I continue to elaborate on the latest UA post and if we have seen new situation-adapted warfare being rolled out – I believe so.
I have flown past films from GUR, Rangers, Azov, and others who are currently in combat, and up in Kupiansk, UA has carried out counterattacks and cleared up the city just like in the thinning at Pokrovsk.

Both went significantly better than the over a month-long battle at Dobrophilia.
The outermost tip of the spear attacks and clears the area at night, after which the previously defending brigade goes back on defense?
The protected resources then withdraw beyond drone range.
During in-out, the question is how the losses look and I dare not extrapolate on that at all because UA is silent and RU says they are destroying everything, but nevertheless, they are being thinned out, how that fits with them having knocked out everything they have no answer for because they are lying.
Ranger corps is 4 regiments so probably just under 10,000?
One of the new army corps we simplify to around 10,000 for those who are prioritized – Marines, Airmobile x 2, 3rd AC. AZOV and some mechanized corps.
Special forces, NGs OMEGA, GUR, Special Purpose forces + a whole lot more.
Could there be over 60,000 in combat units in this collection at the very tip of the spear, approximately.
There is very little positive from the osints and those they are in contact with at the front lines, the only one who is really positive is Gregg, but now UA has retreated from the Kozatzke area so we’ll see what Gregg has to report on that in the future.

Project Owl has logged RU group on November 16th a good bit north of Pokrovsk (which does not mean that the area is conquered at all, just that they have reached there), and then a group in northern Pokrovsk.

On Sunday, it was written on johanno1.se that RU was trying to infiltrate Hryshyne again.
On November 7th, Gregg wrote a long post about why RU will not take over Pokrovsk – Myrnohrad, it is in the comment thread below the post.
In his defense, he has never mentioned Kozatzke, but it is difficult to see that the settlement in Pokrovsk would not be controlled by the Russians at the time of this post?
At any time, a counterattack could come from the tip of the spear that resets everything, of course.
Since RU is trying to infiltrate Hryshyne but no maps even indicate the area as disputed, I would argue that the maps are somewhat accurate, so I will continue to use them in my reasoning.
What I also want to highlight is that Ukraine has rolled out new warfare with its strategic offensive reserve where they sweep over an area with Russian bastards and clear them out, and assuming they do not suffer too many losses, they can probably continue with this.
We have gone through the amount of desertions, which have increased exponentially in October, osinters are generally very negative, and brigades in defense are low on personnel – this probably accurately describes how that part of the armed forces perceives the situation, which is their reality.
However, the offensive reserve is a completely different animal, and they have neither lacking morale, personnel shortage, material shortage, nor any other negative thoughts or plans to desert.
They excel in combined arms warfare as long as they are a functioning unit, and now they have protection under army corps so Sirsky cannot come in and destroy them anymore.
They master night combat fully and have the equipment, they have the digital battlefield, and are surely prioritized for indirect capabilities and fragmentation protection.
I cannot determine how many losses they incur in their counterattacks, but we must assume that they can continue to fight in this way for the foreseeable future, so this mobile task force can probably continue to slow down RU’s advance for quite a long time to come.
We will have two branches on the tree – a large group of brigades that are overrun and live a life with a constant “fight or flight” feeling, and the other branch, which is a large, highly motivated task force that clears out Russian dens along the front lines in constant hit-and-runs.
Does it tie up the entire offensive strategic reserve – probably not, so there should be redundancy.
Has UA now mastered their own offensive during the 2025 war, I believe so, and if nothing else, they are practicing this warfare now. There is not even a microscopic chance that one of our mechanized brigades could launch a nighttime attack into a drone-saturated battle in urban areas and come out unscathed, so I declare UA the world’s best infantry for the hundredth time.
RU has not mastered this at all with their units, they sacrifice infantry in large numbers to reach the defense with indirect fire, and when they attack with mechanized units, they always get stuck.
I do not think this offensive reserve is tolerant of mismanagement from the leadership, so Sirsky better watch out a bit and let them do their job.
I ask again – what is the clear goal?
