Here comes the post you’ve all been waiting for.
The world is actually at war already, but our leaders are probably doing their best to avoid admitting it for as long as possible – the first shots have already been fired.
If the First World War started with gunshots against Archduke Prince Ferdinand, then two enormous wars that the whole world indirectly or directly supports in one way or another, along with about a dozen smaller wars, should surely be considered as the beginning of a global conflict?
RU-UA, Venezuela, Cuba, civil wars in Africa or interstate wars, Iran-USA, Thailand-Cambodia, Pakistan-Afghanistan, Pakistan-India.
The rest of the wars are the kind that no one cares about, almost like civil war in Mozambique, for example.
You might remember a Johan No.1 who usually writes that at some point no sitting head of state can control the development and the war takes on a life of its own – you saw the first signs of it when Iran began to target 10 countries in MENA.
If Iran were to successfully sink an aircraft carrier after the Chinese or Russians provided them with the target, and perhaps with Chinese-delivered missiles – what would be the USA’s reaction then?
Something like that…
But the global escalation also depends on the fact that the evil side can escalate, and with the developments in Iran, they will soon be gone – the statues have started to fall now.
If one still believes that the USA has made a mistake, it is because they have ideological or other blinders on.
Ukraine is also heating up significantly in Ukraine, and if Russia falls, our current global conflict will be over just as it started.
I will try to reason based on the motives of all the dominant actors, and since I am world-leading, I naturally know how the whole world thinks in real-time, except maybe when it comes to Bitcoin where my investment tips to MXT didn’t turn out very successful for him, but that’s entirely my fault, and he has my full sympathy after the huge blown-up bag.
One thing I constantly forget; everything is always relative, Iran may have been competent but the USA better, or vice versa – the USA themselves probably have a pretty good grasp on that and an opinion on China’s current capabilities.
USA-
In 2026, the USA decided to start acting outwardly.
This was preceded by the USA doing nothing when Russia began its war against Ukraine in 2014 and escalated to a full invasion in 2022, and then they started sabotaging Ukraine so that it was statistically ensured that they did not have Ukraine’s or Europe’s best interests at heart at all, but rather it was more important for Russia to come out unscathed from the mess they had gotten themselves into entirely on their own.
In 2025, the Houthis fired at over 300 ships in the Red Sea with a rather lukewarm interest from the USA to intervene more than with a limited effort.
In June 2025, there was apparently an urgent need for nuclear weapons in Iran, so a limited 12-day operation without any real bite.
The dollar started to fall, everyone said “sell USA,” and the whole structure began to shake significantly starting in Japan. There were rumors that it was China trying to economically harm Japan and thus target the USA. The only person in the whole world who believed that it was the USA attacking Japan to protect its dollar was Johan No.1, but he’s trying to cover that up now.
Then we had the trade war throughout 2025 where Trump, without exception, went hardest against his Western allies – for example, Japan sent its most valuable politicians and diplomats to Washington after Trump surprisingly imposed tariffs on them.
The Japanese delegation sat in their hotel room trying to WhatsApp their way to a meeting in Washington when someone got tired and turned on CNN. To their horror, they see Trump standing and saying in prime time that since Japan had ignored all his hundreds of attempts to contact them, they would now receive extra tariffs, those bastards – with long faces, everyone looked down in the echoing silence at their WhatsApp and wondered how they would explain it when they returned home to Japan.
The fact is that the USA, at intervals, appeased Russia and went very hard against Europe – it was clear that the USA did not want to see Russia collapse after a loss in the Ukraine war.
And in January 2026, the USA betrayed the Kurds in Syria who screamed – they are the USA’s strongest allies in the region who have always helped the USA when needed.
Before Syria, the USA then kidnapped Maduro and took back the Panama Canal, the turn of the year 2025/2026 may be when the USA shifted into second gear?
On January 29, 2026, an economic declaration of war came when all markets went down simultaneously.
