Now a whole post went up in smoke again – a tragedy for Sweden but you don’t need to fly the flag at half-mast as I took a morning and rewrote it again.
Do you know what is growing stronger in me – the world is turning upside down and in good times of prosperity and peace, our most important issues can be child benefits and shorter working hours.
Now in times of unrest, we need to discuss how to hit the Russians hardest and take down China, preferably economically, but if that doesn’t work, there will be war – a very big war in Asia that the USA will fight with Europe’s support.
In the wading pool of Sweden, it seems that we still believe it’s good times and in the rest of Europe too, except for the shell protection against Russia – they have understood where we are heading and have been warning for a long time.
But that doesn’t mean they are doing anything about it – Poland is poorly prepared and the Baltics are not really prepared at all. Their Maginot Line against Russia is a 50km drainage ditch, as we saw in photo evidence a month ago when they wanted to boast about the digging.
Before the Winter War in 1939, Finland sent out its conscript army into the forests and they had to clear shooting fields, fell trees, and move boulders until they had a somewhat decent defense line with wooden bunkers with earthen roofs. The Baltic states could have had a similar line in their eastern forests long ago, but they have been busy arguing about the thickness of bunker walls for three years and dug a ditch you can jump over.
We are currently in the most important months of the war – someone usually writes that so you already knew.
Ukraine is quite cheeky, the USA has turned, and Europe is not prepared – so it’s both bitter, sweet, and salty all at once here if you feel that the posts swing between cascading tears and Christmas joy.
Next week, I think you will have the privilege of reading three whole posts about U137 with some connection to the pro-Russian psyops that have been going on around it. I know the expectations are so high that you will have a hard time aimlessly browsing Netflix this weekend, but try to hold on 👍
It actually takes quite a while to put them together, I thought in my naivety that I could pull them out of memory but it didn’t work.
When the West has tried a bit of “force posture” against Russia, it has gone badly – Poland’s mechanized long winding snakes were just big FPV targets and no country can shoot down drones.
“All shall be shot down” turned into “we shoot down those who are a threat” while Europe borrows anti-drone capabilities from each other.
What Russia and Ukraine have learned, and what one can suspect that China has also taken to heart as they prepare for war, is the 3D war – 360 degrees threat to you and you are never safe.
Constant movement and hidden – our reconnaissance and hunters are prepared but the rest of the defense forces not so much.
Our major technological platforms are mostly big targets, but at the same time, one must be able to hit the target oneself and for that, you need them too.
A digital battlefield and a “kill-chain” in a few minutes is what is required, as well as competent unit leaders and officers at all levels – a weak link kills the whole chain.
Archer and Arthur have proven to be the big winners of the last war – Ukraine worships that platform and they also seem robust and have lasted much longer than the Germans’ flagship self-propelled howitzers.
Combat Vehicle 90 is what the Russians are terrified of, and our Strv 122 are among the best in the war.
Yes, partly because we sent the best we have, but it is top-class equipment.
The drone weapon is a new component that one needs both for oneself and to have a defense against – we lack both in Europe.
Now it seems SAAB has come up with something exciting in anti-drone weapons though – Loke, and what is so beautiful about the system is that we immediately took lessons from Ukraine.
Cheap, many, and simple – you no longer need an expensive splinter-protected platform.
Loke is a small package mounted on soft vehicles but technologically advanced for hitting drones big and small.
When the Swedish industrial miracle is at its best.
Poland has invested all its money in tanks and MLRS, Italy is building a bridge, and Spain is considering a new aircraft carrier. Krauss Maffei has the next generation of air defense artillery that looks like a polished Ferrari.
Sweden is an interesting country and together with Finland and Denmark, we are small Nordic tough guys.
US SOF says they are not ready.
And here is an American anti-drone weapon that is just a big target.
Israel is working on its laser weapons, which of course is the next step, but they are lagging behind China because they are also big targets as we have seen from them.
China seems to have smaller packages on soft vehicles and they showed many of them in their parade.
If you have a whole container of technology and two lasers on top, it will be hit, and then 1/5 of your very expensive systems are shot down.
If you have two hundred on pickups, you can lose a hundred.
Russia has also understood this now with their Geran launch ramps – they are pickups.
Yes, everything is needed, tanks, armored vehicles, infantry, hunters, reconnaissance, air force, navy, but it must be adjusted for warfare in 2025.
For example, everyone now thinks that SUBMARINE is better than surface ships in our missile environment, and that is of course true, but when the small autonomous UV drones with shaped charges whiz around in the Baltic Sea and target anything that gives off a magnetic signal, then they will also be vulnerable.
Already in 2022, we were speculating about this – I did say in the beginning that the drone weapon didn’t become the new black, but it never becomes a weapon that takes over everything, just a part of the arsenal. All old capabilities are still relevant.
But the most important thing is that soldiers and officers learn to use the whole toolbox and you can no longer just dig yourself into a hole and sit in it.
Now this is old news because already in the early 2000s, there was talk of the Iskander rain, which was a development of the “Scud rain” during the Iraq War, and now we have “Geran clouds” and robot rain instead.
The strategic missile war has not changed dramatically over the past 30 years except that there are more and cheaper platforms to deliver the warhead deep inside.
Information gathering has also not changed much – we have had good satellites for a long time.
But now every little rogue state can have a strategic long-range weapon and information gathering at a very low cost, so everyone is equally dangerous.
In 1940, Holland surrendered after Germany bombed Rotterdam – in 2025, half of Europe would probably consider it after 3000 Geran/month for a few months that they couldn’t shoot down, and after FPV drones and groups with manpads have taken out our air forces.
ISW warns of green men in Poland anyway.
The USA has now turned around at the last minute, they are not much better prepared than us, and they have China to deal with, so a qualified guess is that they realized they need Europe and in order to get us on board against China, they needed to give us a little more rope in the Ukraine war.
Because now the USA has announced that Ukraine will receive missiles and target designations from the USA – in words, it’s quite harsh.