Stubb is a fervent supporter of Ukraine, but everything is wrong in his latest statement –

“Europe should not back down just because there were corruption revelations” – that tells us that Europe has started to complain.
The other is that “there can be no ceasefire before spring” – which means that is our goal.
Zelensky is probably dark enough to consider a ceasefire, and behind closed curtains, doubt probably begins to spread that this war will be able to end in a different way.
Yes, there is Budanov and an offensive strategic reserve, but one must also have the country on a large scale with them.
I will continue to push –
-the most important months of the war.
-Europe needs to start making some tough decisions or else we risk ending up with a ceasefire.
A ceasefire is thus the end of Phase 1, which was supposed to take three days but took four years.
After that, Russia can start Phase 2, whatever that may be.
And in parallel, continue to try to bring down Ukraine.
Russia has long been in a hopeless situation, but Putin and his circle have too good a grip on the country for it to turn into a revolution or palace coup – since 2023, Putin has periodically cleaned up a bit, and most recently they announced that they had exposed Khodorovsky who is considering taking action. Probably true because he probably wants to retaliate.
Economically, China has kept RU afloat, and until they stop, the country will not fall on that path either.
Ukraine is doing the best they can, and with a bit of luck, they may succeed, but the USA, Trump, and Europe have actively worked against this for a very long time.
What is the actual situation for UA – what is the goal!
At some point, it starts to look like they are not getting anywhere, and the question is what people feel in the country after 4 years of unemployment, death on the front lines, constant bombing, and so on.
This corruption scandal is one of many but may be a small sign that those higher up are starting to secure their pension?
Why should the soldiers then die, they may ask, and +20,000 deserters in October suggest that some have started doing so.
The fact that they have tried to pin innocent people who have reported truthfully in the last 1-2 months is to try to dress up the pig a bit, but previously it was the government themselves who pushed the line that things were not going well to get help from us – now they do not want that and it is a bit worrying.
Economically, we are supporting Ukraine even though money and materials have decreased significantly, so the EU had to start pitching so that individual countries began to contribute funds for K1.
The day Putin generously offers a ceasefire according to what seems to be frozen fronts today and then start talks, Trump and certainly Europe will jump on it immediately.
Zelensky et al have little chance to refuse, so the likelihood is high that they will agree to it with a lot of statements that they do not accept giving up land and will negotiate to get it back.
Then the Ukrainian balloon can start deflating with GRU’s needle pricks in the right places because the cohesive glue was active war.
It is also called sifting through the century’s sacrifices for everyone’s security, but it does not seem to concern Europe much.
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Russian losses in the war in Ukraine:
SLAVA UKRAINI
AFU reports:
131 KAB
4336 shellings (75 from MLRS)
5130 kamikaze drones
⚡️Russian missile strikes Kharkiv Oblast, killing teenage girl, injuring 9. A seventeen-year-old girl was killed and nine others were injured in an overnight Russian missile attack on the city of Berestyn in Kharkiv Oblast on Nov. 18, regional authorities said.
“Local channels report that Dnipro is under attack by Russian Shaheds. Residents have already heard more than 20 explosions.”
