Ukraine survived the winter – will they survive the Russian bastards in the summer?
What do we know?
Ukraine is currently plowing up the entire Crimea (almost) – the LV screen is virtually non-existent and Ukraine is arbitrarily targeting goals on the peninsula.
A Ukrainian counteroffensive in Dnipropetrovsk oblast is going excellently, and UA has carried out local counteroffensives on all fronts that have gone extremely well.
Twitter is filled with videos of a Ukrainian soldier dropping a T62 mine into some opening in the ground and then seven Russian flags being extinguished in the video.
Russian winter offensive has not achieved its attack goals at all – they are behind schedule.
Russian strategic targeting of UA electrical infrastructure did not cripple the country, even though Trump withdrew all LV support just as that campaign was about to begin.
UA’s strategic targeting has new robots and drones at their disposal that RU cannot shoot down. In an operation against Novorossiysk recently, 4-5 ships were damaged, and they have good LV protection as it is a very sensitive target.
UA has also targeted the arms industry – Iskander factory, factory for wire coils for FPV drones, Geran factory, and many other important targets. Since RU’s robots and drones currently have parts from 2025 and the drone numbers decreased weeks after the factory and warehouses were targeted, it is likely that they are disrupting the supply chains.
UA has expanded its zone for “fpv drones” considerably and now has access to MLRS and rear functions that were previously protected.
I almost get a feeling of 2022 and 2023, mostly 2022.
In 2023, Ukraine targeted the mother depot in Luhansk and Wagner’s indirect fire was silenced for a month due to the significant impact on the supply chain.
RU has been conducting a persistent offensive since the fall of 2023, and Ukraine has rested units as best they could – most recently, there is a sparse picket line of infantry and drone units at the fronts, so where is the rest, one might ask?
The winter has been harder on RU units than UA units because the Russians are poorly organized in their DNA and do not care.
Now we are in a time of wet clothes and cold nights, even though both sides have started to significantly expand their underground termite mounds with subterranean structures.
You can’t light a fire because the FPV drone will be there in a minute.
We circle back to my post in 2023 about the UA offensive – they were to isolate a battalion with indirect fire all around so that neither maintenance nor task forces could advance, as the area was mined at a distance again, and there was drone observation (and other observation…) almost in real-time.
The defense would have FPV drones above them, and when they eventually take up firing positions, they are exposed, and at that time, it was probably ATACMS air-burst ammunition that would rain down on them.
And finally, attacking forces with direct fire from tanks at long range, “Azov-style,” cleared the fortifications.
We have seen all of this in 2024 when the strategic offensive reserve began to fight, and now the fighting has spread to all fronts.
RU is currently screaming on social media, crying.
The only thing missing from UA is to increase the pressure with more units, and this is where the reserve behind the strategic offensive reserve comes in – they must have rested and equipped a significant number of brigades since the fall of 2023.
Spring is approaching, UA pre-emptive strikes are hard to miss, and they have offensive capability.
So what does RU have?
They have reached a dead end.
Their mechanized offensives have ended in death throughout 2025 – the 76th GAAD, which was one of the better ones, bled out on the ground.
UA is fighting OFFENSIVELY with a loss ratio of 1:5, RU loses everything when they attack.
They have managed to deplete their infantry as ammunition in constant small offensives, BUT AS SOON AS Ukraine goes on the counteroffensive, the defense hides in their bunkers and is motivated to surrender with T62 mines modified for bunker clearing.
The Russian team cannot handle defensive warfare at all, and they have solved it by artificially maintaining the initiative since 2023 with a constant flow of human sacrifices.
Their FPV drone weapons are now neutralized with UA drone interceptors, but RU does not have the same capability in the same quantity, so UA FPV drones are effective.
RU’s digital battlefield, which China manages for them, was weaker in mobile warfare as we guessed, and furthermore, Ukraine is targeting the capabilities in the nearby area such as FPV drone groups, artillery, and EW weapons. The FAB traps have been ensured by the USA/Trump/Biden that Ukraine never had any countermeasures against at all, as they would have likely lost the war already, which would have been unfortunate.
The third leg of the UA war machine, in addition to expendable ammunition in the form of infantry and a potent FPV drone weapon, was the USA/Trump/Biden.
In 2022, the USA prevented Zalizhny from attacking on the eastern side of the Dnieper to capture VDV and potentially end the war when Russia was at an absolute low point.
After a tense autumn, Russia managed to stabilize the situation through mobilization.
In the winter of 2023, the USA and Europe actually prevented Ukraine from attacking into Russia, and before the summer offensive of 2023, the USA leaked all battle plans to Russia (along with others, of course…) and forced Ukraine to fight according to NATO doctrine.
In stages, the USA and Europe withheld critical supplies when things were going too well for Ukraine, forcing them to abruptly halt activities that were successful.
They also forced Ukraine to attack the best-fortified areas of the fronts, and after Surovikin re-mined everything, the hope was probably that Ukraine would give up after that and seek peace, but that did not happen – very low.
All of the above has already been confirmed, so no guesswork.
In 2025, Ukraine was too weak, and in 2025, Trump devoted himself to undermining Ukraine and trying to force them into peace, but Russia was locked in their decision-making options and could not accept a ceasefire because they knew that Europe would then deploy troops and equipment in large numbers.
Zelensky fought for his political life throughout 2025, where Trump tried to force a new election, and they have probably also reorganized the armed forces and tried to address weaknesses.
Now the situation is very different –
Ukraine has a strategic offensive reserve of +60,000 and certainly a substantial reserve behind them consisting of many brigades.
They produce around 50% of what they consume and have access to what they would need for an offensive – something that has disappeared from the reporting is that Europe has quietly sent enormous amounts of heavy vehicles to Ukraine, mine clearance equipment, amphibious combat boats, and other items that just scream offensive plans.
The whack-a-mole in the technology race is now in Ukraine’s favor at least until the turn of the year.
