Ukraine has once again hit the oil terminal in Novorossiysk – Russian losses

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Ukraine has once again attacked a major oil terminal with drones. It is located in the port of Novorossiysk and was also targeted by drone attacks in November. It is one of the larger terminals for Russian oil exports. According to the mayor, among other things, four residential buildings were damaged, but he does not mention anything about the terminal. We will have to wait and see what reports may come during the day. Read more at Kyiv Independent.

Russian losses in Ukraine

  • 960 KWIA
  • 4 Tanks
  • 3 AFVs
  • 74 Artillery systems
  • 3 MLRS
  • 5 Air defense systems
  • 1810 UAVs
  • 247 Vehicles and Fuel tanks
  • 1 Special equipment

Russian activities

Many KAB and many drones.

  • 145 Strider
  • 86 Air raids
  • 285 KAB
  • 8,828 Suicide drones
  • 3,573 Grenades (including 46 from MLRS)

SLAVA UKRAINI

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113 thoughts on “Ukraine has once again hit the oil terminal in Novorossiysk – Russian losses”

  1. MXT

    The oil price is rising on Monday morning after tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has practically come to a halt, several media outlets report. This as shipping companies and traders pause passages in the shadow of the escalating conflict surrounding Iran.

    Brent is up around 6 percent to around $77 per barrel, after peaking around $80 during the night. The Strait of Hormuz – a strategic chokepoint for about a fifth of the world’s oil trade – is reported to be formally open, but Iran confirms attacks on three tankers.

    OPEC+ has decided at a previously planned meeting to increase production quotas by 206,000 barrels per day, but the market’s focus is on whether flows can normalize quickly, writes Direkt. Citi’s base scenario sees Brent trading in the range of $80-90 per barrel at least for the coming week.”

    This is how it looks right now. The Urals oil shown further down in the table is lagging behind in reporting, so we will see in a couple of days how it has fared.

    2. MXT

      Omni has woken up:

      “A fire has occurred at one of Saudi Arabia’s and the world’s largest oil refineries Ras Tanura after two drones were shot down, according to the country’s Ministry of Defense. No person is reported to have been harmed, Reuters reports.

      According to Bloomberg, the refinery, owned by Saudi Aramco, has halted production as a result.

      The refinery is Saudi Aramco’s largest, with a capacity of about 550,000 barrels per day.”
      https://omni.se/brand-pa-ett-av-varldens-storsta-raffinaderi/a/L4lL9x

  5. MXT

    “Smoke is reported to be rising from the US embassy in Kuwait City, according to the AFP correspondent in the country.

    The USA has not confirmed if the embassy has been hit in an attack, but is urging people to stay away.

    “There is still a risk of missile and drone attacks over Kuwait. Do not come to the embassy,” it says in a statement.

    The Interior Ministry in Kuwait reports that they have shot down an unspecified number of drones during the early morning hours.”

  6. MXT

    The British airbase Akrotiri in Cyprus has been hit by an Iranian Shaed drone. Cyprus President Nikos Christodoulides confirms this, reports Reuters.

    Christodoulides says that the country’s leadership is on high alert and that they have nothing to do with the conflict.

    Already during the night, the British Ministry of Defence reported that an airbase in Cyprus was hit in a suspected drone attack, writes The Telegraph.

    No one is reported to have been injured, but minor damage occurred on the airstrip.

    According to reports to Reuters, the base was attacked with two drones, one of which was shot down.

    1. Kons

      The question is whether the Iran war is net positive or net negative for Ukraine.
      Positive: Russia gets rid of another ally. Unfortunately, the technology has already been transferred for the Shaheds.
      Negative: Lots of air defense and other equipment are being used up that could have been used in Ukraine (paid for by Europe, Canada, etc., PURL)
      Higher oil prices

      If Russia is foolish enough to help the Iranians with Geran drones made in Alabuga, it suddenly becomes very net positive if Trump (a broken clock is right twice a day) then sends Tomahawks to Ukraine to take out Alabuga. It should be possible to Flamingo it too, as they have a longer range than Tomahawk, but maybe it’s smoother with the latter.

      1. MXT

        If Russia were actually to seriously try to help Iran (doubtful), it would definitely be a net positive. Then maybe it’s enough for Russia to once again fail to help its allies for it to be a net positive. Losing trust and reputation can make more people feel they don’t want to be on the losing side while the Russians themselves surely also lose self-confidence.

  7. MXT

    “Ghana introduces immediate measures to prevent Russia from recruiting Ghanaians for its war against Ukraine. That’s according to the country’s Foreign Minister Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa to the BBC.

    It involves efforts to detect human traffickers on the so-called dark web, as well as spreading information to the public.