And then the USA has tried to rally the EU for tougher actions against China.
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-china-donald-trump-russia-politics-ukraine-nato-tariffs
And the G7 seems to want to take on China if you read what’s written.
https://kyivindependent.com/g7-vows-pressure-on-russian-oil
After 3 years with Biden and 9 months with Trump, there was reason to speculate whether the USA was dreaming back to a cold war with Europe under Russia’s boot, where they sold security to us at five times the price.
Or a “smash-and-grab” of Europe like in 2008.
But somewhere along the line, if those plans existed, they have been shelved, and everything has unfolded in sequence –
-Trump’s trade war is almost crashing the USA.
-China joins Russia on May 9, 2025.
-Ukraine retreats.
-China has built up Russia’s arms industry and is showing it openly.
-China is being somewhat rude to the EU when we go there on a reconciliation trip.
-China has a meeting in Shanghai with almost 30 countries participating, openly discussing a “swift-killer” and declaring that the dollar’s life is now over.
-Ukraine initiates full asymmetric warfare and suddenly becomes ten shades of tough.
-The USA announces that China intends to attack Taiwan in a few years and positions forces towards Venezuela.
-The USA first supports Ukraine in reclaiming its land, then they will receive missiles, and finally target designations.
-The USA is trying to rally the EU against China.
-The G7 is set to punish all those who buy Russian oil with harsh sanctions, and everyone knows that China buys a lot.
This is where we are now, but a lot has happened in 2025, more than during an entire war actually.
Now Europe just needs to come to terms with the fact that we are at war with Russia and that China needs to learn a lesson so we can keep pace with the USA.
After that, there is a looming risk that the USA and Europe will go overboard completely, but we are not there yet 😀
Someone with tears in their eyes shouts, “China doesn’t deserve this.”
China has three underwater cables between Sweden and Finland that they are eavesdropping on.
And Norway has arrested 8 Chinese for drone overflights.
It is now close that we can start looking ahead, the war will be decided in the year 2025, as you know if you have read the posts, and you also know that Ukraine has offensive reserves. This does not mean that the final shot has been fired, but that the war has been decided and we can begin the journey towards the collapse of the Russian puppet, and ultimately the plundering of China by financial vultures.
Russia also has offensive reserves, and everything is relative, but when the USA changes course, it usually makes a difference in the willingness to die for the two warring parties – they have a unique ability to project strength and motivation for those who choose them, and all the negativity for the opponent.
Two Flamingos are produced per day now in Ukraine – they have been used in combat and can come with bunker-penetrating warheads. That’s 365X2 targets that will receive 1000kg of explosives over them in a year.
Ukraine not only has Flamingo, but also has Neptune for land targets, as well as all the hybrids between drones and missiles, and direct drones.
They have reported figures such as 2500 long-range, 10,000 long-distance drones, and several million FPV drones in annual production figures. Probably the first and second categories are currently underestimated.
Ukraine can almost be sure that they will soon be full members of the EU, and Zelensky has promised to resign when there is peace. They really have something to fight for, and the entire West stands behind them, no more backstabbing.
I have also figured out why Trump was so friendly towards Lukashenko – we are trying to win over Belarus to our side. Lukashenko is not supposed to run for re-election, so the stage is set for them to come to us if there is unrest.
Here David D has found some new liberation movement.
When Azerbaijan chose Ukraine, we wrote that something big was on the way because it is a small country of 10 million.
We also know that Ukraine has good contact with at least 6 liberation fronts, all the oblasts around them, and the autonomous republics that want freedom.
A safe bet is that Ukraine is now setting up the pieces to bring down the country of Russia – it’s on its way.
Europe, and especially the USA, have previously refused this, but in August 2025, that changed, and it is clear that the USA has not only loosened the leash but completely removed it.
Something we said back in 2022 was that the intensity of this war was/is going to be so high that Western arms factories will be red-hot.
Now it took Europe three years, which was more than sluggish, but when the countries are armed to the teeth and have also had a high-intensity war, it usually leads to a very long peace.
There is another side to this coin, and that is that when countries arm themselves to this extent, they usually choose war because they have not yet understood how painful it is, often after longer periods of peace.
But for Europe, this will probably be our intense phase, and then when Belarus also joins us, we will have a manageable eastern border from northern Finland to the southeast corner of Ukraine, which we will mine again, and not let a single Russian cross over 😡
Yes, the USA and China might choose war, and then they will have to fight it out in Asia, China cannot invade the USA, and the USA cannot invade China, so after 3-4 years, they will get tired.
Europe will be persuaded with the usual Trump threats to send our fleets and aircraft to Asia, but it won’t be noticeable for us other than watching it on TV and having to read Johan No.1 for another five years.
Two important things will happen for us –
-some country or countries must get the “black Peter” in the upcoming economic downturn, and a safe bet is Russia. Then maybe China too.
Eventually, they won’t be able to handle the pressure, and everything will collapse to the delight of Western finance, as this century’s great smash-and-grab heist can begin.
Russia and even China have earned it, even if our finance has no noble intentions at all, but that is probably a somewhat unstoppable natural law.
-after a global conflict, there will be a very long period of prosperity, the countries that have not been destroyed and have industry will come out on top.
Translate that to Africa, and the European industry sniffing the morning air is my tip.
It will be a straight road with long growth and a downturn every 10-15 years that is manageable, so having an Avanza account will just be about jumping on those with the most growth, and there is no risk of downside.
Ukraine has fought a whole world war for us and as a thank you they are allowed to enter the EU and we give them some freedom with neighboring Russian oblasts.
Everyone is happy except Russia, which now has ten fewer countries as threats, and China, which could almost smell world domination but had greatly underestimated the determination of the USA.
The only reason our victory has not brought us consequences is because Ukraine has absorbed all the consequences.
It’s not fair, it’s not just, and it was a huge risk to bet everything on Ukraine being able to hold out – but since Ukraine held out, we made it through.
