctly – giving myself 10 stars out of five possible because this one appeared to me first yesterday exactly how the alignment went.
As you can see, they are releasing the area between Kharkiv – Kupiansk and all terrain east of Oskil.
They are retreating quite a bit on all fronts, and this fortification map does not include the southern front.
Now, if you’re quick-witted after attending Johan’s No.1 school for geniuses, you’ll notice that this defense line is outside Donetsk Oblast 🧐
Instead of building circular wagon forts that, when they fall, open up an entire area, they have built a defense system in depth with individual T-shaped defense systems overlapping each other, and several of them in depth.
If the Russian bastards capture one T, they have another T right behind it and have to repeat the suicide.
This is very good, and there is a high probability that it will stop here 👍
Ukraine’s own Surovikin line, well-built and deadly as a viper ✊
This says a lot about where we are heading – what we have guessed about Europe and Trump, Ukraine knows better than us, and they have built a Maginot Line in dominant terrain that they believe they can defend, which is outside Donetsk Oblast, the area Putin has demanded since 2022.
Ukraine does not expect the active support from Europe that would be needed to regain its land, they do not trust Trump, they believe the West is war-weary and will pressure Ukraine to accept a ceasefire as soon as Putin waves his finger and the concessions are not sky-high.
Exactly what we have also seen, with the difference that while we sit and sulk and write, Ukraine is preparing to retain as much of its land as possible.
Putin has managed the somewhat incredible feat of getting the West to stop Ukraine since the turn of the year so that Russia could get organized for its summer offensive. Whether he has succeeded in that is something I am struggling hard to accept, that our leaders could be so infinitely naive.
It gives the expression “we have been naive” a whole new meaning almost.
What UA is doing is at least ensuring that they retain control over how much land they will be forced to give up when this gradually lands – risk minimization.
And that they give Putin Donetsk so he is satisfied, they are pragmatic too.
Ukraine will never be able to regain the area east of Oskil unless Russia falls, and we can be sure that the West does not want that at all – historically clueless cowards who missed the chance of the millennium.
89,000 targets in a month in the drone war is not bad 😶
I have also noticed a shift – “Zapad25 is no threat,” “Belarus is no threat,” “Russia is no threat,” and I am quite surprised by this because Russia is currently gearing up for further offensives, which anyone following the war can see.
Even Gregg talks about everything being calmer at the fronts, but RU is gaining ground every day – how does that fit together, a lull but RU is advancing?
If I were a leader in Europe and knew how Russia constantly lies, I would have screamed and sent all brigades with at least bicycles to the easternmost Baltics – but that’s not happening.
So there is a suspicion that perhaps Europe has already agreed to this from Europe’s side, even if Zelensky may still have to guess a bit for now and play it safe 🧐
Russia has probably promised to de-escalate as soon as they have taken what they want in Ukraine, which is essentially the pieces before the Donbass line, and if Europe promises not to intervene militarily, there will be no increased conflict this year in the Baltics or Belarus in connection with Zapad25 – something like that.
The puzzle pieces fit.
A sacrificial pawn for peace in our time, they are probably still arguing about which of the idiots should get off the plane and wave the signed peace agreement, Macron usually wins those things.
This could also explain why RU is advancing right now while losses are decreasing – Ukraine has a reality to deal with, and to not completely lose face domestically, they might be conducting a delaying action until the main defense line?
Having a bad day after the Friday binge crashed, but starting to suspect that this is decided.
Yes, you’re thinking correctly because you attended Johan’s No.1 knowledge school –
If Ukraine agrees to a ceasefire, Putin gets his piece of land – he and his imperial ambitions emerge strengthened from this grand fiasco. If you get infinitely many new chances, it was bound to happen eventually.
Since the start of the war, we have said – “if Putin gets a piece of land, no matter how small, he can declare a win and wriggle out of this” and that was of course completely right analysis already in 2022.
1, 2, 3… first the USA and then countries in Europe will start easing everything against Russia, back to normal as soon as possible.
As for Merz, I actually don’t know, but we know Scholz would have sprinted first 😀
Macron has probably already burned the bridge with Russia, and northern Europe will keep the borders closed. This will create significant division within the EU, by the way.
Ukraine will feel betrayed and unemployed soldiers will find new jobs in the underworld of Europe. They are creating the future that Europe denied them.
There may not be more refugees, but Russia will polarize significantly with those who already exist – and then engage in subversive activities in Ukraine, Romania, Moldova, Poland, the Baltics, and all of Europe.
