Russian losses 2025-03-01

09:28 Compilation with graphs of Russian losses per month up to the end of February
(It’s not easy to see exact values in the graphs, but the overall trend is still interesting and gives a fairly good sense of it.)

KWIA has decreased significantly compared to the past few months but still remains high considering the entire war and significantly higher than the average. Compensation in Russia for those who want to pursue a career in Ukraine continues to rise, and at the same time complaints are voiced from those at the front. Can one sense that they are starting to run out of soldiers?

The losses of tanks have slowly decreased since October 2023 but vary quite significantly and increased in February. As for the type of tanks (not specified above), the losses of T-62s have increased while T-72s have decreased. Perhaps T-62s are easier to renovate, and it’s not impossible that they have actually started new production of them (though that’s just a guess on my part, haven’t seen any such information)

Regarding the losses of other armored vehicles, they increased from October 2023, then decreased, and increased again, but in recent months they have dropped significantly even though the decrease now seems to have leveled off. It’s difficult to draw any conclusions, but if they are indeed starting to run out of soldiers, perhaps there is also not the same need for armored vehicles to transport them to the front? Still, the numbers are actually higher than average.

Artillery losses increased until the summer of 2024 when they began to decrease significantly, but it has picked up again recently. Presumably, this is because they have received reinforcements from North Korea.

MLRS are so few per day, but the trend is downward even though February showed a significant increase.

The Russians have really started to use drones intensively, and February is a new record month.

Anti-aircraft losses fluctuate, but also increased in February.

Russian losses of soft logistic vehicles have had a rising trend since the beginning of 2023, increasing almost every single month. Perhaps this is because Russia now uses a larger quantity of simpler vehicles such as golf carts, motorcycles, etc. There are simply more vehicles to disable, which may also be easier targets.

Special equipment, on the other hand, has decreased significantly recently. Perhaps they have moved it further back, or they no longer have as many larger targets that are easy to identify and disable.

Many thanks to Ragnar for the statistics and graphs!
Follow him on https://bsky.app/profile/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social


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65 thoughts on “Russian losses 2025-03-01”

  1. As always, pleasant numbers.
    Hope Biden’s promised support, which was supposed to last until the end of the year, continues to arrive. It will be interesting to see the developments during the day, wondering if any of the sides (in the new conflict) will back down? Unnecessarily harsh words, but I stand on the Ukrainian side regardless (of course).

    1. Westley Richard

      The show must go on!

      Support until the end of the year, with replenishment from Europe it will last for two years.
      Russia will implode from within before that.

  2. Operational information as of 08:00 on 01.03.2025 regarding the Russian invasion

    A total of 91↘️ combat actions were recorded in the past 24 hours.

    #Kharkiv 1
    #Kupyansk 2
    #Lyman 2
    #Siverskyi 2
    #Kramatorsk 2
    #Toretsk 16💥
    #Pokrovsk 26💥💥↘️
    #Novopavlivka 8
    #Huliaipil 3
    #Orikhiv 3
    #Kursk 18💥

    According to updated information, yesterday the AFRF🇷🇺 carried out a missile attack on Ukrainian positions and populated areas with one missile, as well as 100 air strikes, including 152 glide bombs. Additionally, the AFRF🇷🇺 conducted over 5,600 artillery attacks, 121 of which were from MLRS, and used 2,449 kamikaze drones.

    Yesterday, the AFU🇺🇦 air, missile, and artillery forces attacked 11💥 areas with a concentration of personnel, weapons, and military equipment, three artillery systems, and an ammunition depot.

    In the #Kharkiv sector, a hostile attack took place near Vovchansk yesterday.

    In the #Kupyansk sector, two attacks by the AFRF🇷🇺 occurred in the past 24 hours. The AFU🇺🇦 repelled attacks from the AFRF🇷🇺 near Zahryzove and Lozova.

    In the #Lyman sector, the AFRF🇷🇺 launched two attacks. The AFRF🇷🇺 attempted to advance near Ivanivka and Yampolivka.

    Yesterday, the AFRF🇷🇺 also tried twice to force defenders from their positions near Bilohorivka and Verkhnekamianske in the #Siverskyi sector.

    In the #Kramatorsk sector, Russian-backed militants carried out two attacks near Orikhovo-Vasylivka yesterday.