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3m5u5sck7oc2g
“Horrific aftermath in Dnipro: drone strikes set vehicles ablaze and caused severe damage to a residential building. Emergency services are working through the wreckage.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3m5uadxzjt22d
💥🔥👍✊
“💥 Russia: Natural gas pipeline blew up in Omsk region, Siberia. Declared official cause: gas leak. 🚬”
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3m5utxxqw5c2x
“Omsk … Rostovka … moment of the gas pipeline explosion ,,, accident We’ll take it. 😎”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m5uwfrwrfs2d
🇺🇦Siversky direction: In the southern part of Siversk, one Russian soldier was spotted who seems to have gotten lost and ended up right under our control. Judging by the footage, this was not a reconnaissance sortie or some organized group — most likely, a meat steak that got separated from his unit and stupidly wandered where he shouldn’t have. 🇺🇦Our Cossacks immediately dealt with him, and this poor guy was left without a leg in the bushes, where they finished him off. A minor episode, but it shows that the enemy is probing approaches to the city and even their rot is seeping to the flanks, testing weak spots. 🌚Control is held, but the enemy’s movement closer to Siversk is not accidental, but a trend already felt in the south! 🇺🇦Muchnoy Jugend”
💥🔥👍✊
“💥 Zuhres (Donetsk region). During the attack on the Zuevskaya Thermal Power Plant, the transformer of the second boiler was hit, and was disabled.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5uedc4kuk2q
“Zugres, attacked Zuevskaya TPP, a strike was made on the main machine hall where the steam turbines and power plant generators are located. The station supplies electricity to the occupied territory, it is not integrated into the Ukrainian power system. Its capacity is approximately 1.2–1.3 GW (4 power units of about 300 MW each). TPP coordinates: 48.03267075860188, 38.28738455007871 POV: 48.02015609692731, 38.2917977422773 18.11.2025”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m5utbq7xp22z
Agree with Johan No.1, Europe/EU must step up and agree on a common goal for how they want the war in Ukraine to end (and of course then take into account what the aftermath might be) and then act decisively to achieve that goal.
Despite the fact that the USA has largely withdrawn, they still seem to be waiting to see what Trump will do instead of taking a firm grip on the helm and steering the ship.
This is partly because the EU, unlike the USA, is not a single entity but a collection of individual countries that only cooperate loosely and therefore cannot find, and agree on, a common direction. It is a major weakness when it comes to major issues (such as what to do with Russia, how to face China’s competition, etc.).
Agree with Johan and MXT here. Well summarized by both.
Most thought-provoking today was probably Johan’s last paragraph “This corruption scandal is one of many but is a small sign that those higher up are starting to secure their pensions?
Why should the soldiers then die they ask well +20,000 deserters in October suggest that some have started doing it”.
Those were important lines! Didn’t quite feel good in the “stomach area” when I read this.
EU and NATO are toothless. Prime ministers, foreign ministers, defense ministers, EU and NATO representatives travel around like a wandering theater troupe and hold meaningless meetings with each other. Endlessly.
Reminds me of a quote from the Indian Wars of the 1800s spoken by a warrior: “Too many chiefs – not too many Indians”.
👍
Another fitting expression is also “too much talk and too little action”.
I agree, doesn’t feel very positive right now. And it almost seems like Zelensky is ready to throw in the towel (maybe a bit too negative though). Granted, he’s traveling back and forth between state visits, visits to the front, and a bunch of other visits, trying to get everyone on board and understand that real action needs to be taken, but it doesn’t seem to be working out that well. Sometimes it’s refreshing to read the Finnish-Ukrainian sauna bather, he feels extremely positive while Johan’s epistle with an unknown number is surely more realistic. The decision-making processes take way too long, and it seems like they’re only doing one thing at a time all the way from idea to follow-up, instead of having several sanction packages in progress in different phases to act more quickly. I really hope that we’ll see an end to this war and a peace that costs Russia a lot, and that Ukraine will be rebuilt and flourish as a member of the EU and NATO or whatever they want after the war, to develop in a true democratic spirit. As for Russia, we might as well build a high wall against them with no openings, where they can sit and contemplate their mistakes throughout the centuries, and they should pay for the wall (sounds just like Trump and his Mexico wall I notice) and war reparations to Ukraine and compensation for all the weapons etc. that we in the West have provided, and an environmental fee for cleaning up hazardous materials on top of that.
👍 And in environmentally hazardous waste, all mines scattered throughout Ukraine are also included.
Exakt!
Off-Topic, electricity prices this winter
Looks like it’s going to be damn expensive up north! 😂
I think someone sleepy confused cents with kronor…
“It looks like there will be low to normal electricity prices this winter, according to the electricity trading company Bixia in its winter forecast.
– The electricity market looks very balanced ahead of the winter. The mild weather forecasts dampen demand and we expect a lot of wind and hydropower in the system. This means that the risk of very high prices is small, says Johan Sigvardsson, electricity market analyst at Bixia.