The big question you want an answer to then is – is it over and there was peace in our time.
Was our strategy to let Ukraine bleed out until Russia got tired sensible, was it winning and morally right because we always know best?
Hell no, this is just the beginning, largely due to Europe having completely messed up everything over three years.
With the USA, it is important to understand that they do not want what is best for Europe – they never have, they are probably quite content if we live under some pressure from Russia so we stay down. I have gone so far as to believe that Trump is trying to push the risk onto Europe so that the EUR takes the hit instead of the USD, but it’s a bit shaky there – blowing both hot and cold, and sometimes you fleetingly get some hope.
We have seen a Hitler-Germany being born and growing – it has been instructive to say the least, but it also tells us that the country is now a self-playing piano in the Olympic discipline of expansion through war.
This has only just begun, so if we reach this ceasefire that Ukraine is now preparing for, where are we then – 1938?
After three years of heroic sacrifice by Ukraine where we could have avoided global conflict 😐
We can ignore Trump because he is part of the USA and he has a hidden agenda just like Biden et al. do. They are playing a geopolitical game where our future in Europe is not their main concern at all, and they prefer not to have a too strong Europe either.
But our own leaders, the EU, our experts, our officials, and military – how is it even possible that they have managed to miss the obvious?
In this year’s round of peace negotiations, Ukraine has done us a great service by bringing everything to the surface so we could follow it.
It seems clear that in Europe, we so eagerly want peace that we are willing to do anything to appease Putin for a beautiful peace in our time.
Putin is well aware of this and has played the twelve-string like a cunning medieval bard.
I believe that so far in the war, we are far below in consequences for Russia than their worst-case scenario showed.
They went to the bunkers in Samara for nothing, for example.
Ukraine always manages, but we are heading towards increased global conflict and Ukraine has offered to take the full blow for three years only if they were allowed to take down Russia – but they were not allowed.
I think you also see how it is brewing politically domestically in Sweden and in more countries in Europe – of course, Russia is involved and amplifying everything.
And just wait until the EU cannot agree on Ukraine joining the EU…
It’s quite exhausting 😐
There are some more exciting things – RU has established proper training camps with Ukrainian children, and it is quite clear that they are to become our time’s Janissaries.
Between 125,000 – 700,000 have been reported, and they are all in different stages of radicalization and military training now.
They probably also have a few million living in occupied areas that they can mobilize for war?
Russia is completely militarized, indoctrinated, and radicalized today, so it probably won’t be difficult to muster a few million more soldiers from Russia.
You know as well as I do that soldiers from Muscovite Russia have not died many except for prisoners and unwanted individuals.
A few -places might be in a bad position soon, but then we have round two in Europe – because it will definitely come, be sure of that.
The Finnish border and the eastern border through Ukraine are like a Maginot Line that actually works unlike in 1940. The French ran as soon as they saw a German soldier, but Finnish and Ukrainian soldiers fall in their trenches behind piles of cartridge cases, the world’s best marksmanship.
Russia will try to politically bring down Romania, Bulgaria, Moldova, and then start deploying Russian troops there – no one will prevent them from using the Black Sea for transport. The Balkans and the Visegrad countries are fragile and probably not very difficult to influence.
The EU cannot do anything when the pro-Russian candidate wins in the elections and the countries orient themselves towards Russia, and if an election is needed before the regular election, they will just commit political suicide to get there.
Round two in Ukraine will probably be an attack from all sides.
Then they will naturally try to politically bring down Poland and the Baltics as well, and the Baltics will be targeted as soon as they think they can handle it.
It would be nice if I was right that the war would end this year, just that it didn’t go at all as hoped 😀
Europe is the very definition of being ungrateful and not being able to see when others do something good for them.
You can be sure that this will be sold as a huge victory, and those of us who feel that it was one of history’s great mistakes will be seen as oddballs.
But as I said – Ukraine has control over the landing and will not be completely overrun, we can rejoice in that small victory.
Those of you who see a different development than this one, please feel free to share it so we can have some hope.
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Good morning!
Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-05-31
1250 KWIA
2 Tanks
5 AFVs
54 Artillery systems
2 MLRS
1 Anti-Aircraft system
145 UAVs
109 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3lqgvpokff22b
Do we have some increasing numbers to boost positivity here?
The Russians continue to kill and harm children, and nowadays there are hardly any condemnations.
“⚡️1 child killed, 1 injured in Russian missile attack on Zaporizhia Oblast.
One child was killed and another injured in a Russian missile attack on Zaporizhia Oblast on the night of May 31.”
