Putin’s 9 May parade is over – it was an event with almost mournful moments and highlights like when Putin tried to get Xi Jinping to drink tea, and Xi looked more than worried 
https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/VQgsibQn8Y4?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0
Then there was a pre-party, and I don’t think anyone felt it was lively when looking at the pictures – they just want to go to the hotel room and watch Netflix it seems.
We know Ukraine could have droned the parade – they closed all airports in western Russia days before and had a couple of days with drone clouds (+500 drones and some robots/per occasion) over Crimea and into the oblasts at the northern border.
Putin strutted around the parade in his platform shoes, and all the despots were out in the open even though the slightest sound made everyone glance up at the sky and look around for the nearest dictator colleague to crawl under.
Those lacking imagination always say “it would have been too risky, it would have had too great consequences,” and so on.
And forget that every time Western leaders, or Guterrez from the UN for that matter, visit Kiev, Putin places a robot a few hundred meters away.
Putin has also shelled the GUR headquarters, hotels with Western journalists, restaurants with Western journalists, and all sorts of targets with Western officers when he gets the right information – and he has tried to assassinate Zelensky 10 times.
Or 7 October…
Sometimes being the adult in the room is a bit too dull, but now we must look ahead and see what didn’t happen at the parade 
–
The USA did not send anyone to the parade as Trump said a few weeks ago, and Trump did not come out to call for peace and calm during the parade – he remained silent.
And then Fico had to travel halfway around the world to get to Moscow
The parade was intended to project strength – a strong Russia. 29 heads of state participated, including China, and 13 countries participated with troops in the parade. If we count defense ministers, it was 31 countries participating.
Last year, there were 9 heads of state participating…
Ukraine droned Moscow for three days, and then calm settled over the parade – I find it boring.
2023 was at least the low point – then it looked like this, and those who attended were the ones who would otherwise have been ousted by Putin
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Moscow_Victory_Day_Parade
One must grimly acknowledge that the dark side has organized itself despite a rather shaky start, but if the opposing team (us) does everything to facilitate, it would be strange if it didn’t happen at some point.
Then it’s starting to look like a “USA in Vietnam” situation.
Putin and Russia are under attack from the West and are only defending themselves – this narrative is gaining ground among more and more rogue states.
The post-analysis of the 9th May parade will show that the West is a bit dazed by how much Russia has managed to revive itself despite the war in Ukraine and that they may now be a more imminent threat than previously thought.
But if you have read these posts, you already knew that.
I saw the T90M, Armata was not there.
Anyway, Ukraine accuses Russia of not respecting the ceasefire during the parade – I think they could have droned the heck out of it instead of trusting Putin.
But at least now we know what was behind it – a declared ceasefire on 8-10 May.
Putin once again got away with being a slippery snake, after three years of just that.
One can guess that Europe and the USA chose the easy way out of this and insisted that Ukraine should respect the ceasefire…
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly3807exyno
Before we move on to the next conflict, I must mention that Hungary has now been hit with two biggies – their defense forces were mobilized in 2023 to enter Transcarpathia, and now in recent days, Ukraine has arrested a spy ring from Hungary’s security service operating in Transcarpathia. This should have consequences for Hungary, but the EU seems to be rolling over and falling back asleep.
How is the thaw with the USA going? It seems to be going well because JEF had a big meeting, and Trump and Zelensky were there on the link 
My earlier analysis was delivered when Trump and the USA sided with Russia in the conflict and tried to force Ukraine to cease fire. The pressure the USA could exert on Ukraine is significant, and they would have become passive, the 11th AC would have taken over the defense of the northern border against UA, and then the Ukrainian balloon would have started deflating, accepting land loss and embarking on the journey towards a peace economy.
Then Russia would have moved on the Baltics, and the EU would be unprepared with a feeling of betrayal from Ukraine, unwilling to help.
First – why would Russia move on the Baltics?
The doubters say it’s too risky, but then they forget –
-cut off 11 power cables in the Baltic Sea.