However, prices are expected to be higher than last year when the surplus of water was unusually large and demand was low. At the same time, the new electricity connection with Finland means that the surplus of electricity will be smaller this year.
Overall, prices are expected to range between 40 kronor per kilowatt hour in the north and 85 öre in the south.”
https://omni.se/stabila-elpriser-vantas-men-hogre-an-i-fjol/a/LMyvBq
Electricity producers in the north are allowed to export electricity to us in Finland, we get less fluctuation in electricity prices, residents in the northern regions get slightly more expensive electricity, but there is also the possibility to use the transmission to move the electricity to SE3 via Finland, if there are issues between SE2 and SE3.
“🇺🇦 Mirnograd direction: The city is currently under constant pressure, the enemy spares no heavy FAB bombs & hits the neighborhoods with them, clearing corridors for themselves among residential areas. On the outskirts, there are already captured houses from which they try to advance further towards the Molodizhny and Skhidny neighborhoods — they want to cut the city and get deeper, like into a concrete labyrinth.
🇺🇦 The hottest point right now is the southern flank. There is a gray zone that has almost consumed the entire district: enemy movement is constant, they push in small groups, changing routes to disrupt the pace of our defense. But they also die there in packs because they have not been able to firmly establish themselves — they fly in, get hit hard, retreat, and try again.
🇺🇦 The fight for the city is fierce, close contact and chaos among the high-rises — their style: hiding, running across, catching the moment. However, our Cossacks keep the district under constant control.
Reconnaissance does not sleep — clearing yards, marking movements, and immediately striking them precisely with drones. Where the boars thought they could sneak quietly — a harsh strike arrives like clockwork.
🔪 🇺🇦 Muchnoy Jugend ”
“
Lower than in a long time. In total only 123 battles along the front. Not a record but with 28 unlocated battles (i.e. no Russian attacks in any of the sectors) we still get a decent “counteroffensive” in percentage terms (23%), which has only been exceeded twice since May 1st this year: 91% on Oct 19 and 58% on Aug 29. Matches on Sept 23. So, what percentage of the difference between AFU’s total and the sum of battles along the front (as below) is of this total.
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 7↗️
S Slobozhansky 6↘️
Kupyansk 3↘️
Lyman 9💥
Slovyansk 10💥
Kramatorsk 2↘️
Kostjantynivka 20↘️
Pokrovsk 40↘️
Oleksandrivskij 13↘️
Huliaypillia 10↘️
Orikhivsk 1
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 2
👍
In order to avoid everything being decided by weak/doubting EU politicians who fall into a Trump/Putin initiated ceasefire, either a significantly higher step far beyond the horizon is required right now, or Ukraine needs to get its own weapons production in order of all essential types and get the export of these spinning. Yes, there should be prospects, as it has been pointed out here several times, that Ukraine is world-leading in many areas, not only in combat but also in weapons. And that is something that should pragmatically interest a number of countries that have identified China or Russia as their opponents. For example, Japan, whose Chinese relations have deteriorated into threats from China. In addition to this, all weapon production collaborations that Ukraine has already established could be added, most recently in drone production with France. These are strong cards 🃏 that cannot be easily waved away by weak Brussels politicians, and that Ukraine can use for its own purposes to ensure that decisions within the EU land in its favor. Yes, and then we have several countries bordering Russia that also should not see a ceasefire as the obvious path to take, as soon as Russia gets stuck in Donetsk and wants the rest ex gratia in order to present a peace proposal to Trump.
“Över natten attackerade ryssarna järnvägsanläggningar i Dnipropetrovsk- och Kharkiv-regionerna. En depå förstördes i Dnipro; flera stationer träffades i Kharkiv-regionen, vilket skadade en arbetare. En massiv Shahed-strejk brände också avdelningen “Suspilne.Dnipro” och filmstudion “Kontrabas”.”
“As part of Rheinmetall’s CMD 2025 presentation, Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger has just announced that the first Skyranger 35 SPAAG mounted on the Leopard 1 chassis will be delivered to #Ukraine as early as next week. As known since the 9th of September, Rheinmetall will deliver Skyranger 35 SPAAGs mounted on the Leopard 1 chassis to Ukraine as part of a three-digit million sum contract which is paid for by an unnamed EU country through the windfall profits from frozen Russian assets.”