On February 28, 2026, the war against Iran began, which must surely be considered a qualified enemy?
Will the USA de-escalate now?
Why would they, then, would be the first question – give me good reasons for it if I were the USA.
The USA presumably wants a guaranteed petrodollar and for everyone to buy their government debt, we’re not quite there yet.
A good second would be if China collapsed so that US finance can start buying up Chinese assets at fire sale prices – that usually features on the wish list.
Since China has clearly stated its power ambitions – challenge the petrodollar and tie as many countries as possible to China, it’s not over until China can’t do it anymore.
Presumably, the USA wants a Western-oriented South America, so expect more in that area.
I dare not speculate about Africa, but if Europe gives up without a fight, it is not unreasonable for the USA to take on the challenge against the African Corps in exchange for a bargain price on natural resources.
Johan No.1 has long said that the USA is now doing what is good for the USA, and right now we see it – the USA is implementing tough measures that are strategically beneficial for them.
For example, starting to combat Iran’s oil industry, which they have just begun – the USA is self-sufficient in oil if necessary, but Europe and China are highly dependent on it.
Russia –
Russia is fully occupied in Ukraine and ensuring that the country does not collapse into internal strife, but they are also part of the escalation stages that they are driving together with China.
Considering how Russia has acted around Venezuela, Syria, and now Iran, which they completely threw under the bus in many statements, it is likely that the USA has good control over them.
Even though some shaheds are made in Russia and Russia provides targets to Iran.
Don’t misunderstand this now – Iran was an important ally for Russia, and Ukraine is very satisfied with the effort, but Russia does not have the ability to support Iran.
This does not mean that Russia will not continue to plague Europe, as it could be in the USA’s interest to have something low-intensity there that keeps us compliant and fearful.
For example, the Baltics, and for those of you who are still laughing – how is NATO advancing in the Iran war?
Do you think the USA will lift a finger and help the Baltics?
Is the USA perhaps fully occupied in MENA?
But after this blow – never will Russia dare to fight against the USA, not even in mocking Trump anymore, there will probably be a lot more US diplomacy from there now.
Europe hopes that Russia can be split and brought under an armed operation, but their trump card, the drone weapon, will be obsolete in the summer/fall when we in Europe catch up with Ukraine’s anti-drone technology.
The Whackamole has been knocked down once again and now it’s advantage Ukraine and Europe – Russia missed its chance for power advantage that was in the fall of 2025 and months ahead, by the end of summer or in the fall that chance is now just fleeting smoke.
What we will probably see is a failed Russian offensive that Ukraine seizes the opportunity in flight and goes on to win the war, but we are not there yet.
Europe –
We will follow the USA and provide support when we are asked to provide support, like Spain, which first declared the USA Air Force persona non grata and then when the USA threatened to put Spain in the icebox, immediately changed to allowing all pilots to stay at the Sheraton at the expense of the Spanish state and even threw in a free waxing of the planes with expensive turtle wax.
Hopefully, we will dare to do the right thing with Ukraine, one can never be sure, but if Ukraine manipulates us well enough and has a bit of luck on the battlefield, we might be able to maintain support until Russia collapses. The USA cannot easily go to war with us or Ukraine because then they risk Europe switching sides.
Europe’s defense forces are formidable, if we were to pool together all that the USA is currently doing, we would have more capability than them + Ukraine on our side. What we lack is the leadership, but it is not entirely impossible if we just manage to avoid the French.
You know what I want to see Europe do after this, but we are not there yet – fair trade agreements with Africa.
Since the USA managed to get Starmer to change his mind on various issues 30 times and then got Spain to lie down and bow at the same time, looking like a wildly swinging inchworm not moving forward, we should not be too obstinate in the future when American pressures come, even though we are now stretching the limits of what the USA does not want us to do with Ukraine.
The USA does not have a magic wand to turn us on or off, after all, we are 27 different countries with different motivations and governments that do as they please.
The USA also does not have an all-seeing eye, and if they do not see what we are sending, they cannot stop it.
