Last analysis of Trump et.al January 21, 2026

It’s time to use the process of elimination to figure out what the USA is up to now with Trump at the helm – we’ll stop guessing.

The USA, and now Trump, has always been polarizing, and people either love or hate them. This has had some influence on how they have been treated, of course, but historically in Europe, we have looked up to the USA as the guarantor of peace, prosperity, good movies, and tasty hamburgers.

In the 80s, when watching movies from the USA and seeing the standard of living they had, there was a bit of envy in Europe. In Sweden, when we got McDonald’s, the sitting government at the time opened Clock to compete with them all the way to Japan, and while the whole of Sweden was driving green Volvo 245s, the USA had the SUV as the people’s car.

The sitting governments in Sweden also had a plethora of regulations we had to follow, while in the USA, it was the opposite – the fewer regulations, the better, and that was a winner. Perhaps our adoption of the law of Jante, instead of the winning mentality the USA had, played a part in this.

Someone has said that the world is driven by greed, but that it is not necessarily a negative thing. All companies operate with the goal of selling a product and making money – and that is what builds a country.

Then there are different levels of hell where a fair distribution system is better than everything going to the strong. In that aspect, Europe, especially Northern Europe, has long been at the forefront, but our social system is now under such intense pressure that it will probably undergo fundamental changes, and the image of Sweden will take another hit.

WW2 was a Europe that surrendered in two months, and a USA that eventually saw the benefits of sorting out our misery, but they also thought ahead and gave half of Europe to the Soviet Union to keep Europe weak, divided, and scared so they could sell us security at five times the market price.

Plan B for the USA in WW2 was to bring down the British Empire, and it succeeded beyond expectations, so Pax Americana took over where they stood unchallenged at the top.

During the Cold War, the Soviet Union and the USA divided the world into different geographical areas – yours, mine, and where we can fight so it looks like we are mortal enemies.

As a Swede and a bit older, everyone remembers “DDR Sweden,” and the Finns never smile beyond their eyes anymore, it has been so difficult to live in the shadow of the Soviet Cold War.

It’s interesting why all the political parties in parliament have agreed not to open the STASI archives.

The nuclear arms race in the 80s, with over 55,000 nuclear weapons that could wipe out the earth several times over, was money paid to the companies or state actors that built them – a colossal flow of money by dangling the Soviet threat.

In the 70s, the USA received petrodollars and has since then had the golden pants on – they can print as much money as they want without devaluing their currency, and they defend those golden pants with violence.

Libya and Iraq felt this firsthand when they started selling their oil in EUR because they thought it was their oil to sell as they saw fit.

In 1989 and onwards, the Soviet puppet show collapsed, and Europe became free. We immediately began establishing cooperation in the EU, inviting all the Eastern bloc countries and adopting the EUR.

Depending on how you look at it, the EU is close to the top along with China and the USA in everything, defense, economy, entrepreneurship, population.

There is a risk that China is lying about its population statistics, so the EU is definitely a power player that has risen post-Cold War.

Today there are four actors instead of two during the Cold War –

-China, to which Europe and the USA ceded market share, has made a journey in the last 30 years that should have been impossible. Bribes evidently work, but now they have wised up and stand at the top, shaking slightly.

-The USA, living on past glories and running on fumes, but with all the ambitions to stand at the top of the podium again.

-Russia, with imperial ambitions but is a glorified gas station run by a criminal clan.

-The EU, with a long history but also being the ones who have behaved the worst towards the outside world for centuries, including all the other three. However, beyond that, it could offer an attractive alternative to the petrodollar and be a global conscience if we are just left in peace to get ourselves in order.

If one were to delve deeper into history, one might discover that attempts to divide and weaken Europe are not new – now, that’s not the whole truth at all, but American banks did contribute some of the money to Hitler so he could build up his strength. The rest of the truth is that all of Europe helped build up Hitler’s military power, no matter how irresponsible that may sound…

That was the background leading up to where we stand today with the USA.

After the turn of the millennium, we have also seen a USA that started wars in the MENA region for economic gain. Few today believe that the Iraq War was justified, and everyone knows that the USA created ISIS.

Early on, the USA began training Ukrainian officers around 2000, and they were influential in 2014, even though no one addressed the problematic child Putin at all when he first invaded Ukraine.

