12:45
Cold nights in Ukraine now, temperatures are starting to creep down towards zero and it has looked quite wet.
Considering how the imperialist Russian army has performed so far, they will have difficulty maintaining combat effectiveness, which is probably very low anyway, among the newly mobilized soldiers.
Anyone think they get wooden pallets in their foxholes or trenches? They’re probably standing knee-deep in mud and look like the best mud wrestlers in some comedy where you see two slowly blinking eyelids behind a ball of mud.
If they start gathering in houses and light fires – HIMARS.
If they light fires in the field, 777 or sniper.
If they want to get out of the hole they are exposed and it’s raining anyway.
13:09
Further on drone warfare, hunter drones seem to have been delivered to Ukraine
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1579573066497413121?s=20&t=hAZl5Eo3EIqBTHxj_7chkQ
15:55
He’s a bit like a boy band that hasn’t realized it’s time to quit, in the end no one shows up.
I remember some gig in Kungsträdgården many years ago with one of those 80s perm-haired guys that time has passed by, it was just hooded kickers around the stage throwing Red Bull cans at him and the booing drowned out the beautiful singing.
Yes, I also think it can be proven that he is a Hypno Toad, it’s scientifically indisputable.
The eyelids blink slower and slower and you really sit and wait for a lightning-fast in-and-out with an unreasonably long tongue when a fly comes too close.
16:35
If we continue on cold weather, we soon have another fun connection to make here – Finnish Winter War 2.0 now that we have Kuwait Highway 2.0 multiplied many times.
The mobilized will be completely hopeless at lighting fires and sitting by them, who wants to sit alone in minus five in a hole when everyone else is warming themselves around a cozy fire. The entire Western SOF will run wild even more than so far and sabotage barbecue parties all winter.
Then there will be a general order that fires are forbidden, mandatory desecration by Kadyrov Chechens in front of the rest of the platoon if discovered, and then combat effectiveness will go negative and with some luck lots of frostbite/deaths from freezing.
There are fewer and fewer points on the risk list here, almost enough to mentally process that the West never sent armor and top-shelf fragmentation protection. Now only momentum remains but Rybar seems to feel that something big is in the making, he’s a bit worried.
(yes he is pro-Russian but his maps are quite interesting).
16:36
If we continue on cold weather, we soon have another fun connection to make here – Finnish Winter War 2.0 now that we have Kuwait Highway 2.0 multiplied many times.
The mobilized will be completely hopeless at lighting fires and sitting by them, who wants to sit alone in minus five in a hole when everyone else is warming themselves around a cozy fire. The entire Western SOF will run wild even more than so far and sabotage barbecue parties all winter.
Then there will be a general order that fires are forbidden, mandatory desecration by Kadyrov Chechens in front of the rest of the platoon if discovered, and then combat effectiveness will go negative and with some luck lots of frostbite/deaths from freezing.
There are fewer and fewer points on the risk list here, almost enough to mentally process that the West never sent armor and top-shelf fragmentation protection. Now only momentum remains but a pro-Russian blogger seems to feel that something big is in the making, he’s a bit worried.
(yes he is pro-Russian but his maps are quite interesting).
16:49
Now I get stuck in the filter again.
The video has probably been up, Erik14 at least, but I think it’s somewhat dizzying that several truckloads of ammunition have been replaced with a programmable grenade.
There are calculations on how much ammunition is needed to knock out a platoon in Xm defense and the Russians probably have 4 times everyone else’s ammunition estimate on that. The logistics are enormous, vulnerable and the weak point.
The future is definitely guided munitions but then you need intelligence gathering, otherwise it becomes the Russian version of modern war, shoot at military barracks in some city and say the whole brigade was wiped out.
We talked about 3D warfare quite early and I think it just keeps getting better and better. I also think it shows what demands are placed on a modern army but that it also requires the most fundamental – numerous and well-trained infantry and lots of materiel while also needing high technology, intelligence gathering and advanced cooperation between branches of the military.
During WW2 the German army was known for initiative at the lowest level if needed and that is a trait that never gets old no matter what war it is?
17:29
This actually sounds a bit like my house but what’s fun is that the Soviet Union is back with a bang.
Now it’s the telegram bloggers who tell all Russians how terribly awful we have it in the free West to cover up that everything has gotten worse in Russia. Everything is relative and if they don’t even wash their clothes or can afford to shower in the West, then we still have it pretty decent with a shower a month and the new olive green uniforms for everyone, adults and children alike.
https://twitter.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1580191376511098882?s=20&t=L3xdsdUU_x6VpcYydYOx1g
18:47
It can’t be very fun to be the top dog over the imperialist Russian army with great power ambitions and read something like this – yes you can continue with your rolling circus but if you bring out any nuclear weapons from storage, then there will be slaps and wedgies pronto.
It’s downright humiliating 🙂
Too bad my most hypocritical post got stuck in the filter, I’ve learned the hard way that when you repost 20 times to find the block word, all posts come through at once and you get named thread spammer of the day.
20:29
Belarusian offensive against Lviv?
We know that the Russians have sent thousands/tens of thousands of newly mobilized there and that Belarus is conducting some kind of stealth mobilization and has carried out their readiness checks of mobilized units. It’s quite a big machinery in motion now with units moving into their starting positions along the Ukrainian border.
It can only end one way because there are too many HIMARS and the minefields have been laid for a long time, everything is reconned, firing lanes cleared and fixed artillery targets logged. If one were to guess, it’s territorial forces guarding the border with a battalion-sized task force from maneuver brigades covering an area.
However, it feels like a logical Russian move because they only have one gear – more violence.
12:28
I have also thought about that, the sensible thing would probably be to withdraw and send everything up to the east of the Oskil river to try to stabilize the front.
Presumably, it’s because the Chief Frog has given orders for continued attacks and they keep going until they get orders otherwise and no one dares to ask. Then the Hypno Toad has completely forgotten that he gave that order in his ramblings, which make Hitler seem sane, but that’s another matter 🙂