Currently, Sweden is stopping Russian ships in the Baltic Sea, which was practically impossible a few years ago as it violated international laws, I was told. They are stopping them on EXACTLY the grounds we proposed back then.
And the German brigade is partly in the Baltics now.
Ukraine –
They will now try to win the war, and if they start to smell victory, it will be a revitalizing injection into hundreds of thousands of war-weary soldiers that will take them very far – we have probably only seen the beginning so far.
You can all see that Ukraine is preparing for a violent offensive.
Russia’s spring offensive does not seem to be as violent as we feared.
If they manage to collapse the fronts in Ukraine, it will not stop there, of course, and that is exactly what the USA wants to avoid – Ukraine gaining the upper hand.
Ukraine intends to collapse the country into internal conflict where all different minority groups declare independence, the six oblasts around Ukraine become their allies, Belarus falls towards the West, and then they will kill all war criminals over the next 10 years through GUR’s efforts.
As soon as they sense an unfavorable power structure in Russia, they will act for the security of the empire and eliminate the candidates – as for Ukraine, they have had enough, and their national strategy will be a page from the Russian playbook, a weak and divided Russia.
Never forget Dudayev and his prediction about Ukraine – it holds true.
By the way, Crimea is now LV free – pre-emptive strikes are ongoing all the way to Rostov.
China –
A lot depends on what China will do – or everything depends on what China will do.
I’m pretty sure that January 29 shook them up significantly, and now there is half-panic in the meetings when Iran is to be discussed after this major strategic mistake of the war.
Prior to Iran, Xi fired the entire military leadership, and the best guess is that the military leadership did not want war.
A letter has been circulating stating that Xi wanted to take Taiwan as early as 2022, but the military leadership were peaceful cowards – now all cowards have been fired.
China has lost – Venezuela, Iran, Syria, and soon Cuba over a few months, and Putin is WhatsApping Xi that the war in Ukraine is not going well at all.
They recently lost the Panama Canal, and their attempt to collapse the economy through Japan did not go as planned at all, as now everyone wants to buy US government debt and the dollar is soaring upwards.
China is somewhat what we usually describe as a morning-tired, nicotine-starved, and cornered black rat with rabies. They also have a leader who has proven himself worthy of Putin in his fondness for oppression and imperialistic power ambitions.
The fact that China “has never started a war” is because they found all sorts of clever ways to murder millions of citizens throughout the 20th century; it was only from the 90s onwards that they made their class transition and could start projecting power outward, as all neighboring countries can testify that they do.
Mainly thanks to Europe and the USA giving them our industrial production for free and even paying them as thanks, but then they have also hacked into all our technology through their IT brigades.
China is definitely on the rise, but they are on shaky ground – there are suspicions that they are lying about their population size for telephone subscriptions, cars, computers, and other items are being sold for a population of about 500 million. The other option is that the remaining billion live in absolute poverty – just take your pick.
We will have to wait and see what China will do, but a qualified guess is that they are starting to feel very cornered.
It is also not entirely unlikely that this is what the USA is working against – to get China to do something reckless.
According to the notoriously unreliable MXT on johanno1.se, China has reduced activity near Taiwan in recent weeks – IF China turns out to be just like Iran and Russia, big-talking cowards who back down from a fight, it would be interesting.
But now other OSINTers are saying it, so it is probably true now but not before.
The whole party has definitely gone to hell starting on February 24, 2022, and thanks to Ukraine’s enormous sacrifices, the West has bought itself the time to get organized.
The global escalation has been increasing all along, but Israel has resisted much more than Russia and Iran probably expected, and the Iran war of 2026 is a total disaster for the axis of evil.
Now it is actually crucial that Iran and Russia implode, and something new rises from the ashes – we must reach that point for the sake of MENA and Europe.
After empirical lab tests and very difficult equations, I conclude that the likelihood of China trying to take advantage now while the USA is busy is higher than them retracting their claws and crawling back into their den, but there is probably a significant power struggle within China internally right now.