-election interference throughout the EU and USA.
-open sabotage throughout the EU on a steep rise.
-sanctions against Russia continuously increasing.
-a 9 May parade projecting strength unlike previous years.
-7 October 2023
-Zapad 2025.
-allied with Hungary, Serbia, Slovakia, Turkey so they can block a lot in the EU and NATO, as well as MANY parties and members in Western parliaments and oppositions who are in Russian favor – they will be able to block a lot of decisions.
-and most importantly, Russia is in a war economy and has a deadline where they will collapse, economists say it could happen this year if we are to believe them – did they watch the parade by the way?
-EU defense forces are increasing, and from 2026 onwards, it should start to show, the Baltics also have their defense line against Russia, which should be seriously built from 2026 onwards. By 2030, it’s definitely game over for Putin all else being equal.
If Russia doesn’t intend to crawl back into its den and fall asleep, they really only have this year to escalate the war against Europe.
MENA is already ignited, India-Pakistan is underway, and China has recently flexed its muscles in the South China Sea by taking over another country’s territory.
We can assume that Russia intends to completely lock down Europe as part of the larger plan, which includes an attack on the Baltics.
That’s the sad part that many still don’t want to believe, just like with 24 February 2022 or now India – Pakistan. This is how it goes when war breaks out – the frog is slowly boiled, more and more get involved, and in the end, you look around in astonishment and realize it’s a world war.
What I absolutely can’t figure out is the following, so here comes an alternative theory –
-Ukraine wants to continue fighting, we know that, but right now, they are pushing for a ceasefire as much as they can.
-They have a large well-equipped offensive reserve.
-Europe refuses to fortify the Baltic border against Russia in 2025, everything should be done in 2026 even though everyone knows that Russia has a strategic reserve and that NK 11th AC is on the way – and that we have Zapad25, not Zapad26.
(Putin buttered up the NK generals immensely at the parade, the only officer he stood on tiptoe for and gave a bear hug ).
For Ukraine, it would be good if Europe got involved, right?
And it would also be good if RU burned its offensive strategic reserves in the Baltics?
But to do that, the calm needs to settle in Ukraine so that Russia can start to relax.
Europe is divided, indecisive, and in other ways fails to address this. Maybe we need a couple of hard slaps?
Now that Trump has turned, we know that Ukraine is not under negative pressure, and we know that they want to bring down Russia. The only possibility to do that may be if RU suffers a blow in the Baltics, and the only way for that to happen is if RU is tempted to attack?
It has been brought up in the thread before, and Birger recently floated the idea on Substack.
I don’t have very high thoughts about Europe here, but after Trump’s sudden change, I feel that we can afford some positive thinking. This would be an optimal scenario to end the war for us.
Those of you who have followed the whole journey know roughly the following –
-I am world-leading in my analyses, and the CIA pays outrageous sums to MXT for the copyright, and then the Tax Agency takes 77%.
-Ukraine has been on the verge of deciding at least three times, what hurts the most for me is VDV near Kherson.
-Since last autumn, Ukraine has received a huge amount of heavy vehicles, and all old Eastern tanks are getting new weapon stations throughout the EU.
-Ukraine has received mine-clearing vehicles, night combat equipment, amphibious combat gear, and air landing equipment.
The equipment Ukraine has today is probably as much as the rest of the EU has deployed.
Throughout this war, Ukraine has a plan for an offensive, even into autumn 2024, which Biden/Trump torpedoed.
Europe has closed ranks, and we have just gotten rid of the steel, and Merz seems to be a really warlike German (leap of faith…).
Macron is mostly trying to take over as Macropoleon, but France is not slowing down in any way.
If you have read my posts, you also know that in 2022 I declared JEF the new black so that Ukraine would never join the toothless NATO.
JEF has taken on the role of defending the Baltic Sea and Finland – the Baltics, and Sweden is a major player here, along with the UK and the Netherlands.
Finland is now screaming at everyone, but they hardly need to be introduced further.