Then China stops Ericsson and Nokia from doing free business in China – game on, poodles, no one messes with a Nokia phone and survives.
https://www.ft.com/content/7d08731c-189e-4835-8cfa-048fe68611bd
On Substack – there is still a chance to become subscribers and it would be valuable to me if you want to become paying ones. All content is posted freely to everyone but it still takes a lot of time to put together, costs 80 SEK per month, and then you skip a meal at McDonald’s so it’s also healthy – Johan No.1 will make you healthier too 👍
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Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-10-03:
SLAVA UKRAINI
AFU reports:
I think I missed this one yesterday:
“💥Russian “Uralchem Azot” plant in Berezniki, Perm Krai, was hit — around 1,600km from the frontline, one of the longest-range strikes so far. It’s among Russia’s biggest fertilizer producers, making ammonia, urea and ammonium nitrate.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3m2afsqhjrc25
Good goal 👍
“🔥Night Chronicles. Attack 🇺🇦🛵 UAV. Krasnodar Krai was the epicenter of attacks throughout the night. 💥Novorossiysk. From 00:15 to 04:30 it was under UAV attack from the air and our drones attacked the port. About ten explosions were heard, no”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m2b6k6uvps2g
👍 Also Ukrainian territory once.
Return to its rightful owner.
Off-Topic, USA
This should have been in Russia, not in California.
“🚨 Explosion at the Chevron Oil Refinery in El Segundo, located between the Los Angeles airport and Manhattan Beach in California.” – Film:
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3m2bd5xele22o
What a fireball 😶
👍General Johan disperses the fog that has settled. An entire section that would fit into SoldF regarding today’s and not yesterday’s war.
Haha, yes I actually managed to become a general in the reserve before I changed careers 👍
Compared to yesterday, no changes in the level of combat activities in the sections along the front according to AFU’s latest daily report.
Continued pressure in Donetsk, sub-surface level in the south but it flares up now and then, and in the north, activity is mainly seen around Kharkiv. Lyman, on the other hand, has decreased from a steady 20-30 skirmishes and above to under 20 several times and below 10 on some occasions recently.
Combat activities in Kupyansk-Lyman-Sibiersk since July 1, 2025:
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 5
S Slobozhansky 9💥
Kupyansk 3
Lyman 13💥
Siverskyi 8
Kramatorsk 2
Toretsk 17💥
Pokrovsk 48💥💥💥💥
Novopavlivka 28💥💥
Huliaypillia 5
Orikhivsk 3
Dnipro/Prydniprovsky 4
👍
Danke 205
Putin really intends to cut off the EU/West branch that he can never sit on again! Johan, this clearly proves your point that he must attack the EU in order to have any kind of future at all, right?
As #fckptn now prepares to confiscate Western investments in Russia, it is more than just an economic measure, it is an ideological choice. He is showing his hand! An expression of arrogance, shortsightedness, and a destructive strategy that ultimately risks undermining the country he claims to want to strengthen.
Burning bridges with the West proves once again that he WANTS to wage war!
In modern history, few economies have succeeded in developing in isolation. Western investments have provided the country with capital, technology, and access to global markets for decades. By confiscating these assets, #fckptn is sending a signal: Russia no longer intends to play by international rules. For every Western company that now leaves the country, the costs for the future increase. Trust, already low, is gone for generations to come.
Dependency on China
Putin’s only remaining hope is that China will “feed the country.” But the relationship is deeply asymmetrical. China dictates the terms and Russia effectively becomes a raw material appendage to a superpower that is working to reduce its dependence on imported energy. Trading the West for a one-sided dependency on China is not a strategy, it is capitulation. The talks with Xi are not characterized by security and absolute guarantees…
Fossil shackles with a big weight pulling him down into the mud!
Russia’s only economic engine is oil and gas. These resources can generate short-term revenue, but it is a model that is already outdated. The world is moving, albeit slowly, towards renewable energy and guaranteed climate adaptation. Tying the country’s future to fossil fuel exports is a conscious choice of stagnation and environmental destruction.
The arrogant path towards self-destruction
#fckptn’s actions reveal a deep arrogance with the belief that he can force the world to play by his rules. But in practice, he is cutting off the branch he is sitting on. Isn’t that right?
He is driving away capital and technology.
He is becoming dependent on a partner who will never treat him as an equal.
He is tying the country’s economy to an energy model that the world is moving away from.
This is not long-term statesmanship. It is short-term self-destruction, masked as strength.
We are lucky that the Russians are so stupid!
Good points about both China and Russia!
China is really trying to become self-sufficient in energy.
Today, 80-85% of all oil is used for transportation and energy, and 15-20% is for petrochemicals, plastics, chemicals, asphalt, and lubricants, etc.
(When it comes to transportation and energy, transport accounts for 55-60% and electricity and heat production account for the rest.)
China is heavily investing in solar and wind power (and to some extent nuclear power) as well as battery technology (for electric cars).
This is of course to become self-sufficient, through electric cars they can eventually also eliminate the need for oil when it comes to transportation, and they are now the world’s largest producers of electric cars (and besides eventually replacing the car fleet with electric cars, they can of course also export).
For now, coal dominates for electricity and heat (but they have at least said that they will phase it out in the long run) and this is of course because they have enormous coal resources themselves. They are the world’s largest coal producer but despite that, they are also the world’s largest coal importer (about 10% of their needs come from imports).
They naturally want to avoid being dependent on coal imports as well, at least to the extent that they do not need to import.
China is actually smart and does the opposite of what we do in the West. We try to buy everything that is “easy” and cheap from others instead of doing what we can to become self-sufficient.
Then that in this case goes hand in hand with green technology is probably mostly a coincidence, but it is still good globally.
When China is done, they will produce all electricity themselves, and they will also not need oil products for their transportation (where the greatest need exists today).
But back to Russia.
This means that China will gradually reduce its dependence on oil and it will hit Russia hard.