    According to the minister, 55 of the country’s citizens have died in the fighting in Ukraine. This would make Ghana the African country that has lost the most citizens in the war.

    – This is not our war and we cannot allow our youth to become human shields for others, says Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa.”

  8. MXT

    “A US F-15 fighter jet crashed west of Al Jahra, Kuwait, with both pilots ejecting safely and recovered by Kuwaitis on the ground. The cause remains unclear. Iranian outlet Tasnim claimed Iran shot the jet down, while a higher likelihood seems friendly fire. One pilot sustained minor injuries.”

    1. MXT

      Omni is on the same track (or rather their sources).

      “The oil market is preparing for continued turbulence after traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed down. Several experts warn that disruptions could further drive up prices if the conflict worsens.

      – In the event of more prolonged disruptions, we see a possible scenario where the oil price exceeds $100 per barrel, says Jorge Leon, geopolitical analyst at Rystad Energy, to Bloomberg.

      Other analysts emphasize that even short interruptions in the strait can have a significant impact as one-fifth of the world’s oil passes through there.”
      https://omni.se/analytiker-varnar-oljan-kan-na-100-dollar-per-fat/a/k0EXPv

  10. MXT

    That the US attacks on Iran would lead to the Iranian people rising up and overthrowing the regime is unlikely. Several political scientists and Iran experts tell Politico.

    Several of the experts agree with Donald Trump’s dream that the people would take control of their future. But historically, air strikes alone have never paved the way for a regime change. In addition, Iran has a habit of crushing all resistance.

    “To save pro-democracy demonstrators, you have to be there. You have to have troops on the ground,” says political scientist Robert Pape, who has researched regime changes.

    Sanam Vakil, head of the think tank Chatham House’s Middle East program, believes that Iranians are currently more focused on digesting the situation and reloading.

    “They will focus on their own survival.”

    New York Magazine is not impressed with Trump’s unclear plans for regime change, which they describe as pure fantasies. “Magical thinking will not help the Iranians overthrow their government,” the magazine writes.

    1. Kons

      I imagine having air supremacy and flying around with drones to protect the protesters. If snipers position themselves on the rooftops, they will be targeted with a Hellfire missile.

  11. MXT

    Then we may have to be prepared for the fact that electricity prices can skyrocket when gas becomes more expensive.

    A bit ironic if Trump now succeeds with what we thought Putin would achieve this winter, but through sabotage.

    High oil prices primarily benefit the USA and Russia, while increased gas prices mainly affect Europe. Perhaps as Johan No.1 has suggested, the USA wants to crash Europe and at the same time would be happy to see Russia exert military pressure on us. 🤔

    A bit too conspiratorial of course, but not entirely impossible that it may have been a contributing reason to attack Iran.

    “Natural gas prices in Europe are soaring after the escalated conflicts in the Middle East over the weekend, writes Bloomberg. Trade through the Strait of Hormuz – one of the world’s most important energy routes – has largely come to a halt, causing the market to factor in the risk of interruptions in LNG flows.

    European futures contracts have risen by around 25 percent, the largest daily movement since August 2023. The situation could be the most serious shock to the gas market since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    Europe is identified as particularly vulnerable with unusually low reserves and a significant need for LNG imports this summer ahead of winter. Goldman Sachs warns that a one-month halt in the Hormuz could more than double prices.”
    https://omni.se/gaspriserna-rusar-risk-for-100-procentigt-lyft/a/e7JmzK

    2. Jan W

      Oh, so much LNG is passing through the strait. Explains why Fortum is rising. Although it has calmed down a bit now. It probably has to be fairly long-lasting to have an impact on Fortum’s value.

      1. MXT

        Yes, if it doesn’t last long, there probably isn’t much danger.

        At the same time, as spot prices rise, many will probably have to buy future gas at inflated prices, money that cannot be recovered even if it later turns out that there was no real crisis or actual shortage (just delays).

        The sellers will take advantage and charge a lot, they also of course have a high risk when it comes to transportation costs and delayed deliveries.

  12. 205

    N Slobozhansky-Kursk 0
    S Slobozhansky 2↘️
    Kupyansk 3
    Lyman 7
    Slovyansk 20💥↗️
    Kramatorsk 0
    Kostjantynivka 14💥↗️
    Pokrovsk 22💥
    Oleksandrivskij 7
    Huliaipole 34💥💥↘️
    Orikhivsk 1
    Prydniprovskij/Dnipro 1

    Sum sectors 111↗️🇷🇺
    Unlocalized 34↘️🇺🇦
    Total 145↘️

    1. MXT

      👍

      One can sense a somewhat downward trend but at the same time also stronger peaks and valleys. 
      Will try to find time to go through Ragnar’s statistics to see if any trends are visible.