If Europe can help Belarus break free by allowing citizens to vote themselves to the West, which they want, and Ukraine joins, then we have the bulwark of the future against the barbarians ready.
Over time, we will fortify the border again and take care of surveillance in solidarity, with the whole EU pitching in, even the Portuguese, so that border protection doesn’t bankrupt their countries.
In all world wars, life is almost normal a few miles from the front lines, and so it will be in this upcoming world war – we have all lived through COVID and the Lehman crash, and it won’t affect life significantly more.
Just look at how little concern there was over India – Pakistan, no one cares. And yet Pakistan has promised to annihilate the whole world with nuclear weapons if they lose to India 
Ukraine now has a huge offensive capacity, and their drone weapons and EW dominate completely.
You saw how for several nights in a row there were +500 drones over oblasts, hitting the target every time.
The Russian artillery is basically wiped out, with 4000 shells per day instead of 50,000-60,000 at the start of the war (or when they started bombarding heavily when they realized everything had failed).
Ukraine’s EW system targets 50% of the objectives in strategic Russian operations.
RU suffers +80% of losses from Ukraine’s drones, and at the parade, RU’s drone weapons were a joke – they had nothing, as we saw
And all maneuver brigades can now fight Azov-style, as we saw at Bakhmut in 2023.
Ukraine is on the offensive in a numerical disadvantage of 1:3 – 1:5 and is winning, so they have the numbers to end this.
But they need a little help, and that’s what Europe is now preparing for in silence.
To believe that Europe will do everything right when Kristersson’s new candidate for the security advisor position resigned after twelve hours due to scantily clad photos may not be well-founded, but after all, we have had three years to prepare, and we know what awaits if Russia comes to us.
Merz seems to be friendly with violence, and we hope he doesn’t turn out to be eager for Lebensraum and ovens too, but he is probably the best we have in Germany right now.
Macron has a unique ability to get lost in all issues, and even though he deserves (sincere) applause for January 2024 and for taking on Trump, he never quite lands right – he always gets up and runs off in the wrong direction.
Kier is another weak card who may not make it through the entire term, but in Ukraine, he has been spot on.
If only Trump can come back to reality after his initial hubris, we could sort this out.
The USA will still want to confront China, and that journey has begun, but everything will play out in Asia. Europe will avoid being scorched this time, and we will be able to support the USA.
I cannot emphasize enough that we must sort out our eastern border – this opportunity will not come again.
If we don’t do that, there is a risk of a new Cold War, and those of us who were in the barbro groups know how tough it was.
If we manage to straighten out the eastern border by preventing Russia from stopping Belarus’ democratization and then making a deal with Kaliningrad while Russia is busy killing each other internally in a major power grab, we will have come a long way.
It will happen in 2025, and we will have Ukraine to thank for everything when this is over.
The Russian leadership will have just opened the caviar tin, and everyone will smell the scent of raw salted roe after their two divisions parked ten miles into eastern Estonia without any problem – when the first reports from Ukraine come about wildly fleeing divisions in front of Ukrainian armored wedges that no one in the command expected they had the capacity for.
Sun Tzu – appear weak when you are strong, just like Kristersson and his many security advisors
Choose me as a security advisor, long since married, and the wildest thing I do is have two beers in front of Netflix on Friday and fall asleep. My biggest skeleton in the closet is that I would refuse a PETh test on strict religious grounds.
You can also continue to show appreciation to the website now with Paypal in addition to Swish.
There is also a donation page for Ukraine on the site with organizations we have learned are legitimate and dare to donate to.
On Substack, it is valuable to me if you become free (free) or paying subscribers because then there is continuity when (rather than if) I switch platforms.
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
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Good morning!
Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-05-10
1310 KWIA
4 Tanks
7 APVs
49 Artillery systems
1 Anti-Aircraft system
36 UAVs
106 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
Glory to Ukraine!
https://bsky.app/profile/matsextrude.bsky.social/post/3los4kycwb222
It doesn’t look like the parade in Moscow has had any effect on either losses or attacks, both of which are at the same level as on other days recently.
