There is preliminary information that Ukraine has hit both the oil refinery and a transformer station during the night’s attacks on the city. Article at Kyiv Independent can be found here and here is a video.
Russians deploy cavalry
The war in Ukraine has taken a toll on the Russians’ supply of tanks and other armor, but lately we have seen increased losses again. Whether they have been saving them for a long time and now feel they have enough again, or if they simply feel desperate to achieve greater successes before the peace talks is difficult to know. Regardless, it seems that more and more images and videos are emerging showing that the Russians are increasingly deploying cavalry, as we see more and more videos of them using horses in the war in Ukraine. We have seen it before, as well as donkeys, but previously it mostly seemed to be about a way to transport equipment, etc., to the front with the soldiers now riding on them.
Here is one of many videos. Poor innocent horses.
Russian losses in Ukraine
- 1200 KWIA
- 5 Tanks
- 8 AFVs
- 15 Artillery systems
- 2 MLRS
- 688 UAVs
- 29 Cruise missiles
- 166 Vehicles & fuel tanks
Russian activities
Nothing particularly stands out except for the suicide drones, which are now at a high level, the third highest in the war so far.
- 160 battles
- 39 airstrikes (involving 41 robots)
- 101 KAB
- 3,540 grenades (including 66 from MLRS)
- 6,824 suicide drones
SLAVA UKRAINI
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“Räntorna på kreditkort i Ryssland har stigit till en rekordhög nivå på 47,4% per år – det högsta sedan 2021, då de låg på 21,9%.
Experter tillskriver den kraftiga ökningen i november 2025 till bankernas ökade kostnader för utfärdande och service av kort som en följd av Putins misslyckade markintrång med Rysslands grannländer.”
Sounds good, if it’s true and the damages are extensive, the refinery is unlikely to produce anything for several months.
“Sizran, locals write that at the Sizran Oil Refinery, the impact hit the ELOU-AVT-5 installation, which is where the firefighters in the video above were heading. ELOU-AVT-5 is a comprehensive oil refining unit at an oil refinery (NPP), which includes an ELOU block (electrodessalination and dewatering) and AVT sections (atmospheric and vacuum distillation), designed for the preparation of crude oil, its desalination, and separation into various fractions (gasoline, kerosene, diesel fuel, oil fractions, and pitch) before further deep processing.”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3mazoupuq3226
Ivashov has dared to criticize Putin for a long time, but his criticism is not about him thinking that Putin, for example, is evil for attacking Ukraine, but rather that he is a weak leader who should be replaced by someone better and more competent.
Ivashov is a patriot and strongly nationalist and has himself tried to be elected as president.
That he dares to express such harsh criticism as he does is good, others may perhaps open their eyes to how bad things really are in Russia and may dare to turn against Putin in turn.
It’s a bit strange that he hasn’t fallen out of a window. I guess he may have strong contacts with active military leaders that Putin doesn’t dare to upset. Otherwise, he has no other real power.
“GENERAL LEONID IVASHOV STRONGLY CRITICIZES THE RUSSIAN LEADERSHIP The well-known Russian general, General Leonid Ivashov, has sharply criticized the Russian leadership and assessed the 1,400 days of the “special military operation” as follows:
– “Before the start of the ‘special military operation,’ I issued a warning. And the past four years have proven the correctness and seriousness of those assessments.”
– “We have achieved no success at the tactical-operational level, and at the strategic level we have failed on ALL fronts.”
– “All industrial sectors have been destroyed.”
– “Science is in critical condition, and education has completely collapsed.”
– “The judicial system is deeply corrupt. All judges are appointed by the president… I repeat, 98% of major corruption crimes are linked to members of the United Russia party.”
– “Rising prices are an alarming sign; the Russian people are becoming poorer and poorer.”
– “Healthcare is in ruins. All regions are cutting healthcare spending.”
– “Food quality is getting worse; palm oil is everywhere; food in Russia is becoming toxic.”
– “The only area in which Russia ‘leads’ the world is population trends. We are the leading nation in DISAPPEARANCE. Even without war—the war only accelerates the rapid decline in the number of men.”
“Our leaders boast that no one has weapons like ours.” It would be more accurate to say that nowhere in the military sphere is there as much corruption as in our country.
– “The very fact that we are diplomatically isolated, while permanent members of the UN Security Council issue statements supporting Ukraine, is a huge failure We are left only with allies like North Korea and Belarus, but they cannot help us—they can only drain our finances, and our finances are running out…”
– “I have worked with the Chinese for many years, but China is not our ally; that is a fabrication and Kremlin propaganda.”
– “Putin’s statements on the program ‘Direct Line’ are complete nonsense. Everything looks good on the screen, but wherever you look, you see failure. Putin is responsible for everything. He lives in his own world, surrounded by an imposed cult of personality.” But due to his own limitations, he failed to cope with the situation. Therefore, all areas—from the economy to the ‘special military operation’—have failed.
– “The strategic failure (in the war with Ukraine) could very well lead to the disintegration of Russia”
In 2022, General Leonid Ivashov publicly opposed military action in Ukraine and urged Putin not to take this catastrophic step. “This war will threaten the very existence of Russia,” Leonid Ivashov wrote at the time.
Leonid Grigoryevich Ivashov (Russian: Леонид Григорьевич Ивашов; born 31 August 1943) is a Russian military and public official. He is a former President of the Academy for Geopolitical Problems and a retired colonel general.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leonid_Ivashov
“❗️During the night, 🇺🇦Ukrainian military shot down 30/48 🇷🇺Russian UAVs”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mazrdzcaf22x