“🇺🇦 Ukrainian Air Defence shot down or suppressed 101/118 drones!”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5veouljv22w
Seen from the drone’s perspective.
“❗️At night, Ukrainian military personnel from the 🇺🇦1st Separate Center of Unmanned Systems Forces attacked the Zuivska and Starobesheve power station on the territory of the temporarily occupied Donetsk region. FP-2 kamikaze drones were used for the strikes”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m5vknh36gc2n
“❗️In Pokrovsk, the number of street battles is increasing, and enemy losses from direct fire are rising, — 7th Corps of the Airborne Assault Troops. Since the beginning of the month, the Ukrainian Defense Forces have eliminated 314 Russians in Pokrovsk, with another 71 wounded.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m5vix6wrqc2n“
“❗️🇵🇱 Everything indicates that the sabotage on the railway in Poland was organized by special services from the East (Russia), — spokesman for the coordinator of Polish special services.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5viwb5fwc2w
“❗️The 🇩🇪German company ARX Robotics has received a large order for the supply of GEREON ground robotic systems for 🇺🇦Ukraine.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3m5vg2m4f4k2a
Russia will not send any delegation for peace talks with Ukraine in Turkey. This was announced by the Kremlin on Tuesday, as reported by AFP.
Earlier in the day, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that he will visit Turkey on Wednesday to try to revive the peace negotiations.
“We are preparing to resume the negotiations and have come up with solutions that we will propose to our partners,” the president wrote on X.
US special envoy Steve Witkoff will participate in the call.
205 Are you still having trouble posting comments (the button not working)?
Has not happened today, and not yesterday.
Good, hope it continues.
Found some information (and tips on actions) regarding Safari specifically. It seems that this browser can have issues with javascript when there are many elements being used and also when it comes to time-based events. Added it a few days ago but only now realized I should ask if any difference has been noticed.
Ok 👍. If it’s acting up again, I’ll check with Edge and Chrome.
https://bsky.app/profile/saintjavelin.bsky.social/post/3m5vmsmhees2b
A burning tank, hope it spreads!
“🔥 Satellite images of Saratov oil refinery, – Supernova”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m5vmk52v2k2z
Off-Topic
Cloudflare seems to be experiencing technical issues. Lots of sites are down (including Cornucopia) but it also seems to be a bit random. Some sites running through them are up, others are down, then they can work for a while before disappearing again.
Even Kyivindependent (cloudflare), X.
Seems like the sites lack a fallback if Cloudflare malfunctions. A custom firewall that is updated with information from Cloudflare (should be included in the price/license). Often it’s traffic from entire countries that are blocked, for example NK. Maybe even China. Otherwise, a growing list of IP addresses identified as part of bot networks.
When using Cloudflare, you point the domain’s name servers to them, then all DNS records (pointers for web, email, etc.) are managed by them.
It makes it a bit tricky to have a fallback if Cloudflare itself goes off track.
Of course, you can redirect the name servers to your normal domain registrar/web hosting or another party.
The problem is that it can take a day or in the worst case scenario two before the name servers have propagated everywhere. Additionally, you must then keep track of exactly which DNS settings you have set up with them so you can recreate it. If Cloudflare is down, it is also difficult to access and check that configuration. When Cloudflare is back up and you want to point back, it can take just as long (though hopefully the DNS records should be correct so you avoid that problem.
Simply put, the name servers are a form of single point of failure.
Nowadays, it is common to set up 2-3 different name servers precisely to have a fallback if one of them goes down, but when everything collapses with the one managing the name servers, it doesn’t help anyway.
So, it’s not that simple to actually have your own fallback.
Cloudflare is supposed to be the reliable partner you use, among other things, to increase operational reliability. For example, they can deliver a cached version of the website if your own servers crash so that at least static pages can be displayed even if it won’t work to, for instance, post comments.