      1. 205

        Yes, just stronger peaks and valleys that coincide with a declining trend. A bit of a “final push”?

         

        It would be interesting to see the 7 and 28 day averages for KWiA. Compare with the attacks during the same period.

        2. Lasse W

          Yes, that’s the feeling you get. You throw in everything you have to achieve that breakthrough on the ground and/or for the Ukrainians to lose courage and agree to territorial concessions. But the Ukrainians have proven to be increasingly skilled at shooting down Iskander, Kinzhal, drones, and more. The Ukrainians are so damn good. If a swear word is allowed.

  14. 205

    THREE MONTHS OF STRUGGLE FOR LIGHT
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
    This winter became one of the toughest trials for Ukraine’s air defense system. The occupiers once again tried to cause a total blackout for the Ukrainians and destroy the state’s critical infrastructure by using an unprecedented number of missiles and drones.

    During the three winter months, the air force, in cooperation with Ukraine’s defense forces, repelled 14 massive combined attacks from the enemy.

    In December-January, the enemy carried out seven massive attacks with various types of missiles and drones. In February, the intensity of the attacks doubled – Ukraine was subjected to another seven large-scale attacks.

    The enemy combined attacks with different types of attack UAVs and missiles in an attempt to complicate the airspace, overload the air defense system, and deplete resources.
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

    Chronology of the conflict: numbers and facts

    🔵December 2025:
    On December 6, on the Ukrainian Armed Forces Day, the enemy carried out one of the most extensive attacks during the entire full-scale war – 704 aerial targets, including 51 rockets. Additional attacks on December 13, 23, and 27 maintained an extremely high intensity – from almost 500 to over 670 aerial targets.

    🔵January 2026:
    Period of intensive use of ballistic missiles. On January 9, the main attack was concentrated in the Kiev region (278 targets). The use of medium-range ballistic missiles in the Lviv region and the use of “Zircon” on January 20 and 24 have been recorded.

    🔵February 2026:
    The month with the highest workload. On February 3, the enemy fired the largest number of missiles in a single attack during the entire winter – 71 pieces. And already on February 26, the enemy carried out a massive drone attack – 420 UAVs in a single attack.
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖

    The enemy systematically increases the use of both standard ballistic missiles (Iskander-M) and missiles that hit the target along a ballistic path: Kinzhal, Zircon, Kh-22/32, S-300/S-400. In total, the attacker has fired over 700 missiles of various types over three months.

    Despite these challenges, the Ukrainian airspace has held firm. The energy system has been preserved thanks to the professionalism of the air defense forces, mobile firing groups, radio-technical forces, and the air force.

      1. 205

        Well, in that previous post, I mainly referred to the number of Russian drone/missile attacks on Ukraine after the American/Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear program last year (2025), where a clear decrease was recorded.

        But even before that, Russia was said to have licensed the production of Shaheds through its Geran program.

        No, Russian attacks on Ukraine using drones and missiles **did not decrease** after the major joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran in June 2025 (the “Twelve-Day War” from June 13–24, 2025, which included US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites). Available open-access data and reporting indicate that Russian aerial campaigns either continued at high intensity or increased in certain periods throughout the remainder of 2025 and into early 2026.

        Key points from reliable sources:

        – Russian Shahed-type drone launches (largely Iranian-designed but increasingly produced domestically in Russia) totaled **54,538** in 2025, with around 32,200 being strike variants. Monthly averages stabilized at high levels after mid-2025 peaks (e.g., ~6,297 in July 2025), settling around 5,000–5,380 per month from fall onward, with no notable post-June drop tied to the Iran conflict.
        – Large-scale barrages persisted, including record or near-record missile use in late 2025 (e.g., 270 missiles in October 2025, a 2.5-year high at the time).
        – Overall air/drone attacks rose dramatically year-over-year: from ~6,000 in 2023 to ~16,000 in 2024 and over 29,000 in 2025, reflecting Russia’s expanded drone production and integration into its strategy.
        – Into early 2026 (post-February 28, 2026 strikes on Iran, but your query focuses on the 2025 events), strikes remained intense or peaked (e.g., February 2026 saw 288 overnight missiles, a 3-year high, up 113% from January, plus ~5,059 long-range drones; winter 2025–2026 totals included nearly 19,000 attack drones).

        Russia’s reliance on Iranian components for Shaheds (and earlier missile supplies) was significant early in the war, but by 2025, Moscow had largely shifted to domestic production (e.g., at facilities like Alabuga), reducing direct dependence on Iranian shipments. The June 2025 Iran-Israel/US conflict damaged Iranian capabilities but did not visibly disrupt Russian drone/missile output against Ukraine—Russia even began supplying air defense systems to Iran later to bolster ties.