No, the only thing seems to be significantly fewer KAB and and a little less artillery otherwise it’s pretty much the same.
Bye bye artillery
AFU: “In total, 196 combat clashes were recorded over the past 24 hours.
Yesterday, the enemy carried out 34 airstrikes on the positions of Ukrainian units and settlements, including dropping 69 guided bombs. In addition, it carried out more than 4,100 attacks, 35 of them from multiple rocket launchers, and used 2,174 kamikaze drones to destroy them.”
“1/ An ongoing crisis at Russian Railways is deepening, with a 50% cut on payments to employees and such a severe shortage of personnel that some divisions of the company are down to 40% of their intended staff numbers. Despite this, it has imposed a ban on hiring.
”
Bra
They are expected to hold a meeting of the “coalition of the willing” today.
https://bsky.app/profile/united24media.com/post/3losaz7nkpk2q
Merz has started to move, he has been quite invisible for a while.
Now damn – To Moscow
Haha, if Kristersson were to read this, he definitely has a worthy security advisor, wonderful suggestion!
Until you move to Stockholm, I hope you continue with your public analyses.
I read most of what you write with great interest, fun to wake up on Saturday and find a Swedish post! I understand your point with English, but it doesn’t come across as crisply, probably more due to my reading comprehension than your writing(-:
I’ll take it right away – can’t go worse than the predecessors I think so no need to worry about embarrassing oneself
Operational information as of 08.00 10.05.2025 on the Russian invasion
193, 196, 171, 200, 269, 253, 216, 199, 199, 177, 178, 168, 174, 156, 175, 168, 144, 165, 96, 127, 162, 143, 125, 111, 99
4, 11, 18, 4, 5, 5, 6, 8, 2, 2, 9, 6, 0, 0, 0, 4, 4, 0, 1, 2, 7, 1
4, 6, 3, 5, 7, 6, 6, 5, 6, 9, 7, 3, 4, 5, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 7, 11, 4
In total, 196 combat engagements were recorded over the past day.
#Kharkiv 6
#Kupyansk 3
#Lyman 17
#Siverskyi 8
#Kramatorsk 10
#Toretsk 15
#Pokrovsk 65
#Novopavlivka 31
#Huliaipil 0
#Orikhivsk 6
#Prydniprovsky 6
#Kursk 19
Over the past day, the aviation, missile troops and artillery of the Defense Forces
Thank you!
Danke
There is nothing that beats having your own platform. All other platforms like Medium, Substack, etc. seem good at first but eventually become a pain, for example, after facing profitability issues they get acquired by a venture capitalist who changes the monetization model. Or they get a new political profile, like Twitter. Or they just get worse because their IT team has to constantly keep busy changing everything… in that case, it’s better to just have one IT volunteer instead of a thousand working 40 hours a week. Keep it simple is my advice, and implement an email list so you can reach all readers with new posts even if the site gets shut down after the Green Party wins the election next year.
We are still experimenting – there is a heck of a lot of work behind it.
Yup, substack has a “follower” function that I recently discovered completely counteracts its purpose.
Bluesky works and seems to be managed as intended.
The “issue” with the site is that if there are no daily updates, it goes towards zero over a week. An email notification doesn’t address that. So there is more pressure on a page.
So we are brainstorming about that
USA confirms that they are preparing a plan for how private companies will be able to deliver food and supplies to Gaza, reports BBC. According to the US Ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, “distribution centers” will be protected by Israeli forces so that Hamas cannot access the supplies. – But they will not be involved in the distribution of food, or in bringing it into Gaza, says Huckabee, according to BBC. The UN has decided not to cooperate – they argue that the plan is controversial as it risks “arming” the aid. Israel’s blockade of Gaza is entering its third month, leading to a humanitarian disaster for 2.1 million Gazans.
https://omni.se/a/25xkGx
The UN opposes food being distributed to the needy civilian population and not to Hamas or other criminal groups.