Well, I am aware that domain redirection can take time. But my experience (i.e. own access) is that it shouldn’t take more than an hour. Then it should propagate everywhere as mentioned, and that’s probably what can take time. But difficult to measure yourself. But if you target a local audience geographically, it should be less of a problem.
I suppose you should keep an eye on the config/DNS records, how they should be set up, if you prepare in advance.
There should be some thinking about fall-back name servers after this, right?
Yes, it’s probably the first time it’s really crunch time when you realize you should have thought about that beforehand. 😄
”Russia is increasingly testing NATO with coordinated provocations that stop just short of triggering Article 5, hoping to pressure the alliance into a rash response that Moscow can use to justify escalation..”
Top NATO General: Russia Wants a Panic Reaction—and the West Can’t Afford to Give It — UNITED24 Media
So they will keep going as long as possible, staying in the borderland but constantly moving a little forward. They are getting closer to Article 5 all the time, and when that happens, they keep an eye on the US reaction. Russia only respects strength, and respects the US military power. They count on Europe being so divided that we cannot respond with sufficient strength, they also have Orban and Fico in their pack, so there will be no unanimous decisions on troops to help e.g. the Baltics.
At the same time, I imagine the matador as the bull Ferdinand, who tears his hair out. However, the fact that NATO does not invoke Article 5 does not mean that we cannot also strike blows at the adversary that avoid crossing their “red lines,” even though these are often pathetically drawn and can often be crossed without giving Putin the confidence to escalate/mobilize.
An expression of the time
In 1938, the expression have rye in the back was launched by the company Wasabröd and was used in the 1940s in advertising campaigns for crispbread, where several famous athletes contributed to conveying the message. Since then, it has remained as an established expression in everyday language.
In 1938, Europe found itself in the same situation as today. What did we learn about escalation?
Red lines are rarely set in stone, neither for us nor the Russians, we do not want a conflict that can escalate into something we cannot control. The Russians want control over their neighborhood, but are hesitant about a conflict with NATO.
What puts us at a disadvantage (initially) in conflicts like these is that the Russians are testing the waters, they do not care about any agreements, deny everything, and always lie. We, on the other hand, value honesty and following international rules, as we follow a rule-based order that is the foundation of the society we have, with trust in each other and our institutions.
Although it might be tempting, we cannot blow up Russian railways, burn their power stations, or sponsor terrorism in Russia, as long as we are not at war with them. Who will define when we are at war with them, is it when Article 5 is invoked by some country? As far as I understand, it is up to the member countries to decide how they assist the country in need, so for example, if Poland is attacked, maybe Hungary sends 2 million handkerchiefs, and Slovakia 50,000 aluminum water bottles.
Yes, have we learned anything since 1938 about escalation. Actually, we should have, but at the same time, those who were involved in that war are becoming quite few, so even if we know the history, it is not a firsthand experience for those in charge, it is too abstract. Their experiences are from the post-war period, the eternal peace, and they try to maintain the status quo for as long as possible, they do not want to be the politician who goes to war, and they hope they are not the politician who sleepwalks into a war.
Well formulated and unfortunately close to the truth about European politicians. I’m not familiar with Article 5 and different levels, but it certainly corresponds to the USA’s invocation of Article 5 after 9/11. And then George Bush added with ‘those who are not with U.S. are against us’. Perhaps something that Zelensky should clarify as well. In that case, one could also worry that Russia will exploit this if it is true about the different levels. For example, promise not to send drones to the country if one refrains from supporting the country that has been attacked and invoked Article 5.
”Ukrainian drone units stopped a Russian attempt to advance toward Pokrovsk after several armored vehicles became stuck on a river crossing—turning the stalled convoy into an easy target for FPV operators and heavy bomb‑dropping drones, the 91st Separate Anti‑Tank Battalion and the 1st Air Force Combined Rifles Brigade reported on November 17.”
Fog Clears, Drones Strike: Ukraine Shreds Russian Armored Push on River Crossing Near Pokrovsk, Video — UNITED24 Media
”Ukrainian drones struck the Kirovske airbase in Russian-occupied Crimea on November 13, damaging infrastructure used to operate Russian Orion unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).”