India has also started its journey towards green energy (and a small share of nuclear power. About 45% of their electricity comes from non-fossil sources. They will also eventually reduce imports even though it will take many years.
Russia is now destroying its opportunities to develop beyond its natural resources as no one will want to invest anymore. Oil will still be needed for a long time, but eventually, only minerals and agricultural products will remain. Russia is to some extent already a developing country considering the poor regions, not impossible that they will completely go from I to U.
China believes they can take on us.
Russia was given an olive branch in the 90s and this is what happened.
The only answer can be that China and Russia would prefer to see us burn?
Either they back off economically or it will be a global war.
Yes, but that means we will have a war we do not want, but at the same time have understood is unavoidable and in my case have always been prepared for.
Brilliant reasoning in the text Johan. Also an interesting comment.
If Russia collapses, that is the question. If Russia loses the battle for Ukraine, will Putin then fall due to domestic pressure? I note that domestically Putin has tried to keep the war under the surface: no general mobilization, recruitment of mercenaries from poor Russian regions and countries in the third world like North Korea, Cuba, and several African countries. It has cost money, but domestically Russia does not have the skin-in-the-game perception that one might perceive when looking at the casualty figures and what the war has meant in economic terms. It is also now widely accepted, including here on the blog, that Russia possesses a lot of reserve capacity and does not send newly manufactured equipment to the front in the war against/invasion of Ukraine.
Russian doctrine has been attack is the best defense. This is based on historical experiences that Russia’s vast geographical landscape is difficult to defend and has been the subject of several long-range invasion campaigns. Therefore, for defense purposes, alliances (China) have been seen as a priority, strong political influence (Belarus, pre-Maidan Ukraine, Georgia) as a secondary option, and invasion/occupation (South Ossetia, Chechnya, Transnistria, Ukraine) of surrounding countries as a buffer zone against perceived enemies. Which also implies an imperialistic ambition. One does not necessarily exclude the other.
So if Russia loses Ukraine, will Putin fall and Russia collapse? According to their own doctrine, they have acted defensively through a buffer zone. Is a lost buffer zone a catastrophe? It’s a bit like not having an extra insurance on top of the regular insurance. Putin has barely driven Ukraine domestically.
Putin: “Ukraine? We carried out a successful special operation. It took some time due to poor intelligence, but those elements are now cleared from the SVR. Our troops are now withdrawn (read eliminated because Putin did not want to bring back PTSD soldiers who were originally recruited from prisons). We are in talks with Ukraine about tourist visas to Crimea.”
Then Russia has built up capability. What will be the next step if Russia loses Ukraine? Will Russia collapse? Or are we still waiting for the next step in Putin’s imperialist plan? Cunning as Russian defense.
Perhaps the best is what is happening now. And as Johan has mentioned above: That Ukraine, in connection with its defense, legitimately targets and combats objectives inside Russia while HOW establishes collaborations with opponents of the Kremlin both within Russia and in regions within the Russian Federation.
Would you rather have a prolonged war than a quick victory over Russia in Ukraine? Which is not a small matter at all, and a quick victory may require everything the West has to offer. The risk then is that Russia continues to build up its capabilities outside Ukraine and can strike back against one of the efforts to quickly regain a weakened/exhausted Ukraine.
It’s hard to know what’s best and it depends on for whom it should be best.
I believe the most important thing is for Russia to be defeated so it truly becomes a real loss for them. If they get to keep territories, etc., it’s a win and they will continue.
Whether it’s because Ukraine can kick them out, or because Russia eventually collapses economically and is forced to give up, or internal collapse because people have finally had enough, or something else.
I also think for Ukraine’s part that the victory cannot come soon enough. The best would have been if everyone had stood up immediately, given Russia such a beating that they realized the whole war was a bad idea and that they must be prepared to fight against the whole of Europe.
It would have saved lives and probably led to Putin’s resignation. Then maybe they would have tried again eventually depending on who took over, but they would have probably thought twice if they really got a proper beating.
I believe this would also be the best tactic now after over 3.5 years.
Sure, dragging it out until Russia is completely exhausted and can’t take anymore could lead to a total collapse where Russia is divided up, etc., and of course, it would be safer in the long run, but is it worth it?
Ukraine is being torn apart by Shaheds every night and civilians and soldiers die every day. The cost of rebuilding is constantly rising, while we are also arming ourselves.
Meanwhile, Russia is developing its capabilities despite a faltering economy, and China will probably support them as long as the price isn’t too high. If Russia loses and China doesn’t help them, China will also appear as a questionable and weak friend.
So, it could take many years before the war is over if we continue like this. The question then is how much of Ukraine will be left. Those of us who are relatively safe may think that Ukraine is a price we can pay, but I doubt that Ukrainians see it the same way.
There is also a risk that more and more Ukrainians will eventually become weary of war. What happens if it ends with them giving up?
I believe in “ripping off the band-aid” as quickly as possible, but it ideally should have been done already in the fall of 2022.
We are heading towards a collapse!!!
Well, then maybe we shouldn’t expect a collapse either, even though it cannot be ruled out. In any case, there should be ways for Ukraine not to take the full blow at the same time as the rest of the West retains the ability to face a potential non-collapsing Russia.
Good text 205 and MXT
“15 drones were spotted over Belgium’s Elsenborn military base near the German border early Friday, VRT News reports. They were picked up during a test of anti-drone systems. Some reportedly crossed into Germany.”
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3m2brarjzs22e
Commented below, this is EYE-CATCHING
💥🔥👍✊
Johan No.1, time to update your table!
“🔥 Orsknefteorgsintez, Orenburg region, has just been attacked. 1,400 km from the State Border. The designed oil refining capacity is about 6.6 million tons per year. The enterprise produces gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, bitumen and lubricants.”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3m2bqpajjd22t
Thank you – I have a hard time keeping up and usually check here when you have updated about the raffles 👍👍
“💥 Destruction of Russian howitzer, two D-20, self-propelled gun and mortar by 5th Assault Brigade.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m2bpfchb2c2e
Johan No.1, checked yesterday’s thread, what did you mean by:
“Who let you into SE3 was the first question, thought we still had some control?”