Trump is fully occupied with Iran, and furthermore, Europe stopped listening to him after late autumn when he tried his old rope tricks again.
What you will now see for the first time is a Ukrainian offensive on Ukrainian terms without the US or Europe leaking battle plans and then actively sabotaging.
In 2026, Ukraine will also receive Gripen deliveries, so the last capability they need is on the way.
What you have seen so far are positioning battles and efforts to take dominant terrain.
Yes, RU is planning a spring offensive as well but they are behind schedule and we know that it will either result in mechanical breakdowns with 100% losses or sacrificing shooting as ammunition, and both technological leaps have reached a dead end.
When Ukraine’s mother-of-all-offensives will come is difficult to know because they can either decide to preempt the Russian bastards or wait them out, or strike when they have started and attack at a weak front – probably they will try to seize opportunities on the run as they have done so far.
What we do know, however, is that before mid-April it will be possible to drive heavy vehicles over the potato fields again because the ground will be firm once more.
The pre-fighting is also underway.
So now we are just waiting for an indisputable sign that Ukraine is underway when it comes, and this year the Russian lines will falter before finally breaking, you can be completely confident in that.
Since we are creatures of habit, I will once again sit on a Friday evening with a bottle of whisky, completely misinterpret some satirical comment on Twitter, and proclaim that the offensive has now begun.
Europe can help because RU has built up capabilities against us in the Baltics and Finland, as well as in Belarus against Poland.
We should announce a spring exercise in May and June where we call in reservists and bring in mechanized brigades in the Baltics/Finland and Poland to practice vigorously up to their borders – this would tie up the Russian forces so they cannot be sent to Ukraine.
Because after Iran, Russia can no longer be sure that Europe will remain passive and now the Russian drone weapon has also been neutralized with Ukraine’s interceptor drones.
Checkmate finally came even to a very small tired man sitting in his bunker chewing on a caviar spoon.
Europe has had four years of managing to do everything wrong, but we must hope that reliable leaders in Europe have at least received enough information to know what to do in the spring.
Game on, Russian bastards.
A caveat is if Ukraine has reached an agreement with the USA to only recapture Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts and then there will be a ceasefire – I hope they have not made any deal with the orange devil here and keep pushing forward.
Don't forget to donate, Ukraine's cause is ours! Support Ukraine!
Invigorating with a positive report in these miserable times.
Feels a bit like when the Russians took Finland for us and their forces penetrated northern Sweden.
Thank you for that, I will not question it but instead read it again with my morning drink.
Interesting Johan no 1. Thank you.
I have been waiting a long time for a Ukrainian push against Crimea. Some have claimed that Crimea is too big for such an operation. Crimea is about the size of Småland. If Gustav Vasa could subdue the people of Småland during the Dacke Feud, then surely Ukraine can secure Crimea?
Now I’m going to stick my neck out. You write that Gripen will be sent to Ukraine this year. But isn’t Gripen in Ukraine now? The government will not announce outwardly when Sweden sends Gripen. That will be announced when the time is right for it. Inviting the devil into the church would be a dereliction of duty. I’m not on any social media at all, but I follow this blog that I really like. My assumptions are based on the fact that, despite my age, I still have sharp vision and decent hearing.
It usually becomes more readable after a morning drink as it is written in alcohol vapors.
I was too quick today and missed that Johan No.1 had already made a post. Sorry!
I suggest we continue here today, but those who want to see today’s Russian losses and the comments I managed to post so far in the other thread can go here:
https://johanno1.se/sv/ukraina-daglig-uppdatering-11-mars-2026/
and then come back.
This will go fast.
Nice to see you back to being positive-positive! 👍
Russia is reported to be behind an ongoing disinformation campaign aimed at helping Viktor Orbán win the election in Hungary. Sources with insight tell the Financial Times.
Hundreds of posts on social media portray the current prime minister as the only candidate who can keep Hungary sovereign. At the same time, Orbán’s opponent, opposition leader Péter Magyar, is described as the “puppet” of the EU.
According to FT, the Kremlin-linked media company Social design agency is behind the campaign. The company has previously been sanctioned by Western countries and created the disinformation campaign “Doppelgänger,” which spread fake news and AI-generated content.
The Kremlin and Hungary deny involvement in the campaign.
During Tuesday, the US military attacked several Iranian boats near the Strait of Hormuz, including 16 capable of laying mines. This is reported by the US Central Command on X.
Several American media outlets have information that Iran has started mining the strait, through which around 20 percent of the world’s crude oil is transported. Since the war broke out, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has threatened to attack ships passing through the strait.
Former US General Mark MacCarley told CNN that mining the Strait of Hormuz poses a threat to the global economy.
– There is a significant risk that parts of the strait will be blocked if two or three large ships are taken out there.
So – Iran is a total disaster every day since February 28th.
Now they can’t even mine Hormuz again.
“Iran expert Arvin Khoshnood is living in a secret location after surviving an assassination attempt last fall, writes TV4 News. A 16-year-old boy has been arrested on suspicion of the assassination attempt. The same 16-year-old is also suspected of another assassination attempt in Uddevalla, believed to have been ordered by the Foxtrot-connected gang leader Ali Shehab.
Arvin Khoshnood accuses the Iranian state of being behind the assassination attempt on him. According to Khoshnood, he has become a target because of his critical analyses of the regime in Iran. Even before the assassination attempt, he had been advised by the Security Service to be extra vigilant.
Details about the assassination attempt are not disclosed in TV4’s text. Arvin Khoshnood shares that he was “terrified” but he does not intend to be silenced.
– What has happened to me is nothing new. I am not the first. And I will not be the last as long as the Islamic regime remains in power today.”
A question here – why does a murder suspect get to run around and try to kill again?
Because we have a legal system that is on the side of the perpetrator because we feel sorry for him…
Unfortunately completely correct
Ukrainian attacks
“Ukrainian forces struck a plant in Russia’s Bryansk region that manufactures control systems for Russian missiles, President Volodymyr Zelensky said during an online media briefing on March 10.