Is this about caring for Hamas or because their UN employees have stolen some of the aid to supplement their salary?
The majority of the UN consists of dictatorships, one-party states, or similar and are not democracies.
Actively working against Western countries, so why we give them money and hold them on a pedestal is incomprehensible. Keeping them at arm’s length or more would be preferable.
I understand a little how they think, but the most important thing is probably to get supplies if the situation is as bad as described.
The UN should probably offer to deploy soldiers for protection themselves.
Clearly they do not want to. Worth considering.
It’s not like Hamas has invaded Gaza, they are legally elected by the population and still have a lot of support. Then you also have to accept certain consequences if you continue to support these terrorists.
Their UN soldiers in Lebanon were half-hearted with Hamas – it doesn’t work
The whole west’s organizations have supported Hamas, Hezbollah, etc.
The UN is lost.
IF the USA does this, they have shown an interesting side.
Came in a bit late today again…
Well, the USA is on the right track. Hamas should not get their hands on any of the aid. So far, everything from the UN has gone through them, which has meant that the people have received the bare minimum and the rest has gone to private accounts, terrorist weapons, and the martyr fund.
Hamas’ goal is the eradication of Israel, the people in Gaza as a recruitment base for warriors, and a pool for women and children to exploit for propaganda purposes to turn Western opinion against Israel.
“Merz seems to be friends with violence and we can only hope that he doesn’t turn out to be keen on lebensraum and ovens as well, but he is probably the best we have right now in Germany.”
Ouch!
Sounds like they are on the verge of de-escalating.
“The first phone call between India and Pakistan is reported to take place this morning, according to Reuters citing CNN-News18. The call comes after the countries exchanged fire with rockets and drones overnight. According to reports, Pakistan has also expressed openness to a meeting with representatives from India.”
https://omni.se/a/pPevPW
Or not.
“Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has now commented on last night’s military operation against India, reports AFP.
– Today we have given India a fitting response and avenged the blood of innocent people shed,” Sharif said in a meeting with the country’s political leaders.”
https://omni.se/pakistans-premiarminister-har-gett-ett-passande-svar/a/934Qrl
It’s probably more about domestic politics than foreign, now they have flexed their muscles and will do some opinion polls.
India and Pakistan will not be able to calm down the escalated situation around the border province of Kashmir on their own. Several observers, whom AFP has spoken to, agree on this. “In this case, emotions are so strong and suspicion is so great that international mediation will be crucial,” says Michael Kugelman, an Asia analyst based in Washington.
Probably not as Russia and China are fueling the conflict.
“
Kremlin rejects 30-day ceasefire as long as Ukraine receives weapons, Peskov says.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected the idea of a 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, claiming in an interview with ABC News on May 10 that it would be “an advantage” for Ukraine.”
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3losisaatds2p
Great
“Historic moment in Kyiv: For the first time since the war began, the leaders of the UK (Starmer), France (Macron), Germany (Merz), and Poland (Tusk) have arrived together. Alongside President Zelensky and the First Lady, they visited the Independence Square memorial.”
Na Moskva
Russia has started to upgrade along its border with Finland, as shown in satellite images that SVT News has access to. The images show, among other things, new storage facilities for vehicles and tent camps for soldiers.
In line with what the Wall Street Journal wrote the other week
https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/russia-military-nato-europe-finland-ff53b912
WHO says this all the time, who
Maskirovka!
Build hangars! It looks good even if they are empty!
Maskirovka is a good word to keep in mind!
“Russian 2S43 “Malva” 152 mm SPH destroyed in Kursk/Belgorod region.”
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3losjgpx3xk2b
No one reacted to MXT, but that is the newest RU has
Had…
Thank you for the interesting analysis! Southeastern Baltics lie deserted and inviting, that’s what it looks like. Perhaps Western troops could make the biggest difference there? Even though Macropoleon probably wishes to expand on that, along with Merz.