    In the #Toretsk sector, AFU🇺🇦 forces repelled 16 attacks near Krymske, Dachne, Toretsk, and Leonidivka.

    In the #Pokrovsk sector, defenders of the AFU🇺🇦 stopped 26 attacks from the AFRF🇷🇺 in the areas of Baranivka, Yelizavetivka, Promin, Lysivka, Novoukrainka, Pishchane, Kotlyne, Nadiivka, and Andriivka.

    In the #Novopavlivka sector, the AFU🇺🇦 repelled eight hostile attacks. The AFRF🇷🇺 concentrated its efforts near Kostiantynopil and Skudne.

    With the support of attack and bomber aircraft, the AFRF🇷🇺 tried three times to dislodge the defenders of the AFU🇺🇦 from their positions in the #Huliaipil sector, in the areas of Pryvilne and Rivne.

    In the #Orikhiv sector, in the areas of Pyatikhatky and Kamianske, the AFRF🇷🇺 attacked the positions of the AFU🇺🇦 three times.

    In the #Kursk sector, the AFU🇺🇦 repelled 18 attacks from the AFRF🇷🇺 yesterday. The AFRF🇷🇺 conducted 527 artillery attacks, 18 of which were from MLRS, carried out 25 air strikes, and released 31 glide bombs.

  3. The White House seems to have turned into the Wild West. The best boys’ gang has taken over. It was probably just Musk, dressed in a leather jacket, who was missing. In a week or two, one’s opinion may have changed.

  4. Ukraine is dismantling the Moscow empire. Moscow gets no break. Now we’ll see if there’s anything other than jellyfish in the Gop or if the Trump regime can stop all support without hindrance and instead help Moscow.

    Regardless, there is no leader in the free world who dares to trust this administration any longer.

  5. Z🇺🇦 said no to peace w/o U.S. security guarantees.

    Is what happened in line with US foreign policy as of the last decade?

    The trend has been the US working towards Europe taking a greater responsibility for the security in its own region. It started even before Trump’s first term. At the same time, the US sees China as its main threat.

    At a recent conference at the WH the following was communicated:

    “Trump also said that “peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait” are important and Article 5 of the Japan-U.S. security treaty applies to the Tokyo-controlled, Beijing-claimed Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea.

    At a joint press conference at the White House after the meeting, Trump and Ishiba affirmed that the bilateral alliance is the “cornerstone” of peace, security, and prosperity in the Indo-Pacific region and beyond.

    “Trump vowed to use ‘full strength of American deterrence’ to maintain security in the Indo-Pacific. He and Ishiba, Trump said, ‘agreed to cooperate even more closely to combat the Chinese economic aggression, which is quite aggressive.’”

    Trump accelerated the US separation from responsibility for European security during the first term, with implicit threats leaving NATO if Europe did not pay up. He also criticized Europe for dependence on Russian energy.

    Biden during his term did not really reverse that hardened stance, and he was focused on not escalating the war, giving Ukraine barely what they needed to survive. During Biden’s term, Europe stepped up and became a major supporter of Ukraine. Some say bigger than the US.

    So during Trump’s present term, the US policy of separation from responsibility for European security has further sharpened. The US secretary of defense highlighted this during his speech to European leaders a few weeks ago.

    The debacle in the WH can be seen as the final nail in the box of this development. It is now completely clear that the US has left its commitment to withholding/improving European security, and the responsibility solely now lies with the leaders of Europe, including Ukraine.

  6. Yes, logical. But there are also illogical components. Trump’s approach to Putin must be seen as peculiar. Yes, irrational and counterintuitive. I believe it has been about Trump – filled with his own importance – thinking he could quickly end the war in Ukraine. Yes, a personal delusion. Reality brought him back down to earth.

    1. There may be several layers to this. When the peace agreement went through Trump’s narcissistic bottom, it landed at the bottom with European security and the US withdrawal from it. Note, however, that there is still an Article 5 that concerns Europe to a high degree. But also the US if the country were to invoke Article 5 due to an attack, for example in the Pacific region (a type of Pearl Harbor attack but carried out by North Korea). Yes, then the US could receive help from Europe via NATO as they did, for example, after 9/11. But Europe does not have soldiers stationed in Japan/South Korea and other countries in the Pacific region. The US does.