        No freely accessible newspaper or journal sources report a decrease in Russian attacks post-June 2025 Iran strikes. Instead, analyses highlight sustained or intensified campaigns, with some speculation that Middle East diversions (e.g., straining Western air defense supplies like Patriots) indirectly benefited Russia without reducing its attack volumes.

        Freely accessible source examples:
        – The Moscow Times (March 1, 2026 article referencing 2025 peaks): https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/03/01/russian-overnight-missile-strikes-on-ukraine-reached-3-year-peak-in-february-afp-analysis-a92083
        – Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) report on 2025 Shahed deployment (Jan 22, 2026): https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/a-comprehensive-analytical-review-of-russian-shahed-type-uavs-deployment-against-ukraine-in-2025 (details high, stable launches post-summer 2025).
        – Al Jazeera (Feb 24, 2026 mapping trends): https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/mapping-russian-attacks-and-territorial-gains-across-ukraine (notes threefold rise in air/drone attacks through 2025).

        If you’re referring to a different specific 2025 event or have more details, feel free to clarify—current public reporting shows no decline linked to the Iran conflict.

        Regardless, the threat from a regime that has already had a decisive influence on the course of the war and extended it by at least two years, according to Budanov, former head of military intelligence in Ukraine, is unlikely to disappear.

        “Ukraine would have retaken all occupied territories if it were not for Moscow’s support from its allies, primarily Iran.”

        Iran is a sworn enemy of Ukraine.

         

        The Ukrainians do not forget.

         

        1. MXT

          Ah, misunderstood what you wrote earlier and interpreted it as you meant that Russia was still dependent on Iran when it comes to Shaheds.

          That Iran is an enemy to Ukraine through its support to Russia, there is certainly no doubt about.

          Even if Russia were to manufacture its Shaheds themselves, it would not be unlikely if some parts come from Iran. It may turn out that we will see fewer Shaheds, let’s hope for that.

          Also, Iran (as you write) has contributed with more than just Shaheds, so it is obviously positive for Ukraine that Iran is getting a beating regardless of what happens with the Shaheds.

          Then we’ll see, the war could still prove to be negative for Ukraine if it lasts a long time and more countries get involved and it also has a major economic impact.

          No danger yet, the only concern is that Ukraine is no longer mentioned as frequently when Iran tops all the news (just like when the war between Israel and Palestine was in full swing).

          If there is a humanitarian crisis, refugee flows, etc., there is a risk that resources are redistributed and even if the war spreads. Deliveries of air defense systems to Ukraine, for example, may decrease when they instead go to protect bases within Iran’s range.

          Keeping fingers crossed that the regime in Iran falls quickly (and hard)!

            1. MXT

              😄 Well, it’s probably not so fun to be allied with Russia anymore.

              I hope that this might also make others consider if they have bet on the right horse.
              Not only those who actively support Russia with weapons and other things but also for example the rulers in Georgia. But maybe we have to wait for the Russian money to run out, when the bribe money stops maybe it’s no longer so fun to stand on Putin’s side.

               

  15. MXT

    The Gulf states have long tried to position themselves as a peninsula of peace, champions of diplomacy, an economic engine, an aviation hub, and a growing tourist destination. That image was shattered during the tumultuous weekend, putting the Gulf states face to face with their worst nightmare: being dragged into a war between Iran and Israel. This is written by the French newspaper Le Monde.

    In recent weeks, the Gulf states have publicly urged the US not to attack Iran, limited Americans’ ability to use their airspace, and pushed for a diplomatic solution. All to appease Tehran. In vain.

    Over the weekend, Iran attacked American military bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman.

    Now the Gulf states are facing a “painful dilemma”. Should they continue with the same approach, which has clearly not worked, or take a clearer stance in support of the US and Israel? The latter could lead to further Iranian anger.

    1. Lasse W

      “Iranian rage”. I mean. I don’t like Omni. Always latent anti-Israel and pro-Palestine. It’s Trump and the international right that are the enemy. It’s an unpleasant attitude.

      1. MXT

        They usually just repeat what others have written so I guess it probably reflects more what other media’s attitudes are rather than having their own political agenda.

        The majority seems to be against Trump and actually even stand on the side of Palestine (the latter even in the USA according to recent surveys, despite it always being the opposite before).

  16. MXT

    “At least nine people have been killed and 19 others injured in Russian attacks against Ukraine over the past day, local authorities said on March 2.

