Trump threw the Kurds under the bus on January 20, 2025.

I am a bit shocked that the USA/Trump threw the Kurds under the bus – I posted some notices on Bluesky and Substack, but it wasn’t until yesterday that it became clear to me that when the Kurds called for US air support, the line was busy, and they didn’t know that beforehand.

When these campaigns start, there are miles-long columns of pickups overloaded with soldiers – very easy targets from the air, so the USA could have neutralized the attacking forces they had previously supported in two days.

We have all seen how the Kurds were attacked from Syria and Turkey, and how groups within their own areas also took up arms against them – well-planned and well-coordinated, probably planned since the weapons fell silent last time.

Someone has said that the Middle East is just one long low-intensity ethnic cleansing that flares up periodically – to some extent they are right, but the Middle East was also functioning well after WW2, except for the Israel-Palestine conflict.

The Kurds have shown a great willingness to maintain a fairly unique system in the area where they have taken on the role of protectors and strive to follow established international legal principles and not slide into violent genocide.

In the broader conflict area, the Kurds have tried to establish autonomy in northern Syria, northern Iraq, and southeastern Turkey.

Most recently, when Ahmed Al Sharaas (apparently a new name) rebel groups took over Syria in a blitz offensive and Assad fled to Moscow, it was the Kurds who took on the role of protectors in the areas they controlled.

Quite soon, Sharaas began ethnically cleansing those he didn’t like and executing them.

Israel had to protect the Druze in southwestern Syria.

I still don’t understand why the Alawites couldn’t fortify the mountain range and claim the coastal area – the rebels could never have passed through, and there are millions of well-armed Alawites with very modern weapons.

The fact that there are many ISIS prisoners in Kurdish prisons, whom Sharaa is now releasing, indicates that the Kurds are trying to follow a sensible legal principle.

They have done everything right since the US started its wars in the MENA region in the 90s, everything.

When the US created ISIS (yes, it’s confirmed, read for yourself how they armed moderate rebels who formed ISIS), they later used the Kurds to fight ISIS, filling the ranks and taking losses while American SOF fought ISIS.

So what has happened – why has the USA sacrificed the Kurds for Sharaa?

When they brought down Assad, they had help from Israel, and I believe the USA – there was long planning behind it, and Sharaa was immediately welcomed into the European and US elite circles after promises to behave exemplarily, however much his word is worth.

Fine, Assad was very bloodthirsty and a terrible dictator, but now they replaced one murderer with another who hasn’t fully spread his wings yet – we don’t know what he might become, but we do know he used to be a senior Al Qaeda leader.

For a long time, I thought that the Druze, Alawites, and Kurds would have autonomous regions and self-governance guaranteed by the USA and Europe. In the case of Syria, it would have been the most sensible and least bad option when there was an opportunity for it.

Israel defended the Druze, the Alawites should have been able to fend for themselves, and the Kurds had a direct line to US air support.

The Kurdish defense forces have 40% women and many in leadership positions in combat units – you almost have to search for more equality, especially in a region where gender equality is low priority.

They have never tried to seize the opportunity and conquer Iraq or Syria; they ask for a mountainous area in the northern part of Syria and Iraq, and their “heartland” is inaccessible mountains where no one else wants to live.

After Assad fled, I haven’t followed Syria much, except that Sharaa has attempted some ethnic cleansing that Israel and the USA have bombed away a few times.

Fast forward to today – what the hell happened?

Turkey happened, and a gigantic misjudgment happened – Syria must remain intact and have a US-friendly leader, as discussions have presumably gone?

Turkey is always ready to give death to the Kurds – they will always try if they can, and somewhere along the line, I’m pretty sure the USA/Trump communicated with Turkey on this.

Instead of dividing Syria into four (4) areas – Alawites, Druze, Sharaa’s administration, and the Kurds – apparently, the USA chose to let Sharaa have the whole cake.

Since Assad fled, he has shown a willingness to ethnically cleanse opposition; in this attack, he used ISIS groups against the Kurds and is freeing all ISIS members he can reach that the Kurds had imprisoned – what more do we need to know?

So what is the agreement the Kurds must accept as communicated by the USA?

Well, that they give up autonomy in their areas throughout Syria and that their defense forces are disarmed – yes, you heard that right.