“An operation has just successfully taken place — a plant in Bryansk was hit. This plant manufactures control systems for all types of missiles of the Russian Federation.” Zelensky said, adding that Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi had informed him of the strike.
The strike targeted the Kremniy El plant, a major Russian microelectronics manufacturer located in Bryansk, using air-launched Storm Shadow missiles, Ukraine’s General Staff said. Russian regional officials confirmed an attack on industrial infrastructure in the city and reported damage following explosions.” https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-strikes-missile-control-systems-plant-in-russias-bryansk-zelensky-says/
“Storm Shadow Missiles Smash Russian Chip Plant Linked to Iskander”
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/71664
Russian losses
“Moscow’s own assessments reveal staggering Russian losses in Ukraine, intelligence suggests
The Kremlin’s own classified assessments estimate that 1,315,000 Russian soldiers have been killed and wounded on the battlefield since the start of Russia’s full-scale of Ukraine in February 2022, President Volodymyr Zelensky said on March 10, citing Ukrainian intelligence reports.”
https://kyivindependent.com/62-killed-38-wounded-moscows-own-assessments-reveal-staggering-losses-in-ukraine-intelligence-suggests/
It’s more than most Western countries in WW2
Positively positive! Finally!
Is it possible to add the feature with the number of comments? It would be fun to see if my subjective perception that we are pushing forward here is correct?
Johan’s own counting only happens sometimes, and since he seems reasonably knowledgeable, it would be better to have a constantly present comment counter.
When it comes to the number of comments per post, it’s already there.
Below the post and before the comments, it says
“xx reactions”.
It’s the same as the number of comments. Maybe we should check if it’s possible to adjust the theme so it becomes clearer (so it’s not me who came up with that thing about “reactions”).
Or were you thinking about all comments ever? (we’re up to 35,161 but then almost half are copies in English, so around 18,000 in total if we only count the Swedish ones).
Now I have found it. Reactions, yes that’s correct. Then you can completely disregard my comment above, but if it’s possible to also add this to the homepage under each new day’s post, maybe we could see some trends?
Maybe better in that case to create a separate page for comment statistics.
The homepage might risk becoming a bit slow if for each post you have to go through the database and count comments that are linked to each post. I’ll see if I can come up with something.
I can still indirectly confirm your theory, not when it comes to the number of comments, but through the number of page views that have increased lately.
We have had a slow downward trend (the dotted line is the previous 30 days for comparison) but since the war in Iran, it has been going up and on Sunday we passed 2,000 views for the first time in a while. Even yesterday we reached over 2,000.
The increase on Sunday is probably partly due to my review of Russian losses that I posted a link to everywhere (not mentioning that I posted it on Cornu).
Just keep your fingers crossed now that Johan is right, because then this miserable war will be over before the end of the summer. BUT I’m afraid that Trump will do everything he can to ensure that all sanctions against Russia are lifted, and that the money in Belgium will be returned to Russian control. That man doesn’t operate like normal politicians.
Last night, there was an interview on the news with John Bolton that was very descriptive regarding Trump’s way of acting.
Of course Trump will increase the pressure but this time he will have to admit defeat.
Krasnov will go all out to ingratiate himself with the Tsar.
This sounds very good! We have seen before how quickly things happen when Ukraine decides to attack. When they get the Gripen, it won’t matter that RU gets more money for oil.
The Gripen is probably good, but I wonder if we are not starting to paint it as a wonder weapon? A number of Gripens can hardly be a game changer, right?
Maybe not, but an increase in ability that can facilitate other things. If it can deter so that others can have more leeway.
Can they prevent the FAB traps?
Why can’t the existing F16 or Mirage solve the task with the FAB traps? Don’t want to be negative-negative on a day like this, but realistic. The increase in capability will probably come from having more aircraft, albeit better aircraft, but no dramatic change, in the end it’s the ammunition that does the job, not the aircraft itself.
Cheaper, more airtime, and easier to service always do good, so I am all for the increase in capability.
The Gripen has support for Meteors (which have a very long range).
This support is lacking in both the F-16 and Mirage. The alternatives available for them have significantly shorter range.
On the other hand, the Rafael has support for Meteors so it could be an alternative to the Gripen, but so far Ukraine has not received any of those (at least not to my knowledge).
Therefore, the Gripen could make a real difference when it comes to intercepting the bombers.
Agree with Maggan!
(Might be worth a little support from you maybe when Johan and MTX are chasing me with their “jokes”?)
Want to announce that Ukraine is going to buy 105 Gripen, so slightly more than a handful
Now the Russian satellite states Slovakia and Hungary are stopping the major support, so maybe there won’t be as many.
Wasn’t it 150?
Good day from Abu Dhabi.
The night was not great, a couple of air raid sirens and the first one was calm for me in these parts of Abu Dhabi, but the second one that came around 4 o’clock was close, it was a big bang but fortunately these attacks usually last 5-10 minutes, there is nothing else to do but to just lie and wait for it to stop banging, and then I wait for the “all clear” message and only then can I consider sleeping again, which can be a bit challenging because I never know when the next air raid siren will come and many thoughts are spinning in my head.
I sometimes get asked if my windows shake when it bangs, and no, my windows don’t shake, it’s the whole house that shakes. The muffled sound of a shooting nearby makes the house shake and it feels like someone is hitting you in the chest, and this is a big house I live in. How the Ukrainian people endure this day in and day out I do not understand, but all credit to those people. 🇺🇦
I read some local news here when I woke up and it seems like Iran has been quite active last night, sending missiles and drones over the entire MENA region, it wasn’t only the UAE that received their flying junk but as usual, most of it is always sent to the UAE, a bit strange attitude that the UAE receives more than Israel who is actually fueling this war but I have realized that I will never understand the logic behind Iran’s bombardments. And it is clear that Iran’s new leader also has no plans to change strategy.