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3lqgvgnx43k2n
The docked wrong but I don’t have the energy to move it.
Significantly upwards including artillery and vehicles (rear or from attack? The artillery over 6000 then can be front-related). Becomes a KIWA/attack at 1250/191=6.5 which is slightly higher than last week.
👍
Artillery 🤩
Good morning,
big chance for game over for today’s Russia in October if the West doesn’t chicken out again and become naive, press harder with the sanctions and pour more into Ukraine so they can soap up the Russian killer snails.
– one can ignore reality but not the consequences of reality.
Anyone who hasn’t spent two years in each class can correct me there.
Europe is weakened by Reinfeldts, Merkels, and Schultzes. Disassembled defense and uncontrolled immigration from the third world. The will to defend is more or less gone. As you make your bed, so you must lie in it.
I spent two years in each class 😲
Good, but why hasn’t it been done earlier?
“The control of foreign ships in the Baltic Sea will be tightened, reports Ekot. Starting from the first of July, the coast guard and the maritime administration will be able to collect insurance information from ships passing through Swedish territorial waters or economic zone. Currently, the rules only apply to ships calling at ports.”
https://omni.se/a/zAKOr1
Yes indeed, should have been done a long time ago… but the West is probably afraid of the Russian bear… although today it’s a scrawny and skinny bear so just go for it.
strike first strike hard no mercy … better late than never.. but don’t wait any longer now
Hard grip, now damn ✊
Upwards on several fronts, downwards in Pokrovsk.
Update as of 08.00 31.05.2025 on the Russian invasion
In total, 191↗️ combat engagements were recorded over the past day. ⏱️173, 205, 216, 170, 180, 204, 202, 141, 144, 164, 177, 167, 145, 165, 168, 163, 166, 155, 161, 196, 193, 196, 171, 200, 269, 253, 216, 199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99
#Kharkiv 4↘️⏱️9, 4, 9, 5, 6, 5, 5, 8, 6, 3, 3, 6, 3, 5, 6, 3, 4, 7, 3, 3, 6, 4, 11, 18, 4, 5, 5, 6, 8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1
#Kupyansk 11💥↗️⏱️4, 8, 2, 5, 2, 5, 5, 6, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 4, 4, 1, 2, 5, 2, 3, 3, 4, 6, 3, 5, 7, 6, 6, 5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4
#Lyman 29💥💥↗️⏱️13, 24, 32, 16, 21, 23, 16, 12, 17, 30, 23, 22, 24, 17, 16, 24, 29, 20, 25, 8, 17, 27, 24, 21, 31, 22, 16, 27, 27, 36, 21, 18, 20, 22, 19, 15, 20, 14, 25, 12, 14, 17, 20
#Siverskyi 11💥↗️⏱️7, 3, 0, 3, 6, 3, 0, 3, 2, 1, 4, 6, 10, 4, 3, 5, 3, 6, 8, 4, 8, 5, 6, -, 0, 3, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 3, 5, 8, 12, 3, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2
#Kramatorsk 2↘️⏱️7, 15, 11, 5, 10, 4, 4, 4, 3, 6, 6, 9, 8, 8, 8, 4, 4, 9, 10, 6, 10, 5, 4, 10, 6, 8, 6, 6, 13, 10, 16, 13, 8, 13, 1, 6, 4, 5, 7, 6, 8
#Toretsk 11💥↗️⏱️6, 21, 19, 12, 10, 16, 21, 9, 16, 14, 13, 11, 14, 19, 8, 18, 6, 9, 6, 12, 15, 9, 13, 8, 6, 16, 7, 8, 4, 10, 6, 14, 9, 29, 16, 17, 13, 23, 10, 18, 26, 11
#Pokrovsk 47💥💥💥↘️⏱️66, 54, 65, 65, 63, 65, 61, 44, 54, 44, 72, 65, 54, 52, 75, 74, 54, 60, 70, 60, 65, 71, 61, 77, 78, 115, 78, 113, 83, 64, 85, 75, 59, 64, 68, 44, 65, 56, 53, 61, 39, 54, 64 According to preliminary data in the 22-report at 38↘️ of 149↗️ combats, AFU🇺🇦 killed 85↘️ occupants and wounded another 75↗️, for a total of 160↘️ KWIA in this sector. Ukrainian troops also destroyed 13 vehicles, five motorcycles, one mortar launcher, 15 UAVs and one armoured combat vehicle. In addition, an occupant’s howitzer and a motorcycle were damaged.