Na Moskva
Thank you too, by the way
The thing I absolutely can’t figure out is the following so here comes an alternative theory –
– Ukraine wants to continue fighting, that we know, but right now they are pushing for a “ceasefire” as much as they can.
Now we’re getting into game theory
I believe that UA is simply running a double bluff. Neither UA nor RU actually want a ceasefire, but both want to achieve their respective goals (UA wants to drive out RU and regain lost territory, while RU wants to conquer UA). But in the situation where both parties were reluctant regarding the ceasefire, the pressure from the USA on UA with restricted deliveries and access to intelligence came into play. UA then became the weaker party and simply had to deal with it. RU says they want peace, but of course, it’s just a bluff. UA is now calling their bluff with a bluff of their own, claiming to want a 30-day ceasefire well aware that RU will not agree to it, but UA ends up in a better position and receives new weapon deliveries and intel, which is better than not getting it.
But definitely an interesting scenario if there is a ceasefire now, RU relaxes and moves into the Baltics, and UA opens a new front!
Agreed. Ukraine probably does not want a ceasefire now. Playing along in a nasty game. Looks successful so far.
I don’t think anyone other than Trump wants a ceasefire right now.
I agree!
You manage to describe it excellently
Well thought out, I believe Ry would actually like a ceasefire to build up strength for an offensive when the ceasefire ends. Ry cannot end the war without a victory, then the regime falls, and Putler himself will get a taste of the war machine he has built up.
It is indeed a bit strange with the treatment of the security advisor.
We have extremely vulgar parades in the city and the whole public applauds. We have extremely vulgar “Shameless whore” and “Miss busty” (if I remember correctly) reading fairy tales to children and the whole public applauds.
Mr. Thyberg has sent a dick pic in a semi-closed forum. Now the public is so upset that he cannot hold the very important public job as a security advisor, to which he has been appointed. With the reservation that I have not seen the picture, and do not want to see it, the reaction is peculiar. For once, perhaps the first time, I largely agree with what Jonas Gardell says.
https://www.expressen.se/kultur/jonas-gardell/halla-det-ar-inte-50-talet-langre/
Now I haven’t read much about what others have thought about the matter and don’t know what kind of images they actually are but that he is homosexual and has posted pictures is not really something to be shocked about.
The problem is that the presence of these images should have been revealed earlier, either he should have told about it himself or they should have been found during the background check. The images are something that could potentially be used against him, and since he hasn’t mentioned them himself, it makes one suspect that it’s actually something he doesn’t want to come out.
As I wrote yesterday, if he had been smart, he could have neutralized it by releasing the images himself and said something like “I don’t see the problem, didn’t think you were judged for your sexual orientation here in Sweden and could never imagine it would have any security implications.”
Otherwise, I agree with Gardell.
However, do these images have any security significance? One might think that he could have easily dismissed someone who threatened to spread the images for extortion purposes with a nonchalant: Oh well (so what)!
In any case, a less panicked response would have been desirable. One could have taken a moment to think first.
I don’t know that, it depends on the images and how he perceives it himself.
And maybe it’s not just a pure security issue, but also a media issue. If social media were filled with the images, it might not look so good in parts of the world where there is a different view on homosexuality. Of course, it’s shady but a reality to consider.
Since he has obscured the images, we can conclude that they are sensitive to him.
Hardly surprising, who would want to see their most intimate private life exposed?
And since he obscured when he was supposed to disclose, he is not suitable.
Lynx!
Well, your argumentation is convincing. But can’t one imagine that he didn’t reflect on the matter? Or is that naive?
Exactly, he has edited these images. What else has he edited?
He has also actively worked to support gay boys in Ukraine during his time as an ambassador. It is possible that he has handled this admirably, but if he was straight and posted highly pornographic material of himself, maybe that’s not something you include on your CV if you were to support vulnerable girls. Sometimes there are different standards.
However, has he really “darkened” them? In the security interviews I have participated in, I have never been asked if I have sent/posted any ambiguous pictures or the like. The closest they have come is the question “is there anything else you think we should know that we haven’t already discussed.” And if it is indeed a “calling card” that has been sent, perhaps he did not consider it very serious and therefore not relevant to bring up in a security interview.