          1. The USA cannot invoke Article 5 in a “Pearl Harbor” scenario in the Pacific region. From the NATO website:

            For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack:

            on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America, on the Algerian Departments of France, on the territory of Turkey or on the Islands under the jurisdiction of any of the Parties in the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer;

  7. Westley Richard

    Malin Ekman has come up with the best analysis so far of the debacle in the White House. Everything is about domestic politics and primarily communicating with the MaGA movement.

    “Vance then insisted that Zelensky should express greater gratitude towards the USA during the meeting, to which Trump responded:

    “You see, I think it’s good for the American people to see what’s going on here. I think it’s very important. That’s why I kept it going so long.”

    The statement illustrates why Trump lets the cameras roll.”

    My own reflection is that the attack from Vance was planned and they got roughly the outcome they wanted.

    1. Those were also the thoughts I had when I woke up this morning, it may also be the case that the “negotiations” with RU didn’t go well and that a scapegoat must be found.

      1. Another addition, the USA wants to see itself more as a mediator than as a party to the conflict, but Zelensky wants (for understandable reasons) to have the USA on his side.

        At the risk of being repetitive (don’t know anyone who has disagreed), Europe must arm itself regardless of Trump’s goals, regardless of future relations with the USA.

      2. Westley Richard

        Rubio vs Lavrov, cannot have been a successful negotiation for the US.
        I guess that’s what happens when loyalty takes precedence over competence.

    2. Yes, Malin Ekman’s analysis sounds reasonable.

      But. What was Zelensky thinking? He and his team must have discussed different scenarios/alternatives before the meeting. Was this one of them? I think we all agree on our assessment of Trump and his associates. It’s hard to find words, actually.

      But. Wouldn’t it have been better, as I wrote yesterday, to keep a good face on (in a nasty game). Without making any concessions for that matter. Shouldn’t he have been able to control his emotions?

      And. What happens now? Can and will Europe step in and replace the support that, despite the desire for more, has still come from the USA? I don’t have a clear picture of Europe in general, but here in Sweden, we have focused on being a humanitarian superpower and had a prime minister who called defense a special interest. It takes time and costs money to build defense capabilities. What in the budget will have to be sacrificed?

  8. I have not seen the possibility of peace all along. Russia and Ukraine/Europe simply stand too far apart, and neither of them is war-weary enough to agree to the other’s terms. Anders Puck Nielsen has made a good video about this: https://youtu.be/lNZ56C-f4a8?si=N27Geol12tg7K3bp
    So Trump’s “attempt” to achieve peace, I would say, was hopeless from the start. Nevertheless, he pursued it, and now he has managed to make it seem like Ukraine is the one not wanting peace. On the other hand, he has been cozying up to the Russians. I believe yesterday’s move against Zelensky is what he wanted to achieve. Although very much sandbox-like, he should have been able to achieve the same result much more subtly. But the question is why? What is his motive? And the questions and answers to that, what are his next steps? I actually have no good idea about that. He probably wants to reduce US costs in various ways, but it can’t be just about that, right? The cost, especially for the American defense industry, must be high when Europe has lost trust in the USA.

    The above comment from R W, along with an article pointing to domestic politics, may be one side of it.

  9. A problem has been that the industry has not been willing to expand with new lines due to the politicians’ reluctance to make long-term orders. Could this have changed three years after the full-scale invasion attempt in Ukraine?

    1. It worked in 2023 at the NATO meeting and in September 2024 it also worked, so it’s not unreasonable to think that it would work again, right?

      In 2023, everyone called Zelensky ungrateful.

      Trump didn’t understand that the EU now realizes that our own security is at stake here.

      1. Europe has understood that the “peace” that Trump talks about is a “peace” entirely on Putin’s terms.

        If Trump lifts the sanctions now, he is actively working against Ukraine in league with the dictatorship of the Russian Federation. In doing so, he is also working against Europe and strategically is not only uninteresting in general, he must be considered an enemy.

  10. I wrote here some time ago that one can understand certain things better if one zooms out and ignores the differences between Biden and Trump. There is a USA behind both old men. What do you then conclude if you do so in this case?