#Novopavlivka 25💥⏱️24, 21, 25, 24, 24, 14, 30, 14, 19, 33, 22, 24, 23, 18, 23, 26, 30, 24, 13, 19, 31 , 28, 32, 23, 24, 52, 66, 23, 15, 16, 13, 23, 13, 13, 19, 10, 15, 17, 19, 5, 12, 9, 9
#Huliaipil 0⏱️0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. 3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 13, 0 , 0, 1, 1, 2, 7, 5, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
#Orikhivsk 4⏱️3, 6, 11, 4, 5, 4, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 2, 7, 2, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6, 2, 6, 3, 7, 4, 14, 3, 3, 5, 4, 5, 0, 5, 1, 4, 4, 9, 3, 5, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1
#Prydniprovsky 4⏱️1, 2, 0, 1, 3, 0, 2, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 3, 6, 5, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1 , 1, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0
#Kursk 34💥💥↗️⏱️26, 33, 32, 23, 26, 39, 43, 21, 5, 13, 10, 18, 14, 13, 14, 9, 12, 9, 8, 25, 19, 19, 19, 11, 18 23, 23, 20, 33, 21, 25, 15, 23, 15, 30, 27, 26, 22, 21, 16, 20, 23, 21 Ukrainian defence forces continue operations in the Kursk sector. Over the past day, 34 combat engagements took place in this area, the enemy carried out 14 air strikes, dropping 24 guided aerial bombs, and fired 245 times, nine of which were from multiple launch rocket systems.
Thank you! 👍
Today it aligns well with the loss report as KWIA has stepped up a notch.
Yes, commented under your post above.
Ah, missed it.
Full speed ahead at the attack vectors of Kupiansk and Lymans.
Russian soldier on his donkey.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3lqempxtgg22z
Animal cruelty…. where are all the animal lovers now?
We should send some people from the Swedish Board of Agriculture, preferably the one(s) who suggested that pet rabbits should have a few hectares of land to move around. That person seems heartless enough to fit into Russian society.
🔥 A locomotive depot unexpectedly caught fire in the Irkutsk region. The area of the fire is 2,000 square meters.
Smoking kills!
I just saw that France is banning smoking in all places where children are present, so they can continue to smoke their unfiltered Gauloises at cafes without children around. The latte moms are under attack!
One I worked with many years ago was inspired by both France and Italy, drove an Alfa Romeo, and smoked large quantities of unfiltered Gauloises. Partied quite hard.
He died of aggressive lung cancer, passed away within a few weeks of the diagnosis (suspecting he probably wasn’t quick to seek help).
Live hard and short (here there would actually be an emoji with a cigarette in the mouth)
🥴Trump on Biden and his illness: “If you feel sorry for him, don’t feel too sorry for him, because he is cruel… I don’t feel sorry for him at all”
Let’s hope that Biden survives Trump’s term so that he can have a funeral befitting a president and that it is not left to Think Pink to arrange it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Think_Pink_scandal
👎👎👎
“🇺🇸 Trump says he’s “not sure yet” whether he will support the new bill to tighten sanctions on Russia.
“I don’t know. I’ll have to see. We’ll take a look,” he told reporters.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lqgzu7gaqs2o
Now we damn well win the war ✊✊
“❗️At night, 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 42/107 Russian drones. Another 30 drones were lost on the spot due to fighter jets. Three Kh-59/69 missiles were also shot down.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lqh3chffw22j
Not so strange if he’s a bit strange…
“Elon Musk’s drug abuse during the American election campaign last year was significantly more severe than previously known. This is reported by the New York Times, citing sources close to Musk. Musk himself is said to have stated that he took so much ketamine that it affected his bladder, a known side effect of chronic use. He is also said to have taken ecstasy and psychedelic mushrooms.”
https://omni.se/a/zAKOG9
After a week at the Manor of the Lay Judges, the left has forgiven him, just as they did with Gudrun
However, Gudrun was an alcoholic and drank cheap red wine like the rest of the left. It was nice, warm, and from the left’s abuse. In addition, she literally peed on the disgusting movie theater capitalists.
Musk is upper class and deals with synthetic drugs.
It feels a bit like this – Musk is gone and then a lot of negative information about him comes out, so has this been released for a purpose?
Oui.
“❗️It is reported that an attack was launched at night against the location of the Russian military deployment in Rylsk in the direction of Kursk. Attacks and a large-scale fire were also recorded at the railway station near Lgov.”
Yes, but do something serious about it then!