Satellite Images Reveal Ukrainian Drone Strike on Russia’s Secretive Orion UAV Base — UNITED24 Media
Today, DI criticizes Henrik Westman for Magdalena Andersson’s proposal that the Swedish defense industry should have more state ownership. He then mentions several successful private defense companies such as Saab Hägglunds and Bofors. However, he forgot about Karlskronavarvet. It was owned by a state company but was first sold to American owners who in turn sold the shipyard to Thyssen Krupp. When Saab took over, the shipyard was in very poor condition. Several problems with the new submarine series are due to the lack of interest in the shipyard by the previous owners. (Lack of welders was another issue). Not everything private may be good. A combination would be preferable.
I agree with you there, there are pros and cons to both. State-run operations do not necessarily need to be run with greater profit than the benefit they provide, and can even be allowed to cost money if it is seen that there is a benefit in being prepared for the future.
Take for example ammunition production, one could have expedited scaling up by immediately making a decision to expand operations because there is a need to quickly produce ammunition.
A private company must receive very large orders over several years (a process that takes time in itself as it first needs to be procured according to all the rules of the art) and it is still not certain that they consider the cost of expansion justified in relation to the profit.
Sure, the state can choose to place a huge order with the private company that is so favorable that they choose to invest, but if it turns out later that the need is not at the level expected, they are still bound by the contract.
If the state owned the production and built it out themselves, they could instead put parts of the operation on hold if it turns out they have overreached. If the need arises again later, it is faster to scale up.
Admittedly, there is a recurring cost (even factories on hold need maintenance) but there is a completely different ability to control it the way one wants.
It’s like our civil defense bunkers (which unfortunately have become fewer). They cost money to maintain, no private entity would choose to have that type of stockpile just in case. However, considering the benefit they can provide when the crisis is here, one can bear the costs.
Everything has become so short-sighted and “just-in-time” and everything should preferably break even within a year. Then people seem to delude themselves that they can scale up when needed. Perfectly fine when it comes to civilian operations, having people wait six months to a year before receiving their new car doesn’t matter much, but when it comes to our defense (and much else) you can’t have that attitude.
The pandemic was a good example of how poorly prepared our healthcare system was. It was damn lucky that the virus wasn’t significantly more deadly and serious than it was, and still many people died or became seriously ill.
So it can be concluded that the state, county councils, and municipalities are also not an insurance for having a more long-term perspective, but it could at least be done differently if one values things like human life, health, effective defense, etc. higher than generating profits.
The situation in the Pokrovsk agglomeration as of 11:00 a.m. on November 18
In Pokrovsk, the number of firefights is increasing and enemy losses from direct fire are growing. In total, since the beginning of the month, the Defense Forces have eliminated 314 Russians in Pokrovsk, with another 71 wounded.
The appearance of Russians north of Pokrovsk has been recorded. Several enemy infantrymen attempted to infiltrate and secure one of the agricultural facilities. The enemy was destroyed.
The enemy wants to reach the settlement of Hryshyne, northwest of Pokrovsk, in the short term. Unable to break through the Pokrovsk defenses and use the city as a springboard for this plan, the Russians are trying to bypass the city.
At the same time, the enemy continues its unsuccessful attempts to break through the defenses of Myrnohrad.
Recently, Ukrainian troops destroyed a group of Russian GRU agents in Myrnohrad. Such enemy units follow in the second echelon after sabotage groups and control the execution of the first echelon’s tasks.
We are recording an increase in the number of attempts by the Russians to infiltrate Mirnograd from the direction of Krasny Liman. Our military is destroying the enemy on the approaches to the city.
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/16eeTwY8AS/?mibextid=wwXIfr
In #Pokrovsk sector, number of small-arms battles is increasing, Russians try to bypass city – Air Assault Forces
According to Ukrinform, the 7th Rapid Response Corps of the Air Assault Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported on Facebook about the situation in the Pokrovsk sector as of 11:00 on November 18.