    What we have seen is the same old thing! *Every* time Ukraine is close to finishing off the Russians, the USA tries to sabotage Ukraine’s chances. Johan No 1 has clearly pointed it out every time it has happened. Kherson; autumn 2023, etc.

    Conversely, one can see it like this, that the USA now trying to sabotage for Ukraine implies that Putin-Russia is on the ropes again! Not news, of course, for those who have seen the donkeys and the snipers.

    1. The USA has a lousy track record when it comes to implementing “its democracy” and saving countries from their tyrants: Afghanistan, Iraq, etc.

      They are terrified that Russia will become a new breeding ground for terrorism. Imagine a Russia without governance, with oligarchs, religious leaders, and mafia – it’s ten times worse than what we see now! At least now there is some form of monitoring and control, no matter how terrible the current Kremlin regime is.

      I’m not defending the actions of the USA, but I understand if they are terrified of the alternatives.

    1. UA is holding out in Kursk. I hope the Ukrainian soldiers are properly dug in because they are likely to face a number of KAB and FAB daily. Anyone in the know?

      1. According to the blogger, only one out of ten glide bombs reaches its target because the Ukrainians have found a way to disrupt them.

        Yes, when you see all the attacks that the Russians are making without getting anywhere, it certainly seems evident that they have entrenched themselves heavily in Kursk.

  11. Evening report from the Ukrainian Army General Staff indicates a continued low frequency of attacks.

    Update from 10:00 PM on 01.03.2025 regarding the Russian invasion

    Since the beginning of this day, 83 combat actions have taken place.

    The Ukrainian defenders continue to decisively repel the enemy’s attempts to penetrate deep into our territory and engage them.

    Today, the Russian attackers have fired two missiles and carried out 76 air strikes, using two missiles and 95 guided bombs, deploying 987 kamikaze drones, and firing over 4,000 times at our troops’ positions and populated areas.

    In the Kharkiv sector, the enemy conducted air strikes with anti-aircraft gun vehicles against Okhrimivka, Makarove, Buhayivka, and Hranov.

    In the Kupyansk sector, the attacker launched three offensives near Novoosynove and Zahryzove, which were repelled.

    In the Lyman sector, Russian attackers assaulted Ukrainian defense positions 10 times near Novyi, Novomykhailivka, Yampolivka, and towards Katerynivka; eight attacks have already been repelled, and two are ongoing. Borova and Bohuslavka were targeted by hostile air strikes.

    In the Toretsk sector, our troops repelled 13 hostile attacks near Krymske, Dachne, Toretsk, and Diliyivka. Constantinovka and Toretsk were subjected to air strikes.

    In the Pokrovsk sector, since the beginning of the day, the enemy has attacked 21 times in the areas of Nova Poltavka, Elizavetivka, Promin, Kotlyarivka, Nadezhdinka, Pokrovsk, Pishchane, Udachne, Preobrazhenka, Bohdanivka, Andriivka, and Ulaklivka. The enemy’s aircraft targeted Pokrovsk, Udachne, Hrodivka, Novopavlivka, and Novoukrainka with precision-guided missiles.
    According to preliminary information, Ukrainian forces neutralized 236 occupiers in this sector today, 116 of them irreversibly. They also destroyed four vehicles, a D-30 cannon, 14 UAVs, eight motorcycles, two ATVs, two armored personnel carriers, a mortar, an infantry fighting vehicle, an armored tractor, seven UAV control antennas, and six communication antennas, and damaged a tank, an armored personnel carrier, a self-propelled artillery gun, a mortar, and a motorcycle.

    In the Novopavlivka sector, the enemy made eight attempts to break through our defense towards Kostiantynopil and Skudne. A battle is currently ongoing. Komar and Shevchenko were targeted by air strikes.

    In the Huliaipil direction, the attackers launched three assaults towards Pryvilne and Charivne. Ternove, Gulyaypole, and Zaliznychne were hit by air strikes.

    In the Orikhivskyi sector, the intruders, with air support, tried to advance in the areas of Pyatikhatky, Nesterianka, and Kamianske, and Ukrainians repelled all four hostile attacks.

    In the Prydniprovsky sector, the occupation forces carried out an offensive, and the battle continues.