Sooner or later, the pictures will probably come out, it will be very interesting to see what kind of pictures they are. A nude picture/dick pic or similar will probably lead to criticism of Uffe for some sort of homophobia. If it is something more morally questionable or illegal, then one can understand Uffe’s reaction, even though in that case it also reflects back on him since apparently recruitment cannot be successful.
Left of center, HBQT+1 likes when they are not moderates
Personally, I don’t think there was a reason to resign but apparently it was sensitive.
I have wondered if it was the whole truth but read a couple of sources saying that it was.
The email to the government came 33 minutes after the appointment…
We probably shouldn’t rule out a Russian operation here?
I have attended interpreter school and worked, among other places, at the embassy in Moscow and been an ambassador in Ukraine, of course the Russians have had a lot of information about him. It only makes it even worse, with that on his CV one should have been more thorough in their investigation. If you don’t dare to ask sensitive questions or if he has lied his way through the entire interview.
Perhaps it’s time for Kristersson to resign as well, even if it risks becoming a similar circus as when Löfven resigned.
Last time they sent an Oreshnik to Kyiv, they also closed the airspace.
“Russia may close airspace over Kapustin Yar, site of Oreshnik ballistic missile launch, on May 12-13. A notice about the airspace closure was published on the U.S. Defense Department’s NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) website on May 10.”
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3losmqnicok2p
https://kyivindependent.com/russia-to-reportedly-close-airspace-over-kapustin-yar-site-of-oreshnik-ballistic-missile-launch-on-may-12-13/
Thank you for not bombing the May 9th parade
Ukraine would have done it but the West probably asked them to respect the ceasefire
I believe that many of the leaders who were in Moscow at the parade had probably received an offer they couldn’t resist. Putin simply needed them there as human shields, Xi’s presence is a bit strange, but I think his involvement weighed heavily in Ukraine’s decision not to drone.
Xi may have been there to signal against the USA, a way of saying “don’t try to turn Russia against us, we own Russia”.
Denmark will allocate 830 million euros from frozen
Russian assets to finance the purchase of weapons from 
Ukrainian manufacturers”
Finally, the money is coming in cash
Thank you johanno1, it’s an interesting turn of events from the USA for sure. I think it’s related to the realization that they can’t be antagonistic towards the whole world. They simply have to cooperate with Europe, which among other things means they have to take Europe’s security more seriously – cozying up to Moscow is not a viable option.
Furthermore, one can also observe that their trade war with China isn’t going so well at the moment. China’s exports to the rest of the world have increased more than they have decreased to the USA.
Regarding Ukraine, I believe that they (like Europe) don’t think that Moscow will agree to a 30-day ceasefire. This is a way to put pressure on Moscow, making it appear as the party that doesn’t want peace. Moreover, China has been standing by Moscow’s side, watching the parade. The USA can see with their own eyes their strategic cooperation, and presumably even the kakistocrats in Washington understand the signal in the end.
Kakistocrat
That’s roughly what I believe too.
I still keep an eye on Trump as he sometimes changes his words but not his actions, but it looks promising.
Really upset about the ceasefire during the parade…
Kim’s exports were supposed to increase, but if the US gets the EU to impose trade tariffs against China for some reason, it won’t happen.
And China supports Russia in Ukraine and has taken a slice of Vietnam – probably more to come.
However, has he really “covered up” them? In the security interviews I have participated in, I have never been asked if I have sent/posted any ambiguous pictures or the like. The closest they have come is the question “is there anything else you think we should know that we haven’t already discussed.” And if it is indeed a “calling card” that has been sent, perhaps he did not consider it very serious and therefore not relevant to bring up in a security interview.
Sooner or later, the pictures will probably come out, it will be very interesting to see what kind of pictures they are. A nude picture/dick pic or similar will likely lead to criticism of Uffe for some sort of homophobia. If it is something more morally questionable or illegal, then one can understand Uffe’s reaction, even though in that case it also reflects back on him since apparently recruitment cannot be successful.