In 2022, I still believed that the USA (and Europe…) would do the right thing because one would have to search far and wide for a more black-and-white conflict.

Everything I had learned during my upbringing about the USA and Europe indicated that we would do the right thing, or else the war would come to us – it was so clear that everyone could see it.

At times, we learned that the Russian hydra was deeply infiltrated in Europe, especially in Germany, and the dark secret that Europe’s leaders carry – they are personally terrified of Putin.

The USA showed an undeniable willingness that things should not go too badly for Russia; they leaked Ukraine’s battle plans, withheld weapon deliveries, hindered Ukraine when things were going too well, and forced them into making many bad decisions.

We know this because Ukraine has spoken to us about it – no guesswork.

This is still Joe Biden and his administration, and I have written many texts in pure disappointment.

A few highlights –

-In the fall of 2022, the entire VDV west of the Dnieper and Zalizhny wanted to attack down along the eastern side of the Dnieper to encircle them. It was a low point for Russia, and losing the VDV in its entirety could have likely ended the war. The USA flatly refused when Putin called Biden and threatened with nuclear weapons, so Ukraine had to retake Kharkiv instead, and the VDV retreated in good order across the Dnieper.

-In the winter of 2023, Ukraine invaded Belgorod Oblast, which was completely undefended. They were not allowed to use Western weapons or Ukrainian soldiers, so they used Eastern weapons and Russian volunteers – they had to retreat immediately after loud criticism from Europe and the USA.

-I think it was in the summer of 2023 when Ukraine drone-struck oil installations in Novorossiysk, and the USA blew up in their faces. Zelensky referred to it as receiving a red card.

-In general, during 2023-2024, the USA intermittently halted support as soon as things started going well for Ukraine, and when Europe wanted to increase support, the USA prevented Europe from sending equipment. They did this by identifying “Made in USA” components in our weapon systems, or if they were bought from the USA in their entirety, and threatened us with contract breaches if we sent the weapons – for example, Sweden wanted to send JAS Gripens early, but we were unlucky to have American engines in them.

In 2023, Ukraine would launch a counteroffensive that few, except Johan No.1, believed they were planning. The USA and Europe forced Ukraine to use new units trained to NATO standards and to attack according to NATO doctrine, but not where Ukraine wanted, but in the most heavily fortified area along the entire front – towards Tokmak.

The minefields were 10km deep, and Putin had already obtained the entire battle plan leaked to him by Europe and the USA, as well as traitors in Ukraine.

The offensive turned into a disaster – Ukraine did not have air superiority, so the Russians’ Ahkp and attack aircraft caused significant damage. Russia knew exactly where to concentrate their forces, and the new brigades did not know how to fight because they had only completed the basic course in personal soldier skills in Europe.

Ukraine quickly deployed experienced brigades, but the spring offensive of 2023 was a major failure.

(In hindsight, I wonder if the ulterior motive was to get Ukraine to give up fighting from the US side, but that would be a bit too malevolent even for the USA, so I don’t feel I can pursue that line).

The Wagner coup was betrayed by someone, I don’t know who, but the FSB was one step ahead, and it was an ambitious attempt at a palace coup in June 2023. Ukraine was aware of it because their spring offensive was part of the bigger picture, but the FSB went to all the unit commanders’ families and put a gun to the children’s heads. The sensible generals involved in the war were also part of the coup, and the purges probably continued for quite some time in Russia even if they kept it under wraps.

In the summer of 2024, Ukraine had enough and did not inform anyone about the autumn offensive, even though Johan No.1 wrote that it was coming because there were units in the area.

Putin received no warning from the USA or Europe, and since the USA absolutely prohibited offensives into Russia, the Russian border defense was caught off guard when Ukraine crossed the border.

They had a bit of bad luck; their first attack columns penetrated deep, but they had to retreat to defensive positions immediately. If they had been able to continue, it could have ended in a disaster for Putin.

All of this is before Trump, and Ukraine is now quite skeptical of the USA in general, so when Trump wins the election, the hope is high that Trump will do the right thing.

But Trump turned out to be a much worse alternative than Biden, and I have had a couple of theories about why, which we will now try to narrow down through the process of elimination.

First, we had “Agent Krasnov,” that Trump is completely in the hands of Russia and is tasked with undermining the USA by pushing his “America First” agenda, alienating all allies, and polarizing the country to the point of deadlock.