We will see it in the disappeared representatives and can in that way figure out who came out on top.
China has everything to lose by being perceived as weak cowards here and just like the USA, they should also realize that showing their fangs is the way forward.
If it stops at this, we will be stuck with China – but in the future, they will have a much narrower corridor to try to navigate in, the US chokehold is tight and they will lose a lot of their international business.
Trade tariffs, export bans, no Chinese companies allowed to take jobs in regions where the USA has influence, and so on.
The Gordian knot to try to unravel is that the USA does not resist the collapse of Russia, but Europe will have to be as cunning as the USA has been and push forward in secret.
The whole world order is rapidly changing, and if you ask me, the walls of the pressure cooker are bulging outward considerably – China and Russia have lost the battle but they are probably not weak enough to admit that the war is lost yet as too much is at stake.
Russia only has one notch on the meter – if the level of violence doesn’t work, you increase the level of violence, and if they get stuck in Ukraine, they will try their luck elsewhere.
China, just like the USA, has their position at stake here, if China backs down, they will lose a lot of their international business and as a country fall back very hard.
The USA has absolutely no reason to slow down now when they had absolute luck in Iran and feel that fortune always favors the bold.
Ukraine is still the key to global de-escalation – if Russia loses the war and plunges into Russian revolution 2.0, then China will stand alone and probably they will back down.
2026 was the year.
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I fell out of my plastic bathtub and headed off to my job in the desert to meet some people and be in a different environment than usual, by the way, probably 50% fewer cars on the roads now. I’m getting messages that there have apparently been low-level interceptions over the area where I live, so even though it seems to have calmed down somewhat, yesterday saw the fewest number of missiles and drones fired since the start, so it’s really not over in any way.
And of course, a few minutes later, it starts booming over my head while sitting in the office, there’s no way to escape in any sensible way when I’m still in the country, so just have to accept the new normal here.
It’s also almost eerily empty of people when I take my daily run around the area, normally there are a lot of people out and about, moving around and sitting in all the cafes, etc., but now it’s quite deserted actually.
In the newspaper, there’s only a small notice about a new attack but the information is really limited:
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-17-israel-us-iran-war-live-updates#blogCarde89f0655-90c3-4f9e-b9fb-ff14bd4ca629
Israel is inside Tehran and carrying out new attacks against the military:
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-17-israel-us-iran-war-live-updates#blogCard6e0c6d9a-ecf1-44f9-a2b4-ded4a0b91d8d
During the night, there was a drone incident at Dubai’s airport, unclear if it was remnants of a drone or if Iran actually hit something they aimed at, apparently hitting a fuel tank:
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-17-israel-us-iran-war-live-updates#blogCard35f3c7ae-6a9f-4207-94cc-d5cee8464acb
Trump seems a bit stressed about the Hormuz Strait and is asking for help:
https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-17-israel-us-iran-war-live-updates#blogCard791aaead-0f37-4eed-9639-f6666c6fd928
And good news that more flights are starting from the UAE again, which completely removes the feeling I had of being stuck in the country.
And Johan, thanks for the yellow wall that is always interesting to read.
Quote from the yellow wall:
“Europe’s defense forces are formidable, if we were to pool together everything that the USA is doing now, we would have more capability than them + Ukraine on our side. What we lack is the leadership function but it’s not completely impossible if we just get rid of the French.”
When I hide under my Ikea blanket in my plastic bathtub, I think of one thing that Europe does not have enough of and that is an advanced air defense. Experiencing what is happening here in the UAE and how effective the defense is, I realize that it’s so cheap to send these Shaheds that the quantity is problematic for, for example, Sweden. What will happen the day Russia sends 500 Shaheds to Sweden?
That’s all I have to share today, so all the best from the desert outside Abu Dhabi.
Thank you for the report!
Sad to hear that it’s not over yet, but good to hear that it now seems possible to submit if you decide to do so.