Today I will jump into a taxi and head to the city to our office located high up in a skyscraper (sort of), it feels quite unpleasant but it seems like it has been calm there and I have no choice but to shorten the time there as much as I can, I simply do not think it is the most suitable place to be at but work must continue to be done. ✊
I can’t drive there myself because I simply can’t find it, the GPS is completely unusable, it thinks I live somewhere out in the sea, and I can’t use GPS until I’m like 20 minutes away from Abu Dhabi, only then does it start working again. There is a lot of GPS interference and spoofing going on all the time here.
Statistics up to yesterday:
It continues to bang here, the alarm just went off again and there were some serious bangs. Some interesting things have happened during the day though. “Iran’s new leader lightly wounded: Israel” https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-12-us-israel-iran-war-live-updates#blogCarde7038f9e-3ac1-458e-8279-47be6a427862
Now I’m just guessing but there is a chance that his leadership career will be very short, in that case maybe he has a son who can take over 🙄
“Australia closes embassy in Abu Dhabi, consulate in Dubai” https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-12-us-israel-iran-war-live-updates#blogCard708041de-90f3-46b8-bf32-f0724324eccb
I don’t know how to interpret the information that AUS is closing its consulates, in any case it doesn’t fall into the category of positive things happening here.
“4 injured as drones fall near Dubai International Airport (DXB)” https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-12-us-israel-iran-war-live-updates#blogCardf66c4712-32df-4080-8a65-92662b2f1421
And oh, Iran’s lovely president has spoken again, the man without anything to say at all “No intention to enter into conflict with countries of region: Iran President” https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/day-12-us-israel-iran-war-live-updates#blogCard79fcf6e6-cbd1-4719-b420-cc327111f82c
And there came the “all clear” signal after the latest air raid siren that had some really loud bangs, I think my heart skips a beat every time that signal comes.
Now I have to go out and inflate my paddleboard because I have to go to Bombay and pick up my sailboat which DenGamle for some unfathomable reason sent there, but a reason for me to temporarily release the tight grip on my cheap whisky and leave my plastic bathtub in Abu Dhabi.
Anyway, all is well from Abu Dhabi.
I’m keeping my fingers crossed for you and everyone else in the area. Paddling to Bombay might work, but how does Iran view the transportation of flammable (well, sort of) liquids THROUGH the Strait of Hormuz?
Yes, I already knew that he would write the wrong address, Abu Dhabi spelled too quickly becomes Bombay, I think everyone saw that 🤣🤣🤣
The neighbor apparently entered the neighborhood and he is terrified of her, or something like that.
Good to hear that you made it and thanks for your report (and the links)!
Hope the visit to the office is going well and that you finally get hold of the weak spot!
Watch the interview with Zelensky that MXT links to somewhere here. The air raid siren goes off and Zelensky is asked about his thoughts when the alarm sounds. Zelensky and the interviewer who remain seated discuss the attacks on the Gulf states and how the stories of returnees can change the perspective on what Ukraine is going through. Also, the importance of constantly acting quickly, otherwise one will perish.
The full interview (with air raid siren in the background):
https://x.com/caolanreports/status/2031620961712144591?s=46
Yes, I think it looks something like this with the caveat at the end because they have made a big deal out of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
It could also be to weaken Putin.
But he just got some electoral support from Trump with the oil money so he should be fine…
Also interesting to see what China comes up with
Russia watched Assad fall, Maduro get grabbed, and Khamenei die—and couldn’t do a thing about it. Not because it chose restraint. Because the war in Ukraine consumed everything. But the real problem isn’t Russia. It’s what holds the whole “Axis of Evil” together—and it’s simpler than it looks. Defense analyst Mykhailo Samus breaks it down: the entire system runs on Chinese money. Not solidarity. Not ideology. Cash for components. “If they don’t have money, China will stop immediately,” he says. If that’s true, the Iran war didn’t just kill an ally. It exposed the wiring. Full interview—including why the Pentagon is now calling Kyiv about Ukraine’s $5,000 drone interceptors. https://youtube.com/watch?v=h5D_MuftnBk
We’ll see – IF China stops, they will remain under the US’s boot for another 100 years and it will greatly affect their chances of doing business.
Putin is under enormous pressure and Iran was not a positive.
If the UA offensive goes well, it could probably turn into a palace coup or military revolt again 👍
Lex Russia
According to information provided to the Russian news channel VChK-OGPU, the extensive shutdowns are due to a threat against the Russian leadership. Russia’s dictator Vladimir Putin fears a coup d’état, the channel reports, citing several Russian security sources with insight.
2026-03-10
https://marcusoscarsson.se/just-nu-moskva-slacks-ner-putin-fruktar-statskupp/
🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩🤩
Keeping my fingers crossed tightly that it’s true! 👍
Yes, the war in Ukraine is not the problem. It is manageable. Worse then with the talk in the hidden on different channels. That is the real threat. Shut down! Shut down!
It’s getting tighter, and Putin’s paranoia is growing. Let’s see who gets there first, Putin with purges in the top echelons, or a palace coup by the top echelon.
A successful Ukrainian offensive could make the cup run over, and if Putin falls, I think the Russian soldiers will probably lose the desire to die.
If you guys hanging in here despite all the attacks, you will have followed a Ukrainian landslide victory in real time and we will reach the finish line.
The majority wants me to continue as before, and 33% want to see me even meaner, so the teasing will continue.
Looking forward to the big win, whenever it comes!
Your definition of mean is interesting.
The posts about the UA offensive 2023 would be fun to find but I have written too many 😭😭
“Spring is Coming”
When you vividly painted a wonderful picture of Ukraine’s offensive, when they were about to break through the Russian front lines and just keep going all the way down to the Sea of Azov?
The only question was to figure out exactly which way they would take?