The Taliban are involved in the war against Pakistan
The Russians embraced the Taliban some time ago.
India and Pakistan have agreed to a “complete and immediate” ceasefire, according to US President Donald Trump on Truch social. The agreement is said to have been preceded by a long night of American mediation. The information has not been confirmed by the respective countries.
According to news on SVT, India has confirmed it.
1.2.3… bomb in New Delhi and anti-Hindu graffiti on some temple.
RU has entered this now
Låter nästan för bra för att vara sant.
You will like this
https://bsky.app/profile/johanno1.bsky.social/post/3lot37ivobs2h
Now you will feel sick, do you mean?
What have I done – more people got sick?
Jävla ryssjävlar – as soon as the parade is over they bomb Ukraine again
It’s damn Pearl Harbor this
Thank you Johan
For my full support to National Security Advisor
Can you hear that Uffe, the people are voting for me
Tack själv PD
I see that people are voting for me as a security advisor.
What do you think MXT about a binding referendum above –
Who should be the next security advisor
– Honest-Johan
– corrupt moderate who always oversleeps and wastes your tax money
I categorize the posts so in a few hours, there will be white smoke coming from the chimney of the Sager House
Yes, thank you, I am waiting to be picked up in a small Toyota and formally accept the mission amidst the cheers of the people
Hello Johan & co!
Just wanted to drop by and say hello to you.
My admirers all over the world have been nagging me for so long to do it.
Both of you weren’t in agreement, but 50% is good
Johan’s analysis today looks good… from a distance anyway since I have poor eyesight.
SLAVA UKRAINI
Nice that you’re back from Moscow and the parade
Too bad the fuse to the gunpowder pile under the spectator stands didn’t ignite, but we have a year to find rat-proof material.
Gammelman does the best he can!
Nice to see you!!!
I’ve been to a 40th birthday party (yes, not my own of course, I am much younger than that, at least mentally) and just saw your post now.
Thank you.
I intend to follow this page now, though a bit sparingly with comments.
A man in my position unfortunately has many world-leading international assignments
Release the eagles in a cloud over Mordor
With that proposal, you emerge as an equal candidate to Johan for the position of security advisor.
Yes
We can split the service between all 3.
I’ll arrange the Thursday drinks
What the hell
Except it is a Turkish designed Y-III which is used by Pakistan.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lotpn6p4kc25
Perhaps not entirely successful to kick an undetonated drone that has crashed.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lotplzmxjc25
A guy with nine lives
At 00:00, Putin will reportedly hold a press conference with international media present (BBC, NBC, CNN). Russian sources say the topic will likely be Ukraine.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lots42wkys2b
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lots35jgs225
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lotrypy2ik2b
00:00 is probably at 11 PM in our time zone
What did it become?
Maybe he died on the way to the microphone…
Putin would like people to wait so that he can feel important.
I don’t have the energy to wait, so I’m going to bed in pure protest.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lotwfbv5uk2h
Now Putin will be upset!
So kind of the USA to allow Germany to give robots to Ukraine.
“
US approves transfer of 125 long-range missiles, 100 Patriot missiles from Germany to Ukraine, NYT reports.
The American-made weapons cannot be exported, even by a country that owns them, without approval from the U.S. government.”
https://bsky.app/profile/kyivindependent.com/post/3lotx5m6tcs2v
At least a small improvement in the way the USA handles Ukraine.
Are you all asleep here?
The youth is incredibly lazy nowadays.
I remember with longing the time when I hiked in Germany for 30 years, then there were early mornings with a few refreshing skirmishes without silly drones.
Ah, we don’t really have the same tradition of hanging out in yesterday’s threads since we usually have today’s posts ready around seven already. We are a bit faster than LW at Cornu
Today there is a new post about Ukraine and a post about the declining birth rates.
Click on HOME to see them in the list!