Do you doubt that I belong to SE3? Then I wonder more if you have control.. 😄
Here is a good and clear map of the neighboring areas if you are unsure where the boundaries are:
https://xn--ntomrden-0zao.se/
(Admittedly, I sometimes start my sentences with “Well” but that doesn’t mean I live furthest north. 😉 )
Haha, no, it was mostly that I thought we were more alert in SE3 and screened out some of those who were allowed to come in 😀
But you are absolutely right – if you are suitable for SE3, I have no objections.
Provided that you haven’t pulled an electrical cable from north of SE3 and illegally connected yourself, have you done that 🧐
Silent, I have pulled cable from SE4 but I can’t tell you about that.
Time to review the rules.
It might not end here, but it seems to mean that one does not have the right to intervene against a ship that destroys one’s property if it is located in international waters. And if they have flagged the ship in the “right” place, they will surely get away with it.
Wondering what applies if, for example, they start sending drones, or in other ways attack other ships? Do you even have the right to defend yourself or try to stop it?
Or maybe it’s more complicated than one thinks. Stopping a ship may be OK, but maybe not forcing it into port and keeping it there.
“Lawyer Herman Ljungberg, who represents the three sailors in the cable break case in the Baltic Sea, is relieved after the Helsinki District Court considers itself lacking jurisdiction to rule on the case. To Swedish Yle, Ljungberg says that the damage occurred in international waters, “end of story,” and that Finland has never had jurisdiction to investigate the case with the ship Eagle S.
– It is only the flag state, in this case the Cook Islands, that has jurisdiction.
He describes the boarding as an “illegal hijacking” in international waters. The shipping company is now expected to come back with very high compensation claims, especially since the lead-free gasoline on board the ship was damaged by the several months of delay.
– It could be damages in the tens of millions of euros, he says.”
https://omni.se/finland-riskerar-jattebot-pa-hundratals-miljoner-kronor/a/dR6xyB
They would have torpedoed the damn boat 😡
“En tidigare opublicerad video har dykt upp som visar den 24 september drönarattacken mot oljeterminalen i Tuapse. Filmen spelades in av en utländsk besättnings medlem ombord på fartyget som låg förtöjt i hamnen vid den tiden.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m2bpfchb2c2e
“🔥 In Kursk region, KALADRIUS border guards are destroying shelters in which the enemy hides its equipment and personnel. ❗️They hit an armored personnel carrier, burned a car with ammunition and a motorcycle, as well as the shelter of enemy operators.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3m2bvbp7p5k2v
Annoying verdict in Finland!!!!
In the case of the cable sabotage in the Baltic Sea, the Helsinki District Court has said: “we lack authority”.
Formally correct, perhaps. But morally? Cowardly.
I can’t help but think of Aulis Aarnio, my late father-in-law, one of the world’s foremost legal philosophers! He had courage. When the law was not enough, he never said: “we can’t”. He knew that justice sometimes requires taking the first step, judging, making a stand, and letting higher authorities resolve the legal issues afterwards.
Just leaning on formalities “we lack authority”, he would have called that cowardly. Because justice is more than paragraphs. It is a protection. And that protection only lives if we dare to use it.
Aulis would have said: when the law falters, courage must take over.
He taught me that courage is needed more often!
You are right.
Low-impact approach, literal interpretation of laws, and giving endless second chances are not a higher moral standing but cowardice when we reach a certain point. This applies in several contexts.
In the case of Ukraine, we are still sitting on our high horses and do not want to confront Russia, while Ukraine is suffering immensely.
The USA is a bit more pragmatic – but also uses considerably more shady tactics.
The ideal would be to be able to balance good morals and integrity’s slack line and act decisively when needed.
I think I have clearly shown that I cannot do that when I want to start the third world war with China.
Just look at the school and bullies – if you are strong enough, have a brother a few grades above, or a sharp tongue, the bullies won’t bother you.
Those who are bullied rarely receive the school’s unconditional support, and often classmates look away.
Finland has actually succeeded in this, although I feel it’s time for a Greater Finland again 😡💥✊
Are you thinking about the Finnish East Coast in the calm sea?
Yes, something like that – sandy beaches without mosquitoes?
Then the case must be forwarded to the maritime court in the Cook Islands. There are certainly competent judges there who are experienced in handling problems like this. 🤣. The Cook Islands are probably not even a rule of law. The maritime unions fought for years to prevent the flagging out of the merchant fleet. We now see an example of a flag of convenience. The shadow fleet is another one. I think Finland did the right thing to see it through. The last word has not been said. It is now up to the prosecutor to appeal to the Supreme Court. It can at least set a precedent. I am not surprised by the verdict.
Do you think you spelled it wrong, it’s called low-efficiency approach.
Ukraine cuts all ties with Nicaragua
Ukraine is cutting all diplomatic ties with Nicaragua, the country’s Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha announced on X. The decision to sever all ties with the Central American country comes after Nicaragua in Managua recognized Crimea and other occupied regions as part of Russia.
“Nicaragua has become an accomplice in Russia’s illegal aggression against Ukraine,” Sybiha wrote.
Nicaragua and Russia have long had good relations, and at the end of July, the Nicaraguan government recognized Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia as parts of Russia. The recognition was made through a letter from President Daniel Ortega to Vladimir Putin, which was published in the government-friendly newspaper El 19.
In the letter, he called Ukraine neo-Nazi and expressed confidence that Russia would prevail “over the evil forces.”
TT
Now we’re gonna bomb Nicaragua – 😡
Hua, then we will have both Mikael Wiehe and Björn Afzelius’ spirits after us.
I get worried by Ulrika By’s piercing gaze, every time I scroll past I jump.