They wanted to keep their defense forces intact, but now they must join the Syrian army and/or be disarmed, which ultimately means disarmed.

In a maximum of one year, Salani will have prepared the next ethnic cleansing of the Kurds together with Turkey.

The USA’s betrayal of their longest ally in the MENA region, who has been as loyal as a border collie, is very remarkable – because if they are willing to throw them under the bus without hesitation, then the question arises about what other alliances mean for the USA.

It seems that Saudi Arabia is also involved and wanted this, but I don’t have the whole picture clear other than that the Kurds are betrayed and stand alone, it’s only missing for Iraq to start advancing as well…

This hit me hard – I have long felt for the Kurds, as they, just like Ukraine, are fighting a justified and black-and-white liberation struggle where they are by far the least bad option in the region.

Why Israel agreed to this, I also do not know, but I guess that the USA/Trump promised to cut off Iran if they didn’t interfere in Syria, something like that.

Because Israel defends the Druze, and it is entirely impossible that they do not see the Kurds as allies in the region.

If you think Greenland is a bit off, here you have a geopolitical atomic bomb that has just exploded, leaving all of the USA’s allies with a stomach ache and the question – where is the USA heading.

The USA has started showing the same tendencies as during the Cold War when countries that had democratic leaders and were becoming stable and well-functioning – THEN the USA intervened and waged proxy wars, supported guerrillas, created guerrillas, or got other countries to start destabilizing them.

I guess that around here, the group that thinks I criticize the USA and Trump too much will fall silent because no normally functioning person can see any logic in throwing the Kurds under the bus and handing a country over to Al Qaeda.

If one were to be very cynical, the USA has just set up the stage to completely destabilize MENA (again…) so they can sell protection at five times the price (again…) when the Assad regime in Syria turns into a new ISIS.

But it’s not over yet, as the Kurds are not dumber than to understand what will happen if they demilitarize, with 40% female soldiers and this type of overpowered units, you can probably guess what will happen when old ISIS soldiers capture them – the USA has just given the green light for a massacre of women.

It’s too early to discuss Iran – it seems like the USA/Israel are gearing up for an intervention, and what is coming out now is not just 5000 dead as the regime admits, but ten times that with hundreds of thousands wounded. Even organizations like Human Rights Watch are talking about massacres now.

The only ones who haven’t said anything are the pro-Palestine gang, but maybe they are preparing a very good statement that takes time.

An international intervention is fully justified, and from what is happening, it seems to be building up towards that.

The hope is that a free Iran sees the Kurds as allies, but it could go either way – what if Iran could give up the area populated by Kurds in northwestern Iran?

I have the distinct feeling that a whole bunch of conflicts around the world are already planned, and that what is happening has been in the works for a long time.

Europe is probably the only one left out of these discussions, but now Turkey has gotten what they wanted, Russia is escalating, the USA is escalating, and everyone is waiting to see what China believes it is entitled to, and a qualified guess is of course Taiwan.

Can’t we let Kurdistan and Taiwan join the EU?

Second best would be if Ukraine, with Europe’s approval, provides the Kurds with a decent drone weapon.


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27 thoughts on “Trump threw the Kurds under the bus on January 20, 2025.”

  1. Continued low number of localized Russian attacks along the front. Significant increase in unlocalized (possibly Ukrainian) attacks. Not every other but something in that direction. Based on 3 Russian KWIA/localized Russian attacks, more than twice as many KWIA (785, 16 Russian KWIA/attack) in Russian losses from the unlocalized (possibly Ukrainian) attacks than from the Russian ones (345).

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 11💥
    Kupyansk 3
    Lyman 9💥↗️
    Slovyansk 5
    Kramatorsk 2
    Kostjantynivka 15💥
    Pokrovsk 44💥💥💥
    Oleksandrivskij 5
    Huliaipole 20💥
    Orikhivsk 0
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 1

    Sum sectors 115
    Unlocalized 50↗️↗️
    Total 165↗️

  2. If I understand correctly, the Kurdish mountain areas span three countries: Iraq, Syria, and Iran. The events you describe are taking place in Syria, as I understand it. In Iraq, the USA has left troops in the north adjacent to the Kurdish area, as they have withdrawn from the rest of the country. As for Iran, it is an unwritten card, but the American military presence is said to be imminent. Perhaps Kurdish forces could play a role on the ground in the event of a US attack on Iran?