    In the Kursk sector, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 hostile attacks today. At the same time, the enemy conducted 22 air strikes, released a total of 30 guided bombs, and fired 383 artillery shells, including 4 from multiple launch rocket systems.

    In other areas, the operational situation did not change significantly.

  12. There is a lot with 22 air strikes in Kursk. Combat aircraft? Time for the UA to get their F-16s up and challenge these Russian planes. That would be a gamechanger.

  13. Det är dags för lugna huvuden och att komma ihåg att USA och Ukraina är på samma sida.

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy har heroiskt lett sitt folk i tre år mot helt oprovocerat aggression från Ryssland.

    Ukrainernas mod har varit fantastiskt. Deras lidande har varit fruktansvärt.

    Det är de som förtjänar vårt stöd och de som ärligt förtjänar vår respekt.

    Det bästa sättet framåt nu är att mineralavtalet undertecknas så snart som möjligt. Det finns fortfarande en väg till fred.

    Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦

    https://x.com/borisjohnson/status/1895591440413048887?s=46

  14. Boris Johnson, former PM 🇬🇧

    It’s time for cool heads and to remember that the US and Ukraine are on the same side.

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy has led his people heroically for three years against completely unprovoked aggression from Russia.

    The bravery of the Ukrainians has been amazing. Their suffering has been appalling.

    It is they who deserve our support and they who frankly deserve our respect.

    The best way forward now is for the minerals deal to be signed as soon as possible. There is still a path to peace.

    Slava Ukraini! 🇺🇦

    https://x.com/borisjohnson/status/1895591440413048887?s=46

    1. Westley Richard

      The support for Zelensky seems to be increasing, and they do not like the idea of any superpower controlling them. They still have an aversion to outsiders interfering in how their country should be governed. The same sentiment exists to some extent among our Eastern European members in the EU; they usually do not like the EU meddling in their domestic politics.

  15. ANDERS RYDEN

    Well, Trump has been wishing, for a while now, that Europe steps up in the conflict in Ukraine.
    Trump seems to have succeeded quite well with that.
    Said with a good dose of black humor.

    What we see here is probably a USA that is tired of being the world’s policeman.

    1. Westley Richard

      They got tired of it after Bush’s adventures in Iraq, but Europe didn’t want to listen as they perceived the threat to be the climate and not the Russians.

      1. ANDERS RYDEN

        Now I’m speculating, or like I really need help to come to some kind of conclusion about what really happened during the meeting.

        There’s a lot of things that don’t add up here.
        For example:
        What the hell was JD Vance doing there?
        It should have been a meeting between two city leaders.
        Zelensky doesn’t have the right nuances, linguistically speaking, so he manages to express what he really wants to convey.
        Trump definitely didn’t have all the background information about the conflict clear in his mind.

        Everything seemed rigged for it to go to hell for Zelensky.

        I can only conclude that Trump wanted the meeting to go to hell.
        But the question is why?
        Trump is also an outsider, which comes with some unconventional methods.

        Anyway, when Zelensky finally landed after the meeting, he had more allies than he had before the meeting.
        So all in all, you lose a friend but gain some new ones, so you end up on the plus side.

        1. The Russians have a trick. Even though they can speak English, they often have an interpreter with them and speak in Russian. This allows for some extra time to think because the interpreter has to translate before responding. If Zelensky had spoken through an interpreter, the pace of the discussion would have also slowed down and the risk of raised voices and talking over each other would have decreased significantly.

  16. Update from 08.00 on 02.03.2025 regarding the Russian invasion

    A total of 97 firefights were registered during the past day.

    #Kupyansk 3
    #Lyman 11💥
    #Toretsk 15💥
    #Pokrovsk 27💥💥
    #Novopavlivka 11💥
    #Huliaipil 3
    #Orikhiv 4
    #Prydniprovskyi 1
    #Kursk 16💥

    1. Yesterday, AFRF🇷🇺 fired two missiles and carried out 99 air strikes, used two missiles, and released 146 glide bombs. In addition, AFRF🇷🇺 conducted more than five thousand two hundred artillery attacks, including 180 from MLRS, and also used 3,067 kamikaze drones.

      In the past day, missile troops and artillery of AFU🇺🇦 have hit four areas with a concentration of personnel, weapons, and military equipment, three checkpoints, and four artillery systems of AFRF🇷🇺.

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