When you see the chaos in the UK that Starmer fails to handle, or Macron’s constant problems with his wife, Hungary, Slovakia, Poland – or Merz’s escalating troubles.
Do you think Ukraine is completely immune to all of that and that the country is a model of good governance?
They have a unifying factor due to the war, but the longer it lasts, the greater the risk of tensions, we usually write.
The West is trying to create similar tensions in Russia, but the country is not invaded, and UA’s targeting of infrastructure is not at the same level as in Ukraine.
Neither is UA’s subversive activities in Russia at the same level, and Putin has had nearly 30 years to build a competent organization for domestic control of citizens.
By definition, democracies are more vulnerable than authoritarian sh1t countries like Russia, and Ukraine aspires to be a democracy.
MXT posted about corruption in UA on johanno1.se last Wednesday
The country has corruption and all sorts of other things that don’t work, but the citizens have overlooked this because the enemy of your enemy is your friend. At some point, they won’t anymore, we’re not there yet, but the longer time goes on, the higher the risk we’ll get there. It’s something the Russians are experts at capitalizing on, and they are patiently waiting for their turn.
As Proxima also reported on johanno1.se last Wednesday, Kazakhstan went on a reconciliation trip to Russia
https://qazinform.com/news/putin-kazakhstan-and-russia-are-reliable-allies-6eba74
Azerbaijan came out as UA supporters last summer, so I immediately googled about them, and apparently, they have also been in contact with Putin
And Putin is supposed to attend a CSTO meeting soon
https://www.trend.az/casia/kyrgyzstan/4116559.html
On May 9, 2025, 30 countries chose Russia and China, as we saw, and since then, there has been a major gathering in China.
Who you are seen with matters, everyone who has gone to school knows that.
During the summer, Ukraine was closest to cheerful, and Azerbaijan tough on Russia.
After that, RU came out with something about a planned coup in the country, and Ukraine is not as lively anymore, and Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan are approaching Russia again.
I don’t dare extrapolate further than that at this point, other than an impending palace coup, or someone declaring war on Russia, is not imminent at least.
All the old -stans are just like all other cowards, and if they are approaching Russia, it’s bad news.
The feeling is that something fun like a coup is averted, and Ukraine knows that.
Not sure if you saw that the UA attack on the municipal building in Pokrovsk was at night and by a storm battalion – night combat and capability even among others than SOF.
It’s good because it means the capability for night combat extends to detached battalions that are not the highest priority – GRU/SOF, Airmobile, Azov, Kraken, Marines should logically have higher priority, right?
FAB is less good, and FAB3000 is not fun at all, the enormous detonation it causes 😭
There is increasing information from UA sources that RU is gradually gaining the upper hand in strategic drone warfare and battlefield drone warfare, so being on the defensive is increasingly risky.
This is also something RU couldn’t handle before, but as if by black magic, they have started to excel in it – of course, with China behind it.
Ukraine has already provided us with evidence of China’s involvement in the war, but the West will not act on that point – instead, Europe has been sending its representatives there at the national level throughout the year to pledge eternal loyalty to Xi Jinping.
If you have followed publications like Ukrinform, you know that right now Zelensky, Sirsky, and some high-ranking officials are touring all fronts – they do this for a purpose, and it’s not positive.
This is the reason why the manpower is low, by the way – 220,000 desertions since 2022.
Russia also has problems with desertions, but it’s worse for Ukraine.
Since you all passed second-grade math (or did you 🧐), you know that 220,000/44 is 5,000/month, so the fact that +20,000 deserted in October 2025 shows that Ukraine has an increasing problem.
We don’t know when it will become critical, but desertions and Ukraine retreating on all fronts are usually clear signs of being under severe pressure.
Now, even Don Hill and Sarcotosaurus have been branded as Ukrainian enemies, and one can hardly discuss Pokrovsk along the maps without fear of reprisal, so it’s clear that a correction in the ranks is desired.
Right now, we shouldn’t discuss negative things for Ukraine, but in 2023 and 2024, Zelensky himself said they were out of ammunition and retreating, I used to call him a used car salesman.
Even on “the other blog,” there was a quote from BGB Jonas
“The units manning the positions around Myrnohrad are still holding out and waiting for orders to retreat before it’s too late.”
Is it time to boycott the other blog for defeatism perhaps, he talks about retreat, which is a forbidden word 🧐
Then that blog also had a piece about the drone weapon and the Russian Rubicon giving them an A+, which goes against what others are saying – that Ukraine has eliminated all RU drones in the Dobrophilia area.
I definitely think it’s time to brand that defeatist side, I have reported them to GUR for elimination 😡
So, the EU can’t even provide enough money now, money 😭
We are sending less heavy equipment – we probably have production problems as China tightens the tap on what we need, and then we have to start preparing ourselves for war.
What I believe saves Ukraine is that they have formed their best brigades into army corps that can move around and carry out counterattacks where it’s tough.