👁👁 😂
I really want to provide feedback on MXT above and the 15 drones over Belgium. MXT was the first in the world to post this, by the way.
Link to the news article
First of all, they were discovered by mistake when testing some anti-drone equipment.
Then they circled over a military base.
Then over to Germany and closed an airport, I think?
Take a look at the distance between Belgium – Munich, but I’m just guessing it was the same swarm.
Link to the news article
—
SO MANY QUESTIONS 😡
– these are not FPV drones, right? They fly over long distances and must be some kind of reconnaissance drones?
– Belgium has no control over its military installations, really unexpected 😡😡😡😡😡
– Airports seem to detect these on radar or in some other way, are FPV drones large enough or is it larger ones flying over all of Europe?
– 15 drones simultaneously, what is that really?
—
Now I would like to make a very important point – if you want to fly over a Belgian military/air base with drones for surveillance and target logging, do you do it with 1-2 drones or 15?
If you want to scare the civilian population, do you fly drones over a military base or some city center and circle around?
—
To me, this looks like a final war readiness test of mass drone deployment.
They come from somewhere, maybe by boat?
Someone manages to keep 15 in the air at the same time and then fly them away to Germany.
—
What happens the day they are 40-50 with warheads and dive into our frontline fighters, missile depots, radar stations, and air tankers?
—
Obviously, Europe has no control except at the airports where they are detected due to security procedures.
—
Looking at where our fighter jets are based in Europe, there are not too many air bases, maybe 10-15.
—
If I were Europe right now, I would be so darn nervous because we have made it very clear that this is not Article 5.
And when it’s time to invoke Article 5, we won’t have any planes left.
It’s a bit disheartening 😐
I would guess that they are winged creatures of some kind since they can fly far and wide. Not like Shaheds, more like model airplanes.
Clearly worrying and evidence that we are not ready.
Yes, Russia will collapse.
Now the West no longer prevents it.
So 100% certain.
You probably all know the country’s history and the situation – there will be 10 new countries from this.
The only reason Russia hasn’t packed up already is because the USA opposed it.
You know that Ukraine is now preparing for an attack on Crimea?
I think this is the starting shot.
Further down it becomes hypothetical again.
I don’t know why the Belgians were so open about the violation, but in Sweden there were drones over the Karlskrona naval base and in Denmark over their military installations?
Norway, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, Poland, Belgium in about a week.
Then Germany had 500 observations until K2.
But…
No one has told us that it’s a damn swarm of drones 🧐
I thought until today that they were reconnaissance drones…
—
You don’t hear anything from many countries because they keep quiet – it seems like the pattern is to first carry out the exercise against a military target and then steer the cloud towards an airport and then everyone exclaims “they are disrupting our airports”.
At least that’s how it has been presented to me.
I think it seems pretty clear that Russia has now practiced drone clouds against military targets in Europe and that the platforms are ships.
These are not small FPV drones but ones that can stay in the air for hours and should then be able to carry a decent payload.
There are hundreds of ships and Europe has no control over them – they are lined up along Europe’s coast right now.
This drone capability comes in a container and the targets are probably preprogrammed, maybe there is AI too?
It wouldn’t be bad if they flew to a coordinate and then autonomously searched for preprogrammed target types?
Any ship can have 2-3 containers and two operators with a computer. This could be on 100-200 ships today without us knowing.
We don’t know because we let the shadow fleet roam around our coasts as they please.
China has been able to provide this without breaking a sweat.
Russia has started using autonomous loitering drones extensively at the fronts so it’s already scaled up.
Russia also has proof that we cannot defend ourselves against drone weapons yet and the same goes for the Gerandrones they have now tested twice – in a year we can defend ourselves but today we are standing there watching them.
—
We already know that Russia will escalate and that Europe has no defense, but for me a strong force posture would have been better than this MONUMENTAL absolute fucking FIASCO.
If there is an operation then our air force, missile stocks, missile carriers, and other assets that we would use for retaliation are fought as far as they can.
We are reactive and we will not invoke Article 5 unless there is such an operation so Russia knows they can strike first and if they have a big payoff then Europe stands there without any possibility of retaliation.
The USA will then exclaim as everyone who until now has competed in hating the USA – they will be fully occupied in Asia and trying to save Israel from being overrun.
—
The USA and Ukraine may already know that there will be a pearl harbor, that’s why Zelensky is so jittery and the USA has started threatening Russia?
—
By the way, you haven’t seen the gangs yet or the saboteurs who have infiltrated. These are held back until dusk and there are many of them.
So I’m not joking when I say gang member + manpads near an airbase.
Do you remember when Ukraine drove in with (or hired) a (or were there more?) truck inside RU, then it stopped and the roof of the flatbed opened and swarms of drones flew out? Imagine if ready-made containers arrive in Europe from China with drones, ready to be deployed. Maybe you need to hire some gang criminal who can equip the drones with explosives and maybe even a SIM card with 5g to be able to control them remotely.
The downside of letting war continue is that technology outpaces you, if you don’t fully participate in the war.
“but in Sweden there were probably drones over the Karlskrona naval base”
… of what the media picked up. Added to those that were noticed but not written about + those that were never even noticed.
Now I’m really angry actually – Magyar has already told us that he could take out all air traffic in Europe with his drone battalion.
Are we really not listening to Ukraine?
Experiences from three long years and we’re not listening?
Pride comes before a fall and all that, how can Europe be so sluggish like this?
Fun for those of you who can soon start sneaking drinks when the kids and partner (in whatever constellation you have – everything is totally fine even if you identify as a cat nowadays) are busy with the food.
One trick is to offer to take care of the purchase at the liquor store and then sneakily buy a few bottles of spirits to hide around the house.
That way, you won’t be as upset as I am about our total incompetence in shooting down drones, and I have just over 8 hours before I can practically uncork.
Well, no one has actually said that I can’t drink at work, and there are no signs prohibiting it, so I could try, but since I don’t know the downside, it’s probably best to be cautious.