    Russia launched 94 drones at Ukraine overnight, the Air Force said, reporting that Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 84. At least 10 drones evaded defenses and struck four locations. The fall of debris was recorded at two locations.”

    https://kyivindependent.com/at-least-9-killed-19-injured-in-russian-attacks-on-ukraine-over-past-day/

  17. MXT

    Oh, how sad for them!

    “Russians are losing hundreds of thousands of rubles by refusing tours to the UAE. Citizens are massively canceling even April trips, but neither getting tours back without penalties nor returning airline tickets for a full refund is possible, as airlines / operators withhold most of it.

    One woman requested a refund for a trip on March 4 from “Biblio Globus,” but she was told that upon canceling the trip, the entire amount would be charged as a penalty — that is 307 thousand rubles.”
    https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3mg2xnesv6k2t

  18. MXT

    “New US-Israeli strikes targeted the Shahramfar intelligence base and judicial facilities in Sanandaj, with explosions also reported in Tehran and Tabriz.”

  19. MXT

    RZD has started bringing in migrant workers from India. 35 Indians have joined the ranks of the Kuibyshev Infrastructure Directorate in the Volga region.

    It’s difficult to recruit local residents for these positions, and the salaries offered to Indian workers are the same as those offered to Russian applicants – 90-150 thousand rubles. They were also provided with a transfer, accommodation, vodka and registration in the migration registry.

      1. CB500four

        It’s so typically Russian, to abandon its allies as soon as things heat up.

        They may have received some anti-aircraft defense and other weapons, but their anti-aircraft defense hasn’t exactly been successful against anything other than civilian aircraft.

        Russia allies with other countries in order to exploit them, not for mutual benefit. I think many countries have learned that by now.

  24. MXT

    “Satellitbilder från Planet och Airbus, analyserade av NY Times, visar att två satellitterminaler förstördes vid den amerikanska flottans femte flotta högkvarter i Manama, Bahrain.”

  26. MXT

    “The USF, in coordination with the Special Operations Forces of Ukraine, destroyed a Russian “Kasta” radar system on March 1 in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.”

  27. MXT

    “🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump on the death of Khamenei: I got him before he got me. They tried twice. Well, I got him first. The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates… Second or third place is dead. Iranians now reached out to me. Somebody within the Iranian government has reached out.

    We intended four to five weeks. It won’t be difficult. We have tremendous amounts of ammunition… stored all over the world. We expect casualties. Three is three too many as far as I’m concerned. I don’t think the Arab states are needed to join the United States in striking Iran.”

    https://bsky.app/profile/theukrainianreview.bsky.social/post/3mg2veqyu7s2r

    “

    1. CB500four

      Yes, of course it’s all about him.

      But wasn’t it Israel who took out the Ayatollah? The USA had wanted to wait longer, but Israel had a sharp eye on where he was and sent their regards in the form of 30 missiles.

  28. MXT

    “‼️ There is a possibility that Russia may be sending Shahed-type drones (Russian name: Geran) to Iran. Iran has already shown interest in Russia’s modified versions, such as Geran-3 & Geran-5, which are essentially inexpensive cruise missiles with improved speed (up to 600 km/h) & anti-jamming capabilities.

    The factory in the Alabuga Special Economic Zone currently produces more than 500 drones per month and is constantly expanding. Experts note that the scale of production in Alabuga allows Moscow to export updated and “battle-tested” versions of the drones back to Iran.

    ‼️ Destroying the Russian factory that makes Shahed/Geran drones would be the right strategic decision.”

    1. CB500four

      Hm, if Geran 3 and 5 were to suddenly start dropping in American bases, Ukraine would surely get what they’re pointing at as long as they take out the factory.

  29. MXT

    🤬 Russia has begun striking Ukraine with a new subsonic missile “Izdeliye-30” — Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine

    ▪️ Approximate range – 1500 km

    ▪️ Warhead – 800 kg

    ▪️ Speed – 600–800 km/h

    ▪️ For satellite navigation it is equipped with the ECM-resistant Kometa-M12 module

    ▪️ A cheaper and potentially mass-produced analogue of the Kh-101 cruise missile for Tu-95 / Tu-160 bombers.

    https://bsky.app/profile/militarynewsua.bsky.social/post/3mg2ynox4e22f

  34. MXT

    Since the Israeli and American attacks on Iran began over the weekend, at least 555 people have been killed in Iran, according to the Iranian Red Crescent, as reported by several media outlets.

    The entire region is in a state of unrest, and the conflict in Iran has spread to large parts of the Middle East.

    In the clashes that have erupted in Lebanon, after the Iran-backed Shiite militia Hezbollah attacked Israel on Monday, at least 31 people are reported to have been killed and 149 injured.