If Sirsky stays away and competent former brigade commanders who have been promoted to corps commanders are given an area and a task, it goes a long way.
The level of Azov, 12th NG, airborne, marines, and the elite among the mechanized brigades is extremely high – these are units that belong to the best in Europe even though there is always pushback when I try to praise the world’s best infantry.
If things get tough, the special forces are sent in – you’ve read how they swept into Pokrovsk, which is combat in urban areas under drone cover, the toughest there is, and they clear it every time.
They can then withdraw beyond the RU drone screen and replenish their magazines.
It’s not impossible that they can continue with this, of course, then the strategic offensive reserve disappears, but the Russian brigades that happened to be in the way get overrun.
Zelensky has confirmed that RU takes 3 times the losses, and in casualties, it’s 30 times more than Ukraine.
https://kyivindependent.com/russian-losses-3-times-higher-than-ukraines-zelensky-says
Even up in Kupiansk, they have done the same thing so this has started to get going now even though I thought the transition over Oskil up at Kupiansk would have been crushed sometime last spring.
Have we seen a new type of situation-adapted warfare being rolled out and statistically confirmed?
Task forces using their advantage in night combat and other technology to carry out counterattacks into areas that are not yet fully fortified, only to then withdraw and leave the area to the defending brigade?
If the Russian team had videos of hundreds of dead Azov soldiers, we would have seen it.
This is a bit like Azov’s counterattacks and defense clearances at Bakhmut in 2023, except now it’s several army corps instead of a single brigade.
That’s why Pokrovsk, which looks like it could fall any day, doesn’t actually fall because as soon as it becomes urgent, a well-equipped elite unit sweeps over the area and then hands it over to the brigade that has the misfortune of being tasked with defending the area.
This works as long as China’s digital battlefield and drone superiority don’t become too significant, I guess, because they shall go in and they shall go out.
But goodness, the demands it places on the army corps – highest level of leadership, coordination, combat, combined arms warfare, digital battlefield, drone units, and all of that.
But this is all Ukraine has left; if the GUR starts taking losses, there’s no one behind them.
It’s a long way from Ukraine in 2023 and 2024 – they have taken their best units, scaled them up significantly, given them everything extra, and let them fight as they see fit.
This probably works excellently, right?
It works in larger offensive operations as well, of course, but a bit riskier than the bold nightly hit-and-runs they are doing now.
The Ukrainian strategic offensive reserve is excellent simply even if it is partly tied up as a near-front task force.
If I sensationally am right as always, there will be more of this because there are more units we have not yet seen in combat.
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Say you are preparing a resistance where you expect attacks. If we take Pokrovsk, how far forward do you let the opponent come in your plan? A Ukrainian resistance nest, planned to cause the enemy as much loss as possible, and located on a height, should not let the enemy up on the height, i.e. into central Pokrovsk, to start bleeding 🩸 heavily?
Ukraine may have underestimated Russia’s drone capabilities, and may have underestimated the amount of troops Russia is willing to send. Even though the Ukrainian military leadership in the latter case, already in August/September, warned of a massive buildup of Russian troops (100,000) in the Pokrovsk direction.
But patiently one prepares oneself by continuously reducing the Russian strength!
Definitely, the quality decreases in the Russian forces, who are dying in large numbers, while the quality of the Ukrainian forces increases as they stay alive through their defensive and cautious approach!
When will we reach the point where this weakens the strength of the Russians in terms of numbers, and the quality becomes so low that China’s contribution no longer helps?
At the same time, the Russian economy is being plagued and problems are being created for #fckptn as more and more people become impatient, and then their patience runs out. What happened to Lavrov?
All organizations/countries/populations need a purpose that creates understanding. There is probably no wise visible purpose in #fckptn’s approach at all?
It was probably Lavrov in person who happened. Tried to get his dung-dripping and manure-smelling propaganda into Coroiella de la Sierra, without success and then the same trip at the BBC. Putin must have been disappointed in him or wondered what he is up to and put him under house arrest for a few days. But the liar Lavrov is back now. Putin needs him because no one lies as well.
Russian losses in the war in Ukraine 2025-11-14
1040 KWIA
2 AFVs
35 Artillery systems
442 UAVs
95 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
AFU reports:
High number of drones, suspecting that the fog has lifted.
172 attacks, of which 146 were Russian:
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 4
S Slobozhansky 11💥↘️
Kupyansk 11💥↗️
Lyman 13💥↘️
Slovyansk 9💥
Kramatorsk 0
Kostjantynivka 16💥↘️
Pokrovsk 51💥💥💥↘️
Oleksandrivskij 12💥↘️
Huliaypillia 6
Orikhivsk 12💥↗️
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 1
Enemy attacked six times towards Huliaipole, targeting defense forces’ positions in the areas around the villages of Vysoke, Zelenyi Hai, Yablukove, Solodke, and Bilohiria.
Attacker carried out 12 attacks towards Orikhiv in the areas of Malaya Tokmachka, Stepove, Shcherbakiv, Malye Shcherbakiv, Primorske, Stepnogorsk, and Plavni.