Italians like to have a glass of wine with their meal, but they don’t seem to get drunk and then drive afterwards.
You have a driver, so it’s just to drive on, right?
You are a genius 😍
Did you just discover it now?
I believe we all know that if we show weakness towards Russia, it triggers a reaction where they simply can’t refrain from taking advantage of it.
I don’t see that we have a cunning plan and project this to deceive Russia, even though we would like it to be so.
How many government crises and votes of no confidence do you think we would have after our Pearl Harbor?
Probably quite a few, as it is part of the plan.
Kier Starmer is having problems now because Russia has joined in.
First, some Jews were murdered and then there was a huge pro-Palestine demonstration which of course turned into praising the murdered Jews.
1.2.3… then there will be some attacks on mosques, some Islamist demonstrations, and then the right will come out again.
Kier Starmer is starting to lose control – he has come out very strongly but it is not de-escalating and soon he will have the choice of whether to come out even stronger or resign.
Violent pull on the side today 👍
Is Russia and China boiling the frog slowly?
Nowhere do we see the same outrage for a drone cloud in Belgium as here.
Since RU is constantly advancing its positions, we will soon have little green men and no one will care.
Good vibes in Belgium. By the way, have you heard about the accordion player who died in the bellows?
😂
Well, but soon maybe the boiled frog is fried. In 3-4 years or so?
Many are probably fooled by the passivity of the West that it is not a threat we see – our governments must know what they are doing and therefore there is no danger, Johan No.1 screams for fun.
The problem is that we have no defense against the drones so the passivity is because we can’t do anything 😀
If Omfall B or whatever the hell it was is plausible because we cannot defend ourselves against a first strike from the shadow fleet and we cannot combat 2500 Gerandrones per month either.
If our aircraft and the few robots we have are destroyed on the ground, what do we have left?
If we start rolling the mechs eastward, we will have a first test to see if we have learned the 3D war of 2025 – I don’t think so but time will tell.
How many believe that Europe wants to conquer Moscow if Pear Harbour becomes deadly and the first ground confrontation leaves 20 mech brigades burning and bleeding?
Every damn country will have two parties screaming for peace and peppering the parliaments with votes of no confidence.
Johan No.1 needs to numb his frustration with a Friday fill-up!
Here are some funny dogs and other animals!
Cheers to you! 🍻
https://youtube.com/shorts/s6En5BSgRZQ?si=Eh4pbqYf7AHx2P6C
No worries, I have delved into the submarine sinkings again 👍
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/29/world/asia/thailand-cambodia-china-weapons.html
China has been a bit more either directly involved with neighbors, or engaged in more economic warfare further away. But now they seem to be out destabilizing through proxies.
Interesting. A really long read. Just skimmed it now, adding it to the reading list.
China is probably more deceitful than one might think.
Below you have a person at Skalman who has compiled everything about Hårsfjärden and you can quite clearly see when the West German submarine wants to leave Hårsfjärden. I have the impression that the Russian one went out first but maybe I remember wrong.
19821007
16:00
The naval base announced that they believed a breakout had taken place with a high probability.
Excerpt from Chief of Defense Lennart Ljung’s secret diaries
The naval base chief asked if the coastal artillery could lay a number of mine lines in some other areas than the southern outlet.
I also gave my consent to this.
19821007
22:00
CFst (Stefenson) called, who was now in Stockholm. New depth charges had been dropped but without results. 3 mines were manually triggered in the southern area based on a submarine indication.
The mines were supposed to be triggered immediately behind a submarine passage but likely had no effect, in any case, no submarine surfaced. After discussions with CFst, I ordered that the mines should not be triggered towards the submarine echo.
And that salvos should not be fired with depth charges. These provisions are intended to be applied during the night as many ships are moving within the area
and considering the poor visibility, it is necessary to ensure safety by not using these triggering methods.
19821007
23:00
Muskö’s war diary then writes about a number of contacts and submarine nets that have been damaged and dragged away. Out at Mysingen, the submarine is followed by a helicopter
and patrol boat for about 10 km. When the patrol boat is about to drop a depth charge at the submarine at 23:00, the ship is given a fire prohibition. The submarine is described as safe.
19821007
23:12
From Chief of Defense via MBÖ: restraint with depth charges! Only one at a time based on a secure indication. For the coastal artillery mine barrier troops: fire prohibition…
http://www.jallai.se/2013/02/harsfjarden-1982-ett-landsforraderi/
19821007
23:26
From Chief of Defense: until further notice, fire prohibition on all minings. (Chief of Defense Ljung’s secret diaries War Archive)
http://www.jallai.se/2013/02/harsfjarden-1982-ett-landsforraderi/
19821008
08:30
Order to use depth charges again according to MB Ö regulations and that minings may be used during the day provided
Excerpt from Chief of Defense Lennart Ljung’s secret diaries
that there is satisfactory surface security. The limitations introduced the previous day were partly intended to promote safety within
the area but also to somewhat reduce the high depth charge dropping activity that took place during yesterday afternoon.
19821008
Muskö’s war diary describes a nearly 0.4-0.5 meters high and 1 meter wide black hump moving in the water in the northern Hårsfjärden at a speed of 2-3 knots.
that was visible for 1 minute.
19821010
23:00
CFst Stefenson reports on the phone that a Polish submarine salvage ship that had been lying north of Gotska Sandön for some time had started moving towards the Gulf of Finland in the evening.
Excerpt from Chief of Defense Lennart Ljung’s secret diaries
A radio amateur, a Russian-speaking woman, had intercepted traffic that she had recorded on tape. This traffic reportedly included questions like can I go
up to a depth of 8 meters, etc. In the best case, this could indicate that a submarine was somehow on its way to cross the Baltic Sea with the help of a submarine salvage ship.
The combined heat and power plant Mältan in the municipality of Karlskrona has been subjected to a cyber attack, the police write on their website. The police state that they are investigating who is behind the attack and that they are working closely with the company that owns the power plant. There is no danger to the public and neither customers nor critical societal functions are currently affected. – We have investigators with expertise in the field. They are working full time to find out what has happened and who is behind it, says police spokesperson Filip Annas to TT.