    1. The Golan Heights still belong to Syria, even though Trump has recognized the area as Israeli. (During Trump’s previous presidential term). The UN has reportedly rejected this.

  3. Russian losses in Ukraine 2025-01-20

    • 1130 KIA
    • 6 Tanks
    • 6 AFVs
    • 60 Artillery systems
    • 1 MLRS
    • 1 Anti-Aircraft system
    • 925 UAVs
    • 191 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
    • 3 Special equipment

    SLAVA UKRAINI

  4. “I ASK FOR BREAD.”

    Kostiantynivka direction – Ukrainian drone operators from the Phoenix unit of the State Border Guard Service — found an elderly woman who had written her plea for bread in the snow. Without a second thought, the men gathered a small food parcel and delivered it to her.

    The grandmother received the package and, in response, wrote “Thank you” in the snow.

    https://substack.com/@russiaanalyzed/note/c-202057238

    1. I have slowed down the pace of reporting, thinking that I will do it every other week instead of every week so that maybe some things can happen in between. I will return when The Economist has updated next time, should be tomorrow or on Thursday.

  5. “Zelensky said Ukraine produces 1,000 interceptor drones daily but needs more operators. Russia fires about 350 Shaheds per day and increases missile use with foreign help. Ukraine spent €80M on air defense today and received new Patriot and NASAMS supplies.”

  6. “❗️Operators of 🇺🇦Nemesis (412th Separate Brigade of Unmanned Systems Forces) destroyed(?) 10 🇷🇺enemy air defense systems in one week: ▪️P-18-2 “Prima” radar ▪️S-350 “Vityaz” radar (the second one in January)”

    1. I don’t have a good grasp on them either, but from what I understand, they are good warriors and have morals, unlike the other Islamist brainwashed groups in the area.

      Now, I’m quite cynical, but I think the silence from the USA is about who Trump knows and listens to, and what his predecessor’s stance was.

      -Trump doesn’t listen to “ordinary people”, but he knows Erdogan, that’s his dictator buddy, so he has based his view on the Kurds on information from Erdogan.

      -He also knows Syria’s new president, he is a strong and handsome man, so he is happy to help him.

      -He doesn’t know any Kurdish dictator, so they must be a rather insignificant group.

      -Obama and Biden are said to have received help from the Kurds, so they must be punished.

      Yes, and maybe someone has told him that they have female soldiers, that’s not good, they should stay in the kitchen and the bedroom.

      1. In a steam or turbine ship, a “boiler” is the same as a steam boiler that generates steam by heating water with fuel combustion. The produced steam is used on a ship for propulsion, electricity generation, heating, and auxiliary systems.
        Main boilers are large for propulsion, auxiliary boilers are smaller for heating and auxiliary power.
        Guessing Ukraine got the smaller type.
        We had Babcock & Wilcox boilers on T/S Antigua. Very good. In addition, Stahl Laval turbines, so unnecessary stops on that boat were rare.

  7. I get the impression that Ukraine is inflicting heavy losses on the Russian bastards at the front lines.

    And they carry out their own counterattacks where needed, which always go well and the loss ratio is historically good.

    North Vietnam won the war by inflicting 40 times the American losses, for example, and when this war started, RU had a staggering advantage and Ukraine had hardly any drone weapons to speak of – it was the marksmanship that decided.

    After the strategic offensive reserve was activated, I have completely stopped watching RU advances because they are one counterattack away from disappearing.

    In Kupiansk, they talk about a 1:27 KIA ratio, but it has been like that before too, in KWIA it’s 1:5 or something like that. But it is rare in history for the attacking party, where there are two qualified opponents, to achieve this ratio.

    Ukraine will come out on top in this, provided Europe doesn’t let itself be talked down, and I think we are past that now.

    History is written by marksmanship, which MANY wanted to argue with me about when I called them the world’s best marksmen.

    Then there was that M-something on the other blog who always knew this would end in a frozen trench warfare and everyone who knew it would end in a ceasefire according to the Korean model.

    Luckily, Ukraine listens to me and not them.

  8. Well, right now we are all Danes 🙂

    It was a very good description of the governance, Ritualistic Chaos.

    Unpredictability as a political weapon, to never let anyone feel safe, ignore rules, tear down alliances and institutions.

    It’s geopolitical shock therapy.

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