    Four members of the Iran-backed PMU militia were killed in an Israeli and American attack in Iraq.

    Iranian retaliatory attacks have been directed at several countries in the Middle East. In Israel, at least ten people have been killed and around 200 injured since the weekend, CNN reports.

    Three people have been killed in the United Arab Emirates, three American soldiers in Kuwait, and one person in Bahrain.

  35. MXT

    The European Commission sees no immediate risk to the EU’s oil supply despite the escalating conflict in the Middle East, according to an email to member states that Reuters has seen.

    “At this stage, we do not anticipate any immediate impact on the security of oil supply.”

    At the same time, oil prices are rising sharply following disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Brussels is now requesting national situation reports and considering a meeting of the oil coordination group.

  37. MXT

    Sweden currently has no possibility to evacuate stranded Swedes, says Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson (M) to Expressen.

    The Ministry for Foreign Affairs (UD) tells TT that at least 4,200 Swedes are stranded in Dubai and Doha following the attacks between the USA, Israel, and Iran.

    Kristersson says they are awaiting the airlines’ assessment of when they can resume flights.

    “We have quite limited possibilities for evacuation, or no possibilities at all right now, so we are now waiting to see what happens in the coming days.”
    https://omni.se/kristersson-ingen-mojlighet-att-evakuera-strandsatta-svenskar/a/zOEXWb

  38. MXT

    New explosions have been heard in the Iranian capital Tehran, reports AFP. The news agency’s correspondent describes how the explosions have been felt in the eastern parts of the city.

    At the same time, the Israeli military, IDF, states that the country has initiated new attacks against Iran.

    Meanwhile, the news agency’s correspondent in Jerusalem, Israel, reports how explosions have been heard across the city.

    1. MXT

      “Dugin warned about Russia repeating Iran’s fate One by one, our allies are being systematically destroyed — it’s clear who’s next, lamented “philosopher” Alexander Dugin. “Between Washington’s strikes on Moscow and the present moment, only Iran stands in the way. As long as it can resist, we have time to prepare,” he explained. Putin hides in his bunker and administers new laws of oppression while all his allies fall, one by one.”
      https://x.com/Beefeater_Fella/status/2028213503136350359

      1. Lasse W

        Hasn’t Putin been unusually subdued lately? Is he a prey to conflicting emotions, as they say? Peskov and Lavrov can dutifully say something. But the highest of all says nothing. Have the Russians begun to realize that they have bitten off more than they can chew in Ukraine?

        1. MXT

          Yes, one gets the feeling that the Russians’ belief in victory is starting to wane.

          The pro-Russian bloggers have been quite negative lately, complaining about lack of success, etc. The decisions to shut down various apps have been heavily criticized. Some time ago, there were young people who were arrested for singing unauthorized songs.

          Even high-ranking officials have started to complain about the economy.

          From Putin, hardly anything is heard.

          I also don’t think I see as many pro-Russians on social media (but of course, it could be the algorithms).

          Perhaps, just perhaps, they are starting to realize that they have no cards!

           

           

           

        2. CB500four

          Seems like they see the great melancholy rolling in, the empire shrinking, the allies disappearing, the raffle burning, the cash vaults echoing empty.

          I wonder if Putin in the bunker feels the walls creeping closer, and the ways out becoming fewer and fewer.

          1. Lasse W

            About that. Putin is probably starting to look at his options. Helicopter and then changing to another helicopter. Then off to that dacha in North Korea.

  43. MXT

    Three American fighter jets have crashed in Kuwait, confirmed by the US Central Command at lunchtime on Monday.

    In a video verified by CNN, one of the planes, believed to be an F-15, can be seen crashing near the Ali Al Salem airbase in central Kuwait. In another clip, a soldier is seen falling to the ground with a parachute.

    “During the ongoing conflict – which included attacks from Iranian aircraft, ballistic missiles, and drones – the American fighter jets were mistakenly shot down by Kuwaiti air defense,” the Central Command writes.

    All six crew members are reported to have ejected and survived unharmed.

    “Kuwait has confirmed the incident, and we are grateful for the efforts of the Kuwaiti defense forces and their support in the ongoing operation,” the US writes.

    The matter will now be thoroughly investigated.

  44. MXT

    The support in the USA does not seem to be at its peak when it comes to the war against Iran.

    “Just one in four Americans supports US strikes on Iran, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

    – Poll shows 43% disapprove of US strikes on Iran
    – 56% believe Trump too willing to use military force
    – Americans wary of US casualties, higher fuel prices”

    1. MXT

      It will be interesting to see in the coming weeks how the Trump Approval Ratings develop. Of course, it depends a lot on how the war progresses, whether it can be a quick victory or if it will drag on.