We can probably be sure that there will be power outages this winter 😀
As long as it doesn’t concern Russia, he probably means business.
Israel has spent a year crushing Palestine, so it’s probably almost safe to step in there.
Israel probably hasn’t lost more than a couple of thousand soldiers so far.
“Donald Trump demands that Hamas accepts his peace plan with Israel before midnight on Monday, Swedish time. If this last chance agreement is not reached, a hell, like no one has ever seen before, will break out against Hamas,” writes the American president on Truth Social. Trump continues his post by writing that there will be peace in the Middle East, “one way or another.” The terrorist group’s spokesperson stated earlier on Friday that they need more time to make a decision on the peace agreement.”
Source: https://omni.se/a/dR6g2X
Some concern for the USA has just flown in more air capability to MENA 😶
Will he level Gaza to the ground for Israel, do you think?
It’s crucial that HAMAS doesn’t try to call the bluff.
Has Greta arrived in Gaza yet, by the way?
“Will he leave Gaza to Israel?”
The problem is that civilians have to be above ground while Hamas hides underneath, they operate with some form of reverse distinction principle. But then they are also a terrorist group…
I did say that the shadow fleet was drone-based and that the Chinese bastards would get involved in the kinetic play.
You never listen.
We start FridayDrunk with… a newly installed wood stove..? Yep. got it installed a while ago, have since slowly bricked up the former open fireplace whose chimney the wood stove now uses. Bought a gas-tight soot door for this – expensive as hell … with a little smoke seeping in through… SIGH! Well, I have some fiberglass cord to glue on.
Well, since it hasn’t been fired up in a while and autumn has also settled in the chimney, there was a thick cold plug there, with the result that the whole house looked like Lutszen’s backyard… so I had to open the front door and several windows to ventilate all the smoke. The dog fled out. After coughing like a dying smoker fed the fire with newspaper, the cold plug loosened and it started to behave normally.
Now the house is cooled down and I’m keeping warm by writing this post.
Damn ryzland for that matter.
I hear you Kaitsehahe, you and ChatGPT ✊✊✊
😆
Real thieves down here – looking to rent an apartment, 13,000 SEK + bills.
Go in and check AirBnb – 8,000 SEK including bills for one month.
Buy Israeli oranges
Cats scaring dogs…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/YW5xzKz7t-8
Horses interacting with other animals…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/wW7ty1XoYZE
Owls…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/XkCII2wC4fs
More dogs
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/VCxEedIgmck
As I said, I think you have to take over Friday drinks!
The first is when Johan No.1 realizes that Substack, Buy me a Coffee, and all other services report their data to the tax authorities in all EU countries. 😆
I googled a bit about Greta, they seem to have been arrested and her boat had no supplies on board?
Do you think they ate everything?
It might be lucky if Trump is going to bomb Gaza now?
HBQT+ had even greater luck as they were thrown out by the other passengers right before departure, so in hindsight they might be satisfied even though it probably stung badly when it happened – that they were not welcome.
So… Lord of the Flies sailed to Gaza??? Do we even want to know??
Is it okay to say Lord of the Flies?
Don’t we have to say The Flies’ Hen today?
We have to check with MXT, he’s the one who gets caught if something goes wrong.
We don’t want to misjudge anything.
Ah, so you’re wondering about your gender.
ChatGPT has asked itself and also searched in the CIA archives, and you are classified as a fanerogam.
Notice which channels you are following! 😆
Talmud.
Buy Israeli oranges
I read the signs and see grasshoppers, a river of blood and… no, wait, it’s boiled frogs!
The eighteenth curse that the Bible predicted without specifying where. So it wasn’t one of Egypt’s seven plagues during Put.. forgave Pharaoh.
Is Moses still lurking in the reeds?
More dogs
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/jePP3-E9n8s
Cats VS piano…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/41cKxUUuEdc
Doggo wake up…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/0jYJR8Mi79Q
What is he up to now?
https://substack.com/@deanblundell/note/c-162500848?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=4r1n7u
Some kind of dance….
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/P-SFcoT0xwo
Illusions…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/tVZZvUClIsM
Cats in the snow
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/X0Z040i_0xY
👍
Last clip is crazy…!
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/k32k8c71E94
Cats and birds…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/uRW-6_AmWO8
Cats in the wrong places…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/6VX2SVaoiDg
😆
More cats…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/CJWNkN_3DIM
Death is having issues…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/SaO5fJJrUEw
Mischievous dogs
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/bMAvyXB5G10
WTF? Old MG’s rules…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/dLFL_Z87J-E
The last one is actually indicative of where we’ve ended up. Everything is now optimized for the seller’s maximum income…
Performance has become secondary.
Teenage parents and… teenagers….
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Bpqaf6HX72g
Angels create the universe…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/1WRjpg3AdGA
Dogs..
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/37y1cMJVoMM
Excuse with dance… from a demon…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/44NScfKh1-k
Smooth moves…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/qLxJ2C_5iOc
🙂
Military fails…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/t8fH4cu4zTc
More sowings..
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Cq9i5kwX6ug
CatMusic…
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/4AJ-45K32sQ
Army Spoons..
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Fc1UeH-0plA
Dog in… car wash!!?
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/y4RgmtKy5hE
Voine, voine. Thank you Ukraine for being able to save us! 😆
Underwear grip on the boat
😆
“US President Donald Trump puts pressure on Israel after Hamas promised to release all hostages according to his peace plan. “Israel must immediately stop bombing Gaza so that we can get the hostages out quickly and safely,” he writes on his social network Truth Social. Discussions are already underway, he writes: “I believe [Hamas] is ready for a lasting peace.”
https://omni.se/a/LM8pdR“
Good that Trump is toughening up. Maybe it can spill over to Russia.