Donetsk -> Mariupol, or maybe Tokmak -> Berdiansk or maybe Tokmak -> Melitopol maybe Zaporizhia -> Melitopol?
Those were the days!
A little pity that you didn’t get it right that time (unlike Zapad 2025 where it was lucky that you didn’t get it right).
I still feel a bit cheated about that one.
But if you succeed this time, I am willing to forgive you, then consider it a slightly delayed prediction! 👍
😳
2022 and 2023 were manipulated.
In the sense that the USA and Europe stopped Ukraine.
If they hadn’t been stopped, the war would probably have been won.
Why then?
Well, because the USA and Europe felt compelled to stop Ukraine.
By 2024, they had no energy left and in 2025 Trump completely destroyed them
Zapad 25 – where Russia missed its only chance, I believe.
They might still try, who knows, but that door is very soon completely closed, if not already.
The interceptor drones have been exported.
2022, Zapad 25, Iran 26 – many mistakes have been made.
Maggan said that Europe has nuclear weapons so we can bomb the Russians to pieces, so it’s all good!
Iran
Khuzestan — the province that produces the MAJORITY of Iran’s oil. The economic lifeline of the ENTIRE Islamic Republic. The tribes just declared: – They REJECT the Islamic Republic – They demand a secular, democratic Iran – They want their fair share of oil revenues – They affirm national unity — this isn’t separatism. This is regime rejection.
https://x.com/sungleeiq/status/2031316959615189460?s=20
Maybe things will start to move at last! 👍
Well, that was positive. Hope it’s the start of an anti-Islamist revolution.
What’s a bit problematic is that the Revolutionary Guard has the monopoly on violence, and the protesters will probably run out before the bullets.
There’s also a regular army, one can hope that they see their opportunity to step out of the shadow of the Revolutionary Guard.
Jockesoft, it’s not an American company you work for, is it???
Go home from the office immediately!
“The Iranian Revolutionary Guard points out several American tech companies with offices in the Middle East as possible targets in the war. This is reported by several media outlets referring to state-owned Iranian media.
According to Iran, these are companies whose technology is used in Israel’s military system. They are described as “legitimate targets” if the conflict escalates into a war against infrastructure.
Companies identified as “Iran’s new targets” include Google, Microsoft, Palantir, IBM, Nvidia, and Oracle. These companies have offices and cloud infrastructure in Israel and in some Gulf states.
CNN is seeking representatives of the tech companies but has not yet received any comments.
Last week, companies like Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon closed several offices in the Middle East, CNBC reports.”
https://omni.se/techbolag-pekas-ut-pa-lista-over-irans-nya-mal/a/0pVpK6
No, it’s not an American company, if it had been, I would have been gone from here a long time ago.
But there are certainly both American and Israeli interests in the area where I work, and of course it affects it, the risk is definitely increased in the area because of it. And the question is, as always, when will that missile or drone slip through again targeting interests in the area?
You are not the target, but you are still in the danger zone.
The bathtub is probably the best place!
The war in the Middle East creates new opportunities for Vladimir Putin, according to analyses in BBC, CNN, and The Independent.
All analyses have the same focus: The soaring oil prices are already benefiting oil-exporting Russia. Furthermore, the chaos in the Strait of Hormuz could lead to a softening of sanctions against Russia.
“It gives the Russian economy a possible adrenaline boost,” writes Nathan Hodge in CNN.
The Trump administration has already opened up to eased sanctions, writes Sam Kiley in The Independent. The US president feels the pressure as oil prices rise, and Putin provides him with an easy way out, which Trump could very well take.
In reality, Trump doesn’t really need to “help Russia to help himself” – according to the writer, there are better alternatives – but it’s almost as if Trump wants to help Putin.
“He continues to favor Russia over Ukraine,” writes Kiley.
The war also gives Putin the opportunity to position himself as a power player in the Middle East and deepen the relationship with Washington, according to BBC’s Steve Rosenberg. In Monday’s phone call with Trump, Putin reportedly offered to mediate, which Trump seemed to appreciate.
Well…
He lost one of his most important allies.
It’s a bit like if we were to say that it would be good if Ukraine gave up because then we wouldn’t have to pay for the war or something.
The Iran war is now primarily about one question: who or which can endure the pain the longest. This is written by AP in an analytical text.
The sharply rising oil prices are indeed an effective Iranian weapon against the USA, but the country must endure daily American and Israeli attacks that are difficult to defend against.
It is Iran that suffers the most damage from the war, writes CNN’s Stephen Collinson. The country’s military and power in the region are being eradicated, and there will be no military victory.
“But anything that is not a total defeat […] would be counted as a victory for Iran,” he writes.
At the same time, he emphasizes that Donald Trump faces major challenges despite the significant military advantage. Conflicts in the Middle East cannot be turned off with the push of a button, and the administration has struggled to justify the war to the American population, Collinson writes.
Iran seems to have ruled out diplomatic talks, despite a few American attempts, writes Patrick Wintour in The Guardian.
“For Iran, the conflict cannot be over until they have made Trump feel that the economic, political, and military costs are so high that it is not worth repeating,” he writes.
Well, 🧐
“But anything that is not a total defeat […] would be considered a victory for Iran,” he writes.
The reason the people are not out on the streets is because the USA has asked them to stay at home during this phase of the war, so no conclusions can be drawn from that at all.
Instead, the leadership is starting to move to Pakistan now.
With AI, not only can one fake images, but it also makes people refuse to trust real images.
“Carl Bildt, who has previously been both a conservative prime minister and foreign minister, is criticized for posting an AI-generated image of X. But SVT’s verification editorial team confirms that the image is authentic.
The image shows a bombed American radar system of the model AN/TPY-2, which is an important part of the American missile defense system THAAD. Bildt writes that it is “obvious” that Iran is targeting its attacks towards radar and warning systems.