“President Trump:
“I have gotten to see things that I was very surprised at. Rockets being shot into cities like Kyiv during a negotiation that I felt was maybe very close to ending. We were going to solve a problem, and then all of a sudden, rockets got shot into a couple of cities, and people died.
I saw things that I was surprised at, and I don’t like being surprised. So, I’m very disappointed in that way. With that being said, I’d like to see it end.”
https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1928533922960535810?t=_5CQScej96LSgQ2oo8e5QQ&s=19
He is quite decisive compared to Gunnar Strömmer when he takes on the gang leaders, including Putin.
😂
Trump – the power of action in two shoes ✊✊
SKY SENTINEL:
FUNDRAISER FOR PEACEFUL NIGHTS
We’re raising $1,500,000 for 10 AI-controlled air defense turrets that will protect Ukrainians from russian attacks.
https://u24.gov.ua/sky-sentinel
👍
What if it’s the West trying to buy time? They have been caught off guard.
Putin has, with a combination of old Soviet doctrine with artillery, air, and armor superiority, modern drone warfare, and hybrid warfare outside the battlefield with bought politicians throughout the West, managed to push a bewildered Europe/USA and has also gained the support of Iran, North Korea without any consequences from the UN. Putin does everything to delay because he wants to exploit the advantage to the maximum.
What is in Europe’s favor is that we can scale up war production based on a strong economic and industrial position. If we don’t get a ceasefire, we will have to rebuild during the war. As was the case during the Second World War. It wasn’t until a few years into the Second World War that the Allies caught up with their war production and could take the initiative.
Europe/West will catch up. The Maginot Line in Donbas may be put into use, but when Europe/West catches up and Putin does not voluntarily turn, it is time to reclaim what Putin has stolen with the power of a modern and fully equipped Western army. With or without the USA.
What speaks against is that we haven’t maximized the times when Russia has been at its weakest. You can always maximize temporarily even if you don’t have the endurance you desire.
It’s also part of a larger pattern. We have allowed gang crime to emerge. We have allowed Islamism to grow in Europe. Of course, we also let the Nazi-Russians grow strong. That’s just how we operate.
Europe might have peaked if the USA hadn’t slowed down?
If Russia tries to attack any EU or NATO countries, I am convinced that your scenario will come true.
Unfortunately, it seems that people do not understand that we must look at Ukraine in the same way.
We are now arming ourselves, but it started way too late and it also seems that the focus is mainly on building up our own capabilities (in case the Russians come) and letting Ukraine build up its own. They completely chicken out when it comes to deploying troops in Ukraine, even though it would be largely safe to guard the border against Belarus.
I get the impression that everyone is afraid of Russia and therefore dragging their feet, only cautiously increasing support. It probably took a year before they dared to send tanks, and only when the USA also agreed to send a few Abrahams.
The capacity can probably be built up fairly quickly if we decide to.
It is the cowardice to act that is the problem.
Yes, I have been hoping for exactly this for three years and my big mistake was to overestimate the West 😀
The only country that is prepared today is Finland – they are holding the border.
Not even the Baltics have managed to get organized in three years.
If Europe were to pool its brigades in, for example, the Baltics, RU would not advance a meter.
I have gone through the forces in the EU and there is plenty of them.
I also lean mostly towards that perspective, with the idea that it is the EU trying to buy time. Plus, things are starting to happen, with the EU taking action on its own to strengthen its own security, such as the new Black Sea strategy. https://bsky.app/profile/kajakallas.bsky.social/post/3lqa3iiugrs2a
“Polen skapar aktivt en försvarslinje vid gränsen mot Ryssland nära Kaliningrad.”
Why then – isn’t everyone in agreement that Russia will never attack into NATO?
When we say that we want the West to help Ukraine win the war, what do we mean? How is such a desired victory defined? Russians pushed back to the borders of 2022? With or without Crimea? Putin forced to resign (open window)? Russia collapsing as a nation? When can we say the job is done?
For my part, it’s about Ukraine regaining the borders of 2014 including Crimea. The sanctions must then be maintained until Russia has paid war reparations and returned all kidnapped children and prisoners.
Exactly what happens to Russia is not so important, the most important thing is that they are defeated and realize that they have lost enormously both economically, in terms of human lives, and in reputation.
What we do next depends on how they choose to act. If they are divided, sure, that might be best but not so important to me. Just that they are neutralized so that it will take a long time before they consider starting the same idiocy again (and of course preferably never).