      Will soldiers be needed on the ground to make the regime surrender, or to make the people dare to rise up, it can take both a long time and lead to losses of American soldiers.

      I guess Trump has imagined that a new leadership in Iran will quickly bow down and comply with Trump’s demands, but the question is if it will be that simple.

  45. MXT

    “Around 70% of Ukrainians don’t believe that the ongoing negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and Russia will result in lasting peace, according to a poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) published on March 2.

    Only 25% of respondents said they rather believe in the talks’ potential success, while 5% remained undecided, the survey showed.”
    https://kyivindependent.com/70-of-ukrainians-skeptical-us-ukraine-russia-talks-will-bring-lasting-peace-poll-shows/

  46. MXT

    Qatar’s state energy company announces that the production of natural gas is halted after Iranian attacks on the country’s two main facilities. This is reported by Qatar Energy in a statement, AFP writes.

    At 13.35, the European gas price TTF surges by around 37 percent to 44 euros per megawatt-hour.

    “If Qatar has shut down all of its LNG production – 14 facilities – as the wording in the statement suggests, it corresponds to around 20 percent of the world’s production. As a single company, Qatar Energy is the world’s largest producer of liquefied natural gas,” writes Bloomberg’s Javier Blas on X.

    1. MXT

      “The gas price has increased by over 50 percent and the upward trend continues to escalate. This will affect electricity prices in Sweden, reports TT.

      The surge has occurred since, among other things, Qatar announced the closure of the world’s largest gas export facility due to an Iranian drone attack.

      In the market where players trade future electricity deliveries, prices are up by 7-8 percent in the Nordic market. High electricity prices around 107.06 öre per kilowatt-hour are expected in SE4 and 90.66 in SE3 on Tuesday.

      Gas accounts for a large part of European electricity production, and when electricity prices rise, for example in Germany, it tends to affect electricity prices in southern Sweden because the electricity markets are interconnected.”
      https://omni.se/rusning-i-gaspris-smittar-av-sig-dyrare-elpriser-vantar/a/oEnxL0

  47. MXT

    “❗️ Donbas exchange for border areas: Zelensky resolutely rejected the bidding with the Russian Federation “We cannot compare these lands. First of all, because when we talk about border areas, any, it is very difficult for the enemy to hold them.

    The Russians clearly understand that they will not be able to hold them and the moment will come when we will squeeze them out of these territories. Therefore, this is not a gift,” the president replied during a conversation with journalists.”

  49. MXT

    The Swedish shipping company Stena’s cargo ship has been hit by drones in the Persian Gulf, reports Ekot. The attack took place on Monday morning and no one from the crew is reported to be seriously injured.

    – It is in the Persian Gulf but the crew is okay. From that perspective, we are simply taking measures to ensure both the ship and the crew right now, says Erik Hånell, CEO of Stena Bulk.

    The ship sails under the American flag, writes Expressen.

    On Saturday, Erik Hånell told DI that Stena had “less than a handful of ships” in the Persian Gulf, at that time they did not want to disclose exact positions for security reasons.

  50. Lasse W

    I completely disagree with that. The hatred towards Trump seems to make people completely lose their minds. It’s the free world against the axis powers of evil. Anyone who doesn’t see that is involved in unclear matters that do not benefit democracy and freedom.

  51. MacMelmac

    “Great powers cannot arbitrarily attack other countries based on their military superiority,” says Wang, who argues that the issue of Iran’s nuclear program must immediately be put on the diplomatic agenda.

    We should remember this when China starts fussing about Taiwan and also supports Russia.

    Why are all these small-dicked men such big hypocrites?

  52. MXT

    France will increase the number of nuclear warheads and build a new nuclear-powered submarine, says President Emmanuel Macron according to news agencies.

    “We must strengthen our nuclear deterrence in response to several threats,” he says, calling the strategy “advanced deterrence.”

    It is the first time in several decades that the country is expanding its nuclear arsenal, according to AP. Macron adds that the exact number will be kept secret.

    France currently has just under 300 deployed nuclear warheads, the highest number in the world after the USA, Russia, and the UK.

  53. MXT

    Ukrainian forces captured more territory in February 2026 than Russian forces were able to occupy in the same period, Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said on March 2.

    The claim came amid a slowdown in Russian advances on most parts of the front line over winter — following a pattern seen on the battlefield a year prior — while along the southern front line in Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, Ukrainian units have been on the offensive.”

  54. MXT

    Well, now the speculations are up to 300USD per barrel. It feels like they are competing to see who can go the highest now. We’ll see where it ends. Right now, Crude oil has fallen back a bit and is at 71.4.