The post has been met with accusations that it is AI-generated propaganda from the Iranian regime that Bildt is spreading. But that is not the case according to SVT, which has geolocated and verified the image to a satellite image that CNN has published.”
https://omni.se/svt-carl-bildts-kritiserade-bild-ar-inte-ai-genererad/a/oE3EKj
More interesting question – why has Carl Bildt taken the Iranian money?
Crude 86
Brent at 90.5
Ural at 85
9 dead and 11 injured in the Russian attacks on Ukraine
“At least nine people were killed and 44 others injured in Russian attacks against Ukraine over the past day, local authorities reported on March 11.
Russia launched 99 attack drones — including 70 Shahed-type drones — at Ukraine over the past day, the Air Force reported. Ukrainian air defense shot down or jammed 90 of those drones.”
https://kyivindependent.com/at-least-9-killed-44-injured-in-russian-attacks-on-ukraine-over-the-past-day/
Trump Approval Ratings
There is a lot of talk about Americans being generally negative about the war, but according to the latest surveys, it doesn’t seem to be quite true. The war doesn’t seem to have negatively affected the surveys, rather the opposite.
Last week was a real low point for Trump according to The Economist’s surveys when he dropped below -20%, the worst so far. In the latest survey, he made a significant recovery and it looks like he landed around -14, weighted he then lands at -17.
Overall, The Economist’s surveys have become more scattered lately with increased differences between them.
When it comes to the New York Times, we also see a recovery although not at the same level. There he lands at -14% if you add them up.
He still has 41% support?
He has also shown that he doesn’t care very much about the rest of the legislative flora.
So even if he were to lose the majority in the midterm election, he will probably continue?
But yes, that is probably important for the GOP.
“400 million barrels of oil are set to be released from the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) oil reserves, say sources to Reuters. The goal is to calm the market and curb the price chaos that has arisen after the halt in the Strait of Hormuz.
If confirmed, it would be by a wide margin the largest release in history. The level can be compared to the IEA’s release after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, when 182 million barrels were released.
The oil is said to be distributed over at least a two-month period. The IEA is expected to announce the news at 14:00 today, according to the sources.
The oil market has been shaken significantly since the war began and Iran started blocking the narrow key passage. Even on Wednesday, the oil price has been on a rollercoaster, but by lunchtime, the price is back around zero. Brent crude oil is now priced at over $90 per barrel.”
2008, the oil was up to 240usd/barrel for a while.
AI states that the volume covers the Hormuz flow for about 20 days. 2 months then means that about 50% of the flow is covered during that period.
The story of one of The Old Man’s gloomiest days begins at the end of 1927, and even though it ended miserably, it started with The Old Man in top form.
During the Christmas celebrations and the following week, The Old Man’s excesses escalated, reaching their climax on New Year’s Day. The alcohol flowed, and he went through one society lady after another. Unfortunately, he had completely let go of all inhibitions and with them, all forms of discretion.
It ended with him being chased by half of Stockholm’s nobility. He feared for his life!
Luckily, he managed to hide at his only remaining friend’s, Henrik Hybertsson. There, The Old Man pondered for a long time on how he could escape the city without being discovered.
That’s when he came up with his brilliant idea.
He simply sneaked out at night and made some adjustments to the drawings that Hybertsson had on his desk. He cunningly added a whole extra deck to the ship, well hidden and only accessible through a couple of secret doors. At the same time, he used his last coins to stockpile large quantities of weak beer in a nearby storage facility.
The plan was for him to flee Stockholm by sea, but he needed large amounts of “provisions” to survive, and everything had to be done in secret, of course. The Old Man was deeply impressed with himself for coming up with such a clever plan!
Finally, everything was ready, and the night before he was supposed to leave, he bribed some sailors to carry the beer on board, but he asked them to leave a barrel, as it was time to celebrate that he would soon be free and make his way out of the city unnoticed.
Since this is about The Old Man, you might understand what happened? By the middle of the night, that barrel was, of course, emptied. The weak beer also made him sentimental, so he ended up shedding a tear. After all, he would miss all the beautiful noblewomen!
Hugging the empty barrel as a substitute for one of the more ample women he had previously made acquaintance with, he finally fell asleep, accompanied by his own loud snoring.
The next day truly became a “day after” for The Old Man, he slept like a log, and of course, things didn’t turn out any better, just as you probably already guessed, he missed when the ship set sail from the quay.
When he eventually woke up and heard what had happened while he slept, he was horrified and thoroughly broken.
Not so much because the Royal Ship Vasa had capsized, or because he realized that it was probably his extra deck that made the ship too high and unstable, causing the shipwreck.
The really distressing part, of course, was all the barrels of weak beer that had gone to waste.
He was now both broke and wanted by everyone.
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Excellent new activity that everyone will like except Dengamle.
an addition – the thing about noble ladies is a retroactive construction from Dengamle himself, it was not that.
Simply put, one could say that there would have been significantly fewer fires and explosions throughout world history without Dengamle.
What the h-ll? 😡
🤣🤣🤣
You better get used to this because it’s too funny.
I know I promised not to tell anything, but I just couldn’t resist! 😉
Awesome 😂😂
Good!?
Good to get rid of a bunch of barrels of weak beer just because some idiot (read captain) forgot to close the cannon hatches?
You young people don’t understand real pain.
😂
205 are you on Substack too and wrote something to my note yesterday?