The year Trump has been in power has certainly been tumultuous domestically, and ICE is becoming today’s version of an embryo of Hitler’s SA.

But Trump has also shown a strong willingness to try to buy the midterm elections for cash – bread for the people.

Then there was the attack on Venezuela and the kidnapping of Maduro, which neither Russia nor China desired, but it was very beneficial for the USA as they now control 56% of the world’s oil reserves.

Based on how the USA and Trump have acted in 2025 and 2026, it does not support the theory that he does everything Putin says at all; however, he and the USA treat Russia with some kind of kid gloves, much better than the EU.

Furthermore, we have discussed that Trump has survived everything, even though Epstein might be able to bring him down, and he has the money, so Putin should not be able to hold him in a vise with compromising material or bribe him to do his bidding.

He probably wants Russian know-how and compromising material on his political opponents to strengthen his own power.

Secondly, Trump may have some kind of noble agenda to revive Europe so that we start taking care of ourselves after 30 years of decline (for which Russia is largely to blame), and that we should actually be grateful. I always receive those comments on my posts about Trump.

When Trump gained momentum, we quickly had Venezuela, Greenland, and the Kurds on the agenda.

If anyone defends Trump’s actions regarding Greenland, they are mistaken and have ideological blinders on; Greenland is unequivocally bad for Europe.

Trump: we must defend Greenland against China and Russia, so the USA will take it over.

Europe: okay, Mr. Trump, we will immediately reinforce Greenland with troops, we will defend Greenland.

Trump: what the HELL, now I will slowly tariff-kill you for your audacity, give me Greenland or die by navy seals’ Rambo knives.

Next was the Kurds, where the USA went and gave an old ISIS commander the key to all of Syria, and now they are trying to disarm the Kurds, which could ultimately lead to an ISIS 2.0 in the MENA region.

The situation in Venezuela was to show South America who is the king and to whom they should give all their natural resources.

Thirdly, there is undeniable evidence that Trump sees all of this as personal business, “if you want this, you have to pay a billion – everything is up for grabs to the highest bidder.” In a country where corruption has been renamed lobbying and greed is considered noble, he has taken it to new heights. Old alliances and noble intentions are overridden by whoever sends the largest gratuity to Trump’s mosaic of channels for receiving bribes. It’s true and appalling to see; he should be tarred and feathered just for that. But this is Trump’s sideshow that he runs because he can.

Fourthly, the USA tried to bring Russia on board against China, and this explains their entire behavior – it is often marketed. It might be true to some extent, but if nothing else, it has failed completely, and I know a much simpler way to achieve it – a palace coup in Russia and a new USA-friendly regime through Navalny?

And fifthly, this is just Trump. Previously, under Biden and all other presidents, the USA was the epitome of goodness. As already disproven above, there are no guesses, which means that when Trump is removed, we still have the overarching problem remaining.

So, what is happening?

Below is the clearest possible description of what the USA is currently engaged in; there is a small white area on the map that is still unknown – the USA’s relationship with China.

Between 2026-2027, we will have undeniable evidence regarding that relationship, as the USA will either go to war with China or not.

1. Before Trump, the USA saw Europe and the EU as a growing threat, both as a strong voice for the current world order and also the EUR as a nuclear bomb against the petrodollar.

Thirty-five years ago, the world order created by the USA in 1945 collapsed, leaving a weak, divided, and frightened Europe that submitted to the USA and bought everything they sold us at five times the market price.

Instead of the weak theory that the USA tried to bring Russia on board against China, it is more likely that the USA wants Russia as an open wound in Europe’s side to keep us divided, weak, and afraid, and that is why they are working against Ukraine.

In this power game, Ukraine fails to crash Russia and now in 2025-2026, Trump has stopped all LV deliveries so Ukraine would be down to zero just in time for Putin to start his operation to turn off the lights when it got cold – coordinated and malicious.

As Russia is running out of gas in general, it also seems like the USA has taken over threats and hostility towards Europe. In 2025, he traveled to all countries and shamed their leaders. He has tried to politically torpedo Zelensky with ALL AVAILABLE MEANS, and he has used all soft pressures he has to persuade Europe to fall back asleep.

When that didn’t work, he had to start arguing about Greenland, which is directly ridiculous unless the Arctic brigade has received orders to go to “Minnesota” and a CAG in the Atlantic has shut down the transponders.