If it can be achieved through negotiations, it will save many Ukrainian lives, but it may require military superiority because before that, the Russians probably won’t give up.
Yes, for me the same as for MXT – to regain its country.
Then I have hoped that Russia will turn inwards from that blow and split into 10 new countries.
We know what Putin wants, now Kellogg is also out with the same.
Starmer, Macron, and Merz have also been on the track of “peace,” where in practice it means that Ukraine will give up the land RU controls today but not formally – ceasefire and then discussions should begin.
However, they try to nuance it a bit with statements that we support Ukraine to a resounding victory.
“A cargo ship has run aground off the coast of Landskrona, reports Sydsvenskan. According to witnesses, the ship is close to the fairway for traffic to Ven. The police state that the Coast Guard is on its way. According to information provided to TV4 News, the ship in question is the Meshka, a Panama-registered bulk carrier, which was reportedly en route to Russia.”
Profound with quite small margins. Some red dotted line nearby. Dragged anchor?
👍
The red dashed line is a pipeline:
Sea rescue on site:
Coast Guard on site (AIS):
Thank you 205 👍👍
See these damn shoes go through the strait every week. How damn hard should it be to stop the crap considering their inadequate insurance?
DK and SE can agree on a min. limit for insurance and maintenance schedule to be allowed to pass through, citing the sensitive environment around the strait as the reason. Then just ask for everything before they enter the strait, otherwise they have to turn back.
Risk of counterfeit documents? Yes, but at least something has been done and a second chance to catch them even harder when it is discovered!
Sweden vs Denmark’s actions against the shadow fleet.
Now, the ship was empty, but we will probably see increased traffic through the strait instead of belts.
Sweden will start collecting insurance info on shadow fleet tankers passing Sweden July 1st.
Minister of Justice: “this will deter the shadow fleet and serve as grounds for further actions, eg sanctions”
Denmark considers seizing tankers carrying Russian oil through its waters, using its strategic chokepoint to the Baltic.
https://bsky.app/profile/pa.nton.cx/post/3lqh6kuao5c2m
🤫 🐿️ “NATO has 2500 front line modern aircraft…
the USA has 2000 front line modern aircraft ..
russia has about 380 (SU57,34,35,30s) RAF, 100ish in the russian navy.. for a total of 480 over the largest country on earth. most are in the moscow area.. and at one time only about 150 are operational as air to air aircraft due to training and maintenance.
most mig 29s and SU27s are not flying, most MIG 31s are now msl carriers for air to ground ord, and the pilots are not trained for air to air..
so in a air war we are looking at MAYBE 100 russian vs 7-900 nato aircraft with far more modern weapons and awacs. it would be a short fight.
after the first day the west would rule the sky over the battlefield over ukraine”
https://x.com/secretsqrl123/status/1928472845786722383?s=46
Interesting to get some numbers on the situation. We might be behind when it comes to drones but they are no match for aircraft. 👍
….so they flew 🦅 💫
Now that the fire control is in place, we take down the SUs with Meteor 💫
Yes, that’s true and only Europe could completely crush Russia if we wanted to.
So even without the USA, it would work just fine.
Ukrainian authorities order immediate evacuation of eleven villages in the Sumy region. Governor Oleh Hryhorov announces this, reports AFP. In a statement, he says that the order is due to the “ongoing threat to civilian lives” from the Russian attacks. At the same time, Russia announces that they have taken control of another village in Sumy, bordering Russia in the northeast.
They have also started evacuating Slovyansk and Kramatorsk
The American Senate will next week proceed with a bill to introduce further sanctions against Russia. That announcement was made by Republican Senator Lindsey Graham when he visited President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv on Friday together with Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal, Reuters reports.
Blumenthal has also been out threatening with force so there is pressure from Congress and the Senate to start doing the right thing but our buddy Trump has a delay tactic going on and stuff like that can be dragged out if you want for a while?
❗️🇺🇦Ukrainian Military from the 14th Regiment of the Unmanned Systems Force Attack 🇷🇺Russian Operators of the SuperCam Reconnaissance UAV
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lqhoindiok2j
❗️🇷🇺Russian Armed Forces. Situations
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3lqhpfkw3m22j
🇩🇪🇬🇧🚀🇺🇦 We need to hand over Taurus to Ukraine as soon as possible, — Ben Wallace, Former UK Defense Secretary
🗣️ “We have nothing to fear. We have a great alliance. And Russia constantly ignores all the rules of war. Every action must be countered, reacted to.”
https://bsky.app/profile/savchenkoua.bsky.social/post/3lqhp6oo3hs2o
How was the Friday night out?
