The war in Ukraine 2025-05-22

Good morning!

Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-05-22

  • 870 KIA
  • 4 Tanks
  • 5 APVs
  • 32 Artillery systems
  • 105 UAVs
  • 99 Vehicles & Fuel tanks

SLAVA UKRAINI!


Updated 09:32
It’s a bit difficult to assess the situation right now as we see that Russian losses have decreased recently.

There is talk that the Russians are gathering for an offensive and thus saving manpower and equipment, but it could also be due to them starting to struggle to allocate resources.

On the other hand, the number of clashes is still high. While it could be because they are deploying fewer soldiers, etc. now than before, the simplest explanation is that the Russians are attacking just as intensely as before and that Ukraine is not able to counter as strongly.

The Russians are gaining new ground every day, unfortunately indicating that the decrease in losses may not be due to any change in Russian tactics.

It could be that Ukraine is starting to struggle to defend itself.
If that’s the case, it’s not surprising that Putin refuses to negotiate peace. Why should he when everything is going smoothly?

However, I choose to see it positively instead.

If Ukraine is not defending as fiercely, it could be because they are being more cautious to avoid their own losses and therefore choosing to retreat more often. It’s not about lacking capability but rather a conscious strategy.

Ukraine may be choosing to consolidate in order to launch heavier counterattacks later when they identify weaknesses in the Russian forces, or more likely, they are preparing for the larger Russian offensive that is rumored.

The Russian losses decreased ahead of the spring/summer offensive in 2023 that Ukraine announced they would carry out (remember #SpringIsComing).
I believe the Russians simply took it easy to save manpower and equipment to prepare, which could be exactly what Ukraine is doing now. When Ukraine’s offensive stalled and reached its peak, it was the Russians who then accelerated in October 2023.

So, I hope we will see the opposite this year.


Glömt inte att donera, Ukrainas sak är vår! Stöd Ukraina!


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