👍
“🇺🇦 Ukrainian Air Defence shot down or suppressed:
▪️405/430 strike UAVs;
▪️2/3 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles;
▪️0/1 Zircon anti-ship missile;
▪️6/6 Iskander-K/Caliber cruise missiles;
▪️6/9 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5lbqq5ibc2l
⚡ 419 OPPONENT TARGETS DESTROYED/DOWNED
During the night to November 14 (from 6:00 p.m. on November 13), the opponent carried out a combined attack on critical infrastructure in Ukraine using attack UAVs, air-, land-, and sea-based missiles.
In total, the air force’s radio-technical troops detected and tracked 449 air strikes – 19 missiles (13 of them ballistic) and 430 UAVs of various types (about 300 Shahed):
– 430 Shahed type attack UAVs, Gerbera (other types of drones) from the following directions: Kursk, Millerovo, Orel, Bryansk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk – Russia, Gvardeiskoye – TOT AR Crimea;
– 3 aeroballistic missiles X-47M2 “Kinzhal” (from the Ryazan region – Russia);
– 1 anti-ship missile “Zircon”;
– 6 cruise missiles Iskander-K/Kalibr (from TOT AR Crimea/Black Sea waters);
– 9 ballistic missiles Iskander-M/KN-23 (from Bryansk oblast).
The main target of the attack was the city of Kiev. The regions of Kiev, Kharkiv, Odessa, Poltava, and Cherkasy were also affected by the attack.
The air strike was repelled by the air force, air defense forces, electronic warfare units, drone systems, and mobile artillery units from the Ukrainian armed forces.
💥 According to preliminary information, the air defense had shot down/destroyed 419 aerial targets by 9:30 a.m.:
– 405 enemy UAVs of the Shahed, Gerbera, and other drone types;
– 2 aeroballistic missiles X-47M2 “Kinzhal”;
– 6 ballistic missiles of the Iskander-M/KN-23 type;
– 6 cruise missiles of the Iskander-K/Kalibr type.
Missiles and 23 attack UAVs have hit 13 locations, and downed missiles (wreckage) have fallen on 44 sites.
The attack continues, new groups of enemy UAVs are in the airspace. Follow the safety rules!
Depressing reading.
Cheered myself up by looking for confirmed shootdowns of the Pantsir S1, I can’t find any with credible sources or images. ruz usually isn’t shy about showing off shot-down stuff so there should be some photo evidence or video showing a hit? Maybe we shouldn’t take it as proof that their air defense is out of this world just because ruz always shoots down 100% of everything?
Nice flow Johan has when he writes. Impressive. Especially caught by “who you are seen with matters everyone who has been to school knows that”. True and at the same time humorous. Especially as the post has a lot of serious words today.
Ukraine must, after all, have a plan. Retreat when needed, hit Russian infrastructure and oil depots, and a solid blow to Crimea. The last Russian on Crimea turns off the lights and locks up. Golgotha walk over the Kerch Bridge. Then it’s done.
The Russian people will take care of the rest.
The language usage and content are very readable. It’s depressing when it’s all negative-negative in tone, I would wish for a total asphalting of the entire Moscow state preferably yesterday.
Of course, factual and correct information is important, but rainbow-farting unicorns are just so lovely 😉
💥🔥👍✊
“Overnight, Ukrainian drones struck two major Russian fuel export hubs.
• Saratov: a hit on an export oil terminal sparked a fire; a military unit was also targeted.
• Novorossiysk: blasts at the Sheskharis terminal; the port was struck and vessel was damaged.
These strikes strain Russia’s fuel logistics and port operations. Russia’s MoD claims 216 drones were shot down, while local reports note fires and damage.”
https://bsky.app/profile/meanwhileua.bsky.social/post/3m5lbmyr4zf2n
“Fires are visible in Novorossiysk following the overnight strikes, according to satellite mapping. Russian sources report Neptune anti-ship missiles were used in the attack. “
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3m5laczzan227
Border guards from the Kharkiv detachment hit four vehicles, two shelters, two antennas, a loitering drone, and enemy personnel with FPV drones on the Southern Slobozhanshchyna axis.
Azerbaijan: have you seen any recent reports about a NATO evaluation of the Azerbaijani defense?
💥🔥👍✊
It was apparently S-400 and a raff as well!
“⚡️ During the night, UAVs attacked four targets in Russia and occupied territories:
▪️Donetsk, hangars at a metallurgical plant.
▪️Novorossiysk, the port and the Sheskharis oil transshipment complex.
▪️Novorossiysk, S-400 air defense position.
▪️Saratov, a local oil refinery.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5lcyyw7fc2a
“A Russian drone pierced through a part of a residential building in #Kyiv’s Desnianskyi district. According to State Emergency Service of Ukraine, among all the locations affected by the attack, this one is the most difficult. Four people were confirmed to be killed in a drone strike.”
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3m5lekzrrmk2m