It was a bit disappointing for me as I had some trouble logging in, but I made up for it in the evening, I can tell you 👍
Friday’s drinking session delivered. Wine, beer, and Plantation XO.
Now we’re running on fumes. 🥳
Wednesday to Saturday binge drinking….
Well, I guess I’ll have to shake it off on Monday and blame it on getting old.
There are two Fridays left before a strike at the company. Will probably be the same rush at the company as after toilet paper when Covid hit.
We here in the south might as well gather together and take a trip south to do some major shopping.
If you want to be impressed, you should go to Neisen Discount in Burg.
I have never seen so much gin in one place, German quality beer at a good price, and a lot of Ukrainian brandy.
Bordershop isn’t bad either, just a really boring beer selection.
Good, many gold stars 👍👍
The Kremlin wanted to give the impression that Vladimir Putin ended up in the middle of a Ukrainian drone attack when he visited Kursk last week, but the move was a PR stunt aimed at the domestic audience, according to Russian sources cited by the independent Moscow Times. The sources say that Putin was indeed in Kursk, which is frequently targeted by Ukrainian drone attacks, but that the statement claiming his helicopter was in the “epicenter” of such an attack was a way to assert that Putin is willing to risk his life for the war. “Your problems are trivial, you must toughen up and persevere,” was the message that was supposed to be conveyed, according to one of the sources.
https://omni.se/a/0V8VlM
Wrote this a few days ago and got it right, felt like a fake.
Oh right – that flew by but didn’t quite stick, nicely analyzed 👍👍
You could probably steer MUST I think, submit your CV.
Alrajt – it has been a week since Ukraine got to target whatever goals they wanted in Russia and the drones are buzzing over Moscow.
Either we have stopped listening or Ukraine is not targeting the goals they want, a few factories are not the most high-value targets and if they intend to break Russia’s back, they should try to take out spectacular targets.
Or is it that the USA and Europe are not encouraging it?
They may lull RU into a false sense of security. First, make sure to strike far away, RU is forced to regroup its air defense. Then strike closer targets, north and east of Moscow, then they have to regroup again. Etc. Etc. until the Russians no longer know where it is safe and do not know where to regroup.
That may be the case, Budanov surely has a lot to say when it comes to choosing goals.
That’s how it is 👍👍
Maybe not dignified for Ukraine but for Europe. Anything that hinders the Moscow state from rebuilding its capacity gives us more time.
Saab is close to developing an unmanned combat aircraft and will conduct the first test flights next year, CEO Micael Johansson tells SvD Näringsliv. The aircraft should be able to strike targets deep inside enemy territory and will have almost the same capabilities as a manned combat aircraft, according to the CEO. The combat aircraft should be “definitely” ready for delivery to potential buyers before 2030. “In partnership or on our own, we must have something that can be on the market by then,” says Micael Johansson to the newspaper. The new system is referred to as “loyal wingman” and can fly alongside a regular combat aircraft and act with the help of AI.
https://omni.se/a/4BkBlG
I think it’s the right way to go, Gripen as the mothership and then smaller unmanned aircraft that can take risks.
Seems to be well advanced and can certainly boost the sales of Gripen.
That is being at the forefront – both the USA and China have already started with it.
Well done SAAB 👍👍👍
☢️🇬🇧🇺🇦 “UK should help Ukraine develop its own nuclear weapons as part of a strategic partnership agreement,” — British Army Colonel Richard Kemp at Black Sea Security Forum
https://bsky.app/profile/theukrainianreview.bsky.social/post/3lqhotk7olk2o
The pessimistic cynic could say that the British don’t even have their own nuclear weapons, just borrowed American ones. The positive optimist that the British will take the opportunity to give Ukraine and themselves the chance to develop their own nuclear weapons without American involvement.
ISW says that RU is sending a “low-level delegation” to Turkey again so nothing will happen there, again.
If one could bet money on whether Trump will then give Putin a second chance and praise low-level engagement to the skies, one would be rich now.
Russia has at least complained that the West is helping Ukraine plan to knock out the Kerch Bridge.
How does it work in practice in the USA if Congress has had enough and strikes back at Russia?
Can Trump and the rest of the thieves slow everything down for a while?
Someone else can surely provide the numbers, but Trump cannot veto if, for example, the Senate has passed something with a large majority.
Currently, the Senate has a large enough majority to pass the Blumen/Graham proposal.
… But Trump will surely try to reduce the number of GOP votes to keep his veto.