In total, since the beginning of the month, Ukraine’s Defense Forces have eliminated 314 Russians in Pokrovsk, with another 71 wounded. Russian presence has been detected north of Pokrovsk. Several enemy infantry soldiers attempted to infiltrate and fortify themselves at an agricultural facility. The enemy was destroyed.
In the short term, Russian forces intend to reach the settlement of Hryshyne, northwest of Pokrovsk. Unable to break through Pokrovsk’s defenses and use the city as a staging area for this plan, the Russians are trying to bypass the city.
At the same time, the invaders continue unsuccessful attempts to constrain the defenses of Myrnohrad. Recently in Myrnohrad, Ukrainian forces destroyed a group from the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Russian General Staff. Such enemy units operate in the second echelon after sabotage groups and monitor the execution of tasks by the first echelon.
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4059981-in-pokrovsk-sector-number-of-smallarms-battles-is-increasing-russians-try-to-bypass-city-air-assault-forces.html
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The Free West has a responsibility towards other civilizations outside our own solar system. If we let the Russians (or the Chinese) “emigrate,” they will establish a highly unpleasant presence for surrounding civilizations, which, as we can see here, may also pose an existential threat to these civilizations.
Maybe we can call for help from some external civilization that can help us deal with the Russians?
Of course, it wouldn’t surprise me, if help arrives, if it turns out they are from “Galacticus Ukranium”.
Also thought about help “from the outside”.
Was a bit inspired to the post after this video about Ukraine’s anti-Shadowed drones:
A bit of Star-Wars vibes, right?
https://x.com/coxoxoffoxoffic/status/1990805653745483909?s=46
Yes, I haven’t thought about that, but that’s absolutely it!
Does Europe even want Ukraine to win?
Trump clearly does not. He still refuses to sell missiles to Ukraine, hurting Ukraine, the West, and even the US defense industry.
Waiting for him is a losing strategy. Europe must act now!
Ukraine’s strike campaign works. It hits Russian refineries, cripples infrastructure, and drains air defense interceptors.
But Ukraine lacks enough drones and missiles to scale this up and put Russia on its knees
Ukraine is building its own systems and scaling production, but that takes time.
Even small US sales of Tomahawks, Barracudas, ATACMS, or JASSMs would help. Trump blocks that, so Europe must fill the gap
Step one: fund Ukraine’s drone and missile programs.
Seizing frozen Russian assets is the fastest way. Direct financial aid matters too.
Ukraine needs to produce more drones and missiles every day
Step two: supply European systems.
Storm Shadow production is restarting. European startups are building strike drones and cruise missiles. LPP’s MTS Narwhal is one example.
Place large long-term orders. This war will not end soon
Step three: buy from partners.
Countries like Turkey would likely sell cruise missiles for Ukraine if we paid.
Any option that accelerates strikes is worth pursuing
Every extra drone and missile shortens the war and saves lives.
Doing more now means lower human and financial costs later.
Europe has the means. It needs the will
By Joni Askola
Copied from X
https://x.com/joni_askola/status/1990791313810468903?t=AgPAVm7r7E7zUI0S5dXe5w&s=19
Agree 100% and then some!!!
“According to Russian monitoring channels, many Ukrainian UAVs are heading for occupied Crimea.”
Following Ukrainian strikes on the Zuivska and Starobeshivska TPPs, around half a million people, 65% of the population in Russian-occupied “DNR”, have been left without electricity. Emergency measures are in place, with heating, water, and key services disrupted across the region.
“On the Novopavlivka axis, operators from Ukraine’s 42nd Mechanized Brigade (Perun unit) struck back after a November 14 assault. They destroyed 6 hideouts, 3 vans (“bukhankas”), and eliminated 4 Russian soldiers during the mop-up operation.”
Needed to panic-combine a flight and the IT problems were everywhere.
Anyway, at the airport
Good morning!
850 KWIA
1 Tank
1 AFV
12 Artillery systems
1 MLRS
293 UAVs
56 Vehicles & Fuel tanks
1 Special equipment
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3m5xixzozfs2t
Slava Ukraini