    “A total stop in the passage at the Strait of Hormuz could drive up the oil price to over 300 dollars per barrel. This is warned by energy researcher Henrik Wachtmeister for Afv.

    According to international media, hundreds of ships have dropped anchor on both sides of the strait. Despite this, the oil price has only increased by about 7 percent during the day, but Wachtmeister argues that the situation is more tense than what the price movements suggest.

    Thina Margrethe Saltvedt, chief commodity analyst at Nordea, describes a closure of the strait as a worst-case scenario.

    – This is absolutely the worst-case scenario. If it continues over time, it is just the beginning of the price effects we see, she tells Afv.”
    https://omni.se/experter-laget-i-hormuz-ett-varsta-scenario-bara-borjan/a/ln3aMo

  55. MXT

    “🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump said “the biggest surprise” has been Iran’s attacks on Arab countries in the region. “We were surprised,” he said, adding, “We told them, ‘We’ve got this,’ and now they want to fight.” Iran’s strikes “shot into a hotel” and “an apartment house,” which “just made them angry.”

    They (Arab countries) were going to be very little involved and now they insist on being involved. On Iran’s leadership, Trump said, “We don’t know who the leadership is. We don’t know who they’ll pick.” He added that Iran lost “a lot in terms of leadership” in the initial strikes.

    “Forty-nine people,” Trump said. “It was an amazing strike.” Trump said efforts to negotiate failed because “we couldn’t make a deal with these people,” adding that Iran wouldn’t end uranium enrichment.”

    Omnis version:

    “Donald Trump says that the USA is “beating the crap out of Iran” during the ongoing military operation, but that the American military has more to give.

    – We haven’t even started hitting them seriously. The big wave hasn’t even come yet. The big bang is coming soon, he says in an interview with CNN.

    He also says that he is surprised that Iran’s retaliatory attacks have been directed at Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. The countries initially did not want to be involved but now “insist” according to Trump on striking back against Iran.

    Trump also elaborates on his comments from the other day about the USA taking out nearly 50 Iranian leaders in an attack.

    – They got a bit arrogant when they gathered in one place. They thought they were undetectable. They weren’t. We were surprised by that.”

  58. johan No.1

    Now that the comeback was planned, they have locked the work computer so I can’t access the posts.

    Iran has only just begun, right?

    Now the terrorist attacks in Europe will come, and then Israel and the USA will probably run out of LV before Iran runs out of robots?

    Russia will also sneak in Gerandrönare via the Caspian Sea.

    1. CB500four

      Geran factories will surely be prioritized targets for the USA if the drones start killing Americans? Ukraine can surely get some Tomahawks if they do the dirty work.

  59. johan No.1

    Iran will attempt asymmetric warfare in EVERY way possible to get the USA to retract its claws.

    The UK already retracted its claws but they were still attacked.

  60. johan No.1

    Mass of rumors – one is that Israel has infiltrated dentists and had GPS in fillings and it is the elite who get new teeth.

    After the personal searchers, I believe in everything.

     

    2. Lasse W

      Yes, how the hell do you clinically eliminate the military and political elite in Iran? I thought they would be located deep down in some bunker system. On level 7 downwards or something similar. Now it seems like Khamenei was in his private palace. Strange. Some kind of conscious will to go to death?

  63. johan No.1

    Has the USA underestimated this – no, this probably suits them like a glove.

    Suddenly, the entire MENA region is the USA’s best friend and will buy security at five times the market price.

    USD will soar (good for me)

    Everyone will want to buy US government debt again.

    China has lost one of the battles.

    China’s advanced technology was nothing – everyone went all in and the USA came out on top.

    The USA is self-sufficient in oil and LNG, so it is Europe that will bear the brunt along with China – the USA can probably live with that.

    1-0 to the USA in the first round of the third world war.

    But there will be many burned embassies and beheaded infidels for a while now.

  64. johan No.1

    You might as well start speculating in natural gas for a while MXT?

    Switch over to that from those Etherum you bought after Bitcoin but also went down.

  66. Lasse W

    I am pleased to hear that Merz reportedly now says that Europe is standing behind the USA in the attack on Iran. Put an end to this flirtatious Trump hatred that only harms the Western world’s interest in fighting against the axis powers of evil.

  67. Jan W

    USA and Trump have not exactly cultivated friendships and alliances with any other states, possibly except with Putin. Why would any European country stand up for the USA when the USA and Trump have so clearly ignored our interests (in Ukraine), rather opposed them.

    1. Fram i Natten

      …argues that various imagined red lines seem to be blurred…

      Perhaps it’s time to really put Gripen battle proved to the test.
      Flying over Iceland doesn’t count.

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