Just need to understand if it was you, it was a bit outside of how you normally behave 😀
May have slipped out of me something
😶
😳
You seemed a bit grumpier than usual 😀
Was it perhaps me who annoyed him? 😳
Suddenly, Ukraine is allied with the USA in the Middle East and we find ourselves in a two-front war. With a third front, in northeastern Europe, on the map:
“Moscow is preparing for an invasion of the neighboring Baltic countries. This is indicated by the fact that Russia’s Ministry of Defense has developed a bill expanding the possibilities of using the armed forces outside Russia ‘to protect the rights of its citizens.’ According to Interfax, yesterday, March 10, the relevant document was approved by the government commission on legislative activity for consideration. ‘The bill provides for amendments to the Federal Law ‘On Citizenship of the Russian Federation’ and the Federal Law ‘On Defense,’ which envisage the extraterritorial use, by decision of the President of the Russian Federation, of Russian Armed Forces formations to protect citizens of the Russian Federation,’ Interfax reported. The nearest citizens shouting ‘Putin come’ are in Estonia and Latvia. The ‘Byzantine’ system of interaction in Russia is such that without the approval of the very idea of war against neighboring countries—not just Ukraine—the document would not have appeared in the public domain at all.”
https://x.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/2031720175452422348?s=20
Almost so that attack must come so MXT stops criticizing me for my Baltic scenario 😐
What no one seems to understand is that Trump and Putin have already agreed on this – the USA will not intervene in the Baltics period.
Is Europe ready?
The day we drive our mech brigades into the Baltics, we are ready not before that because the area is wide open.
I think that the idea of practice that you are discussing in today’s post sounds like a good idea!
Yes, exactly and preferably before RU closes the Suwalki Gap again – being reactive here can have major consequences.
Wasn’t there some kind of mobilization in Belarus, or am I mistaken? They could in that case be intended for the Suwałki Gap.
Enough for the blog to increase its traffic in line with increased conflicts, but I still prefer to see you wrong!
No, I agree with Johan!
😉
Damage control? 😳
The question everyone should grapple with – is the USA-Iran situation a step in global escalation or is it a wet blanket over global escalation?
It’s pretty clear that the USA-Russia are coordinating.
It’s also clear that China-USA are not coordinating.
But China can take advantage, or maybe they have been scared into passivity.
Just as China is now very cornered, RU is very cornered in Ukraine and you saw what Iran did when they felt cornered.
Trump said that the USA was surprised so then they clearly haven’t read Johan No.1.
Low odds – the more cornered the evil team becomes, the higher the risk of arrows of escalation in unexpected directions.
That China and Russia are coordinating is very clear.
Quite telling of Russia’s ability, that they cooperate with the USA (Trump), and China, and yet they are on the verge of collapse.
Also, the thing about how the Iran war benefits Russia.
Isn’t Ukraine about to gain hero status worldwide now with its interceptor drones?
Now MXT posted the page views above and they are a bit misleading because I run 700 bot accounts to generate more advertising revenue.
Ask MXT – should we scrap the English translation?
I use DeepL.
Will check the statistics to see if we have any visitors browsing in English.
But that will have to be some other time because now I have to go.
😮 Oman, Iranian drones hit the oil terminal tanks!
Incendiary video via the link.
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mgsabjkg4c23
This is disgusting, Oman has always been our way out. Oman has not been attacked before and the flights have departed from there, but now… 😔
More about the school, it was old data that had gone bad.
“The USA is responsible for the attack on a school in southern Iran where at least 150 students were killed, according to a preliminary military investigation cited by the New York Times.
According to sources cited by the newspaper, the military used old data when entering the coordinates for the attack.
The target was to strike an Iranian base that the school building had previously been a part of.
The sources say that the investigation is still in its early stages and that there are many questions that remain to be answered, including why old data was used when entering the coordinates.”
https://omni.se/nyt-usa-ansvarigt-for-skolattacken-i-iran/a/lnwKl9
Excitingly, right after, there were rumors circulating that Iran had admitted that it was one of their robots that had landed in the school by mistake, and I believed it.
Hungarian and Slovak negotiators were sent to Ukraine on Wednesday for talks in the oil dispute between the countries, reports AFP. But according to Ukraine, there will be no talks as the group lacks official status.
Hungary and Slovakia have accused Ukraine of delaying the reopening of the Soviet oil pipeline Druzhba, which supplies both countries with Russian oil.
“The mission aims to defend Hungary’s interests at the negotiating table and ensure that Druzhba is reopened as soon as possible,” said Hungary’s Minister of Energy Gábor Czepek about the group sent to Ukraine.
Ukraine confirms that the group has entered the country, but says there are no plans to meet with them.
“This group has no official status and no planned meetings. It is therefore completely wrong to call them a delegation,” said a spokesperson for Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
It’s probably going much better after Hungary seized a shipment from the Ukrainian central bank 🤣🤣🤣
After Orban lost the election, Hungary will at least get oil.
Fico will have to wait.
Hear this – the pension funds have invested in all green tech that is now going under.
Could that start to affect pensions?
They probably shouldn’t do that according to the regulations, but to save the climate, that decision was probably easy and since the intention was good, no one can be criticized.
On another level, it is nauseating to see how little respect there is for our money – everything is just a pot, and whoever figures out the best way to steal from it gets pats on the back.
If Madoff had been in Sweden, he would have just said that he was saving the climate and the starving children, and then he would have been released.
The fund we’ve saved to expand our electricity grid is also under attack, as soon as there is a saved pile of money, it seems to be free to take from regardless of the original purpose.
I am in the process of formulating my promises for when I become prime minister in September.
One thing – I can no longer, on good grounds, support high-tax societies because the misuse of our money is too great.
The only thing that really works in society is the Tax Agency’s collection of our taxes, everything else is a free-for-all and exactly everywhere.
Every working citizen in the country should be able to keep much more and then decide what he/she/they/any animal/other gender identities want to spend the money on.
The National Debt Office, or whoever it was, was in a huge rush to get our money to Stegra before it became completely obvious that Stegra couldn’t meet the specified criteria. Very flexible rule interpretation there, as if one could only judge from their own bank…
The best thing is all the celebrities who shame us and then have luxury yachts and private jets.
The winner was the influencer who blogged heavily about flight shame on the flight to Mallorca while posting updates from the flight…
Madoff had not only been released, SVT had also made a tribute reportage…
… where he had taken the opportunity to somewhat mockingly explain how backward we in the mob are when we question his setup.