Yes, dealing with an effective defense against large quantities of cheap drones is probably the biggest headache right now for anyone with any form of strategic responsibility within the defense sector, regardless of the countries involved.
Unfortunately, it will probably take time before something effective is in place. Even though Ukraine is far ahead and one can learn from their experiences, things are probably complicated when it comes to everything from procurement to how it should be organized within the defense sector, etc.
Take care, whether you are out in the deserts or sitting in the bathtub.
Probably that’s exactly what we have, “an advanced air defense system.” What we lack is a simple, inexpensive solution, like Sting or another “simple” but above all cheap one.
Russian losses in Ukraine 2026-03-16
SLAVA UKRAINI
AFU reports, Russian activities:
Ukraine has once again hit an oil depot in Krasnodar Krai
“Ukrainian drones struck a Russian oil depot in Labinsk, Krasnodar Krai, overnight on March 16, setting the site ablaze, Telegram news channel Exilenova Plus reported, citing local residents.
Prior to the reported attack, Russia’s Defense Ministry said it shot down 28 Ukrainian drones over Russian territory late on March 15.
Local authorities have not yet commented on the strike, and the Kyiv Independent could not verify the reports at the time of publication.”
https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-drones-reportedly-strike-oil-depot-in-russias-krasnodar-krai/
It’s burning well in this video:
“Boom! A fuel depot was attacked in Labinsk, Krasnodar Krai.”
https://bsky.app/profile/babayagafella.bsky.social/post/3mh57ywcscs2a
“Largest Drone Raid of the Year Targets Moscow, Oil Depot Burns in Krasnodar
A massive overnight drone attack targeted a key oil depot in Krasnodar Territory, sparking a large fire at a fuel hub supplying Russian forces on the southern front.”
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/71975
Trump is now indirectly threatening to leave, or split NATO if the allies do not help the USA in the Strait of Hormuz.
The USA is reducing its support to a minimum when it comes to Ukraine and believes that it is Europe’s responsibility. Then they start a war with Iran and suddenly think that everyone should help the USA. The USA not only asks for help, but also chooses to threaten with tariffs, to leave NATO.
I can’t claim that it looks like the USA has full control of the situation in Iran when they feel they can’t handle it themselves (or are willing to do what is necessary).
I simply think the EU should respond: “We will help you in the war against Iran, but then we want to see an agreement where you commit to seriously helping Ukraine in the war against Russia.”
The EU would of course benefit from shortening the war with Iran, but sometimes we must dare to stand up to Trump and also put pressure on him. Allowing a bully to have his way only makes things worse.
“Donald Trump says that NATO faces a ‘very bad’ future if USA’s allies do not help him secure free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, reports the Financial Times.
When asked what he expects from NATO for help, Trump responds: ‘whatever is required’.
He also says that he can postpone his meeting with China’s Xi Jinping while pressuring Beijing to help open the strait.
– It is only appropriate that people who benefit from the strait help ensure that nothing bad happens there, says Trump.
Furthermore, Trump claims that the risks of sending ships to the area are minimal, as the USA and Israel have ‘neutralized’ Iran’s military capacity.” https://omni.se/trump-nato-star-infor-dalig-framtid-om-han-inte-far-hjalp-med-hormuz/a/K8M1j7
“EU foreign ministers are expected to discuss strengthening a minor naval operation in the Middle East on Monday. According to Reuters sources, no decision is expected to be made to expand the operation’s role to the blocked Strait of Hormuz.
France is trying to put together a coalition to secure the strait once the situation stabilizes, while the UK is discussing various options with allies.
It is too early to say if the EU can play a role, according to diplomats and officials, writes Reuters.” https://omni.se/kallor-eu-insats-i-hormuz-ligger-langt-bort/a/JObMLm
“USA’s President Donald Trump is working to create a coalition of countries to collaborate in opening the Strait of Hormuz, according to four sources for Axios. The hope is that such a coalition can be presented later this week.