I’m back in Sweden just before the 10th and have one important errand – to make it to the liquor store before they go on strike.
Thanks for the heads up so I didn’t risk having to stay sober on vacation.
Placing an order to the nearest pick-up point should be beneficial in the matter 🍻
Just order a few cases of Obolon to your home!
You might as well bring some rum. Tea with rum works well in Sweden right now when global warming hasn’t reached our country. A dreadful summer so far.
Interesting post! It’s difficult to know how dire the situation is – that the USA has slowed down is not up for discussion, that’s clear, but I also find it hard to believe that at least the EU countries in Northern Europe (as well as the UK) will just back down. And it’s not only Russia that has caught us off guard, the Trump administration has also – even though we should have been prepared for Europe to take on a larger share of the responsibility and costs for our own defense. I lean towards us going through a period of reorganization and regrouping now, and there are reasons to hope that the EU will emerge stronger. And I am convinced that Russia’s economy is much weaker than we think or even dare to hope. At the same time, the USA is shooting themselves in the foot – for the first time (?) investors are now selling both US Treasury securities AND US dollars; apparently, this is a completely new phenomenon (I’m not an economist).
EU introduces a new strategy for the Black Sea region (below) – there are signs that things are starting to happen, but maybe I am too optimistic?
https://bsky.app/profile/kajakallas.bsky.social/post/3lqa3iiugrs2a
“The cooperation with Russia has been a perfect way for North Korea to circumvent sanctions and realize its military plans, experts tell the New York Times. Kim Jong-Un has in all likelihood gained access to advanced technology in exchange for manpower and artillery shells.”
They have excelled in shipbuilding 🤣
😂
Opec+ increases production….
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3lqi5osek2c2u
Russia, which is part of OPEC plus, opposed the proposal. The question is how the quotas are distributed?
If this is true, Russia will be able to produce almost as much as Saudi Arabia, but the price per barrel will decrease while Russia’s production costs are much higher.
https://x.com/OilCfd/status/1928467972571451775
Sounds good, right?
🤨 Russia’s Central Bank plans to introduce a “digital ruble,” raising concerns over surveillance.
https://united24media.com/latest-news/russia-to-roll-out-digital-ruble-in-2026-enabling-full-control-over-citizens-spending-8789
There are both pros and cons to a fully digital currency, the major issue is the level of trust one has in the government.
“Förtroende” AND “Russia”? You can’t have both…
🤝 Ukraine officially joined the NATO digital battlefield ecosystem by signing a licensing agreement with NATO for the CRC System Interface.
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3lqhpvwop5a24
VAD VAR DET JAG SA 🧐
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3lqigyv5qsc2u
Ok
Smooth the entire surface with the ground.
I seem to remember you saying that China has thrown Russia under the bus?
Does anyone think there will be consequences for China?
Anyone?
No.
For the People’s Republic of China, hardly. For the Republic of China, it became more important to darken the sky with drones so that the ships do not have time to cross the water and shoot down all drones on their way to Taiwan.
A massive fire has broken out just 10 kilometers from Putin’s residence.
In Krasnogorsk, near Moscow, the “Ltd Kolesnic” factory, which produces galoshes and rubber footwear, is engulfed in flames. Eyewitnesses report that smoke pillars can be seen from various districts of Moscow itself.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3lqihab4npc2s
🔥👍
“It would be a very big mistake for the USA to recognize the annexed Crimean Peninsula as Russian territory. That’s what Mike Pompeo, Secretary of State during Donald Trump’s first term, says during a visit to the Ukrainian port city of Odesa.”
“Explosions were heard in Kyiv around 1:45 a.m. local time, according to a Kyiv Independent journalist on the ground.
Ukraine’s Air Force warned of the threat of Russian missile strikes on the capital.”
https://x.com/KyivIndependent/status/1928947247573598533?t=-Vph-hfMr7x-Flz-0ESvBg&s=19
⚡️4 döda, 44 skadade i passagerartågsspåravvikelse i Rysslands Bryanskregion efter brokollaps, säger tjänstemän.
Minst 4 personer är döda och ytterligare 44 skadade efter att ett tåg spårade ur i Rysslands Bryanskregion den 31 maj, efter en brokollaps, enligt ryska tjänstemän.
‼️ Russia: “A major fire broke out at a rubber production facility in the village of Novy in Krasnogorsk, Moscow region”
https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3lqicxycm322u
Unfortunately Germany’s plan 😳
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3lqiujgktdk2b