You can’t make this shit up…
You drive me crazy.
Gaslighting someone….? Nah, green gaslighting doesn’t count… a little sarcastic connection to another thread 😉
So, this whole green energy/industry thing is like one of those suicide-triggering echo chambers on TikTok… someone has managed to convince us that it’s a good idea to shoot down our energy supply and industry, and also to use our own money to make it happen.
WHO could be behind this… ?
Yes 😀
A bit about the timeline Trump has to adhere to, according to chatgpt:
Under U.S. law, the key rule comes from the War Powers Resolution of 1973, which limits how long a president can continue military hostilities without explicit congressional authorization.
The basic timeline
The president must notify Congress after introducing U.S. forces into hostilities.
In addition to this, today’s announcement that oil reserves will be released over the next 2 months equivalent to about 50% of the Hormuz flow. This time horizon aligns with the 60 days mentioned above.
So, the maximum cooking time for a TACO burger = 60 days. Of which already over 10 days have passed.
The question is what happens when you don’t open the oven door when time is up…?
Trump doesn’t care about Congress.
But good to know what applies, thank you.
Well, he did start a war all by himself without approval from any authority so now the lid is probably off completely 😀
Well, they kind of follow Putin’s playbook in a way, to stick to a certain formalism… so I guess that’s what will be interesting with the handling of the stuck oven door…
Interesting…
What will happen after 90 days, can Congress call back the army?
Now I don’t think Trump has the patience to fight in one place for so long, but at the same time he wants some war spoils, since he has now spent a lot of money on destroying Iran’s military.
I think it’s most likely that he proclaims victory, withdraws, and leaves the Iranian people to their fate.
If he leaves too early, it could strain his relationship with Netanyahu, and ultimately the support from the Christian right.
Article 11/3 2026 in ZN about fierce battles in the south
Volodymyr Voloshin reported that the number of enemy vehicles is increasing in the south.
According to Volodymyr Voloshin, spokesman for the southern defense direction, fierce battles are taking place for two settlements in the Oleksandrivskij direction, according to a comment to Interfax-Ukraine. These settlements are located on the border between the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhia regions.
“In terms of the Oleksandrivskij direction, fierce battles are currently taking place in the village of Novogrigorivka, on the administrative border between the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhia regions. Our assault troops, ground forces, and assault groups are trying to break through the enemy’s defense, while reinforcement troops are trying to catch up and drive the enemy away from our country and regain control of certain settlements. Novohryhorivka and then Berezove – fierce battles are ongoing in these two settlements,” said Voloshin.
According to him, the Russian Federation’s 90th armored division is stationed in the Oleksandrivskij direction. This division’s 6th armored regiment has suffered heavy losses and is currently unable to carry out storm operations.
The Russians attacked the transportation infrastructure in the Dnipropetrovsk region: there are casualties.
“The commander of the 90th division ordered the military police units to replenish the assault troops in this 6th armored regiment. And he ordered that anyone arrested should be sent to the assault troops. That is, to send those arrested from other groups, from other units, who will be moved in the area around the 90th brigade in civilian transport without valid documents, who have any form of dress code violation, signs of alcohol or drug influence, etc. And everyone is thrown to the assault troops,” added the spokesman for the southern defense leadership.
Meanwhile, according to information from the Ukrainian armed forces, all leaves for the Russians from the UAV units in Oleshky in the Dnipro area have been canceled. The reason was that the enemy had not fulfilled the tasks assigned to them.
“Regarding the mining of canals, coastlines, attacks on Ukrainian logistics, and so on,” explained Voloshin.
He also added that more hostile technology had been discovered in the south. In particular, the southern defense forces destroyed two tanks, 18 motorcycles, five ATVs, and a ground robot complex in one day.
“Every day we destroy two to three tanks. It hasn’t been like this in a long time. It’s been about two to three weeks. So far, a total of 161 weapons and vehicles have been destroyed,” said Voloshin.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned already at the beginning of March that the Russian occupiers would try to launch a spring offensive, but without success, he is convinced. Meanwhile, the General Staff has identified the directions on which the enemy will concentrate: Pokrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Oleksandrivsk. In the latter, the Russians have already intensified their attacks, but they are being stopped by Ukrainian forces who, by the way, have liberated almost the entire Dnipropetrovsk region, where Russia had successes last year.
https://zn.ua/ukr/war/na-oleksandrivskomu-naprjamku-trivajut-zapekli-boji-za-dva-naseleni-punkti-voloshin.html
It took a while to find on the maps but 90GTD has three “territorial” regiments both in terms of shooting and running.
If the 6th TR are tired, they only have two left.
90GTD is supposed to be a bit of a sledgehammer when it comes to divisions and there aren’t many tank units north and south of them.
That being said – what they have in their regiments today, who knows 😀
There will be a lot of death for the Russians 👍
https://www.expressen.se/nyheter/varlden/kina-bunkrade-olja-innan-kriget-brot-ut/
Three ships hit by projectiles in Strait of Hormuz
https://aje.news/apjw94?update=4389781
From the USA or Iran, that’s the first question 😀
One thinks that if the current counteroffensives are a diversion.
Where will the real blow come from?
All these boats….
Are they gathering a bunch of Gripens and running all Krym in with massive CAS.
Especially since all LV seems to be targeted.
Nah, now it’s probably a bit too much fear-mongering.
What do you mean?
The old one?
What does fear-mongering mean?
🚀 Russia: They are impressed by British Storm Shadow cruise missiles flying 100km+ through Russia on their way to destroy a key microelectronics supplier to the military in Bryansk. Happened yesterday. What Russian air defense doing.
https://bsky.app/profile/igorsushko.bsky.social/post/3mgso5ml5ys24
Good morning!
780 KWIA
3 Tanks
20 AFVs
56 Artillery systems
1 MLRS
1 Air defense system
2102 UAVs
243 Vehicles and Fuel tanks