Oil prices continue to rise due to Iran’s blockade of the strait, where a significant portion of the world’s oil is transported.
As long as the blockade is active and oil from the Gulf states is prevented from reaching the outside world, Donald Trump finds it difficult to end the war, according to a source familiar with the discussions.
Trump has appealed for help, both to China and allies. The President warned NATO that the alliance is heading towards a ‘grim future’ if it does not assist at the Strait of Hormuz.
Countries like Japan, Australia, and the United Kingdom have already stated that there are no plans to send ships to the strait.”
https://omni.se/trump-uppges-planera-en-ny-koalition-for-hormuzsundet/a/lnwL1G
I assume that one does not announce plans until one publishes that there are plans. So I don’t think we should pay too much attention to that communication.
In essence, Trump is right that those who benefit from the strait should help keep it open. Whether it is closed because of Trump is another discussion. The risk of Iran getting upset and closing the strait has always loomed over us; I believe it would have happened sooner or later anyway. That card is simply too good not to play or threaten with.
To conclude, I believe the strait will be forcibly reopened within 2 weeks. Probably with the help of a coalition of the unwilling.
Believe as you do, if this drags on, a joint effort will be required sooner or later.
It will not happen that the West gathers forces and attacks Iran to open the strait.
“❗️Donald Trump threatened NATO with a “very bad future” if allies do not help open the Strait of Hormuz, — FT In an interview with the Financial Times, Trump noted that European countries and China are far more dependent on oil from the Strait of Hormuz than the United States, so they should secure this key maritime route through which about 20% of global oil supplies pass.
According to him, allies could provide mine countermeasures vessels, warships, and special units to help counter Iranian drones and naval mines.
When asked whether Russia is helping Iran by providing satellite data to target American and Israeli missile defense shields, Trump replied:
“I don’t know whether that’s the case or not. But you could also argue that we’ve helped Ukraine to some extent. It’s hard to say:
‘You’re targeting us, but we’re helping Ukraine.’ So it’s hard to say: ‘What are you doing?’ when we’re doing the same thing.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mh5vv4h2722f
https://www.ft.com/content/1ca6d121-760b-4ec5-b6ad-514fdaa94873
“UK, Allies Refuse Trump Call to Send Warships as Strait of Hormuz Blocked
Despite Washington’s push to assemble an international naval force to secure the passage, key US allies appear reluctant to take part..”
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/71973
Trump believes that NATO is facing “a bleak future” if other countries do not help the USA protect traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. “A bleak future?” If anyone has given clear signals that the USA can manage without NATO, it must be Trump. Now he needs help and NATO will do. It would be good if someone told him that now when he is under pressure. Kaja Kallas, for example.
I agree with you, demand that the USA truly supports Ukraine and the EU before any help is given to the USA for Iran.
Great post today! 👍👍👍
So, when is it actually a world war?
I don’t really think we’re there yet. After all, the wars are isolated to a few nations, even though many more are indirectly involved.
Good yellow wall again. Thank you. Got stuck just like “Jockesoft” on these lines “what we are missing is the leadership function but it is not impossible if we get rid of the Frenchmen”. That’s probably true.
But Israel? Are they going to fight until they have taken Lebanon and Jordan? Trump has already promised Israel the Golan Heights, but not the UN. Israel is not likely to be satisfied before then.
The oil prices have risen slightly, right now:
Crude oil 100.4
Brent 105.9
Ural 93.6
The dollar continues to rise, having now increased by 3.71% against the euro since a month ago.
It is still down by -4.77% if you look back a year, but it’s probably only a matter of time before it catches up.
Good yellow wall by Johan today! However, I do not think that there is a world war looming. We have been accustomed to wars in the Middle East for the past 20-30 years. Israel needs to defend itself and the USA lends a helping hand. The strange thing is the indifference of our media regarding Israel and the USA’s efforts in Iran. As I see it, there is a conflict between a political morality and a more traditional one based on Christian ethics about how we should treat each other.