2. Russia, probably China, and the USA have a loosely held understanding to divide the world between them into geographical areas of interest where the USA gets South America, China gets Southeast Asia, and Russia re-establishes the Soviet Union.

This has now been communicated so clearly that it cannot be misunderstood – Europe should stay away from Ukraine, Japan is reprimanded sharply by Trump when they want to defend Taiwan, and China/Russia threw Venezuela under the bus.

What is not their core geographical areas they promised not to go to war for each other are proxy arenas where they will fight in a game for the galleries, and then there are also “may the best man win” pucks. But everyone knows the rules and doesn’t need to guess and be cautious.

3. All three want a weak, divided, and scared Europe because they remember with pain what usually happens when Europe gets carried away, and that Germany, Italy, France, UK, and Japan standing on the same side gives them nightmares.

If the USA goes to war with China, I was wrong – and I welcome it.

If this is our new calibration now, what else will happen?

1. The USA/Trump will continue, together with Russia, to counter Europe’s support for Ukraine and Europe’s attempts to rise.

2. China, Russia, and the USA will do their utmost to make the upcoming financial crash hit Europe the hardest, and Russia together with the USA will try to get more countries in Europe on their side.

Trump has tried to force the UK into passivity by threatening to withdraw the new agreement they have with the USA, for example.

3. further escalations from everyone, who do you think will reach Iceland first – the USA or Russia, but Europe won’t take any chances anyway.

Svalbard will have to be defended by Norway in the future, and Africa is (once again…) a proxy arena.

Trump has recently threatened Macron, again…

Greenland is happening with direct approval from Russia – see how Hungary reacts to that.

The USA tried to pressure judges in France not to go after Le Pen.

Can you let go of either “everything is Trump’s fault, not the USA” or “Trump has a 5D plan we don’t yet understand” and instead accept that the USA is trying by all means to bring Europe back into a cold war where we are weak, divided, and scared so everything becomes much easier to understand.

Although I am currently in the Caribbean, my loyalty lies with Europe. Previously, my suggestion was that we should forgive the USA and join forces with them against China and Russia. That was in August 2025 when Trump blew us off, realizing his mistake and promising to make amends.

Today in 2026, I am of the opinion that it is not possible because the USA does not want us to be strong at all.

So, what can Europe do then?

1. Build up defense forces in Europe, arm for war, and prepare citizens for war – it should thunder from the church services and be tough advertising for violent rearmament on TV.

2. SUPPORT UKRAINE

3. Claw back production from China, Europe first, let the sinophobia flow.

4. Secure natural resources through Canada, Greenland, and Africa.

5. Proclaim Russia as our archenemy in everything and treat them accordingly throughout Europe.

6. Sort out Hungary and Slovakia but within the framework of EU legislation, countries in Europe can support the opposition, for example, it is not a natural law that Orban and Fico can continue like this.

7. Accept that the best possible outcome for Europe is if Russia collapses, Belarus has its revolution, and Kaliningrad is demilitarized.

8. Play along with USA treason WITHOUT exposing ourselves.

9. Prepare for the upcoming financial crash and think of Europe first, capital is easily swayed and only listens to security and strength.

10. Let go of the details and stop micromanaging states in the small matters but expand cooperation in the big issues and let countries take the lead. For example, the northern flank where Scandinavia, Germany, Poland, and the Baltic states together with Ukraine through JEF (and the Netherlands + UK) take over the guard duty against Russia in the future, and the EU pays.

Italy et al. will take care of the Mediterranean and France something else peripheral so they don’t get gloomy, maybe shrimp farming in the North Sea? – we don’t need inexperienced EU bureaucrats for such things, just functional cooperation within the EU between countries.

It’s not that difficult, and the first test will of course be the financial crash that is on the way, but the fear of Putin and bribes stand in the way – start rooting out the traitors by collaborating with Russia is to assist a “state sponsor of terrorism” and apply terrorism laws to them.

We’ll open a prison camp on Iceland or Greenland where Greider will chop ice cubes as food.

As I said, I have the distinct feeling that there is a list of evil deeds the team is working through that they have already discussed, so there will probably be more in 2026.

It seems that the Supreme Commander also knows, all of you who have laughed yourselves silly at the Baltics.