Now, the increasing secularization in the West seems to give the political morality rooted in Marxism the upper hand. This is ominous and a sign of the times. Everything has become political.
“En iransk drönare träffade en bränsletank nära Terminal 3 på Dubai International Airport, vilket utlöste en brand och ledde till att alla flygningar stoppades. UAE:s civilförsvar säger att branden för närvarande är under kontroll.”
Russia has attacked Kyiv this morning
So far, no reports of injuries or any fires.
“Explosions rock Kyiv as Russian drones target capital during morning rush hour
A series of explosions were heard in Kyiv on Monday as Russia launched a rush hour drone attack on Ukraine’s capital.
Air raid sirens sounded at 8:26 a.m. Explosions and air defenses were heard around 20 minutes later, according to Kyiv Independent journalists on the ground.
According to Telegram monitoring channels, up to 30 Shahed-type drones are targeting energy infrastructure.”
https://kyivindependent.com/explosions-rock-kyiv-as-russian-drones-target-capital-during-morning-rush-hour/
Ukraine has no good options to replace a crucial cash package from the European Union, which Hungary continues to block, leaving Kyiv hurtling towards a hole in its finances as it awaits a solution to the impasse.
The loan, agreed unanimously by EU countries at a summit in December, would provide 90 billion euros ($103 billion) to Ukraine over 2026–2027, covering two-thirds of the country’s financial and military needs. But Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban has since U-turned, ostensibly over a dispute pertaining to Russian oil transit through Ukraine.
Israel’s military states that they have initiated a new “limited” ground invasion of southern Lebanon.
According to the Times of Israel, there are more troops involved than before, who have penetrated further into the country than previously.
According to Israel, the purpose of the operation is to attack Hezbollah-linked strongholds and to strengthen what they describe as a “front defense area,” essentially an occupation.
“Satellite imagery released by CyberBoroshno from March 15 confirms a direct hit on a pipeline overpass at the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar, causing a product leak. Strikes on the AT-22/4 unit is confirmed by local residents’ footage.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mh5xcrk3dc2o
Ukraine has attacked Russian aircraft manufacturing
“🔥 This morning, Aviastar plant in Ulyanovsk was attacked. Aviastar is the largest Russian aircraft manufacturing plant. The enterprise specializes in the production of Il-76MD-90A military transport aircraft, Il-78M-90A tanker aircraft, as well as servicing An-124 Ruslan heavy transport aircraft.”
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mh5xkib4wk2c
The Democrats are making a huge mistake if they think it will be a walkover victory in the midterm election.
I believe that many of Trump’s supporters are not just voting for Trump because he represents the policies they want him to pursue, but because they simply believe in him.
Despite even several leading voices within MAGA pointing out that he has betrayed them, both regarding Epstein and the war in Iran, many of his voters remain loyal.
I would definitely not dare to count him out, and before the election, the war will probably be over, which in turn could lead to a positive economic rebound where Trump will portray himself as a hero.
“The war against Iran could be a major setback for Trump when it comes to the midterm elections in November, not least because of the rising gas prices. This according to analyses by AP and The Guardian.
AP’s editorial team points out that the Democrats seem to expect a real upset victory this fall. A strategist in the party emphasizes that Trump ran on lowering prices for ordinary Americans, and that promise he will not be able to keep as oil prices rise.
In The Guardian, Eduardo Porter writes that the deeply unpopular war will lead to Trump’s defeat. Especially since Trump will not be able to quickly end the war, which means that the economic pain will linger.
“He will be defeated by the only force that has ever been able to stop America’s military adventures: opposition from the American people,” writes Porter.”
https://omni.se/analyser-trump-ar-i-fara-nar-kriget-hojer-priserna/a/0pV0EM
No, don’t count out Trump. The Democrats currently lack both leaders and policies. They have/have had their base in the universities and in the media and among the college-educated middle class. Especially women. Trump owns the many and the less educated. You can see the enthusiasm among people when Trump, for example, enters a McDonald’s restaurant. The election is far from decided. Add the corruption in Democratic-controlled states like Minnesota. The election this fall could be close.
Attacks in the last 24 hours from the AFU’s morning report.
N Slobozhansky-Kursk 4
S Slobozhansky 2
Kupyansk 4
Lyman 6
Slovyansk 13💥
Kramatorsk 3
Kostjantynivka 23💥↘️
Pokrovsk 36💥💥↗️
Oleksandrivskij 12💥↗️
Huliaipole 20💥
Orikhivsk 1
Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 0
Sum sectors 🇷🇺 124↗️
Unlocalized (🇺🇦) 43
Total 167↗️
Pokrovsk
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At Night I would like to get a top list of the users who have commented the most on the website so now I have also added so that it can be seen under the option Top Lists on the page Comment Statistics.
Johan No.1 is number two. 😂
It can’t possibly be true, according to Johan No.1, it’s the environmental movements on the left that are bought by the Russians and do everything possible for Europe to get its energy from there? 😉
“EU must normalize its relationship with Russia to access cheap energy. That’s what Belgium’s Prime Minister Bart De Wever tells the Belgian newspaper L’Echo.
– It’s common sense, he says.
De Wever leads the nationalist N-VA and has previously questioned EU’s support for Ukraine. He believes that European leaders agree with him, but that no one “dares to say it out loud”.
Due to the war in Iran, fuel prices have risen sharply, leading to political debate on energy supply in several European countries. On Wednesday, EU’s foreign ministers will meet in Brussels, among other things to discuss Ukraine and Iran.”
In Europe, it is very strange that politicians complain about energy prices. They just need to look in a mirror to see who is most responsible for the final price.
“❗️Blocking of Telegram in Russia has already begun. Russian media are reporting this. For the third day already, the popular messenger is not working and experiencing failures in a number of regions. A number of so-called “experts” believe that a specific targeted blocking has already started.”
https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mh65guchrk24
“A Russian Shahed drone struck a road with moving vehicles in Sumy.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mh65evvjgk2o
“Ukraine’s State Border Guard Service STRIX unit destroyed a Russian mortar, vehicle, field depot, and mobile fire group in Kharkiv region using drone strikes.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mh65uv47x22o
“Russia launched 211 Shahed, Gerber, Italmas, and other drones at Ukraine overnight and into the morning, with over 100 Shaheds among them. Ukraine’s air defense shot down or suppressed 194. Sixteen drones hit 10 locations. The attack included an unusual morning wave targeting Kyiv region.”
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mh6626rr2s2o
“Moldova declares environmental alert as Russian strike pollutes key water supply”
“Ukraine plans anti-drone protection for 600 kilometers of front-line roads”
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-plans-anti-drone-protection-for-600-km-of-frontline-roads-official-says/
Turkey’s Foreign Ministry reiterated it does not recognize Russia’s annexation of Crimea on the twelfth anniversary of the illegitimate referendum, calling it a violation of international law and reaffirming support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
Good that they are clear. Shouldn’t be necessary but maybe there is a recognition in the air from the Yankees? They seem to be busy in the Middle East now so they shouldn’t give Putte that gift right now.
Big thanks!
To the small, but loyal, group of readers who still donate and help keep the site afloat and to some extent also keep the motivation up! 👍👍👍👍👍
Since we have been discussing some statistics regarding comments and number of visitors.
For the past four months, we have received an average of 12 donations per month, but there is a slightly declining trend. For those of you who do not donate, we hope you instead donate for the benefit of Ukraine!!
For those wondering how much ad revenue a website like this, with around 48,000 page views per month, can generate, the answer is: negligible.
360 SEK for 30 days, when the tax is paid, of course it only amounts to a few Obolon.
This is the result for the past 30 days, last Sunday it only yielded 24 SEK!